REBASING THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI), JUNE 2004 MALE’ CPI January 2007 Table of Contents I. CPI system in the Maldives II - Rebasing of CPI A – The 2004-Based CPI series B – Linking of Historical series C – Comparison between 1995 based and 2004 based CPI C.1 – comparison of the most recent year, 2006 D – Data dissemination Appendices Appendix I: CPI - What is CPI and what does it measure? - The main use of CPI - Scope of CPI - Structure of CPI - Price collection - Computation of Indices Appendix II: CPI basket with weights for Male’ by COICOP, June 2004 Appendix III: Monthly CPI for Male’, 2005 Appendix IV: Monthly Inflation Rates for Male’, 2005 Appendix V: Monthly CPI for Male’, 2006 Appendix VI: Monthly Inflation Rates for Male’, 2006 Appendix VII: Linked CPI series with June 2004=100 as Base Appendix VIII: Figure 2: Inflation rates by major categories, 2006 Figure 3: Monthly Inflation Rates, 2006 Tables and Figures in the text Table 1: Weighting Pattern of CPI, 2004 based and 1995 based, Male’ Table 2: Number of items in the CPI basket Table 3: CPI, Male’ and Inflation rates for 2004 and 2005, with both base periods Table 4: CPI, Male’ and inflation rates, 2006 Figure 1: Weights, June 1995=100 and June 2004=100 2 I. CPI system in the Maldives 1.1 Consumer Price Index has been one of the oldest indicators produced by the Ministry of Planning and National Development. CPI has been compiled on a monthly basis since 1981. Initially when the compilation started, there were 81 items in the CPI basket which comprises of goods and services. 1.2 CPI has been revisited and rebased two times in 1995 and 2004 since its initial compilation. Each time the rebasing was carried out when it was felt that there were significant changes in the consumption pattern of its populace and consequently the CPI basket needs to be updated to accommodate these changes and reflect the current consumption patterns. Both the times the new basket selection and rebasing was carried out based on the Household Income and Expenditure Surveys, conducted in 1993 and 2002/2003. Weights were calculated based on the expenditure pattern of the households surveyed in the surveys while the items were chosen on the basis of its significance in the consumer’s expenditure. Prior to the recent rebasing carried out under the technical assistance of Asian Development Bank Capacity Building for the National Statistical System TA No. 4103-MLD, a first rebasing was carried out with IMF technical assistance in 1995. 1.3 Initially CPI was calculated using Microsoft Excel but with the first rebasing IMF introduced Excel based statistical software for the purpose. This package was quite simple in its use and was capable of implementing the Laspeyres formula in accordance with international standards and also imputes any missing elementary price index for a given period using the change of the index for the relevant grouping using non-missing elementary indices. 1.4 With the most recent rebasing, new software was introduced for the purpose of CPI calculation. The new system is based on specially designed software for price and quantity indices, Prima. II - Rebasing of CPI 2.1 The consumer price index of the Maldives has been rebased in 1995 and 2004 since the index calculation began in 1981. The latest revision was based on the results of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) conducted between September 2002 and June 2003. 2.2 This paper presents the methodology used for rebasing of CPI series using the updated weighting pattern. An overview of the concept and definition as well as uses of CPI, and its compilation are presented as APPENDIX I with the weighting pattern for 2004 based CPI as well as a detailed list of items selected for pricing as APPENDIX II. A - The 2004-Based CPI series 2.3 To reflect changes in the expenditure of private households, the composition of goods and services as well as the weighting pattern for the CPI has to be revised every five years, according to international recommendations. But, this is not possible in the Maldives as a large countrywide HIE survey needs to be conducted in order to revise the weights and basket. Hence, 3 in the Maldives this process has been very irregular. The most recent revision took place 10 years after the last revision. 2.4 The objective of a CPI revision is basically to review the weighting pattern of the CPI, the basket of goods and services priced and overcome any methodological hiccups. 2.5 The weighting pattern of CPI shows the relative importance of each item in the basket of goods and services, that is their share as a proportion of total household expenditure. HIES enumerated around 880 households of which Male’ accounted for about 32%. More than 80% of the household’s information was utilised in calculating the weights for CPI. 2.6 The base period for the new CPI series is June 2004. The expenditure values obtained from HIES 2002/03 were updated to 2004 June price levels by taking into account the price changes between these periods. 2.7 Table 1 shows the weighting pattern for 2004 based CPI. The corresponding weighting pattern for 1995 is also presented. Table 1: Weighting Pattern of CPI, 2004 based and 1995 based, Male’ Food, beverages and tobacco Food, beverages and tobacco excl. fish Fish and fish products Non-food items Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas etc. Furnishing, equipment and maintenance Medical care and health expenses Transport and communication Transport* Communication* Recreation and culture Education Miscellaneous goods and services Religion* Total CPI weights (‘04) CPI weights (‘95) 30.86 36.87 25.91 30.83 4.95 6.04 69.14 63.13 5.01 9.78 25.15 14.91 5.73 8.31 5.64 2.48 13.84 11.01 5.98 7.86 4.30 3.15 3.10 8.61 6.15 4.88 0.22 100.0 100.0 * No base weights available for 1995. 4 Figure 1: Changes in Male' CPI weights,1995 and 2005 40 35 30 37 CPI weights 1995 31 CPI weights 2004 25 % 25 20 15 15 10 10 8 5 11 6 14 6 2 5 9 3 4 3 5 6 Miscellaneous goods and services Education Recreation and culture Transport and communication Medical care and health expenses Furnishing, equipment and maintenance Housing, water, electricity, gas etc. Clothing and footwear Food, beverages and tobacco 0 2.8 Over the 10 year period, the weight for food fell by 6 percent from 37 percent to 31 percent in 2004, but continued to account for the highest proportion. 