EQUATORCAPITAL \\ Weekly Market Review– 29/07/’11 Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com, Email to; [email protected] NEWS ROUNDUP… CBN Raises Benchmark Interest Rate to 8.75 Percent The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) raised its benchmark interest rate by a bigger-than-expected 75 basis points to 8.75 percent on Tuesday, the fourth increase this year in a fight against inflation. The apex bank had in May raised rates by 50 basis points. Speaking at a press conference in Abuja, CBN governor, Lamido Sanusi, said the inflation outlook appears uncertain owing to the expected implementation of the new national minimum wage policy and the imminent deregulation of petroleum products. He stated that the significant injection of liquidity from government in the third quarter, coupled with the impact of the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON) recapitalising banks, would add to inflationary pressures. Forex Dealers Cry Out Over Fake Dollars Air travelers and other airport users have been alerted about the circulation of fake United States dollars at the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos. Bureau de Change operators at the airport have cried out against the circulation of the currency and millions of dollars exchange for the Naira every day at the airport. Reacting to the arrest of two ladies caught with over 2000 fake dollars at the Hajj camp of the Bureau de change office, the Chairman of Hajj Camp Forex Exchange Market, Arewa Complex, Mr. Abubakar Usman said the trend had become a source of worry to them. THIS DAY Businesses lose billions of Naira to Lagos floods Two weeks after the floods that shut down activities in Lagos, several businesses are beginning to count their losses which run into billions of naira, Business Day’s investigation has revealed. Industry experts put the conservative estimate of the loss incurred by the companies as a result of the one-week shut down at N3 billion. Muda Yusuf, director general, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, noted that, “Lagos suffered significant losses in assets and productivity as a result of the flood. The state’s Gross Domestic Product is estimated at N3.5 trillion. BUSINESS DAY Prices of foodstuffs escalate as Ramadan approaches Abuja: A few days to the commencement of the Ramadan fast, the prices of foodstuffs and other essential commodities have escalated in most markets across the country, according to a national survey. Correspondents, who monitored market prices in some state capitals, report that the prices of foodstuffs and other essential commodities, such as fruits, vegetables, eggs and beverages that are in high demand during the Ramadan fast had soared. Traders attributed some of the reasons for the hike in price to the Ramadan fast, the increase in the minimum wage of workers, high cost of transportation and increase in the cost of diesel, amongst others. VANGUARD 1 EQUATORCAPITAL Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com, Email to; [email protected] Weekly Market Review–29/07/’11 JULY END ON A BEARISH NOTE:BENCHMARK INDEX SHED 3.52 PERCENT The last week of July ended on the bear’s camp. Though the week started on an optimistic note; the bulls could not sustain their grip on the market, consequently, market values declined further. In the week in review, the CBN raised the MPR (Monetary Policy Rate) by 75 basis points. Consequently with the MPR now at 8.75 percent, many analysts have predicted a flight to safety in the capital market. It is believed that with the attractiveness of higher interest rates in the money market; the capital market will bear the brunt. The market closed Monday with a gain of 0.50 percent and further gained 0.05 percent on Tuesday, however, we observed that following the news of the hike in MPR the market could not sustain