For Professional/ Institutional Investors only An introduction to infrastructure as an asset class Infrastructure has been attracting greater attention in the global investment community. Private sector capital is expected to play an increasing role in light of the budgetary constraints faced by many governments around the world. Defining infrastructure assets Infrastructure assets are the facilities and structures essential for the orderly operations of an economy. Transportation networks, health and education facilities, communications networks, water and energy distribution systems provide essential services to communities. Examples of infrastructure assets include: • Transportation assets such as toll roads, airports, ports, bridges, tunnels and rail • Utility and energy assets such as water, power generation, electricity and gas networks, and fuel storage facilities • Communications infrastructure such as transmission towers • Social infrastructure such as education, recreation, waste management and healthcare facilities The high barriers to entry and the monopoly-like characteristics of typical infrastructure assets mean that their financial performance should not be as sensitive to the economic cycle as many other asset classes. Investments are generally low risk given the stable and growing demand for the essential services provided, together with the regulation of the businesses and/or longterm contractual protection of revenues. Globally, only a small fraction of infrastructure assets are currently listed or under private ownership. Notable examples include the water sector in the UK, the power generation sector in North America and many roads, ports and airports in Australia. Thus resulting in a huge potential for increased securitization. Drivers of future growth include demographic trends, the increasing role of private capital and increasing turnover of existing privately held assets. In general, investors who focus on yield and managing long-term liabilities, such as pension funds, will find infrastructure assets attractive. In addition to benefiting from enhanced diversification, these investors can use infrastructure to help match their liability profile with a predictable and partly inflation-linked distribution stream. Given its relatively low correlation with traditional asset classes, infrastructure can also play a valuable role in the risk-return optimization of a portfolio and should be considered in strategic asset allocation decisions. So what exactly is infrastructure; how does it compare with other types of investment; what are the risks; and how can investors gain exposure to this new asset class? Infrastructure as an asset class Infrastructure could always be considered an asset class by definition, however, it has only in the past few years been more widely accepted as a ‘pure play.’ In some parts of the world – for example, Australia, Canada and, to some extent, the UK – infrastructure for many years has been considered to be an asset class in its own right. The relatively long operational lives and high operating margins of infrastructure projects are appealing to private capital investors. The popularity of infrastructure assets is increasing among investors as it offers reliable long-term cash flows usually with some form of inflation protection. A relatively recent innovation is the packaging of a portfolio of these assets into pooled vehicles – infrastructure funds – that offer longer-term, highyielding, defensive, risk-adjusted returns. A portfolio of defensive infrastructure assets is characterized by its low correlation to other asset classes and its relatively high inflationlinked cash yield. It is this combination of characteristics that supports the argument that infrastructure warrants its own allocation within an investment portfolio. These funds are well-suited to pension funds and other long-term oriented investors seeking steady, reliable returns. Infrastructure fund managers are typically value investors with a focus on the cash generative potential of targeted assets. The infrastructure fund manager is responsible for the sourcing of deal flow, the execution of transactions (both acquisitions, and later in the life of the fund, divestments) on behalf of the fund, and the ongoing management of those assets held by the fund. Infrastructure managers employ execution and asset management teams that are comparable to private equity investment teams, albeit with specific skills and experience in relation to the regulatory and market considerations that apply to infrastructure assets. How does infrastructure compare with other asset classes? Infrastructure investment shares some of the characteristics of fixed income (long-term predictable cash yield), real estate (investing in physical assets) and private equity (geared investment albeit with substantial differences in the underlying risk attributes). How does infrastructure fit into a portfolio? Infrastructure has a risk/return profile between equities and fixed income Similarities Differences Private equity •Management control over investments •Converging investment techniques •Different risk-return objective; lower exposure to economic cycle •Longer investment horizon; return less driven by exit strategy •Strong cash yield/lower capital growth Real estate •Cash yield is significant part of return •Absolute return objective focus •Importance of location •Control over operating companies •Barriers to entry; less exposure to valuation cycles •Longer cash flow predictability, higher gearing •Normally larger individual asset size Equities •Equity ownership •Upside return potential •Lower level of securitization/liquidity •Lower correlation with business cycle •Relatively predictable and high cash yield Fixed income •Long-term, predictable cash yield •Long duration asset •Low market risk •Asset ownership •Growth/upside potential •Inflation hedge features •Indirect exposure to interest risk Source: UBS Global Asset Management However, the fact that infrastructure assets have substantial barriers to entry and often supply essential services means that they tend to be less exposed to economic cycles and can accommodate higher levels of gearing. This is because defensive infrastructure assets generate stable cashflows that can support higher levels of debt service in good and bad times, i.e. across economic cycles. More detail on the similarities and differences can be found in the table above. Risks Although infrastructure assets are generally viewed as being relatively low risk, they are exposed to a number of infrastructure specific risks: Patronage/demand risk Some assets, such as transport assets like toll roads, ports or airports are exposed to usage or patronage risks which vary between assets and over time. Generally, transport assets are therefore pro-cyclical. Regulatory risk Infrastructure assets are very often regulated by government either through a regime set by a regulator or through long-term concession agreements. The independence and consistency over time of the regulatory system is a key risk factor for investors. Contractual/credit risk Long-term contracts expose counterparties to credit and other risks. Operational/construction