High Tide Features in the SCS Arbitration: Distinguishing small and insular land areas from seabed formations CIL South China Sea Award Conference: The Legal Dimension Session 4 Singapore, 5-6 January 2017 Youna Lyons, Centre for International Law Outline I. The Award - Determined High Tide Features - The Tribunal Reasoning II. Which High Tide? - Sea level Variation - Different High Tides III. Permanence Above the Sea - Permanence Over Time and Temporary Islands - Permanence in Same Location and Dynamic Features IV. Implications for Other Shallow Features - Impact of new evidence and data - Clear Cut vs. Dubious Cases Introductory Comments Application of UNCLOS Article 121(1): What is a naturally formed area of land above water at high tide? The Tribunal called it a ‘High Tide Feature’, the term used in this presentation. A ‘High Tide Feature’ may be a simple ‘rock’ or a full fledge ‘island’ capable of generating an EEZ and continental shelf of its own Focus on the distinction between High-Tide Feature vs. Low Tide Feature (whether a Low-Tide Elevation or a submerged feature; Not on the distinction between Low Tide Elevation vs. fully submerged feature Which high tides can/should be used as reference? How often can a naturally formed area of land get submerged by naturally occurring tide and forseeable meteorological processes whilst still qualifying as an ‘island’ or ‘high tide feature’? Can a high tide feature be temporary, such that it exists for a few weeks or a few months? Can it move places and still qualify as an above water area of land? I. The Award Determined High-Tide Features In addition to Itu Aba, 10 features had their status determined: High- Tide Features Low-Tide Features Scarborough Reef Hughes Reef Cuarteron Reef Subi Reef Fiery Cross Reef Mischief Reef Johnson Reef Second Thomas Shoal McKennan Reef Gaven Reef North I. The Award 1. Scarborough Reef Determined High-Tide Features 3. Mc Kennan Reef and Gaven Reef North Google Earth Digital Globe 23 Oct. 2014 Sea Level: +22cm Above-water reef formations mentioned in some records (‘reef boulders’ according to the Tribunal) They appear to be dynamic sand formations in satellite imagery 0 Above-water rocks, up to 3-3.5m above high tide, i.e. higher than the tidal range 2. Cuarteron Reef, Fiery Cross Reef and Johnson South Reef Above-water rocks in some records that are 1 to 1.5m high at the most, i.e. smaller than the tidal range 500m I. The Award The Tribunal’s Reasoning No rule on any particular high-water vertical datum States are free under the Convention to claim a high-tide feature or island on the basis of any high-water datum that reasonably corresponds to the ordinary meaning of the term “high tide” Either Mean Higher High Water or Mean High Water Springs would be an appropriate approximation of ‘high tide’ The tidal range in the SCS is comparatively small and the selection of a vertical datum makes no substantial difference regarding the status of the feature Most convincing evidence concerning the status of the SCS features is to be found in nautical charts, records of surveys and sailing directions I. The Award The Tribunal’s Reasoning Rocks and large coral boulders cemented to the platform of a reef have a high degree of permanence and can reasonably be expected to remain largely unchanged, even over centuries. Older direct observations are thus not per se less valuable, provided they are clear in content and obtained from a reliable source Ephemeral features such as sand cays pose a greater challenge but can also be consistent over time and will often reform in the same location if dispersed by a storm In the context of this case, as for all sensitive determinations, the depiction of features on published maps is often not sufficient and it is beneficial to have recourse to original survey data, prepared by individuals with direct experience and knowledge of the area in question. I. The Award Permanence over time Two Issues of Permanence Above the Sea High tide level: How many times a month can it be submerged whilst still qualifying as above water