2.9 Housing, water, fuel and power whose weight increased from 15 percent to 25 percent still remains the second largest group. The higher share of this group can be attributed to the increased spending on accommodation as well as fuel. 2.10 The share of health care rose by 4 percent reflecting higher expenditure on medical facilities, especially from private medical institutions. The weight for education declined from 9 percent to 3 percent. This was to some extent due to low prices of text books which were locally printed as well as low prices on most stationary products as well as due to changes in the composition of items priced. 2.11 The share of clothing and footwear declined from 10 percent to 5 percent which maybe attributed largely to the price decline in most clothing products due to the competition in the clothing business in the country. The same goes for furniture and fixtures group which declined expenditures by 2 percent. 2.12 The increase in transport and communication shares by 3 percent in CPI may be attributed to the increase in expenditure by mobile users, which has increased drastically in the recent years. 5 2.13 Recreation and entertainment also increased by 2 percent while personal care now depicted in miscellaneous goods category increase only one percent. 2.14 New sample of items in the basket has expanded the basket from 121 items to 200 items in the 2004 based CPI basket. Table 2: Number of items in the CPI basket Sl. COICOP 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 01, 02 & 11 01.1.3 03 04 05 06 07-08 07. 08. 09 10 12 Food, beverages and tobacco Fish and fish products Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Furnishing, equipment and maintenance Medical care and health expenses Transport and communication Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Personal care, miscellaneous goods and services Religious activities Total Number of items Current New series series 42 73 6 8 7 16 11 12 17 22 5 13 11 17 10 7 6 18 6 2 10 18 1 121 200 2.15 Minor methodological changes have been applied to the new series. This has been part and parcel of using PRIMA to compile CPI. Prima uses the standard Laspeyres formula which compares the price for the current period with that of the base period every time and hence if an error occurred it only affects that period’s index only. Previously it was the modified Laspeyres which was used for which if any error occurred during any one year this error is passed on to the other years as well. B- Linking of Historical Series 2.16 To facilitate comparison of price changes over time, historical CPI data series were linked to the 2004-based CPI data series at the new reference period (June2004). The linked series was compiled using “splicing method” with June 2004 as base period. The historical series is provided as APPENDIX V. 2.17 An analysis of the historical series shows that from 1995 to 2001 there is no difference in the inflation rates as expected with the splicing methodology used. However, from 2002 onwards the rates are different from the previous base period rates. From 2002 onwards the new basket has been applied, and for those items without any prices (because for 2002 we were following the 121 item basket for data collection) an average of the group was utilized. Hence the difference in the inflation rates in the linked series. 6 C - Comparison between 1995 based and 2004 based CPI 2.18 Unlike the previous sections in this report, from this point onward, COICOP breakdowns will be used to make comparison as this will be the format that CPI will be compiled from 2007 onwards. The following table shows the differences in the two series for the years 2004 and 2005. Table 3: CPI, Male’ and Inflation rates for 2004 and 2005, with both base periods 1995based 2004 2005 99.73 103.38 97.57 102.59 78.95 88.17 *1/ *1/ *1/ *1/ *1/ *1/ 100.49 100.19 101.2 107.53 1995based 2004based 2004based inflation inflation 2004 2005 2005 2005 101.39 100.05 3.7 1.3 98.86 104.95 5.1 6.2 87.33 96.65 11.7 10.7 101.53 107.45 5.8 100.31 100.87 0.6 101.03 103.63 2.6 101.07 104.11 -0.3 3.0 101.68 102.78 6.3 1.1 Total Food And Non-Alcoholic Beverages 1. Fish 2. Other Food 3. Non-alcoholic beverages Tobacco and Narcotics Clothing and Footwear Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, Etc Furnishings, Household Equipment, Etc 100.06 101.13 99.19 104.06 1.1 4.9 Health 100.14 100.9 100.25 100.56 0.8 0.3 Transport and Communication 100.94 109.05 *2/ 8.0 *2/ 102.18 114.04 Transport *3/ 11.6 *3/ 94.59 78.15 Communications *3/ -17.4 *3/ Recreation and Culture 99.27 101.44 99.18 91.19 2.2 -8.1 Education 100.89 101.8 100.09 101.85 0.9 1.8 99.53 95.91 Hotels, Cafés and Restaurants *1/ -3.6 *1/ Miscellaneous Goods and Services 104.73 99.38 103.87 100.87 -5.1 -2.9 100 100.00 Religion *4/ 0.0 *4/ *1/ breakdowns were not calculated in the 1995 based CPI, all included in food and beverages *2/ two groups have been separated out in the 2004 based index, aggregate not available *3/ breakdowns were not calculated in the 1995 based CPI, both aggregated in Transport and communication group *4/ newly introduced group, previously came under personal goods and services alias miscellaneous goods and services 2.18 The lower growth rate in the 2004 based CPI is the result of major changes in the expenditure pattern captured in the new weights. Also the substantial changes in the composition of items between and within the major groups play an important role. For instance Clothing and footwear group, weight has declined by half, but inflation has risen. This maybe attributed to the fact that the number of items for which data collected has more than doubled for this group and these new items demands a high price. 2.19 However, for the Housing group, weight has increased from 15 to 25, but the inflation has declined from 6.3 to 1.1. In the group no change in rent of houses/ rooms was observed 7 during the period, nor were there any change in prices observed for garbage disposal, plywood, paint, roofing sheet and construction charges. However price of cement, cooking gas, kerosene oil increased while electricity charges and water charges declined. Hence the slight inflation in this category could be attributed to the fact that those items with high weights in 2004 basket did not increase much if at all, with the totaling effect of decline in prices of electricity and water setting in. The high figure can be attributed to the fact that cement was attached a weight of 1.47 in 1995 basket while it was 0.002 in 2004 basket. Price of cement was observed to be increasing, which may have been one of the reasons behind the high inflation observed for this category in the 1995 base weighted index. 