the gain as it lost 0.19 percent on Wednesday and further shed 0.44 percent and 0.33 percent respectively on the last two trading days of the week. Comparatively, the All Share Index has shed 0.41 percent when compared to what it closed at the previous Friday, last week the Index gained 0.39 percent. However, compared to July’s open, the index depreciated by 3.52 percent. The hike in MPR was a strategic move by the apex bank to check excessive public spending ahead of the implementation of the new national minimum wage of N18, 000; a proactive measure taken to deal with the expected huge injection of liquidity into the system, especially the N1.3trillion disbursed last week to the three tiers of government as their statutory allocations. According to the CBN Governor, Mr. Lamido Sanusi, these indicators have made inflation outlook in the immediate to medium-term uncertain. Index gained 0.39 The Exchange experienced an influx of both audited and quarterly reports in the review week. Among the lot were FBN which declared N31.26b PAT for Qtr 2, Nestle with PAT of N6.257b for the same Qtr, Transcorp reported a profit of N5.389b for the financial year ended December 2010 while PZ Cussons with PAT standing at N5, 217b for the FYE ending May 2011 declared a bonus of 1 for 4 and a dividend of 86k per share. Expectedly, the demand for the PZ has shot up the price by 10 percent in two trading days. Market turnover grew by 34.95 percent while value of transaction dropped by 7.44 percent. Last week, market turnover moved up by 27.36% while value of total turnover also appreciated by 35.52%. Total volume traded stood at 1.560 billion shares valued at N8,932 billion traded in 23,233 deals as against a previous 1,156 billion shares worth N9,650 billion traded in 21,712 deals, last Friday. Top on the gainers list are Cadbury, PZ Cussons, Red Star Express and Diamond Bank Plc with the total week’s gain standing at 11.76 percent 10.35 percent, 5.76 percent and 5.38 percent respectively. On the flipside are Oceanic Bank, Prestige Assurance, Platinum Habib Bank and Union Bank of Nigeria with 17.24 percent, 16.92 percent, 15.94 percent and 11.97 percent respectively. Overall, 21 equities appreciated as against a previous 39 while 41 declined as against 33 of the previous week Further analysis revealed that banking sector accounted for 51 percent of total turnover followed by the conglomerate and Insurance sub sectors as they accounted for 29 and 9.35 percent respectively of overall market turnover. The most traded equity was that of Transcorp. Market Outlook The coming week is expected to display further mixed reactions. Following a trend analysis, there may likely be further downward movement in the first few days followed by an upward trend as speculators take profit. However, our advice remains a long term investment approach as overall market outlook will remain bearish in the short run. 2 EQUATORCAPITAL Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com, Email to; [email protected] EXPECTED RESULTS Weekly Market Review–29/07/’11 ASI MOVEMENT BEST TEN PERFORMERS IN % TERMS WORST TEN PERFORMERS IN % TERMS MARKET CAPITALIZATION IN BILLION INDEX Week Open Week Close % Change (Wk) NSE ASI Year Opening 24,770.52 23,906.27 23,826.99 -0.33 YTD (% Change) -3.81 NSE 30-INDEX 1,081.95 1,069.31 1,064.22 -0.48 -1.64 NSE FOOD/Bev/Tob. 778.47 797.47 796.86 -0.08 2.36 NSE Banking Index 399.08 356.18 352.30 -1.09 -11.72 NSE Insurance Index 163.34 159.19 159.79 -0.38 -2.17 NSE Oil/Gs Index 338.85 293.24 293.24 0.00 -13.46 3 EQUATORCAPITAL Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com, Email to; [email protected] Weekly Market Review– 29/07/’11 BEST PERFORMING STOCKS FOR THE WEEK CORPORATE NEWS (GAINERS) DIVIDEND ADJUSTMENT The following equity prices were adjusted for dividend and/or bonus as recommended by the Board of Directors. COMPANY