Solar Energy in the Bakery By Matt Lugar Thank you, Matt. I want to commend you guys for placing me after these guys, the energy efficiency guys at Lime Energy. Typically speaking it is really good to start with energy efficiency measures before you go solar, but I am here to talk about solar energy and what I would like to start out by doing is seeing a show of hands of anyone in the room who has started any research into going solar for their businesses as of now. Has anyone done that research yet? All right, there are a few out there. And then beyond that, anybody else who actually has a sort of working knowledge has had any education about solar? A little bit here and there. Okay, good. Just to get a sense because I am going to go into some Solar 101 in my presentation sort of entry level stuff and it is get to gauge of what people’s understanding is and their background. (Slide 2) I will talk a little bit about who we are just very briefly and then go into solar energy, how it works from sort of a very practical level and how it works in terms of interconnecting with the utility grid. We are going to talk about financial incentives that are available and the gentleman from Lime Energy also mentioned some things about rebates. That is one of the incentives that I will talk about. The financial structures that are available right now in the United States in particular to allow the facilitation of going solar, these are large projects...they are multi-million dollar projects typically for commercial businesses. So I am going to go over to map out... there are other ways to do it beyond just using your own capital to go solar and I have got a couple of case studies at the end. (Slide 3) Just very briefly about my company. We founded the company in 2004. We are based in Rohnert Park, CA just north of San Francisco. What we do is we specialize in commercial and utility grade solar energy plants. We do a lot of work in municipal entities as well. Agricultural, manufacturing, mining and general commercial operations. We did, in fact, last year complete the largest installation on a winery Matt Lugar began his career in the solar energy industry in 1996. His current responsibilities in solar energy are coverage of all sales and sales management supervision in oversight including strategy and marketing direction. Prior to joining Stellar, he most recently was a founding member and executive at the solar financing and project developer, Tioga Energy based in San Mateo, CA where he was responsible for sales and marketing. Prior to Tioga for over four years he managed the sales organization for the U.S. Division of the world’s largest solar PB manufacturer, Sharp Corporation, leading the growth of that division from its early stages of operation. In addition, he was Product Development Manager for Entergy Corporation in New Orleans, LA, where he was responsible for the research and development of several green energy-related products for Entergy’s 3.5+ million regulated and deregulated customers. Mr. Lugar received a Master’s in Business Administration from the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, GA and a Bachelor of Science and Natural Resources from the University of the South in Sewanee, TN. www.asbe.org Journal of American Baking Page 171 in the U.S. for Foster’s Wine Estates Americas and also last year we were acquired by ITOCHU International and ITOCHU Corporation, which is a very large Fortune Global 500 company. (Slide 4) A little bit about Solar 101, really breakdown. On the left-hand side at the top what we are looking at here is just basically the sun strikes the surface of the solar cell and it creates a direct current. It is very simple, it is very clean, and it is almost like magic. They are moving parts and it does not break down. The materials are benign that are involved in this process. We are talking about glass, aluminum, and silicon. Those are the standards materials that are in most solar technologies. There are a few new technologies, thin films, that are coming out that are very interesting with the promise of reducing costs and improving productivity through greater efficiency, but in some of those materials that are used, the thin films are a little bit different...some different compound besides just straight silicon or sand. (Slide 5) When you kind of zoom out and you look at it on a bigger picture scale, how it works for a commercial business or any entity who wants to go solar, when you have the solar panels that will be on your roof or out in the field or in your parking lot, for example, that creates when the sun strikes it direct current energy (DC energy), the same thing that a battery gets. You have to put that through what is represented in the red box, which is an inverter that takes the direct to current energy and turns it into alternating current, which is what the red needs to receive, refunnel that through your breakers which is where the interconnection point is for the utility and then we either pump the energy into your energy or back out to the grid through the meter where a process called net metering occurs. You are consuming some energy and you are producing some energy. Again, back to the point that I made earlier, the gentleman from Lime Energy did a good job of explaining and I wholeheartedly agree, do your energy efficiency measures first and then let solar come in, or other renewables or other types of backup generation technologies to clean up the rest of what is left. (Slide 6) I have got a couple of slides that illustrate electricity rate trends. This chart actually shows from 1970 through 