Paleoclimate and Sea Level Changes Global climate changes • Glaciers and permafrost • Desertification • Evidence for change – Long and short time scales Graphical Representation of Climate in Geologic Time Earth History Precambrian ???? – 540 Mio a Paleozoic 540 – 250 Mio a Mesozoic 250 – 65 Mio a Proxies Cenozoic Tertiary 65 – 1.8 Mio a Quaternary 1.8 Mio a - today Measurements Permian Major Glaciation Underwent cycles of glaciations ice sheets existed at lower latitudes 292 - 250 Ma Antarctic ice sheets formed 34 Ma 610 – 575 Ma Holocene – cycle of glaciation and melting of ice caps – rising sea levels 1.8 Ma – 10 Kya 438 – 408 Ma Paleozoic Era Interglacial period plants invade land Billions of years ago Major continental shifts – earth extremely hot 1 Ma Pleistocene Ice Age 55 – 52 Ma Paleocene Elevated greenhouse gases warmed up planet Palm trees in Alaska Crocodiles in the Arctic 18 Kya Last glacial period Precambrian beginning – 540 Mio a Evidence of two major glaciations „Faint Sun Paradox“ „Snowball Earth“ Paleozoic: Cambrian N hemisphere (north of 30°) ocean Increased tectonic activity CO2 high, up to 10x of today Warm and wet globally Paleozoic: Ord: Ice formations 490 – 440 Mio a Sil Dev: no glaciation 440 – 350 Mio a Car Per: Ice ages 350 – 250 Mio a Reason for this variation? Carboniferous Ice age settings: Carboniferous Ice age settings: Continent near south pole Maritime influence Subfreezing T during most of year Marine transgression – continental flooding Reduced seasonality Carboniferous Ice age settings: Reason for this variation? CC driven by land – sea distribution CC driven by tectonics Mesozoic Climate Variability: Trias 250 – 205 Mio a: Pangaea Jurassic 205 – 145 Mio a: Pangaea break up Cretaceous 145 – 65 Mio a: Continents as we know them today Generally warm and arid period No evidence of glaciation Why? Mesozoic Climate Variability: Trias 250 – 205 Mio a: Pangaea Pangaea characteristics: Large land mass at equator Lower sea levels Reduced rate of tectonics Extreme continental climate Extreme dry Pangaea break - up: Tethys seaway / transglobal equatorial seaway formed Heating of water at equator Heat transport to low latitudes Mesozoic Climate Variability: Pangaea: No continent in pole position Pangaea – too dry Transequatorial seaway – heat redistribution However – Model problem Cenozoic Climate Variability: Tertiary (65 – 2 Mio a) Quaternary (2 Mio a – today) Relatively warm in early Cenozoic Early Eocene (55-50 Mio a) tropical conditions 10 – 15° further polewards Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Oligocene: 25 Mio a Initiation of Antarctic Ice Shield Miocene: 15 – 10 Mio a Growth of Antarctic Ice shield Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Hypothesis 1: 1) Transequatorial waterway blocked 2) Transpolar waterway opened through Drake Passage – reduced heat transfer 3) Growth of ice – increase in albedo 4) Cooling Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Hypothesis 2: 1) Change in continental topography 2) Colorado / Tibetian Plateau uplift 3) Winter cooling of N-hemisphere 4) Ice formation Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Hypothesis 3: 1) Orogenic uplift (as in Hyp 2) 2) Alpine / Himalayas (20-30 Mio a ago) 3) Increase in silicate weathering 4) Removes CO2 from atmosphere Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Hypothesis 3: 5) Silicate + CO2 = Bicarbonate 6) Bicarbonate is soluble 7) Transport to oceans and deposition Indirect effect by reduced greenhouse forcing Cenozoic Climate Deterioration: Summary: Combination of processes is necessary. Land – sea distribution, ocean heat transfer, orography change and CO2 are all likely to cause cooling of earth. Right now, since 10 Mio a we are in an Ice age (both poles ice capped) with glacial and interglacial periods Quaternary period: Pleistocene 1.8 Mio a – 10Ta Changes in former examples in Mio a Drivers needed with cyclicity of 10-100Ta e.g. Earth orbit variations around sun Quaternary period: 2 model approaches for glacial / interglacial A) Ice volume changes are driven by orbital forcing. Linear responses at 23/41 Ta, non-linear at 100 Ta. B) Ice volume changes happen, quasi period fluctuations which then are modulated by orbital forcing Quaternary period: Important: Orbital forcing alone is not enough. Orbital forcing must interact with internal climate variations Quaternary period: C02 feedbacks: C-cycle impacts on matching time-scales e.g. Oceans: millenium time scale However, existing ice core records do not allow resolution of the phase relationship between CO2 and T Cause – effect still unclear Quaternary period: Pleistocene – Holocene boundary 10-11 Ta Glacial maximum at 18 Ta Holocene thermal maximum at 6 Ta Rapid climate changes • When were the Ice Ages? – Periodicity • Extent of glaciation • Climate characteristics • Possible forcing for climate change – Astronomical – Tectonic – Climate dynamics History of Ice Ages • Indications from geologic record – First glaciation occurred in