The Personal and Professional Responsibility of Investment Bankers Claire Hill Richard Painter Abstract Banks can contribute substantially to economic growth and other social advancement. But they can also cause economic collapse and ensuing widespread misery. Most recently, in the years leading up to 2008, a breakdown in personal responsibility in the investment banking industry led to irresponsible business decisions in the United States and global credit markets, with disastrous consequences for the banking system and the economy as a whole. Despite the crisis and the ensuing regulatory crackdown, some of this behavior continues. As recently as last month, one of the largest global banks, UBS, lost more than $2 billion to unauthorized but apparently unsupervised activities of a “rogue trader” in London. In Europe, investment bankers allegedly helped at least one sovereign borrower, Greece, conceal from the European Union (and from markets generally) the extent of its borrowing. Because of the irresponsible way in which European sovereign debt was handled by bankers as well as politicians, the world may face yet another financial crisis. We cannot satisfactorily address this breakdown in personal responsibility with regulation alone. Regulation is simply too blunt an instrument. When it is too specific, it provides a roadmap for crafting loopholes. By precisely specifying what is prohibited, the rules suggest what might be permitted. The alternative is more breadth, in the form of standards. But these can be too broad. Standards can give regulators considerable discretion to decide which behavior they would try to curtail -- discretion that could be abused. Regulators might try to curtail desirable conduct, or fail to curtail undesirable conduct. Whether regulation takes the form of rules, standards, or some combination of the two, it cannot react quickly enough to deal with new and potentially dangerous financial innovations such as derivative securities, collateralized debt obligations, and synthetic swaps. Ultimately, regulation by itself cannot define what we want bankers to do or what we do not want bankers to do; it cannot get bankers to do what they should do. Society needs to focus more directly on promoting an ethos among bankers of doing what they should do regardless of whether it is legally required, and not doing what they should not do whether or not it is legally prohibited. We need to use a mix of regulatory, social and other tools to encourage people with appropriate psychological dispositions, risk preferences and personal priorities to go into banking and to act responsibly once they are there (and, as importantly, to discourage those with inappropriate dispositions, risk preferences and priorities from becoming bankers). We also need to reinforce the concept of banking as a profession, with bankers as professionals having the individual and collective responsibilities of professionals. These responsibilities extend to other bankers, to clients, to the financial system and to society as a whole in much the same 1 way as lawyers, doctors, accountants and other professionals have professional responsibilities in their lines of work. This book thus is not about banks as much as it is about the people who run banks. We aim to bring bankers closer to a better understanding and a more consistent practice of their personal and professional responsibility. The history of personal and professional responsibility of bankers is cyclical, like banking itself. Sharp dealing and irresponsible risk-taking cause a shock, and for a time, give way to more sobriety. Soon, memories fade, and the supercharged search for new ways to seek profit begins again. In recent years, the pendulum swung much too far in the direction of unconstrained self-interest; the result was disastrous. The global scale of banking and the growth of complex financial instruments make the cycles of irresponsibility that much more perilous as the world’s financial systems have become increasingly interdependent. The future of private sector banking could depend upon finding a way to establish and reinforce a baseline of professional and personal responsibility that will govern banker behavior; if banks and the economy continue on their present trajectory, the pressure to nationalize banks may be strong, and ultimately, acceded to. This book argues that we need personal and professional responsibility to constrain self-interest, and suggests specific ways of accomplishing this goal. In the years leading up to the recent crisis, personal responsibility collapsed on several fronts. Bankers’ loyalty to their firms diminished. Bankers caused their own banks to take enormous risks; indeed, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers became insolvent because of the risks taken by their bankers. Bankers’ personal responsibility to their banks’ clients and to third parties also declined. In contravention of its own rules, Goldman Sachs bankers allegedly concealed from some of Goldman’s clients that the securities and securities-based swap agreements Goldman was selling them were designed to plummet in value. Citigroup has just paid a $285 million fine to settle charges that it marketed to its clients a financial instrument that it had structured to yield losses—losses from which Citigroup could profit, in addition to profiting from fees for structuring the instrument. J.P. Morgan paid $154 million to settle similar charges. Goldman bankers also allegedly helped the government of Greece hide Greece’s high debt load from the European Union as well as from investors in Greek bonds. Other sovereign borrowers such as Spain, Ireland and Portugal were assisted by bankers who made more money when entire countries as well as businesses and people borrowed more money (deal size and trading volume are key determinants of bank profits). The conservative banker who tells people to borrow less rather than more, and who is willing to speak out against excessive leverage in the economy, receded to the background until it was too late. This breakdown in personal responsibility has been caused by changes in the business of investment banking, the institutional culture of investment banking firms and by changes in the legal organization of those firms. Trading for a bank’s own account is a far more important part of many banks’ business today than it was thirty years ago. Because most investment banks were then privately held and commercial banks were strictly regulated, access to capital for speculative trading was limited. Although the Dodd-Frank Act of 2 2010 imposes some restrictions on derivatives trading, bank lobbyists were successful in avoiding an outright ban; speculative trading will thus continue to be important. Because most banks today are publicly held corporations, the money used for trading belongs to shareholders and creditors, not to the bankers themselves except to the extent they are shareholders (modern bankers rarely share the economic interests of their banks’ creditors). Contemporary bonus-based incentive systems also have given bankers an increased appetite for risk: the bankers get the upside from risk, but are insulated from the bulk of the downside. Proposed SEC rules on executive compensation only partially address this problem. Indeed, a critical but underappreciated factor contributing to the breakdown of personal responsibility is precisely that bankers are not exposed to much downside risk. Before the 1980’s, many large investment banks were partnerships, and the partners were liable if the banks did not have sufficient assets to pay their creditors. Once investment banks became corporations, bankers ceased to be liable for their banks’ debts; when their banks borrowed too much money or used it recklessly they had less reason to care. Personal responsibility has also broken down because the banking culture now encourages bankers to focus more on their individual successes rather than on their banks’ overall financial performance, financial stability, reputation and position in society, and long-term client relationships. Bankers no longer typically make a career at one bank; rather, they may move from bank to bank, increasing their compensation as they go. Moreover, traders, whether they stay at one bank or move, often work alone or in very small groups and are rewarded for their individual successes as much or more than the successes of their firms. Personal relationships between bankers have broken down as well. These include relationships between bankers working in the same firm, between bankers in different firms who compete for business but also know each other socially, and between bankers and their customers. Regional banks that emphasize personal relationships within a community have been swallowed up by national investment banks and broker-dealer affiliates of commercial banks, and national investment banks have gotten bigger and expanded into different lines of business. Indeed, the biggest banks operate on a global scale. In the increasingly impersonal world of modern finance, investment bankers are unlikely to have social ties to the persons and entities whose money is at risk, such as their firms’ creditors, equity owners or customers; they may deal with the same people on different occasions, but their narrowly professional. This impersonal nature of banking – and particularly the impersonal nature of the trading operations that are the epicenter of most banks -- minimizes what might otherwise be empathic constraints on banker behavior. Imposition of risk on other people and institutions is depersonalized. In this business and social setting it is more likely that highly competitive behavior that takes advantage of others’ weaknesses will be seen as acceptable. All of these influences on behavior operate not only at an individual level, but also at a group level: group dynamics have arisen within banks and in the banking industry that emphasize competition on alignable metrics. Bankers try to outdo one another in 3 measures that lend themselves readily to comparison such as rankings for profits, deal volume, and of course compensation. Related to this change in ethos is a change in what skills bankers need to do their jobs. Bankers used to deal with comparatively simple debt or equity. “People smarts” not “academic smarts” was the kind of intelligence that made for a successful banker. Today, banks deal with financial instruments so complex and abstract that they are designed by finance and mathematics PhDs using computer programs and mathematical models, and require such programs and models for their use. Many of these instruments represent complicated bets on the performance of assets owned by others rather than direct investments in capital markets. The complicated and in many cases synthetic nature of these instruments, and the process by which they are developed, further depersonalizes what bankers do, and promotes mechanized and atomistic competition disconnected from tangible economic benefits to a particular business enterprise. Financial