POPULATION DENSITIES OF BIRDS TRANSECT COUNTS DERIVED FROM JoH• T. EMLE• GOODestimates of absolutepopulationdensityas distinctfrom indicesof relative abundancehave been virtually unavailablefor nonflockingland birdsexceptin the breedingseasonwhensingingmales,representing mated pairs,restrictthemselves to moreor lessfixed territorieswherethey or their nestscan be counted. The lack of efficient and reasonablyaccuratecensus methodsapplicableat any seasonhas seriouslyhamperedthe progressof quantitativestudiesof avian populationecology. This paper, after reviewingthe potentialitiesand limitationsof currently availablemethods,describesa new methodthat is, 1) applicableat all seasons,2) moreefficientin termsof area coveredper unit of effort than the nest or territory count methods,and 3) comparablein accuracy. The methodusesthe lateral distributionpattern of all detectionpointsfor each speciesto derivecoefficientsof detectabilitywith which trail countsmay be converteddirectly to densityvaluesin units of birds per 100 acres. The methodwas developedover a period of 3 years while the author was gathering data on the ecologicaldistribution of birds in mesquitegrass- lands in southernTexas, pine forestsin Florida and the Bahamas,and mixed woodlandsin Wisconsinand Michigan. AVAILABLE METHODS Direct counts of birds in circumscribed and measured areas can often be usedeffectivelyon flockingspeciesand variousnonflockingbirds living in exposedsituations,but direct and completeenumerationover an area is impossiblefor the many nonflockingland birds dispersedthrough the obscuringvegetationof woodlands,fields, and marshes. Simple tallies of individualsdetectedper unit of effort under closelystandardizedconditions are valuable as indicesfrom year to year and are relatively easy to obtain (Kendeigh,1944). Censuses of absolutedensity,necessary for determinationsof biomassand energyfunctions,requirecontrolledmeasurements of area as well as population. Six currentlyavailablecensusmethods,plus the new onedescribedin this report,are listedandcharacterized in Figure 1 and Table 1. In the first of these(A) a fractionof the residentpopulationof a selectedtract is captured, marked,and released,then balancedagainstthe coexistingunmarked populationin a subsequenttally or tallies. The ratio of marked to total amongthe observedbirds in this tally shouldequal the ratio of the total numberof birds marked to the total numberin the population. 323 The Auk, 88: 323-342. April 1971 324 Jo• T. E3•/LEN IDENTIFICATION SKILL OBSERVATION SCREENING CONDiTiONS EFFECT CONSPtCLIOLISNESS BOUNDARY OF OF OBSERVER (WEATHER, ETC.} HABITAT BIRDS OVERLAP NON-BREEDERS, CHANGES OF [Auk, Vol. 88 TRANSIENTS DURING SEASON BIRDS OR NESTS DISTANCES UNRELIABLE ACTUAL POPULATION MISSED MISJUDGED CONVERSION FACTOR DENSITY Figure 1. Factors limiting the accuracyand efficiency of censusmethods for nonflocking terrestrial birds. In thenext fourmethods(B, C, D, and E) controldepends on achieving completeenumerationon small measuredplots or narrowstripsalonga trail. The problemof accountingfor each of the elusiveresidentsof the plot is resolvedin B by substitutingnestsfor the birds themselves.In C thepopulationindicatorsare singingterritorialmales;songperchpositions are spottedon maps,and clustersof suchpositionson composite mapsare considered to representindividualterritorial males (Williams, 1936; Williamson,1964). For translationto populationdensityvalues,eachnest (in ]3) or singingmale (in C) may be regardedas roughlyequivalentto one pair of residentbirds. Completecoverageof all birdsis directlyattemptedin methodD, the count of detectionsbeing restrictedto a narrow strip of designatedwidth (and area) alongthe transecttrail (Merikallio, 1946, 1958) or to appro- April 1971] Transect Counts 325 326 Jous T. E•L• [Auk, Vol. 88 priate strip widths assignedto the variousspecieson the basisof character- isticdetectiondistances(Kendeigh,1956). Adjustmentsfor the inevitable incompleteness of singletransectsmay be made by adopting the largest tally for eachspeciesin a seriesof sevenor moretransectreplications,a processcalledsummationby its inventor(Palmgren,1930). Again,singing malesmaybe interpretedasroughlyequivalentto onepair of residentbirds. In method E all birds are tallied as encountered and their distances The effective size of the from the observer at detection are recorded. censusarea is then definedin termsof the positionsof the recordedbirds by adoptingthe mean distancefrom the observeras one half the width of the censusstrip. This methodwas developedby R. King for gamebirds that crouchand flush (Leopold, 1933; Hayne, 1949) but has been used in an exploratoryway on songbirds (Stewart et al., 1952). In the sixth method (F) and the new method (G) control rests on the degreeof completeness of coveragein wide strips. In F completeness is evaluatedby referenceto observerperformancelevelson tracts intensively censusedfor completecoverageby a restricted plot method such as the countof singingterritorial males (methodC) (Colquhoun,1940a; Howell, 1951; Enemar,1959), or by notingthe incidenceof occurrence of particular individualsin a seriesof traversesover a transectroute (Seierstadet al., 1965). The per cent of completeness indicatedfor a speciesby this test is referredto as its e]jectivity (Enemar, 1959). In methodG, completeness of coverageis calculateddirectly for each speciesfrom the characteristic distributionpattern of detectionpointslaterally from the censustrail and the implicationsof this distributionfor overalldetectabilitywithin a wide strip (describedin the next sectionof this paper). All