Towards Technologically and Competitively Neutral Fiber to the Home (FTTH) Infrastructure Anupam Banerjee, Marvin Sirbu Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA 1 Background $ Telecommunications Act of 1996 $ Competition in the ‘Last Mile’ $ Broadband Access $ Universal Access In the context of FTTH, what does it take to have competition in the ‘last mile’? $ 2 Models of Competition in Telecommunications $ Facility Based Competition Central Offices Home 1 Service Provider A Network 1 Home 2 Separate Networks Network 2 Service Provider B Data Link Layer Equipment ATM, Gigabit Ethernet, SONET 3 Models of Competition in Telecommunications $ UNE Based Competition Central Office Home 1 Service Provider A Network Data Link Layer Equipment Service Provider B Home 2 4 Models of Competition in Telecommunications $ Open Access Based Competition Central Office Home A Service Provider A Network Home B Common Data Link Layer Equipment Service Provider B 5 FTTH Architectures $ Home Run $ Active Star $ Passive Star (Passive Optical Network PON) $ Wavelength Division Multiplexed Passive Optical Networks (WDM PON) 6 Home Run Architecture ONU C e n tra l O ffice I n fra stru cture D e d i c a te d fib e r to e a c h H o m e C e n tra l O ffice Equipm e nt O L T P o rt O N U O p tica l N e tw o r k U n i t O L T O p tica l L i n e T e r m i n a t i o n Dis tr ibu t io n L o op Fee der L o o p Architecture Brief Description Shared Infrastructure Home Run Dedicated fiber from the Central Office to each Home Central Office 7 Active Star Architecture ONU C e n tra l O ffice I n fra stru ctu r e 1 S h a r e d Fe e de r fib e r C e n tra l O ffice Equipm e nt OLT 32 R e m o te N o d e w ith A c ti v e E l e c t r o n i c s Equipm e nt Dis tr ibu t io n L o op Architecture Active Star Fee der L o o p Brief Description Signals multiplexed at Remote Node that lies between Central Office and Home Shared Infrastructure From theCentral Office to the Remote Node 8 Passive Star Architecture (PON) ONU C e n tra l Office Infra stru cture λ 1 S h a r e d Fe e de r fib e r λ λ λ C e n tra l O ffice Equipm e n t OLT 32 λ P a ssive S plitte r – Com b i n e r λ Dis tr ibu t io n L o op Fee der L o op Architecture Brief Description Shared Infrastructure Passive Star Signal’s power optically split at Remote Node; Remote Node not powered From Central Officet to Remote Node 9 WDM PON ONU C e n tra l Office Infra stru cture λ1 1 S h a r e d Fe e de r fib e r λ 1, λ 2, λ 3, λ 4, λ 5 λ2 λ3 ... λ 32 C e n tra l O ffice Equipm e n t OLT 32 λ4 P a ssive S plitte r – Com b i n e r λ5 Dis tr ibu t io n L o op Fee der L o op Architecture Brief Description Shared Infrastructure WDM PON Signal’s power optically split at Remote Node; Feeder fiber carries multiple wavelengths From Central Officet to Remote Node 10 Competition in FTTH $ Facility Based Competition Central Offices Home 1 Service Provider A FTTH Network 1 Home 2 Separate Networks FTTH Network 2 Service Provider B Data Link Layer Equipment ATM, Gigabit Ethernet, SONET 11 Non facilities based Competition in Home Run Fiber $ Individual Fiber can be rented out as a UNE Central Office Home 1 Service Provider A Network Data Link Layer Equipment Service Provider B Home 2 = Home Run Fiber supports Competition at the Data-Link layer and in Higher layers services 12 Non facilities based Competition in PONs and Active Star Central Office Home 1 Service Provider A Network Data Link Layer Equipment Home 2 Splitter (Remote Node) Service Provider B = PONs (and Active Star) do not support Competition at the Data-Link layer; they support Competition in Higher layers services 13 Non facilities based Competition in WDM PONs = Individual Wavelength can be rented out as a UNE Centra l Office Hom e 1 λ1 Service Provider A Network λ1 λ2 Data Link Layer Equipment λ2 Splitte r Hom e 2 Service Provider B AWG = WDM PONs support Competition at the Data-Link layer and in Higher layers