product designers with highly abstract academic intelligence are sold by a sales force trained in sound bites. The sales force does not understand the products they are selling; neither do many of the investment managers who are buying them. Neither is inclined to admit their lack of understanding. Wall Street’s new “meritocracy,” convinced that human intelligence could solve all problems, came to believe that bankers could conquer or at least control financial risk, just as medical researchers conquer disease and engineers break new barriers in computing speed. Banking, when understood as a science rather than as a clubby network of personal relationships, would create wealth for society, and for the bankers themselves, that far exceeded the modest accomplishments of their stuffy and less intelligent predecessors. Some commentators joined the bandwagon, celebrated the new intellectual power of Wall Street and its products , and a few even endorsed the view that in the new economy, business cycles had become a thing of the past. These developments are closely tied to bankers’ view of society and their role in it. Bankers have always viewed themselves as important parts of the business and social community. But their sense of identity has changed. When bankers viewed themselves as pillars of the business and social establishment, they were usually constrained from advancing their self-interest too ostentatiously or single-mindedly. Competition was always present in banking and in other lines of business, and some bankers would cheat each other and their customers. There were, however, powerful incentives for bankers to cooperate with each other and to instill loyalty in their customers. Bankers also had to appear to serve a broader social and economic interest-- at least that of the upper levels of society that comprised their customer base and many of their social connections. Overt self promotion and greed were frowned upon in banking circles that prioritized loyalty to institutions and groups; the institutions and groups may have been quite exclusive, but at least extended beyond the self. By contrast, the modern banker is more focused on promoting himself – and occasionally herself -- in society by competing against other economic actors in society. The emphasis is on individual victory even (and perhaps particularly) if it is obtained at the expense of the group. . Bankers, once dominated by an ethos of conformity, are now known for their obsession with how their individual accomplishment stacks up against that of their peers. A banker who beats the system rather than conforming to it now may get a significant identity and status payoff that 4 complements and sweetens his monetary payoff; these payoffs may be higher the more his gain is others’ loss. Once collective success of a group is no longer as important as individual success, bankers’ most celebrated extracurricular activities, change from those associated with collective identity – social clubs and country clubs, prep schools and colleges, family connections, etc. -- to those perhaps most often associated with individual conquest: rapid acquisition of money and material goods. The celebrated approach to sex also becomes focused not on long term relationships but on individual “accomplishment” in the form of adventure. As Michael Lewis put it in his 1989 book about Salomon Brothers, Liar’s Poker, the banker who emerges from this cutthroat competition victorious has achieved the coveted status of “Big Swinging Dick.” Whatever self-centered and snobbish behavior bankers exhibited in an earlier era, they were then sufficiently grounded in the social fabric of the business community and its inherent conservatism that such terminology would not have come to mind. It does now. It’s not just these and other external factors that affect banker behavior – internal factors play an important role as well. Bankers’ assessments of risk and reward reflect many cognitive biases, fallacies and preferences explored extensively in psychological research. These include over-optimism bias, confirmation bias, the “hot hand” fallacy, and preferences for risk in certain contexts. Finally, physiology may play a role: recent research provides evidence for a link between testosterone levels and risk-taking. Despite all the emphasis on diversity in hiring and promotion, women are still very much underrepresented in banking. Ironically some aspects of the older business model – including emphasis on caution and collective success as well as “sociability” of bankers - might have brought more women into the field. Instead, both self-selection and the selection process in banks favors those who are psychologically suited to an environment of risk preferring behavior (mostly men, and also some women) and disfavors those who are psychologically suited to an environment that emphasizes conservatism and tradition, social connections, personal reputation and collective responsibility. In sum, we view the 2008 financial crisis and continuing problems in the industry such as the 2011 trading scandal at UBS as a failure of personal responsibility on the part of investment bankers as individuals. We differ from the many academic and policy discussions that focus more on banking institutions, characterizing the crisis as a failure of institutional responsibility and the solution as increased regulation of institutions. We take no position as to the specific contours of bank regulation. Rather, we argue that effective financial system reform requires that bankers accept personal responsibility for what they do and how it affects society. Bankers must accept personal responsibility for the risks they take, the way they treat their customers and the consideration they give to third parties affected by their actions and to society as a whole. If the banking system is to work, banking must be regarded as a profession whose professionals have duties and responsibilities to people other than themselves and their employers. In this book, we will explain why personal and professional responsibility is important in banking, how it was addressed in the past, and how and why we have failed to address it in the present. We will also suggest specific ways in which more personal and professional responsibility could be brought to the investment banking industry. 5 We propose several remedial measures. Many of these measures could be imposed by banks’ boards of directors, perhaps with encouragement from bank clients, without any legal mandate. Some of these measures could be reinforced with regulatory changes that encouraged banks to change personnel practices, executive compensation systems and lines of business in a direction that promotes personal and professional responsibility of individual bankers. A few of these measures might have to be imposed by regulators if market forces in the industry do not bring about change fast enough to protect our economic system from another banking crisis. Some of our measures are particularly aimed to encourage people to become bankers who have risk preferences and professional priorities suitable for the field, and encourage people with risk preferences and priorities that are not suitable for banking to do something else. We want to encourage only responsible risk taking. Therefore, we propose that the highest paid bankers be required to assume some personal liability for the debts of their firms, whether through guarantees, joint venture agreements or assessable stock. We think that the movement away from general partnerships and unlimited personal liability in the largest Wall Street investment banks was a mistake, perhaps a catastrophic mistake. Returning to partnership form is not feasible, but through contract, bankers can have some of the liability they used to have as partners. Second, we favor a change in bank hiring standards. We are not convinced that the “meritocracy” that characterized Wall Street personnel decisions in recent decades delivered better bankers than an older emphasis on sociability and social connections. Hiring standards that focus more on quantitative skills and ingenuity and less on social skills and commitment to preservation of a socio-economic system probably gave us bankers who did more harm to society than their predecessors. We do not suggest returning to the ethnocentric clubiness that characterized banking in a former era, but we do suggest that there should be a greater emphasis both in business schools and in banks themselves on the socialization of investment bankers. More bankers should see themselves as part of a banking system and a broader economy in which they take collective pride rather than seeing themselves as lone agents bent upon beating the system. Bankers should openly discuss the relationship between their work and their religious values or a secular philosophy that gives meaning to their lives, although this discussion also should be conducted responsibly with awareness that any discussion of “values” can be misused. Religion for too long was a basis for discriminatory hiring and promotion practices in banking and even today bankers and investors are vulnerable to “affinity fraud” (the Arizona Baptist Foundation collapse in 2001 and the Madoff pyramid scheme that collapsed in 2008 illustrated how religious identity can be misused). Still, most people have philosophical commitments to something other than themselves and their own material self interest, and our banking system will suffer if, when people become bankers, they are encouraged to leave those commitments at the door. Third, we think that banker compensation should overall be lower, and be less sensitive to performance. Higher compensation (particularly “success” based bonuses) do not appear to make for better bankers and probably attract people to banking whose talents 6 and risk preferences are best used elsewhere. Our economy has a place for people with big ideas and big ambitions who are willing to take risks, whether wildcatting for oil or investing in new medical technology or new software. These people should, when successful, become multimillionaires or even billionaires, but most of them shouldn’t be bankers. Banking has a very different function, which is to monitor the time, manner and magnitude in which more speculative enterprises gain access to investors’ capital. When banking itself becomes speculative, this moderating influence disappears and there may be no social, economic or political force other than government regulation to moderate banking itself. Lowering bankers’ overall compensation may actually make for better bankers, and encourage persons whose talents, ambitions and risk preferences are best used elsewhere to go elsewhere. Bringing some measure of job stability to the industry also might help (for example, three to five year employment contracts for new recruits would encourage more cautious people to consider careers in banking). Our next proposals concern ways in which the banking business can be structured so as to encourage banker responsibility. Our