CADBURY 17.85 19.95 11.76% COMPANY DIVIDEND PZ 38.06 42.00 10.35% REDSTAREX 3.30 3.49 5.76% Longman 0.15k BAGCO 2.23 2.35 5.38% CONTINSURE 1.05 1.10 4.76% TRANSCORP 1.03 1.07 3.88% NASCON 4.94 5.10 3.24% 28.00 28.90 3.21% ECOBANK 2.83 2.90 2.47% INTBREW 6.07 6.20 2.14% CORPORATE BENEFITS COMPANY Dividend Payment Date 15/08/2011 Closure Date Payment Date REDSTAREX PLC 30K 24/8/2011 15/9/2011 SOVERINS PLC 3K 11/8/2011 15/9/2011 PZ CUSSIONS 86K 26/8/2011 22/9/2011 OPEN CAP CLOSE %CHANGE CBN RESCUED BANK Afribank Sept 29 Price 1.28 29/07/2011 Change 0.73 -0.55 change % -42.97% WORST PERFORMING STOCKS FOR THE WEEK (LOSERS) COMPANY OPEN CLOSE %CHANGE Finbank 0.5 0.5 0.00 0.00% OCEANIC 1.16 0.96 -17.24% Intercont 1.27 0.86 -0.41 -32.28% PRESTIGE 2.01 1.67 -16.92% Oceanic 1.09 0.96 -0.13 -11.93% PLATINUM 0.69 0.58 -15.94% UBN 2.59 2.28 -11.97% UBN 3.46 2.28 -1.18 -34.10% DANGSUGAR 12.2 10.85 -11.07% Bank PHB 0.91 0.58 -0.33 -36.26% RTBRISCOE 2.07 1.86 -10.14% Spring 0.57 0.87 0.30 52.63% AFRIBANK 0.81 0.73 -9.88% Wema 0.88 0.89 0.01 1.14% DIAMONDBNK 5.25 4.75 -9.52% Unity Bank 0.67 0.77 0.10 14.93% INTERCONT 0.95 0.86 -9.47% FIDELITYBK 2.3 2.12 -7.83% 4 EQUATORCAPITAL Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com, Weekly Market Review– 29/07/’11 AUDITED EARNINGS PZ CUSSONS PLC FYE, MAY 2011 Turnover Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Non- Controlling Interest Profit Attributable To Shareholders Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Stocks Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Trade Creditors Other Credit balances Non- Controlling Interest Net Assets AFRIK PHARMACEUTICAL FYE, DECEMBER 2010 Turnover Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Stock Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Short term borrowings Other Credit Balances Working Capital Net Assets 2011 2010 65.9b 8.0b (2.3b) 5.7b (479.5m) 5.217b 62.7b 7.9b (2.3b) 5.6b (282.9m) 5.301b 25.0b 17.5b 8.1b 3.8b 14.5b 2.2b 23.6b (1.97b) 41.2b 24.7b 15.4b 6.7b 9.3b 2.8b 1.5b 17.1b (1.62b) 37.7b 2010 2009 40.590m (2.234m) -222,800 2.457m 45.968m 2.173m -236,150 1.937m 193.396m 6.040m 1.732m 1.431m 1.315m 9.344m 37.627m 9.952m 156.944m 20.716m 5.996m 13.851m 1.583m 186,547 7.339m 20.430m 10.348m 14.565m FCMB PLC 2011 2010 Turnover 34.955b 29.761b Profit before tax 6.648b 3.469b (1.329b) (693.887m) 5.318b 2.775b Fixed Assets 19.446b 19.932b Investments 132.126b 74.188b Stock 21.547b 22.588b Loans and Advances 304.837b 326.899b Cash and Bank Balances 28.271b 13.406b Other Debit Balances 82.272b 81.574b Customer deposits 363.817b 334.821b Short term borrowings 23.303b 25.116b Other Credit Balances 68.085b 43.882b Net Assets 588.501b 538.590b 2010 2009 5.248b 5.058b Profit before tax 70.322m 538.406m Taxation Profit after Tax (27.268m) 43.054m (105.242m) 433.164m Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investments 1.698b 225.747m 1.173b 233.687m Stock Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances 2.515b 2.119b 430.524m 2.285b 1.977b 201.682m Other Debit Balances Insurance funds Other Credit Balances 1.643b 1.594b 1.548b 1.952b 1.445b 1.417b Net Assets 4.716b 4.673b QTR 2, JUNE 20011 Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet STACO INSURANCE PLC FYE DECEMBER 2010 Turnover 5 EQUATORCAPITAL Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com Weekly Market Review– 29/07/’11 OANDO PLC 2011 2010 267.812b 172.858b (234.580b) (145.153b) Profit before tax 12.770b 9.595b Taxation (6.090b) (4.262b) 6.679b 5.332b Fixed Assets 159.507b 152.513b Investments 1m 1m Stock 30.744b 22.386b Trade debtors 116.012b 80.240b Cash and Bank Balances 16.685b 12.187b Other Debit Balances 56.269b 58.658b Trade Creditors 92.745b 60.467b Other Credit Balances 119.447b 99.305b Working Capital 11.920b 17.206b Net Assets 97.535b 95.192b 2011 2010 139.698b 35.730b (4.466b) 31.264b 122.282b 