POPULATION DENSITY AND ANNUAL VARIATION IN BIRTH MASS OF GUANACOS IN SOUTHERN CHILE RONALD J. SARNO AND WILLIAM L. FRANKLIN Department of Animal Ecology and Program in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, 124 Science II, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011-3221 We investigated the influence of population density and meteorological conditions on annual birth mass of guanacos in Torres del Paine National Park, Chile, from 1987 to 1996. Between 1987 and 1990, density of guanacos on the study area nearly tripled from 16 to 43 animals/km2 • Mean birth mass was significantly different across years, and there was a strong negative correlation between mean yearly birth mass and population density. There was no correlation between mean yearly birth mass and mean temperature or total precipitation in either winter or spring during this period. Since 1990, density of guanacos has decreased, which we suspect is the result of degraded range conditions, partly due to overgrazing. Population censuses from other sectors of the park and the adjacent sheep ranch revealed increasing numbers of guanacos, and the movement of tagged animals out of the study area into surroundings with lower guanaco density. Key words: Lama guanicoe, guanaco, Chile, birth mass, population density Little is known about the causal factors influencing mass at birth in wild ungulates, in part because they are difficult to capture and weigh (Albon et aI., 1983). Maternal condition of domestic and captive wild mammals influences birth mass (Berger, 1979; Robinson, 1977; Verme, 1965; Willis and Wilson, 1974), and we assume that the same may occur in wild, free-ranging individuals. Maternal condition likely is influenced by many factors, including population density. Under some conditions, birth mass may be correlated with population density and may be one of the responses hypothesized to occur in large mammals when population levels are near carrying capacity (Fowler, 1981a, 1981b). Some density-independent factors, such as temperature and precipitation, also affect mass at birth of newborn ungulates (Albon et aI., 1983) and thus possibly influence maternal condition. We document variation in annual birth mass over a lO-year period in a population of wild, free-ranging guanacos (Lama guanicoe) in southern Chile and ascribe a Journal of Mammalogy, 80(4):1158-1162, 1999 1158 possible cause to this variation. Numbers of guanacos in southern Chile have increased over the past 2 decades because of successful conservation programs (Franklin et aI., 1997). In Torres del Paine National Park, numbers of guanacos increased from 175 in 1975 to 3,000 in 1993. Juveniles have been hand-captured, tagged, and weighed since 1987 as part of a long-term project studying the ecology and life history of this population. Our objective was to determine if birth mass of guanacos was correlated with population density or meteorological conditions. MATERIALS AND METHODS Our study was conducted in Torres del Paine National Park (51 °3/S, n055/W), an International Man and Biosphere Reserve located in the eastern foothills of the Andean mountain range of southern Chile. The park encompassed 2,400 km2 and provided almost undisturbed habitat for wildlife. The 40-km2 study area ranged from 200-400 m in elevation and was bordered by large lakes to the south, north, and west and the Goic sheep ranch to the east. The landscape was open with rolling hills, vegetation was rarely> 1 November 1999 SARNO AND FRANKLIN-BIRTH MASS VARIATION IN GUANACOS m high, and animals were observed easily. Grasses (Festuca gracillana, Anarthrophyllum patagonium) and shrubs (Mulinum spinosum, Senecio patagonicus, and Berberis buxifolia) dominated the pre-Andean steppe (Pisano, 1974). The region was characterized by two distinctive climatic periods. Summer (December-February) was marked by strong westerly winds, warm temperatures (mean maximum 19.7°C) and relatively high precipitation (X = 102 mm). Winter (June-August) was cold (X = -S.3°C), with less precipitation (X = 21 mm), and little or no wind (Johnson et al., 1990; Ortega and Franklin, 1988). From 1987 to 1996, chulengos (newborn guanacos) were hand-captured (n = 810), marked, weighed, and reunited with their mothers (Franklin and Johnson, 1994). Fifty percent of the chulengos were captured within 1 h after we observed their birth. The rest were < 1 day old when captured, which was apparent by their wet appearance, uncoordinated locomotion (stumbling or falling), and close proximity to their mothers. We considered the mass of any captured chulengo :524 h old as its birth mass (A1bon et al., 1983). We conducted population censuses during spring, autumn, and winter of 1987-1996. However, we used only the spring (September-November) counts for our analysis because there was little movement of guanacos on the study area. In spring, adult males vigorously defend territories, and adult females move among a restricted number of those territories (Ortega and Franklin, 1988). Consequently, there were no long-distance movements of animals on the study area or ingress of guanacos from adjacent sectors, where there was less suitable habitat. Monitoring of marked animals during that period also suggested that guanaco movement was minimal. Therefore, we were confident that our counts accurately reflected number of guanacos on the study area. Each census was conducted with four observers and lasted 3 days. Observers followed standardized routes and collected data on group size, group composition Guvenile or adult), sex of adults, and identification of tagged individuals. On day 1 of the census, we began at the eastern end of the study area, and each successive day we followed routes further west. We never ob- 1159 served a marked animal in a different route on the same day, or on successive days. We used standard correlation and regression techniques (SAS Institute Inc., 1990) to analyze the relationship between mean cohort birth mass and population density, mean seasonal temperature (summer and winter), and total seasonal precipitation (we obtained daily precipitation and temperature data from park weather stations). We were unable to acquire meteorological data for 1996. We used meteorological data for winter because low temperatures during the coldest season can reduce fetal development (Albon et aI., 1983; Mitchell, 1971) and for spring because nutrition during the later stages of pregnancy has the greatest effect on fetal growth and birth mass (Albon et al., 1983; Robinson, 1977; Sadleir, 1969; Skogland, 1984). RESULTS Mean annual birth mass of guanacos was 12.6 kg ± 0.06 (range = 7.0-17.0 kg, n = 810). There was no difference between males (12.6 kg ± 0.08, n = 398) and females (12.6 kg ± 0.08, n = 412; t = 0.15, d.f. = 808, P = 0.881; Table 1), but birth mass differed among years (F = 12.23; d.f. = 9, 808; P < 0.001). Between 1987 and 1990, the number of guanacos on the study area increased from 623 to 1,709 animals or from 16 to 43 animalslkm2 , then declined by 1996 (Fig. 1). Mean cohort birth mass was correlated negatively with population density during this period (r = -0.62, n = 10, P = 0.056; Fig. 2). The slope of the fitted regression line (Y = 13.79-O.00089X) suggested that for an increase in population density of 5 animals/ km2 (throughout the range of observed population densities), mean birth mass decreased by ca. 0.3 kg. We found no correlation between mean annual birth mass and mean temperature or total precipitation, respectively, in either winter or spring during the same period. DISCUSSION Our study was conducted during a period when population size of guanacos increased rapidly during the late 1980's, peaked in the 1750.-----------------, i.-Mean birth mass (n = 810) by sex and cohort of juvenile guanacos born in Torres del Paine National Park, Chile, in 1987-1996. TABLE Year 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Vol. 80, No.4 JOURNAL OF MAMMALOGY 1160 Sex Females Males Cohorta Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Females Males Cohort Mean mass (kg) SE n l3.3 l3.6 l3.4 12.8 13.0 12.9 12.9 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.7 12.6 13.0 13.1 13.1 12.2 12.4 12.3 12.9 12.6 12.7 11.5 11.8 11.7 11.9 11.6 11.7 l3.3 l3.3 l3.3 0.32 0.29 0.22 0.21 0.24 0.16 0.26 0.26 0.l7 0.26 0.24 0.18 0.26 0.28 0.19 0.24 0.26 0.18 0.25 0.26 0.18 0.22 0.24 0.16 0.25 0.24 0.17 0.24 0.25 0.l7 27 20 47 39 46 85 42 51 93 44 54 98 53 45 98 44 47 91 48 41 89 38 30 68 32 28 60 45 35 80 1550 II 1350 N 'iii C 1150 .S! ~ :::l c.. 950 o a. 750 550+--r-~--.-.-~--.--.-r-~ 1987198819891990199119921993199419951996 Year FIG. I.-Number of guanacos on the study area in Torres del Paine National Park, Chile, in 1987-1996. population density was so high that it masked any climatic influences on birth mass. Since 1990, the number of guanacos on the study area generally has decreased (Fig. 1), which we suspect to be the result (in part) of overgrazing and degraded range conditions. Population censuses from other sectors of the park and the adjacent sheep ranch revealed increasing numbers of guanacos, and the movement of tagged animals out of the study area into surroundings with lower density of guanacos. For example, "Overall mean birth mass of females and males. 