services 14 What do we mean by Competition in the ‘Last Fiber Mile’? Voice Network & Higher Layers Data Link Layer Video Data ATM Ethernet SONET AM for Analog Video Multiple Optical Layer Wavelengths § Traditional Open Access can support competition for Voice and Data and Switched Digital Video § Broadcast Video is most economically delivered using a wavelength running Multiplexed Multichannel Video § Competitors can choose different data link layer technologies to run over a particular fiber (or a particular lambda) rented out as a UNE •Competitors can use different wavelengths to provide service § Competitors use different Fibers; Physical Medium Multiple Fibers § Multiple fibers running to the home 15 Architectures and Competition Home Run Competition in Data Link Layer Services Competition in Voice, Data, Digital Video Competition in Broadcast Video Cost per Home Served Easy PONs Active Star WDM PONs Hard Hard Easy Neutral Neutral Neutral Neutral Easy Hard Hard Easy ? ? ? ? 16 Economic Feasibility of Competition $ General Perception: Home Run Fiber is more expensive than PONs; WDM PONs are not economically feasible today $ Our arguments: Home Run Fiber enables Data- Link layer competition while PONs do not $ Research Questions: $ By how much is Home Run Fiber more expensive than PONs? $ Which forms of competition are Economically Feasible? 17 FTTH Engineering Cost Model Deployment Homes per sq. mile Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural 3389 1602 217 85 20 Homes served per CO 16,135 16,201 10,184 5,871 3,018 18 FTTH Engineering Cost Model Architecture Home Run Active Star PON WDM PON OLT Interface 100 Mbps Fast Ethernet per Home Gigabit Ethernet Interface per 32 Homes Gigabit Ethernet Interface per 32 Homes 100 Mbps Fast Ethernet per Home ONU Interface 2 POTS ports, 10/100 Base T, RF Video 19 Capital Cost per Home Served (Urban Deployment) FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served Capital Cost per Home Served (Urban Deployment) 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percent Penetration Home Run Fiber Active Star Passive Star (PON) WDM PON 20 Capital Cost per Home Served (PON Deployments) FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served PON deployment in Urban, Suburban, Small Town, Rural and Remote Rural Areas 10000 9000 Remote Rural 8000 7000 Rural 6000 Small Town 5000 Suburban 4000 Urban 3000 2000 1000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percent Penetration Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural 21 Capital Cost per Home Served FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served Urban and Rural Deployments 10000 9000 Rural Deployment 8000 7000 6000 Urban Deployment 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent Penetration Home Run Fiber (Urban) PON (Urban) Home Run Fiber (Rural) PON (Rural) 22 Competition in FTTH: Economic Feasibility n n n n Facilities based Competition is unlikely as FTTH is a decreasing cost industry Wavelength based competition is infeasible in the near future Data Link Layer Competition (and competition in Broadcast video) is easy in Home Run architecture and hard in PONs; and therefore has an economic premium Competition in Data, Voice and Switched Digital Video is easy in all architectures 23 The ‘Cost’ of Data-Link layer Competition.. $ Cost Difference (per Home) between Home Run Fiber and PON Deployment Scenario Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural Cost of Competition per Home Served ($) @ 100% penetration 270 350 510 690 560 24 Towards Economically Efficient and Competitive Neutral FTTH Infrastructure $ Home Run Fiber is Competitively Neutral.. $ But is it 'economically efficient'? $ Can we have Data-Link layer at a lower cost than Home Run Fiber? 