methodshavetheir complications and limitations. With the exception of the first two (A and B), all are besetwith confusingobservationalvariables (centralblockin Figure 1) associated with 1) the experience,acuity, attentiveness,and speedof advance of the observer; 2) the observation conditionsrelated to weather,time of day, etc.; 3) the screeningeffect of the habitat; and 4) the conspicuousness of the birds as related to. their noisiness,movements,size, and color. The first two of these factors are essentiallyindependentvariables,best controlledby restrictingfield work to well-qualifiedobserversand prescribedobservationconditions.Graded adjustments for suboptimum conditions, e.g. afternoonhoursor coldwet weather,couldconceivablyprovidean alternativeto rigid standardization in the secondfactor. The screeningeffect of the habitat relatesprimarily to vegetationdensityand cannotbe controlledby standardization of procedure without seriouslyrestricting the scope of operations. Vegetation typeanddensityshouldbedescribed andmeasured oneachcensus tractand the data incorporatedas a part of the surveyrecord. It may eventuallybe April 1971] Transect Counts 327 possibleto devisea scaleof screening valuesfor the variousvegetationtypes (seeTable 3). Conspicuousness of the bird variesmarkedlyfrom speciesto speciesand probablyreflectsdistinctivespecies-characteristic attributesin eachcase. Each speciesmust thereforebe dealt with as a separateentity. The conspicuousness of a speciesmay, of course,vary considerablywith seasonalchangesin activity and, in somecases,with sex. But suchvariationsshouldbe predictable,and with the accumulationof data a characteristic value or set of values shouldbe assignableto each species. Several workers(Colquhoun,1940b; Stewartet al., 1952; Enemar, 1959; Williamson, 1964) have recognizedthis principleand made preliminarymovesto establish"coefficientsof conspicuousness" for commonspecies. The first threemethods(A, B, and C) whencarefullycarriedout provide relatively good control of the general observationalvariables described aboveand may, underfavorableconditions,offer relativelyhigh levelsof accuracy. Method A posesthe difficult requirementsthat the marked and unmarked componentsof the populationmust be equally trappable or observablein the retally procedures,and that no ingressor egressinto or from the study plot can occurduring the study period. The nest and territory mappingmethods,B and C, suffer in efficiency (area coveredper man hours of work, Table 1) when conductedintensively,or in accuracywhen appliedlessintensivelyin opensituations(Snow, 1966). The small sizeof plotsnecessitated by the excessivetime involvedin intensivecoverageraises further problemsof evaluatingthe inclusionof a large proportionof fractional, boundary-lineterritories. Completeness, the criterionof accuracyin B, C, D, and E, is at bestan elusivetarget. Singingmales,the critical unit of measurementfor methods C, D, and F, changedrasticallyand often quite abruptly in their conspicuousness(song frequency) and local distribution as the breedingseason advances.Large numbersof repeatruns are thereforenecessary;runs must be spreadover many weeksto catch the singingperiod of all speciesand individuals,yet concentratedenoughto permit valid interpretationsof the distribution of recorded song perchesin terms of individual territories. After the data are in, the problem of translating the number of singing males or neststo the ultimate populationvalue of birds per unit of area remains,complicatedby variablesassociatedwith songintensity (Colqu- houn, 1940b), nonbreeding residentmales,transients,polygamy,irregular movementof individualsacrossterritory boundaries,and large territories only partially incorporatedin the tract. The use of maximum counts (summationprocedure)in the fixed-striptransectmethod(D) introduces the possibility of seriouserror from temporary movementsof boundaryline birds into the relatively narrow censusstrip. A further disadvantage of the intensiveplot methods(B and C) and the 328 JoHs T. EMLES 15 A B WIDTH OF STRIP (FT) 50 50 I00 212 C [Auk, Vol. 88 D 412 ABCDTOT •3• PROJECTED NO. PRESENT 60 60 120250490 Figure2. Schematic modelof a standof vegetationwith randomlyscatteredbirds (dots) bisected by a transectroute (medianline). Dots representing birdsthat are detectedby eyeor ear are encircledin the model. Linesparallelwith the transectroute at 50-foot intervals define strips of coverage. Hypothetical counts of birds on a 2-mile traverseof the transectare tabulatedand graphedfor eachstrip or substrip at the top right of the figure. A horizontalline at the top of the graphextrapolates the level of the mean of the first five 10-footsubstrips(12 birds) horizontallyto a boundaryline at 412 feet. Assuming complete coverage in thesebasalsubstrips, and randomdistributionof birds,the areabelowthis line represents the populationof a 2-milesegmentof the 824-footband (200 acres). This area (total projectedpopulation of 490 birds) dividedinto the areaof the columns(155 birdsdetected)givesthe per centof birdswithinthe bandthat are detected, i.e. the coefficient of detectability for April 1971] Transect Counts 329 dependent stripsurveymethod(F) is theirrestrictedapplicabilityto a few monthsduring the breedingseason.Densitiesof transientpopulations during migration seasonsand of mixed populationsof residentsand migrantsduringthe winterare thereforeentirelybeyondthe reachof these approaches.The strip transectmethodsD, E, and G escapethis restriction by shiftingfrom fixed indicatorsof sedentarybirds to simpletalliesof all birds regardlessof their residencestatus. The