Argumentation (2005) 19:123–143 DOI 10.1007/s10503-004-2070-2 Springer 2005 Giving Science a Bad Name: Politically and Commercially Motivated Fallacies in BSE Inquiry LOUISE CUMMINGS School of Arts, Communication and Culture Nottingham Trent University Clifton Campus, Clifton Lane Nottingham, NG11 8NS United Kingdom E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT: It is a feature of scientific inquiry that it proceeds alongside a multitude of nonscientific interests. This statement is as true of the scientific inquiries of previous centuries, many of which brought scientists into conflict with institutionalised religious thinking, as it is true of the scientific inquiries of today, which are conducted increasingly within commercial and political contexts. However, while the fact of the coexistence of scientific and non-scientific interests has changed little over time, what has changed with time is the effect of this coexistence on scientific inquiry itself. While scientists may no longer construct their theories with various religious dictates in mind, growing commercial and political interests in science have served to distort the interpretation of science. Using the U.K.’s recent crisis with bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) as my context, I examine two ways in which this distortion has occurred – the interpretation of the science of BSE by politicians and by commercial parties for the purposes of justifying policy decisions and informing the public of risk, respectively. Fallacious reasoning, I contend, is the manifestation of this distortion in these contexts. In demonstration of this claim, I examine how politicians and commercial parties alike have employed two fallacies in their assessments of the science of BSE. These fallacies extend in novel ways the set of so-called traditional informal fallacies. The interpretation of science, I conclude, is a rich context in which to conduct a study of fallacious reasoning; moreover, such a study can contribute in significant ways, I argue, to the public understanding of science. KEY WORDS: authority, BSE, commercial and political interests, fallacy, interpretation, part/ whole, reasoning, scientific inquiry THE RELATIONSHIP OF SCIENCE TO OTHER ASPECTS OF LIFE Science has always had a complex and often difficult relationship to the other areas of life with which it has coexisted. Nowhere has this been more evident than in the relationship of science to religion. Galileo experienced religion’s more malevolent intentions towards science when, a year after the publication in 1632 of his Copernican views in the Dialogue on the Two Chief World Systems,1 he was committed to trial and condemned for heresy by the Roman inquisition, an episode which came to be described as ‘the greatest 124 LOUISE CUMMINGS scandal in Christendom’. For centuries2 the work of anatomists such as Vesalius3 provoked strong and often violent theological reactions. In a more recent century, Darwin’s views on evolution, expounded in On the Origin of Species (1859), have elicited vitriolic criticism from a range of religious figures.4 While science has succeeded in shedding its more oppressive religious shackles, many of these have been replaced by increasingly powerful political and commercial interests in the activities of scientists. These interests range from direct commercial funding of scientific research – with commercial control of the questions addressed by that research – to commercial and political interpretations of the results of scientific research for a public that is becoming more informed about science. When these interpretations take the form of government pronouncements about the safety of foods and medicinal products, public trust in these pronouncements has implications for public health.5 If the public is to succeed in rationally evaluating the findings of scientific inquiries, then an analysis of the underlying logic of these interpretations, I contend, is an essential first step in this process. Such an analysis will also serve to reveal how efforts that are aimed at improving the public understanding of science can best be directed – to the critical evaluation of scientific claims or to the critical evaluation of interpretations of those claims. In Section ‘‘Two ‘New’ Fallacies’’, I identify two fallacies that have figured prominently in political and commercial interpretations of the science of BSE. These fallacies represent a significant development of the class of traditional informal fallacies. I examine what constitutes their fallaciousness. I contend that these fallacies were instrumental in convincing the public that BSE could not be transmitted to humans and that beef was safe to eat, both of which have subsequently been shown to be incorrect. In Section ‘‘Public Understanding of Science’’, I argue that the fact of their incorrectness is something that a public that was better equipped in skills of rational criticism could have appreciated at the time. TWO ‘NEW’ FALLACIES Failure to use authority Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) is a progressive, degenerative disease of the brain in cattle. Its widespread emergence in British cattle in the 1980s threatened unknown and potentially catastrophic consequences for both animal and human health.6 The public anxiety that came about as a result of this uncertainty promised to destroy a multi-million beef and dairy industry in the U.K.7 and to lose U.K. producers lucrative markets in Europe and beyond. Against this background politicians and commercial parties came under increasing pressure to address the human health implications of BSE GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 125 and to advise the public on the safety of beef and other cattle-derived products. The Meat and Livestock Commission (MLC) – a commercial organisation that represents the beef industry – responded to this pressure in 1990 by distributing a video entitled ‘Beef – The Facts’ to local authorities. In it, Mr Colin Maclean, Technical Director of the MLC, claimed: In 1988 the Government commissioned a report from a group of eminent scientists led by Professor Richard Southwood of Oxford University. They reported eighteen months ago that if the current meat industry practices continued, the chance of transmission of BSE from cattle to man by any method was remote – if they do nothing. … Finally, to quote the Government’s Chief Medical Officer, Sir Donald Acheson ‘Beef can be eaten safely by everyone, both adults and children, including patients in the National Health Service.’ … One person has suggested that in order to infect cattle the agent may have changed, mutated, and so it can change again to infect humans. There is now sound scientific evidence that this is simply not the case (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 378; emphases added). On 17 May 1990, the MLC issued a press release entitled ‘British Beef is Safe’. This claimed that ‘the most eminent and distinguished scientists in Britain and in the rest of Europe have concluded there is no evidence of any threat to human health as a result of this animal health problem’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 377; emphasis added). On the same day, Mr Gummer8 made a statement to the House of Commons that was issued as part of a press release from the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (MAFF). Mr Gummer was quoted as saying: I am naturally concerned to ensure that the public knows that the clear and consistent advice of the best scientific opinion is that British Beef is safe. I refer the House to the statement which the Chief Medical Officer made yesterday. He said that he had taken advice from the leading scientific and medical experts in this field (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 375; emphasis added). A further MAFF press release, detailing the contents of a letter that Mr Gummer had written to Lady Wilcox (Chairperson of the National Consumer Council), described how ‘independent experts have concluded that BSE is most unlikely to have any implications for human health’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 368; emphasis added). Examples of commercial and political assurances concerning the safety of beef and the failure of transmissibility of BSE to humans can be multiplied.9 My purpose in presenting these examples is that each of them is revealing of the use of or abuse of authority or expertise in inquiry into BSE. In the analysis to follow, I examine how the fallaciousness of certain of these examples resides in the manipulation of authority by the commercial and political proponents of