Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 www.elsevier.com/locate/foreco Vegetation recovery monitoring and assessment at landslides caused by earthquake in Central Taiwan Wen-Tzu Lin a, Wen-Chieh Chou b,*, Chao-Yuan Lin c, Pi-Hui Huang d, Jing-Shyan Tsai e a Graduate Institute of Environmental Planning and Design, Ming Dao University, Changhua County 523, Taiwan b Department of Civil Engineering, Chung Hua University, Hsinchu City 300, Taiwan c Department of Soil and Water Conservation, National Chung Hsing University, Taichung City 402, Taiwan d Graduate Institute of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Feng Chia University, Taichung City 407, Taiwan e Department of Landscape Architecture, Chung Hua University, Hsinchu City 300, Taiwan Received 29 August 2003; received in revised form 8 December 2004; accepted 7 February 2005 Abstract Massive landslides, caused by the catastrophic Chi-Chi earthquake in 1999, occurred at the Jou-Jou Mountain area in the WuChi basin, Taiwan. Multi-temporal satellite images and digital elevation models coupled with GIS were used to process the vegetation index analysis for identifying landslide sites and calculating the vegetation recovery rate (VRR). Topographic information for these areas was extracted. Eight hundred twenty-nine hectares of landslide area was extracted from multi-date NDVI images by combining the image differencing method with the change detection threshold. Over 2 years of monitoring and assessing, the vegetation recovery rate reached 58.93% original vegetation regeneration in the landslide areas. Soil moisture is one of the most important environmental factors for vegetation recovery in the landslide sites. The analyzed results provide very useful information for decision making and policy planning in the landslide area. # 2005 Published by Elsevier B.V. Keywords: Digital elevation model; Vegetation recovery rate; Landslide characteristics 1. Introduction A catastrophic earthquake with a Richter magnitude of 7.3 occurred at Chi-Chi and the Sun-Moon Lake area of Nantou County in the early morning (01:47 local time) on September 21, 1999. There were * Corresponding author. Tel.: +886 93 2288965; fax: +886 3 5372188. E-mail address: [email protected] (W.-C. Chou). 0378-1127/$ – see front matter # 2005 Published by Elsevier B.V. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2005.02.026 heavy casualties and extensive damage to buildings and property losses. A large number of landslides also occurred in Central Taiwan. According to airborne photo interpretation coupled with field surveys obtained from Taiwan’s Soil and Water Conservation Bureau, Council of Agriculture (COA) in 2000, there were more than 20,000 sites with a total area of 15,977 ha of landslides identified as a result of this quake. Chang (2000) found that most landslides occurred at the outer edge or inner side of the terraces. 56 W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 Both of these areas are adjacent to steep slopes that are prone to collapse. Lin et al. (2001) and Wang et al. (2000) pointed out that the Chi-Chi earthquake induced several large-scale landslides such as the slope-land along the East-West Expressway in the DaChia River basin, the Jou-Jou Mountain area in the Wu-Chi River basin, at Tasoling near the border between Yunlin and Chiai counties, and Chiufenershan in Nantou county. The landslide at the Jou-Jou Mountain area in the Wu-Chi basin was especially serious. Lin et al. (2001) indicated that during the typhoon season, a tremendous amount of loose earth and stones accumulated on the surface of the slopes increasing the possibility of debris flows and additional landslides. This action will deteriorate the revegetation problem even worse. Because of severe denudation on the surface of these slopes, the Jou-Jou Mountain area was proposed as a Nature Reserve Area by the Taiwan Forestry Bureau to restore the natural landscape and ecosystem. In the 3 years since the catastrophic earthquake, many researchers have assessed and monitored landslide area vegetation recovery using the field surveys or a variety of measuring equipment. However, these attempts failed to effectively evaluate the scope of such tremendous landslides due to their scattered distribution. Recently, with the fast growing progress in technologies, remotely sensed data can be rapidly acquired and widely used for monitoring the earth’s resources (Lillesand and Kiefer, 2000). Numerous researches have applied satellite images for monitoring natural disasters such as fire potential assessment, flood damage estimation and drought detection (Burgan et al., 1998; Dhakal et al., 2002; Perters et al., 2002). The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is one of the most popular methods for vegetation monitoring (Teillet et al., 1997). The NDVI is calculated as: NDVI ¼ NIR RED NIR þ RED (1) where NIR is the reflectance radiated in the nearinfrared waveband and RED is the reflectance radiated in the visible red waveband of the satellite radiometer (Justice et al., 1985). Higher NDVI indicates a greater level of photosynthetic activity (Sellers, 1985). It has been demonstrated that multi-temporal NDVI derived from AVHRR data is useful for monitoring vegetation dynamics on a regional and continental scale (Goward et al., 1985; Justice et al., 1985; Tucker and Choudhury, 1987; Eidenshink and Hass, 1992). Due to the scattered distribution of the large-scale landslides in the Jou-Jou Mountain area, an effective evaluation approach, vegetation recovery rate (VRR), was developed to aid in making appropriate and timely decisions in response to vegetation recovery from landslides. In this study, multi-temporal satellite images and digital elevation models (DEMs) were used to process the vegetation index analysis for identifying landslide sites and extract topographic information from the denudation areas. A system coupled with GIS was developed in this study and employed to monitor and assess the vegetation recovery rate for the landslide areas. 2. Materials and methods 2.1. Study area The Jou-Jou Mountain area, 4396 ha, 134–776 m altitude and 42% average slope, is located along the northern Wu-Chi River (Fig. 1), the administrative border between Taichung and Nantou counties. The climate data obtained from Taiwan’s Central Climate Bureau shows rain about 120 days a year with average precipitation 1684 mm, mainly concentrated from February to September. The rainfall types are convective precipitation as thunderstorms and orographic precipitation for topographic reasons. The geological data from Taiwan’s Central Geological Service shows that the rock formation occurring in the target area is the Tou-Ke-Shan stratifications, chiefly formed by high percentage of gravel, rock and minor sandstone. Over time, the slopes adjacent to the active stream channel were eroded by torrential water flows from the Wu-Chi River. A unique cliff terrain resulted from this geomorphic activity. Grass species and herbaceous species fully dominated the stable slopes, especially the Formosan giantreed, Arundo formosana Hack. On the lower slopes and ridgelines, unique broadleaf forests, occasionally mixed with pine stands, existed. The earthquake changed the previous terrain and eliminated much of the standing vegetation, creating extremely harsh and unstable lands in the Jou-Jou Mountain area right after the earthquake. Recent investigation shows, W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 57 Fig. 1. Illustration of study area for the Jou-Jou Mountain. in the cliff areas, the vegetation is still simple and composed mainly of Formosan giantreed as before the earthquake. In the hillside bases, the Camphor tree, Cinnamomum camphora (L.) Sieb., Taiwan Red Pine, Pinus taiwanensis Hayata, and Taiwan Short-leaf Pine, Pinus morrisonicola Hayata, are the major trees. The species of plants in this study area are not much different comparing with the stage prior to the earthquake. 2.2. Methods Six SPOT satellite images were used to extract landslides induced soon after the earthquake. Multitemporal post-quake vegetation recovery rate (VRR) was used for monitoring the succession and progress of natural regeneration in the landslide area (Fig. 2). Imagery was taken before the earthquake on April 1, 1999. The imagery soon after the earthquake was on September 27, 1999. Other images were taken from October 2000 through December 2001, over 1 year after the earthquake. Fig. 3 illustrates the flowchart for this study. 