25 A Traditional PON Deployment Neighborhood 1 Central Office Infra structure Splitter 1 PON1 PON2 Central Office OLT Equipment Central Office OLT Equipment Splitter 2 Neighborhood 2 26 Lowering the Cost of Competition: ‘Home Run PON’ Neighborhood 1 Central Office Infra structure Splitter 1 PON1 Central Office OLT Equipment Central Office OLT Equipment Splitter 2 PON2 Neighborhood 2 27 Lowering the Cost of Competition: ‘Aggregation PON’ Neighborhood 1 Centra l Office Infra structure Splitte r 1 PON1 Central Office OLT Equipment Central Office OLT Equipment PON2 Splitte r 2 Neighborhood 2 AGGREGATION of Splitters 28 Capital Cost premium for an architecture that enables Data-Link layer Competition ‘Home Run PON’ vs. Traditional PON Deployment Scenario Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural Cost of Competition per Home Monthly Cost of Competition @ Served (Capital Cost) ($) 20% discount rate ($/Month) Penetration Penetration 100% 65% 30% 100% 65% 30% 100 180 480 2 3 9 180 260 670 2 4 12 340 530 1140 6 9 19 530 730 1460 9 12 24 420 660 1570 7 12 26 29 Real Option to Scale Bandwidth.. = In addition to foreclosing competition at the Data-Link layer, PONs also impose bandwidth sharing = Incremental Cost of Home Run fiber may be viewed as a Real Option to unlimited bandwidth (by scaling bandwidth independently of homes sharing a feeder fiber in a PON / Active Star) 30 Is it worth paying the economic premium.. .. Or should we achieve a ‘Static Efficiency’ by choosing the ‘least cost’ alternative? $ .. And thereby foreclose a possible ‘Dynamic Efficiency’ resulting from the innovation that is driven by Competition that the Competitively Neutral architecture enables? $ 31 Competition in FTTH & depends on… FTTH Architecture Ownership and Industry Structure First Mile Costs Community and Market Characteristics Competition in FTTH Second Mile Costs 32 The ‘Second’ Mile Problem!! $ The viability of competition in the last mile also depends on: $ The cost of bringing voice, video and data services to a Central Office (The second mile costs) from a Regional Node $ The number of subscribers served by a Central Office $ Distance between Central Offices $ Demand for Services $ .. 33 Non Facilities based Competition Central Office Home 1 Service Provider A Network Data Link Layer Equipment Service Provider B Home 2 34 Vertical Integration and Anti-competitive Behavior ? Central Office Home 1 Service Provider A Network Data Link Layer Equipment Service Provider B Home 2 35 Industry Structure and Competition.. $ Desired Industry Structure $ Neutral Infrastructure owner providing non-discriminatory access to Higher Layer Service providers $ Ownership Alternatives $ Private Enterprise $ Subscriber (or Community Ownership) $ Local Government $ Jointly owned common carrier $ Power Utility $ Migration to Desired Industry Structure? 36 Conclusion.. $ PON is the most economical infrastructure $ Home Run Fiber is more expensive, but Competitively Neutral $ 'Home Run PON' and 'Aggregation PON' are Competitively Neutral and Economically more Efficient than Home Run $ A Competitively Neutral architecture is a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for data link layer competition 37 Contribution of this paper $ Defined taxonomy of competition in FTTH $ Clarified relation of architecture to Data Link layer competition $ Understood the economics of FTTH architectures in different deployment scenarios $ Estimated “Cost of Data-Link layer Competition” $ Devised compromise architectures to enable competition at lower first capital cost $ Identified institutional and economic issues for further study 38 .. and Future Work $ Continue to explore implications for Competition of: $ Second Mile Costs $ Ownership options $ Operations Costs $ Market Characteristics 39 Engineering Cost Model Assumptions and Results 40 Engineering Cost Model $ Estimates Capital Cost per Home Passed and Capital Cost per Home Served for FOUR architectures and FIVE deployment contexts $ Aerial Fiber deployed on poles $ Sufficient Feeder and Distribution fiber for the entire community