2.20 Inflation rate of furniture increased from 1.1 to 4.9, while weights declined but the number of items priced increased from 17 to 22 items. 2.21 In the health category inflation rate declined from 0.8 to 0.3 while both weights and also the number of items increased which would relate solely to price changes. 2.22 Transport and communication is broken down into two separate sectors in the 2004 based CPI as each of them separately account for more than 5% of total weights. 2.23 Inflation rates in the category recreation and culture has declined while its weights as well as number of items increased. This maybe attributed to the fact that prices have declined for those items such as computers and mobile phones which has the highest weights in the category. 2.24 As for the category Education, inflations rate has increased while weights as well as the number of items priced declined. 2.25 Inflation rate of miscellaneous good/ personal goods have increased. This maybe attributed to the fact that weights as well as the number of items priced has increased. 8 C.1 Comparison of the most recent year, 2006 Table 4: CPI weights, index levels and inflation rates, 2006 CPI weights 1995 2004 weights weights Total Food And Non-Alcoholic Beverages CPI 2006 1995 2004 base base Inflation Rates 2006 1995 2004 base base 100.00 100.00 128.76 104.09 3.59 2.67 36.87 25.91 140.39 108.99 6.81 3.85 6.04 4.95 188.76 90.23 -6.15 (6.64) 20.16 *1/ 114.39 6.47 3. Non-alcoholic beverages 2.27 *1/ 101.96 1.08 Tobacco and Narcotics 1.91 *1/ 108.33 4.54 1. Fish 2. Other Food Clothing and Footwear Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, Etc Furnishings, Household Equipment, Etc 9.78 5.01 96.15 104.71 0.66 0.58 14.91 25.15 119.92 105.56 8.97 2.70 8.31 5.73 109.77 107.09 0.23 2.90 Health Transport and Communication 2.48 11.01 5.64 109.72 143.52 112.62 *2/ 2.93 4.23 11.99 Transport 5.98 *3/ 119.84 5.09 Communications 7.86 *3/ 70.63 (9.63) Recreation and Culture 3.15 4.30 98.28 88.61 0.06 (2.84) Education 8.61 3.10 122.82 106.72 0.56 4.79 1.57 *1/ 102.08 6.15 0.22 112.08 *4/ 101.34 100.00 Hotels, Cafés and Restaurants Miscellaneous Goods and Services Religion 2.26 4.88 6.43 0.46 0.00 2.05 The consumer price inflation for the year is based on the percentage change in the simple average of yearly Consumer Price Index (CPI) which, according to the index with 2004 base weights accelerated to 2.67 percent in 2006. However, this rate was registered at 3.59 % with the previous base, which was 1995. This maybe attributed to the overall effect of changes in weights as well as introduction of new items in the new basket. 9 2.27 Food and non-alcoholic beverages group registered a price growth of 3.85% for 2004 based CPI while price increase registered from index with 1995 based almost doubled with 6.81%. The reasons that contribute to this difference are firstly, the high weight attached to food group in 1995 based index compared to that of 2004. Secondly, the increase in number of items in the group almost doubled from 42 to 73. These newly introduced items demand on average a low price than those items in 1995 basket. 2.28 Fish index, although weights have declined slightly in the 2004 based index, both bases show a similar trend in price changes. Compared to an year ago prices of fish has declined by about 6 percentage points in 2006 which is due to large quantities of fish available in the market during the early parts of 2006. 2.29 Other food, Non-alcoholic beverages being new items in the 2004 based CPI, there is no way of comparing these rates. However, these items also registered an increase in prices over the past year, with 6.47% and 1.0% respectively. 2.30 Tobacco and Narcotics is also a new product and it also registered a positive growth in prices of 4.54% 2.31 In the expenditure groups, clothing and footwear experienced a decline in the weights attached to the item from 1995 to 2004. However, the rate at which the price grew is not much different while comparing the two indices. The weight decline effect is overshadowed by the positive growth in the prices of items represented in this category. 2.32 Housing, Water, Electricity etc is the category with the highest weight in both the base periods. However, the importance of this category in the expenditures of the nation has doubled with new weight being 25.25% compared to 14.91% in 1995. However, the index shows the opposite, 1995 based rates being higher than 2004 based rates, 8.97% and 2.70%. A number of factors contributed to this difference in the rates. Firstly, the distribution of weights among the items in the category changed. For instance, weights of rent, garbage disposal, water and gas increased from 1995 weights while weights of kerosene, electricity, and roofing sheets declined slightly while cement and plywood decreased significantly from 1995 weights. On the price issue, for most items whose weight increased average prices declined. And also prices increased for those items whose weights declined, especially for cement, plywood, kerosene and electricity. However, rent and gas which had an increase in weights also registered an increase in average prices over the previous year. 2.33 Furnishing, Household equipment etc registered an 8.97% growth in inflation with 1995 based index whereas, 2004 based indexed showed a much smaller value of 2.70% the decline being an effect of the decline in weights in the category. 