Replication of Now you see it, now you don’t: Repetition blindness for nonwords by A. L. Morris & M. L. Still (2008, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory & Cognition) Patrick T. Goodbourn School of Psychology, University of Sydney, Australia [email protected] Introduction When a repeated item is embedded in a series of items displayed in rapid serial visual presentation (RSVP), an observer will often fail to report the repetition—a phenomenon commonly known as repetition blindness (RB). Morris and Still (2008) addressed a discrepancy in the RB literature regarding nonwords, that is, pronounceable strings of letters that are not English words: Some previous studies had found repetition blindness, others failed to do so, and still others reported a repetition advantage (RA) for nonwords. Morris and Still proposed that a repetition advantage could result if observers use partial orthographic information when they are aware that some trials contain repetitions. An observer who has encoded the first of two targets can use partial information about the second target to make an informed guess: If the partial information matches the first target, the observer should guess that the trial contained a repeated item. In a series of experiments, Morris and Still (2008) found that RA and RB could be observed for both words and nonwords depending on whether participants could capitalize on such an informed guessing strategy. In the final experiment of the study (Experiment 6, pp. 161–3), they presented trials in which critical words and nonwords were either dissimilar to each other (for example, phub and snoy) or orthographic neighbors (for example, blem and blom). Trials never contained repeated words, so guessing a repetition in the case of a partial orthographic match would not be a useful strategy. The authors found that participants rarely reported repetitions, and observed an RB for both word and nonword orthographic neighbors. The present study will replicate Experiment 6 of Morris and Still (2008); the primary finding for replication is that RB occurs for nonwords. GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) Methods Power analysis The primary effect for replication was a significant RB effect for nonwords, F1(1, 23) = 13.71, p < .005. Effect size was not reported in the manuscript and original data were unavailable. Following Lakens (2013), partial eta squared was calculated as 𝜂!! = !×!"effect !×!"effect !!"error = !".!"×! !".!"×! !!" = 0.374 . (Equation 1) This value was used in G*Power 3.1 (Faul, Erdfelder, Lang, & Buchner, 2007) to calculate the sample size required to achieve sufficient power to detect the estimated effect. For a typeI error rate of α = 0.05, 16 participants suffices to achieve 80% power; 20 to achieve 90% power; and 24 to achieve 95% power. The G*Power outputs are available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.1 Planned sample Twenty-four participants will be recruited for the study. This matches the size of the sample in the original study, and achieves 95% power to detect an effect of the estimated size. Participants will be paid AUD $15 per hour of testing or part thereof; it is anticipated that each testing session will last less than one hour. They will be recruited using advertisements placed on noticeboards around the Camperdown Campus of the University of Sydney; most participants are likely to be students of the University. As in the original study, participants will be native speakers of English (but may be bilingual). Materials Word lists were identical to those used by Morris and Still (2008). “[Critical items (C2) were 48] words and [48] pronounceable nonwords; nonwords were selected from the ARC Nonword Database (Rastle, Harrington, & Coltheart, 2002). All items were 4 letters in length and [most] were monosyllabic. Orthographic neighborhood size (orthographic N) was included as a factor in the design; half the words and nonwords had an orthographic N of 12 or greater, and the other half had an orthographic N of 5 or less. High-N and low-N words were similar in print frequency (15 per million; Francis & Kučera, 1982).” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150) “Sequences of 3 words or 3 nonwords were created with the first and last words or nonwords designated C1 and C2. These were then made into 6-item RSVP streams by displaying rows of symbols (e.g., %%%%, ####) as the first, second, and sixth items in each RSVP stream. The words or nonwords occupied the third, fourth, and fifth positions in each RSVP stream.” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150) 1 https://osf.io/rmvk5/. 