’S TOOL for SURVIVING FISCAL CHALLENGES S U N N Y V A L E BY MARY J. BRADLEY AND DREW CORBETT ost U.S. cities have been hit hard by the economic downturn, in terms of both lower revenues and increased operating costs. But because of its culture of long-term planning, the City of Sunnyvale, California, has a tool that helps it identify fiscal challenges early on and gives it time to deal strategically with major issues. M Every year, staff prepares a 20-year financial plan for all city funds, covering all foreseeable elements of revenues and expenditures. Major assumptions are included in the budget transmittal letter and are discussed with the City Council, which ultimately approves the plan. This approach has allowed the city to weather economic cycles and provide stable and consistent services to its residents. The key to developing Sunnyvale’s 20-year financial plan each year is understanding the city’s sustainable trend line for revenues, and then budgeting expenditures — and setting service levels — at that point. When revenues exceed the trend line, additional money is added to the budget stabilization fund, and that money does not go toward providing new or increased services. Therefore, when the economy slows or goes into a recession, there is money available for the city to draw upon and use to maintain existing service levels. This means there are years when the city runs a significant deficit or a significant surplus — on a one-year basis.The long-term plan is balanced, however, meaning there will be enough money over the 20-year planning period to provide services at the levels set by the council. This does not mean Sunnyvale has been immune to reducThe ability to maintain stable service levels through ecoing service levels in response to economic downturns such as nomic ups and downs is an enormous the dot-com bust or the current recesadvantage in itself, but the budget stasion. The city has had to “reset” its revThe fund ensured that the city bilization fund provides other advanenue base and make permanent would be able to take a measured tages as well. It gives the city a safety adjustments to its levels of service. But Sunnyvale has been able to avoid the and reasoned response to the net when the economy takes a swift turn for the worse, as it did during the necessity of constantly adding or fiscal crisis, instead of being forced 2008-2009 fiscal year.The fund ensured reducing services through normal ecoto take immediate action before that the city would be able to take a nomic fluctuations.The city’s long-term the scope of the problem was measured and reasoned response to financial plan gives it time to deal the fiscal crisis,instead of being forced rationally with required cuts to ongofully understood. to take immediate action before the ing operations. scope of the problem was fully understood. Sunnyvale was able to draw on BUDGET STABILIZATION the balance in the budget stabilization fund while city offiFUND cials assessed the short- and long-term revenue and expendiSunnyvale has a reserve policy requiring that 20 percent of ture implications, reset the long-term revenue baseline, and general fund operating costs be set aside to deal with natural then identified the expenditure reductions that would be disasters or similar emergencies.The policy also establishes a needed to balance the long-term budget.The city was able to budget stabilization fund, to which the city adds or subtracts avoid layoffs, furloughs, and other such difficult personnel money, based on economic cycles. One of the primary funcactions. (Exhibit 1 shows the size of the budget stabilization tions of the stabilization fund is to keep the city from adding fund from fiscal year 1998-1999 to present.) unsustainable services during good times and then inevitably reducing them in bad times. When a jurisdiction receives increased revenues, adding services or increasing the level of existing services is a natural response. But unless the increase in revenues is permanent (and not simply a peak in the economic cycle), the increased services will just need to be cut when the economy slows down again and revenues decrease. THE PENSION BOMB Another benefit of long-term planning is the fact that it forces jurisdictions to consider future issues in the current planning cycle, eliminating “surprises” that can catch elected officials off-guard. A recent example of this is the looming increases in pension costs that will hit Sunnyvale beginning April 2010 | Government Finance Review 29 Exhibit 1: Budget Stabilization Fund 70 60 Millions of Dollars 50 40 30 20 10 0 1998/ 1999 2000/ 2001 2002/ 2003 2004/ 2005 2006/ 2007 2008/ 2009 2010/ 2011 2012/ 2013 2014/ 2015 2016/ 2017 2018 2019 2020/ 2021 Fiscal Year in fiscal year 2011-2012. (Exhibit 2 shows the city’s historical and projected retirement costs.) Like most California cities, Sunnyvale provides pension benefits for its employees through the California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS). In fiscal year 20082009, CalPERS suffered major market losses that reduced the