fourth proposal is that the banking business be structured so that bankers are able to make healthy profits providing a defined service to capital markets, such as underwriting for issuers of securities, mergers and acquisitions for business clients, portfolio management, and brokerage services. Not all firms need to provide all of these services, and the fact that they may conflict with each other should be acknowledged so that firms that provide only one or two services are respected for the singularity of their commitment. They should also be able to make money. Efforts to make client-centered areas of banking more competitive and to squeeze profit margins – such as the abolition of fixed brokerage commissions in 1975 and the introduction of shelf registration of securities in 1981 – may have backfired in that investment banks increasingly turned to diversification and their own trading operations as profit centers and deemphasized client relationships. Banks should instead be encouraged to specialize in those areas of work where they can convince clients they do – and get paid for -- a good job. Our fifth proposal is that a significant amount of investment banking should be local, because local bankers more often have regular social and economic interactions with the people and organizations that are affected by their work. Complicated regulatory schemes -- arguably including parts of the Dodd-Frank Act – unfortunately may raise compliance costs for regional banks which cannot afford legions of lawyers and don’t enjoy the economies of scale of their larger counterparts, thus providing advantages to larger banks and encouraging further consolidation that results in banks “too large to fail” and more willing to take risks. Regulatory, tax and other incentives instead should be used to promote regional banking and reverse the trend toward large money center banks that are remote from the persons and organizations they affect, and that at the same time are too big to fail. 7 Our final proposals concern increased roles for others, specifically banks’ creditors and for their service providers. We propose that creditors should get certain rights if a bank’s debt/equity ratios exceed certain levels. They might, for instance, get a representative on the board, and mandatory say on pay. Our seventh and final proposal concerns ways professional service providers should support rather than undermine bankers’ personal and professional responsibility. For example, lawyers paid by the hour or by the deal to assist bankers with working their way around regulations, or providing opinion letters on dubious transactions, often have a counterproductive role. A step in the right direction might be for bank directors to insist on paying these lawyers “conditionally”; if the banking client both violates the relevant law during the lawyers’ watch and becomes insolvent within a certain period of time, all legal fees earned within a specified time frame would be disgorged. Contingent and conditional fees are common in the practice of law; the banking lawyer’s fees should be contingent on something other than whether the particular bank manager who hired the lawyer is presently pleased with the lawyer’s work. Furthermore, lawyers should have more of a duty to communicate with senior management and boards of directors more often and in more detail, not just when "reporting up" is required under SOX 307. Certainly, reporting should be required if a transaction is large, and, even thought not clearly a violation, represents a ‘close call. ’ We note in this regard that the board of Lehman Bros. apparently was not told about Repo 105. We recognize fully that ‘the devil is in the details’ – that our proposals as stated here are starting points for further discussion. We recognize as well that the success of our proposals will be limited they do not affect the corrosive ethos of irresponsibility that led to the crisis. In particular, proposals for less limited liability can inspire assetsheltering, proposals for creditor say when debt/equity ratios change invite gaming the ratios, different compensation will, it will be said, send the more talented people to hedge funds or another jurisdiction, and ethics education can be ‘going through the motions’ without any real substance. But in tandem, and with a broad discussion, the ethos can be influenced too, we hope, and the regulatory and ethos changes could be complementary. The ethos we think desperately needs changing is one which allows bankers to boast about allowing their clients to conceal their debt; we will know we have had some success when such behavior, instead of being boastworthy, would instead make bankers fear social sanction and perhaps legal sanction as well. Chapter 1 The Collapse of Personal Responsibility: Deception, Disregard for Others, Lack of Accountability and Reckless Risk-Taking At the earliest age, children are taught about honesty as well as regard for persons besides themselves. Another of life’s lessons is accountability: one cannot simply walk away from the consequences of irresponsible conduct. Unfortunately, these lessons are 8 sometimes never learned. Sometimes these lessons are learned and then unlearned in one’s professional training or work environment. Sometimes they are learned and ignored. The principal concern underlying this book is that investment bankers need to be honest with themselves and with others, they need to understand the impact of their conduct on other persons and they need to take responsibility for the consequences of irresponsible conduct. Four aspects or irresponsibility are explored in this chapter – deception, disregard for others, lack of accountability and reckless risk-taking. The financial crisis of 2008 was an example of how devastating irresponsible banking can be. Deception “Enron loves these [pre-pay] deals as they are able to hide funded debt from their equity analysts because they (at the very least) book it as deferred rev or (better yet) bury it in their trading liabilities.” Email from one Chase banker to another, November 25, 1998, Dishonesty has been a critically important part of the crisis in personal responsibility in banking. Bankers have been too willing to lie, tell half truths, lie by omission, and help others lie. Bankers have lied about the risks they take, their banks’ financial condition and the products they are selling to clients, as well as about the financial condition of clients. Some of these lies were to the shareholders and creditors of investment banks, as evidenced by the Lehman Brothers “Repo 105” transaction and Lehman’s transactions with Hudson Castle, an entity specifically intended to take poorly performing assets off of Lehman’s balance sheet. Other lies were to customers and persons bankers transacted with. For example, Goldman Sachs was accused by the SEC of telling clients that financial instruments Goldman was selling to them were designed to do well, when the instruments were actually designed to fail. In yet other instances, bankers helped their clients to lie, for example when bankers in the United States helped the Greek government lie to the European Union and to its bondholders and Enron lie to its investors. In the case of Enron, bankers helped the company paint a wholly false financial picture, complete with fake income and cash flow. Why do bankers behave this way? One reason is that bankers don’t worry much about liability. Exposure to civil liability for securities fraud has been reduced in the past several decades and there is little or no liability in private lawsuits for aiding and abetting other peoples’ fraud. Many transactions are private rather than public; antifraud statutes apply, but there are few affirmative disclosure obligations. Another reason is that bankers’ ties to the people they deal with have changed. Bankers are less likely to have personal relationships with people from whom they raise capital, and the people they do deal with regularly are more likely to accept a code of ethics in which honesty is not a priority compared with other things that may favor dishonesty, such as profits and deal 9 volume. . Yet another reason may be that for a generation that grew up on Vietnam, Watergate and other scandals, as well as the insider trading scandals of the 1980’s, lying and watching other people lie has become an accepted part of life. Even in academia, a profession that should value honesty, suspicion of “absolute truth” permeated academic commentary in the 1980s and 1990s. . A personally responsible approach to investment banking would make honesty a central value, if not the most important value, in the business. Telling investors and customers what they would want to know should be more important to the responsible banker than mere technical compliance with securities disclosure laws. Affirmative disclosure should be as important as avoiding affirmative misrepresentations. At the end of a transaction, both parties should feel that, regardless of the outcome, they were told everything they should have been told by the other party; employees, shareholders and creditors of investment banks also should feel that they are being told what they should have been told to make their own decisions. Similarly, bankers have a responsibility to tell the complete truth about what they are doing to regulators, Members of Congress, and other parts of the government. Bankers should care about whether the public trusts them. Lack of Regard for Others "The public be d—ned.”1 William Henry Vanderbilt to a reporter requesting an interview I am “doing God’s work” – Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein to the London Times A second aspect of irresponsibility has been investment bankers’ lack of regard for others. Too many investment bankers act as though they do not care about the impact their behavior has on others. Their unit of account is the self, with the firm being second. Client interests are third place. The well being of the financial system and society as a whole is a distant and largely irrelevant fourth consideration. A comparison with the legal profession is illustrative. Whereas lawyers work in a profession that at least purports to put the interests of the client and the interests of the legal system ahead of those of the individual lawyer and his firm, investment bankers do not articulate (other than in sales literature, advertising and sometimes in annual reports) a professional commitment to interests other than their own. For most bankers – with the possible exception of brokers in a fiduciary relationship with customers -- there is no code of professional ethics that requires them to prioritize clients’ interest and the interests of the banking system. Lawyers do not always practice what they preach, but at 1 William Henry Vanderbilt, president of the New York Central Railroad and numerous other railroads was widely reported to have uttered these words on October 8, 1882: Vanderbilt was in his private railroad car traveling when Clarence Dresser, a reporter, entered Vanderbilt’s car in Chicago and demanded an interview vaguely referring to the public’s right to know. Vanderbilt angrily blurted out his response, which was immediately published in newspapers around the United States. 