EU Market Situation for Eggs Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 20 November 2014 Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Class A eggs in packing stations €uro/ 100kg 185 165 145 125 105 85 1 4 7 10 13 Moy.09-13 DG AGRI C3 16 19 22 2011 25 28 31 2012 34 37 40 2013 43 46 49 52 2014 20 November 2014 Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces) compared to the baseline trend (base line= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) 37.500 1.000 p. 30.000 22.500 15.000 7.500 0 | 2013 2014 Jan. 26 235 23 910 Feb. 23 043 23 841 2010 March 26 907 29 425 | April 27 672 26 933 2011 May 26 834 24 590 Placings Laying Hens DG AGRI C3 | 2012 June 25 924 23 879 July 24 552 19 197 | Aug. 20 099 17 422 2013 Sept. 23 555 10 110 | Oct. 22 824 2014 Nov. 20 098 | Dec. 21 002 (baseline= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) - laying chicks 20 November 2014 Production forecast of eggs in shell (Mio p). compared to the price development 9.000 160 7.500 120 4.500 80 3.000 Price €uro/100kg Mio p. 6.000 40 1.500 0 0 | 2013 2014 Jan. 7 518 7 262 2010 Feb. 7 497 7 234 | March 7 474 7 219 2011 April 7 458 7 147 | May 7 443 6 971 2012 June 7 529 7 122 Forecast Production Eggs DG AGRI C3 | July 7 446 7 088 2013 Aug. 7 420 7 112 | Sep. 7 424 7 205 2014 Oct. 7 442 7 140 | Nov. 7 412 7 186 Dec. 7 238 Price Eggs 20 November 2014 Egg prices of EU, USA, Brazil and India in €uro/ 100kg 190,00 165,00 142,89 140,00 115,00 132,51 90,00 101,61 65,00 81,59 40,00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | EU = weighted avg of MS prices Average class L&M US = weekly USDA prices Eggs grade A ,Chicago BR = avg of prices in main producing states (noticiasagricolas.com.br) IN = avg of NECC prices in available Production Centres (e2necc.com) DG AGRI C3 13 | 14 | EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro IN NECC €uro 20 November 2014 Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2014 €uro/ 100kg 200,00 160,00 120,00 80,00 40,00 0,00 | DG AGRI C3 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Eggs for Consumption US breaking (high) EU Barn cage free breaking (high) EU Enriched cage breaking (high) 20 November 2014 | Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products in the EU and the USA in €/10kg 240,0 200,0 €/10 kg 160,0 120,0 80,0 40,0 0,0 1 5 | DG AGRI C3 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5 2012 | 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5 2013 | 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 2014 | whole plain EU Yolk EU Albumen Spray EU whole plain US Yolk US Albumen Spray US 20 November 2014 Prices of Egg products in the EU and the USA (in €/10 kg) €/10 kg 400,0 300,0 200,0 100,0 0,0 | DG AGRI C3 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Yolk 44% pasturised EU Yolk 11% salted EU Yolk 43% pasturised USA Yolk 10% salted USA | 20 November 2014 Price of Basic Ingredients 2012 - 2014 Euro / tonne 450 Soft wheat (EU) 350 Barley (EU) Maïs (EU) Soja (CAF) Hulls (EU) 250 150 50 Jan DG AGRI C3 April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan 20 November 2014 Futures for Maize EU (Euronext ) (Nearby = 2013 - 2014) 220 Delivery: Nearby 200 2014 Nov €/Tonn 2015 Jan 2015 Mar 180 160 140 120 | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | DG AGRI C3 20 November 2014 Futures for Feed w heat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2013 & 2014) De liv e ry: 195 01 Nearby 2014 Nov 2015 Jan €uro/ Tonn 2015 Mar 165 135 105 | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec Jan | 2014 | Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | DG AGRI C3 20 November 2014 Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2013 & 2014) 1.600 De live ry: 01 Nearby 2014 Nov 1.500 2015 Jan 2015 Mar 1.400 1.300 1.200 1.10 0 1.000 90 0 | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. |Jan 2014| DG AGRI C3 Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. | 20 November 2014 Margin betw een Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production marge 180 Marge 2009 - 2013 feed Euro/ 100kg 150 egg 120 90 60 30 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 DG AGRI C3 11 12 13 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de 20 November 2014 100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hens feedconversionrate = 2,7(2009) - 2,2(2014) Remainder €uro/ 100kg 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 3 5 7 Marge Average 09 - 13 DG AGRI C3 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Marge Egg 2011 Marge Egg 2012 Marge Egg 2013 Marge Egg 2014 20 November 2014 EU Imports of Eggs: Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs 2010 tonnes 2011 % tonnes 2012 % tonnes 2013 % tonnes Jan-Sep 14 % tonnes % Compared to Jan-Sep 13 India 3.211 9,4% 1.554 7,5% 3.657 9,7% 3.856 18,9% 3.910 42,5% + 52,3% USA 14.009 40,9% 5.960 28,6% 15.183 40,2% 6.853 33,5% 2.750 29,9% - 52% Norw ay 1.722 5,0% 1.502 7,2% 1.474 3,9% 1.969 9,6% 987 10,7% - 39% Argentina 7.937 23,2% 8.115 39,0% 10.162 26,9% 5.734 28,0% 931 10,1% - 80% Sw itzerland 337 1,0% 342 1,6% 332 0,9% 355 1,7% 412 4,5% + 49% Israel 941 2,7% 547 2,6% 1.393 3,7% 349 1,7% 100 1,1% - 55% Others 6.087 0,2% 2.787 0,0% 5.528 0,0% 1.338 0,0% 119 1,3% EXTRA EU 28 % change DG AGRI C3 34.244 20.806 37.729 20.454 9.209 - 39% + 81% - 46% - 43,8% 20 November 2014 EU Egg Imports Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (Tonnes eggs equiv) 35.000 30.397 Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (1000 EUR) 40.000 36.048 30.000 35.000 4.725 5.127 30.000 25.000 20.000 1.468 219 Jan-Sep 12 India USA 5.777 2.750 2.568 3.910 Jan-Sep 13 Norway DG AGRI C3 Argentina 15.315 15.000 9.209 1.985 25.000 20.000 16.397 12.707 23.810 Jan-Sep 14 Switzerland 267 15.000 20.269 10.000 12.999 9.294 5.000 5.000 0 Other destinations 10.000 2.637 2.904 3.632 Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 Jan-Sep 14 India USA Norway Argentina Switzerland 0 Other destinations 20 November 2014 EU-27/28 Imports of selected EGGS products (including Hatching eggs) 8.000 7.000 in Tonnes egg equiv. 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000 0 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 FRESH DG AGRI C3 Albumin Not In Shell Yolk Hachi ng 20 November 2014 Main Importers of EGGS Products (up to September) Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. Eggs for hatching) 120 Canada Switzerland 60 40 20 0 2013 (up to September) DG AGRI C3 2014 (up to September) 20 November 2014 Qty in 1000 Tonnes 80 Mexico (up to Aug) Singapore (up to Aug) China + H. Kong Canada Switzerland Mexico (up to Aug) Singapore (up to Aug) China + H. Kong 100 EU Exports of Eggs: Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs 2010 tonnes 2011 % tonnes 2012 % tonnes 2013 % tonnes Jan-Sep 14 % tonnes Compared % to Jan-Sep 13 Japan 52.923 29% 66.357 31% 66.938 36% 64.527 30% 59.004 36% Sw itzerland 45.072 25% 42.168 19% 41.893 23% 42.086 20% 28.806 17% - 8% 5.293 3% 4.947 2% 5.982 3% 10.539 5% 5.307 3% - 33% 20 0% 1.552 1% 1.139 1% 7.741 4% 6.257 4% + 191% 5.888 3% 8.262 4% 1.674 1% 10.450 5% 5.330 3% - 25% Angola 10.414 6% 17.524 8% 17.109 9% 12.906 6% 9.301 6% - 17% Taiw an 7.145 4% 7.941 4% 4.626 2% 3.412 2% 2.010 1% - 29% Secr.Extra 2.164 1% 1.148 1% 2.638 1% 8.262 4% 2.635 2% - 52% Israel 1.308 1% 2.654 1% 1.060 1% 936 0% 2.413 1% +++ Thailand 6.180 3% 7.254 3% 6.409 3% 5.919 3% 3.870 2% - 14% Equat.Guinea 1.487 1% 1.945 1% 1.632 1% 2.215 1% 2.017 1% + 12% 43.825 24% 55.353 25% 34.694 19% 45.623 21% 38.344 23% Russia Iraq U.A.Emirates Others EXTRA EU 28 % change DG AGRI C3 181.719 217.105 185.793 214.617 165.294 + 19% - 14% + 16% + 7,7% + 30,5% 20 November 2014 EU Egg Exports Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR) Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.) 