2.3. Landslide image analysis Both supervised and unsupervised classification methods are the most used image-processing algorithms for acquiring land-cover data (Giannetti et al., 2001; Boles et al., 2004). However, for the classification of multiple image dates, several change detection logics are used to precisely extract the change detection information. The image differencing algorithm (Jensen and Toll, 1982), one of the most appropriate methods for acquiring change detection information, is suitable for extracting multi-temporal land-cover features. Image differencing is based on a pair of coregistered images of the same area collected at different times. The process simply subtracts one digital image, pixel-by-pixel, from another, to generate a third image composed of the numerical differences between the pairs of pixels (Ridd and Liu, 58 W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 Fig. 2. SPOT satellite images at the Jou-Jou Mountain area. Fig. 3. Flowchart of vegetation recovery assessment at landslides in this study. W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 1998). However, some errors, such as varying sun angles, atmospheric and soil moisture conditions, seasonal changes and topographic effects must be rectified while processing multiple image dates (Jensen, 1995). A common method used to radiometrically correct or adjust multiple-date images is to normalize the data so that these effects can be minimized or eliminated (Eckhardt et al., 1990; Hall et al., 1991). The normalization procedures can be referred to methods by Eckhardt et al. (1990) and Jensen (1995). Procedures include selecting the unchanged sites from pre-quake and post-quake images, establishing the linear regression model, and calibrating post-quake NDVI image. In addition, ratio transformations of the remotely sensed data such as NDVI, a normalized ratio, could be applied to reduce the effects of such environmental conditions, as indicated in Avery and Berlin (1992). In this research, the procedures for landslides extraction were: (1) calculate the NDVI of all images; (2) normalize the post-quake NDVI images by referencing the prequake NDVI image; and (3) extract the landslides by applying the image differencing method coupled with a change detection threshold based on the change percentage in the differencing image. This research began by calculating the NDVI for all images. The post-quake images, taken after September 27, 1999, were normalized with the pre-quake image, taken on April 1, 1999. The post-quake images were assigned with a total of 477 radiometric control points. According to suggestion by Eckhardt et al. (1990), the radiometric control points can be selected by multiple, uniform, unchanged, and small image sample sites. Those control points were determined by data from GPS field investigation and aerial photo in this study. Landslides that occurred on September 21, 1999 were extracted by subtracting the NDVI image of September 21, 1999 from that of April 1, 1999 and calculating the change area from the differencing NDVI image using a 25% change detection threshold. The landslide area change detection threshold is affected by different image. The change detection threshold calculation proposed in this study can be determined as: Tð%Þ ¼ NDVIc 100% maxðNDVIc Þ minðNDVIc Þ (2) where T is the suggested threshold; NDVIc is the NDVI difference between pre-quake and post-quake 59 image; max, is the maximum difference; min, is minimum difference. The extracted landslides were compared with the post-quake ancillary data, including the field surveys and aerial photos from the Agricultural and Forestry Aerial Survey Institute, Taiwan Forestry Bureau. The VRR, calculated from multi-temporal NDVI images, is a useful index that can be rapidly used to assess and monitor the vegetation recovery condition and the rate and progress of natural regeneration on landslides for further analysis of aggravated vegetation sites. The VRR formula can be written as: VRRð%Þ ¼ NDVI2 NDVI1 100% NDVI0 NDVI1 (3) where NDVI0 is the NDVI of an image taken before the earthquake, such as the one on April 1, 1999. NDVI1 is the normalized NDVI of an image taken soon after the earthquake, such as the one on September 27, 1999. NDVI2 is the normalized NDVI of an evaluated image taken after the earthquake, such as those from October 2000 through December 2001. If the VRR value is less than 0, the vegetation recovery condition of the landslide is aggravated. If the VRR value ranges from 0 to 100, the vegetation recovery condition of the landslide is gradually enriched. If the VRR value is greater than 100, the vegetation recovery condition of the landslide is superior to that before the earthquake. Due to the uneven precipitation distribution throughout the year and periodic typhoons, occurring in July, August and September of each year, the change monitoring for multi-temporal VRR were compared with the climate data obtained from Taiwan’s Central Climate Bureau from October 2000 through December 2001. 