these examples. The result of this manipulation, I contend, was the generation on the part of the public of the beliefs that beef was safe to eat and that BSE could not be transmitted to humans. I argue that neither of these beliefs 126 LOUISE CUMMINGS were justified by the scientific evidence that was available at the time and, moreover, that both of them have been shown subsequently to be erroneous. Like other informal fallacies, the traditional fallacy of argumentum ad verecundiam (literally, argument to reverence or respect) has been the subject of attempts to describe both its fallacious and non-fallacious nature. Aristotle in his Rhetoric (1398b, 18) recognised that sometimes an appeal to authority is perfectly sound. This argument’s soundness, Walton (1989) contends, inheres in its capacity to advance our deliberations on an ‘issue or problem’ when ‘objective knowledge’ (knowledge that is based on independent experimental investigation) is lacking or otherwise problematic: Appeal to expert opinion can be a legitimate form of obtaining advice or guidance for drawing presumptive conclusions about an issue or problem when objective knowledge is unavailable or inconclusive (p. 172). A pressing context in which objective knowledge is frequently ‘unavailable or inconclusive’ is that of scientific inquiry: Good scientific method is based on the idea of reproducible evidence. In other words, it is better to do an experiment yourself rather than rely on the say-so of someone else who has done it and claimed certain results. But does that mean we should always mistrust and reject the word of an authority as fallacious? It need not, if our reliance on cognitive authority is regarded only as a means of supplementing experimental investigation in those cases when an immediate decision is required and independent experimental investigation is not possible or practical (Walton, 1989, pp. 174–175). Inquiry into BSE is one such case. Immediate decisions were required to bring under control a rapidly escalating animal health problem and to prevent the emergence of a human health problem. However, given the lengthy incubation period of spongiform encephalopathies10 – and, of course, ethical prohibitions on experimentation in humans – it was never going to be either practically possible or morally acceptable to engage in direct experimental investigation of questions about the transmissibility of BSE to humans. Under such circumstances, and according to Walton’s comments above, ad verecundiam could be expected to function as a non-fallacious strategy of reasoning. We will see subsequently that this expectation is borne out in part by the reasoning employed by a key commercial representative in the BSE crisis. However, we will also find evidence of the use by this representative of a novel fallacy involving authority. It is to an analysis of these different authority arguments that we now turn. Until the publication of Charles Hamblin’s (1970) text Fallacies, the dominant approach in fallacy analysis had been one of emphasis on the fallaciousness of the so-called informal fallacies. The argumentum ad verecundiam was deemed to be little different from other informal fallacies in respect of its being fallacious. The basis of this argument’s fallaciousness, it was argued, is its essential dependence on the opinions and judgements of GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 127 individuals, both ‘subjective elements’ that offend against the objectivity that is aspired to in a scientific context. While not subscribing to this view of ad verecundiam, Woods and Walton capture the considerations that motivate it as follows: …to allow an appeal to authority as a genuine form of acceptable argument is to throw scientific objectivity to the winds…an appeal to authority, having intrinsically inexact and subjective elements about it, must be ruled out of the domain of science entirely (Woods and Walton, 1974a, p. 136). Underlying this rejection of argumentum ad verecundiam was a hyperbolic epistemology in which epistemic states other than objective knowledge were essentially unrecognised. Yet such an exaggerated epistemology is not reflective of actual scientific inquiry – much of scientific inquiry proceeds necessarily in the absence of objective knowledge11 (the pursuit of BSE inquiry in a context of lack of knowledge is a case in point). So some other, more realistic criterion, upon which the fallaciousness of ad verecundiam could be based, needed to be found. With the development of mundane epistemologies12 – in which the central emphasis is on a range of epistemic states (presumption, for example) that are not recognised within more traditional epistemologies – has come the development of evaluative criteria for ad verecundiam, in which the focus of evaluation is the quality of expert testimony, not the mere fact that expert testimony is being used.13 In this way, we are cautioned by fallacy theorists in our evaluation of ad verecundiam to ensure that the expert to whom appeal is made has real, as opposed to apparent, expertise in the subject area in question.14 In the case where real expertise can be demonstrated, a presumption of truth attaches to the conclusion of the ad verecundiam argument. However, such is the tentative nature of presumptionl5 that any counterindication – for example, it is discovered that the expert has a financial interest in producing the opinion that he does – will immediately remove the conclusion’s tentative claim to truth. So the movement from a hyperbolic to a mundane epistemology enables us to view an appeal to authority as more or less warranted and the conclusion of any argument that is based on such an appeal as presumptively true16 depending on features of the expert to whom that appeal is made – is the expert unbiased, sufficiently qualified in the area upon which he is pronouncing, etc.?17 However, this characterisation of fallacious and non-fallacious forms of ad verecundiam overlooks a number of other ‘authority’ arguments that are also fallacious, but for which the flaw cannot be described as an unwarranted appeal to authority. In these arguments, the fallacy arises not from the unwarranted use of authority, but from a failure to use authority when the situation in effect demands its use. On this novel conception of authority arguments, an arguer who does not appeal to authority when such an appeal is required is as guilty of committing an argumentative flaw as the arguer who makes an unwarranted appeal to authority. I contend subsequently that this novel type of authority argument 128 LOUISE CUMMINGS is employed by Mr Maclean of the Meat and Livestock Commission. To understand how an arguer can fail to use authority, we must first examine the features of a rationally acceptable appeal to authority. I want to return to the above examples of authority appeals in BSE inquiry. The expertise of the different authorities that are appealed to in these extracts is represented in various ways. The professional standing of scientists and experts is indicated through the use of adjectives like ‘eminent’, ‘distinguished’ and ‘leading’. To reflect the impartiality of experts, they are described as being ‘independent’. Finally, in an attempt to establish the extent of their expertise, scientists are represented as having eminence in ‘Britain and in the rest of Europe’, all countries that are deemed to have advanced scientific communities. It was certainly the case that much truly expert scientific opinion came to inform the policy decisions and pronouncements on risk produced by politicians and others during the BSE crisis.18 To this extent, appeals to authority were often valid within the context of this inquiry. Consider in this regard how Mr Maclean of the Meat and Livestock Commission makes use of appeals to authority in the extract presented above. Two authority appeals advanced by Mr Maclean in this extract address the question of BSE transmission from cattle to man and the question of the safety of beef for human consumption. The expert sources that are cited in relation to each of these questions are respectively: • Eminent scientists led by Professor Richard Southwood of Oxford University • Government’s Chief Medical Officer, Sir Donald Acheson. It is doubtless the case that the first of these expert sources – the four members of the Southwood Working Party – was well placed to advise on the likelihood of BSE transmission from cattle to man. Each member of this working party was a respected authority in his specialist field and the scope of their combined specialisms – zoology, virology, clinical neurology and veterinary