Air Pollution Trends in Denver: “You’ve Come a Long Way, Baby” Gregg Thomas Manager of Air, Water, and Climate Section Nov 2013 Overview • Most pollutants down significantly over the last 10-20 years • Public perception slowly improving • Ozone continues to be a problem • Oil and gas development presents challenges regionally • Local challenges around odors and highway expansion National Citizen Survey Carbon Monoxide Carbon Monoxide 8-Hr Trends Downtown 30 Concentration (ppm) 25 20 15 10 National Ambient Air Quality Standard = 9 ppm 5 0 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Lead Sulfur Dioxide Annual means have declined from 18 ppb in 1980 to 2 ppb in 2012 Nitrogen Dioxide Annual means > 2x higher than Houston; New 1-hr near road standard (100 ppb) starts 2014; will be challenging 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Concentration (micrograms per m3) Particulate Matter <10 Microns PM10 24hr 2nd Max Downtown NAAQS = 150 micrograms Fine Particulate Matter <2.5 microns Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Trends in Metro Denver 1999-2012 15 Old Annual average PM2.5 standard = 15 micrograms per cubic meter New Annual average PM2.5 standard = 12 micrograms per cubic meter Concentration 12 9 6 3 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Downtown Denver Commerce City Boulder Swansea Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) Ozone Trends Rolling 3 Year 8-hr Avg Ozone Trends in Metro Denver 1997-2013 Ozone Concentration (ppb) 90 85 80 75 Current standard: 75 ppb 70 65 60 55 Rocky Flats Commerce City Chatf ield State Park NREL Ozone – What’s Ahead? • Ozone NAAQS due to be updated late 2014 • It may be revised to 70 ppb or lower from 75 ppb • On the books strategies should help, but 75 ppb appearing difficult • New oil and gas VOC regulations in Feb 2014 should help (CDPHE) I-70 East Expansion Odors – the 800 Pound Gorilla • • • • We know the main sources of odor complaints Even stinkiest odors in Denver do not violate Existing air pollution data are of minor value While we may know the sources, identifying the odorous compounds is difficult • Exploring innovative grants to understand this problem with non-profits and health researchers • Has community support, needs organization Summary • Significant progress in reducing most air pollutants • Ozone remains a problem • Progress on I-70 (11 yrs later…) • Raising a stink on odors
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