Homework 8. Replacement and Economic Life 1. Four years ago you bought a new machine for manufacturing semiconductors for $1,000,000. Ever since you bought it, the machine has given you trouble. You have spent approximately $100,000 a year to keep the machine working. Your income from the sales of semiconductor products is $150,000 per year, so the machine is definitely marginal. You are considering what to do about the machine. You have several options as listed below. Whenever you “junk” the machine you will receive $50,000 in scrap value. When annual payments are involved, use the end of year assumption. A. The company who sold you the machine offers to fix it for $250,000. The operating expenses will drop to $50,000 a year. The machine will last another 5 years and then can be sold for $100,000. B. You can contract to an outside supplier to produce the semiconductor products for you. No investment is required, but the supplier will charge $115,000 per year. The contract must be renewed after three years. In this case you will junk the machine you now own. C. You can buy an entirely new machine for $600,000 and junk the old machine. This machine should last you 10 years. Because you've had so much trouble, the company selling the machine guarantees that the operating cost will be only $30,000 per year. The full purchase price of the machine ($600,000) will be returned to you after 10 years. Again, if you choose this option, you will junk the machine you now own. D. You can keep operating as you are now for one more year. You will junk the machine at the end of the year. Use any one of the methods discussed in class to determine the best option. Your minimum acceptable rate of return is 20%. Formula used for A Must compare on an annual cost basis. N A CA = (50 + 250)(A/P, .2, 5) + 50 - 100(A/F, .2. 5) = 300*0.3344 + 50 - 100*0.1344 = 100.3 + 50 - 13.4 = 136.9 Formula used for B N A CB = $115 There is no investment required in this case. Number used for A in the comparison 136.9 per year Formula used for C N A CC = 600(A/P, .2, 10) + 30 - 600(A/F, .2, 10) = 600*0.2385 + 30 - 600*0.0385 = 143.1 + 30 - 23.1 = 150 Formula used for D N A CD = (50 – 50)(A/P, .2, 1) + 100 + 50*.2 Or NACD = 50(A/P, .2, 1) + 100 –50 = 110 Number used for C in the comparison 150 Number used for B in the comparison 115 Number used for D in the comparison 110 Note that the 150 annual revenue could have been Decision (A, B or C) added to the annual worths of all alternatives with D not change in the result. 1 2. You work part-time as a pizza delivery driver. Four years ago you bought a car for this purpose for $10,000. You spend approximately $1,000 a year to keep the car working. Your income from the job is $3,000 per year. An acquaintance offers to buy the car from you for $2,000. At this time, you identify the following options. A. You can keep the car and continue to operate it as you are now. You expect that an operating cost of $1,000 in the current year, and that the operating cost will increase by $500 in subsequent years (i.e. the costs in the next three years are 1000, 1500, 2000). If you continue to use the car as you are now for one more year, the salvage value will be $1000. The salvage value will drop to $500 after two years. After that the car will be worthless. You will keep the car for no more than three years. B. You can fix the car for $3,000. The operating expenses will drop to $500 a year. The economic life of the fixed car is 5 years. The salvage value after 5 years is $1,000. C. You can buy a new Yugo for $6,000 and sell the old car. This car should last you 7 years. The operating cost will be only $300 per year. The car will be worthless after 7 years. Your minimum acceptable rate of return is 20%. Part a. What is the economic life for option A? The investment in the defender is its market value 2000. Salvage after one year is 1000. Salvage after 2 years is 500, and after 3 years is zero. 1st Year NAWA = 3000 - 2000(A/P, .2, 1) - 1000 + 1000 = 600 2nd Year NAWA = 3000 - 2000(A/P, .2, 2) - 1000 - 500(A/G, .2, 2) + 500(A/F,.2,2) = 691. 3rd Year NAWA = 3000 - 2000(A/P, .2, 3) - 1000 - 500(A/G, .2, 3)= 611 The economic life of the defender is two years. Economic Life = 2 years____________ Part b. What is the best option regarding the machine? Formula used for A N A WA = 3000 - 2000(A/P, .2, 2) - 1000 - 500(A/G, .2, 2) + 500(A/F,.2,2) Number used for A in the comparison 690.07 per year Formula used for B The investment for B is 2000 + 3000 = 5000 N A WA = 3000 - 5000(A/P, .2, 5) - 500 + 1000(A/F, .2. 5) Number used for B in the comparison 962.48 Formula used for C N A WC = 3000 - 6000(A/P,.2,7) - 300 = 1035 or Number used for C in the comparison 1035 Decision (A, B or C): C Note the 3000 income could have been added to all alternatives with no change in result. 