2005. This is from the EIA, an unbiased third party group that looks at energy rates historically. And what I am illustrating here is that energy rates are going up, there is no question about it. These are rates that are commercial rates in most of the sort of hot solar energy states and I am going to get into what states those are in just a few minutes. This is more specific to California. (Slide 7) This is PG&E, which is one of the big utilities in California. The tariff question...we did this study from the year 2000 up to literally just a few months ago. I mean you can see in the State of California the rates have gone even steeper and I would say that if you looked at the Northeast and again Lime Energy showed a nice map of the U.S. that showed where some of the different rates that they would map up perfectly in terms of the benefits of solar energy as well as the energy efficiency. So California rates are going up at a heavier clip than most other parts of the country. (Slide 8) This chart is...if you look at the bottom axis, this is 24-hour cycle. What I am showing here at the top is a typical building’s load profile across a number of different months through a 24-hour cycle. At the bottom this is when solar energy is being produced by a solar array on your facility. There is some vertical lines here and what I have done is broken it out based on time of use electricity rates so that what you can see is, if you look at the very top of the chart, in the middle 45.8 cents per kilowatt hour is the most expensive time during PG&E and again this is a California tariff. When the solar energy is being produced, you are offsetting the energy at that very expensive period of time and you would be getting credits during that period of time. Other states around the country have similar tariff structures where time of use where the utility charges you or credits you if you have a generating source during different rates during different times of a 24-hour cycle. This is very valuable in terms of the analysis and looking at the savings that solar energy provides. These were offsetting the most expensive energy during the day. (Slide 9) So what can solar do for your business? The idea is to save money. We want to really offset those expensive rates as I just said. You are hedging against future energy costs. Ultimately, and it is a little gimmicky in a sense, but the fuel for solar energy is free. Solar energy does not cost a penny. Once you have it installed, there is no fluctuation of that fuel cost, it is just sunlight. So what you are doing is you are stabilizing and making your operating costs even more predictable by taking a portion of your energy with solar. Journal of American Baking www.asbe.org Page 172 Solar Energy And then, of course, and again as was mentioned earlier which is fantastic, the green or sustainable image is absolutely paramount these days. Businesses, municipal entities, residential customers, everyone wants to go green. It is a real thing, it is a real trend and I kind of downplay it a little bit because ultimately as I have been in this industry for a long time, back in the ‘90s the green part was what we were really focused on. It was not economically viable. The beautiful thing that I observed and being lucky enough to be a part of an industry like this over these many years is seeing the economics catch up. It does make economic sense in a number of places and I will talk about that in a second. (Slide 10) All right, let us talk a little bit about the financial incentives that are available to go solar. First and foremost the tax credits and grants. These can be... as of right now there is a 30% Federal Investment Tax Credit which for solar energy lasts through the end of 2016. There is a 30% Federal Grant in Lieu of Tax Credit which was put in place last year in the Stimulus Bill and as long as we begin installation before the end of this year qualified for that grant and that is a 30% grant, it is cash. It is an incredible incentive that is in place right now. Prior to some of the big tax credits and grants there have been cash rebates and these are really dollars...just cash dollars paid based on the size of the solar array that is put in place. What this does is it actually incentivizing the company who is designing and selling your system to put in more watts, but it does not necessarily incentivize efficiency, which is why ultimately on the third bullet point, which are performance-based incentives were put in place. Performance-based incentives or PBIs do incentivize efficiency. In other words we want to get the most kilowatt-hours to be created by this power plant per kilowatt of rated capacity. And again this is really ultimately to benefit you and the utility companies who are supporting these programs. At the bottom of each one of these I listed some of the states where these types of incentives exist. Again in a couple of slides I will show a map that shows where some of the hot solar states are and give you a resource where you can go to find information about solar energy incentives. And then the fourth on the list is one of the more challenging concepts to grasp. The solar renewable energy credit or some people call it Green Tags is a tradable credit that is created on a 1:1 ratio with kilowatt hours or megawatt hour that is generated off of that facility. Again, this is a little bit tricky. These are typically put in place in lieu of a cash rebate for a performancebased incentive. Ultimately they are performancebased because the REC’s are only being generated if the facility is making energy. All of these combined