165.294 153.423 160.000 141.384 189.104 56.596 43.050 56.502 140.000 28.806 31.212 200.196 200.000 164.343 120.000 100.000 31.137 250.000 180.000 67.909 70.953 150.000 52.089 80.000 9.879 60.000 41.019 46.755 100.000 51.504 40.000 51.370 50.000 59.004 45.224 20.000 44.133 46.386 Jan-Sep 12 Jan-Sep 13 64.528 0 0 Jan-Sep 12 Japan Switzerland DG AGRI C3 Jan-Sep 13 Angola Iraq Jan-Sep 14 U.A.Emirates Other origins Japan Switzerland Angola Iraq Jan-Sep 14 U.A.Emirates Other origins 20 November 2014 EU-27/28 Exports of selected EGGS products (including Hatching eggs) 30.000 in Tonnes egg equiv. 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 | Jan 06 200 6 | Jan 07 200 7 | Jan 08 FRESH DG AGRI C3 200 8 | Jan 09 Album in 200 9 | Jan 10 201 0 | Jan 11 Not I n Shell 201 1 | Jan 12 Yolk 201 2 | Jan 13 201 3 | Jan 14 201 4 Hachi ng 20 November 2014 EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs) 275 in 1000 Tonnes IMPORTS EXPORTS 250 231 217 209 201 205 198 191 186 198 225 215 202 187 200 186 182 165 175 167 164 150 144 150 142 125 100 69 75 39 18 10 23 30 27 18 17 16 25 30 45 30 23 50 38 34 21 20 25 9 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 JanSep 14 DG AGRI C3 20 November 2014 DG AGRI C3 2013 (up to September) United States (up to Aug) Turkey (up to Aug) Malaysia (up to Jul) 120 80 40 2014 (up to September) 0 20 November 2014 Qty in 1000 Tonnes (pw) Source : GTA & Eurostat China + H. Kong (up to Aug) EU (up to Aug) Malaysia (up to Jul) China + H. Kong (up to Aug) EU (up to Aug) United States (up to Aug) Turkey (up to Aug) Main Exporters of EGGS Products (up to September) (excl. Eggs for hatching) 160 PARAMETERS FOR THE CALCULATION OF THE ESTIMATED STOCK LAYING HENS + EGG PRODUCTION SUMMARY - 2013 BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE Method A Nº OF MONTHS TOTAL LAY EGGS PERCENTAGE DEATH-RATE Method B Nº OF MONTHS TOTAL LAY EGGS PERCENTAGE DEATH-RATE 13 309.5 100% 6.0% 13 330.1 90% 5.0% 15 354.0 80% 6.0% 13 319.8 70% 4.0% 14 (1) 361.0 56% 3.7% IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK 2013 20 15 14 13 14 13 16 20 13 15 13 370.0 343.0 316.8 307.9 324.0 342.0 332.2 359.0 310.4 348.9 303.0 20% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 4.0% 15.0% 5.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 9.0% 8.0% 5.0% 3.0% 2013 21 471.1 10% 7% 22 501.7 20% 11% 21 460.6 30% 9-11% 14 (2) 330.0 44% 3.5% 20 326.0 80% 6.0% 1= enr. C 2= Free r DG AGRI C3 20 November 2014 PARAMETERS FOR THE CALCULATION OF THE ESTIMATED STOCK LAYING HENS + EGG PRODUCTION SPAIN - 2013 SPAIN Method A Nº OF MONTHS TOTAL LAY EGGS PERCENTAGE DEATH-RATE Method B Nº OF MONTHS TOTAL LAY EGGS PERCENTAGE DEATH-RATE DG AGRI C3 Total 319.8 13 12 11 10 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 21.3 22.5 23.7 24.6 25.5 26.4 27.1 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.0 27.1 10.6 70% 4% Total 460.6 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 19.2 20.4 21.3 23.1 23.4 24.3 24.6 22.5 4.6 1.2 23.7 24.6 25.5 26.4 27.1 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.0 27.1 10.6 30% 9-11% 20 November 2014
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