10 least they preach it. Investment bankers do not preach it very much and probably practice it even less. Only after the financial crisis of 2008 did investment bankers, most notably the senior officers of Goldman Sachs, forcefully describe their work itself as a public service. Their claim to a public mission lacked substantiation and became even less credible as yet further scandals unfolded and it became obvious how singularly focused investment bankers had been on self interest even at the expense of others. Claims that meritocratic banks such as Goldman Sachs promote democratic ideals by giving talented persons of all backgrounds a chance to succeed in finance ignore concerns about how these bankers succeed. Lloyd Blankfein’s Horatio Alger story only goes so far, and says nothing about the fate of the people he left behind who may be among the most vulnerable in a world of irresponsible lending, vacillating credit conditions and economic collapse. The trading business that dominates so many large investment banks is particularly problematic in this respect. It promotes the ethos, and reality, of advancing one interest – perhaps that of the trader himself, a group within a bank, or the bank itself- at the expense of others. The notion that an investment banker has a professional obligation to the stability of the banking system or to society as a whole is almost never mentioned, much less considered as a factor when traders make decisions. Globalization of investment banking is another factor. Globalization often puts the other side to a transaction thousands of miles away rather than within a more cohesive business and social circle, and reinforces the notion that investment banking is a game in which every man plays for himself. Norms develop in the community in which it is fair play to take advantage and engage in sharp dealing. With increasingly complex and less tangible financial products investment bankers also may not fully understand the risks they are foisting upon others. And even if they do understand the risks ‘intellectually’ they may not understand them viscerally in a way that makes them think twice before imposing those risks on others. Ironically, this crisis in regard for others occurred during a time – the 1990’s and early years of the twenty first century – of enormous philanthropic commitments by investment bankers and other leading business people. One issue we will explore is whether these philanthropic commitments – often a way of boosting a donor’s ego and boasting of professional success – were a substitute for running a business in a responsible manner that considers the interests of others. Compartmentalized ethical systems separated the ruthless self seeking in investment bankers’ professional lives from the more beneficent goals they may have had for their personal lives, with charity being a conspicuous outlet for the latter. In the worst cases, such as Bernard Madoff, charity was also an instrument for achieving selfish ends. Personally responsible bankers ideally would gravitate toward lines of business that are intended to result in a win-win payoff rather than a zero sum game. Win-win is presumably the essence of capital formation, investments and other traditional aspects of investment banking. Win-win is what makes banking, and business in general, different 11 from a casino. Trading transactions can be problematic from this perspective, but they don’t have to be. Trading also can meet the mutual benefit standard, if both parties are informed of the risks involved, and both parties have a good business purpose for transferring the risk from one of them to the other. Bankers should not engage in transactions in which they, or their client, are taking unfair advantage of other people’s lack of knowledge, gullibility or other weakness. Bankers should act with due regard to their own and their bank’s stake in long-term relationships. In many businesses, a tension exists between a business person’s self-interest and that of others, including the greater society; there may also be a tension between the person’s self-interest and that of her firm. Decision makers often struggle with competing objectives. Lawyers, for example, face a tension between client advocacy and the professional obligation to support the truth finding function of a tribunal. What is unacceptable – particularly for a profession like investment banking, that has an enormous impact on society as a whole -- is for tension between competing objectives to be resolved exclusively in one direction, a narrow view of the banker’s own self interest. Businesses should not be seeking to profit at society’s expense; indeed, their activities should make society better off. An investment bank has a social as well as an economic justification if it is committed to facilitating access to capital for businesses, access to sound investment opportunities, enhancing the growth and stability of the financial system, the well-being of the community and the profitability of its business for the benefit of its employees and its owners. A responsibly run investment bank will recognize that in the long term these goals are not inconsistent. In sum, the “greed is good” ethos may have a long history on Wall Street, but it has not been a happy one. Fortunately, this ethos has sometimes been balanced by an ethos of individual and collective responsibility. Personally and professionally responsible investment bankers understand and act upon an appropriate balance between self interest and the collective good. This chapter will also discuss a topic that relates to both lack of honesty and lack of regard for others -- how investment bankers find and exploit loopholes and use other means of manipulating financial appearances. For example, bankers created currency trades and derivative securities that allowed Greece to hide its insolvency while technically complying with European Union debt limitations. Bankers were being dishonest, showing no regard for Greece’s creditors or the EU member states that would in all likelihood bail out, or try to bail out, Greece. Yet another example of “loophole banking” is the way banking lobbyists used political pull to create a legislative loophole for security-based swap agreements in 1999 and 2000. That new law exempted security-based swap agreements from the definition of “security” and explicitly prohibited the SEC from promulgating regulations intended to prevent fraud in such agreements. Investment bankers then used this loophole to create an enormous market in unregulated security-based swap agreements- a market that was apparently characterized by fraud of precisely the type that Congress had told the SEC it could do nothing to prevent. Bankers concerned with the well-being of others probably 12 never would have asked Congress to create this loophole; in any event, they would not have exploited it to wreak havoc with swap agreements. Finally, bankers convinced the SEC in 2004 to adopt a change to its “net capital rule” created in 1975 for broker-dealers. The 2004 rule change allowed five firms — Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch plus Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley — to assign high valuations to assets on their balance sheets using mathematical models. As a result, these firms could substantially increase their leverage.2 After the debacle of 2008, three of those five firms are no longer in existence. The bankers who exploited this loophole to avoid capital requirements and leverage balance sheets destroyed their own firms and did great damage to the lives of the thousands of people who depended upon those firms for a livelihood. Empathy – concern for others – would have suggested a far more cautious course of action. Lehman Brothers and the other large Wall Street banks were for many of the years after the disaster of the late 1920’s and 1930’s run profitably yet in a manner that showed far more respect for the impact of their activities on others. The SEC did not purport to regulate their safety and soundness, yet for the most part these banks were safe and sound. The older generation of bankers had experienced what can happen when banks are run irresponsibly, including the shame that comes to an industry that inflicts so much misery on fellow human beings (they had watched their elders hauled in front Congressional committees demanding remorse rather than arrogant claims to be doing the Lord’s work). For reasons that are explained later in our book, things changed beginning in the 1980s’ and bankers once again engaged in many activities heedless of the impact of those activities on others. What one is allowed to do and what one should do are sometimes two very different things. Lack of Accountability “When things go wrong it’s their [the shareholders’] problem. . . It’s laissez-faire until you get in deep shit.” Former Salomon Brothers CEO John Gutfreund in an interview with Michael Lewis discussing limited liability in investment banking and the government bailouts of 2008. A third aspect of personal responsibility is accountability or willingness to accept the consequences of one’s actions. 2 The 1975 rule was designed to assure that broker-dealers could meet obligations to customers and other creditors. The rule requires firms to value their securities at market prices but also to discount those values -- applying a so called “haircut” -- based on the risk characteristics of securities in their portfolio. The haircut values of securities held by a firm are then used to compute the "cushion" of required liquid assets for purposes of the net capital rule. The 2004 rule change permitted the largest broker-dealers with net capital of more than $5 billion to apply for exemptions from the traditional method of calculating the "haircut" and instead use mathematical models to compute haircuts on securities. This made it easier for these firms to meet the net capital requirement by claiming higher values for their securities. See 17 CFR Parts 200 and 240, Alternative Net Capital Requirements for Broker-Dealers That Are Part of Consolidated Supervised Entities; Supervised Investment Bank Holding Companies; Final Rules (June 21, 2004), 69 Federal Register 34428 (stating that “These amendments are intended to reduce regulatory costs for brokerdealers by allowing very highly capitalized firms that have developed robust internal risk management practices to use those risk management practices, such as mathematical risk measurement models, for regulatory purposes.”). 