13.5 early 1990's, and declined thereafter. During this interval, we observed a negative correlation between mean cohort birth mass and population density from 1987 to 1996. Skogland (1990) also observed decreasing birth mass resulting from increasing population density in a population of wild reindeer (Rangifer tarandus). Although we observed a correlation between mean annual birth mass and population density, we observed no suchcorrelation between mean annual birth mass and weather as was demonstrated for red deer (Cervus elaphus-Albon et al., 1983). Perhaps annual variation in climate was insufficient to influence birth mass, or possibly Ui' Cl ~ 13.0 . 1987 1996 1991 :E Cl 'iii 1993 12.5 1990 == s:: 1:: :c C III . 1989 1988 1992 12.0 II ::!: Y = 13.79 . 0.00089X r = ·0.62, P = 0.056 11.5 14 19 24 1995 1994 29 34 39 44 Number of guanacos/km 2 FIG. 2.-Least squares regression of mean birth mass of guanacos against population density in Torres del Paine National Park, Chile. November 1999 SARNO AND FRANKLIN-BIRTH MASS VARIATION IN GUANACOS during the severe winter of 1995, ca. 78% (n = 3,100) of the sheep on the adjacent ranch died (J. Goic, pers. cornm.). In the following spring, 250-300 guanacos were observed on the ranch compared with 50100 during previous years. We hypothesize that decreased feeding competition with sheep, in conjunction with the potentially degraded range conditions on the study area, resulted in more guanacos moving onto the ranch. Additionally, because ranchers drastically reduced the number of patrols with horses and dogs in this sector, guanacos may have been harassed less. Guanaco numbers on the ranch and in other sectors of the park, however, cannot account for the nearly two-thirds reduction in population density on the study area from 1990 to 1996. Therefore, it is conceivable that low mean birth mass during the early 1990's contributed to lower juvenile survival, which led to a reduction in population density by the end of the study. Indeed, Gustafson et al. (1998) demonstrated a significant negative correlation between birth mass and early mortality of newborn guanacos. Juvenile survival to :51 year of age also decreased from 70% in the early 1990's (Behl, 1992) to ca. 30% by 1996 (Sarno et al., in press). In similar studies, Fairbanks (1993) and Singer et ai. (1997) reported that lighter neonates of pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) and elk (Cervus elaphus) suffered higher mortality. It also is possible that increasing population density elevated mortality rates of adult guanacos although this response has not generally been observed in other ungulates (Caughley, 1970; Clutton-Brock et aI., 1982; McCullough, 1979; Sauer and Boyce, 1983; Skogland, 1985, 1990). Various density-dependent and densityindependent effects on large mammals have been documented in several ungulate species (Albon et al., 1983; Berger, 1986; Caughley, 1970; Clutton-Brock et aI., 1982, 1987; Sauer and Boyce, 1983; Skogland, 1984, 1985, 1990). The relative importance of these effects, however, likely varies both 1161 spatially and temporally. Future controlled studies therefore are needed to elucidate how population density, climate, and even predation interact to influence individual survival, especially of newborns and adult females. Studies of this type would more directly test Hom's (1968) suggestion that population regulation is not under the exclusive control of either density-dependent or density-independent mechanisms. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank: the Chilean National Forestry and Park Service (CONAF), and the administration at Torres del Paine National Park for their assistance and collaboration, particularly G. Santana, J. Toro, and N. Soto. D. Cox, H. Stem, and B. Clark provided statistical advice. The insightful comments of B. Danielson, W. Johnson, and two anonymous reviewers greatly enhanced the quality of the manuscript. M. Bank:, R Barrientos, B. Behl, M. Behl, C. Bergman, G. Blundel, T. Boggen, T. Chladny, J. Cleckler, S. Daugherty, A. Engh, G. Garay, E. Gaylord, K. Gaylord, K. Guderian, K. Harms, R. 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