NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00603-011-0175-0. The original Publication is available at www.springerlink.com A method to estimate in-situ block size distribution M. K. Elmouttie CSIRO Earth Science & Resource Engineering Ph: +61 7 3327 4775 Fax: +61 7 3327 4455 Email: [email protected] URL: G. V. Poropat CSIRO Earth Science & Resource Engineering Ph: +61 7 3327 4425 Fax: +61 7 3327 4455 Email: [email protected] URL: Abstract This paper presents a new technique for estimating the in-situ block size distribution in a jointed rock mass. The technique is based on Monte-Carlo simulations using more realistic fracture geometry as its input compared to other block size estimation methods described in the literature. This geometry represents fractures as either polygons or triangulated surfaces and therefore models persistence and truncation of fractures accurately. Persistence has been shown to be critically important for the accurate prediction of block size and shape. We show that for rock masses with relatively small discontinuities, the results of our predictions differ markedly from previous methods which over-predict fragmentation. 1 Keywords In-situ block size, discrete fracture network, DFN, polyhedral modelling Introduction The intersection of discontinuities or fractures within a jointed rock mass may result in the presence of individual blocks of intact rock within the surrounding rock matrix. The range of sizes of such blocks is represented as the in-situ block size distribution (IBSD). IBSD is an important characteristic in many engineering studies in underground and surface civil and mining operations including rock mass classification, stability analysis, drilling, blasting design and hydrogeological analyses. The relationship of IBSD to the geometrical parameters of the discontinuities, such as spacing, persistence and frequency, has long been appreciated (ISRM 1978). The development of methods to predict IBSD and related parameters has been described extensively in the literature. Da Gama (1977) implemented a computer algorithm to determine the volumes of in-situ blocks based on persistent representations of individual joints mapped in the field. Miles (1972) examined the partitioning of space via ‘sets’ of discontinuities, considering several geometric configurations of infinite planes which were randomly oriented. Hudson & Priest (1979) related this work to more typical geological geometries involving three mutually orthogonal sets of persistent discontinuities. Wang et. al. (1991) developed an algorithm to predict the volumes of blocks based on daylighting joints using the block theory developed by Goodman & Shi (1985). A matrix connectivity method was used by Young et. al. (1995) to study the effect of orientation dispersion on IBSD for three orthogonal joint sets. They concluded that as little as 10 degree dispersion in pole vectors was sufficient to fully ‘evolve’ the IBSD curve. Maerz & Germain (1996) used a software package to study IBSD for some simple scenarios. Their algorithm was limited to using three sets of persistent joints. Lu & Latham (1999) used equation-based methods to study the effect of spacing distribution on IBSD. Their analysis was limited to three sets and accounted for persistence indirectly, but they concluded that spacing distribution was an important factor. 2 Wang et. al. (2003) provided a sophisticated software implementation of an algorithm designed to handle any number of discontinuity sets and indirectly account for persistence (assuming a persistence-spacing relationship). Their algorithm randomly chose discontinuities from a previously generated discontinuity ‘database’ and checked for the possibility of formation of polyhedral blocks in the rock mass. Ahn & Lee (2004) attempted to account for nonpersistence via analogy with the two-dimensional geometries. Jern (2004) developed an equation based on the product of spacing distributions for three orthogonal sets. Latham et. al. (2006) expanded the use of equation-based methods described in Wang et. al. (1991) to account for persistence and spacing distributions for three orthogonal sets. Rogers et. al. (2007) described the use of discrete fracture networks (DFNs) consisting of polygons accurately reflecting the finite persistence of joints and other structures. Their algorithm utilized the simulated two-dimensional trace map forming on the exposure (e.g. underground cutting), identifying closed polygons on this map, and iteratively interrogating the trace maps associated with the fractures responsible for each segment of the polygons until the minimum-volume polyhedra were identified. Kim et. al. (2007) utilized