13 If you break it, you pay for it. Unless “it” is a limited liability entity, like Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch and just about every other major investment bank on Wall Street since general partnerships were abandoned by the industry in the 1980s. Then somebody else pays for it – creditors, employees. If “it” is too big to fail, the government —ultimately, of course, the taxpayer- also pays. The banker who broke the bank usually has an opportunity to convert at least some of the enormous compensation he was paid by the bank into cash and leave, with the rest of his assets intact. Like a child who quickly flees a store after breaking merchandise, the banker keeps whatever money is in his “pocket” and avoids the consequences of his actions. Our point here is not that limited liability is inherently irresponsible. As explained more fully below, corporate law has mechanisms for making managers accountable for their actions, at least to shareholders, and in some circumstances, to creditors. Our point is that limited liability and personal responsibility can and do clash, and that this clash has been particularly pernicious in the field of investment banking. Indeed, as explained more fully in Chapter _2_of this book, the change, mostly in the 1980s, from partnerships to corporations on Wall Street coincided with an escalation of irresponsibility among investment bankers. This was not a mere coincidence, although limited liability was not the only cause of irresponsible banking practices. Personal responsibility does not require unlimited liability: A banker can act with personal responsibility without being personally and unlimitedly liable for his bank’s debts. Personal responsibility does require, however, that the banker who makes decisions about risk and other matters is required to pay at least part of the cost if those decisions result in large losses. For reasons explained more fully in Chapter __ below, it is not sufficient for the banker simply to forfeit most of the compensation he earned by taking irresponsible risks. Adjustments to incentive based compensation only go so far in reducing appetite for risk. At least some other personal assets should be at risk. Even in the gaming industry, irresponsible gamblers can, and often do, leave the casino worse off than when they entered. This is not possible if only upside compensation is at risk. In Chapter __, we propose two mechanisms by which bankers could be made personally liable for losses suffered by their banks. Reckless Risk-Taking Reckless child (on bicycle): “Look Mom, no hands . . .” Parent (talking to another child and pointing to child on bicycle): “Look Son, no brains.” A fourth aspect of professional irresponsibility in banking has been reckless risk-taking. The first three aspects of irresponsibility – dishonesty, lack of regard for others and lack of accountability for the consequences of one’s actions – affected the way bankers 14 approached risk. The nature and degree of the risk itself is also important. Some risktaking is responsible, and some is reckless. When Bear Stearns and Merrill Lynch collapsed, the government bailed them out with taxpayer dollars and arranged marriages to other banks. Thousands of employees of both firms lost their jobs. Lehman Brothers, by contrast was allowed to fail. Its employees also lost their jobs. Its debts were estimated at $150 billion, much of which the firm’s creditors will not be able to recoup. Credit markets froze up and the American economic system headed toward collapse. The total cost to the government of bailing out the financial sector is difficult to estimate, but it will probably cost hundreds of billions of dollars. Even worse, the crisis drove the economy into its worst recession in decades, destroying billions of dollars more in wealth and leading the reported unemployment rate to climb to nearly 10%. The firms that failed, were bailed out, or took enormous charges against their capital, all had taken on enormous risks through exposure to mortgage backed securities, collateralized debt obligations, and derivative securities. Much of this exposure was taken with money belonging not to the firms themselves but rather, to their creditors. The debt equity ratio for investment banking grew steadily in the 1990’s, and was extremely high by 2008. Senior executives of the banks were called before Congress to explain what happened. None of them accepted personal responsibility for the risks they had taken in loading their firms up with so much debt or making such risky investments. None of them offered to pay out of their own assets a portion of the cost that had been imposed on creditors and society as a whole. Many of them made excuses. Some had the arrogance to claim that their business practices had been for a social good. This chapter will discuss the risk-taking that precipitated the 2008 financial crisis: high leverage ratios in investment banks; large portfolios of complex securities, including ‘synthetic’ securities, interconnected transactions among interdependent banks; bonus driven investments, etc. The common theme is irresponsible risk taken by financial institutions and the persons who made decisions for those institutions. Investment bankers stood to make enormous gains; their firms and the greater society were exposed to enormous losses. This chapter will also explain and develop the distinction between responsible risk-taking and irresponsible risk-taking. Ideally, responsible risk-taking would have a socially beneficial objective, the risk would not be excessive in proportion to the expected social benefit, the person or entity deciding to take the risk would have a significant downside if the risk did not pay off, and other parties exposed to the risk would agree to bear it after being given complete information that they could understand and use to protect themselves. Of course, responsibility in risk-taking is a matter of degree. These factors form a continuum, with risk-taking that is obviously irresponsible at one end and risk-taking that 15 is obviously responsible at the other. We are not suggesting that investment bankers should not incur risk to pursue profit; we are simply saying that they should not pursue profit single-mindedly, heedless of the consequences to their firms and to others. They “should not” do so because they have public responsibilities that go along with the considerable power over public welfare that comes with their positions. The first component of responsible risk taking, that there be an expected social benefit from risk, is typified by the core mission that investment bankers traditionally have, of raising capital for new business ventures. Bankers are presented with many ventures seeking financing; they select those ventures that deserve access to public and private capital, rejecting those that do not. They thus serve as gatekeepers to capital markets. Investment bankers also have a role in assuring that relevant risks are disclosed to investors before the capital raising process begins. Investment bankers furthermore help assure the integrity and liquidity of secondary markets, including stock and equity research, executing orders for brokerage customers, and to some extent trading on their own account; historically, they engaged in such trading only when it did not interfere with their other more essential functions (such is no longer the case). All of these functions provide an identifiable social benefit. The social benefit from investment bankers’ work may arise from the venture for which investment bankers facilitate access to investors. For some ventures, there is a potentially huge social benefit, for example ventures that seek to develop drugs to cure cancer or a new technology for clean energy. Sometimes the social benefit is more modest: some ventures simply seek to build a better “mousetrap” (or a better website or better method for doing one’s taxes). A new product or service that people buy willingly usually provides a social benefit. Investment banks’ transactions can also provide a social benefit even if they do not directly involve funding the end-user of capital. Consider the early mortgage securitization transactions. Mortgages already made were pooled, and interests were sold to investors. The result was that funds became available to make more mortgages, and loan rates were equalized and lowered throughout the country. Securitizations of cross-border cash flows enabled sound businesses in countries with high political risk to get access to capital at low rates. The social benefits from these transactions might be greater access to capital, market liquidity, or more efficient pricing. These latter types of transactions, however, set the stage for other transactions that are potentially problematic—that take on a life of their own separate from their social purpose, especially where the transactions serve to facilitate risk taking as an end in itself or would not have been done but for a banker’s bonus or other short term payoff. In these transactions, the risks bankers take are less likely to have a social benefit. The second component of responsible risk-taking is that the risk not be disproportionate to the expected social benefit. This risk at issue needs to be assessed not only from the perspective of the risk taker, but – because most risks have social externalities – also from the perspective of society. It is, for example, a good thing for working families to have access to mortgages they can afford, and some mortgage-backed securities further 16 this goal, but society can be far worse off if mortgage-backed securities allow many loans likely to end up in foreclosure to be made. The social harm exceeds the social costs. Regardless of whether there is a willing borrower and a willing investor in such loans, it is personally and professionally irresponsible for bankers to facilitate them. Responsible risk-taking requires that bankers take reasonable steps to inform themselves of the potential social costs of risk relative to the potential social benefits from risk, and act based on this information. At a minimum they should restrain from facilitating risks when the expected social costs are far higher than the expected social benefits. As we will discuss, some bankers did not inform themselves about social costs and benefits of particular risks; others did, and acted to protect themselves (by shorting risky investments) but not to protect others from the likely consequence of disproportionate risk. When mortgage loan volume was rapidly increasing and underwriting standards for the loans was rapidly decreasing, bankers should have realized that a dangerous bubble was forming, and that the many borrowers with increasing loan payments would soon be unable to pay or refinance their loans and thus would default. They also should have realized that at a certain point, there would be no more plausible buyers for homes. Some bankers might not have realized these things – again, they should have. Others did, but nevertheless continued engaging in these transactions, hoping to make as much money as they could before “the music stopped.” The third component of responsible risk-taking is that the person or institution taking the risk shares in it – e.g. will suffer a significant downside if the risk does not pay off. This is where accountability – a concept