value of its investment portfolio by nearly 30 percent. These losses will result in a significant increase in employer contribution rates from member agencies. (Due to the timing of the actuarial valuations that determine contribution rates, the market losses of fiscal 2008-2009 will not affect contribution rates until fiscal 2011-2012.) As part of preparing the fiscal 2009-2010 operating budget, Sunnyvale began working with its actuarial consultant and CalPERS to get information about what the market losses would mean for the city.That information was used to create models that would project the cost increases for the duration of the city’s financial 20-year plan.The results were staggering. Initial estimates indicated that the general fund pension costs would increase by approximately $5 million a year beginning in fiscal 2011-2012. With all the other financial issues facing Sunnyvale during the recession, it would have been easy to leave the pension 30 Government Finance Review | April 2010 Exhibit 2: Historical and Projected Retirement Costs 35 30 Millions of Dollars 25 20 Safety personnel 3 percent at 55 15 10 5 Non-safety personnel 2.7 percent at 55 0 2000/ 2001 2002/ 2003 2004/ 2005 2006/ 2007 2008/ 2009 2010/ 2011 2012/ 2013 2014/ 2015 2016/ 2017 2018/ 2019 2020/ 2021 2022/ 2023 2024/ 2025 2026/ 2027 2028/ 2029 Fiscal Year ■■ Miscellaneous (non-safety) Personnel, 2.7 percent at 50* ■■ Miscellaneous (non-safety) Personnel, 2 percent at 55* ■■ Safety Personnel, 3 percent at 50* ■■ Safety Personnel, 3 percent at 55* * The pension benefit multiplier formula indicates the percentage of final (or highest) salary an employee earns for each year of service, retiring at age 50 or 55. issue alone and worry about it later. Dramatic reductions in a number of major revenue sources and a disturbing trend of rapidly increasing operational costs indicated that if no action were taken, the city’s general fund would be facing a structural deficit of approximately $8 million. The increased pension costs ballooned that number to $13 million in the next two years. Sunnyvale’s long-term planning policy forced city officials to face the impact of the pension problem and develop strategies to address it.With a diminished revenue base,the city had to figure out how to manage pension costs in two ways: The base had to be reduced, and the rate of future increases had to be slowed down. Knowing that pension costs were becoming a more and more significant portion of general fund operating expenditures, Sunnyvale looked at less expensive ways to provide adequate pensions to its employees and concluded that a two-tiered pension system was a viable approach. All existing employees would retain their current CalPERS retirement plan, but new employees would move to a less generous plan. When Sunnyvale modeled the proposed pension changes in the long-term financial plan, the results were encouraging. April 2010 | Government Finance Review 31 Being able to maintain stable service levels through economic ups and downs is an enormous advantage in itself, but the budget stabilization fund provides other advantages as well. City officials estimated that making this move would save the general fund approximately $44 million over 20 years. The reality of moving to a two-tiered system is that the cost savings are not immediate,so this fix would not help in the short term. Looking at the bigger picture, however, the long-term savings are significant and will go a long way toward creating a more sustainable retirement model for the city and its employees. As difficult as it was to address the pension issue at the same time that the city was dealing with other financial issues, there were positive effects to doing so. One example is the momentum created for studying pension reform in Sunnyvale.Although the city has not yet implemented this significant change, it continues to work toward it. Another substantial effect has been the credibility city officials have generated with the City Council and the community by being at the forefront of identifying this major issue and developing long-term solutions. Significant progress has been made on this issue, and it would not have occurred if long-term planning had not been at the foundation of the organization. CONCLUSIONS Sunnyvale’s budget stabilization fund helps it avoid a constant fluctuation in service levels as the economy ebbs and flows. The city’s long-term planning efforts have also allowed it to avoid the layoffs, furloughs, and other actions many other jurisdictions have been faced with. Sunnyvale’s 20-year plan also forced it to take a good look at its pension situation and address the problem sooner rather than later. This approach has allowed the city to take a long-term approach through economic ups and downs, providing stability to residents and city employees. ❙ MARY J. BRADLEY has been finance director for the City of Sunnyvale, California, since 1995. DREW CORBETT is Sunnyvale’s budget officer. 32 Government Finance Review | April 2010
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