science – qualified them to advise on the human health implications of BSE.19 Accordingly, Mr Maclean’s use of authority markers – that is, his use of ‘eminent’, academic title (Professor) and institutional affiliation (Oxford University) – were rationally justified in this case. Sir Donald Acheson, the expert source appealed to in the second extract cited above, was not personally qualified to make pronouncements on the safety of beef for human consumption – the question of the safety of any animal product for human consumption depends as much on veterinary expertise as on medical expertise in order to be answered and, as such, lies outside of the exclusively medical competence of the Chief Medical Officer. However, through consultations with veterinary and medical experts, Sir Donald acquired a form of indirect expertise on the question of the safety of beef and an appeal to his authority in argument was an appeal to this indirect expertise. As with the first appeal to expertise a rational basis can also GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 129 be found for this second appeal to authority. The fallaciousness of Mr Maclean’s reasoning only truly emerges when these two non-fallacious appeals to authority are examined in the context of the following extract: One person has suggested that in order to infect cattle the agent may have changed, mutated, and so it can change again to infect humans. There is now sound scientific evidence that this is simply not the case. I want to contend that an appeal to expertise is necessary in this extract and that Mr Maclean quite deliberately avoids using such an appeal. To appreciate the necessity of such an appeal, we need only consider the wider argumentative context in which this extract occurs. Mr Maclean produces two rationally justified appeals to expertise in an attempt to support his own claims that beef is safe to eat and that BSE cannot transmit from cattle to humans. On the question of transmission, he then goes on to address a viewpoint that he opposes. What is clear is that when opposing viewpoints on an issue are being presented and when each of those viewpoints is supported by different experts, it is necessary, in the interests of achieving balance in argument, to accord the same rights of cognitive authority to each of these experts. At a minimum, this requires that the arguer state the name, professional title and affiliation of the expert in question. It is evident from the above extract that Mr Maclean neglects to execute even this minimum requirement in relation to the source of an opposing viewpoint. What motivates this neglect, I contend, is Mr Maclean’s desire to remove authority from his opponent and, through doing so, to invalidate this opponent’s claim – the source of this claim, he is implying, lacks cognitive authority with the result that the claim itself has no rational standing. Moreover, this claim is further weakened on account of its juxtaposition with two rationally justified authority arguments, both of which support Mr Maclean’s views. In this case, therefore, the fallaciousness of Mr Maclean’s reasoning lies not in its unwarranted appeal to expertise – such as occurs, for example, where it emerges that the cited authority lacks expertise in the area of the question-at-issue. Rather, the fallaciousness of his reasoning consists in its failure to use an authority appeal when the context effectively demands such an appeal. This last claim warrants further examination. It is commonplace in fallacy inquiry for theorists to use the term ‘fallacy’ only when certain argumentative errors have been committed. On some occasions, these errors take the form of a violation of a rule of dialogue or of inference. On other occasions, arguers use premises that do not support the conclusion of an argument or that support a different conclusion. Typically, these errors are antithetical to the fulfilment of one or more of the purposes for which we engage in argument, whether this is the resolution of a dispute or the determination of the guilt of a defendant. However, it is clear that an arguer can also act in ways that are antithetical to the fulfilment of these purposes by failing to do certain things. For example, an arguer may fail to use available evidence to support a 130 LOUISE CUMMINGS claim. In this way, the arguer who uses an unwarranted appeal to authority and the arguer who fails to appeal to authority when such an appeal could quite legitimately be used to support a claim are both acting in ways that preclude the fulfilment of one or more of the purposes of argument. We can now apply this extended conception of fallacy to an analysis of the reasoning employed by Mr Maclean. It is clear that the Meat and Livestock Commission was under considerable pressure to address growing public concerns about the safety of beef. Media speculation about the potential risks posed by BSE to human health threatened to destabilise the U.K.’s beef industry. In a letter to Mr John MacGregor, the then Secretary of State in the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, Mr Geoffrey John (Chairman of the MLC) remarked: At its meeting today [25 May 1989], the Commission expressed very considerable and urgent concern about the effect of the current BSE issue on the public perception of the meat industry, and potentially on beef sales. You, of course, will be fully aware of recent media interest in the subject (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 134). It was against this increasingly difficult background that Mr Maclean of the MLC set about attempting to alleviate the public’s fears about BSE. To this end, he embarks upon an argumentative monologue, in which he is seen both to advance claims and to respond to counter-claims. However, given the wider context at this time, it is clear that Mr Maclean’s overwhelming concern was not simply to provide the public with facts upon which it could base its own assessment of risk. Rather, his primary concern was to defend the British meat industry and, particularly, to argue forcefully in support of the claim that beef was safe to eat. He promotes this interest in two ways. First, he advances two rationally warranted appeals to expertise in support of claims that it is within his organisation’s interest to defend. Second, he fails to accord proper rights of cognitive authority to the source of an opposing claim (although we cannot say with certainty who this source was, as Mr Maclean expresses this claim it is consistent with views advanced by Dr Richard Kimberlin, an independent consultant in transmissible spongiform encephalopathies20). Mr Maclean’s dual strategy serves to erode the authority of the source that produces this opposing claim which in turn enables him to imply that there is no rational basis to this claim. In this case, Mr Maclean is not making an unwarranted appeal to authority – he has not made claims of expertise that we have been able to validate. To this extent, his error is quite unlike the flaws that are typically associated with fallacious appeals to authority. Notwithstanding this fact, Mr Maclean is still reasoning fallaciously when he fails to use authority in a context that demands its use. To describe the flaw in this reasoning, we extended the use of the term ‘fallacy’. As well as applying to the various things that people do incorrectly in argument, we used the term to describe the many things that arguers fail to do in argument. To understand the second ‘new’ fallacy of the BSE crisis, we must extend our conception of fallacy still further. GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 131 False attribution of a part to a whole It was demonstrated above how Mr Maclean of the Meat and Livestock Commission manipulated authority in an attempt to promote certain of this organisation’s commercial interests. Mr Maclean failed to appeal to authority when the wider context of his argument effectively demanded such an appeal. However, a failure to use authority was not the only ‘new’ fallacy to characterise commercial and political interpretations of the science of BSE. A second such fallacy is exemplified by the following conclusion of the BSE Inquiry Team, which is also a summary of the reasoning of Section 4 committees21 on the question of the safety of bovine-derived oral medicines: We felt that it was not unreasonable for the Section 4 committees to assume that if it was safe to eat meat, it must be safe for humans to eat the minimal amount of bovine material contained in oral medicines such as gelatine in capsules (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 178). A reconstruction