2.34 Health category registered a slight increase of 2.93% in 1995 based index. However, the inflation rate with 2004 based was substantially higher at 11.99%. Part of the reasoning of this difference is due to increase in weight of health in 2004 compared to 1995. In addition, 8 new items have been introduced in the 2004 based CPI, namely out-patient 10 services, doctors consulting fee (specialist) and some tests and medicines have registered an increase in prices, whose inclusion has made a substantial impact on the inflation rate. 2.35 Transport and Communications category have been separated out in the 2004 based CPI to two different categories. To compare the two bases, if we average it out it shows a decline in the category. This is due to the under representation in the 1995 based CPI of communication. For instance, compared to 7 items in the 2004 based CPI there were only 2 items in 1995 based series for communication. Furthermore, the newly introduced items such as internet charges, mobile charges and mobile sets prices have been on the decline depicting a decline in the inflation rate in the category, communication. The increase in transport category is offset by the larger decline in communications. 2.36 Recreation and culture also registered opposite directions in inflation rates in the two bases. Major factors for this difference are newly introduced items in the category. Number of items have increased from 6 to 18, and prices of these new items such as computers, TV, recordable CD’s have been on the decline in the year in review and along with it the weights attached to these in the 2004 based CPI is in general higher than the comparable items in both the baskets, hence the negative growth in the inflation rate. However, in 1995 based CPI, film processing, video tapes and audio cassettes prices have increased while weights for these are considerably higher in this basket. 2.37 Education which experienced a decline in weights in 2004 based compared to 1995 based registered a much higher inflation rate in the 2004 based CPI. Furthermore, this is the only category which has fewer items represented in 2004 basket than in 1995 basket basically due to lower expenditure recorded on education in the HIES 2002/2003. Here the effect is of tuition fees increasing drastically from Rufiyaa 200 to Rufiyaa 300 which affects the 2004 based CPI more because of the fewer items in the category. 2.38 Hotel cafés and restaurants as well as religion are two new categories introduced in the 2004 based CPI. 2.39 Personal goods and services in the 1995 based CPI have been replaced by miscellaneous goods and services in the latter CPI with more items representing the category as well as a higher weight attached to it. However, the inflation rate registered in the 2004 based CPI is lower than that of 1995 based. This is the effect of the newly introduced items as well as those dropped from the previous basket. For instance, item wrist watch, which had a weight of 0.0021 registered a price increase of 24% which is reflected in the 1995 based series, however this item is not in the 2004 basket and hence does not have any effect. D - Data Dissemination 2.40 The 2004 based CPI series commences from June 2004. The linked historical series is also made available to facilitate comparison. The format of presentation has been revised for the 2004 based CPI, for international comparability. However, the previous format will also be published for ease of use until the end of 2006. From 2007 onwards the CPI will be published with the new base on a monthly basis. 11 III - APPENDIX I: CPI What is CPI and what does it measures? 3.1 The consumer price index (CPI) is one of the most important statistical indicators, which not only affects the socio-economic development measures, but also the living condition of the ordinary people. Theoretically, all consumer goods and services fall under the scope of the CPI, but practically, its coverage is confined to the ‘Consumer's basket’ which represents the total household consumption. Even if an individual item is not included in the basket, it is considered as represented in the basket by other items. 3.2 The CPI measures the changes in the price of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by the majority of the households over time. The types and specifications of the goods and services in the CPI basket as well as their quantities are kept constant at the base period. This ensures that any changes in the index reflect solely price changes over time. 3.3 The CPI reflects the price movements and not the actual price levels. Suppose the indices for bread and flour for a particular period are 110 points and 120 points respectively. This does not mean that flour costs more than bread but it simply implies that the prices of bread and flour have risen by 10 per cent and 20 per cent respectively since the base period. 3.4 The CPI is also not a Cost of Living Index (COLI). A COLI indicates what one would need to spend in order to maintain a certain level of satisfaction. Consumers are able to make substitutions in order to maintain a certain standard of living. It is, however not possible to determine the level of well being as one’s spending habits change with variation in lifestyle, market conditions, income levels, consumer preferences, growing affluence, composition of households etc. This makes it difficult to compile a COLI as there is no objective way of measuring the above mentioned changes. However, the CPI could be used as a proxy to COLI when the basket of goods and services and the level of households’ well-being are relatively stable. The main use of CPI 3.5 CPI is most commonly used as a macro-economic indicator of inflation. It is also used as a price deflator in the compilation of real sector statistics and indicators such as GDP at constant prices. 3.6 In the private business it is also used by employers as a basis of wage revisions in order to maintain the purchasing power of real wages and salaries. 3.7 Furthermore, it is globally used to compare the inflation rates of the country to that of other countries. Scope and Structure of CPI 3.8 The CPI covers all expenditure items commonly consumed by the households. 3.9 The CPI basket contains only the essential and representative goods and services commonly purchased by the majority of households. It is classified into 12 groups with subgroupings attached to some groups. 