2.4. Landslide characteristic analysis As indicated from Chang (2000), most landslides are closely related to the surrounding terrain, such as the areas adjacent to steep slopes, unsteady toe-slopes and ridgelines, and along rivers. The calculated information includes spatial distribution, area statistics, elevation collapse ratio and the aggravated vegetation sites along the ridgelines in the landslide area. The elevation was obtained from a raster DEM, which is generated by the Agricultural and Forestry Aerial Survey Institute, Taiwan Forestry Bureau. For 60 W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 Fig. 4. Normalized NDVI images at the Jou-Jou Mountain area at different stages. computing the slope and aspect, this research selected Horn’s algorithm (1981), which is the best estimating method (Skidmore, 1989) and currently used in ArcInfo and ArcView (ESRI, 1998). This algorithm uses a 3 3 moving window to estimate the slope and aspect of the center cell. The weight applied to each cell differs. To analyze the collapse ratio to elevation, slope and aspect, the respective values were grouped into certain classes according in the study area. The elevation values were classified into seven classes, varying in the range from 100 to 800 m, with a fixed step of 100 m. The slope values were grouped into seven classes (<5%, 5–15%, 15–30%, 30–40%, 40– 55%, 55–100% and >100%) in accordance with the slope classification in the Soil and Water Technical Regulations published by the Council of Agriculture, Taiwan government. The aspect values were classified into eight principal directions (north, northeast, east, southeast, south, southwest, west and northwest). The collapse ratio to elevation, slope and aspect can assist in measuring the landslide characteristics in the terrain Fig. 5. Landslide distribution at Jou-Jou Mountain area. W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 spatial distribution. The formula for computing collapse ratio can be written as: CRð%Þ ¼ LA 100% TA (4) where LA is the area of the landslide at a certain elevation, slope or aspect distribution. TA is the total area at a certain elevation, slope or aspect class distribution in the study area. The larger the calculated collapse ratio, the more serious the land- 61 slide at a certain elevation, slope or aspect class distribution. The aggravated vegetation sites extracted from VRR analysis were compared with field surveys for evaluating the slope, aspect and elevation factors, especially for sites distributed on ridgelines. Ridgelines can be determined by flow accumulation concepts based on the O’Callaghan and Mark (1984) algorithm. In a raster DEM, a flow accumulation grid is tabulated for each cell and the number of Fig. 6. Frequency distribution of NDVI in the denudation sites. 62 W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 cells that will flow into it. Cells having high accumulation values generally correspond to stream channels, whereas cells having an accumulation value of zero generally correspond to ridgelines. 2.5. System architecture This project developed the WinGrid spatial analysis software to compute the VRR and calculate the topographic information of the landslide areas. In the WinGrid system, the basic data storage unit can be represented as a single layer in a map that contains information about the location features. The WinGrid system consists of several separate program components (e.g. GRIDDING, SPATIAL, WATERSHED, MODULES, UTILITY, DISPLAY and IMPORT/ Table 1 The normalization equations for the post-quake NDVI images Date Equation R2 1999/09/27 2000/10/29 2001/03/05 2001/07/20 2001/12/03 Y = 0.028+0.871X Y = 0.011+0.745X Y = 0.069+1.005X Y = 0.056+0.783X Y = 0.089+0.710X 0.967a 0.953a 0.942a 0.903a 0.965a X, post-quake NDVI images before normalization; Y, post-quake NDVI images after normalization. a All regression equations were significant at the 0.001 level. EXPORT). Each component performs a separate task. In this research, the TERRAIN and MODULES components provided the menu interface to process most of tasks from data sets. The former function includes terrain analysis such as calculation and statistics for aspect, slope, and ridgeline extraction. The latter function includes the analysis and calculation for the vegetation recovery rate of the landslides. 