a commercially available polyhedral modeler to analyse IBSD for three orthogonal sets of semi-persistent (i.e. persistent in one direction) discontinuities. They concluded that the derived IBSD for several spacings and orientations are log-normally distributed. This review outlines the progressively more sophisticated approaches to estimation of IBSD. However, all these studies have been hindered by one or more of the following limitations in their approaches: • Inability to accurately account for non-persistent discontinuities • Inability to account for more than three discontinuity sets • Inability to utilize fully detailed DFNs in a Monte Carlo simulation • Detection of resulting polyhedra requires approximations and simplifications such as assumed convexity or limited numbers of facets These limitations result in estimations of IBSD over-estimating fragmentation of the rock mass as well as being statistically inaccurate. Although some of the previous methods are capable of generating computer simulations representing 3 ‘realistic’ multi-faceted blocks (e.g. Wang et. al. 2003), the use of persistent planes to partition space means concave polyhedra are impossible to detect (e.g. Miles 1972). Further, the random sampling of a discontinuity data-base to provide candidate block facets treats the blocks as independent and identically distributed random variates. This is not the case since any generated block should be conditional on the presence of surrounding blocks such that the sum of all generated block volumes is that of the total rock mass. The technique outlined by Rogers et. al. (2007) comes closest to addressing all the aforementioned limitations however the polyhedral detection algorithm is an approximation and yields minimal polyhedral volumes. Unfortunately, Rogers et. al. (2007) does not outline the technique used in sufficient detail to comment on the impact of this approximation on IBSD estimation. This paper presents a new method based on Monte-Carlo simulations of DFN geometry using more realistic and general representations of fractures combined with a robust polyhedral modelling algorithm. The features of this technique include the simulation of any number of discontinuity sets and random discontinuities, the usage of a realistic DFN in its entirety, and the use of a robust generalized polyhedral modeller so that all blocks associated with a model rock mass are predicted simultaneously and consistently. DFN Generation The merits of the DFN approach to modelling heterogeneity in the rock mass over equivalent medium (EM) approaches has been discussed extensively in the literature (see Jing 2003 for a review). The DFN is usually constructed using both deterministic data such as representation of large-scale bed and fault structures, and stochastic data based on the sample of fractures observed in the field. These data are usually acquired via core logging or exposure mapping. Providing that sampling biases are properly accounted for (e.g. Mauldon 1998), the stochastic strictures in the DFN should be statistically equivalent to those within the rock mass. There are multiple possible fracture geometries although there are suggestions that many of these variants are due to sampling biases and the fracture size distributions are usually power law (Tonon & Chen 2007). We have developed a DFN generator with facilities to simulate fractures as polygons with size, spacing and orientations adhering to user-specified statistical 4 distributions. The generator is utilised by the Siromodel software package, developed for the Large Open Pit Slope Stability Project (CSIRO 2011). Polyhedral Modelling Polyhedral modellers have traditionally required simplifications such as cubic or hexahedral representations of the volume being simulated, very small numbers of discontinuities (beds, faults and joint fractures), the assumption of planar topologies for these discontinuities, the assumption of infinite persistence, and the assumption that blocks can only form as tetra-, penta- or hexahedra. The third and fourth simplifications are related and impose critical limits on the ability of a modeller to represent jointed rock masses found in nature since such rock masses consist of irregular rock blocks or concave polyhedra. The polyhedral modeller utilised in this paper represents an evolution of modellers outlined by Lin et al. (1987), Jing & Stephansson (1994), Jing (2000), Lu (2002) and is described in detail in Elmouttie et al. (2010). In brief, the algorithm accepts a polygon ‘soup’ as input (such as that defined by a DFN) and detects all vertices, edges and faces resulting from mutual intersections of the polygons or