2 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) “Each [C2] item… appeared in [two] conditions: … control and neighbor. To create the neighbor condition, words and nonwords were paired with an orthographic neighbor C1 (e.g. cast was paired with cart). The control condition was created… by substituting an orthographically nonsimilar word or nonword for C1. Words or nonwords intervening between C1 and C2 were selected from a separate pool of items having N sizes between 4 and 12; these words were orthographically dissimilar to C1 and C2. [Two]2 versions of the stimulus list were created such that each participant viewed [12] three-word lists in… the high-N neighbor condition, 12 in the high-N control condition, [12] in the low-N neighbor condition, and 12 in the low-N control condition. The same was true for the 3-nonword lists. Each item appeared in… neighbor and control conditions, counterbalanced across participants. In addition to these trials, participants also viewed 40 RSVP streams with only 2 words or nonwords (a row of symbols was substituted for the intervening word or nonword). Participants viewed each critical word or non-word only once. In all versions of the stimulus list, word and nonword lists were randomly intermixed” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 156). Each list was always presented in the same order (A. L. Morris, personal communication). “Stimuli were displayed in a white font… (Chicago [FLF]) on a black background” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150). Letters subtended an average of approximately .57° × .86° of visual angle at a viewing distance of 50 cm.3 Procedure Participants had responded to an advertisement for paid research participation in a study of visual processing, the purpose of which was to “investigate how people process visual information that is presented very briefly, making it hard to be sure of what you have just seen.” Immediately prior to the experiment, they were given brief instructions: On each trial of the experiment, they would view a short sequence of words or word-like strings of letters (nonwords), interspersed with strings of symbols; their task was to report all of the words or non-words they saw during the trial. “Participants were warned that ‘some of the words or nonwords will look similar to each other’ and that they should read them carefully” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 156). “Each trial began with a “+” displayed in the middle of the computer screen for [558] 2 The Methods section of the original experiment does not indicate how many versions were used (Morris & Still, 2008, Experiment 6, p. 162). The stimuli used in Experiment 6 were based on those used in Experiment 3, in which there were four versions of the list (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 156). However, the original author has confirmed that only two versions of the stimulus list were used in Experiment 6 (A. L. Morris, personal communication). 3 To acquire the original viewing distance, and to match the angular subtense of the stimuli in the original study, we referred to Morris, Still, and Caldwell–Harris (2009), which reports experiments that appear to have been performed using the same apparatus: “All letters were displayed in… Chicago 36 font [as in Morris & Still (2008)]… Letters in this font subtended an average of approximately .57° × .86° of visual angle at a viewing distance of 50 cm” (p. 356). 3 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) ms, followed by a blank interval of [558] ms. The RSVP stream was then displayed with each item appearing for [125] ms. Following the RSVP stream, a “?” was displayed to indicate that the participant should report the items.” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150) “[P]articipants named all words or nonwords displayed…” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150). “[P]articipants first reported their responses to the experimenter and then typed the words or nonwords, with a space between each item, using the computer keyboard. They were allowed to correct typing mistakes with the delete key” (p. 162). “[T]he experimenter [also] coded the response into the data file by using [a] computer keyboard…” (p. 150) “The next trial began immediately after the experimenter keyed in the participant’s response… The experimental trials were preceded by 10 practice trials.” (p. 150) Analysis plan Data preparation and scoring The original manuscript does not describe any rules for data cleaning or exclusion; the present study will thus include all collected data. As in the original manuscript, analyses will use the participants’ typed responses rather than their spoken responses as recorded by the experimenter (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 162). Analyses will be performed automatically using a custom MATLAB script, which is available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.4 The code for the experiment allows participants to enter 0, 1, 2 or 3 four-letter words in response to each trial; the analysis code for critical pair recall scores a trial as correct if both critical items (C1 and C2) are reported exactly correctly in any response position (that is, irrespective of report order).5 The analysis code for