critical controlsin theselatter methods,replacingthe segregationand enumerationof distinct individual birds, is the determinationof distancesfrom observerto bird, neededfor recognizingand rejecting outsidersin D, for establishingthe functional strip boundariesin E, and as the basisfor evaluatingspeciesdetectability in G. Instrumentalmeasurements are not feasiblein practice,but skills equivalentto a good6-inch range finder can, in the author'sexperience,be quicklyacquired.An examinationof the analysisnear the bottomof Figure 1 suggests that the grossof proceduralerrorsinherentin thesestrip methods is probablyno greaterthan thoseinherentin the intensiveplot methods. DESCRIPTION OF THE NEW METHOD The new method,briefly introducedabove, involvesthe determination for eachspeciesof a detectabilityvalue (or values) hereaftertermedthe co.eJficient of detectability(C.D.) of the species,and the applicationof this value to the mean count for the speciesin a traverse or seriesof traverses through a censustract. Coefficientsof detectability.--Coefficients of detectabilityrepresentthe proportionof the populationof an area that is ordinarilydetectedby an observer running a transect. It is a direct reflection of the theoretical "effectiveradiusof the organism"in Yapp's (1956) modelof interactions betweenan observerand the birds along a transect line. Each species appearsto have its characteristicC.D. value, varying within limits and in a predictablemannerwith the seasons and the type of vegetation. The C.D. value for a populationof birds within sight or hearing of a transectroutedependson two variables: 1) the distanceof the individual birds from the route and 2), their absolutedetectability,independentof distance.In the proceduresdescribedbelow,correctionsfor the first vari- able are madeby applyinga lateral distanceconversion to the count,and for the latter by applying a basal detectabilityadjustment. Lateral distance conversion.--The lateral distance conversion factor for a speciesmay be determineddirectly from data on the linear distribution the birds of this stand (155/490• 0.316 in this hypothetical sample). Hypothetical countsof birds on a 2-mile traverseof the transectare tabulated and graphedfor each strip or substrip at the top of the figure. 330 Jons T. Ez•Lzze BOBWHITE t (WINTER) THICK-B. VIREO- 200 PINE FOR. C.D. 4,2......•C. D. ,,•2 :.138 • ..... 0 [Auk, Vol. 88 :.:357 N: 118 412 PALM WARBLER N=275 0 (WINTER} 200 CROW- PINE 412 FOREST i••'.'.' N:2150 C.D..12 :.248 0 200 :"• 412 0 200 FLUSHED SEEN CALLING SINGING 412 Figure3. Typesand distributionof detections laterallyfrom the transectroute in four representative populations. The valuefor the basal(proximal)stripis plottedas 100 (full columnheight)in eachcase,and valuesfor the distalstripsare represented proportionately. The Bobwhitesampleis of a nonsinging(wintering) populationin whichthe birdsweregenerallydetectedby flushingat closerange;very few detections are made beyond 100-feet laterally, and C.D. values are therefore low. The Palm Warblersampleis of a nonsinging winteringpopulation;talliesbeyond100 feet were nearlyall auditorydetections of call notes;noneweredetectedbeyond200 feet. The Thick-billed Vireopopulation on GrandBahamarepresents a resident breeding species with a moderatelyloudsongcarryingthroughthe forestvegetationfor 200 to 300 feet. The Crow samplerepresentsa situation in which visual detectionfalls off in the first 100to 200 feetwhileauditorydetection extends laterallyfor 1000feet or moreproducing a high C.D. value. of detectionpointslaterally from the transectroute. The rationaleof this procedure is, perhaps, bestunderstood by visualizing a field (the stand) (Figure2) withrandomly scattered objects (thebirds)slowly traversed by a recording sensor(the observer) scanning a swatheor band(the areaof coverage alongthesurveyroute).The objects in thismodelirregularly emitvisualandauditory signals ofvarying intensity, andthefieldisirregularly conductive for thesignals.Thesensor thusdetects onlya fractionof the signals, theproportion beinghighcloseto.the routeand decreasing laterally. Plotting thefrequency of detection values forsuccessive parallel stripson April 1971] Transect Counts 331 either side of the route, a distributioncurve is obtainedas shownin the graphat the top of Figure 2. In mostspeciesthis curvemaintainsa high level for from 40-100 feet, then declinesrather precipitously,and finally levelsoff to approachzeroat the limit of detectabilityof the species.Forms of the curve for representativespeciesare shownin Figure 3. If we assumefor the momentthat all birds are detectedin the few proximal strips,coefficientsof detectabilitymay be derivedfrom theselateral distribution curvesby the followingsteps: 1. Determinethe height of the basal plateau by averagingthe number of birdscountedin eachof the 10-footstripsproximalto the point of inflexion of the curve. 2. Extrapolate this plateau level horizontallyto a prescribedlateral boundaryline definingthe limits of the censusband (see below). 