2 3. In replacement analysis, we must assign an investment value to the asset being considered for replacement (the defender). In each of the following situations, show the value that is to be used for the investment in the defender. The asset was purchased 3 years ago for $100,000. The life used for tax purposes is five years. The tax salvage is zero. The SYD method is used for depreciation. At present there is no market for the asset, however, we can sell its parts for scrap. The total value of the parts is $10,000. Situation Investment in the Defender a. We are doing a before tax analysis with a PD = Opportunity cost = 10,000 MARR of 20%. b. We are doing an after tax analysis. The after tax MARR is 10%. The tax rate for ordinary income and capital gains is 30%. Compute depreciation for each year. SYD = 15. D1 = (5/15)(100) = 33.33 D2 = (4/15)100 = 26.67 D3 = (3/15)100 = 20 BV=100 - 33.33 - 26.67 -20 = 20.00 SV - BV = 10 - 20 = -10 Tax = (-10)*.3 = -3 PD = 10 + 3 = 3 or 13,000. c. We are doing a before tax analysis with an MARR of 20%. In addition to the information above, we learn that if we keep the defender we must spend $10,000 to overhaul the machine for future use. PD = Opportunity cost + Overhaul cost = 10,000 + 10,000 = 20,000 4. You have been driving an old Cadillac automobile. Your father bought it in 1985 for $25,000 with the thought that it would last ten years. He gave it to you in 1990. It is now 1993. You really love the car, but the fuel and repair costs are becoming burdensome. Because of the vintage condition of the car, you think you could sell it for $8,000. For economic calculations, you estimate the future resale value and operating costs as shown in the table below. The years are measured from today. Year Operating Cost Resale Value 1 2700 6000 2 3000 5000 3 3300 3000 4 3600 1000 5 3900 0 If you do decide to get rid of the old beauty, you will be practical and buy a Plymouth Shadow. It happens that this car only costs $8,000. With the money from the Cadillac, you can move into the new car for no net out of pocket expense. The operating expense is a low $2,500 per year. That amount will stay constant throughout the three years you plan to keep the car. By that time you will have graduated and be able to buy a new Cadillac of your own. After three years the Dodge will be worth about $1,000 in resale value. 3 Find the economic life of the Cadillac. Should you sell the Cadillac and buy the Plymouth? Base your decision on economics with your minimum acceptable rate of return of 20%. Challenger: NAC = 8000(A/P, .2, 3) + 2500 - 1000(A/F, .2, 3) NAC = 8000*0.4747 + 2500 - 1000*0. 2747 NAC = 6022.9 Defender: One year NAC = 8000(A/P, .2, 1) + 2700 - 6000(A/F, .2, 1) NAC = 8000*1.2000 + 2700 - 6000*1 NAC = 9600 + 2700 - 6000 = 6300 Defender: Two years NAC = 8000(A/P, .2, 2) + 2700 + 300(A/G, .2, 2) - 5000(A/F, .2, 2) NAC = 8000*0.6545 + 2700 + 300*0.455 - 5000*0.4545 NAC = 5236 + 2700 + 136.5- 2272.5 = 5800 Defender: Three years NAC = 8000(A/P, .2, 3) + 2700 + 300(A/G, .2, 3) - 3000(A/F, .2, 3) NAC = 8000*0.4747 + 2700 + 300*0.879 - 3000*0.2747 NAC = 3797.6 + 2700 + 263.7 - 824.1 = 5937.2 The economic life of the defender is 2 years. Since the annual cost of the defender is 5800 and less than the cost of the challenger, keep the Cadillac. 5. You are Alex Rogo and you have discovered that the robots in your plant are not as good as you once thought. You paid $1,000,000 dollars for the robot three years ago, but you are thinking of replacing it with several manual machines. The operating cost of the robot is $20,000 per year. At the time of the purchase, the robots were projected to last ten years with a salvage value of zero. We can sell the robot now for $500,000, however, the selling price one year from now will be $400,000. No initial investment is required for the manual machines, but the annual cost of operating the machines is $200,000 per year. We want to decide whether to replace the robot using a cost analysis. Both manual machines and the robot give the same throughput. Evaluate the following situations. In every case, we are considering keeping the robot for only one more year. Our minimum acceptable rate of return on investments is 10%. a. We must pay $100,000 to remove the robot from the plant. We must pay this whether the robot is removed now or next year. Should we replace the robot? b. Forget about the removal cost, but consider the effect of taxes. The robot is being depreciated with the straight-line method with the depreciation equal to $100,000 per year. With a tax rate of 50% and with an after tax MARR of 30%, should we replace the robot? 4 Part a. Working in thousands. The investment in the robot for analysis purposes is 500 - 100 = 400 The salvage value is 400 - 100 = 300 The cost for one more year is 400(1.1) + 20 - 300 = 440 + 20 - 300 = 160 The annual cost for one more year of operation is less than the cost of the replacement (200). Do not replace the robot. Part b. Working in thousands. For the robot The book value of the robot is now $700. If we dispose of it there will be a tax loss of 200. The tax savings will be 100. This must be added to the opportunity cost of selling the machine. It will also be added next year, since there will still be a capital gain of 200. The investment in the robot for analysis purposes is 500 + 100 = 600 The salvage value is 400 + 100 = 500 The taxable income is -20-100 = -120. The tax then is (-120)*.5 = -60 The after tax cash flow is then -20 - (-60) = 40. The cost for one more year is 600(1.3) - 40 - 500 = 780 - 40 - 500 = 240 For the manual machine The tax is -200*.5 = -100 The net cost is 200 - 100 = 100 The manual machine has the smallest annual cost. Replace the robot. 