intervening item recall scores a trial as correct if the intervening item (I) is reported exactly correctly in any response position. The analysis code for additional analyses scores an item (C1, C2 or I) as correct if at least two letters of the word or nonword are reported in the correct position within the word, in any response position. Each response is matched to one item only. For example, given the items (C1) lood (I) filk (C2) loof and the response ‘look firk’, C1 and I are scored as correct; however, C2 is scored as incorrect—even though it shares three letters with the response look—because look has been matched already to C1. Statistical analyses Following the original study, each statistical test will take the form of a repeatedmeasures analysis of variance (ANOVA). These will be conducted using SPSS Statistics for 4 https://osf.io/rmvk5/. The original manuscript does not appear to specify whether participants were required to report items in the correct order. However, the original authors perform their analyses “following Coltheart and Langdon (2003)” (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150), who did not ask participants to reproduce word order. 5 4 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) Mac 21.0 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY). The MATLAB analysis script produces SPSS syntax files containing all data and commands required to perform the analyses automatically. As in many psycholinguistic studies (including the original study), two forms of ANOVA will be conducted: The first takes participants as cases (reported as F1), and the second takes items as cases (reported as F2). Critical pair recall will be analyzed using a three-way repeated-measures ANOVA. Using participants as cases, condition (control, neighbor), lexicality (word, nonword) and neighborhood size (low-N, high-N) will be within-subject factors. Using items as cases, condition (control, neighbor) will be a within-item factor, and lexicality and neighborhood size will be between-item factors. As in the original study, any significant two-way interactions will be examined further using one-way ANOVAs. Intervening item recall will be analyzed in the same manner. For informal comparison with the original study, additional analyses will be performed by tabulating the mean percentage of partial recall as a function of item (C1, I, C2) and lexicality (word, nonword). Primary effect for replication The primary effect for replication is a significant RB effect for nonwords. For the current purposes, we will consider the finding to have been replicated if a significant RB effect (p < .05) is found in a one-way ANOVA of nonword items, using participants as cases and Condition as a within-subject factor. Differences from the original study Participants In the original study, participants took part in return for course credit (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 162); whereas in the present study, participants will be reimbursed AUD $15 per hour. The original study took place at Iowa State University (p. 162), and participants are most likely to have been American students. The present study will take place at the University of Sydney, and participants are most likely to be Australian students. It is not anticipated that these differences will affect the outcome of the study. Materials Both versions of the original stimulus list were recovered from the authors; the lists are available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.6 The computer code used to run the experiment could not be obtained from the authors of the original study owing to the failure of the computer used in that study. The experiment was originally programmed in PsyScope (Cohen, MacWhinney, Flatt, & Provost, 6 https://osf.io/rmvk5/. 5 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) 1993; Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150), which is no longer supported and will not run on current versions of the Apple operating system (OSX).7 As the entire experiment required reprogramming, we used MATLAB (MathWorks, Natick, MA) with Psychtoolbox-3 extensions (Brainard, 1997; Pelli, 1997). The experimental code is available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.8 The original study presented stimuli in Chicago font (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150), which is no longer distributed as part of the Apple OS. The present study instead uses the public domain version, Chicago FLF.9 None of these differences should affect the outcome of the study. Apparatus In the original study, stimuli were presented using a Macintosh G4 (Apple Inc., Cupertino, CA) and PsyScope software (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150). In the present study, stimuli will be presented using a MacBook Pro with a 2.5 GHz Intel Core i7 processor and 8 GB of RAM, running Mac OSX 10.7.5 with MATLAB R2012b and PsychToolbox-3 extensions. Stimuli will be processed on