3. Divide the total countof birdswithin this boundaryby the projected number below the horizontal extrapolationline. The basis for this procedureis that if the countin the proximalstripsapproaches completeness,it will, when extendedto the boundary,representthe projected count of the entire band. The value obtainedis the per cent o.fthe total populationof the specieswithin the band that is detected, i.e. the coefficientof detectability. A finite limit mustobviouslybe set to the lateral extensionof the survey band but there is no ultimate reasonwhy this limit cannotbe remoteenough to includeall detections.Since,for mostspecies,detectionsbeyond300 or 400 feet rarely contributemore than an insignificantportion of the total count,however,a moremanageableboundaryline can be considered.For most speciesin the studiesperformedto date an arbitrary cutoff point at 412 feet was adopted, far enoughto include nearly all of the visual and auditory observations,yet near enough to be realistic in terms of stand limits. The value, 412 (126 meters), was chosenbecausea band of this width alongeither sideof a trail and 1 mile in lengthincorporates just 100 acres,a convenientand widely used base in populationdensity studies. Similarly a lateral boundary distanceof 125 meters (410 feet) would incorporatejust 100 hectaresin 4 km of transect. For loud-voicedspecies that are commonlydetectedbeyond 412 feet (e.g. flickers, crows,jays, wrens,Mockingbirds)a baseof 825 or even 1,650 feet is preferablegiving valuesin termsof individualsper 200 or 400 acresfor eachmile of transect. For smallstandsC.D. valuesfor any speciesmay be basedon the portion of the lateral distancecurvelying proximalto the point representingthe mean distancefrom trail to boundaryline (Figure 4). The translationof a transectcount for a given speciesinto a population estimateis effectedby dividingthe countby the appropriateC.D. value of 332 MN. Jon•r T. E•.EN DIST. TO BOUNDARY CENSUS [Auk, Vol. 88 OF TRACT AREA LATERAL (ACRES/MILE) DISTRIBUTION C.D. 50 FT. 12 103 F'r 26 .85 206 FT. 50 .50 412 FI FOR THE OF DETECTION POINTS SPECIES 1.00 I00 .:>7 0 50 103 :>06 41 :> Figure4. Area and C.D. valuesfor census tractsof variouswidthsfor a hypothetical lateral distributioncurveof the winteringPalm Warbler type. the species.Thus, if 40 Palm Warblersare tallied along5 milesof transect througha Florida pine-palmettoforest in mid-February, and a C.D. 412 value of 0.25 has been establishedfor this speciesin many miles of winter surveysthrough similar habitat, the derived estimateper mile, and hence per 100 acres,wouldbe 40/5 0.25 = 32 birds. Lateral distancepatternsof detectionsand C.D. valuesmay changewith the seasonsand particularly with the advent of the breedingseasonwhen malesadvertisetheir presenceloudly thoughintermittently with song,and femalesretire to obscurity on their nests. At such times song and nonsongdetectionsshouldbe tallied and plotted separately.The basalplateau of the lateral distance curve will obviously extend considerablyfarther from the trail with songdetections,producinghigher detectability rates and lower population estimates (Table 2). As these tallies and the derived estimateswill be restrictedto the male elementof the population, they shouldbe multipliedby two (assumingan equal sex ratio). Theoretically an estimateof malesbasedon the songdetectionplateau should match a directly obtainedestimateof the total populationbasedon the nonsongdetectionplateau, but female inconspicuousness at these times may produceseriousincompletenesses in the latter. In practice,I determine both valueswhen malesare singingand adopt the larger of the two as the best estimate.Samplesof this methodare presentedin Table 6, column 3. Basal detectabilityadjustment.--Thepopulationestimatesderivedby the procedures described abovewill obviously be low in proportionto the incompleteness of detections in the relativelynarrowstrip usedto establish the basal plateau of the lateral distributioncurve. Where birds are awakeand activevery few will be missedin at least the proximal10 to 20 feetof thisstrip,andastheplottingof detection pointscharacteristically April 1971] TransectCounts TABLE LATERAL DISTRIBUTION 333 2 OF DETECTIONS AND DERIVEr VALUES IN A THEORETICAL POPULATIONOF 90 BIRDS (45 MALES AND 45 FEMALES) BEFORE AND AFTER TIlE ONSET OF SINGING BY TIlE Width To To To To 50' 100' 200' 400' 10 6 MALES Total of to pla- pla- Proj. to Est. Total teau teau 412' popl. Adj. C.D. needed Winter All det. 1 0 17 50 10 82 82 0.21 1.1 Spring Songsonly• 4 4 7 3 18 200 15 30 60 0.60 1.5 All det? All det. s 4 4 7 7 3 3 23 19 50 50 9 5 75 41 75 41 0.31 0.46 1.2 2.2 9 5 • In this example females are not recorded and the projected population of males is incomplete becauseof nonsingingindividuals. The coefficient of detectability is for males only. s In this example females are detectable though total detectability is slightly less than in winter. The plateau width is basedon nonsongdetectionsthough all detectionsare recorded. a This examplerepresentsthe situationsin which femalesare largely undetectablewhile malesremain conspicuousthrough movements,call notes, and song. reveals a plateau out to 50 or more feet, the expectedlevel of completenesswill be high. But where birds are intermittently inactive, or where the observeris obligedto dependon the singingof males,a wide basefor projectionis required,within which a sizeablefaction of the population will not be emitting detectablesignalswhile the observeris within range. Under theseconditionsmany individualswill be bypassed,and a substantial adjustmentfor incompleteness will be indicated. The magnitudeof adjustmentsfor incompleteness in the basal strip of optimum coveragemay be estimatedby comparingthe convertedvalues for a 412-foot transectstrip with populationvaluesobtainedin the same area by other censusmethods. As no adequatecensusmethod has been developed,our only recourseis to apply severalmethodsconcurrentlyto the samepopulationand comparethe results. This has been done on two areas (Table 5). The data in this table, preliminary observationson three more areas, and a few observationsfrom the literature suggestthat adjustmentsfor countsof winteringbirds shouldrarely exceedX 1.1 or X 1.2 (Table 2). Breedingbirdpopulations, particularlybecause of theinactivity of the femalesand the intermittent singingof the males, require adjustmentsrangingfrom X 1.1 to X 2.5 with an averageof perhapsabout X 1.5. Poolingdatafor samplesize.