discussed above – is important. While many investment bankers had significant stockholdings in their banks, and lost a great deal of money in the crisis,3 many did not. More importantly, many of those responsible for risktaking were insulated from a significant downside because even their worst-case scenario, in which they lost a great deal of money, did not put at risk their personal assets outside the bank. As we will argue, considerable evidence suggests that people can view different portions of their assets differently, and have different risk preferences over those different portions. As long as a banker will have enough money to maintain his high standard of living even in the worst-case scenario, he may be willing to risk a large amount of his net worth, particularly the portion acquired by taking similar risks. We think that if bankers’ worst-case scenarios potentially compromised their standards of living, they would have thought much longer and harder before incurring the big risks that sank their firms and the economy-- they might very well have come to very different conclusions and made different decisions. The fourth component of responsible risk-taking is that those who bear the risk understand it and consent to doing so. At the very least appropriate disclosure is required. This is where honesty – another topic already discussed above -- comes in. But disclosure is not enough. A common problem is that investment managers with short3 How much they “lost” depends of course on how we compute what they “had” – do we compute at the peak of the market or at some lower valuation? There can be many defensible ways to approach this computation, some of which would suggest that even bankers who “lost” a great deal still came out better off than they been when they started working at their banks. 17 term time-horizons may “consent” to taking a risk where the risk is not suitable for the people on whose behalf they are investing. Consider in this regard the concept familiar from broker-dealer regulation, “suitability.” The suitability rule governs broker-dealers’ dealings with customers – a broker should not put an investor’s money into an investment if the risk is not suitable for that particular investor. A concept like suitability should be more broadly applied to investment managers. Some of the risks foisted off on institutional investors were not acceptable because they were not suitable for the persons who ultimately bore them. 4 Bankers failed to inform themselves as to who ultimately would bear the risk. Is a risky instrument being sold to a public pension fund or municipal government? Orange County, for example, incurred large losses on complex securities sold to them by Merrill Lynch, which ultimately had to pay the county for some of these losses. Taxpayers, not well-to-do investors, paid the price. Country services suffered as well. Responsible risk-taking includes not foisting the possibility of huge losses on parties for whom the risk is not suitable; and simply because a party purports to be large and sophisticated does not mean that the ultimate bearers of risk are the same. Of course, those bearing risks incurred in the banking sector also include more attenuated parties such as neighbors of homeowners who default on risky loans. They also include municipalities with vastly diminished property tax revenues because many home values have plummeted and many homes are no longer occupied by people paying their real estate taxes (and indeed, many homes are no longer occupied at all). We could characterize all taxpayers as risk-bearers. We could also include all the people who became unemployed because the economy failed. We could include most investors because markets in general deteriorated after the Lehman bankruptcy in September 2008. Investment bankers should not be expected to calculate all of these risks but they should be aware of and consider them. Responsible banking does not mean avoiding all or even most risk. Much risk-taking is beneficial for investors, for the economy and for society as a whole. We seek to articulate a concept of responsible risk taking based on these four components: the less social benefit a risk has, the greater the extent of the risk relative to that benefit, the smaller the decision-maker’s exposure to downside risk, and the less those who bear the risk understand, accept, and can bear it --the more irresponsible the risk is. As discussed in Chapter 2 below, the shift toward irresponsible risk has a historical dimension. The 1980’s saw a move away from corporate finance as underwriting spreads declined. This and other changes in the industry led to increased emphasis on trading for a bank’s own account. The trader’s risk taking personality moved to the fore, as illustrated in the 1980s by Michael Lewis’s well known book Liar’s Poker, about traders at Salomon Brothers. Then came computerized trading programs and finally the “virtual” trading markets for credit default swaps and other instruments that emerged in the 1990s. Whereas many bets similar to swap agreements were unenforceable at 4 Congress in 2010 asked the SEC to study whether broader fiduciary obligations should be imposed, but for many broker-customer relationships the suitability standard remains the norm. As discussed in the text, banker behavior in the crisis would not be consistent even with the existing, more relaxed suitability standard. 18 common law, Congress in the 1990s provided that they were to be enforceable while not taking steps to regulate them until 2010. An enormous shadow market of swaps and other synthetics instruments evolved, with highly paid investment bankers at the heart of it. As also discussed in Chapter 2, this personally irresponsible attitude toward risk has been reinforced and fueled by the amount and structure of compensation in the industry: huge amounts are paid for short-term results. Investment bankers took for their firms and for others risks that were extremely high and that – unlike the example of investing in a risk technology start up – offered little or no social benefit. They did so oblivious or indifferent to the potential damage that could arise from the interconnectedness between firms in the industry and the enormous social externalities of banks’ excessive risktaking. Some bankers acted illegally; others did not. Many, however, embraced risks that were irresponsible. As we discuss above, personal responsibility involves not only responsible risk-taking but also being truthful, acting with regard to the effects on others and accepting consequences when those effects are harmful. Too many bankers behaved irresponsibly. Bankers should have recognized that the risks they were taking were dangerous to their firms, to the economy and to themselves; they should have acted to avoid those risks.5 Chapter 2 The Breakdown of Constraints on Irresponsible Investment Banking Why do bankers act the way they do? Part of the story is self-interest of the sort hypothesized in the economic paradigm reigning for a generation or two before the 2008 crisis, sometimes referred to as “neoclassical economics.” The paradigm’s view of human nature can be bleak as well as rigid: people advance their self-interest, even when doing so is contrary to others’ interests. Going further, the paradigm often assumes that advancement of self-interest will often be contrary to others’ interests. The culmination is a normative assessment that pursuing self-interest, at others’ expense, is “rational” and thus good. Most economic 5 Bankers take risks that lack most (and perhaps all) of the components of responsible risk-taking in part because they are strongly motivated to take such risks. Their compensation structures encourage them to do so, as do the expansive boundaries of the markets – or virtual markets – in which bankers ply their trade. Since the mid-2000s, there have been few “natural” limits to trading positions - bankers can keep creating new opportunities to make side-bets on securities already in existence. Indeed, all a banker needs to create a bet is two parties willing to take opposite sides. Bankers can take the same “raw material” and re-package it many times over. Large fees are paid at the outset to banks when transactions are structured, marketed and sold – fees that in substantial part are then turned over to individual bankers. The results and effects of these transactions may not be known for a while, and there is no assurance that the winners or losers will be able to fund their “bets”. 19 actors are assumed to be rational. Departures from rational pursuit of self interest – errors in judgment -- are assumed to balance each other out, so they don’t matter very much. This perspective was a sharp departure from the perspective of earlier economists, such as Charles McKay in the mid Nineteenth Century and John Maynard Keynes in the early Twentieth Century, whose paradigmatic economic actors were vulnerable to herd mentality, market bubbles and similar phenomena rooted in sociology and psychology. Errors in judgment were assumed to be systematic and substantial, not random and insignificant. Greed in the scenarios these economists described often led to economic actors’ downfall, as well as the downfall of entire economies. Moreover, while these earlier economists acknowledged that people are often selfinterested, their neoclassical successors emphasized a particular, narrow, zero-sum type of self-interest, and gave it normative heft. The neoclassical paradigm celebrated greed, and didn’t fear the consequences of that celebration. Society was assumed to be better off if everyone “rationally” sought to acquire the most “toys” – the credo became that “whoever has the most toys at the end wins.” As theories of economic behavior changed, actual behavior in the business world also strove toward this ideal of “rational” selfishness. Many academic commentators recognize that the paradigm is a caricature, but Wall Street has still been promoting it, and promoting those who best fulfill the caricature as “winners” because they are supposedly more rational – and of course more selfish – than their competitors. Demonstrating shortcomings of the homo economicus paradigm is easy. We don’t take as much advantage as we can and we don’t generally expect that others will either. When we are asked for directions to a restaurant, we try to answer accurately, and we expect others to do so, even though we might have an interest in giving inaccurate directions and might think a person we asked might also have such an interest. Perhaps we, or they, work for a competitor, for instance. But, as the philosopher Paul Grice has noted, people generally abide by the “cooperativeness principle.” The alternative would be untenable (and indeed, might be technically considered a mental disorder, paranoia): constantly trying to anticipate ways a person might be taking advantage. People simply do not expect that others might always be taking advantage of them. When people pick out an electronic item at a store and are presented with a