of the reasoning of this extract finds the central assumption of the Section 4 committees acting as a major premise in the following conditional argument: If it is safe to eat meat, then it is safe to consume bovine-derived oral medicines. It is safe to eat meat. [ It is safe to consume bovine-derived oral medicines. Throughout the BSE crisis, a form of analogical reasoning that was based on scrapie in sheep22 was routinely used to validate claims about the safety of meat for human consumption. This same analogy was called upon by the Section 4 committees to validate the minor premise of the above argument.23 However, in the present context the focus of analysis lies not so much with the rational warrant of the minor premise of this argument as with the grounds that are advanced in support of this argument’s major premise. These grounds can be formulated as follows: IF MEAT IS SAFE TO EAT, THEN ANY PART OF MEAT IS SAFE TO EAT As stated here, these grounds are entirely reasonable – the property ‘is safe’ is divisible between the whole (meat) and its parts (parts of meat). Notwithstanding their reasonableness, these grounds support the major premise of the above argument in appearance only. The oral medicines that are mentioned in that premise contain the bovine bone product gelatine,24 a product that is not properly a ‘part of meat’ (‘meat’ was taken to mean ‘skeletal muscle’ by the Section 4 committees). So, even if it is known25 that meat is safe to eat, nothing about the safety of consuming gelatine can be inferred from this fact. In treating gelatine as a part of meat, the Section 4 committees were falsely attributing a part (gelatine) to a whole (meat). Such an argument is not included within the group of traditional informal 132 LOUISE CUMMINGS fallacies. And it may still be denied inclusion in this group if we can find an alternative and, importantly, non-fallacious rendering of the reasoning of the Section 4 committees. It may be argued, for example, that these committees were advancing a quite different type of argument from the one that has just been outlined. They may have been using, for example, the then dominant analogy between BSE and scrapie to argue as follows: BSE and scrapie are similar in essential respects. Scrapie-contaminated meat and bones have equal levels of infectivity. [ BSE-contaminated meat and bones have equal levels of infectivity. The conclusion of this analogical argument could then have been used by the Section 4 committees to justify the safety of bovine-derived oral medicines on the basis of the supposed safety of meat – as a bone product, the gelatine in oral medicines could be expected to be as safe (or as dangerous, as it turned out) for human consumption as meat itself. However, even if ovine meat and bone were known to contain similar levels of scrapie infectivity – as indeed they were26 – no conclusions about BSE infectivity in bovine meat and bones could be drawn from this fact. For at the same time as the Section 4 committees were engaged in their deliberations about the safety of oral medicines, there was growing evidence that the dominant analogy between BSE and scrapie was beginning to unravel. For example, Professor John Collinge27 told the BSE Inquiry Team: Certainly the appearance in domestic and captive wild cats was a very important development. It demonstrated that you could no longer really plausibly argue that BSE was just scrapie in cows with all the same properties. This agent, wherever it had originated from, had quite different biological properties to scrapie as manifested by the extended host range of affected species, including things like nyala and kudu as well as the cats that had not been affected by scrapie before, so far as we were aware (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 140). To the extent that this analogy was no longer secure, any conclusion about the safety of bovine-derived medicines that was based upon it could not be rationally warranted. Notwithstanding our best efforts to find a rational basis for the reasoning of the Section 4 committees, this reasoning emerges as inherently problematic and fallacious. I contend that the neglect of histological differences between meat and bone – such as occurs in the false attribution of gelatine to meat – and the over-reliance on an analogy between BSE and scrapie reveal the pursuit of a commercial interest over a public health interest by these committees. Of course, the official role of these committees was to provide impartial scientific advice on BSE to the Medicines Division of the Department of Health, the authority responsible for the licensing of human medicines within the U.K.: Decision-making28… had to be based on proper evidence and be demonstrably untainted by departmental and political interests. Officials and Ministers relied heavily on advice from several committees of outside experts set up under Section 4 of the Medicines Act and GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 133 known as ‘Section 4 committees’. Many of the members were of great eminence in their field and their advice was almost invariably followed. This was certainly the case in dealing with BSE (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 167; emphasis added). Yet, an examination of the actual practice of these committees reveals a complex process of deliberation in which scientific assessments of risk were often subordinated to a range of other concerns. Some of these concerns were legitimate in nature. For example, the decision to exclude bovine products from human medicines had to be measured against other pressing concerns, such as the potential for disruption to necessary vaccination programmes.29 However, other concerns embodied economic, political and commercial interests that unjustifiably assumed priority over scientific interests and that motivated, I argue, fallacious reasoning of the type examined above. Consider in this regard an issue that came to be addressed by many pharmaceutical companies, that of establishing new, nonbovine sources for many of their products. A number of these companies were represented in person at meetings that were called in order to discuss the safety of bovine products in human medicines.30 The proposals for action that resulted from these meetings – most of which required changes in the sourcing of medicines – entailed a major commitment of expenditure on the part of pharmaceutical companies. I contend that a reluctance to undertake this expenditure accounts for some of the more problematic claims that were made about the safety of bovine products in human medicines. To see this, we need only examine some of the conclusions of the Southwood Working Party. The risks posed by bovine material in vaccines was one of the most vexing issues to be considered by the Working Party.31 The final draft of the Southwood Report directly addressed those risks – there was a ‘theoretical risk’ of BSE transmission via medicines. However, the consternation caused by this assessment of risk32 prompted a revision of the section of the report that dealt with the safety of human medicines. The response in official animal and human health circles to the pre-publication draft of the Southwood Report and the report’s subsequent rewording were both motivated by a desire to avoid a vaccine scare amongst the public.33 Such a scare was to be avoided at all costs, as previous scares had resulted in a number of deaths. Sir Donald Acheson (Chief Medical Officer, 1983–1991) told the Inquiry Team: I had in mind a marked and extended previous reduction in the acceptance of whooping cough vaccine which had followed incorrect public allegations by a scientist that the administration of the vaccine carried a significant risk of encephalitis. On the one hand I was aware that during the period 1980–1988, due to incomplete vaccination of our population of children, there had been 123 deaths from measles and 50 from whooping cough in England, together with a many times larger burden of illness and some long-term complications (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 179). Although it was critically important to avoid a public vaccine scare, the ultimate motivation for the decision to reword the Southwood Working 134 LOUISE CUMMINGS Party’s conclusions on medicinal products, I contend, was the threat of legal action by the pharmaceutical industry. Licensing officials, whose job it was to devise guidance for the pharmaceutical industry on the basis of the Working Party’s report, could either institute non-binding guidelines for medicines manufacturers (a form of self-regulation) or introduce formal regulation