installed regardless of the number homes that sign up for service 41 Cost Model CPE Cost Assumptions FTTH Loop Infrastructure Cost FTTH Capital Cost per Home Passed Total FTTH Capital Cost FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served Local Loop Cost Central Office Cost FTTH Architecture Deployment Scenario 42 Local Loop Costs F e e d e r L o o p C o sts D istrib u ti o n L o o p C o sts D ro p L o o p C o sts Total Local L o o p C o s ts O th e r D e p lo y m e n t C o sts O u tsid e P la n t E q u ip m e n t 43 Data from HAI Model 5.0 A Cluster 5 Cluster 4 R5 Cluster 6 R6 R4 Central Office R1 Cluster 3 R3 R2 Cluster 1 Cluster 2 44 Data from HAI Model 5.0 A Central Office (CLLI) PITBPASQ (Urban) HMSTPAHO (Suburban) CHTTPACT (Small Town) TNVLPATA (Rural) CCHRPAXC (Remote Rural) No. of Clusters 23 23 14 10 18 Total no. of Homes 16,135 16,201 10,184 5,871 3,018 Housing Density (Homes/sq. mi.) 3,389 1,603 218 86 20 Average Radial Distance from CO to each cluster (ft) 4,730 9,089 15,165 18,662 32,763 45 Cost Model Assumptions Deployment Homes per sq. mile Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural 3389 1602 217 85 20 Homes served per CO 16,135 16,201 10,184 5,871 3,018 Ave. Feeder Loop length (feet) 6,960 12,396 24,012 37,054 42,084 Average Distribution Loop length 377 521 1,472 2,434 5,791 Drop Loop length Uniform(50,75) Uniform(75,150) Uniform(100,200) Uniform(150,300) Uniform(200,600) 46 Equipment and Costs Architecture Home Run Active Star PON WDM PON OLT Interface 100 Mbps Fast Ethernet per Home Gigabit Ethernet Interface per 32 Homes Gigabit Ethernet Interface per 32 Homes 100 Mbps Fast Ethernet per Home Architecture Central Office Central Office Equipment (per 32 Equipment (per Homes) Home) $375 $800 $25 $2,375 $75 $20,000 Home Run Active Star PONs WDM PON ONU Interface 2 POTS, 10/100 Base T, RF Video 2 POTS, 10/100 Base T, RF Video 2 POTS, 10/100 Base T, RF Video 2 POTS, 10/100 Base T, RF Video Optical Network Remote Node Unit (ONU) Equipment (per Home) $550 $550 $250 $650 $25 $1,500 $25 47 Capital Cost per Home Passed Capital Cost per Home Passed 7000 6212 5790 USD per Home 6000 5000 4000 3483 2954 3000 PON Architecture 2211 1869 2000 1000 Home Run Architecture 812 715 1119940 Urban Suburban 0 Small Town Rural Remote Rural Deployment Scenarios 48 Fiber Loop Cost Breakdown (Home Run Fiber) Capital Cost per Home Passed (Home Run Fiber) 6000.0 USD per Home 5000.0 Feeder Loop 4000.0 Distribution Loop Central Office Building 3000.0 Pole Make Ready Costs 2000.0 1000.0 0.0 Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural Deployment Scenario 49 Fiber Loop Cost Breakdown (PON) Capital Cost per Home Passed (Passive Optical Network) 6000.0 USD per Home 5000.0 4000.0 Feeder Loop Distribution Loop 3000.0 Central Office Building Pole Make Ready Costs 2000.0 1000.0 0.0 Urban Suburban Small Town Rural Remote Rural Deployment Scenarios 50 Capital Cost per Home Served (Urban Deployment) FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served Capital Cost per Home Served (Urban Deployment) 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percent Penetration Home Run Fiber A c tive Star Passive Star (P O N) WDM PON 51 Capital Cost per Home Served (Suburban Deployment) FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served Capital Cost per Home Served (Suburban Deployment) 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percent Penetration Home Run Fiber Active Star Passive Star (PON) WDM PON 52 Capital Cost per Home Served (Small Town Deployment) FTTH Capital Cost per Home Served C a p ital Cost per Home Served (Small T o w n D e p loyment) 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percent Penetration Home Run Fiber A c tive Star P a s s ive Star (P O N) WDM PON 53 Capital Cost per Home Served (Rural Deployment) 54 Capital Cost per Home Served (Remote Rural Deployment) 55
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