TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia Why Helsinki is ideally placed for businesses looking to expand into Russia. Contents 1. Executive summary: Helsinki at a digital cross-roads of the EU and Russia 2. The business opportunity in Russia 2a. Growth opportunities 2b. Business challenges and risks associated with moving into Russia 3. Helsinki as a launchpad into Russia 4. About TelecityGroup 1. Executive summary With over 140 million consumers, a growing middle class, and almost unlimited infrastructure requirements, Russia remains one of the most promising markets for US and European companies to expand into. However, there are significant challenges associated with this – Russia is ranked 92nd in the World Bank’s global “Ease of Doing Business” rankings, behind Zambia, Kyrgyz Republic and Tonga. Helsinki, with a unique geographical location – one foot in Western Europe and one in Russia – has emerged as an ideal launchpad into Russia. The city has become a key digital hub in its own right, ranked as the most favoured European city for entrepreneurs; second in the “European Cities and Regions of the Future” index; and boasting one of the most highly educated workforces in the world. With legal services companies and consultancies that are focused on supporting companies doing business in Russia, a largely Russian speaking workforce and low-latency connectivity across the country, Helsinki boasts the infrastructure to make it an ideal base for Russian expansion. This paper will look at the business opportunity provided by Russia and the challenges with doing business in the country. It will also explore how the major economic, social and technology trends which have converged to make Helsinki one of the launch-pads for business expansion into Russia. Viewpoint TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia IT spending in Russia will grow at an annual average of 6 percent, and in 2017 will amount to 46.7 billion dollars. 2. The business opportunity in Russia? 2a. Growth opportunity Russia, geographically the largest country in the world, provides some of the biggest growth opportunities for Western businesses. The country enjoys the world’s most significant mineral and energy reserves and is considered an energy superpower. It has the world’s largest forest reserves and its lakes contain approximately one quarter of the world’s unfrozen fresh water. Russia has the world’s largest natural gas reserves, second largest coal reserves, and eighth largest oil reserves. It is the world’s leading natural gas exporter and second largest oil exporter. The Russian Federation’s entry to the WTO in 2012 was a turning point in Russia’s economic relations with the West. The tremendous economic stress of moving from a centrally-planned economy to a free market system was finally paying dividends – in short, Russia was open for business. To maintain its growth trajectory, Russia has significant modernisation requirements across the country – in particular in terms of transport and internet infrastructure – as well as a very large population with increasing spending power. These factors provide a compelling opportunity for foreign expertise and consultancy in Russia. Western businesses have a tremendous scope for growth in the country, particularly in areas as diverse as engineering; financial services; ICT; power/energy; construction; and rail and water. Lifeblood of the economy The lifeblood of the Russian economy continues to be oil and gas – some 52 percent of the state budget comes from oil and gas exports. The Russian government has invited Western giants like Exxonmobil, Shell and Statoil to help to maintain the current daily flow of 21.8 million barrels of oil and gas equivalent 1. The opening up of the Arctic and the enormous Bazhenov shale oil fields present great opportunities, particularly in much-required capital investment, but also in drilling- and ancillary services. Transport Infrastructure All too aware of the need for infrastructure to match Russia’s energy ambitions, President Vladimir Putin has promised to spend some €10 ($14USD) billion on road and rail upgrades in the next five years. 2 Russia’s population of 142 million is spread over a vast landmass. More than 10 percent of the country’s population are living in two cities – Moscow (pop. 11.5 million) and St Petersburg (pop. 4.8 million). Outside of the major cities many roads are in bad condition, airports dilapidated and rail freight stuck on a system little-changed since the Soviet era. Russia’s road network of 930,000 km and rail network of 87,000 km are in need of urgent upgrades. The administration’s revised transport strategy runs up to 2030 and requires investors, developers and construction companies. Similarly social infrastructure, environmental services and energy infrastructure present investment opportunities and involvement in Greenfield projects. Bringing IT up to speed Further modernisation of IT infrastructure and systems will also be required for enterprises and organisations in Russia to become truly competitive in the global economy. While the annual double-digit IT market growth in Russia – fuelled by relatively high oil prices, preparations for the 2014 Winter Olympics and widening internet penetration – came to an end in 2013, opportunities will still be rife for Western IT services companies in the coming years. Growth will be particularly noticeable in mobility, software, and IT services. According to IDC’s Russia Vertical Markets 20132017 IT Spending Forecast report, IT spending in Russia will grow at an annual average of 6 percent, and in 2017 will amount to 46.7 billion dollars. There is expected to be a particularly high demand for IT services from retailers, banks, insurance companies and other financial service providers in Russia. 