a Radeon HD 6770M video card (AMD, Sunnyvale, CA). The type of monitor used in the original study was not specified in the manuscript. The present study will display stimuli on a P1120 FD Trinitron® CRT monitor (HewlettPackard, Palo Alto, CA) with a spatial resolution of 1024 × 768 pixels and a refresh rate of 120 Hz. With stimulus changes synchronized to the refresh rate of the monitor, each fixation and blank interval will be presented for 558 ms, and each RSVP item will be presented from 125 ms. This is, respectively, 2 ms and 1 ms shorter than the durations reported in the original manuscript (Morris & Still, 2008, p. 150); however, we note that no integer refresh rate in the range 60–120 Hz would allow stimulus durations of both 126 ms and 560 ms. There is no reason to suspect that any of these differences will affect the outcome of the study. 7 A version has been ported for OSX (PsyScope X: http://psy.cns.sissa.it/), but it has not been tested on our experimental hardware. 8 https://osf.io/rmvk5/. 9 http://christtrekker.users.sourceforge.net/fnt/chicago.shtml. 6 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) (Post data collection) Methods addendum Actual sample As planned, twenty-four participants were recruited for the study. Differences from pre-data collection methods plan There were no differences from the pre-data collection methods plan. The MATLAB analysis script was altered slightly because in the original version, standard errors of the mean did not display correctly in figures. A two-way version of the intervening item recall analysis (with Condition and Lexicality, but not Neighborhood, as factors) was also added, because Morris and Still (2008) appear to have analyzed it in this way; note, however, that this pertains to exploratory analyses and does not bear on the confirmatory analysis of the primary effect. The updated version is available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.10 We also made two changes to the pre-replication section of this report. First, we corrected an error that described Condition as a between-subjects factor when participants are treated as cases (F1). It is, in fact, a within-subjects factor; it is a between-subjects factor when items are treated as cases (F2). Second, following a suggestion raised during peer review of the post-replication report, we augmented the description in the Procedure section of the instructions given to participants. Results Data preparation Data were prepared according to the analysis plan. Outputs from MATLAB and SPSS are available from the Reproducibility Project: Psychology page of the Open Science Framework.11 Partial eta-squared was calculated manually from the SPSS output, 𝜂!! = !! !!effect effect !!!error . (Equation 2) Confirmatory analysis The primary effect for replication was a significant RB effect for nonwords. A oneway ANOVA of nonword items, using participants as cases and Condition as a withinsubject factor, did not find a significant RB effect, F1(1, 23) = 1.28, η2p1 = .051, p1 = .269.12 10 https://osf.io/rmvk5/. https://osf.io/rmvk5/. 12 We note that for the analysis with items as cases, the original report gives the error degrees of freedom as 46. For a one-way ANOVA of 48 items, we would expect the error degrees of freedom to be 47; and for a simpleeffects analysis following three-way ANOVA, we would expect the error degrees of freedom to be 92 as in the overall design. This suggests that the reported statistic may be the main effect of Condition from a two-way ANOVA of nonwords, with Condition as a within-item factor and Neighborhood as a between-item factor. 11 7 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) We also screened each participant’s data for anomalies that might have masked an RB effect (for example, one participant failed to correctly report any critical pair), but excluding participants or subsets of participants who performed poorly made no appreciable difference to the results. Exploratory analyses Critical pair recall Figure 1 shows the mean percentage of correct recall of both critical items for the various conditions, for both the current replication (Figure 1a) and the original study (Figure 1b). For the current replication, repeated-measures ANOVAs with the factors Condition, Lexicality, and Neighborhood size demonstrated that joint report of words was higher than that for nonwords (48.9% vs. 10.8%), F1(1, 23) = 107.13, η2p1 = .823, F2(1, 92) = 321.05, η2p2 = .777, both p < .001; and control pairs were correctly reported at a higher rate than neighbor pairs (35.8% vs. 23.9%), F1(1, 23) = 19.40, η2p1 = .458, F2(1, 92) = 41.86, η2p2 = .313, both p < .001. The main effect of neighborhood size was not significant, F1(1, 23) = 0.13, η2p1 = .005, p1 = .724, F2(1, 92) = 0.24, η2p2 = .003, p2 = .626. These results are similar to those reported by Morris and Still (2008). The Condition × Lexicality interaction was significant, F1(1, 23) = 19.18, η2p1 = .455, F2(1, 92) = 