27.05.2015 A A The East Asian Realm East Asia The East Asian Realm ■ Major issues • World’s most populous realm. • One of the world’s earliest culture hearths. • Political and economic forces continue to transform traditional cultural landscapes. • Intensifying regional disparities. • Population concentrations in the east, situated in river basins. • Political geography reveals instability. The East Asian Realm ■ Context • Considered as the “Chinese Realm” and the “Japanese Realm”: • Korea being a “zone of interaction” between China and Japan. • Definition came after WWII. • Chinese culture area: Mongolia • Mother civilization. • Japanese and Korean cultures strongly influenced by China. ■ Foreign influence • Both were not influenced from the outside until late 19th century. • China was forced to open Treaty Ports (Hong Kong, Shanghai, Tianjin, etc.). • Japan remained closed but reformed with foreign technology. N. Korea China Hunan Plateau Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau S. Korea Coastal Plains Guangdong Plains Japan Taiwan South China Sea The East Asian Realm The East Asian Realm ■ Political Issues ■ Demographic issues • Korea and its re-unification. • China and Taiwan. • The South China Sea. ■ Economic Issues • Growth and development. • Huge imbalances in the regional distribution of wealth. • Between countries. • Within countries (China). • Food supply. • Resources hungry China and Japan. Pacific Ocean Hong Kong 0 250 500 1,000 Miles • Overpopulation. • Urbanization and migration (China): • Moving from a rural to an industrial society. • Massive movements from the countryside to cities. • Missing female population. ■ Environmental issues • Strong focus on development. • Air quality (urban and regional): • 16 of the world’s 20 most polluted cities are in China. • Access to water (depletion of river systems and aquifers). • Depletion of natural resources. 1 27.05.2015 B China China ■ Geography • A factor of unity as well as diversity. • 3rd largest country in the world. • Comparable surface with Europe and the United States: China • U.S.: 3.6 million square miles. • China: 3.7 million square miles. 0 250 500 1,000 1,500 • It is a lot but not enough. • 65% of the country mountainous. • Arable land represents 12% of the national territory as opposed to 25% for the United States. • Per capita (0.086 hectare) is well below the world average. Miles 2,000 United States China 3.6 million square miles Main physical barrier Himalayas Rockies Main River Yangtze / East - West Mississippi / North – South Population East Coast East Coast Connectivity problems North - South East - West ■ The Chinese Realm Cultural border Arid China Mongols Gobi Takla Makan Koreas Highland China Han Tibetan Political border United States 3.7 million square miles China Maritime border Physical border Turkic China Size Tai Miao-Yao Taiwan • East sea border. • West: Deserts and mountains. • North: Deserts. • South: Himalayas. • Cultural division between the Han realm and the China of the minorities. • Han China represents 92% of the population. • Dominantly live in mountainous or arid regions. ■ The three Chinas ■ The Coast Exports West Centre Coast Surface 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% ■ The Center 80% Coast West Center • Agricultural and demographic hearth. • Poor and rural China. ■ The West • Sparsely populated. • Region of minorities. • Most mineral resources. • Geopolitical division: • Russia. • South Korea. • Taiwan. China • Forefront of modernization. • Political and economic center. • Rich, urbanized and open to the world. Population China ■ Contrasts Command Market Openness Isolation Wheat Rural Urban Rice • Authoritarian Government / Opening of the Economy. • Inward-Looking History / Outward-Looking Future. • Rural Interior / Urbanizing Coast. • Wheat Growing North / Rice Growing South. • Hans / Minorities. • Mandarin Hans / Non-Mandarin Hans (Cantonese, Wu, Hakka, etc.). ■ Demographics... • More people than the combined population of Europe, the Americas and Japan. • The demography of China is a powerful trend (1.29 billion): • • • • About 14-17 million people are added each year in 1980s. Average of 13 million people per year in the 1990s. 10 million people per year in the 2000s. About 1.5 billion by 2050. • 400 million Chinese live in towns and cities (30-35%). • 64% of the population lives in rural areas (950 millions). • 343 million females are in their reproductive age. 2 27.05.2015 Chinese Population, 1949-2000 (in millions) (projections to 2050) The Population of China, 0-2050 1600 1500 2050 1400 2000 1995 1200 1000 1981 800 1970 600 1100 900 1953 1949 1851 1911 18121887 400 200 0 1300 2 105 1210 755 0 1083 500 1000 1381 700 1753 1562 1650 1500 500 1945 2000 Population of Selected Chinese Provinces, 1998 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 China ■ The problems of controlling it... France United Kingdom • The population exploded after 1949. • Population control was secondary. • Mao