triangulated surfaces. A face-tracing algorithm is then used to detect polyhedra within the volume of interest. Particular issues have been considered in the development of the algorithm to ensure robust and reliable performance. For example, spatial tolerance management and checking for degenerate geometric scenarios (such zero-length edges) is accomplished via efficient storage and use of a master vertex list. Partial intersections of faces need to be processed to ensure that the ‘face tracing’ algorithm used for polyhedral detection is successful. Adjacency information for edges, faces and polyhedra must be calculated for several tasks such as the detection of partially intersecting and isolated polygons (representing fractures not associated with rock blocks) and identification of embedded polyhedra and internal voids (e.g. tunnels). Details on the techniques used to address these and other issues are discussed in Elmouttie et al. (2010). The polyhedra can be concave and contain arbitrary numbers of facets. The polyhedra are defined in terms of oriented faces allowing volume calculations to be performed via determinant calculations (Newson 1899). 5 Validation The validation of the polyhedral modelling algorithm is described in detail in Elmouttie et al. (2010). We have additionally performed some validation simulations dealing specifically with fracture generation and IBSD prediction, and these will now be discussed. Simulations of the trivial cases of space partitioned by three orthogonal sets of planes of constant spacings s1, s2 and s3 have been performed. The blocks interior to the simulation volume (i.e. excluding blocks in contact with the boundaries of the simulation volume) all show identical volumes equal to s1s2s3 to within the numerical precision of the algorithm (approx 100 times the relative error in the spacings which was around 10-15 for these simulations). Miles (1972) derived an estimator for the volume moments associated with space partitioned by three orthogonal sets of planes with negative-exponentially distributed spacings. We have used this as further validation of the algorithm. Figure 1 shows a screen-shot of the blocks formed from an example realisation of these discontinuities. Figure 1 Example of blocks formed from three orthogonal sets of exponentially-spaced discontinuities 6 Table 1 outlines examples of the scenarios that were simulated using single realisations, each comprising around 20 to 30 discontinuities per set and resulting in around 10,000 to 30,000 blocks. In all cases, the agreement between the predicted and measured mean block volumes is better that 0.05%. Agreement is observed to improve as simulation volumes and numbers are increased, and as the numbers of planes per set consequently increases. Table 1 Predicted and simulated mean block volumes for space partitioned by three orthogonal sets of planes with negative-exponentially distributed spacings Scenario Spacing of Spacing Spacing of Mean block Mean block number set 1 of set 2 set 3 volume volume (m) (m) (m) (predicted) (measured) (m3) (m3) 1 9.39 9.94 10.59 988.4 988.3 2 7.73 6.21 5.51 264.5 264.5 3 11.35 5.35 4.76 289.0 288.9 Comparison with other methods The two most sophisticated IBSD prediction methods covered in the literature that also include IBSD predictions are those described by Wang et. al (2003) and Kim et. al. (2007). We will use these two references to detail the improvements offered by our algorithm. Wang et. al. (2003) used a method to predict IBSD that was based on Monte Carlo sampling of a predetermined discontinuity database. Groups of discontinuities were randomly sampled from this database and checked to see if polyhedral formation was possible. Sensitivity of the IBSD to discontinuity density and persistence were discussed. However, due to the limitations of the algorithms, certain assumptions were made. Discontinuity density was defined as the number of discontinuities detected in each metre of a simulated sampling line. Since the orientation of the sampling line was not specified, one assumes an ideal simulation scenario where the line is 7 oriented orthogonally to the mean orientation of the discontinuity set. For persistent planes, the density, in effect, defines the spacing of the set. Wang et. al. (2003) accounted for non-persistence indirectly by altering the assumed discontinuity spacing values in proportion to persistence factor. We have used the areal definition of persistence factor with pf representing the ratio of total fracture area within a persistent plane to the plane area (Dershowitz & Einstein 1988). Thus infinite persistence is equivalent to a persistence factor of 1. The overall