27.32, η2p2 = .229, both p < .001; this interaction reflects a greater amount of RB for words than for nonwords. The three-way Condition × Lexicality × Neighborhood size interaction was significant, F1(1, 23) = 9.30, η2p1 = .287, F2(1, 92) = 7.93, η2p2 = .080, both p = .006. This interaction may reflect that the RB effect for words is greater for low-N items than for high-N items, while the RB effect for nonwords is greater for high-N items than for low-N items.13 None of the other interactions was significant in both the subjects and the items analyses, although the Condition × Neighborhood size interaction was borderline significant in the subjects analysis, F1(1, 23) = 4.23, η2p1 = .156, p1 = .051, F2(1, 92) = 2.74, η2p2 = .029, p2 = .101. These results are similar to those reported by Morris and Still (2008), except they did not find a significant three-way interaction. For the present data, such an ANOVA reveals no significant main effect of Condition, F1(1, 23) = 1.26, η2p1 = .052, p1 = .273, F2(1, 46) = 1.51, η2p2 = .032, p2 = .226. 13 This interpretation is corroborated by simple two-way interaction analysis (performed using MMATRIX in SPSS, with participants as cases), which reveals a significant Condition × Neighborhood interaction for words whereby the RB effect is greater for low-N words than for high-N words (p = .003); but not for nonwords (p = .332), for which the interaction shows a numerical trend in the opposite direction. 8 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) Table 1. Mean Percentages of Intervening Item Recall for Word and Nonword Lists in Neighbor and Control Conditions. Current replication Original study Neighbor Control Neighbor Control Word 78 71 72 64 Nonword 15 8 14 9 Additional analyses Morris and Still (2008) “calculated the percentage of trials on which at least two letters of a word or nonword were reported correctly” to “provide a better estimate of the availability of partial orthographic information from three-item RSVP displays” (p. 162). “For example, suppose the stimulus item bink juff rast was reported as bink just raff. With the standard scoring, neither the joint report of critical items nor the report of the intervening item would be scored as correct. With the alternative scoring, however, all three items (C1, C2, and the intervening item) would be scored as correct” (pp. 162–3). Table 2 shows the alternative scoring results from the control condition, in both the current replication and the original study. As in the original study, participants in the current replication were able to report a significant percentage of the letters from the word and nonword displays in the control condition. Table 2. Mean Percentages of Partial Recall of Critical and Intervening Items for Word and Nonword Lists in the Control Condition. Current replication Original study C1 Intervening C2 C1 Intervening C2 Word 93 78 76 97 71 74 Nonword 72 36 57 82 33 55 10 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) Discussion Summary of replication attempt The current study attempted to replicate Experiment 6 of Morris and Still (2008), who found a significant RB effect for nonwords. We failed to replicate the original result: We did not find a significant main effect of Condition in one-way ANOVA of nonword items, using participants as cases. Commentary While the current study failed to replicate the primary effect of RB for nonwords, we found results similar to those reported for nearly all other analyses. Like Morris and Still, we found an intervening item effect, such that the intervening item was reported more often in the neighbor condition than in the control condition. As the original authors note, this is consistent with a competition model: “[W]hen C2 is orthographically similar to C1, C2’s representation will be associated with less activation than will a control C2, and therefore will compete less effectively against adjacent items. The result is a net gain in competitiveness for the item immediately preceding the orthographically similar C2” (p. 161). Similarly, we also found that participants could report a significant percentage of the letters from the word and nonword displays in the control condition. “The implication is that a strategy of guessing repetitions will be effective for many participants because their access to partial orthographic information will be sufficient to avoid spurious reports of repetitions on control trials” (p. 163). Further, overall levels of performance were similar to those reported in the original study. It should be noted that Experiment 6 of Morris and Still (2008) is almost a direct replication of their Experiment 5, which also revealed RB for nonwords. In Experiment 5, participants reported their responses to the experimenter; while in Experiment 6 and the current replication, participants also typed their responses. Experiments 3 and 4 likewise found an RB effect for nonword neighbors; thus the original report contains