12 Price Collection 3.10 The price used for the compilation of the CPI is primarily obtained from the outlets chosen for the price collection. Prices actually paid by customers, inclusive of all taxes and service charges are used in the compilation of CPI. 3.11 The two common modes of price collection are postal surveys and phone surveys. For most of the goods and services such as food and provisions, prices are collected using a preitemized pricing schedule which is posted to the outlet. This specially designed schedule contains the pre-specified brands and other detailed descriptions of the selected goods/services. For others such as house rents prices are collected by staff of Statistics section through phone surveys. Additional information such as fish prices and expatriate labour charges etc are obtained from respective government authorities. 3.12 The frequency of the survey depends on the price behaviour of the goods or services. Perishable food items for which prices are volatile are surveyed more frequently in a month while items with more stable prices are priced monthly. As for government rates and charges they are monitored as and when the rates change. Computation of Indices 3.13 The CPI is calculated using the base-weighted Laspeyres’ formula p1 ⎡ ⎤ . p0 q0 ⎥ ∑ ⎢ p q ∑ 1 0 = ⎢ p0 ⎥ * 100 Ip = p q p q ⎢ ∑ 0 0 ∑ 0 0 ⎥ ⎢ ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ Where Ip p1 p0 q0 p1/p0 p0*q0 p1*q0 ∑ is the index for period 1 compared with base period is the price of item j in period 1 is the price of item j in base period 0 is the quantity of item j in base period 0 is the price relative of item j between period 1 and base period 0 is the expenditure on item j in the base period is the expenditure on the same quantity of item j in period 1 means the summation over all selected items in the basket The base period P0 of any item refers to the average price in that period. Thus the base period indices for any item are all equal to 100.00 index points. 3.14 As the CPI is compiled on a monthly basis, the whole year index is derived by taking a simple average of the 12 months’ indices for the year. Likewise the annual inflation rate for any year is computed by taking the ratio of the yearly index compared with that of the preceding year. 13 IV - APPENDIX 2: Rents 4. The calculation of rents in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) 4.1 The consumer price index is the most important indicator used in the country to measure the changes in price affecting the households. The CPI is a monthly index series and most prices are collected with this frequency. For most items in the basket, there is no difficulty in using these prices directly in the computations. 4.2 However, the measurement of changes in house rents cannot be done in the same way. The reason for this is that new rental information does not apply to all the households that live in rented accommodation, but only for those that make a new rental agreement. In many countries rents are adjusted every year, but in Maldives the most common agreement is that rents are fixed for the duration of a lease (which is generally open-ended) and thus only change when a new tenant moves into an apartment or a house or when the lease expires. 4.3 Until recently, the practice has been to follow a small number of houses and then calculate the changes in rents based on the changes recorded for those units. As rent changes in the small sample were rather infrequent, the resulting index did not reflect the changes in the broader market. 4.4 Therefore, a new procedure has been introduced, which should result in a more realistic reflection of changes in the market rents from month to month. This procedure is simple but can be effective. 4.5 In the newspapers, landlords advertise units for rent (there are effectively no real estate agents in Male’). Staff of Statistics contact the landlords and ask four basic items for information, namely: a. New monthly rent for the unit; b. Previous rent for the unit; c. Duration of the past lease; and d. Duration of the new lease In addition, the amount of deposit and other advances may be noted along with identifying characteristics. 4.6 Taking a fair number of observations (say ten every week) the three items of information above can be used to calculate two data items, namely: The average percentage change in rent; and The average duration of the previous lease (in months). Both these items can be calculated as simple averages of the individual observations. For a cross –check on the average lease duration, the new average duration is also calculated. 4.7 The inverse of the average duration of the previous rent gives the share of the households affected by the change in rent, which is applied to the percentage change for the sample to obtain the change for the total population. Thus, if the changes in rents for the units monitored during the month is 30% and the average duration of the precious rents is 21/2 year 14 ,( 30 months), the percentage change in all rents for the month is 1% (1/30th of the rents have increased by 30%). 4.8 As the number of observations per month is rather small, it is best to calculate the average duration of precious leases on the basis all previous records ( going back for a period equivalent to the average length of the leases, In the example given, the past 30 months would be used in the calculations. As the average duration changes over time (probably shortening), this approach, can be used to adjust it. 4.9 It maybe noted that if this approach yields regular information on all the three data items listed, this method is completely independent from other information such as the relative or absolute size of the rental market. These items only come up when the index is being rebased from time to time using the results of new household surveys. 4.10 A further improvement can probably be made by using the census information to obtain the share of the rented apartments by number of rooms and then apply the rent changes at this lower level of aggregation. However, it likely will not change the numbers significantly as the mix of houses coming on the market for rental will quite closely reflect the composition of the housing stock. 