persistence factor for the three sets combined is determined as pf = (p1p2p3)1/3 where p1, p2 and p3, are the persistence factor for each joint set. The structural data used by Wang et. al. (2003) are shown in Table 2. Two dominant sets were considered. The assumed statistical distributions were normal for orientations and trace lengths, and negative exponential for spacings. Wang et. al. (2003) used these data to predict IBSD sensitivity to both discontinuity density (frequency) as well as persistence. Table 2 Structural data used by Wang et. al. (2003) Dip (º) Set 1 Dip Trace Direction length (m) (º) 52.9±14.8 138.0±23.6 4.15±2.01 Spacing (m) 0.198±0.1 97 Set 2 61.8±14.1 327.0±33.3 3.79±1.26 0.282±0.2 96 To compare our approach with that of Wang et. al. (2003), we have performed a number of simulations using the data in Table 2 for DFN generation. Figure 2 shows a block model based on one realisation of these DFN. Due to the persistent nature of the discontinuities, all blocks in this model are convex. 8 Figure 2 Example block model based on a realisation of DFN using data in Table 2 Figure 3 shows the influence of discontinuity density (a.k.a. spacings) on the IBSD curves. Although there is good agreement with Wang et. al. (2003) for the low density case (right most curve), the variation seen as the density increases is almost three times larger than observed in that study. The 90th percentile value ranges from around 0.5m to 3m. 9 Figure 3 Comparison of IBSD curves for various spacings. From left to right, curves shown for 0.066, 0.083, 0.1, 0.125, 0.160, 0.25 and 0.5m spacings respectively. The shape index was defined by Wang et. al. (2003) as the ratio of the block volume V to that of a sphere with diameter equal to the maximum block size, lmax γ = 6 ⋅V 3 π ⋅ l max Figure 4 shows the histograms of the block shape indices for the data shown in Figure 3. There is broad agreement with the observations made by Wang et. al. (2003). The shape of the histogram peaks around γ = 0.01, in agreement with their prediction of peaks in the range 0.001<γ <0.077. Further, no dependence on discontinuity frequency is seen, also in agreement with Wang et. al (2003), although our simulations predict significantly more blocks with shape indices γ > 0.1. 10 Figure 4 Histograms of shape indices for data shown in Figure 3. For each bin, bars from left to right correspond to 0.066, 0.083, 0.1, 0.125, 0.160, 0.25 and 0.5m spacings respectively. Figure 5 shows the sensitivity of IBSD to the persistence factor of the discontinuity sets. Persistence factors of 0.6, 0.8 and 1 have been simulated. The variation in the IBSD curves associated with these simulations necessitated a Monte Carlo approach, with 20 simulations per persistence factor being performed. Once again, although there is qualitative agreement with the results presented by Wang et. al. ( 2003), the variance in the curves is much greater, particularly when the confidence intervals are taken into account. Further, Wang et. al. predict no blocks larger than 4.5m, whereas for the pf = 0.6 case, blocks as large as 20m are predicted by our algorithm. This is a further example of how sensitive rock mass fragmentation estimates are to the assumed persistence of discontinuities. 11 12 Figure 5 Comparison of IBSD curves for various persistence factors. From top to bottom, curves are shown for values of 1, 0.8 and 0.6 respectively. Solid lines represent mean IBSD, dotted represent 95% confidence limits. Kim et al. (2007) applied a polyhedral modelling methodology using more simplistic discontinuity geometries to study the effect of including finitepersistence on IBSD prediction. Their model consisted of three orthogonal joint sets with each set containing ten equally-spaced or quasi-equally-spaced joints. After analyzing a number of simulations, they concluded that the effect of finite persistence could, in general, be adequately represented by an empirical equation derived by Cai et al. (2004). However, the polyhedral modeler used by Kim et. al. (2007) is a commercially available one which can only accommodate persistence in an approximate way. One of the three joint sets is required to be fully persistent so as to offer a set of planes for which the other two joint sets can terminate against (i.e. semi-persistent hereafter).. Further, the finite persistence of the other two sets could only be modelled in a statistical sense as opposed to our approach which uses a polygonal representation of discontinuities in 3-dimensional space. We used our approach to replicate the Kim et al. (2007) simulations using a cubic simulation volume with a width of 10m and 1m joint spacings. This resulted in a