Why We Need a Buffett Rule Seven Convincing Reasons Seth Hanlon February 2012 In recent months President Barack Obama articulated a fairness principle known as the “Buffett Rule,” named after billionaire investor Warren Buffett, who disclosed that he pays a smaller percentage of his income in federal taxes than his secretary. The Buffett Rule holds that no millionaire should pay a lower effective tax rate than middle-class families. On February 1, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) introduced the Paying a Fair Share Act of 2012. The bill would turn the principle behind the Buffett Rule into a rule of the U.S. tax code, requiring that all households with incomes above $1 million pay at least a 30 percent minimum tax rate (with a phase-in for incomes between $1 million and $2 million). Here are seven compelling reasons why we need a Buffett Rule. 1. The incomes of the top 1 percent have skyrocketed over the past three decades, nearly quadrupling and leaving middle-class incomes far behind. Rising inequality has meant that the very rich have captured an outsized share of the country’s economic gains. Inequality on the rise Average after-tax income in constant dollars, 1979-2007 $1,319,700 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 $55,300 Middle quintile Top 1% 800,000 600,000 $44,100 $346,600 400,000 200,000 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 0 Source: CBO 1 Center for American Progress | Why We Need a Buffett Rule: Seven Convincing Reasons 2. During these same years, tax rates on millionaires dropped sharply as a result of the Bush tax cuts and successive rounds of tax cuts on investment income (capital gains and dividends). Overall federal income tax rates on millionaires, 1993-2009 35% 2001 First Bush tax cuts lower top marginal rates from 39.6% to 35% 30% 25% 1997 Capital gains tax rate lowered from 28% to 20% 2003 Second Bush tax cuts accelerate rate cuts, reduce capital gains and dividend taxes to 15% 20% 15% 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Internal Revenue Service, Publication 1304. 3. A large number of millionaires are now paying lower taxes than millions of middleclass Americans. Billionaire Warren Buffett pays a below-average tax rate than millions of average Americans. Average federal income tax rate vs. Buffett’s 35% 16% 14% 12% ONE IN FOUR millionaires pays lower taxes 30% 13.5% 11.0% 10% 8% 25% TAX RATE 26.5% 20% 6% 15% 4% 2% 0% 10% Average federal income tax rate, 2005-2009 Warren Buffett's tax rate on $62 million of income in 2010 Source: IRS Statistics of Income (2005-2009 average); Warren Buffett letter to U.S. Rep. Tim Huelskamp (Oct. 11, 2011), available at http://money.cnn.com/news/storysupplement/buffett-letter-to-huelskamp/. 2 Center for American Progress | Why We Need a Buffett Rule: Seven Convincing Reasons 5% 0% 94,500 millionaires pay a tax rate of less than 26.5 percent, while 10 million Americans who earn less than $100,000 annually pay a tax rate greater than 26.5 percent. Source: Congressional Research Service (combining income, payroll, and corporate taxes). 4. While many at the top continue to pay lower taxes than those below them on the income scale, the entire burden of deficit reduction falls on investments and services for the middle class. The Budget Control Act, enacted in August 2011, includes: • $1 trillion in cuts to government services and public investments (“discretionary” spending) over 10 years • $1.2 trillion in additional across-the-board spending cuts, including defense and Medicare, starting in January 2013 • $0 in additional revenues 5. The Buffett Rule would raise significant amounts of revenue to address our budget challenges, while affecting a tiny percentage of people who can easily afford it. • $73 billion: Additional revenue that the United States would have collected per year over the last three years if millionaires merely paid an average tax rate of 30 percent. • 0.1 percent: Percentage of Americans that would pay more in taxes under the Buffett Rule. • 2.2 percent: Average tax increase for these millionaire households. Source: Authors’ calculations from IRS data, Tax Policy Center tbl. T12-0024. 6. The Buffett Rule enjoys broad, bipartisan support. Majority of Americans favor Buffett Rule AP-GfK poll, February 2012 9% 14% 50% 12% Strongly Favor Somewhat Favor Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Neutral/Don't Know 15% Source: Associated Press and GfK, “The AP-GfK Poll, February, 2012,” p. 6, available at http://apgfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/AP-GfK-Poll-February-2012-Topline_Congress.pdf 3 Center for American Progress | Why We Need a Buffett Rule: Seven Convincing Reasons 7. And that’s because the rule would restore fundamental American values. “We’re going to close the unproductive tax loopholes that allow some of the truly wealthy to avoid paying their fair share. [These loopholes] sometimes made it possible for millionaires to pay nothing, while a bus driver was paying ten percent of his salary, and that’s crazy.” JUNE 6, 1985 “Now, you can call this class warfare all you want. But asking a billionaire to pay at least as much as his secretary in taxes? Most Americans would call that common sense.” JAN. 24, 2012 Seth Hanlon is Director of Fiscal Reform at the Center for American Progress. See also: • Ronald Reagan, Father of the ‘Buffett Rule’ by Seth Hanlon and Michael Linden • Issue Pulse: Support for the Buffett Rule • Many Millionaires Do Enjoy Lower Tax Rates by Sarah Ayres 4 Center for American Progress | Why We Need a Buffett Rule: Seven Convincing Reasons
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