risk Infrastructure assets involve operational risks and greenfield projects involve construction risks. Financing/inflation risk The leverage involved in financing infrastructure assets exposes investors to the cost of debt and refinancing risk. The value of cash flows may also be impacted by inflation. The risks outlined above will have varying degrees of influence on whether an infrastructure investment is appropriate. A toll road and hospital, for example, have unique characteristics that will influence their distinctive risk profile. In addition, the investments will be subject to typical investment risks such as the price paid, ongoing management and ultimately liquidity. As a result, as is the case with most investments, it is important to ensure the risks are fully understood at the outset and the portfolio appropriately diversified and balanced. Investing in infrastructure With a recent increase in funds in the infrastructure sector, a growing number of pension funds and other institutional investors across the world are looking to include infrastructure in their investment portfolios. Investment in infrastructure can generally be made in five broad forms: • Direct infrastructure investment • Unlisted funds investing in direct infrastructure and/or listed infrastructure companies • Listed funds investing in direct infrastructure and/or listed infrastructure companies • Listed stocks • Fund of infrastructure funds In the case of investment funds, the investor must first decide on a fund manager. So what should you look for in an infrastructure fund manager? Investment team experience The quality of the investment team is of overriding importance to the success of infrastructure funds. The team needs to demonstrate in-depth sector knowhow, strong transactional capabilities (for example, principal investments, advisory work, capital markets) and deep asset-level operational experience. Deal sourcing and investment process With an increasing number of managers chasing infrastructure assets, access to quality deal flow and a disciplined investment process are of paramount importance. A fund manager’s reputation and deal sourcing network, its experience and skills to select the best opportunities in line with the fund’s investment mandate as well as strong deal execution capabilities represent critical manager attributes. Asset management capabilities The ongoing management of infrastructure assets may be either passive (in the case of smaller stakes in listed investments) or active (in the case of significant stakes in either listed or private investments, including direct investments). In the case of active management, a quality manager will seek to add value by pursuing a hands-on asset management approach with a particular focus on areas such as strategic planning, enhancement of operational performance and optimization of capital management. Fund governance The alignment of interest between the fund manager and investors is critical. Investors are therefore increasingly focusing on strict governance procedures, no conflicts of interest and transparent fee structures. Infrastructure sector – key themes The changing economic and policy environments mean that the infrastructure investment sector faces a range of issues and opportunities. A number of globally relevant themes are summarized below: Climate change Climate change legislation and regulation of greenhouse gas emissions clearly represents a key area of interest for infrastructure investors. Subsidies and other support to the renewable energy sector provide a good example of the potential impact of policy and associated regulations on investment activity. Over the past decade, the experience of investors in Germany, Spain and some of the North American regions demonstrated the extent to which subsidies can accelerate the development of the sector but also cause a slowdown in development activity once economic support is reduced. Source: UBS Global Asset Management Government finances The deterioration of government finances, in particular in many developed countries, represents another important issue for infrastructure investors. Fiscal stress suggests that private capital will be increasingly needed for financing infrastructure capital expenditures which represents a key opportunity for investors. The concerns around the sustainability of public finances will require governments to reduce spending and find alternative financing solutions for investments. Furthermore, the way governments deal with their financial balances will be an important driver of economic growth. Indirectly this will impact infrastructure projects exposed to demand volatility. could mean an increasing demand for assets that are structured to provide an inflation hedge and a growing focus on differentiating between assets that have explicit inflation links and those that do not. Debt markets The availability and terms of debt will remain a major driver for overall infrastructure investment activity. While debt markets have strongly recovered since the financial crisis, a number of structural changes arose over the past two years some of which are likely to persist over the medium-term. These include the shift from bank to bond markets as most banks will have to continue to strengthen their capital and liquidity position as well as the reduced appetite for long-term project debt. The state of debt markets will be important for the financing of new investments and also be critical for the significant refinancing needs of the sector over the next few years. The strength of the corporate bond market including the re-emergence of the high yield/ subinvestment grade market in the past year is generally seen as a source of funding which will ease some of the pressure around refinancings. Partly due to the expansionary monetary policy response to the global financial crisis and also reflecting a post crisis shift in credit standards (i.e. tolerance for leverage), expected returns have declined across a number of markets and asset classes. However, on a risk-return basis, infrastructure remains a compelling asset class. Inflation Considering that investors often seek inflation hedging through infrastructure investment, the outlook for inflation is an important consideration. Uncertainty around future inflation was limited for the decade preceding the global financial crisis. However, the current outlook is a lot more uncertain. For the infrastructure sector this uncertainty Investment returns There has been a significant increase in recent years in the number of infrastructure funds and the size of assets under management. However, this does not necessarily reflect a disproportionate supply of capital chasing infrastructure assets. The market expansion reflects the rapid development of the asset class from a low base, rather than an oversupply of capital. Contacts Kate Martin Investor Relations Executive New York Tel. +1 212 821 6557 Mobile +1 347 439 8336 [email protected] General disclaimer This document is intended for limited distribution to professional/institutional clients and associates of UBS Global Asset Management. 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