of the industry. Of these two courses of action, formal regulation would almost certainly have achieved greater levels of industry compliance. However, formal regulation would also entail the pharmaceutical industry incurring huge costs to make the necessary adjustments in their manufacturing procedures. If Southwood and his team were to conclude that there was a risk – even a theoretical risk – of BSE transmission through medicines, it is difficult to see how on human health grounds formal regulation could be avoided. However, formal regulation would almost certainly have been opposed by the pharmaceutical industry, which would use the absence of an actual or real risk, as opposed to a theoretical risk, as grounds upon which to mount a legal challenge. Professor Asscher (Chairman, Committee on Safety of Medicines) described such a challenge in his statement to the BSE Inquiry Team: Licences cannot generally be revoked merely on the basis of a remote and theoretical risk. Such a revocation would very probably be overturned if legally challenged and we would never advise Ministers to take formal regulatory action in such circumstances (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 7, p. 120). The avoidance of a public scare about the safety of vaccines, while not grounds in itself to justify the rewording of the conclusions of the Southwood Working Party, provided a convincing pretext under which licensing officials could pursue this rewording. In reality, however, their decision to pursue this rewording was motivated by considerations that were economic and commercial in nature. Licensing officials reasonably predicted that if Southwood concluded that there was a risk of BSE transmission through medicines, pharmaceutical companies would have to substantially revise the procedures that they used to manufacture these medicines. At a minimum, this would involve finding alternative sources for the ingredients in a number of their products.34 Moreover, existing stocks of vaccines, some of which could last for years,35 would have to be destroyed. The combined cost of these measures would have been enormous and would have fallen largely on the companies whose products were affected by them. It could be expected that the pharmaceutical industry would oppose such measures by legal means, particularly if they were introduced through formal regulation. The only way to avoid this sequence of events was for licensing officials to ensure that Southwood and his team avoided making any major pronouncement in which medicines could be seen as a significant vector of the BSE agent. A rewording of Southwood’s conclusions was sought and achieved. But while this rewording enabled the government and the pharmaceutical industry to avoid incurring short-term costs,36 an altogether GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 135 greater cost resulted from their combined actions: an enduring and pervasive distrust of scientific pronouncements, particularly when those pronouncements are made by government ministers and officials.37 PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF SCIENCE I argued above that two ‘new’ fallacies – one involving the failure to use authority and the other involving the false attribution of a part to a whole – characterised how certain scientific assessments of risk came to be interpreted during the BSE crisis. A central claim within my argument was that commercial and political interests were the cause of this fallacious reasoning – these interests, I contended, came to distort, if not the actual process of scientific inquiry into BSE, then how the results of that inquiry came to be interpreted for the wider general public. Specifically, I argued that a senior representative of the Meat and Livestock Commission had manipulated authority within a campaign of public reassurance about the safety of beef for human consumption. Also, I claimed that Section 4 committees were falsely identifying gelatine as a part of meat in an attempt to avert public anxiety about the BSE risks that were posed by bovine products in human medicines. In one respect, the public has almost come to expect the intrusion of commercial and political interests into issues of a scientific nature.38 This expectation, however, stems more from an overwhelming cynicism about politics and a pervasive distrust of the motivations of large corporations than it does from any reasoned judgement that is based on an examination of scientific inquiry. If this cynicism and distrust is not to be allowed to erode science’s authority to pronounce on certain issues, then there must be a concerted effort to establish a programme of public education that involves the cultivation of reasoned judgement in relation to scientific issues. An essential component of this judgement, I contend, will be skills of rational criticism, in particular, skills of fallacy identification and evaluation. Of course, calls to reasoned judgement are not new. Their most common manifestation – as the central aim of critical thinking39 – has long been recognised as a significant educational objective (Krasnican, 1952). Yet, critical thinking has been largely neglectful of the study of scientific reasoning – ‘scientific reasoning represents an important, neglected area within critical thinking’ (Boone, 1992, p. 74).40 Moreover, the formal educational orientation of much work in critical thinking41 limits its usefulness to the much wider educational task of improving the public’s skills of rational criticism in matters scientific. The recent emergence of a new field of inquiry, the public understanding of science, promised to remedy the deficiencies of the critical thinking approach. For now science was the central focus of examination and the general public the target of educational efforts. These emphases are reflected in the following mission 136 LOUISE CUMMINGS statement of the Office on Public Understanding of Science, part of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences: The mission of the Office on Public Understanding of Science is to foster the mutual responsibility of scientists and the media to communicate to the public, with accuracy and balance, the nature of science and its processes as well as its results. While it is undoubtedly the case that the public understanding of science (PUS) has achieved certain gains over the approach of critical thinking,42 the central, rational, critical component of this approach has been largely neglected by workers in the PUS field. In demonstration of this claim, we need only consider the following PUS sources. An electronic journal that has been publishing articles in the public understanding of science since 1992 lacks all mention of the rational criticism and procedures of science in its scope statement: Public Understanding of Science43 covers all aspects of the inter-relationships between science (including technology and medicine) and the public. Topics include: surveys of public understanding of and attitudes towards science and technology; perceptions of science; popular representations of science; scientific and para-scientific belief systems; science in schools; history of science education and of popular science; science and the media; science fiction; scientific lobbying; evaluative studies of science exhibitions and interactive science centres; scientific information services for the public; popular protest against science (‘antiscience’); science in developing countries and appropriate technology. Within its ‘vision for the future’, the PUS Office of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences advances an understanding of the rational character of science as one of its long-term public education aspirations: They [Americans] will understand that at its frontiers, science must proceed by trial and error, contending with ignorance and uncertainty, but ultimately by rational processes can create new resources and capabilities. Yet the goals that the National Academy directs to scientists, to the media and to the general public fail to address issues such as the rational criticism of science or to examine the rational processes by means of which scientific inquiry proceeds.44 In the same way in the U.K., an objective of the Public Understanding of Science, Engineering and Technology team in the Office of Science and Technology45 is to impart to the public scientific knowledge, in the absence of which ‘the public will be unable to rationally influence decisions affecting their lives’. However, no strategy or procedure is advanced for the achievement of this particular rationality objective. Once again, the picture to