mean block volume for the persistent case of 1m3. The DFNs were then modified 13 repeatedly so as to reduce the radii of the joints associated with only two of the sets. By requiring a persistent third set (i.e. p3 = 1) at least 10 blocks would form from each DFN realisation. A Monte-Carlo approach was again adopted so that each persistence factor was represented by multiple DFN realisations. An example block model based on a DFN realisation is shown in Figure 6 Figure 6 Block model based on a realisation of DFN for the Kim et. al. (2007) scenario The results obtained are shown in Figure 7. As the persistence factor approaches 1, the mean block volume ratio predicted by both Kim et. al. (2007) and our algorithm approaches 1 as expected for the persistent case. Note that the error bars in this figure represent the standard deviation of the sample means of the parameter and the data-point represents the mean of the sample means. Although the results in Figure 7 are consistent with the hyperbolic relationship between block volume ratio and persistence factor seen by Kim et al. (2007), the volume ratios are markedly different. The aforementioned limitations with their 14 method (including the semi-persistent representation) have resulted in predictions of overly fragmented rock masses. Figure 7 - Model sensitivity assessed similarly to Kim et al. (2007): solid blue curve represents our simulations, solid green is a prediction assuming rectangular joints showing maximal intersections, and solid red is our prediction of the maximally intersecting case using semi-persistent joints. By utilizing DFN based on polygonal approximations to joints, persistence has been modeled realistically. This allows for the existence of partially throughgoing joints or fractures, which are present but not involved in block formation, as well as the existence of concave blocks. Figure 7 also shows the predicted curves for the most fragmented case for both our joint representation and the semi-persistent joint representation used by Kim et al. (2007). To derive the ‘most fragmented case’ we have assumed all discontinuities from the two non-persistent sets have originated in the same part of the simulation volume. This unlikely scenario would result in maximal fragmentation of the rock mass. The curve corresponding to our simulations is consistently above-scenario as expected. Further, our simulations show that the ratio of mean block volumes to the non-persistent case approaches 100 when pf approaches 0. This is consistent, since for low persistence factors, one would expect only 10 ‘slabs’ to remain, compared to 1000 blocks for the high persistence case (i.e. a ratio of 100:1). Therefore, even for the most fragmented cases, the use 15 of semi-persistent discontinuity geometries grossly over-estimates rock mass fragmentation. Conclusions We have outlined a new method to predict IBSD in fractured rock masses. Using realistic DFN, robust polyhedral modeling, and a Monte Carlo sampling approach, the stochastic variability in the fracture geometry can be accounted for. The method can deal with arbitrary numbers of discontinuity sets, finite persistence representations of fractures, the consequent formation of concave polyhedral, and fracture properties described via arbitrary statistical distributions. We have compared our predictions of IBSD to those detailed in two previous studies using methodologies limited by the absence of one or more of the aforementioned features of our method. The results show that significant differences in rock mass fragmentation estimates are possible, particularly when persistence of fractures is not modeled in a geometrically or physically realistic sense. These differences are maximally important when modelling rock masses containing discontinuity sets with low persistence factors, but may not be severe for high persistence factor (i.e. blocky rock mass) cases. Acknowledgement The authors would like to acknowledge the support of the Australian Coal Association Research Program in the development of the prototype versions of the algorithms used in elements of the structural modelling. The sponsors of the Large Open Pit Mine Slope Stability Project, which is managed by the CSIRO, are acknowledged for their support in developing applications to utilise the algorithm for the analysis of slope stability phenomena. References Ahn , S-H. & Lee, C-I. (2004) Removability Analysis of Rock Blocks by Block theory and a Probabilistic Approach. In SINOROCK2004 Symposium, Paper 2A 11, Int. J. Rock. Mech. Min. Sci. (41) 3, CD-ROM 16 Cai, M., Kaiser, P.K., Uno, H., Tasaka, Y., & Minami, M. 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