at high tide? Can it be temporary? E.g. ephemeral sand formations, effect of sea level rise (20cm in the last century), active erosion/traces of seawater infiltrations Permanence in same location Dynamic sand banks: appear, disappear, re-appear in different locations, with different shapes and sizes II. Which High Tide? X Tide and Sea Level Variation 24 hours TIDE ≡ Astronomic Tide SURGE ≡ Wind-induced Surge hours spring neap TOTAL ≡ TIDE + SURGE spring TIDAL AMPLITUDE neap SURGE Height 1 month days January days 1 year (2011) II. Which High Tide? Tide and Sea Level Variation Highest Astronomical Tide Highest Tide of the Year High Spring Tide Mean High Water Spring Mean Higher High Water High Neap Tide Hourly Sea Level Mean Sea Level Low Neap Tide Mean Lower Low Water Low Spring Tide Mean Low Water Spring Lowest Tide of the Year Lowest Astronomical Tide II. Which High Tide? Sea Level Variation Sea Level Variation across the South China Sea Prepared for this conference by Pavel Tkalich and Luu Quang Hung, Physical Oceanography Lab of TMSI, National University of Singapore II. Which High Tide? Case Law The Tribunal decided to rely primarily on historical surveys and, in doing so, departed from the view of the Court in the Nicaragua vs Columbia case on the basis that it ‘must be understood in the context of that case’ The Tribunal favoured any historical evidence that suggested that a feature would have been above high tide during the observation period, be it 2 weeks or less By contrast, in Nicaragua vs. Columbia, the court indicated to be taking a cautious view of what feature may qualify as a High Tide Feature as ‘even the smallest island generates a 12-nautical-mile territorial sea’; it ‘has to make sure that it has before it evidence sufficient to satisfy that a maritime feature meets the test of being above water at high tide’. II. Which High Tide? Case Law – Lessons Learned The solution adopted in Nicaragua vs. Columbia and in the SCS Arbitration are so different that that they can only be explained by the facts of each case and the evidence presented to the judges In both cases, the judges were limited by available evidence; new scientific data on sea level variations in the South China Sea would therefore help the determination of the status of still undetermined features III. Permanency Above Sea Level Over Time Does a temporary above-water land formation qualify as an ‘island’ or ‘high tide feature’? Fast sea level rise of around 20cm per century over low lying when not subsiding geographic formations Dynamic sand banks and cays which appear and disappear under the combined effects of astronomic tides, storm surges and wind-waves and rarely if ever reappear in the same location with the same shape and size Natural erosion of these low-lying formations as evidenced by seawater infiltration processes visible on several high resolution satellite images of the SCS above-water features. III. Permanency Above Sea Level Over Time The SCS Award recalls that according to the Travaux Préparatoires of Article 121(3), the word ‘island’ covers all portions of territory permanently above water in normal circumstances (and capable of use or habitation) However, the Tribunal refers to the ‘high degree of permanence’ of ‘rocks and large coral boulders cemented to the platform’ only to justify the reliability of old record of direct observations of such type of features; There is no discussion of permanence of High Tide Feature The Tribunal finds that ephemeral features ‘can be consistent over time’ (…) ‘a sand cay may be dispersed by storm action and reform in the same location after a short while. The absence of a sand cay at a particular point in time is thus not conclusive evidence of the absence of a high-tide feature’ III. Permanency Above Sea Level Over Time However, none of the High Tide Features determined by the Tribunal is characterized as a ‘recurring’ sand cay. Each of them is characterized as a ‘rock’ or a ‘boulder’ In Nicaragua vs. Columbia, the Court found that the fact that a High Tide Feature is composed of coral debris is irrelevant as ‘international law defines an island by reference to whether it is “naturally formed” and whether it is above water at high tide, not by reference to its geological composition’. According to the Court, what mattered was the photographic evidence which showed that the feature was ‘composed of solid material, attached to the substrate, and not of loose debris.’ Publicly available satellite imagery suggests that some ‘boulders’ may be ephemeral formations that are dynamic, under the combined effect of astronomic tides, storm surges and wind-waves and do not generally reform in the same location III. Permanency Above Sea Level Over Time: Mc Kennan Reef WorlView-1 18 Jan 2012 Sea Level: -4cm Google Earth 2 Feb 2004 Sea Level: -6cm Google Earth 10 March 2015 Sea Level: +34cm Google Earth 26 Feb 2014 Sea Level: +6cm III. Permanency Above Sea Level Mc Kennan Reef III. Permanency Above Sea Level Ikonos-2 True Colour 2 Nov 2008 Sea Level: -37cm CRISP 2008 WorlView-1 True Colour 17 Nov 2010 Digital Globe In Same Location: Gaven Reef North Google Earth 17 Dec 2012 Sea Level: -34cm Google Earth 23 Oct 2014 Sea Level: +22cm Google Earth 10 March 2015 Sea Level: +34cm Google Earth 24 July 2016 III. Permanency Above Sea Level Gaven Reef North III. Permanency Above Sea Level In the Same Location: Sandy Cay 22 April 2005 Sea Level: +12cm Google Earth 5 March 2014 Sea Level: +32cm Google Earth 16 April 2014 Sea Level: +44cm Google Earth GeoEye-1 True Colour 28 Feb 2015 Sea Level: +11cm DigitalGlobe 2015 III. Permanency Above Sea Level Sandy Cay IV. Implication for Other Shallow Five Categories of Features Features Out of around 120 disputed shallow geographic features in the SCS: 1. Eleven features determined by the Tribunal 2. Largest features covered by terrestrial vegetation (not just mangrove) such as Itu Aba, Thitu Island, Spratly Island, West York, Sand Cay, Sin Cowe, Northeast Cay, Southwest Cay and Nanshan island 3. Features consistently found to be fully submerged or exposed at low tide only, such as Macclesfield Bank, Most of Reed Bank, Most of Ardasier Bank, Lys and trident Shoals, Vanguard Bank, Alexandra Bank, Prince Consort and Prince of Wales Banks. 4. Features consistently found to have above water high tide parts in sailing directions and nautical charts (and not determined by the Tribunal) 5. Dubious cases, whether due to the non-conclusive nature of the sailing directions, the presence of dynamic sand banks, the absence of any terrestrial vegetation, evidence of seawater infiltrations, questionable above-water formations prior to island building constructions. IV. Implication for Other Shallow Features Flat Island Vietnam Bamford Reef Collins Reef Edmond Reef Empire Reef Gent Reef Grierson Reef Hallet Reef Higgens Reef Holiday Reef Hughes Reef Johnson South Reef Jones Reef Loveless Reef McKennan Reef Ross Reef Sin Cowe Island Tetley Reef Unnamed Reef 1 Whitsun Reef Eastern Reefs Meiju Reefs Thitu Island Sandy Cay Lamkiam Cay Loaita Cay and Loaita Nan Loaita Island Kugui Reefs Menzies Reef Eldad Reef Gaven Reefs Itu Aba Namyit Island Petley Reef Sin Cowe Island Sand Cay Zhongzhou Reef North Reef Northeast Cay South Reef Southwest Cay North Danger Reef Lys Shoal and Trident Shoal Nares Bank Brown, Leslie, Templer and Wood Banks West York Island Thitu Reefs Subi Reef Hopkins Reef Irving Reef Tizard Bank Hopps Reef Western Reef Jackson Atoll Livock Reef Southern Bank Hardy Reef Discovery Great Reef Discovery Small Reef Second Thomas Shoal Boxall Reef Alicia Annie Reef First Thomas Shoal Maralie Reef Central Reef West Reef Alison Reef Barque Canada Reef Prince of Wales Bank Rifleman Bank EEZ boundary (disputed) Mariveles Reef Ardasier Reef Dallas Reef Ardasier Bank Swallow Reef Vanguard Bank Extended continental shelf (claimed) Continental shelf or extended continental shelf boundary (claimed) Investigator Shoal Amboyna Cay Grainger Bank Bombay Reef Kingston Shoal Johnson Patches Orleana Shoal 12 NM arc around confirmed High Tide Features in Award 12 NM arc around likely High Tide Features 12 NM arc around