RESERVE FUND STRENGTH ARE YOUR RESERVES ADEQUATE? by Robert M. Nordlund, PE, RS CEO/Founder Association Reserves, Inc. May 2010 www.reservestudy.com Winston Churchill said “Saving is a very fine thing, especially if your parents have done it for you!” But how much “savings” does it take to provide an adequate level of comfort? How much Reserves are adequate? Each Association requires a different amount of Reserve funds to perform the anticipated Reserve projects on time without requiring outside assistance (Special Assessments or Bank Loans). In addition to the difference in Association types and ages, when one also considers the difference between Reserve plans and reality, measuring Reserves adequacy has the reputation of being a shot in the dark. But an Association's Reserve Fund “adequacy” can be measured. The problem in the past has been using the wrong kind of ruler to make the measurement! A Reserve Fund balance that is adequate for one association is not necessarily adequate for another Association. But when an Association's actual Reserves on hand are compared to its computed Reserve requirements, a relative measuring scale called “Percent Funded” is established. Note that this relative Reserve Fund strength measurement is independent from any Funding Plan (Cash Flow, Straight Line, etc.) method. % Funded = Reserve Fund Balance (actual) Fully Funded Balance (computed) % Funded = 100 (ideal) when the Reserve Fund Balance (actual) is equal to the Fully Funded Balance (computed) Note: The Fully Funded Balance (FFB) is computed by multiplying the current replacement cost of each component by its fraction of life "used up" and summing them all together Just as we find clothes which "fit" us based on our own particular measurements, this relative measuring scale allows us to measure how well an Association's Reserve fund "matches", and meets, its Reserve needs. www.reservestudy.com Page | 1 Table 1 compares this % Funded measurement with the Risk of Special Assessment of thousands of our Reserve Study clients. It is clear to see that among Associations with a weak (% Funded less than 30%) Reserve Fund, the incidence of Special Assessments (i.e., inadequate Reserves) is very high. We also found the opposite to be true: among Associations with a strong (% Funded greater than 70%) Reserve Fund, the risk of Special Assessment was rare. Reserves adequacy can only be accurately measured using a “Percent Funded” scale! Percent Funded 0-10% 10-20% 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 100-110% 110-120% over 120% Special Assessment Frequency 53.3% 39.8% 29.0% 17.8% 10.3% 6.2% 3.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% Reserve Fund Strength Weak Weak Weak Fair Fair Fair Fair Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Strong Table 1 For Associations in the 0% - 10% Funded range there is approximately a 50% chance that the Association will have inadequate cash to perform its anticipated Reserve projects during the year. Based on the Special Assessment Frequency, you can see why a Reserve Fund in the 0% 30% range would be considered "weak", and over 70% considered "strong". It is important to note that It is not necessary to be 100% funded (i.e., Reserve Fund balance = Fully Funded Balance) to effectively eliminate the risk of inadequate Reserves. Reserves "adequacy" occurs at or above the 50% Funded level, where the Association’s exposure to Special Assessment has been effectively minimized. An ancient Chinese proverb states that “forecasting is difficult, especially about the future.” Table 1 is evidence that Percent Funded is a reliable measure of reserve fund adequacy. Every Reserve Plan is destined to be inaccurate, since future events are generally out of one’s control and rarely occur exactly as planned. Designing for a relatively strong Reserve Fund provides a margin of protection when Reserve expenses are higher or earlier than expected. www.reservestudy.com Page | 2
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