emerge is one in which certain critical thinking goals and objectives are proposed in the absence of even the remotest idea of how to foster the skills of rational criticism that are essential to the achievement of these goals and objectives. I described above how the approach of critical thinking could benefit from the expertise and insights of workers in the public understanding of science. It can now be seen that these same workers could benefit from certain skills and insights within a critical thinking approach. GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 137 The relevance of the above discussion to the specific case of scientific inquiry into BSE can be stated simply as follows: instruction of the public on how to rationally evaluate the reasoning of this inquiry can only properly proceed when the logical, critical techniques of the critical thinking approach are combined with the scientific, educational aims of the public understanding of science. In the absence of a sustained effort to combine the techniques and aims of these disciplines, rational evaluation of the kind of reasoning that was examined previously will remain outside the critical capacity of the public. Moreover, without such rational evaluation the political and commercial interests that motivated this reasoning will damage the credibility of science in the long term. It is not unreasonable to suppose, for example, that today’s distrust of political and commercial interpretations of science could become tomorrow’s rejection of science itself. Although the present paper is not a suitable context in which to develop a model of how public rational criticism of science should proceed, the above discussion has certainly established the need for a model of this kind and has broadly demonstrated the aims and techniques that such a model should embody. NOTES 1 Maurice Finocchiaro has performed an extensive analysis of the argumentative structure of this text. See Finocchiaro (1980). 2 As late as 1689 in France the idea that there existed a bone in man which was the necessary nucleus of the resurrection body continued to stimulate opposition in the Church to dissection. 3 Vesalius (1514–64) is generally credited with being the founder of the modern science of anatomy. He died as a result of being shipwrecked whilst undertaking a pilgrimage to the Holy Land, which was apparently embarked upon to atone for his sin. 4 Samuel Wilberforce, Bishop of Oxford between 1845–69, criticised Darwin in the Quarterly Review, declaring that he was guilty of ‘a tendency to limit God’s glory in creation’, that ‘the principle of natural selection is absolutely incompatible with the word of God’, that it ‘contradicts the revealed relations of creation to its Creator’, that it is ‘inconsistent with the fullness of his glory’ and that it is ‘a dishonouring view of Nature’ (I.92–95). 5 In the U.K. a recent example of how a lack of trust in government pronouncements can have implications for public health concerns the question of the safety of the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) vaccination. Despite repeated government assurances that this vaccination isn’t linked to autism in children, parents have opted in large numbers either not to vaccinate their children at all or to pay for their children to receive individual vaccinations against each of these childhood diseases. In keeping with what I will argue in the main text, the public’s refusal to accept these assurances is related, I contend, more to a reluctance to believe any political interpretation of the science in this area than it is to a reluctance to believe science per se. 6 As an indication of the size of the BSE epidemic, in early 1993, cases were being reported at a rate of around 1,000 a week. The source of this figure is the report of the BSE Inquiry, headed by Lord Phillips of Worth Matravers. For nearly three years Lord Phillips and his team examined all that was known about the history of BSE and new variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, nvCJD, and looked at how these diseases were handled by the British Government and by others in the period between December 1986 and 20 March 1996. This report provides much of the factual background of this paper. 138 LOUISE CUMMINGS 7 ‘At the time BSE emerged, beef and dairy farming was the largest sector of U.K. agriculture. The output from milk, fattened cattle and calves totalled some £5 billion, nearly 38 per cent of the entire U.K. agricultural output. With a cattle population of some 12.7 million, the U.K. produced 97 per cent of the beef and veal required to supply the needs of the domestic market, and sufficient liquid milk to supply 100 per cent of domestic demand for milk and almost 70 per cent of domestic demand for butter and cheese’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 23). 8 Mr Gummer was the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food between 1989 and 1993. 9 Mr Colin Maclean, in an MLC press release on 14 May 1990, remarked: ‘All the scientific evidence–as opposed to rumour, conjecture and guess – provided by leading veterinary surgeons and scientists in the U.K. and the rest of the EEC has indicated that U.K. beef is perfectly safe to eat’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 363; emphasis added). Dr Pickles, principal medical officer in the Department of Health, issued in May 1990 a minute to health and local authorities. It read: ‘The Government have taken advice from the leading scientific experts in this field. They have consistently advised us that there is no scientific justification to avoid eating British beef. Beef can be eaten safely by everyone both adults and children including patients within the NHS’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 6, p. 365; emphasis added). A draft of this statement, agreed by the Chief Medical Officer, Department of Health Press Office and MAFF, read: ‘According to the advice of outside experts to the Government there is no scientific justification to avoid eating British beef. Beef can be eaten safely by everyone both adults and children [including patients within the NHS]’ (p. 365; emphasis added). In the letter to Lady Wilcox, mentioned in the main text, Mr Gummer states: ‘British beef is therefore not a public health risk and can be eaten with complete confidence – a view endorsed by the European Community’s top scientists’ (Volume 6, p. 368; emphasis added). Finally, in a press release in May 1990 by the MAFF Food Safety Directorate, the question ‘Isn’t it true that not enough is known about BSE to ensure the public is protected?’ was addressed as follows: ‘Although BSE is a recent development, a similar disease in sheep, scrapie, has been studied extensively. That research provides a solid foundation for dealing with BSE. Our policy has been endorsed by the EC’s independent scientific advisors’ (Volume 6, p. 370; emphasis added). 10 The closest we can come to calculating the incubation period of spongiform encephalopathies in man is through the study of the iatrogenic transmission of CJD (transmission through some form of medical treatment or surgery). Such studies have revealed long incubation periods: ‘Central inoculation through neurosurgery, depth electrodes, corneal graft or dura mater graft results in disease after a mean incubation period of about 2 years…Peripheral inoculation through human pituitary derived growth hormone (hGH) or pituitary derived gonadotrophin (hGnH) results in disease after an incubation period range from a minimum of 4 years to a maximum of at least 30 years with a mean of around 12 years’ (Will, 1993, p. 963). Given these long incubation periods, even if BSE was transmissible to humans, it would be many years before science would be in a position to confirm this fact. 11 Woods and Walton (1974a) remark of such epistemologies: ‘A common tendency is to lump everything not dignified by the title ‘‘objective knowledge’’ into the category of speculation, something devoutly to be avoided when engaged in scientific pursuits. It is this sort of dichotomy that we urge resistance against. Whilst there may be an important sense in which opinion-based conclusions are ‘‘subjective’’, we would point out that such conclusions are very much a part of ongoing scientific practice, that they admit of scientific treatment and characterization, and that in no event are they simply to be equated with raw speculation or random guesswork. In fact, we see no compelling reason for supposing that a judgement from expertise can never be knowledge. Is all knowledge objective knowledge?’ (p. 145). 12 An example of a mundane epistemology is Nicholas Rescher’s dialectics, a controversyoriented approach to the theory of knowledge. For Rescher, the concept of presumption assumes epistemological significance on account of its association with rational controversy, which is the basis of Rescher’s epistemology: ‘In rational controversy, there must always be some impartially fixed common ground determining what is to count as evidence. This leads straightaway into the topic of presumption’ (1977, p. 30; emphasis in original). GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 13 139 Given that in any ad verecundiam argument, appeal is made to an expert individual or to a group of expert individuals, and given that traditional epistemologies eschew the subjectivity of such an appeal, ad verecundiam is invariably fallacious for fallacy theorists of a traditional epistemological bent. 14 ‘The most blatant of the fallacious appeals to authority occur where a legitimate expert in a given area makes a judgement that does not fall within it, but where added credibility is given to his judgment simply by virtue of his being an expert in some area’ (Woods and Walton, 1974a, p. 143; emphasis in original). 15 ‘…presumptions, though possessed of significant probative weight, will in general be defeasible – i.e., subject to defeat in being overthrown by sufficiently weighty countervailing considerations’ (Rescher, 1977, p. 31). 16 Rescher characterises presumptive truth as follows: ‘…to assert P as a presumption is to say no more than that P is potentially or presumptively true – that it is a truth-candidate – but does not say that P is actually true, that it is a truth’ (1977, p. 42; emphases in original). 17 The shift from a hyperbolic epistemology, with its emphasis on objective, certain knowledge, to a presumption-based mundane epistemology has effected a shift in standards of argument evaluation. Arguments that were previously judged to be unacceptable in accordance with deductive standards of inference are now deemed to be acceptable within a presumptive framework. Indeed, this very shift has come to characterise much recent fallacy evaluation. Also within recent fallacy evaluation, it is argued that fallacious variants of many of the informal fallacies come about when an argument, which is presumptive in nature, is presented as being deductive. Walton (1995) comments on this in the case of ad verecundiam argument as follows: ‘What is wrong is that instead of being presented (appropriately) as a defeasible, presumptive inference – which is open to critical questioning by its nature – the argument from expert opinion is presented as if it were a tight deductive inference that the respondent cannot question’ (p. 282). 18 Various expert committees and working parties were established in order to advise successive British governments on the animal and human health implications of BSE. For example, the Southwood Working Party, whose terms of reference were ‘to advise on the implications of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy and matters relating thereto’, consisted of a professor of zoology (Sir Richard Southwood, Chairman of the Working Party), a professor of virology (Anthony Epstein), a clinical neurologist (Sir John Walton) and a veterinarian (Dr William B Martin). The Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (SEAC), whose terms of reference were ‘to advise the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food and the Department of Health on matters relating to spongiform encephalopathies’, had the following members: Dr Tyrrell (Director of the Medical Research Council Common Cold Unit, Chairman of SEAC), Dr Will (Director of the CJD Surveillance Unit), Dr Watson (Director of the Central Veterinary Laboratory, 1986–90), Dr Kimberlin (independent consultant in transmissible spongiform encephalopathies since 1988), Professor Fred Brown (a virologist), Professor Ingrid Allen (a neuropathologist), Professor Richard Barlow (pathologist and veterinarian), Mr David Pepper (veterinary surgeon), Dr William Hueston (epidemiologist, joined SEAC upon Professor Barlow’s resignation), Professor John Pattison (a medical microbiologist), Professor John Collinge (Head of the Neurogenetics Unit at St Mary’s Imperial College School of Medicine), Dr Michael Painter (a consultant in communicable disease control), Professor Peter Smith (human epidemiologist and statistician), Professor Jeff Almond (virologist and immunologist) and Mr Ray Bradley (Head of Pathology Department at CVL between 1983 and 1995 and coordinator of BSE Research at CVL between 1987 and 1995). 19 This has been disputed, however. For example, in an article entitled ‘A Culture of Secrecy that Risked Our Lives’ in the Sunday Times on 29 October 2000, Jonathan Carr Brown argues that ‘The Southwood working party did not contain a single expert in prions. Phillips [chairman of the BSE Inquiry] declines to comment on this glaring omission’ (p. 12). Within the context of the current discussion I will not examine the charge that the Southwood working party lacked necessary expertise in prions, the abnormal protein posited to be the disease entity in all 140 LOUISE CUMMINGS spongiform encephalopathies. This charge was not supported by the independent BSE inquiry that was conducted by Lord Phillips and his team (the quotation makes this clear). As such, it is an unsubstantiated charge by a single journalist that does not pose a serious threat to the tenability of the claim that this working party embodied adequate expertise. 20 In an article entitled ‘Transmissible Encephalopathies in Animals’, submitted for publication in the Canadian Journal of Veterinary Research in June 1989, Dr Kimberlin refers to the possibility of a change in the agent on crossing the species barrier, a change which could put humans at risk of transmission from cattle. 21 Section 4 committees were so named on account of their establishment under Section 4 of the Medicines Act 1968. These committees consisted of eminent outside experts who provided advice to the Medicines Division – the body that was responsible for the licensing of medicines in the U.K. – within the Department of Health. The main section 4 committees that advised on human medicinal products at risk from BSE were the Committee on Safety of Medicines (CSM), the Committee on Dental and Surgical Materials (CDSM), and the Committee on Review of Medicines (CRM). Two subcommittees of the CSM played a key role: the Biologicals Sub-Committee (BSC) and the specially constituted BSE Working Group (BSEWG). 22 This analogy with scrapie can be stated briefly as follows: BSE and scrapie disease in sheep are similar in essential respects; scrapie hasn’t transmitted to man; therefore, BSE won’t transmit to man. See Cummings (2002) for discussion of the role of this scrapie analogy in BSE inquiry. 23 The minor premise of this argument is supported through a chain of premises that terminates in an analogy with scrapie – it is safe to eat meat because BSE doesn’t transmit to humans and BSE doesn’t transmit to humans because it is similar to scrapie that hasn’t transmitted to humans. Professor Sir William Asscher, chairman of the Committee on Safety of Medicines (one of the Section 4 committees), told the BSE Inquiry Team that, while the Committee was concerned about the use of parenteral products (human growth hormone, dura mater implants, etc.), the very fact that scrapie had not transmitted to man gave reassurances that BSE was unlikely to be acquired orally. 24 Gelatine is a colourless, transparent, jelly-like material that is derived from collagen and that is obtained by boiling animal bones. 25 The proposition ‘meat is safe to eat’ was not known to be true during the BSE crisis. That fact is indicated by the BSE Inquiry Team through their use of the hypothetical conditional construction ‘if it was safe to eat meat, it must be safe for humans to eat the minimal amount of bovine material contained in oral medicines’. 26 In the decades preceding the emergence of BSE in cattle, Dr William Hadlow – a veterinary neuropathologist – had demonstrated that ovine meat (skeletal muscle) and ovine bone marrow had similar levels of scrapie infectivity, along with tissues such as heart, lung and kidney. Moreover, all these tissues were considerably less infective for scrapie than ovine brain and spinal cord. 27 John Collinge is Professor of Molecular Neurogenetics at St. Mary’s Hospital, London. He has been a member of the Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee since December 1995. 