possible High Tide Features High Sea Deane Reef Dickinson Reef Hampson Reef Hoare Reef Petch Reef Commodore Reef Erica Reef Alexandra Bank Legend Half Moon Shoal Cornwallis South Reef Spratly Island Prince Consort Bank Royal Captain Shoal Pigeon Reef East Reef Ladd Reef Royal Charlotte Reef Erjiao Reef Langkou Reef Xiantou Reef Louisa Reef North Luconia Shoals Seahorse Breakers Herald Reef Luconia Breakers Stigant Reef Malaysia Hayes Reef South Luconia Shoals Comus Shoal Bombay Shoal Investigator Northeast Shoal Pearson Reef Cuarteron Reef Foulerton Reef Pennsylvania South Reef Sao Bank Sabina Shoal Mischief Reef Union Reefs Seahorse Shoal Iroquois and Baker Reefs Nanshan Island Loaita Bank Fiery Cross Reef Amy Douglas Bank Marie Louise Reef North Reef Pennsylvania North Reef Reed Tablemount Brunei Darussalam Philippines IV. Implication for Other Shallow Features Flat Island Vietnam Bamford Reef Collins Reef Edmond Reef Empire Reef Gent Reef Grierson Reef Hallet Reef Higgens Reef Holiday Reef Hughes Reef Johnson South Reef Jones Reef Loveless Reef McKennan Reef Ross Reef Sin Cowe Island Tetley Reef Unnamed Reef 1 Whitsun Reef North Reef Northeast Cay South Reef Southwest Cay Eastern Reefs Meiju Reefs Thitu Island Sandy Cay Lamkiam Cay Loaita Cay and Loaita Nan Loaita Island Kugui Reefs Menzies Reef Eldad Reef Gaven Reefs Itu Aba Namyit Island Petley Reef Sin Cowe Island Sand Cay Zhongzhou Reef Lys Shoal and Trident Shoal Nares Bank North Danger Reef Brown, Leslie, Templer and Wood Banks West York Island Thitu Reefs Hopkins Reef Subi Reef Irving Reef Nanshan Island Loaita Bank Tizard Bank Southern Bank Livock Reef Discovery Great Reef Hardy Reef Discovery Small Reef Mischief Reef Union Reefs Fiery Cross Reef Maralie Reef Prince Consort Bank Barque Canada Reef Royal Captain Shoal Half Moon Shoal Deane Reef Dickinson Reef Hampson Reef Hoare Reef Petch Reef Commodore Reef Erica Reef Alexandra Bank Amboyna Cay Mariveles Reef Ardasier Reef Dallas Reef Investigator Shoal Ardasier Bank Rifleman Bank Vanguard Bank Swallow Reef Bombay Reef Kingston Shoal Johnson Patches Orleana Shoal Legend 12 NM arc around confirmed High Tide Features in Award 12 NM arc around likely High Tide Features 12 NM arc around possible High Tide Features High Sea EEZ boundary (disputed) Pigeon Reef Royal Charlotte Reef Erjiao Reef Langkou Reef Xiantou Reef Louisa Reef North Luconia Shoals Seahorse Breakers Hayes Reef Herald Reef Luconia Breakers Stigant Reef South Luconia Shoals Comus Shoal Bombay Shoal Investigator Northeast Shoal Cornwallis South Reef Spratly Island Grainger Bank Extended continental shelf (claimed) Continental shelf or extended continental shelf boundary (claimed) Alison Reef East Reef Prince of Wales Bank Boxall Reef First Thomas Shoal Pearson Reef Foulerton Reef Pennsylvania South Reef Sao Bank Sabina Shoal Second Thomas Shoal Alicia Annie Reef Ladd Reef Seahorse Shoal Iroquois and Baker Reefs Hopps Reef Jackson Atoll Western Reef Central Reef Cuarteron Reef West Reef Amy Douglas Bank Marie Louise Reef North Reef Pennsylvania North Reef Reed Tablemount Malaysia Brunei Darussalam Philippines Conclusion Over 100 shallow geographic features that are in dispute in the South China Sea have not been the subject of a status determination in the Award Methodology with respect to the identification of geographic features which are above water at high tide and therefore capable of appropriation is based on the evidence available to the Tribunal and cannot be transposed to new evidence and scientific facts If small above-water rocks cannot be determined with certainty solely on the basis of satellite imagery, historical observations can be placed back into historiography of sea level variations based on satellite altimetry data Sand Cays are dynamic in the South China Sea and their movement can be monitored with certainty in satellite imagery Questions? [email protected] Source: Census of Marine Life: http://www.comlmaps.org/extra/ngs/Ocean_Life_Diversity_Distribution-300dpi.pdf Thank you!
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz