Underemployment: Implications for Organizations By Malak Kazan Senior Associate (800) 627-3697 - [email protected] - www.erieri.com Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute - 8575 164th Avenue NE, Redmond, WA 98052 With the unprecedented and persistently high unemployment rates of 7.3%, 9.3%, 9.6%, and 8.9% from 2008 through 2011 respectively, the labor market has been a buyers’ market, giving employers the advantage of potentially getting the best talent at a “value.” Employers are also staffing up cautiously by using part-time workers. The resultant underemployment has two by-products of these market conditions: underutilized workforce and involuntary part-time staff. This paper will review the effects of underemployment in terms of the impact on organizations and some of the proactive approaches which companies can use to sustain the benefits of these market advantages. We will also review and analyze some industry sectors and related jobs losses to gain insight to the underemployment labor market composition while also analyzing occupations that have a promising outlook. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, ERI Economic Research Institute, as well as independent analysis of 10-K, proxy statements, and academic research will serve as the basis of this report. First, let’s look at underemployment by defining the two by-products for the purpose of our analysis: 1. Underutilized or “overqualified” labor force consists of workers with high education, skill levels, and/or experience who are employed in jobs that do not require such abilities. 2. “Involuntary part-time” or underused labor force constitutes workers who could (and would prefer to) be working a full-time job. Underutilized workforce is a difficult statistic to evaluate, and most research currently is academic. However, we can tie the involuntary part-time definition to a related measure of unemployment, U-6. This measure includes individuals who are unemployed (also referred to as U3), plus discouraged workers, marginally attached workers (e.g. those who want and are available for a job, have recently looked for work, or not currently looking), as well as the involuntary part-time workers just explained. We will derive involuntary part-time workers by deducting the unemployed, discouraged, and marginally attached from the overall U6 reported statistics. As shown in the below table, underemployment for the period 2008 thru 2011 is 5.0%, 4.8%, 5.8%, and recently at 6.6%, respectively. Involuntary part-time workers are a significant portion of the workforce. Underemployment in the U.S. 2008 to 2011 U3 U4Δ U5Δ (U6 - U3 - U4Δ – U5Δ) Year U6 Unemployed Discouraged Workers Marginally Attached Involuntary Part-Time 2011 2010 2009 2008 15.90% 16.70% 16.20% 13.50% 8.90% 9.60% 9.30% 7.30% 0.20% 0.60% 1.20% 0.40% 0.20% 0.70% 0.90% 0.80% 6.60% 5.80% 4.80% 5.00% Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 1 Employee Engagement Why should organizations pay attention to underemployment and employee engagement? Employers strive to hire talent who are engaged in their work, self-motivated, and help the organization accomplish its goals. Engaged employees positively impact the bottom line in terms of profitability, customer service, and employee retention. Having engaged employees is a key competitive advantage for many high performance organizations. Underutilized and part-time workers are an effective source of talent as long as the workers voluntarily choose to be in these said jobs. An underemployed workforce introduces business risks to organizations that may result in disengaged employees. Although underutilized workers are difficult to measure, various studies suggest these types of workers are correlated with high job performance, but also job dissatisfaction and turnover rate1. Companies need to proactively address the risks associated with underemployment to prevent the negative effects in terms of low productivity, high turnover, low morale and loyalty, high customer churn, and workplace stress. Industry Analysis For organizations to better understand the untapped capacity of the underemployed, it is essential that they understand the potential source of this workforce. What is the composition of the underemployed workforce? Identifying the industry sectors which experience the greatest change in job loss can aid in defining the source of these underemployed workers. The table below summarizes the five sectors with highest job losses in the U.S. between 2008 and 20112. Top Job Loss by Industry Sector (in thousands) Sector Manufacturing Construction Retail Trade Financial Wholesale Trade 2008 -897 -787 -697 -227 -242 2009 -1,387 -1,053 -536 -316 -324 2010 109 -149 99 -65 7 2011 192 26 122 -12 67 Cumulative Increase 2008-2011 -1,983 -1,963 -1,011 -620 -491 The manufacturing, retail, and wholesale sectors seem to be rebounding with jobs added consecutively in 2010 and 2011. The manufacturing, wholesale trade, and retail sectors, from a supply change perspective, are interrelated. What happens in manufacturing will “trickle down” to wholesale trade first, then retail. With the push at the federal level to “bring manufacturing jobs to the States” and the “Made in America” campaign, the numbers for the manufacturing sector will likely improve. The construction sector had some job gain in 2011 only. The financial sector job losses are lessening yet continuing. 