4.11 The PRIMA data set will need to be adjusted for rents so that the indices derived from this information can be entered directly, in effect for a single rental item. The monthly price change then needs to be linked to the index for the previous month to obtain the new index to be entered in PRIMA 15 Appendix III: CPI basket with weights for Male’ by COICOP, June 2004 COICOP 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 CPC 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2342001 2342001 2366001 2343002 2343002 2316001 2316001 2312099 2371002 2315002 2112202 2112201 2112201 292001 2111201 2315001 2315001 2291001 2291003 2292001 2211003 2294099 2165001 134901 131001 132002 134101 131007 2154002 2154001 2153003 131006 Item Code Code Major Groups, Items 1. Food, beverages and tobacco products excluding fish 1 1 Biscuits 2 1 Bread 3 1 Bread spreads 4 1 Butter Buns 5 2 Buns 6 1 Rice-Basmati 7 2 Rice 8 1 Flour 9 1 Noodles 10 1 Corn Flakes 11 1 Chicken sausage 12 2 Chicken Drumsticks 13 3 Frozen Chicken 14 1 Egg 15 1 Frozen beef 16 1 Baby Food - Cereals 17 2 Baby Food - Fruit 18 1 Baby Milk Powder 19 1 Milk Powder 20 1 Condensed milk 21 2 Dairy milk 22 3 Margarine 23 1 Cooking Oil 24 1 Apple 25 1 Banana 26 1 Orange 27 2 Water melon 28 3 Mango 29 1 Canned Mixed fruits 30 3 Canned Pineapple 31 1 Dates 32 1 Coconut Male' weights out of a 100 25.91 0.49 0.72 0.13 0.04 0.14 0.69 0.57 0.78 0.34 0.14 0.24 0.86 0.45 0.58 0.09 0.27 0.38 0.02 2.40 0.26 0.74 0.17 0.78 0.45 0.43 0.32 0.19 0.37 0.07 0.08 0.18 0.78 16 1 1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1 2 2 1 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 132001 123912 123912 123926 123925 123910 124005 123904 124009 124006 124007 121001 2139001 2139002 122002 1620001 2352001 162010 162002 124008 2391399 2391399 2391199 2140001 2140001 2291005 2342002 2342002 2297099 2449001 2441001 136003 2501001 2399905 2399904 1 0 1 0 0 6329001 6329001 0 1 2152099 0 1 2399501 0 1 2399501 1 1 0 0 2124001 0 0 2124001 33 34 35 1 Lemon 1 Green Chilli 1 Gotheyo Mirus Mixed Fresh 36 1 Vegetables 37 2 Tomato 38 3 Cucumber 39 4 Carrot 40 5 Cabbage 41 6 Beans 42 7 Garlic 43 8 Ginger 44 1 Potato 45 1 Canned Baked Beans 46 2 Canned Grean peas 47 1 Dhal 48 1 Salt 49 1 Sugar 50 2 Curry Powder 51 4 Chilli Powder (local) 52 1 Onion 53 1 Tea Leaves-tea bag 54 3 Tea Leaves-loose 55 1 Coffee 56 1 Juice-Sun quick 57 2 Juice-Foster Clark 58 1 Milo 59 1 Apollo 60 1 Candy 61 1 Ice cream 62 2 Coke 63 1 Mineral water, bottle 64 1 Aracanut 65 1 Cigarette 66 1 Salty Short eats 67 1 Sweet Short eats 68 1 Meals (Lunch packet) 69 1 Pizza 70 2 Restaurant Meals 71 1 Jam 72 1 Tomato past 73 1 Sauce 2. Fish and fish product 74 1 Canned Fish in oil 75 2 Canned Fish in brine 0.39 0.08 0.32 0.32 0.04 0.07 0.24 0.16 0.07 0.09 0.04 0.21 0.06 0.01 0.13 0.11 0.60 0.27 0.11 0.33 0.24 0.06 0.28 0.61 0.61 0.41 0.06 0.00 0.14 0.14 0.33 0.17 1.74 0.76 0.76 0.38 0.47 0.72 0.11 0.06 0.06 4.95 0.34 0.34 17 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2123001 2124003 2123002 412001 2124099 412003 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28232 28232 28232 28221 28221 28221 28234 26840 3 0 0 28234 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28235 29340 29420 29320 29330 29320 29320 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7211101 0 7211101 0 69210 0 69110 0 94211 0 33340 0 69120 0 37440 0 31410 0 3511001 0 37440 0 54112 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 38140 38140 5 5 0 0 0 0 38150 38119 76 1 Dried Fish Chips 77 1 Fish Paste 78 1 Smoked fish 79 1 Skipjack tuna 80 1 Other tuna 81 1 Reef fish 3. Clothing and footwear 82 1 Men’s T-Shirt 83 1 Men’s Shirt 84 1 School Uniform 85 1 Men’s Trousers 86 1 Men’s Jeans 87 1 Women’s Jeans 88 1 Women’s T.shirt 89 1 Dress material Tailoring women's 90 1 blouse Stitching the national 91 1 dress 92 1 School shoes 93 1 Sport shoes 94 1 Nylon faivaan 95 1 Men's shoes 96 1 Men's sandals 97 1 Women's sandals 4. Housing, water, fuel and power 98 1 Rent (House) 99 2 Rent (Room) 100 1 Water 101 1 Electricity charges 102 1 Garbage Disposal 103 1 Kerosene 104 1 Cooking gas 105 1 Cement 106 1 Plywood 107 1 Paint 108 1 Roofing Sheet 109 1 Construction charges 5. Furniture, furnishing, household equipment & operation 110 1 Bedroom set 111 2 Single Bed Mattress Kurl on / 112 1 temptation 113 1 Chair 0.13 0.98 0.39 2.21 0.23 0.32 5.01 0.58 0.65 0.22 0.36 0.36 0.39 0.22 0.52 0.25 0.08 0.10 0.18 0.01 0.74 0.29 0.06 25.15 10.19 4.48 3.03 4.91 0.51 0.32 1.14 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.11 0.29 5.73 0.11 0.16 0.08 0.73 18 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38112 38930 2712002 4481101 4482201 4481602 4481502 4481401 4481201 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 1 1 1 1 1 0.3 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8715103 4322001 46410 35322 34620 98000 44824 5461101 3719303 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 352601 352601 352601 352601 352601 352601 352601 6 0 0 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 93121 0 9312202 0 93123 0 93199 0 93199 0 93199 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 64221 4991101 4992101 65111 4299905 4299905 4299905 33310 66110 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Sofa Set Linoleum Bed sheet Refrigerator Stove Iron Fan Sewing Machine Washing Machine Repairs to HH 123 1 Appliance 124 1 Water pump 125 1 Battery 126 1 Washing power 127 1 Insecticides 128 1 Domestic Servants 129 1 Thermo flask 130 1 Fluorescent Tube 131 1 Glasses 6. Medical care and health expenses 132 1 Panadol 133 1 Forceival 134 1 Vicks Balm 135 1 Haliborange 136 1 Diegen 137 1 Sanostol 138 1 Vitamin C Doctor's Consulting 139 1 Fee Doctor's Consulting 140 2 Fee 141 2 Dental service 142 1 Ultra sonogram test 143 2 HB Test 144 3 Chest X-Ray 7. Transport 145 1 Taxi fare 146 1 Motorcycle 147 1 Bicycle 148 1 Dhoani Fare 149 1 Bicycle Tyre 150 2 Motor Cycle Tyre 151 1 Cleaning of motorcycle 152 1 Petrol 153 1 International air-fare 0.05 0.11 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.04 0.51 0.79 0.29 0.20 0.15 0.01 0.83 0.41 0.28 0.18 0.16 0.10 5.64 0.13 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.62 2.55 0.52 0.26 0.52 0.52 5.98 0.89 2.12 0.43 0.47 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.04 1.13 19 0.3 0 66111 7 0.1 0 6811 7 7 7 8 9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0 4721101 0 4732102 0 9723002 0 32300 0 32400 0 47510 0 47510 0 73220 9 0.4 0 9 13 83820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8411001 4523001 4732301 32230 32230 3260003 3692002 3899304 3213702 10 10 0 0 0 0 92210 92230 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 9 9 9 10 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1 1 1 1 6811 8411002 8411002 8411002 8412001 4722002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 97220 97210 97210 3219303 3219303 