EU Market Situation for Eggs Committee for the Common

EU Market Situation
for
Eggs
Committee for the
Common Organisation
of the Agricultural
Markets
20 November 2014
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Class A eggs in packing stations
€uro/ 100kg
185
165
145
125
105
85
1
4
7
10
13
Moy.09-13
DG AGRI C3
16
19
22
2011
25
28
31
2012
34
37
40
2013
43
46
49
52
2014
20 November 2014
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(base line= monthly avg 2010 - 2013)
37.500
1.000 p.
30.000
22.500
15.000
7.500
0
|
2013
2014
Jan.
26 235
23 910
Feb.
23 043
23 841
2010
March
26 907
29 425
|
April
27 672
26 933
2011
May
26 834
24 590
Placings Laying Hens
DG AGRI C3
|
2012
June
25 924
23 879
July
24 552
19 197
|
Aug.
20 099
17 422
2013
Sept.
23 555
10 110
|
Oct.
22 824
2014
Nov.
20 098
|
Dec.
21 002
(baseline= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) - laying chicks
20 November 2014
Production forecast of eggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
9.000
160
7.500
120
4.500
80
3.000
Price €uro/100kg
Mio p.
6.000
40
1.500
0
0
|
2013
2014
Jan.
7 518
7 262
2010
Feb.
7 497
7 234
|
March
7 474
7 219
2011
April
7 458
7 147
|
May
7 443
6 971
2012
June
7 529
7 122
Forecast Production Eggs
DG AGRI C3
|
July
7 446
7 088
2013
Aug.
7 420
7 112
|
Sep.
7 424
7 205
2014
Oct.
7 442
7 140
|
Nov.
7 412
7 186
Dec.
7 238
Price Eggs
20 November 2014
Egg prices of EU, USA, Brazil and India
in €uro/ 100kg
190,00
165,00
142,89
140,00
115,00
132,51
90,00
101,61
65,00
81,59
40,00
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
EU = weighted avg of MS prices Average class L&M
US = weekly USDA prices Eggs grade A ,Chicago
BR = avg of prices in main producing states (noticiasagricolas.com.br)
IN = avg of NECC prices in available Production Centres (e2necc.com)
DG AGRI C3
13
|
14
|
EU egg
US egg €uro
BR Egg €uro
IN NECC €uro
20 November 2014
Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking
2011 - 2014
€uro/ 100kg
200,00
160,00
120,00
80,00
40,00
0,00
|
DG AGRI C3
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
Eggs for Consumption
US breaking (high)
EU Barn cage free breaking (high)
EU Enriched cage breaking (high)
20 November 2014
|
Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products
in the EU and the USA in €/10kg
240,0
200,0
€/10 kg
160,0
120,0
80,0
40,0
0,0
1 5
|
DG AGRI C3
9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5
2012
|
9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5
2013
|
9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1
2014
|
whole plain EU
Yolk EU
Albumen Spray EU
whole plain US
Yolk US
Albumen Spray US
20 November 2014
Prices of Egg products in the EU and the USA
(in €/10 kg)
€/10 kg
400,0
300,0
200,0
100,0
0,0
|
DG AGRI C3
2012
|
2013
|
2014
Yolk 44% pasturised EU
Yolk 11% salted EU
Yolk 43% pasturised USA
Yolk 10% salted USA
|
20 November 2014
Price of Basic Ingredients 2012 - 2014
Euro / tonne
450
Soft wheat (EU)
350
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
250
150
50
Jan
DG AGRI C3
April
Juil
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
20 November 2014
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext )
(Nearby = 2013 - 2014)
220
Delivery:
Nearby
200
2014 Nov
€/Tonn
2015 Jan
2015 Mar
180
160
140
120
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | 2014 | Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
DG AGRI C3
20 November 2014
Futures for Feed w heat EU (Euronext)
(Nearby = 2013 & 2014)
De liv e ry:
195
01 Nearby
2014 Nov
2015 Jan
€uro/ Tonn
2015 Mar
165
135
105
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec Jan
|
2014
| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
DG AGRI C3
20 November 2014
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel
(nearby = 2013 & 2014)
1.600
De live ry:
01 Nearby
2014 Nov
1.500
2015 Jan
2015 Mar
1.400
1.300
1.200
1.10 0
1.000
90 0
|
July
| Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. |Jan 2014|
DG AGRI C3
Feb
| Mch |
Apr
| May |
Jun
|
July
| Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. |
20 November 2014
Margin betw een Feed cost and Egg price in
Egg production
marge
180
Marge 2009 - 2013
feed
Euro/ 100kg
150
egg
120