Zedong saw numbers as a workforce and a way to fight the Soviet Union and the United States. • Calls for women to “breed for the motherland”. Italy Egypt Hunan Hebei Iran Philippines ■ Population distribution Jiangsu • Excessive concentration: Germany • 50% of the population lives on 8.2% of the land. • Bulk of the population along the coast. Shandong Henan • East China accounts for 90% of the population. • 56%, about 728 million, are living in mountainous areas. • High density rural areas. Mexico Nigeria . Sichuan 1955 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 China Population Pyramid of China, 2000 ■ Current issues Female Male • Population growth undermines Chinese development (education, health, food, transportation). • About 10 million persons reach the job market each year. • Increasing ethnic diversity: • The government had not enforced the One Child Policy among the country’s 55 recognized minority groups. • Missing female population. • Sustaining agriculture. • Coping with huge urban growth. 64 52 60 63 -70 42 42 31 18 21 24 2 5 8 60-64 50-54 13 18 20 22 29 40-44 41 40 30-34 20-24 48 51 55 1 80-84 3 7 12 70-74 -50 42 43 10-14 0-4 51 -30 -10 Millions 50 43 10 30 48 50 61 58 58 70 3 27.05.2015 China China • Land ownership: • Peasants do not own the land they use (collectivization). • With reforms, most of the land has been rented. • Peasants victims of high taxes and arbitrary expropriation. • Urbanization, industrialization and transport: • Decreased agricultural land in the most productive areas. • Speculation around cities towards golf courses and leisure centers at the expanse of agriculture. • The state is investing less in agriculture. • Local authorities are more interested by business (more taxes). ■ The appeal of modernization • For the last 500 years, China had an inferiority complex. • Strong pressure to portray China as a modernizing nation. • Large investments in grandiose projects: • • • • • Three Gorges Dam. First maglev train in Shanghai (2003). First Chinese in space (2003). New international airports (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou). 2008 Olympics. • • • • • • Easier and cheaper to switch to the latest technology. China has 300 million cell phone subscribers. 5 million new subscribers per month. 70% of Beijing resident have a cell phone; 60% for Shanghai (2002). 42% of the Guangdong province population; 30 million. Half of the rural residents have a television. • Development of the telecom market: • Dependency: • China is now a net importer of grain. • By 2030, China would need to import the current global grain production. China China ■ Growing consumption of resources ■ World dominance in manufacturing • Economic growth has increased China’s consumption of resources: • • • • • • • “The Dragon is hungry”. Consumes 50% of the world’s cement. 30% of the coal. 40% of the steel. Second largest consumer of oil after the United States. Energy supply problems with increasing blackouts. Completion of a natural gas pipeline in 2004 (Tarim Basin to Shanghai). • Driving up global commodity prices: • Increased global competition caused by China. • Fear that China may “export inflation”. • China may hit a “resource wall” inhibiting future developments. • Two processes: • Addition of new manufacturing activities either the outcome of FDI or internal investments (modern facilities). • The closing down of many manufacturing activities, mainly the outcome of Chinese competition and/or comparative advantages. • 50% of the world's TVs. • 60% of the world's cell phones. • 50% the world's shoes (and 95% of those sold in the United States). • 80% of the toys sold in the United States. • 90% of the sporting goods sold in the United States. • 100% of Levi's blue jeans are now made in China. C Jakota China ■ Industrial development problems • Pulling out millions of Chinese out of poverty: • More than 200 million peasants live on less than $1 a day. • Justifies any policy and project. • Important environmental costs. • Inequality is becoming a standard: • Wages remain $50 to $70 per month. • With inflation, standards of living are going down. • Chinese exports are similar to Pacific Asian exports: • Intense competition from Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea. • China is however winning the competition war. • Industrial overcapacity: ■ The Jakota triangle • • • • Japan, South Korea, Taiwan. The most advanced segment of the region. Rapid economic development. Great cities: • • • • • Enormous consumption of raw materials. State-of-the-art industries. Voluminous exports. Global links. Trades surpluses. • Tokyo, Osaka, Seoul, Taipei. • Over investment. • Over supply of consumption goods, driving prices down. 4 27.05.2015 Japan Japan ■ Location ■ Economic domination • “jih-pen” in Chinese: • Small-sized country; the size of California. • Average-sized population (127 millions). • Very limited array of resources: • Since Western civilizations encountered China before Japan, the name “Japan” stuck. • Nihon (or Nippon), meaning “Source of the sun”. • Relative isolation in Pacific Asia: • Favored the development of trade. • What Japan does not have on its national territory is obtained through trade. • Its industrial corporations and its banks are controlling a significant array of resources. Contemporary Flag • Insularity. • Do not share a land border with any country. • Domination of the Pacific Asian economy: • Maritime access: • Shimaguni (island country) • Labeled as the Great Britain of the Pacific. • • • • Imperial Flag Vast national market. Productive labor force. Financial power. Technological innovator. Automobile Production, United States, Japan and Germany, 1950-2004 (in millions) Japan ■ Linking the main Japanese islands • Shikoku/Honshu. • Naruto Strait. 25 10 5 Global Production per Car Manufacturer, 2001 20 04 20 01 19 98 19 95 19 92 19 89 19 86 19 83 19 80 19 77 19 74 19 71 19 68 19 65 0 19 62 • Tsugaru Strait (Honshu/Hokkaido) • 33 miles, 1988, longest in the world. 19 59 • 3) Seikan tunnel: Shikoku Kyushu 30 15 • Strait of Shimonoseki. • Kyushu/Honshu. 1 35 19 56 2 Germany Japan United States World 40 20 • 2) Kanmon bridge: Honshu 45 19 53 3 Sea of Japan • Required the construction of bridges and tunnels. • Impressive engineering achievements. • 1) Seto-Ohashi bridge: 19 50 Hokkaido The Shinkansen High Speed Rail Network Operational Under Construction Planned Other Hokkaido Mitsubishi Sapporo Renault Hakodate Fiat Aomori Nissan Akita Honda Shinjo Yamagata Niigita PSA DaimlerChrysler Kanazawa Volkswagen Honshu Toyota Shimonoseki Nagano Nagoya Hachinohe Morioka Sendai Fukushima Takasaki Omiya Tokyo Okayama Osaka Ford/Mazda Fukowa Shikoku GM Nagasaki 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0 70 140 280 420 560 Kilometers Kyushu kagoshima 0 50 100 200 300 400 Miles 5 27.05.2015 South Korea 0 50 100 200 South Korea ■ Geography 300 Miles China !( North Korea !( Sea of Japan P'yongyang !( Demilitarized zone !( Inch`onSeoul !( !( South Korea !( !( !( !( Taejon Chonju Kwangju !( Taegu !( ■ The Korean War (1950-1953) “The shrimp between the whales”. About the size of Indiana. Population of 48 million. Highly homogenous ethnicity and linguistically (100% Korean). • Religiously divided between Christianity (49%) and Buddhism (47%). • 75% urban with 27% of the population living in Seoul (13 million). • 5 million Koreans live oversea: • • • • !( Pusan • Antagonism of the two new nations: • Supported by China and the USSR. • Invasion of South Korea by North Korea (1950). • United Nations intervention: • Multinational force intervened and repelled the invasion (1951). • Military intervention of China (1952). • An armistice was signed (1953): • Both countries are still technically at war. • 4 million civilian perished. • Millions of refugees trapped in the division of Korea. • The demilitarized zone of the 38th parallel: • 1 million in the United States. Japan • 240 km in length and 4 km in width. • Current border between the Koreas. • The United States maintains a force of 45,000 troops. LCD Shipments, 2004 (in millions) Taiwan ■ Geographical Context Other !( HannStar Display (Taiwan) Fuzhou Matsu China Taiwan Sharp (Japan) !( Quanta Computer (Taiwan) Quemoy Chunghwa Picture Tubes (Taiwan) !( T'aichung Chi Mei Optoelectronics (Taiwan) AU Optonics (Taiwan) !( LG Philips (Korea joint venture) T'ainan !( Samsung (Korea) 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 50 100 Kaoshsiung 200 Miles Taipei • About 150 km (100 miles) from the coast of southeast China. • About the size of Idaho. • Similar constraints than neighboring countries: • 60% of the territory is composed of mountains. • Chungyang Range covers about 50% the total land area. • 25% usable for agriculture. • Bulk of the population lives in the western coastal plain. • Quemoy and Matsu islands: • Used for defensive purposes. 35 Taiwan Taiwan ■ The integration of the two Chinas ■ Towards the first Chinese democracy in history • Strong ideological conflicts prevents reintegration. • Tiananmen massacre (1989): • Reinforced mistrust towards mainland China. • Provided additional support by the United States. • One China Policy: • Rapprochement with China (1991): – Declaration of the end of hostilities (Chinese Civil War). – Recognition of the existence of the PRC by the ROC. • Taiwan government recognized there is one China and that Taiwan is a province of China (1995). • Officially gave up its pretension of being the representative government of China. • 40 years of economic growth, independence and a market economy has changed considerably the Taiwanese society. • Democratization and multiparty system (1987). • The firsts elections are organized (1989): • Ending 40 years of single party government. • Put back the Kuomintang in power (this time a legitimate power). • Affirmation of the Taiwanese identity. • Creates an uneasy situation with the PRC: • Reintegration becomes more problematic. 6
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