1 For more information, go to http://www.careerharmony.com/PDF/Fine&Nevo_PerceivedOQ_IJHRM_In_press.pdf 2 For more information on Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor job loss statistics, see links under references. Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 2 Organizations can assess the transferability of work experience in one industry sector to another by looking at the occupational characteristics of a specific job. ERI Economic Research Institute's Occupational Assessor makes available updated job descriptions and current assessments for each job in terms of their selected characteristics for occupations (SCO). Below is an example of a manufacturing worker job description and the corresponding SCO assessment: Selected Characteristics for Occupations ERI Occupational Assessor Industry Manufacturing Occupational Code 590-Processing Products From Assorted Materials Worker Functions Data Comparing People Taking Instructions-Helping Things Handling Additional Measures Creativity* Occasionally Administrative Activity* Occasionally Discretion/Independent Judgment* Frequently Specific Vocational Preparation Over 1 month up to and including 3 months Education Level Equivalent to 8th grade plus additional classes Literacy Demands Mathematics Level Level 1 Language Level Level 2 Reasoning Level Level 2 Temperaments DIRECTING, controlling, or planning activities of others Performing REPETITIVE or short-cycle work Attaining precise set limits, TOLERANCES, and standards Working UNDER specific instructions Dealing with PEOPLE Mental & Stress Demands Understanding & Memory Memory* Frequently Short Instruction Memory* Frequently Detailed Instruction Memory* Frequently Sustained Concentration & Persistence Short Instruction Carrying Out* Frequently Detailed Instruction Carrying Out* Occasionally Concentration & Attention* Frequently Work Schedule* Frequently Work Routine* Frequently Work Distractions* Occasionally Work Decisions* Frequently Work Completion* Frequently Social Interaction Public Interaction* Occasionally Assignment/Assistance* Frequently Work Review* Peer Interaction* Work Behavior* Occasionally Frequently Occasionally Adaptation Adaptation to Change* Occasionally Hazard Awareness* Occasionally Travel* Occasionally Independent Planning* Occasionally Aptitudes General Learning Ability 3-Medium Verbal Aptitude 3-Medium Numeric Aptitude 3-Medium Spatial Aptitude 2-Low Form Perception 3-Medium Clerical Perception 2-Low Motor Coordination 2-Low Finger Dexterity 3-Medium Manual Dexterity 3-Medium Eye-Hand-Foot Coord. 2-Low Color Discrimination 2-Low (An asterisk (*) indicates a field that is an added, enhanced measure not found in abandoned 1991 DOT.) In this example, by reviewing the SCO assessment, one can understand the worker function, vocational preparation, literacy demand, education level, temperament, mental stress demands, and aptitudes of manufacturing workers, then translate these to the current needs of their organization. Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 3 Occupation Outlook Those organizations experiencing the fastest growing occupations can look to those sectors with the highest job losses as a viable labor pool, especially if they are already utilizing them in an underemployed capacity. The following table from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the fastest growing occupations in the U.S., the average pay levels benchmarked with data from ERI’s Salary Assessor, and Education/Training requirements for the occupations. # Occupations new jobs Education/training category ERI job title ERI Mean Wages in 2011 (000s) Home health aides 460.9 Short-term on-the-job training Home Health Aide $26,093 Food prep. /serving workers/fast food 394.3 Short-term on-the-job training Fast Food Worker 19,708 Personal and home care aides 375.8 Short-term on-the-job training Personal Aide 25,872 Retail salespersons 374.7 Short-term on-the-job training Retail Sales Clerk 25,865 Office clerks, general 358.7 Short-term on-the-job training Clerk, General 33,285 Truck drivers, heavy & tractor 232.9 Short-term on-the-job training Truck Driver Heavy 41,696 Landscaping & grounds keeping 217.1 Short-term on-the-job training Groundskeeper 28,087 Receptionists and information clerks 172.9 Short-term on-the-job training Receptionist 30,480 Customer service reps 399.5 Moderate-term on-the-job training Customer Service Reps (general calls) 35,736 Construction laborers 255.9 Moderate-term on-the-job training Construction Worker 36,742 Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks 212.4 Moderate-term on-the-job training Audit Clerk 35,284 Carpenters 165.4 Long-term on-the-job training Carpenter (gen/maint) 46,256 Executive secretaries and administrative assistants 204.4 Work experience in a related occupation Executive Secretary 43,951 276 Postsecondary vocational award Nursing Aide 28,695 Registered Nurse 67,699 Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants Registered nurses 581.5 Associate degree Accountants and auditors 279.4 Bachelor’s degree Accountant 54,940 Elementary school teachers 244.2 Bachelor’s degree Elementary School Teacher 59,584 Computer software engineers, applications 175.1 Bachelor’s degree Computer Software Engineer 86,982 Management analysts 178.3 Management Configuration Analyst 78,719 Postsecondary teachers 256.9 Doctoral degree Teacher College/ University 64,063 Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience Analysis of these highest growth occupations shows a total of 5,816,300 job gains, with 11 of the 20 occupations having pay levels less than $37,000, and most of the retooling required is on-the-job training. The remaining nine occupations on the list have a pay range of $41,696 to $86,982, and most require a college degree. Almost 30% of the occupations are in the health care field, 23% are administrative (across all sectors), and 14% are in retail. Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 4 Retooling To meet the job growth projections, organizations have to address the issue of underemployment and retooling in tandem by formulating a workforce plan that incorporates a multi-pronged approach. The plan would entail a combination of tuition reimbursement coupled with career development, on-the-job training with mentoring, inhouse learning centers, and partnering with local educational institutions to collaboratively integrate some of the courses to their workforce plan. Tuition Reimbursement & Career Development Tuition reimbursement programs are evolving to align employee education needs with career development plans as well as supporting employee retention by having them sign payback agreements should the employee decide to exit the organization soon after receiving the tuition reimbursement benefit. Companies with strong performance culture will have career development discussions with employees on the education they should pursue, the possible career paths available in the organization, while explaining the requirements for each. On-the-Job Training & Mentoring This is probably the least costly solution in absolute terms for organizations. It is dependent on flexible business processes and leadership who can creatively structure work assignments while committing to the learning of the targeted employee populations. Referring to the occupational outlook analysis, some duration of on-the-job training was required for over 65% of the growth reported. Especially with the underutilized, these are individuals who essentially have “excess capacity” and, with some investment in the on-the-job training, their contributions can be increased. In-House Learning Centers or "Universities" Requiring the most investment, training employees through in-house programs can create a competitive advantage for a company. These programs are specifically tailored to the needs of the organizations, can be made available across different regions, and often can be “just-in-time” training, especially if technology is leveraged in the delivery of the programs. Organizations with continuous improvement culture will likely have some variation of this learning solution. Partnerships with Education Institutions Some trade schools, colleges, and universities offer certificate, continuing education, and adult learning curriculum that meet the learning needs of organizations. These learning solutions can be customized, integrated with learning management infrastructure, and delivered in a just-in-time basis as well. Summary Organizations that bring in workers from different industries should be able to foster innovations in terms of process improvement, technology, management, and leadership. Mine the skill sets of your workforce, understand the capacity that exists, and create a retooling road map to leverage the investment already made in the underutilized and involuntary part-time workforce. There are industry sectors like education and business services sectors that support organizations in executing such a road map. To sustain some of the market advantages of the recessionary economy, be proactive and prevent being blind sided by not having training and qualified human capital available to respond to business demands. Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 5 References: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. Career Guide to Industries, 2010-11 Edition. Retrieved on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/oco/cg/cgs035.htm (visited March 29, 2012). Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. Industry Employment. Occupational Outlook Quarterly, Winter 2011-12. Retrieved on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/2011/winter/art03.pdf (visited March 29, 2012). Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2012-13 Edition, Projections Overview, Retrieved on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/ooh/about/projections-overview.htm (visited March 29, 2012). Fine, S., & Nevo, B. Too Smart for Their Own Good? A Study of Perceived Cognitive Overqualification in the Workforce. International Journal of Human Resource Management. Retrieved on the Internet at http://www.careerharmony.com/PDF/Fine&Nevo_PerceivedOQ_IJHRM_In_press.pdf (visited March 29, 2012). Morss, E.R. (2011, Sept. 5). The Employment Numbers — What You Should Know. Retrieved on the Internet at http://www.morssglobalfinance.com/the-employment-numbers-what-you-should-know/ (visited March 29, 2012). Copyright© 2012 ERI Economic Research Institute 6
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