31.687b (6.337b) 25.350b 55.621b 496.999b 61.505b 1.226tr 132.148b 941.069b 1.919tr 115.502b 556.583b 321.043b 53.986b 352.613b 23.769b 1.143tr 75.517b 655.759b 1.450tr 124.617b 389.448b 340.626b PORTLAND PAINTS PLC QTR 2, JUNE 2011 Turnover Cost of Sales Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investments Stock Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Trade Creditors Short term borrowings Other Credit Balances Working Capital Net Assets QTR 2, JUNE 2011 Turnover Cost of Sales Profit after Tax Balance Sheet FIRST BANK PLC HALF YR, JUNE 2011 Turnover Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investment Treasury bills Loans and Advances Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Deposit Short term borrowings Other Credit Balances Net Assets TRIPPLE GEE &COMPANY PLC FYE, March 2011 Turnover Cost of Sales Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investments Stock Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Trade Creditors Other Credit Balances Working Capital Net Assets 6 2011 2010 1.165b (675.572m) 140.630m (45.001m) 95.629m 1.137b (657.498m) 152.861m (43.489m) 109.372m 422.189m 450,000 732.964m 193.533m 135.123m 311.713m 257.955m NIL 553.579m 820.281m 984.438m 230.399m 450,000 681.986m 254.649m 82.354m 303.191m 248.965m 173.469m 178.488m 83.708m 952.107m 2011 2010 541.605m (393.078m) (45.342m) (3.880m) (49.222m) 517.926m (365.753m) (46.120m) (4.730m) (50.850m) 926.117m 174.820m 44.522m 125.461m 18.601m 154.374m (108.356m) 699.513m (388.291m) 636.026m 917.471m 175.949m 28.778m 106.081m 5.105m 194.180m (111.719m) 630.597m (322.738m) 685.248m EQUATORCAPITAL Weekly Market Review– 29/07/’11 NESTLE NIG PLC 2011 2010 Turnover 44.913b 37.761b Cost of Sales Profit before tax 25.582b 9.035b 20.081b 9.173b Taxation (2.777b) (3.137b) Profit after Tax 6.257b 6.036b Balance Sheet Fixed Assets 45.976b 40.241b Stock 9.440b 8.494b Trade debtors 2.835b 4.970b Cash and Bank Balances 1.235b 3.092b Other Debit Balances 3.270b 3.548b Trade Creditors 1.337b 4.085b Short term borrowings 9.646b 3.398b Other Credit Balances Net Assets 38.940b 12.833b 37.997b 14.865b 2010 2009 Turnover 13.927b 12.995b Exceptional Items 2.849b NIL Profit before tax 6.908b 3.233b (1.518b) (2.006b) 5.389b 1.226b QTR 2, JUNE 2011 TRANSCORP PLC FYE, DECEMBER 2010 Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets 7.832b Investments 2.852b 6.727b Stocks 680.541m 654.946m Trade debtors 841.757m 698.976m Cash and Bank Balances 8.338b 5.783b Other Debit Balances 22.419b 20.887b Trade Creditors 1.223b 872.680m Short term borrowings 528.571m 291.538m Other Credit balances 14.575b 10.641b Working Captal 31.870m 380.986m Net Assets 26.638b 22.947b Equator Capital Limited Plot 154, Prince Ade Odedina Street, Victoria Island, Lagos www.equatorcapitalng.com C & I LEASING PLC FYE, DECEMBER 2010 Turnover Cost of Sales Exceptionary item Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investments Stocks Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Trade Creditors Short term borrowings Other Credit balances Net Assets FTN COCOA PROCESSORS PLC FYE DECEMBER 2010 Turnover Cost of Sales Profit before tax Taxation Profit after Tax Balance Sheet Fixed Assets Investment Stock Trade debtors Cash and Bank Balances Other Debit Balances Trade Creditors Short term borrowings Other Credit Balances Working Capital 7 Net Assets 2011 2010 8.6b 6.7b NIL (109.4m) (47.4m) (156.9m) 8.2b 6.3b 114.1m 111.1m (118.1m) 107.1m 720.9m 46.4m NIL 4.2b 357.6m 7.3b NIL 4.5b 6.4b 1.5b 653.6m 46.6m NIL 4.1b 2.3b 5.7b NIL 5.3b 5.5b 1.9b 2010 2009 1.196b (1.014b) 63.647m 1.361b (1.146b) 259.710m -51,000 259.659m 63.647m 2.865b 1.490m 398.369m 331.972m 1.267m 725.292m 107.327m 149.875m 1.806b 867.315m 2.260b 1.946b 838,000 625.441m 296.509m 46.061m 565.772m 111.498m 980.656m 1.303b 2.389b
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