really just allow the facilitation of going solar more easily. That is the whole point of all of these incentives and there are programs all over the country, which allow not only for solar, but of course for efficiency as well and other types of green and renewable energy technologies. (Slide 11) This is the map I was referring to and ultimately you can find a lot of this information at the bottom, at the dsireusa.org web site, which is the database of state incentives for renewables and efficiency. This is database is very user friendly. I encourage you when you are trying to figure out if your business or your location is a good candidate to go solar, go to this web site, click on your state and drill down into, to see if there are incentives in your area which always are going to help the economics. Most of these incentives are driven by what are called RPS’s or renewable portfolio standards and most of the RPS’s out there are at a state level. However, there are some federal RPS debates that are happening and whether that is good or bad for the different renewable technologies are sort of up for debate. In the U.S. right now California and New Jersey still tend to be the leaders in terms of which geographic locations are supporting solar energy. It has nothing to do, by the way, with where the sun is shining. If Washington State which does have some incentives...I mean Washington State solar works fine and that is some of the worst solar resource in the country, but the reality is from your perspective, you are looking to see if the economics make sense. That is the policy and that is about those incentives I was mentioning earlier. Arizona, Colorado and Nevada and Pennsylvania, those are all sort of good, strong programs that are growing that are strong. Texas, specifically Austin, in fact, has a really good program. Parts of Illinois, New York www.asbe.org Journal of American Baking Page 173 State and there are a number of others that I would call simmering. You have got a lot of states that are working on incentives to support solar, wind and other renewables, but they might not be in place yet. Again, typically speaking as with a lot of things, California tends to lead the way in terms of some of the technologies in trying to create models that allow other parts of the country to enjoy these types of programs. In Canada, interestingly Ontario and British Columbia have incredible programs that are out there right now. They are comparable to some of the European and Asian solar markets. Again, it just gets back to that policy issue. It depends on how much subsidy is happening and how much support is happening at the government level, whether state or regional. And again, write down the DSIRE web site. This is really good. Get the spelling right, because if you do not then you might want to wind up on a web site you do not want to go to. I have heard that before. That is dsireusa.org. (Slide 12) Okay, I have got three primary ways to go solar. So if you are sitting in your shoes and you are trying to figure out how can I do this, how can I go solar? Capital purchase. This is using your own cash and this could also be using loans, things that are on your balance sheet. This is really tricky and again the guys at Lime Energy said something that I say very often myself when I am presenting which really gets to the heart of the matter. Focus on what you do. Do not use your capital necessarily to go solar and own a power plant. There is going to be some operations and maintenance involved and you can use other mechanisms where there is literally no capital outlay to allow you to go solar. For example, the Power Purchase Agreement. This is a concept where a third party comes in and actually owns the physical asset of the solar power plant that sits on your roof or your parking lot or out in your field and they just sell you the kilowatt hours. This is a virtually risk-free way to deploy a $5 or $10 million solar project. Let the other guys do what they do best, they are the experts, right and they can own and operate that power plant and make sure you are delivered the electricity that you want. Leasing is, of course, another way to do it. This is probably of these three the least popular when it really comes down to it. You get some of the benefits of a PPA where you have got a third party owner, but like a car lease you are still going to be responsible for the operations and maintenance of the power plant. There is not somebody else who is working on that for you and ultimately you have got a fixed monthly payment and no one is making sure that the power plant is still cranking other than you. So it depends and this is a good segue to this slide. I have a presentation up here that I can send it electronically. These are characteristics of these three mechanisms from your perspective about what kind of responsibilities and benefits you would have depending so you can determine which makes the most sense for you. Is it capital purchase, PPA or at least the most economically feasible based on what you do with your business. (Slide 13) I am not going to go through all of these points. I will just highlight a couple of them. Ultimately, no upfront capital with PPA or leased unfortunately with capital purchase you do. You can buy out since you do not own it, you are going to have to bottom...on a PPA in a lease, you typically can buy them out early for pennies on the dollar for what it costs to install whereas of course with capital purchase it is not applicable. (Slide 14) Let us get into case studies. One, which is very exciting for us, is a California bakery