the Pre-Cambrian Era – Periods of glaciation occur about every 200 million years • Pleistocene ice ages are the most well known – Height of Ice Age between 150,000 and 10,000 years BP – Although, episodes of advance/retreat have occurred every 100,000 years since 900,000 years BP Closer Look at Pleistocene Glaciation • Several periods of warm interglacials and cold glacials – 130 ky BP – Emian interglacial • Climate similar to what we have today • However, very unstable (Will we see this?) – 110 ky BP – Rapid cooling, leading to glacial advances • Much drier climate due to increase in continental ice at expense of marine ice and moisture Pleistocene Glaciation (cont…) – 60 ky BP – large amplitude oscillations between warm and cold – 30 ky BP – More rapid cooling ends with Last Glacial Maximum (18 ky BP) • Very arid climate globally • Expansive desertification and reduction in forest land – Interstadials – frequent and brief warm periods – Heinrich events – very cold periods Extent of Last Glacial Maximum Transition to the Holocene – 14 ky BP – Major climate swings ending with the Younger Dryas (Glacial surge) • Forests begin to rebound and ice begins to recede – 10 ky BP – warming and beginning of the Holocene Epoch • Rapid warming (actually warmer, wetter than today) – Especially Sahara (very little desertification) • 1500-year oscillation of warm-cold cycles, outburst floods (stochastic resonance?) • Lesson learned – LARGE CLIMATE SWINGS ARE NORMAL!!!! Theories for the Onset of Glaciation • Astronomical – Milankovitch cycles – Changes in solar parameter • Tectonic – Continental drift – Orogenesis • Climate dynamics – Increased planetary albedo – Interruption of Gulf Stream by termination of sinking of hypersaline water in North Atlantic – Water vapor fluxes Milankovitch Cycles • Eccentricity – changes in shape of earth’s revolution about the sun (100 ky cycle) – Significant effect on insolation • Obliquity – changes in axial tilt (41 ky cycle) – Most significant effect on albedo • Precessionary – reversal of equinoxes (19 and 23 ky) Changes in Insolation Implications of Milankovitch Cycles • High correlation with solar and climate cycles • Work of Saltzman and other show large oscillations in climate every 100 ky (Eccentricity) • Climate oscillations to lesser extent on 20 ky (Precession) and 40 ky (Obliquity) cycles Causes of glaciation/climate change • Atmospheric gases and dust – Greenhouse gases->warming – Dust (volcanoes)->cooling • Positions of the continents – Ice sheet nucleation with continents in polar positions – Changes in ocean circulation • Orbital factors Milankovich cycles are cycles in the Earth's orbit that influence the amount of solar radiation striking different parts of the Earth at different times of year. They are named after a Serbian mathematician, Milutin Milankovitch, who explained how these orbital cycles cause the advance and retreat of the polar ice caps. http://deschutes.gso.uri.edu/~r utherfo/milankovitch.html The phase difference between two paleoclimatic time series is used to interpret processes that link Milankovitch-cycle-driven insolation changes with Earth's climate. What is phase? The figure shows three examples of the phase between two time series. In the top figure, two time series have different amplitudes but are exactly in phase (Phase=0). In the middle diagram, two time series are exactly out of phase (Phase=180). The bottom diagram shows the general case where one time series leads or lags a second time series. The magnitude of the lead or lag is the phase angle and can be positive or negative. http://deschutes.gso.uri.edu/~rutherfo/milankovitch.html The influence of these cycles on insolation (INcident SOLar radiATION) at different latitudes is shown for 65 degrees north latitude from the present to 1 million years ago. In the Northern Hemisphere, peak summer insolation occurred about 9,000 years ago when the last of the large ice sheets melted. Since that time Northern Hemisphere summers have seen less solar radiation. http://deschutes.gso.uri.edu/~rutherfo/milankovitch.html Annual energy flow to earth from sun The Greenhouse effect Greenhouse gases such as CO2 absorb energy and stop it from radiating away (Keller, 2002) Concentration of Atmospheric CO2 over time (Keller, 2002) Global temperature changes Maximum extent of glacial ice sheets during the Pleistocene glaciation (Keller, 2002) Global temperature changes Arid lands and desertification National Geographic map of the world Terrestrial Ecosystems are an… • • • Integral part of global carbon system Plants take in and store carbon dioxide from the atmosphere through photosynthesis Below ground microbes decompose organic matter and release organic carbon back into the atmosphere www.bom.gov.au/.../ change/gallery/9.shtml Cycle shows how nature’s sources of CO2 are self regulating – that which is released will be used again – Anthropogenic carbon not part of natures cycle – is in excess
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