--C.D.valuesshouldobviously be obtained underconditions closelyresembling thoseof the transectcountto be translated,and ideallyall the data for the conversion shouldbe recorded in the same area and at the same time as the count. In the tests described in thisreport,lateraldistance measurements were,in fact,talliedconcurrently with the recordsof occurrence, and the valuesapplieddirectly--the projectedbasalplateaudirectly definingthe populationvalue. 334 Jo• T. EMLEN [Auk, Vol. 88 Resultsfrom the best representedspeciesof this study stronglysuggest that with the accumulation of records,eachspecies will be foundto have one or a few characteristiclateral distributionpatterns,and henceC.D. values,accurate withintheratherbroadlimitsof acceptability, andapplicable over a considerablerange of habitats and seasons.As already indicated,basaldetectabilityadjustments for incompleteness may alsobe speciesand season-characteristic. Suchbroadlybasedvalueswouldtheoreticallybe preferableto thoseobtainedfrom any singleclusterof surveys, sincethe latter are bound to. vary meaninglesslyfrom week to week and site to site becauseof smallsamplesize. Furthermoreif we can establish and adopt a broadly basedC.D. value for a species,it will be unnecessary to run large numbersof countsin eachcensustract; all that will be needed is enoughmilesof transect,perhaps10, or even5, to providea reasonably reliable mean of detectionsper mile (birds per 100 acres). Greater confidencecan be placed on such a density value than on one basedon a statisticallyinadequatethoughsituationallycorrect conversionfactor. C.D. values at monthly intervals from severallocalitiesare currently being assembledfor selectedspeciesto test the authenticity of the concept of species-characteristic C.D. values and the variance to be expected. In the meantimefiguresfor well-represented speciesshouldbe basedon means drawn from all available data and, for poorly representedspecies,on interpolationsof valuesobtainedfor ecologicallyand behaviorallysimilar species. FIELD PROCEDURES About 300 C.D. surveyshave beenconductedby the author in the past 3 years,and about 15,000detectionshavebeentallied and plotted for lateral distance distribution curves. The field proceduresused in these tests are briefly summarizedbelow. They apply equallyto the collectionof lateral distance data and to transect tallies. In fact, the two operationswere combinedin all surveysto date. Siteswereselectedfor standsize (at least 50 acresexceptin a few special cases)and for generaluniformity of physiographyand vegetation. Transect routesbisectedthe survey standsin fairly straight lines at various angles,but existingtrailswereusedwhereavailableto reducedistractions causedby obstacles and to provideclearbaselinesfrom whichto estimate lateral distances. Crisscrossingof routes and repeated traverses were used to obtain adequatesamplingsin small tracts. Vegetationrows inducing linear distributionpatterns of birds, as along bushy fence lines or broad roadways,were crossedat right anglesrather than followed. I did not start to tally data until I had becomefamiliar with the stand and with the field marks and call notes of the local birds (on Grand April 1971] Transect Counts 335 Bahama). Where birds couldnot be identifiedquickly they were not counted. I invariably worked alone in order to reduce distractionsfrom the job in hand. Progressalong the route was on foot and essentiallycontinuous,alter- nating betweenslowwalking and brief pausesto look and listen. Long stopswere avoidedto reducethe dangerof doublerecordings,and birds aheadof the advancingobserverwerenot tallied until he had approached to within 100 feet of their positionalong the trail. Net speedsaveraged between1/.2and 1« mph in woodlandand between 1 and 2 mph in open country. Interruptions to observeitems of specialinterest were postponed until the formal surveywas completed.Detectionpointswere definedas thosewhere a bird was first seenor heard; birds that entered the survey tract after initial detection were not counted. Contrary to a common recommendationfor bird-countingoperations,squeakingand pishingsounds were used to lure hidden birds into view. Efforts were made to record the lateral distanceof the first responseof a lured bird, the point of origin rather than the point of identification,and althoughthe effectiveness of the soundswanedwhenthey wereusedrepeatedlyon a trail (Emlen, 1969), no correlatedchangein the pattern of lateral distributions (hence C.D. values) was detected. The slightlyhighercountsobtainedon the first few daysof a seriesas a resultof squeakinghad only a minor effecton the mean of all counts along the route. Surveyswere madeonly on dayswith favorableweather conditions,were startedwithin 1/.2 hour after sunrise,and extendedfor about 2 hours. Every natural meansof detection,visual and auditory, was usedand the type of detectionrecordedwith each observation. The location of unseensinging or calling birds was approximatedafter careful scanningor maneuvering. Lateral distances(at right anglesto the route of progress)were estimated in 10-footintervalsto 100 feet, then a singleinterval from 100 to 200 feet (recordedas +), anotherfrom 200 to 400 (412) feet (recordedas ++) and anotherbeyond412 feet (recordedas +++). After an initial periodof selftraining with a range finder, I found it