that we are working with right now. It is a 70,000 square foot footprint. They are a global supplier of basically artisanbaked goods. Their operation hours have been tailored already to utilize the metering and the time of use rates that I was talking about earlier, during off-peak hours. The rooftop, like many of your facilities, I am sure are covered with a lot of obstructions which we have to work around. The beauty of solar is highly modular and you can see in the picture, it can wrap around different things and have no problem with roof constructions. And this customer actually chose to use their own capital to purchase the solar asset so they are going to buy it out of their own pocket. Total system cost is a little under $2 million. You have a number of the incentives that are in place. The federal tax credit or grant, the first year tax appreciation and then, of course, electricity savings. So the net cost after the first year is a little under $1 million and in this case without what we illustrate here is actually without any incentives, the payback is a little over eight years with an 11.6% IRR. So this is...when you add in some of the Journal of American Baking www.asbe.org Page 174 Solar Energy other options that are available this gets even more attractive. (Slide 14) Some of the high-level specifications, it is being installed this year. We are looking at a 400 kilowatt project which is going to utilize basically all 70,000 square feet of that space. We are working around, as I said before, some obstructions so if you discount that 70,000 square feet by maybe 30% or so, that is how much physical space this project is going to take up. And we are using Sharp Corporation’s solar panels which are again one of the industry leading manufacturers of solar panels and we are using Satcon inverters, again an industry leader, and a number of other brands here on the hardware that I will not go into. (Slide 16) The second case study is a California rice grower and processor. These guys are a leader in natural organic and grocery specialty markets for rice products and they did not have roof access so we opted to install this system on the ground. The system is about $1.2 million and again a number of incentives that are in place for this and you have got a relatively attractive 12.3% IRR groups and an eight-year payback. These guys also opted to install the system using their own capital. (Slide 17) On the picture you can see there is an automobile there on the left side of the image to give you a sense of the size of this project in particular, how large the solar panels are. This was installed a couple of years ago. It is a little bit smaller than the project we talked about, the bakery, and again we used Sharp solar panels as well. (Slide 18) And that is really my presentation. I would certainly encourage anyone to...all my contact information is here and I can take a few questions right now. volts DC going into your inverter and then depending on what electricity service you have for your utility, we may have to have a transformer on the other side of the inverter going to the... UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: These solar panels when you install them what are the voltage on those? UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: That is the clarification I wanted on your install because I am looking at your numbers and I am going, I do not now if you have got structural enhancements in that figure. MATT LUGAR: Well, they are usually strung in a series to meet the inverter specifications. Each solar panel typically is 30 or 40 volts on an individual basis so you string those together in series up to the string voltage of the inverter itself. Typically you have 14 or 18 solar panels per string. So you have a couple of hundred So the output on the inverters that we specify at this commercial level are going to be single phase, three phase and they make every option out there depending on what service is in bakery. UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: You can deliver with the connection between the grid so that if the grid shuts down you do not pump electricity into the grid? MATT LUGAR: That is exactly right. In fact, it is basically UL standards that the inverters have what is called an anti-islanding feature which means if it senses that the grid has gone down, it shuts it off because if you get a lineman that is out there, we do not want our solar power plant pumping energy back out to the grid and shocking someone up on a pole. UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: Minor install costs. When you had that number up there, did that include structural engineering studies and any building enhancements that had to be made to the roof to support that...the solar panels up there? MATT LUGAR: So the question is, did the cost include structural engineering studies and any upgrades that might have been necessary? So I will split the answers. The answer is yes to the first part. Our firm does include structural engineering studies to the roof or geotechnical surveys if it is a ground mount because unfortunately talking about soils, it is a ground mount as well. However, if there are upgrades needed, then typically speaking that cost would be borne by the customer. It is kind of hard...we cannot predict what the structural and sometimes those are very expensive so when we are going through the... MATT LUGAR: In fact, neither of those need any structure, the bakery, that the rooftop system needs... we actually just did that review a couple of months ago and it does need structural upgrades. It is a