6. Consider the following situation in a machine shop : A drilling machine (machine A) is being considered for replacement. It was purchased four years ago for $4000. It has since been deprecated by straight line depreciation. An eight year useful life and zero salvage value have been assumed. The operating cost for the machine is $2000 per year and is expected to stay constant for the rest of its life. It could be sold now to a used equipment dealer for $1000 or be kept in service for another four years. It would then have no resale value. The new machine (replacement) would cost $4200, have a six year useful and depreciable life, and no salvage value. For tax purposes, SOYD depreciation would be used. This machine would have an operating cost of $500 per year that will be constant over its life. Assume a tax rate of 40% on operating income and capital gains. a) Show the before and after tax cash flows for the existing machine and the new machine. b ) If the after tax MARR is 10%, should the existing machine be replaced? Existing machine Year BTCF Depn TaxInc Tax ATCF 0 -1000 1000* -400** -1400 1 -2000 500 -2500 -1000 -1000 2 -2000 500 -2500 -1000 -1000 3 -2000 500 -2500 -1000 -1000 4 -2000 500 -2500 -1000 -1000 * Long term capital loss foregone by keeping machine: = $2000 Book value - $1000 selling price = $1000 Capital loss. ** The $1000 long-term capital loss foregone would have offset the $1000 of capital gains elsewhere in the firm. The result is that a tax saving of 40%(1000) = 400 is foregone 5 NPV = -4569 NAC = 1441.66 New machine Year BTCF Depn TaxInc Tax ATCF 0 -4200 -4200 1 -500 1200 -1700 -680 180 2 -500 1000 -1500 -600 100 3 -500 800 -1300 -520 20 4 -500 600 -1100 -440 -60 5 -500 400 -900 -360 -140 6 -500 200 -700 -280 -220 SOYD Deprec. Sum = (6*7/2) = 21 1st year SOYD = (6/21) (4200 - 0) = 1200 Annual decline = (1/21) (4200 - 0 ) = 200 NAC = 4200(A/P,10%,6) - 180 + 80(A/G, 10%, 6) = 962.24 Replace the machine 7. A bit for a machine tool costs $50. When new, the bit produces goods worth $100 per week. However as the bit wears, the amount produced goes down in value by $5 for each additional week of life. That is, the bit produces an income of $100 in the first week, $95 in the second week, $90 in the third week, and so on decreasing by $5 per week. How often should we replace the bit? There is no salvage value for the bit when it is discarded. The MARR for the investment is 5% per week. Use time value of money in answering this problem. Write the Formula that you use to evaluate alternative lives. Net Weekly worth = -50(A/P, .05, n) + 100 -5(A/G, .05, n) n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 NWW 47.5 70.7 76.8 78.7 78.9 78.3 77.3 What is the economic life? The minimum NWC occurs at 5 weeks. 8. We bought a truck five years ago for $18,000. Its book value is now $3000. We could sell the truck at this time for $5500. We estimate the resale value of the truck will be $3500 next year, $2500 in two years and 0 after three years. The operating costs for the next three years are: $1000, $1500, and $2000 respectively. The depreciation for the truck will be $1000 per year in each of the next three years. If we sell the truck, we will use a delivery service that will cost $3800 per year. There is no investment in this option, and we assume that the cost occurs at the end of each year. We can use the delivery service for any number of years. 6 Our minimum after tax acceptable rate of return is 12%. The tax rate on ordinary income and capital gains is 40%. Should we keep the truck or sell it and use the delivery service? The challenger: NAC = 3800*.6 = 2280. The defender is the truck now owned. The investment in the defender is its after tax market value. P = Market Value - Tax = MV - (MV - BV)*.4 P = 5500 - (5500 - 3000)*(.4) = $4500. The after tax salvage in each of the next three years is: S = MV - (MV - BV)*.4 S 1 = 3500 - (3500 - 2000)*(.4) = $2900 S 2 = 2500 - (2500 - 1000)*(.4) = $1900 S3 = 0 - 0 = 0 The after tax cash flow due to operating cost in the next three years is: O = -OC - (-OC - Depr)*.4 O 1 = -1000 - (-2000)*.4 = -200. O 2 = -1500 - (-2500)*.4 = -500. O 3 = -2000 - (-3000)*.4 = -800. For one year: NAC(1) = 4500(A/P, .12, 1)+ 200 - 2900 = 4800*1.12 - 3000 = 2340 NAC(2) = 4500(A/P, .12, 2) + 200 + 300(A/G, .12, 2) - 1900(A/F. .12, 2) NAC(2) = 4500 (.5917) + 200 + 300 (.4717) - 1900 (.4717) = 2107 This cost is less than challenger The Defender wins. 7
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