best to carry no more than a series of mental referencesto familiar linear situations,and to check these repeatedlyby pacing. Estimatesof distancesgreater than 100 feet were more difficult than short distances,but also less critical for determining C.D. values. SOME PRELIMINARY RESULTS A few generalizationsand preliminary deductionscan be drawn from the field testsrun to date. The methodappearsto be applicableto most nonflocking,temperatezonedoves,cuckoos,hummingbirds,woodpeckers, and passetines.It is poorlysuitedfor wide-rangingwater birds,shorebirds,and 336 Joan T. EMLEN TABLE [Auk, VO& 88 3 ATTENUATION OF DETECTABiLITY IN PINE FORESTS WITH A •VIoDERATE UNDERSTORY ON GRAND BA•IA•V•A ISLAND1 Detection type 0-50' 50'-100' 100'-200' 200'-+- All visible detections Birds flushed 73 92 23 8 3 0 1 0 877 50 Birds seen moving Still perching All auditory detections Birds calling Birds singing 72 59 35 48 21 24 31 29 36 24 3 10 29 15 41 1 0 7 1 13 784 43 2108 1029 1060 Other sounds All detections N 79 16 5 0 19 46 27 22 5 2985 t Incidence of each type of visual and auditory detection is shown in four unequal distance intervals from the trail. Figures represent per cent within each type for all speciescombined. hawks,for nocturnalbirds,for treetopbirdsin tall denseforests,and for swifts and swallowsthat cruise about above the vegetation. Flocking speciespresentspecialproblemsand ordinarily are best handledby direct counting within each flock. Amongthe speciesthat meetthe basicrequirementsof the method,some create specialproblemsby sneakingaway or, on the other hand, by approachingthe censustaker. The roadrunnerexemplifiesthe former group, and hummingbirdsoften demonstratethe latter trait. Also many birds closeto the trail, in additionto thoseactuallyflushed,are probablyaroused to vocalizeor move,and thus to enhancetheir detectability. Compensating or even overcompensating for this effect is a tendencyfor birds of many speciesto retreat laterally from the line projectedaheadof the observeras he advances. Breckenridge(1935) noted this phenomenon,and in the present study countswere commonlyhigher in the 20-29 and 30-39 foot stripsthan in the 0-9 and 10-19 foot stripsalong the trail (top of Figure 2). Bias arising from thesebehaviorsis presumablynullified or at least minimized by averagingthe countsout to 50 feet or more in determining the basal plateau level of a lateral distribution curve. It is too early to attempt to assigngeneralC.D. valuesor to analyzethe seasonal and habitat variationsfor any speciesas such,but data are available for a few species in certainregionsthat seemto showcharacteristicand suggestive patterns. In thesebirds, valuesto the 412-foot lateral distance (C.D. 412) rangedfrom 0.09 to 0.89. Low valuesindicatinglessthan 20 per cent coveragewereobtainedfor nonsinginggroundfeedersthat characteristically remainedundetecteduntil flushedat close range (wintering BobwhiteQuail, SavannahSparrows,and Ovenbirds),quiet speciesfrequentingdensebrush(nonsinging SongSparrowsand Yellowthroats),and smallquiet arborealand subarborealbirds (Kinglets and Brown Creeper April 1971] Transect Counts TABLE 337 4 C.D. VALIJES1 IN FIVE HABITAT TYPES ON GRANDBA•IAlVI:A ISLAND JANVARY-MARCH1969 Miles C.D. 412 Vegetation type (% cover-high shrubs) traversed (mean) Densehigh thickets (70-90%) Pineswith high shrubs(50-60%) Pines with sparsehigh shrubs(10-20%) 5.3 4.8 9.1 0.14 0.17 0.19 8.1 12.8 0.30 0.25 Pines with only low shrubs (none) Open pines with low shrubs (none) • All species combined. in the fall and mostwinteringwarblers). Highestvaluesindicatinggreater than 50 per cent detectionto the 412-foot line wereproducedby large noisy arborealbirds (certainwoodpeckers, crows,and jays in winter) and breeding birds with loud clear songs(Cardinal, CarolinaWren, Mockingbird, etc.). These noisy birds may best be evaluatedto the 825- or even the 1,650-footline so that all detectionsare included. Exceptin a few casessamplesizesare still inadequateto permit testsof variancein singlepopulationsor to evaluateseasonalor regionalvariations within a species.In the wintering populationof Palm Warblers on Grand Bahama(N = 2430) six monthlyvalues(JanuarythroughMarch 1968and 1969) rangedfrom 0.196 to 0.240 and showeda meanand standarddeviation of 0.219 -+ 0.015. During thesesame6 months Gnatcatcherson Grand Bahama (N = 321) showeda C.D. 412 meanvalueand standarddeviation of 0.197 - 0.029. Winter and early springvaluesfor the Pine Warbler on Grand Bahama and the Red-belliedWoodpeckerin Florida were 0.311 -+ 0.059 (N -- 336) and 0.560 -+ 0.054 (N = 142) respectively. Samplesizesare still too small to evaluate the seasonalchangeswithin TABLE 5 COEFFICIENTS OF DETECTABILITY (C.D. 412) EORBREEDING BIRD SPECIES IN NORTHERN MINNESOTA AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN Northern Northern Minnesota• (1955-SCK) Michigan2 (1969-JTE) Great CrestedFlycatcher 0.93 (5) 2 0.80 (23) 2 Least Flycatcher Eastern Wood Pewee Red-eyed Vireo Ovenbird Scarlet Tanager Rose-breastedGrosbeak 0.36 (73) 0.46 (35) 0.52 (73) 0.58 (28) 0.47 (10) 0.47 (14) 0.52 (13) O.51 (65) 0.42 (65) 0.55 (73) 0.56 (14) 0.60 (7) Kendeigh (1956). This study. Values in parenthesesare number of birds recorded. Jo•IN T. EMLrN 338 TABLE [Auk, Vol. 88 6 COMPARISON OF BREEDINGPOPULATIONESTIMATES(BI•DS PER 100 ACRES) OST^•ED •¾ T•RrE METHODS• Indicated MethodC MethodD sum- mapping mation (terr. (max. Method G C.D. conversion (all detections) (songs X 2) a adjustment forincorepleteness (col. 1/ X 2) count)• 11 9 29 6 14 0.6 3 31 4 12.8 4.8 19.4 16.9 12.9 2.4 9.6 16.9 9.6 6.2 44.1 6.4 8.4 0.2 21.4 4.1 7.6 3.5 - 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.9 1.7 0.9 1.4 - Bahaman Yellowthroat Thick-billed Vireo 17 34 19.4 44.0 16.9 - 29.0 1.0 1.2 Olive-capped Warbler 14 19.5 15.5 - 0.9 Yellow-throated Pine Warbler Warbler 11 14 14.3 22.0 9.8 16.9 - 1.1 0.8 Bananaquit 29 22.0 21.2 - 1.4 Striped-headedTanager 40 34.0 41.2 - 1.0 Black faced Grassquit 11 12.0 8.4 - 1.3 278 292.3 Grand Bahama pine forest: Ground Dove Zenaida Dove Cuban Emerald Hummingbird Hairy Woodpecker Greater Antillean Pewee LoggerheadFlycatcher Stolid Flycatcher Blue-Gray Gnatcatcher Red-leggedThrush TOTAL ( 17 species) Michigan deciduousforest: Mourning Dove Black-billed Cuckoo Hairy Woodpecker Eastern Kingbird Great Crested Flycatcher Least Flycatcher Eastern Wood Pewee 1.2 - 0.8 - 1 0 - 0.2 - 2 2 6 2 1.2 2.4 7.3 4.8 0.3 - 0.5 3.8 4.1 - 22.0 6 2.2 Crow 2 0 Black-capped Chickadee 4 1.2 White-breasted Nuthatch Red-breasted Nuthatch Brown Thrasher Robin Hermit Thrush 1 1 2 4 3 Veery Common Cedar Waxwing Red-eyedVireo Black-and-white - 16.5 4.1 - 1.2 - - - 0.3 - - 1.2 1.2 0 6.0 7.2 0.1 0.3 2.8 - 0.6 2.8 - 8 9.7 4.0 - - 6 20 2.4 25.4 1.9 - 17.7 - 1.1 1 2.4 - 0.3 Black-throated Green Warbler 1 2.4 0.6 - - Pine Warbler 3 2.4 - 0.6 - tData Warbler 1.06 2 20 Blue Jay 263 col. 3) • - were taken on two census tracts: a 35-acre stand of plneland on Grand Bahama Island, surveyedon 7 morningsbetween15 and 23 April 1969, and a 49-acre stand o[ aspen,oak, etc. in northern Michigan, surveyedon 8 morningsbetween 10 and 14 June 1969. • In method D the number of singing males within 200 feet of the trail was doubled and added to the number of nonsongdetections,then multiplied by 2 to conformto the strip width of method G. a In method G the highest o[ the two derived values was adopted as explained in the text. 4 In column 4 the values obtained by method G are related to those obtained by method C. There is no final reference for completeness. April 1971] Transect TABLE Counts 339 6 (Continued) Indicated Method D MethodC sum- Michigan deciduous forest: Myrtle Warbler Ovenbird Brown-headed Cowbird mapping (terr. mation (max. X 2) count)-• 4 22 10 3.6 24.0 11.0 Method G C.D. conversion (all detections) 1.6 - (songs X 2) 2 17.7 4.1 adjustment for incompleteness (col. 1/ col.3) • 1.2 2.4 ScarletTanager 6 4.8 - 2.5 - Rose-breasted Grosbeak 6 4.8 - 1.3 - Indigo Bunting 2 4.8 - 2.2 - American Goldfinch 3 1.2 0.3 - - Vesper Sparrow Chipping Sparrow 4 6 7.2 4.8 - 1.0 1.9 - 160 173.8 TOTAL (30 species) 95 1.69 any species,but in the BobwhiteQuail and Mockingbird,C.D. 412 values roughlydoubledwith the adventof the singingseason.Ovenbirdson their breeding groundsin Michigan had C.D. values about four times those derived from nonsingingbirds on their wintering groundsin Florida and Grand Bahama. Foliage,particularlyin the tall shrubstratum (eye and ear level of the observer) rapidly attenuatesthe detectionof bird soundsand movements laterally from the transectroute. Birds that can readily be detectedaurally to 400 feet or more in an open situation may be undetectableat 200 feet in densehigh brush. In a sampleof lateral distancedata from the Grand Bahamapine forests(Table 3) visualdetectabilityfor all speciestogether in the second50-foot strip was about 30 per cent o.f that in the basal 50 feet, and then dropped to about 2 per cent beyond the 100,-footline. Auditory detectabilityin the samesampledeclinedto 83 per cent beyond 50 feet and to. 41 per cent beyond 10,0 feet, but for singing alone.there was no appreciabledeclineinside the 200-foo.tline. In a comparisonof resultsfrom variousforest types on Grand Bahama, overall C.D. values (all speciescombined)were about twice as high in openpine forestswith low palmettoshrubsas in dense,high shrubthickets (Table 4). To date no other ornithologistshave followedmy field proceduresover the sameor similarroutesto test for interobserver variability,but a useful comparison canbe drawnfrom data presentedby Kendeigh(1956) on the frequencyof detectionpointsat variousdistancesfrom his surveytrail in northern Minnesota. C.D. values derived from these data correspond reasonablywell with values I obtainedfor the same speciesin northern Michigan in 1969 (Table 5). 340 Joan T. E•LE• [Auk, Vol. 88 Direct testsof the accuracyof the C.D. conversionmethodare not possibleas thereis no knownway to obtain a completeand accuratecensusof nonflockingland birds as a reference.Howell (1951) and Enemar (1959) placedgreat reliancein the territory mappingmethod(C in Figure 1) in derivingtheir effectivity valuesfor transectcounts. After conductingsew eralsuchterritorymappingsurveys,notingthe wide-rangeof interpretations that canbe extractedfrom composite mapsof songperches,and evaluating the problemsof nonbreeders, transients,large partially incorporatedterritories,etc., I do not have sufficientfaith in the methodto acceptit as a final reference.I have,however,madedirect comparisons of the territory mapping method, the maximum count in a fixed strip (summation) method,and the C.D. conversion method(C, D, and G in Figure 1) in a pinelandstand on Grand Bahama and in a deciduousforest in northern Michigan (Table 6). AlthoughI relate the valuesobtainedby the C.D. method to thoseobtainedby territory mapping, I am inclined to think that the former is more sensitive and balanced for most of the. uncommon speciesand perhapsmore "foolproof" for most of the abundant species in which territoriesare contiguous.This doesnot mean that adjustments for completeness are not needed.With appropriateadjustmentsthe final valueswill apparentlyresemblethoseobtaineddirectlyby territory mapping in general