Is spamming an efficient strategy in temporal networks ? Martin Gueuning & Jean-Charles Delvenne & Renaud Lambiotte UCLouvain & UNamur September 2014 Dynamics On and Of Complex Networks VII Satellite Meeting ECCS’14 Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 1 / 11 Context • Someone wants to spread opinion/information to his neighborhood. • Fixed allocated time to spend between diffusing and convincing. Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 2 / 11 Framework • SI diffusion model over an edge. • power-law inter-contact probability distribution function (pdf) f (bursty behaviour). • Probability p of success for each attempt −→ underlying inter-success pdf. τ T T ∼ ψ(T ) τ ∼ f (τ ) Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 3 / 11 Moments of the inter-success pdf hT i = 2 T k τ = Z +∞ = 2 τ 1−p + hτ i 2 hτ i p 3 τ 1 − p 2 (1 − p) 2 + 2 τ + hτ i 3 hτ i p p τ k f (τ ) dτ is the k th moment of the inter-contact pdf f . 0 Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 4 / 11 Average Relay Time Trelay Trelay = 1+p 2 τ 2 2 hτ i ! −1 • Inter-meeting time pdf matters to determine whether process is bursty or not • Probability of success p modulates the ’amplitude’ of the burstiness Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 5 / 11 Comparison of strategies For a constant mean time between two successful transmissions which is the more efficient in term of diffusion : hτ i p , increase the quantity (low hτ i) or increase the quality (high p) of the successive attempts ? Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 6 / 11 Comparison of strategies : numerical results P for <τ>/p =cste, µ=1 At constant ratio, higher p is more efficient in terms of diffusion. 1 0.8 P 0.6 0.4 cst=0.5 cst=1 cst=2 cst=10 0.2 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 p Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII 1 p= probability of success P= overal probability of success before recovery hτ i p = naive mean time for success September 2014 7 / 11 Comparison of strategies : numerical results Transmissibility P for µ=1 5 0.9 0.8 0.7 <τ> 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 It is more efficient to be k times more convincing on one contact than the other way round. 0.2 0.1 0.05 0 1 p Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 8 / 11 Comparison with Poisson behaviour : numerical results Transmissibility P for bursty meeting 1 <τ> 5 0.5 0.05 0 1 0 If the meeting dynamic is bursty, transmissibility is more sensitive to the probability p of one attempt. p Transmissibility P for Poissonian meeting 1 <τ> 5 0.5 0.05 0 1 If the meeting dynamic is Poissonian, only the ratio matters. 0 p Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 9 / 11 Comparison with Poisson behaviour : numerical results Transmissibility P for bursty meeting 5 0.8 <τ> 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.05 0 1 If the meeting dynamic is bursty, transmissibility is more sensitive to the probability p of one attempt. p Transmissibility P for Poissonian meeting 5 0.8 <τ> 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.05 0 If the meeting dynamic is Poissonian, only the ratio matters. 1 p Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 10 / 11 Conclusion • Distinction between inter-meeting and underlying diffusive processes • Integration of social (burstiness) and ’biological’ (probability of success) factors Facing bursty meeting interactions, favor the quality of your message ! Martin Gueuning ( UCLouvain & UNamur ) DOOCN VII September 2014 11 / 11
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