1 SFE Energy 2 FinancialTimes.com Viewpoint TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia Russia will become the largest consumer market in Europe by 2022-24 and by 2015 it is predicted that 82 percent of households will be in the middle class or higher sector. The Russian telecommunications market has also demonstrated strong development in recent years and this is expected to continue. Mobile communications accounts for around 44 percent of the overall market, gradually replacing fixed-line communications, and the development of 3G and 4G networks will bring new growth opportunities. Consumer internet penetration stands at a relatively low 47.7 percent, but this still represents nearly 68,000,000 users or 13.1 percent of internet users in Europe – the highest number of users from any country in Europe. 3 Online shopping is low by EU standards (about 50 percent of middle class families), but growing rapidly with increased ownership of PCs, laptops and tablets. Growing spending power Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the spending power of the average Russian has increased dramatically. Amongst BRIC countries Russia’s middle class (income of €4,340-€10,840/$6,000$15,000) stands at 55 percent of the population, ahead of Brazil at 30 percent, China 21 percent and India 11 percent.4 Russia’s high-earners (over €36,000/$50,000 per annum) make up 15 percent of households. The demands of a tough working-life are making Russians increasingly concerned with how they spend their leisure time, as well as with their health and wellbeing. Health tourism, especially to Finland, is a recent and growing trend – stemming primarily from distrust in Russian service providers, particularly in health and education. 7 This has also led to an increase in private schooling and education. Both present good opportunities for developing private healthcare – including spas and resorts – and private education. 2b. Business challenges and risks associated with moving into Russia. Despite the wide opportunities that Russia’s burgeoning economy provides, doing business in Russia is not without its pitfalls. This has been compounded in recent times with Russia’s controversial foreign policy, and the ongoing threat of economic sanctions. Russia will become the largest consumer market in Europe by 2022-24 5 and by 2015 it is predicted that 82 percent of households will be in the middle class or higher sector. 6 The Russian middle class consumer is comparable in many ways with its Western equivalent. They tend to have third-level education, work as specialists or department heads, and their tastes are similar to counterparts elsewhere. However, the Russian middleclass tend to work longer hours and will work through periods of illness. Beyond the standard consumer goods and services, there are certain peculiarities to the Russian market. Nearly 20 percent of the average Russian middleclass family’s expenses go on children’s toys, activities, education and babysitters. This is explained in part by the low level of state support, but also the ‘child-centeredness’ of middle class families. 3 internetworldstats.com 4 CEEMEA Business group 5 Ernst & Young 6 CEEMEA Business group 7 Sberbank Moscow, population 11.5 million. Viewpoint TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia Russia is Finland’s largest trading partner, with imports to Finland of €10.52 ($14.2USD) billion and exports to Russia of €5.35 ($7.22USD) billion in 2012. Unpredictable and complex The key challenge for business in Russia is the complexity and unpredictability of the business environment. For one, Russia is a geographically vast market, spanning nine time zones and encompassing over 17 million square miles. Allied with the country’s seriously underdeveloped infrastructure, this poses significant logistical challenges, particularly in accessing markets outside of the major cities such as Moscow and St Petersburg. The country also suffers from an unpredictable tax environment, onerous bureaucracy, and the everpresent threat of corruption. This corruption can range from local competitors not paying taxes to counterfeit products flooding the marketplace. Limited talent pool HR and talent management is one of the biggest challenges for Western companies expanding into Russia. Indeed, the Economist Intelligence Unit ranks HR as the number one critical business issue for multinationals operating in Russia, and predicts that it will only get tougher. Staff turnover remains high and it’s challenging for businesses to recruit talented employees. This is largely due to limited numbers of the right kind of staff. With limited investment in its educational system since 1991, the Russian economy – along with Western businesses operating in it - are paying the cost. Difficulty of doing business While the Russian administration is making huge efforts to ensure the country is more attractive to foreign investors, it is still ranked in 92nd place (out of 189 economies) in the World Bank’s 2014 Ease of Doing Business report. While it continues to rise in these rankings - due to a concerted reform effort and widespread improvements in access to electricity – the report also highlights areas for concern, including dealing with construction permits; getting credit; protecting investors; and trading across borders. 