3. Results and discussion 3.1. Image normalization and landslide extraction Image normalization for each individual date was achieved by applying regression equations, listed in Table 1. The normalized NDVI images are illustrated in Fig. 4. The dark color represents landslides or poor vegetation sites. The bright color represents excellent vegetation areas. The size and extent of scattered landslides can be roughly estimated. Fig. 5 illustrates the extracted landslides. Eight hundred twenty-nine hectares of landslides occurred in the Jou-Jou Mountain area in this quake. The landslide extraction indicates that the landslide areas are widely distributed throughout the study area. Fig. 7. The change of NDVI with precipitation in the denudation sites. W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 3.2. Vegetation recovery rate assessment Fig. 6 illustrates the NDVI frequency distribution in the denudation sites before and after the Chi-Chi earthquake. The pre-quake vegetation condition located at the landslide sites was excellent with an average NDVI value of 0.4. In the initial earthquake stage, the average landslide NDVI value declined to 0.081. From the subsequent landslide monitoring, the change in average NDVI value on four assessment dates rose gradually from 0.171 on October 29, 2000 63 to 0.269 on July 20, 2001. There was a sudden decline to 0.172 on December 3, 2001. This result was compared to the typhoon records and precipitation data from January 1999 through December 2001, as shown in Fig. 7. The normalized NDVI value was greater in October 2000 than September 1999 because no typhoons struck Taiwan during the typhoon season and there was above average monthly rainfall for vegetation growth after February 2000. In the recent 10 years data from Taiwan’s Water Resources Agency from 1992 to 2001, the average rainfall was 132 mm/ Fig. 8. Spatial distribution of classified VRR in the denudation sites. 64 W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 Table 2 Distribution of classified vegetation recovery rate in different dates Category Area in hectare (%) Excellent Very good Good Average Poor Very poor Total Average VRR (%) VRR (%) >100 75–100 50–75 25–50 0–25 <0 Distribution by date 2000/10/29 2001/3/5 2001/7/20 2001/12/3 4.73 32.13 140.72 282.73 242.23 126.95 11.03 55.03 157.83 235.48 212.80 157.33 67.11 204.17 271.02 183.81 84.06 19.33 6.64 44.48 172.88 269.27 172.31 163.92 (0.57) (3.87) (16.96) (34.08) (29.20) (15.30) 829.50 (100) 28.21 (1.33) (6.63) (19.03) (28.39) (25.65) (18.97) 29.15 (8.09) (24.61) (32.67) (22.16) (10.13) (2.33) 58.93 (0.80) (5.36) (20.84) (32.46) (20.77) (19.76) 28.53 month for this basin. Similar to the first year after the quake, the average NDVI value was greater in July 2001 than March 2001. However, typhoon Toraji, which struck the Central and Eastern regions of Taiwan at the end of August 2001 enlarged the previous landslides. The average NDVI value therefore declined significantly to the value calculated in October 2000. From the above vegetation recovery monitoring, the natural vegetation regeneration ability for landslides is related to the precipitation and typhoons. Four VRR assessment periods were derived from the post-quake average NDVI value. Similar to the above change, the average VRR for the landslides calculated on October 29, 2000 is 28.21%. The subsequent change in vegetation recovery on the landslide surface changed from 29.15% on March 5, 2001 to 58.93% on July 20, 2001, and then declined to 28.53% on December 3, 2001. The VRR spatial distribution and area statistics for the landslides is illustrated in Fig. 8 and listed in Table 2. In the four assessment periods, the percentage of excellent vegetation recovery sites ranges from 0.57 to 8.09%. At very poor vegetation recovery sites, the area percentage was 15.30% on October 29, 2000 and declined to 2.33% on July 20, 2001. However, from July 20, 2001 through December 3, 2001, those sites were enlarged due to typhoon Toraji. distributed landslide elevation, the greater the collapse ratio percentage obtained. A similar trend can be found in the slope to collapse ratio. However, the collapse to aspect ratio is different, which has quite even distribution in each category. In the vegetative recovery placement analysis, more than 