box purportedly containing the item, most probably do not open the box and inspect the item. Most shoppers trust the store, particularly if it has a good name and even more so if it has a prestigious name. Most people, for example, would probably say that they trust Saks Fifth Avenue. In our view, any plausible account of trustworthiness assumes a baseline level of considerable cooperativeness. The neoclassical paradigm’s normative stance, emphasized in the finance literature and business school education, pushes some people who pay attention to it – in particular, for our purposes, Wall Street bankers- below that baseline. Thus, some investors who recently bought products from Goldman Sachs without looking very carefully at what was “inside the box” were surprised with what they bought. The same 20 people who still trust Sacks Fifth Avenue now might not trust Goldman Sachs. This is not the way it has always been in New York. Another part of the story is a psychological “mistake” by many bankers and investors – underassessment of risk. This is yet another factor that McKay, Keynes and other economists of an earlier era recognized in their work on the “madness of crowds” and market bubbles. Only comparatively recently, in the last 15 years, has mainstream economic analysis again allowed for “behavioral” factors that might complicate the “rational actor” analysis. But psychologists, including those in marketing departments, and of course people working in banking and other fields, have always had far more realistic views as to the bad decisions investors can make. Bankers were themselves irrational at times. They also, however, had enough insight into other investors’ irrationalities to take advantage of them, a point well illustrated by the enormous profits that some investment banks and hedge funds made in the housing bubble. Why Constraints are Needed and Why They Failed We begin with the self-interest story, the self-fulfilling prophecy of late twentieth century economics. The canonical preferences under the “neoclassical” paradigm are money, power, and status. Money, however, is the predominant factor; pursuit of money in investment banking yields power and status, and without money, a banker is hard-pressed to have either power or status. Indeed, more generally power is increasingly up for sale (public companies are bought in a fluid “market for corporate control” and public servants are influenced by campaign contributions). Status also is derived principally from money. Inherited family status is not as important as it may have once been and relatively few professions in the United States -- perhaps sports, entertainment, and politics -- are widely recognized for status by itself, apart from money. Democratic ideals also reinforce the notion that anybody should have the opportunity to succeed; old money is not needed for power and status. Socially and economically influential wealth can be recently acquired, indeed so recently acquired that its owner has never experienced a major economic downturn. Unless economic incentives such as personal liability rules are aligned to encourage responsible behavior, bankers can acquire money and with it, power and status, by behaving in an irresponsible way – taking on reckless risk, and engaging in deceitful conduct. They help themselves to money, power and status, and may or may not also help their banks and their clients to the same. . But they may also harm others. Sometimes the people harmed are people the bankers deal with, such as their employers or their clients; sometimes it is people who agree to have a stake in the bank’s activities or well-being, such as stockholders or creditors. And sometimes it is third parties, such as homeowners and taxpayers. That people can behave in a manner that furthers their self-interest while doing damage to others is well known; indeed, the characterization of self-interest as rational can be seen 21 as implicitly embedding a characterization of concern for others at one’s own expense as “irrational.”). Thus, society has designed extra-legal and legal constraints against such behavior. Familiar constraints include fostering concern for long-term reputation, and of course legal regulation and liability. Why aren’t these constraints sufficient to stop reckless banker behavior? Why isn’t law an effective constraint? Why aren’t reputational concerns and other norms in the industry an effective constraint? Why has this problem gotten worse over the past few decades, indeed so bad that three of the top five investment banks in the United States took so many risks that they failed in 2008? In short, why can investment bankers get away with so much behavior that does so much harm? Part of the reason is the way banks are organized. Banks used to be partnerships; the bankers were the partners. The partner/bankers did not get “salaries” and “bonuses,” as they were owners and employers, not employees. They were paid a partnership draw out of some of their banks’ earnings, but the banks retained significant amounts in partners’ capital accounts and used this money to run their businesses. Once a banker became a partner, he tended to stay at the same bank for his entire career and left most of his earnings in the bank, only slowly withdrawing partnership capital after he retired. Perhaps most important, partners were jointly and severally liable for the debts of their firms. If the bank failed, they paid. Now, investment banks are corporations. Bankers still get paid largely based on their bank’s results in the past year and their own apparent contribution to those results; bankers’ fixed salaries are modest compared with enormous bonuses equal to approximately one-half of what their banks earn. Unlike the partnership arrangement, publicly-held banks are not dependent on their bankers’ equity to operate; most earnings are paid out immediately in cash, stock, stock options, phantom stock and other arrangements. Bankers usually have substantial discretion about how long to keep noncash compensation in the bank and when to take it out. Because bankers’ compensation is often linked to reported earnings, there is an incentive for bankers to seek out transactions that yield huge “earnings” on “paper” that may never translate into actual currency. The actual wealth of the bank – and the soundness of its financial position – may be largely irrelevant to the bankers’ compensation, at least in the short term. They don’t own the bank, somebody else does, and the actually wealth of the bank and its stability are that somebody else’s problem. When banks lose money bonuses may be small or nonexistent for a year or two but bankers do not have to give back their earnings from previous years; they only lose whatever unhedged exposure they have to the banks’ stock price. With the corporate form also comes limited liability; bankers are not personally liable if their banks fail. Moreover, bankers nowadays are quite mobile, caring much more about the short term than the long term. (In any event, computing the long term results of bankers’ efforts can be quite hard: what is the relevant time horizon over which to measure performance?) Banks are apparently hard-pressed to make their employees care more about the long term. And they don’t seem to look for “long-term” results from the employees they hire 22 either. The consequently short time horizons make a big difference. From a short term perspective, there is good reason to choose a risky portfolio that yields 10% more than a conservative portfolio, even if there is a 10% greater chance in any given year that the risky portfolio will lose all of its value, provided one gets a portion of the upside but does not have to suffer the downside. The shorter the relevant time horizon (the time the banker expects to be at the bank and exposed to its earnings) the more attractive the risky investment will be. Stock and stock options can help align the banker’s incentive with the interests of the bank, but this only goes so far (and basic portfolio theory demonstrates that option holders prefer more risk than stockholders, while stockholders prefer more risk than debtholders). If the bankers’ annual compensation is tied to the upside, but at worst goes to zero because of the downside, the compensation incentive is all in the direction of taking risk. The banker needs to have an enormous wealth exposure to the bank itself for the banker’s personal wealth incentive to outweigh his annual compensation incentive so the bankers’ interests are more in alignment with the banks’ shareholders (and even then the bankers’ interests are not in alignment with the banks’ creditors). That some of the money banks use to make investments is not even that of the bank’s shareholders, much less the bankers’ themselves, that sometimes it is creditors’ money and sometimes it is the money of third parties, and that banks that take a share of the successful investments and walk away from the bad, is not new. Louis Brandeis’s aptly named book Other People’s Money and How the Bankers Use It was published in 1914. In the book, Brandeis argued that bankers used other people’s money- specifically, customers’ money—to promote their own and their banks’ interests, not the customers’ interests. But bankers’ use of others’ money is now carried out on a much greater scale, in more complicated transactions, and by bankers that are far less likely to have a personal relationship with the people whose money is being used. The amounts of banker compensation are so large that many bankers can retire quite young and never need to work again. The amounts are also so large that increasing increments may be valued more as “points” that give status than as aids to a better standard of living. The status might be outer-directed; bankers may ‘compete’ for who has the largest pay package or income. It also might be inner directed: a person may think more of herself for making $2x than for making $x. Causing the bank to lose money is a secondary concern. Exposing a bank’s creditors to losses is not a concern at all, because this is precisely what economic theory tells us wealth-maximizing borrowers will do to the maximum extent they are permitted to do so. The banker who does not get this point is not fit to compete. Bankers may also get status by taking big risky bets or coming up with a “creative” technique that helps a client improve its financial appearance. There are considerable monetary and status rewards for inventing or investing in the hot new thing or of developing a scheme that allows a company to minimize its supposed liabilities by labeling debt as something else. This type of gamesmanship has always existed in finance, but the pace has accelerated. Because bankers are now highly mobile, they may seek to build up personal reputations that highlight their personal skills and triumphs; 23 doing so may involve them acting more for themselves than as part of a team. The ‘triumphs’ at issue have come to include those that evidence sharp dealing: it may be easier to demonstrate the successful