order of magnitude. AC KNOWLEDG1V•ENTS Financialsupportfor field studieswasprovidedby the AmericanPhilosophical Society and the F. M. ChapmanMemorial Fund. Facilitiesand logisticsupportwere provided by the Welder Wildlife Foundation of Sinton, Texas, the U.S. National Park Service, and the Colonial ResearchInstitute of Freeport, Grand Bahama. Valuable assistance in the field and in analyzing data was given by Mrs. Virginia Emlen. Joseph J. Hickey, J. Merritt Emlen, and Chandler S. Robbins offered helpful criticismsand suggestionson the manuscript. SUMMARY Censusmethods for nonflocking land birds are reviewed and a new methodis describedthat is applicableat all seasons, is moreefficientthan the intensiveplot methods,and is apparentlycomparablein accuracy. In the newmethodfoot transectcountsare madein whichall detections,visual and aural, out to the limit of detectabilityare tallied. The count for each speciesis then multipliedby a conversion factor (coefficientof detectability) representing the per centof the populationthat is normallydetected by theseprocedures.Conversion valuesare deriveddirectlyfrom distribution curvesof detectionpointslaterally from the observer'strail. Conversionvaluesare finally adjustedfor incompleteness in the strip.of optimum coveragecloseto the transecttrail. Field proceduresused in testing the April 1971] Transect Counts 341 new methodare describedand samplesof preliminaryresultsare presented and evaluated. LITERATURE CITED BRECKENRIDGE, W.J. 1935. A bird censusmethod. Wilson Bull., 47: 195-197. COLQUaOUN,M.K. 1940a. The density of woodland birds determined by the sample count method. J. Anim. Ecol., 9: 53-67. COLQUaOUN,M.K. 1940b. Visual and auditory conspicuousness in a woodland bird community: a quantitative analysis. Proc. Zoo[ Soc. London, 110: 120-148. E•LEN, J. T. 1969. The squeak lure and predator mobbing in wild birds. Anim. Behar., 17: 515-516. ENE•AR, A. 1959. On the determination of the size and compositionof a passerine bird population during the breeding season. Vf•r Ff•g[lvarld, Suppl. 2: 1-114. HAYNE,D.W. 1949. An examinationof the strip censusmethod for estimatinganimal populations. J. Wildl. Mgmt., 13: 145-157. HOWELL,J. C. 1951. Roadside censusas a method of measuringbird populations. Auk, 68: 334-357. KEm)EIC•r,S.C. 1944. Measurement of bird populations. Ecol. Monogr., 14: 67-106. KEm)Em•, S.C. 1956. A trail censusof birds at Itasca State Park, Minnesota. Flicker, 28: 90-104. LEOeOLD, A. 1933. Game management. New York, Chas. Scribner'sSons. MERIXALLIO, E. 1946. iJberregionale Verbreitungund Anzahlder LandviSgel in Sud und Mittelfinnland,besonders in dereniSstlichen Teilen,im Lichte yon quantitativen Untersuchungen.Ann. Zool-Soc. Vanarno, tom 12, No. 1. MEmXA•LIO, E. 1958. Finnish birds, their distribution and numbers. Fauna Fennica V. Helsingfors. PAL•ORE•, P. 1930. Quantitative Untersuchungenuber die Vogelfauna in den W•ild- ern Sudfinnlands.Acta Zool. Fennica,7: 1-218. SEIERSTAD, S., A. SEIERSTAD, AND I. MYSTERUD. 1965. Statistical treatment of the inconspicuousness problem in animal population surveys. Nature, 206: 22-23. S•ow, D.W. 1966. The relationshipbetween censusresultsand the breedingpopulation of birds on farmland. Bird Study, 13: 287-304. STEWART, R. E., J. B. COeE,C. S. ROBBINS, Am) J. W. BRAINERD.1952. Seasonaldistribution of bird populationsat the Patuxent ResearchRefuge. Amer. Midi. Naturatist, 47: 257-363. W•LL•S, A. 13. 1936. The compositionand dynamicsof a beech-mapleclimax com- munity. Ecol. Monogr., 6: 317-408. W•LLn•SO•, K. 1964. Bird censuswork in woodland. Bird Study, 11: 1-22. YAee, W.B. 1956. The theory of line transects.Bird Study, 3: 93-104. Departmentof Zoolt•gy,Universityof Wisconsin,Madison,Wisconsin 53706. Accepted6 April 1970. 342 Jo• T. E•xLE• [Auk, Vol. 88 Appendix. Scientific names of birds referred to in text and tables Bobwhite Colinus virginianus Mourning Dove Zenaidura Zenaida Dove Zenaida Ground Dove Columbigallina passerina Coccyzus erythrophthalmus Black-billed Cuckoo Cuban Emerald Hummingbird Hairy Woodpecker Loggerhead Flycatcher Great Crested Flycatcher Stolid Flycatcher Least Flycatcher macroura aurita Chlorostilbon ricordii Black-capped Chickadee Dendrocopus villosus Tyrannus caudiJasciatus Myiarchus crinitus Myiarchus stolidus Empidonax minimus Contopus virens Contopus caribaeus C yanocltta cristata Corvus brachyrhynchos Parus atricapillus White-breasted Sitta Eastern Wood Greater Antillean Pewee Pewee Blue Jay Common Crow Nuthatch Red-breasted Brown Nuthatch Thrasher carolinensis Sitta canadensis Veery Blue-gray Gnatcatcher Cedar Waxwing Bananaquit Toxostoma ruJum Turdus migratorius Mirnocichla plumbea Hylocichla guttara Hylocichla Juscescens Polioptila caerulea Bombycilla cedrorum Coereba flaveola Thick-billed Vireo crassirostris Vireo olivaceus Robin Red-legged Thrush Hermit Thrush Vireo Red-eyed Vireo Black-and-white Warbler Mniotilta varia Myrtle Warbler Dendroica coronata Black-throated Dendroica virens Dendroica dominica Green Warbler Yellow-throated Warbler Olive-capped Warbler Palm Warbler Pine Warbler Ovenbird Yellowthroat Bahaman Yellowthroat Brown-headed Cowbird Dendroica pityophila Dendroica palmarum Dendroica pinus Seiurus aurocapillus Geothlypis trichas Geothlypis costrata Molothrus ater Scarlet Tanager Striped-headed Tanager Piranga olivacea Spindalis zena Rose-breasted Pheucticus Grosbeak Indigo Bunting American Goldfinch Black-faced Grassquit Vesper Sparrow Chipping Sparrow ludovicianus Passerina cyanea Spinus tristis Tiaris bicolor Pooecetes gramineus Spizella passerina
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