3219303 3532101 3532101 35323 154 1 Domestic air-fare 8. Communication 155 1 Postage of letter - Asia Postage of letter156 2 Europe 157 1 International Calls 158 1 Domestic 159 1 Internet Charges 160 1 Mobile Call Charges 162 1 Mobile set 9. Recreation, entertainment and cultural services 161 1 TV 163 1 CD player 164 1 Aerobics 165 1 News Papers Local 166 1 Magazine 167 1 Recordable CD 168 2 Blank video tape 169 2 Film rental Photography 170 1 Processing Services 171 1 Cable TV charges 172 1 Computer 174 2 Audio Aldum- Cd 175 1 Text books 176 1 Text books 177 1 Monitor book 178 1 Colour box 179 1 Pen 180 1 Glaze paper 10. Education 181 1 School fee 182 1 Tuition fees 12. Personal care 183 Cosmetic Treatment 184 1 Hair Cut- Female 185 2 Hair Cut-Men 186 1 Baby diapers 187 1 Towel 188 1 Sanitary Pads 189 1 Soap 190 2 Baby Soap 191 1 Facial cream 0.76 7.86 0.02 0.00 0.70 2.45 0.35 3.06 1.27 4.30 0.39 0.15 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.15 0.22 0.45 1.25 0.06 0.47 0.47 0.16 0.04 0.16 0.01 3.10 1.45 1.65 6.15 0.05 0.18 0.18 0.58 0.10 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.47 20 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35323 35323 35323 35323 35323 35323 35323 35323 99999 0.3 0 95910 192 1 193 2 194 1 195 2 196 1 197 1 198 1 199 1 200 1 13. Religion 173 Baby Lotion Body Lotion Baby cologne Cologne Hair cream Hair oil Shampoo Tooth Paste Sun glass Mauloodh Kiyevun 1 Charge Total weights 0.71 0.71 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.09 0.80 0.94 0.05 0.22 0.22 100.00 Source: Household Income and Expenditure Survey, 2002/2003 Note 1: The items shaded in yellow were included in the 1995 CPI basket. Some items in 1995 basket have been excluded from the 2004 basket. Note 2: Some items may have 0 weights; this is so due to decimal rounding. Note: HIES 2002/2003 was conducted in Male’ as well as other islands. Weights for the whole country as well as some sub regions have been calculated using HIES 2002/2003 data. A similar report comprising of island CPI will be made available in the coming months. 21 Appendix IV: Monthly CPI for Male’, 2005 Major Groups Weights Monthly Consumer Price Index, 2005 (June 2004=100) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 100.00 100.39 100.18 99.65 100.73 101.13 100.60 101.37 101.08 101.58 102.01 104.31 103.64 27.38 100.68 101.03 99.66 102.60 104.44 104.33 105.85 104.69 107.50 108.63 110.96 109.00 4.95 87.03 87.61 83.14 97.96 107.70 98.38 97.15 94.09 102.15 99.16 105.86 99.52 20.16 104.03 104.37 103.62 103.95 103.97 106.15 108.50 107.79 109.64 111.83 113.32 112.17 Non-alcoholic beverages 2.27 100.69 100.69 100.49 100.67 101.49 101.07 101.26 100.28 100.21 100.91 101.19 101.51 Tobacco and Narcotics 1.91 100.42 100.93 102.39 101.89 102.69 101.87 102.78 103.82 105.44 105.76 107.54 108.04 Clothing and Footwear 5.01 104.44 101.80 104.93 105.28 105.28 104.29 104.87 105.30 103.14 103.07 102.53 104.38 Male' Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages Fish Other Food Housing, Water, Electricity, gas and other fuels 25.15 102.35 101.84 102.08 102.17 102.17 101.41 100.66 100.74 100.84 101.33 109.45 108.39 Furnishing, Household Equipment and routine maintenance 5.83 99.31 99.46 106.15 108.04 107.28 104.91 105.34 105.32 102.97 102.37 102.94 104.68 Health 5.64 100.56 100.35 100.48 100.48 100.48 100.65 100.68 100.68 100.64 100.64 100.60 100.53 Transport 5.98 111.20 111.19 111.88 111.90 111.88 112.10 115.77 115.78 115.89 116.73 116.76 117.34 Communications 7.86 85.45 85.45 76.59 78.23 76.59 76.59 79.36 79.36 78.47 78.47 72.51 70.75 Recreation and Culture 4.30 96.44 96.40 92.14 92.19 93.70 91.09 91.05 90.97 90.46 86.88 86.55 86.46 Education 3.10 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.52 100.78 105.76 105.76 105.76 Hotels, café's and Restaurants 1.57 97.28 96.72 97.28 95.97 95.97 95.97 92.92 92.92 92.92 92.92 98.02 102.06 Miscellaneous goods and services 6.05 100.80 100.01 100.54 100.92 100.75 100.57 101.88 101.44 101.41 100.99 100.79 100.36 Religion 0.22 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 22 Appendix V: Monthly Inflation Rates for Male’, 2005 Major Groups Male' Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages Fish Other Food Non-alcoholic beverages Tobacco and Narcotics Clothing and Footwear Housing, Water, Electricity, gas and other fuels Furnishing, Household Equipment and routine maintenance Health Transport Communications Recreation and Culture Education Hotels, café's and Restaurants Miscellaneous goods and services Religion Monthly Inflation rates, 2005 (June 2004=100) Jan Feb Mar Apr May June (0.20) (0.21) (0.53) 1.08 0.40 (0.52) July 0.76 Aug (0.28) Sep 0.49 Oct 0.42 Nov 2.26 Dec (0.65) (0.83) (4.08) (0.22) (0.10) (1.29) 2.97 0.35 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.51 (2.52) (1.36) (5.10) (0.71) (0.20) 1.45 3.07 2.95 17.83 0.32 0.18 (0.49) 0.33 1.80 9.94 0.02 0.82 0.79 (0.01) (0.11) (8.66) 2.10 (0.42) (0.80) (0.94) 1.46 (1.25) 2.21 0.19 0.89 0.56 (1.10) (3.15) (0.66) (0.96) 1.01 0.41 2.69 8.57 1.71 (0.07) 1.56 (2.05) 1.05 (2.93) 2.00 0.70 0.30 (0.06) 2.15 6.76 1.33 0.28 1.69 (0.53) (1.77) (5.99) (1.01) 0.32 0.47 1.80 0.01 (0.49) 0.23 0.08 0.00 (0.74) (0.74) 0.07 0.10 0.49 8.01 (0.97) (0.12) (0.21) 0.00 (0.50) 0.22 0.00 (1.62) (0.47) 0.15 (0.21) (0.01) 0.00 (0.04) 0.00 (0.58) (0.78) 6.73 0.13 0.63 (10.37) (4.42) 0.00 0.58 0.53 1.78 0.00 0.02 2.15 0.05 0.00 (1.34) 0.37 (0.70) 0.00 (0.02) (2.10) 1.64 0.00 0.00 (0.17) (2.21) 0.17 0.20 0.00 (2.79) 0.00 0.00 (0.18) 0.40 0.03 3.27 3.62 (0.04) 0.00 (3.18) 1.30 (0.01) 0.00 0.01 0.00 (0.09) 0.00 0.00 (0.43) (2.24) (0.03) 0.09 (1.13) (0.55) 0.26 0.00 (0.04) (0.58) 0.00 0.72 0.00 (3.96) 4.94 0.00 (0.42) 0.56 (0.04) 0.03 (7.60) (0.38) 0.00 5.49 (0.20) 1.69 (0.07) 0.49 (2.42) (0.11) 0.00 4.12 (0.43) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23 Appendix VI: Monthly CPI for Male’, 2006 Monthly Consumer Price Index, 2006 (June 2004=100) Major Groups Jan-dec 06 Average Jan-dec 05 Average 104.09 101.39 Weights Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 100.00 101.68 102.53 103.44 103.48 103.58 104.03 103.55 103.71 105.93 105.17 105.59 106.42 27.38 104.24 104.08 107.66 108.61 108.43 110.52 108.14 107.55 113.56 110.56 110.81 113.75 108.99 104.95 4.95 74.28 73.66 89.79 92.06 86.50 100.97 90.40 93.29 115.22 90.50 84.54 91.53 90.23 96.65 20.16 111.97 111.83 112.68 113.43 