good www.asbe.org Journal of American Baking Page 175 roof; it is a new roof material. And then there were a no geotechnical work that needed to be done on the ground mount. UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: A couple of questions on how fast the technology is moving. The panels in watts per square foot or panels that had also like thermal hot water vacuum pool or building integrated whatever it takes, flex...final grouping. How is all that technology coming along? MATT LUGAR: Okay. Let us start with the building integrated. Building integrated technologies are really cool, sexy, the look great on a building. They are extremely expensive typically speaking. It depends on what kind of building integrateds we are talking about. Some of the peel-and-stick thin films which actually my company works with as well that it rolls out for example onto a flat roof can be very effective in certain applications and being that it is completely flush with the roof, you almost do not even see that it is there. Now, the downside is most thin films even still today with a lot of the promise that is coming, they are just not quite there in terms of efficiency yet so you wind up with a little bit of degradation that occurs over time that does not occur with the more traditional crystalline technologies the one with the glass and silicon. So they are good. I mean, it is always going to be a sitespecific analysis and we would...because my firm and most integrators that are like us are relatively agnostic in terms of technology, we can take a very unbiased approach and find the best solution for the application. If you are getting into a high-end architectural building integrated that is whole different story and again the cost is going to go through the roof and architects love that stuff. The next one, solar thermal blended with... what I am talking about is photovoltaics, I try not to use that word, it is a tough word. Most people do not like it. We shorten it for PV, but it is solar electricity. The question is about blending solar electricity and solar thermal. There are a few companies out there that are trying to blend these two things where you use the back heat that is generated on the back of the solar panel for example and you can use either hot water thermal or hot air thermal. These are passive solar technologies versus active, which is what I am talking about. But nothing has really gotten out there to the point where it is really commercially viable or economically viable. I have talked to a lot of companies that have some really great ideas. I am fortunate; I live in the Bay area. I know a lot of Silicon Valley people who are just right on the front edge of some of that work and I would predict in five years we might see it become more common to see that blend of the two technologies together. My guess is this going to be more applicable in residential applications first and then we would probably see larger commercial applications after that. Now what was the third? UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: Watts per square foot. MATT LUGAR: Watts per square foot. That is getting really to the heart of the efficiency. Right now we are sort of at that shallowing part of the curve in terms of efficiency improvements with this technology. Solar photovoltaics were invented by Bell Labs back in the 1950s. The incredible thing is that the first cells that were made back then are still putting out electricity so when you think about the advanced in technology that we have had since then, the product that we are making now is going to be around for much longer than any of us in this room. It is going to be making electricity for 100 years or more. The watts per square meter have again a shallowing part, point of the curve. We are not seeing those big leaps anymore. It works today. Maybe getting into a nuance of your question, it is not like the computer industry where we are having these huge leaps which makes last year’s machine or a machine two years ago obsolete. The stuff works today. There is no reason to hesitate to wait for the next best thing tomorrow. It just does not make sense. UNIDENTIED SPEAKER: Very quick, does it make more sense to lessen the capital expenditure up front by taking out the inverter and running just specific building systems like lighting on PC as opposed to putting it in the inverter and then feeding it back to the grid? MATT LUGAR: I have seen that before. It is actually surprisingly uncommon to do that, but there is no doubt that it would improve some of the efficiencies. You then have to factor in when you go to direct current, you have to deal with maybe larger copper wires so you have and you are never going to get a copper wire that is so large that it would not offset the cost of the inverter, but you can certainly pull off of the solar array Journal of American Baking www.asbe.org Page 176 Solar Energy powering DC loads first and then still run maybe what is left through an inverter to AC power. I mean anything is possible. And again it is electricity, it is very easy to do, very custom design systems. MATT STANFORD: If you have any more questions we will see him afterward. www.asbe.org Journal of American Baking Page 177 Slide #1 Slide #2 Slide #3 Slide #4 Slide #5 Slide #6 Slide #8 Slide #7 Journal of American Baking www.asbe.org Page 178 Solar Energy Slide #9 Slide #10 Slide #11 Slide #12 Slide #13 Slide #14 Slide #15 Slide #16 www.asbe.org Journal of American Baking Page 179 Slide #18 Slide #17 Journal of American Baking www.asbe.org Page 180
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