28 The decision-making referred to here is that undertaken by ‘officials and ministers’. To the extent, however, that Section 4 committees provided these officials and ministers with the evidence upon which decisions were taken, this evidence also needed to be ‘demonstrably untainted by departmental and political interests’. 29 ‘There were two principal arguments against immediate withdrawal of stocks. The first was the difficulty of procuring sufficient guaranteed ‘clean’ stocks to maintain the vaccination programme or provide life-preserving medication. Many of the contemporary documents and the statements we [the Inquiry Team] saw emphasised the difficulty of replacing stocks overnight. In particular, ‘growing’ batches of vaccines was a lengthy process. For this reason, stocks tended to be built up and kept for a number of years ahead’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 179). GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 30 141 ‘On 16 May 1988 the NIBSC [National Institute for Biological Standards and Control] organised a discussion about BSE to consider what the disease might mean for medicines using biological material. The meeting was attended by Mr Wilesmith, the CVL [Central Veterinary Laboratory] epidemiologist, Dr Kimberlin from the NPU [Neuropathogenesis Unit], Dr Rosalind Ridley and Dr Harry Baker from the MRC’s [Medical Research Council] Clinical Research Centre, and Dr A J Beale and Dr A J M Garland from Wellcome’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 171; emphasis added). 31 ‘The potential risks from parenteral injection had been one of the Working Party’s most serious worries’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. l78). 32 Mr Scollen (MAFF Animal Health Division) gave a graphic account in a minute to Mr Cruickshank (responsible for MAFF’s Animal Health Group) of reaction to the final draft of the section of the Southwood Report dealing with medicines: ‘There was general dismay at the drafting, which tends to highlight the (theoretical) risk via medicines and to relegate the qualification that the risk is remote’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. l74). 33 Mr Scollen believed that even a revised version of the Southwood Report would trigger a negative public reaction. In the same minute to Mr Cruickshank that was mentioned in endnote 32, Mr Scollen remarked: ‘Even if the report is modified in the light of these reactions, its appearance seems likely to trigger a need for a major public relations job which takes full account of the medicines angle’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 174). 34 The minutes of a meeting of the BSE Working Group, held on 10 January 1990, read: ‘It was considered after some discussion that negotiations should take place to ensure that sources are changed as soon as possible and to replace existing stocks with new material whenever feasible. Replacement of Wellcome unadsorbed DTP vaccine, by Wellcome adsorbed vaccine should ensure that the former, which is not much used, is replaced earlier than 1991. In the case of the Tuberculin PPD, no other source is available at present, but the company (Evans) should be asked to move over to the new product and replace stocks as soon as this is feasible’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 185). 35 Professor Asscher explained to the BSE Inquiry that ‘manufacturers tended to keep large stocks of existing vaccines which, in some cases, were likely not to be exhausted for as much as 5 years’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 7, p. 128). 36 These short-term economic gains overlook completely the long-term costs to the state of caring for someone with new variant CJD. On the basis of witness statements given to the BSE Inquiry, the Economics and Operational Research Division of the Department of Health has estimated that the average cost of care per patient in 2000 was £20,288. Additional expenditure includes a compensation package worth many millions of pounds that was pledged by the government in 2000 to support the families of nvCJD victims. 37 In addition to the human casualties (victims of new variant CJD) of the BSE story, Lord Phillips remarks that ‘the other casualty of the BSE story has been the destruction of the credibility of government pronouncements’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 22). 38 This expectation is referred to in a minute from Mr Scollen to Mr Cruickshank: ‘While I have no doubts about the Working Group’s staged approach and the balance to be struck between risks and benefits to human health, this will not be the easiest position to present to a potentially critical public prone to seeing the influence of commercial interests’ (BSE Inquiry Report, Volume 1, p. 175; emphasis added). 39 Woods and Walton (1974b) characterise the basic goal of critical thinking as the ‘creation of an underlying competence favourable to the critical, reasoned, logical evaluation of beliefs and values’ (p. 84; emphasis added). 40 Boone is reviewing a book which is exceptional in respect of its recognition of the contribution that the study of scientific reasoning can make to improving critical thinking skills: ‘It [Understanding Scientific Reasoning] now also serves the widely recognized goals of improving critical thinking skills and contributing to general scientific literacy’ (Giere, 1991, p. iii). 41 Formal education has been the emphasis of both early and late work in the field of critical thinking: ‘We recommend the systematic incorporation of the teaching of critical thinking...in 142 LOUISE CUMMINGS educational curricula and especially in teacher training…’ (Woods and Walton, 1974b, p. 84); ‘The Critical Thinking movement aims at cultivating thinking abilities in students at all educational levels’ (Govier, 1989, p. 1l6); a broad liberal education is central to John Mc Peck’s conception of critical thinking: ‘In our society, at least since the time of Thomas Jefferson, the chief purpose of schools has been to produce an informed citizenry, capable of making intelligent decisions about the problems which might face it’ (1990, p. 29). 42 Not, of course, that such gains were ever an avowed aim of workers in the public understanding of science. 43 Public Understanding of Science is published by the Institute of Physics, a member of the Science Council and a nominated body of the Engineering Council which is being replaced by the Engineering and Technology Board and Engineering Council (U.K.). 44 The goals that the National Academy directs to scientists are (1) to inform scientists about research in public understanding of science, (2) to enlist more scientists in efforts to communicate to a broad public and (3) to identify and disseminate effective strategies for presenting results, uncertainties and challenges. The goals directed to both scientists and media are (1) to establish links between scientists and professional communicators (print and electronic media), (2) to assess current portrayals of scientific work, both its content and characterization, in the media and (3) to develop tools and resources to facilitate communication, in particular via electronic means. Finally, the goals that the Academy directs to the general public are (1) to increase their appreciation of science through innovative communication strategies, (2) to provide opportunities for discussions with scientists about scientific issues relating to their daily lives and (3) to seek their feedback about the effectiveness of various communication mechanisms. 45 An office within the U.K.’s Department of Trade and Industry. REFERENCES Boone, D.: 1992, Book Review: Understanding Scientific Reasoning by Ronald N. Giere, Informal Logic 14 (1), 69–74. BSE Inquiry: 2000, Findings and Conclusions, Vol. I, The Stationery Office. 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Rescher, N.: 1977, Dialectics: A Controversy-Oriented Approach to the Theory of Knowledge, State University of New York Press, Albany. Walton, D. N.: 1989, Informal Logic: A Handbook for Critical Argumentation, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. Walton, D. N.: 1995, A Pragmatic Theory of Fallacy, University of Alabama Press, Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Wilberforce, S.: 1874, Essays Contributed to the ‘‘Quarterly Review’’, 2 Volumes. London. Will, R. G.: 1993, ‘Epidemiology of Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease’, British Medical Bulletin 49 (4), 960–970. GIVING SCIENCE A BAD NAME 143 Woods, J. and D. N. Walton: 1974a, ‘Argumentum ad Verecundiam’, Philosophy and Rhetoric 7 (3), 135–153. Woods, J. and D. N. Walton: 1974b, ‘Informal Logic and Critical Thinking’, Education 95, 84–86.
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