114.72 113.92 113.16 111.72 114.47 116.41 118.16 120.24 114.39 107.45 Non-alcoholic beverages 2.27 100.94 101.60 102.05 101.95 100.33 101.16 102.22 101.61 101.90 102.34 102.80 104.58 101.96 100.87 Tobacco and Narcotics 1.91 108.13 106.64 107.52 108.70 109.15 108.47 108.60 108.21 108.08 108.31 108.41 109.76 108.33 103.63 Clothing and Footwear 5.01 102.77 106.47 106.66 106.61 105.17 103.88 102.17 102.21 102.85 106.47 106.13 105.14 104.71 104.11 Male' Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages Fish Other Food Housing, Water, Electricity, gas and other fuels 25.15 105.29 104.86 104.93 104.96 104.96 104.97 105.62 106.03 106.38 105.93 106.39 106.42 105.56 102.78 Furnishing, Household Equipment and routine maintenance 5.83 105.16 106.80 105.15 104.28 106.81 107.48 106.99 105.26 103.74 108.54 110.36 114.45 107.09 104.06 Health 5.64 99.08 112.12 111.94 111.94 112.24 112.39 112.26 112.34 116.86 116.76 116.96 116.56 112.62 100.56 Transport 5.98 119.65 120.09 119.65 116.91 116.96 119.32 120.13 120.38 121.16 121.32 121.31 121.25 119.84 114.04 Communications 7.86 71.75 71.75 71.75 72.53 72.53 70.57 70.57 70.57 70.57 67.74 69.66 67.50 70.63 78.15 Recreation and Culture 4.3 86.91 87.64 86.81 86.72 86.57 84.83 84.79 91.89 93.84 92.89 90.55 89.84 88.61 91.19 Education 3.1 105.76 105.27 105.27 105.27 105.27 105.27 107.69 107.69 110.12 107.69 107.69 107.69 106.72 101.85 Hotels, café's and Restaurants 1.57 101.01 102.92 103.42 100.56 100.06 100.06 100.06 100.06 100.06 105.58 105.58 105.58 102.08 95.91 Miscellaneous goods and services 6.05 100.92 100.06 100.75 99.93 100.95 100.91 100.95 100.89 102.37 101.67 103.08 103.57 101.34 100.87 Religion 0.22 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 24 Appendix VII: Monthly Inflation Rates for Male’, 2006 Monthly Inflation rates, 2006 (June 2004=100) Major Groups Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec chn % 20052006 Male' -1.89 0.84 0.88 0.04 0.10 0.44 -0.47 0.15 2.14 -0.72 0.40 0.79 2.67 Food and Non-Alcoholic beverages -4.36 -0.15 3.44 0.88 -0.17 1.93 -2.16 -0.54 5.59 -2.65 0.23 2.66 3.85 Fish -25.36 -0.83 21.89 2.53 -6.04 16.72 -10.47 3.19 23.51 -21.45 -6.58 8.27 -6.64 Other Food -0.18 -0.13 0.76 0.66 1.14 -0.69 -0.67 -1.27 2.46 1.69 1.50 1.76 6.47 Non-alcoholic beverages -0.56 0.65 0.44 -0.10 -1.58 0.82 1.05 -0.59 0.28 0.43 0.45 1.73 1.08 Tobacco and Narcotics 0.08 -1.37 0.83 1.09 0.42 -0.62 0.11 -0.36 -0.12 0.21 0.09 1.25 4.54 Clothing and Footwear -1.54 3.60 0.17 -0.04 -1.35 -1.23 -1.65 0.04 0.62 3.53 -0.32 -0.93 0.58 Housing, Water, Electricity, gas and other fuels -2.86 -0.41 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.39 0.33 -0.42 0.43 0.03 2.70 Furnishing, Household Equipment and routine maintenance 0.45 1.57 -1.54 -0.83 2.42 0.63 -0.46 -1.61 -1.45 4.63 1.67 3.71 2.90 Health -1.44 13.15 -0.16 0.00 0.27 0.13 -0.11 0.07 4.03 -0.08 0.17 -0.34 11.99 Transport 1.97 0.36 -0.36 -2.29 0.04 2.01 0.68 0.21 0.64 0.13 0.00 -0.05 5.09 Communications 1.41 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.00 -2.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 -4.02 2.84 -3.11 -9.63 Recreation and Culture 0.52 0.84 -0.95 -0.10 -0.18 -2.01 -0.05 8.38 2.12 -1.01 -2.52 -0.79 -2.84 Education 0.00 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30 0.00 2.25 -2.20 0.00 0.00 4.79 Hotels, café's and Restaurants -1.02 1.89 0.49 -2.77 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.52 0.00 0.00 6.43 Miscellaneous goods and services 0.56 -0.86 0.69 -0.82 1.02 -0.04 0.04 -0.06 1.47 -0.69 1.39 0.47 0.46 Religion 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Appendix VIII: Linked CPI series with June 2004=100 as Base Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct 1985 35.88 32.76 34.19 31.52 32.54 34.76 32.97 34.43 37.84 1986 35.97 36.61 40.79 38.13 35.91 34.94 36.44 36.38 1987 42.54 42.77 38.61 40.78 37.94 37.78 37.03 37.94 1988 40.39 42.3 46.74 45.53 41.55 41.98 43.5 1989 46.83 46.56 47.14 46.62 46.66 46.85 1990 47.37 44.57 47.14 51.9 46.56 46.56 1991 50.15 54.39 56.2 55.43 57.89 60.15 1992 68.85 60.79 63.19 60.96 65.81 1993 82.82 81.24 76.23 82.25 84.25 1994 79.72 81.14 82.56 79.11 83.09 1995 84.41 92.18 87.01 87.7 76.08 1996 88.96 91.19 87.34 91.78 88.73 91.62 1997 103.49 97.01 97.02 94.96 99.13 1998 98.47 103.24 94.3 96.95 92.81 1999 97.56 97.34 100.54 107.59 101.89 97.39 2000 95.09 94.54 95.71 101.53 104.37 2001 94.14 96.2 95.56 97.58 100.27 2002 104.72 104.1 103.28 100.97 103.83 2003 101.91 101.16 101.66 100.82 102.89 2004 99.59 99.44 99.41 99.9 2005 100.39 100.18 99.65 2006 101.68 102.53 103.44 Nov Dec Annual Index inflation rate 36.88 33.52 34.08 34.28 43.33 39.1 39.1 34.66 37.61 9.7 42.64 44.62 50.5 42.03 41.26 9.7 47.07 45.16 43.11 43.34 46.48 43.93 6.5 46.1 45.72 45.79 49.57 49.58 47.5 47.08 7.2 51.8 45.96 46.99 54.87 51.23 50.59 48.8 3.6 58.79 53.84 55.44 54.95 58.22 56.25 55.97 14.7 78.04 71.17 65.52 59.88 66.59 60.84 63.31 65.41 16.9 85.31 73.36 73.23 78.76 74.57 74.8 76.1 78.58 20.1 79.54 77.73 79.94 77.14 77.48 78.53 98.85 81.24 3.4 85.73 85.11 87.3 86.1 85.45 84.89 86.37 85.69 5.5 91.27 91.7 92 92.08 92.51 93.34 91.04 6.2 90.51 98.42 95.53 97.05 100 96.88 105.24 97.94 7.6 95.52 98.38 95.27 96.21 94.77 97.42 95.41 96.56 -1.4 97.29 97.7 95.61 104.15 97.35 98.56 99.41 3.0 105.65 99.07 99.04 96.8 97.82 93.5 95.84 98.25 -1.2 103.79 97.87 97.93 100.26 100.18 100.66 102.46 98.91 0.7 103.99 103.88 103.08 101.04 102.61 102.47 102.51 103.04 4.2 102.55 102.85 102.53 101.6 103.19 100.13 99.61 101.74 -1.3 101.98 100 99.82 99.41 99.16 101.11 100.2 100.6 100.05 -1.7 100.73 101.13 100.6 101.37 101.08 101.58 102.01 104.31 103.64 101.39 1.3 103.48 103.58 104.03 103.55 103.71 105.93 105.17 105.59 106.42 104.09 2.7 26 (5.00) (10.00) Clothing and Footwear Tobacco & Narcotics Fish Religion 10.00 Miscellaneoud goods and services Hotels, café's and Restaurants Education Recreation and Culture Communications Transport Transport & communication Health Furnishing, Household Equip. & routine maint. Housing, Water, Electricity, gas & other fuels (15.00) Food & Non-Alcoholic bev. Appendix IX: Figures Figure 2: Inflation rates by major categories, 2006 15.00 2004based 1995based 5.00 0.00 27 Figure 3: Monthly Inflation Rates, 2006 10.00 8.00 CPI 1995 based 6.00 CPI 2004 based 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -4.00 -6.00 -8.00 28
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