8 Statistics Finland, 2013 3. Helsinki as a launchpad into Russia Tapping into Russia’s €1.4 ($2USD) trillion economy, therefore, is not without its challenges. With the uncertainly that continues to surround Russia’s foreign policy, Western firms should be careful about how they go about setting up business operations within the country. There are, however, other opportunities for businesses to take advantage of this massive market, whilst minimising their exposure to risk. Business hubs such as Helsinki in Finland provide an ideal launchpad for organisation’s first forays in to the Russian market. The city is in an ideal location, provides a stable economy with a strong talent pool, and boasts the transport and internet infrastructure and Russian expertise needed to maximise the opportunities that Russia presents. Close ties Russia is Finland’s largest trading partner, with imports to Finland of €10.52 ($14.2USD) billion and exports to Russia of €5.35 ($7.22USD) billion in 2012.8 This special relationship – backed by unilateral agreements – stems from a 1,340 km shared border and close cultural and historical ties. Finnish businesses are well-established in Russia, with one fifth of foreign companies in St Petersburg being Finnish-owned. Finnish household names, like the department store Stockmann, are well-known to Russian consumers. Stockmann has four stores in Moscow – where it has been trading since 1989 – and one each in St Petersburg and Ekaterinburg. Local Russian consultancy and expertise There are many legal and financial advisory companies based in both Helsinki and Russia and dedicated to cross-border business. The FinnishRussian Chamber of Commerce (with offices in Helsinki, Moscow, St Petersburg and Ekaterinburg) helps with examining market opportunities and searching for potential customers and business partners. The American Chamber of Commerce in Finland (AmCham Finland) has over 300 corporate members and provides a useful access point to Russia. Viewpoint TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia Finland is a politically and socially stable country, and has maintained its AAA rating – one of only three eurozone countries to do so. The Russian community in Finland is also well established. Around 30,000 people living in Finland hold Russian citizenship and about 70,000 people in Finland state Russian as their mother tongue. There are Russian-language newspapers, radio stations and Finland’s state television broadcaster, YLE, has a news round-up in Russian. In Russia, the Finnish presence is less obvious – hardly surprising since Russia has 26 times the population and 50 times the landmass of Finland. However in St Petersburg, with its close proximity to Finland, Finns are a sizeable and important community. A stable and thriving business hub Finland is a politically and socially stable country, and has maintained its AAA rating – one of only three eurozone countries to do so. The fall of Nokia has been a tough blow for the economy, but Finland has turned this to an advantage and many of those who lost their jobs have become part of the lively startup scene in Finland. Finland’s workforce is also amongst the best-educated in the world – topping OECD ratings in reading literacy, maths and science for the past decade. Finland’s Baltic climate also makes it the ideal location for supporting enterprise IT infrastructure such as data centres that require a lot of cooling, meaning companies can locate mission-critical IT infrastructure to serve the Russian market in a stable and secure environment. The key to the Russian business question With the business climate in Russia undergoing rapid change and transformation, there will continue to be strong opportunities for expansion for Western firms. At the same time, doing business in the country can still be challenging, with cultural and logistical impediments still in place. With this in mind, Helsinki has emerged as one of the main gateways to Russia. Boasting the transport infrastructure, skill base, economic stability and connectivity required, the city should now be seen as an ideal launchpad to capitalise on the Russian business opportunity. Transport Infrastructure Finland’s transport infrastructure is of the highest class, making it an ideal base to do business across Russia as well as with the rest of Europe. Stockholm, Tallinn and St Petersburg are less than one hour flight from Helsinki, and Copenhagen and Oslo are around one hour and thirty minutes. The Allegro high-speed train will get you from Helsinki to St Petersburg in just under three-anda-half hours, with customs and border control completed en route, while there are also strong ferry and road connections. Enterprise-grande IT infrastructure Internet services are intrinsic in the Finnish business environment, and many of its best known companies – such as Nokia, F-Secure, TeliaSonera, and Rovio - have the internet at their core. As such, Finland is seen as one of the most data-friendly countries in Europe, providing a nodal-point of connectivity between East and West, a reliable power grid and infrastructure, and a world-class IT sector. Allegro high-speed train. Viewpoint 4. About Telecitygroup TelecityGroup is Europe’s leading provider of premium carrier-neutral data centres, operating facilities in city locations across Europe, including those well-placed to serve Russia, such as Helsinki and Stockholm. TelecityGroup’s data centres provide secure and highly-connected environments for the IT and telecoms equipment that powers the digital economy. Its data centres are enabling environments in which the separate networks that make up the internet meet and where bandwidth intensive applications, content and information are hosted. TelecityGroup’s customers are the networks and providers of content, applications and data that make up the internet. Customers choose TelecityGroup because of its highquality infrastructure and service standards, connectivity options and capacity to support their future growth. Outstanding data centres. Expertise you can trust. Europe’s leading provider of premium carrier-neutral data centres. www.telecitygroup.com TelecityGroup whitepaper: Expanding into Russia
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