90
60
30
0
04 05 06 07 08 09 10
DG AGRI C3
11
12
13
ja
fe mr ap ma jn
jl
au se oc no de
20 November 2014
100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hens
feedconversionrate = 2,7(2009) - 2,2(2014)
Remainder €uro/ 100kg
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1
3
5
7
Marge Average
09 - 13
DG AGRI C3
9
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
Marge Egg 2011
Marge Egg 2012
Marge Egg 2013
Marge Egg 2014
20 November 2014
EU Imports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2010
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
2012
%
tonnes
2013
%
tonnes
Jan-Sep 14
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Sep 13
India
3.211 9,4%
1.554 7,5%
3.657 9,7%
3.856 18,9%
3.910 42,5%
+ 52,3%
USA
14.009 40,9%
5.960 28,6%
15.183 40,2%
6.853 33,5%
2.750 29,9%
- 52%
Norw ay
1.722 5,0%
1.502 7,2%
1.474 3,9%
1.969 9,6%
987 10,7%
- 39%
Argentina
7.937 23,2%
8.115 39,0%
10.162 26,9%
5.734 28,0%
931 10,1%
- 80%
Sw itzerland
337 1,0%
342 1,6%
332 0,9%
355 1,7%
412 4,5%
+ 49%
Israel
941 2,7%
547 2,6%
1.393 3,7%
349 1,7%
100 1,1%
- 55%
Others
6.087 0,2%
2.787 0,0%
5.528 0,0%
1.338 0,0%
119 1,3%
EXTRA EU 28
% change
DG AGRI C3
34.244
20.806
37.729
20.454
9.209
- 39%
+ 81%
- 46%
- 43,8%
20 November 2014
EU Egg Imports
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(Tonnes eggs equiv)
35.000
30.397
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(1000 EUR)
40.000
36.048
30.000
35.000
4.725
5.127
30.000
25.000
20.000
1.468
219
Jan-Sep 12
India
USA
5.777
2.750
2.568
3.910
Jan-Sep 13
Norway
DG AGRI C3
Argentina
15.315
15.000
9.209
1.985
25.000
20.000
16.397
12.707
23.810
Jan-Sep 14
Switzerland
267
15.000
20.269
10.000
12.999
9.294
5.000
5.000
0
Other destinations
10.000
2.637
2.904
3.632
Jan-Sep 12
Jan-Sep 13
Jan-Sep 14
India
USA
Norway
Argentina
Switzerland
0
Other destinations
20 November 2014
EU-27/28 Imports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
8.000
7.000
in Tonnes egg
equiv.
6.000
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
FRESH
DG AGRI C3
Albumin
Not In Shell
Yolk
Hachi ng
20 November 2014
Main Importers of EGGS Products (up to September)
Source : GTA & Eurostat
(excl. Eggs for hatching)
120
Canada
Switzerland
60
40
20
0
2013 (up to September)
DG AGRI C3
2014 (up to September)
20 November 2014
Qty in 1000 Tonnes
80
Mexico (up to Aug)
Singapore (up to Aug)
China + H. Kong
Canada
Switzerland
Mexico (up to Aug)
Singapore (up to Aug)
China + H. Kong
100
EU Exports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2010
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
2012
%
tonnes
2013
%
tonnes
Jan-Sep 14
%
tonnes
Compared
%
to Jan-Sep 13
Japan
52.923
29%
66.357
31%
66.938
36%
64.527
30%
59.004
36%
Sw itzerland
45.072
25%
42.168
19%
41.893
23%
42.086
20%
28.806
17%
- 8%
5.293
3%
4.947
2%
5.982
3%
10.539
5%
5.307
3%
- 33%
20
0%
1.552
1%
1.139
1%
7.741
4%
6.257
4%
+ 191%
5.888
3%
8.262
4%
1.674
1%
10.450
5%
5.330
3%
- 25%
Angola
10.414
6%
17.524
8%
17.109
9%
12.906
6%
9.301
6%
- 17%
Taiw an
7.145
4%
7.941
4%
4.626
2%
3.412
2%
2.010
1%
- 29%
Secr.Extra
2.164
1%
1.148
1%
2.638
1%
8.262
4%
2.635
2%
- 52%
Israel
1.308
1%
2.654
1%
1.060
1%
936
0%
2.413
1%
+++
Thailand
6.180
3%
7.254
3%
6.409
3%
5.919
3%
3.870
2%
- 14%
Equat.Guinea
1.487
1%
1.945
1%
1.632
1%
2.215
1%
2.017
1%
+ 12%
43.825
24%
55.353
25%
34.694
19%
45.623
21%
38.344
23%
Russia
Iraq
U.A.Emirates
Others
EXTRA EU 28
% change
DG AGRI C3
181.719
217.105
185.793
214.617
165.294
+ 19%
- 14%
+ 16%
+ 7,7%
+ 30,5%
20 November 2014
EU Egg Exports
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)
165.294
153.423
160.000
141.384
189.104
56.596
43.050
56.502
140.000
28.806
31.212
200.196
200.000
164.343
120.000
100.000
31.137
250.000
180.000
67.909
70.953
150.000
52.089
80.000
9.879
60.000
41.019
46.755
100.000
51.504
40.000
51.370
50.000
59.004
45.224
20.000
44.133
46.386
Jan-Sep 12
Jan-Sep 13
64.528
0
0
Jan-Sep 12
Japan
Switzerland
DG AGRI C3
Jan-Sep 13
Angola
Iraq
Jan-Sep 14
U.A.Emirates
Other origins
Japan
Switzerland
Angola
Iraq
Jan-Sep 14
U.A.Emirates
Other origins
20 November 2014
EU-27/28 Exports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
30.000
in Tonnes egg equiv.
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
0
|
Jan
06
200
6
|
Jan
07
200
7
|
Jan
08
FRESH
DG AGRI C3
200
8
|
Jan
09
Album in
200
9
|
Jan
10
201
0
|
Jan
11
Not I n Shell
201
1
|
Jan
12
Yolk
201
2
|
Jan
13
201
3
|
Jan
14
201
4
Hachi ng
20 November 2014
EU Egg Trade Balance
(not including Hatching eggs)
275
in 1000 Tonnes
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
250
231
217
209
201
205
198
191
186
198
225
215
202
187
200
186
182
165 175
167
164
150
144
150
142
125
100
69
75
39
18
10
23
30
27
18
17
16
25
30
45
30
23
50
38
34
21
20
25
9
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 JanSep
14
DG AGRI C3
20 November 2014
DG AGRI C3
2013 (up to September)
United States (up to Aug)
Turkey (up to Aug)
Malaysia (up to Jul)
120
80
40
2014 (up to September)
0
20 November 2014
Qty in 1000 Tonnes (pw)
Source : GTA & Eurostat
China + H. Kong (up to Aug)
EU (up to Aug)
Malaysia (up to Jul)
China + H. Kong (up to Aug)
EU (up to Aug)
United States (up to Aug)
Turkey (up to Aug)
Main Exporters of EGGS Products (up to September)
(excl. Eggs for hatching)
160
PARAMETERS FOR THE CALCULATION OF THE ESTIMATED STOCK
LAYING HENS + EGG PRODUCTION
SUMMARY - 2013
BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE
Method A
Nº OF MONTHS
TOTAL LAY EGGS
PERCENTAGE
DEATH-RATE
Method B
Nº OF MONTHS
TOTAL LAY EGGS
PERCENTAGE
DEATH-RATE
13
309.5
100%
6.0%
13
330.1
90%
5.0%
15
354.0
80%
6.0%
13
319.8
70%
4.0%
14 (1)
361.0
56%
3.7%
IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK
2013
20 15
14
13
14 13 16
20 13
15 13
370.0 343.0
316.8
307.9
324.0 342.0 332.2
359.0 310.4
348.9 303.0
20% 100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100%
100% 100%
100% 100%
4.0% 15.0%
5.0%
3.9%
5.0% 5.0%
9.0% 8.0%
5.0% 3.0%
2013
21
471.1
10%
7%
22
501.7
20%
11%
21
460.6
30%
9-11%
14 (2)
330.0
44%
3.5%
20
326.0
80%
6.0%
1= enr. C
2= Free r
DG AGRI C3
20 November 2014
PARAMETERS FOR THE CALCULATION OF THE ESTIMATED
STOCK LAYING HENS + EGG PRODUCTION
SPAIN - 2013
SPAIN
Method A
Nº OF MONTHS
TOTAL LAY EGGS
PERCENTAGE
DEATH-RATE
Method B
Nº OF MONTHS
TOTAL LAY EGGS
PERCENTAGE
DEATH-RATE
DG AGRI C3
Total
319.8
13
12 11 10
21
20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
21.3 22.5 23.7 24.6 25.5 26.4 27.1 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.0 27.1 10.6
70%
4%
Total
460.6
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
19.2 20.4 21.3 23.1 23.4 24.3 24.6 22.5 4.6 1.2 23.7 24.6 25.5 26.4 27.1 27.4 27.7 28.0 28.0 27.1 10.6
30%
9-11%
20 November 2014