40% of the excellent vegetation recovery sites are concentrated on slopes between 55 and 100% for all dates, as listed in Table 6. This result shows that steep slopes are not the primary restriction factor on vegetation recovery in the landslide area. It can be observed by the field Slope (%) Total category area (ha) (TA) Landslide area (ha) (LA) Collapse ratio, CR = LA/TA (%) 3.3. Landslide characteristics and vegetation recovery placement analysis <5 5–15 15–30 30–40 40–55 55–100 >100 509.44 402.08 779.52 660.32 801.28 1026.24 217.12 2.61 15.44 66.67 75.48 141.88 389.08 138.34 0.51 3.84 8.55 11.43 17.71 37.91 63.72 The collapse ratio to various terrain factor calculations are listed in Tables 3–5. The collapse ratio to elevation indicates that the higher the Table 3 Distribution of collapse ratio to elevation classification Elevation (m) Total category area (ha) (TA) Landslide area (ha) (LA) Collapse ratio, CR = LA/TA (%) 100–200 200–300 300–400 400–500 500–600 600–700 700–800 583.2 1039.52 1272.48 784.48 461.92 218.56 35.84 3.16 28.48 90.20 253.59 275.75 152.89 25.42 0.54 2.74 7.09 32.33 59.70 69.95 70.93 Table 4 Distribution of collapse ratio to slope classification W.-T. Lin et al. / Forest Ecology and Management 210 (2005) 55–66 65 Table 5 Distribution of collapse ratio to aspect classification Aspect Total category area (ha) (TA) Landslide area (ha) (LA) Collapse ratio, CR = LA/TA (%) Northeast East Southeast South Southwest West Northwest North 350.88 566.88 509.92 889.60 539.04 603.52 347.04 589.12 66.69 127.11 89.33 164.89 78.22 112.61 68.08 122.58 19.01 22.42 17.52 18.54 14.51 18.66 19.62 20.81 Fig. 10. Earthquake-induced landslide and the surviving Arundo formosana on steep slopes (1999/10). Table 6 Analysis of excellent vegetation recovery placement on slope classification Slope (%) <5 5–15 15–30 30–40 40–55 55–100 >100 Total Distribution by date 2000/10/29 2001/3/5 Area in hectare 0.08 (1.65) 0.13 (2.64) 0.47 (9.90) 0.66 (13.86) 1.03 (21.78) 1.92 (40.59) 0.45 (9.57) (%) 0.14 0.36 0.83 1.52 2.19 5.14 0.86 4.73 (100) 2001/7/20 2001/12/3 (1.27) 0.28 (0.42) 0.02 (3.26) 0.97 (1.44) 0.09 (7.51) 3.66 (5.45) 0.48 (13.74) 5.73 (8.54) 0.83 (19.83) 10.88 (16.20) 1.17 (46.60) 31.94 (47.59) 2.91 (7.79) 13.66 (20.35) 1.14 11.03 (100) 67.11 (100) (0.24) (1.41) (7.29) (12.47) (17.65) (43.76) (17.18) 6.64 (100) investigation (Fig. 9), the vegetation recovery conditions on steep slopes are much better than ridgelines. It also shows that the soil moisture is more important for plant growth than slope factor in this study area. Fig. 10 illustrates the actual vegetation situation on slopes obtained from the field survey soon after the earthquake. Although the earthquake caused massive Fig. 9. The vegetation recovery conditions on steep slopes and ridgelines (2001/6). landslides and eliminated much of the standing vegetation, there were still a number of grass species that survived on steep slopes, especially Arundo formosana, one of the native grass species with robust vitality in Taiwan. Once adequate rainfall was supplied to the area, the surviving vegetation on the steep slopes rapidly restored itself. The analyzed result is checked by the field survey, as shown in Fig. 9. The difficulty in preserving water on ridgeline surfaces influences the vegetation growing at those sites. Data from Taiwan’s Central Geological Survey shows the local hydrological property is a uniform gravel layer consisting of massive conglomerate and merges laterally into alternating sand and clay beds with high hydraulic conductivity. How soil holding/storing the water for the plants in this study area is critical to vegetation recovery. 4. Conclusions Remotely sensed data coupled with a GIS for massive landslide identification, is very effective and rapid. The VRR calculation proposed in this study provided a quantitative method for monitoring and assessing vegetation recovery at the Jou-Jou Mountain landslides. However, the vegetation succession cannot be accomplished in such a short time. The improved VRR from NDVI calculation revealed a stable plant growth and vegetation recovery tendency for denudation sites. From 2 years of vegetation recovery monitoring, the highest average VRR in the landslide area reached 58.93% without any human intervention. This result shows that nature has a robust ability to regenerate vegetation on landslides. In accordance 66 W.-T. 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