an additional three studies supporting the findings of Experiment 6. We conducted a rudimentary metaanalysis of these four experiments, as well as the current replication, using an R script provided by Carter and McCullough (2014) and modified by D. Lakens.15 We estimated partial eta squared as in Equation 1, and then converted to Cohen’s d, d = 2× 15 ! !! ! !!!! . (Equation 3) http://daniellakens.blogspot.com.au/2014/08/on-reproducibility-of-meta-analyses.html 11 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) Study d 95% CI 1.45 1.44 1.48 1.55 [ 0.82, 2.09] [ 0.80, 2.07] [ 0.84, 2.12] [ 0.90, 2.19] Current Replication 0.46 [-0.11, 1.04] Overall 1.26 [ 0.84, 1.69] Forest plot Morris & Still (2008) Experiment 3 Experiment 4 Experiment 5 Experiment 6 −1 0 1 2 3 Figure 2. Meta-analysis and forest plot of RB effects for nonwords. The forest plot shows Cohen’s d (square icons for individual experiments; central vertices of the diamond for overall data) and 95% confidence intervals (whiskers for individual experiments; horizontal extent of the diamond for overall data). The solid vertical line corresponds to no effect (d = 0), and the dashed vertical line corresponds to the estimated overall effect (d = 1.26). For all experiments, N = 24. Figure 2 shows the results of the meta-analysis of RB effects for nonwords across the five experiments. Clearly, the estimate of effect size in the current study differs from those in the four experiments reported by Morris and Still (2008). However, there is little reason to believe that the latter estimates are overly inflated by the ‘statistical significance filter’, or ‘winner’s curse’ (Ioannidis, 2008). All four experiments employed very similar experimental methods and the same analytical methods, which restricts experimenter degrees of freedom; there is no cause to suspect that they were reported selectively; and their effect size estimates are highly consistent with each other. We could not identify any differences between the original study and the current replication likely to affect the results; nor did the corresponding author of the original study raise concerns about our final replication plan (A. L. Morris, personal communication). Similar overall levels of performance were observed in both studies, and nearly all of the results of additional analyses were highly consistent between them. It is thus plausible that the failure of the current study to replicate the primary effect is a statistical anomaly. The RB effect for nonwords may be particularly volatile owing to a low overall level of correct reporting of critical nonword pairs. From Figure 1b (reproduced from Morris & Still, 2008, Figure 11) we estimate that in the original study, nonword pairs were correctly reported on only 9.4% of neighbor trials and 16.7% of control trials. Each participant, however, only responds to 24 trials in each of these two conditions. On average, then, a participant correctly reported a neighbor pair on 2.3 trials, and correctly reported a control pair on 4.0 trials. In the current replication, the corresponding figures are 2.3 trials (9.7%) and 2.9 trials (12.0%), respectively. Thus, a single trial distinguishes the average participant in the original study from the average participant in the current replication: In the current replication, control pairs were correctly reported on 1.1 fewer trials per participant than in the 12 GOODBOURN • REPLICATION OF MORRIS & STILL (2008) original study. If the above diagnosis is accurate, the current replication attempt highlights an important point, namely that a failed replication does not necessarily indicate an incorrect hypothesis. Some experiments may instead fail to replicate because of methodological difficulties that render a real effect fragile. One merit of replications that fail for this reason is that they can help to reveal those aspects of the methodology that contribute to the instability of the effect. In the present case, a more robust RB effect would likely be found under experimental conditions that produce a higher overall proportion of correct reports (perhaps an increase in presentation times, or a reduction in the contrast of post-masks). Direct replications can thus contribute to scientific progress not only by identifying effects that may be spurious, but also by identifying methodological issues that can hamper the detection of real effects. Acknowledgements I thank William Ngiam for his assistance with data collection. I am very grateful to Alison Morris for providing original materials, guidance on experimental procedures and critique of the draft replication plan. I thank Bethany Lassetter and Jesse Chandler for comments on the pre-collection and post-collection replication reports, respectively. I also thank Johanna Cohoon for her assistance throughout the course of the project, and for directing me to Daniel Lakens’ work on effect size calculations. 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