results of sharp dealing – big profits, one-sided transaction terms- than to demonstrate the successful results of a more cooperative approach. The sociology of investment banking has also changed. The modern investment banking industry is “meritocratic” rather than socially exclusive and global rather than local. Whereas repeat dealings among those in the industry used to be both professional and personal, they are now much more likely to be focused on the professional. Whereas the reputation that was desired before might be a generally “good” reputation in a community that was geographically defined and heavily reliant on notions of social “class,” now it may be more narrowly focused on the banker’s individual reputation for professional success among other investment bankers and other financiers. The group of persons whose opinion counts is broader than it used to be geographically and in terms of social background, but also narrower, in that this group now consists principally of other investment bankers. The broader society outside the world of investment banking does not count, or does not count for much. Even the customer base for investment banks is more fluid, as banks compete against each other for the same customers, often on the basis of price. Having a reputation with customers for delivering honest high quality services may not mean what it once did. The now not-uncommon narrative for successful bankers, of pointing to their modest origins (as does Goldman Sachs’s Lloyd Blankfein), depicting and perhaps envisioning themselves as heroically overcoming the advantages of persons more privileged than they, also may provide more self- justification for bad behavior, whether it be dishonesty, lack of concern or others or refusal to accept the consequences of one’s actions. Until relatively recently, bankers were selected based on “social” criteria that they believed served as proxies for trustworthiness, reliability, prudence and other characteristics; it is not entirely coincidental, though, that some of these same factors served as proxies for belonging to favored rather than disfavored socio-economic, ethnic or religious groups . People who appeared to exhibit these characteristics were more likely to rise to the top than those who didn’t. Some of the proxies chosen in an earlier time for “social” connectedness such as a Social Register listing for Protestant firms or membership in a respected synagogue for some of the Jewish firms – were weak proxies for socially beneficial conduct. Some of these proxies were downright discriminatory, and illegal to the extent they relied on race, religion or ethnicity. There was, however, at least an attempt to think about how an investment banker would interact with the people with whom his firm did business and about his overall reputation within a defined group. Clearly, this was far from ideal. But moving away from ‘softer,’ less quantifiable “social” criteria for hiring and evaluating investment bankers means more reliance on harder, more quantifiable criteria. More quantifiable criteria may be easier for individual bankers to manipulate. And they also may be irrelevant or even contrary to the long-term prosperity of an investment bank. The emphasis on quantifiable criteria for defining merit means yet more emphasis in banking on the one thing bankers believe they can count -- money. Whether the merit – or even the money – is real is another matter. In a 24 world where rankings rule, individual bankers and their banks will do what they can to excel in whatever criteria the rankings use, and sometimes manipulate those criteria. Indeed, the shift to more quantifiable measures is a broader one within society; its effects are complicated, and certainly not unambiguously positive. Thus, the rewards for less quantifiable reputation lessen and the rewards for the more quantifiable points-based reputation increase. Points-based reputation is importantly “self centered”—a person earns points through his individual participation in lucrative business areas, such as the sale of new financial products. The executive who can score big in this year’s markets will be the most prized, regardless of whether the persons with whom he does business feel they were shortchanged or misled. And if he scores much worse than his peers, his prospects will plummet, an outcome he can prevent by copying his peers’ investing strategies even if those strategies are quite risky. Having a reputation for caution, honesty and caring about the persons with whom one does business does not easily translate into a point system unless that reputation generates increased business from customers with whom the banker has a longstanding relationship. For most investment banks these customers are not as important as they once were (and neither is the underwriting business that these customers used to bring to an investment bank on a repeat basis). Moreover, that the sums at issue are so huge can be de-sensitizing. The traditional adage “one death is a tragedy, a million is a statistic” captures the way some bankers may think about their work. A critical development underlying these changes is discussed above: that banks changed from partnerships to corporations. A corporation can lose other people’s money: if its debts exceed its assets, the creditors are stuck with the loss. By contrast, in a general partnership such as the old Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers or Morgan Stanley, partners are liable to the partnership’s creditors if the partnership can’t pay its debts. The bankers were partners; their personal assets were potentially available to the partnership’s creditors. Partners thought long and hard before taking big risks; moreover, even if they were otherwise inclined, partnerships had governance structures that effectively restricted individual partners’ ability to ‘bet the store’ or otherwise expose the partnership (and hence the other partners) to considerable liability. Each partner had a stake in making sure the others didn’t risk his house. Commercial banking was conducted in corporations, but a mechanism somewhat akin to unlimited personal liability was sometimes used: assessable stock. Assessable stock obligated the holder to supply additional capital upon a call by the board of directors if the bank were threatened with insolvency. Assessable stock was not infrequently used in commercial banks starting in the late 19th century, and until the 1930s. After that time, it fell out of favor; it also was no longer as necessary to protect depositors because federal deposit insurance and federal regulation of safety and soundness took over. 6 In the 1980s, the New York Stock Exchange, of which many investment banks were members, changed its rules to allow member firms to be publicly held and many 6 The regulatory scheme for investment banks was much weaker, but as pointed out in the text, many investment banks were general partnerships up through the 1980s, and hence were “regulated” privately, because partners were personally liable for their banks’ debts. 25 investment banks became corporations. Even the investment banks that remained partnerships the longest, such as Goldman Sachs, conducted much of their business through LLCs, LLPs and other limited liability entities. Finally, the law firms that advise bankers have even themselves switched to being LLCs and LLPs. A norm of limited liability has firmly taken hold. Investment bankers and their advisors do not have to pay for the risks they take or the liabilities to which they may expose their firms; the shield of limited liability has insulated them from the consequences of their actions. Limited liability has narrowed the perspective of bankers on their own personal responsibility. “I am not by broker’s keeper” has become the dominant theme in the industry. A banker’s only partner in this venture is himself. Limited liability helps explain why bankers don’t seem to fear massive losses as much as they once did. But why isn’t legal liability more of a constraint? One reason is that some of the conduct at issue is very hard for law to address, much less police. Another is that regulators are outmatched in resources, and regulated parties have enormous incentive and ability to design financial products precisely so they can fall within regulatory cracks, with regulators unable to catch up. A third is that investment banking is sufficiently mobile that firms can and will move their activities to places the regulations can’t reach. A fourth is that even for conduct the law can address and police, liability may not be much of a deterrent. Critically, existing regulation does not effectively make individual investment bankers personally liable for their actions. Even when it technically makes individuals liable, individuals do not have much to fear. For example, a core feature of the 1933 Act was section 11, which made underwriters liable for misleading registration statements for securities they underwrote. This provision remains intact, but the threat of liability is not nearly as meaningful as it once was and as it needs to be. First, securities are increasingly sold in private placements exempt from Section 11; some instruments such as security based swaps have been carved out from the definition of a security altogether. Second and more directly relevant to the central argument of our book, Section 11 liability is imposed on underwriter firms, not directly on the investment bankers who run those firms. As noted above, when the firms were general partnerships, the banker-partners were personally liable. But when the firms are corporations, Section 11 liability is far less of a deterrent – it is simply another liability the firm can incur, along with all its other liabilities and debts. The firm might in some way punish the banker for causing the firm to incur Section 11 liability; the specter of such a punishment might not strongly motivate the banker, though. In this age of banker mobility, the banker may not even work for the firm when the lawsuit is filed. Moreover, the conduct that might trigger liability may also yield a huge payoff for the banker (and the bank); this would also enter into the banker’s assessment of how to proceed. Finally, any punishment might be counterbalanced by some of the other rewards we have discussed: obtaining status for using cutting edge envelope-pushing strategies including taking aggressive stances on what is to be disclosed in a public offering document. Psychology of Underestimating Risk 26 The foregoing discussion of incentives for irresponsibility explains how it became in bankers’ self-interest to take reckless risks, to deceive others and act without regard for others. But pure self-interest isn’t enough of an explanation. In particular, it can’t explain why bankers apparently underestimated the risk associated with subprime securities. They would be hard pressed to successfully pursue their self-interest if they make mistakes of this type. Indeed, the neoclassical paradigm contemplates that people generally assess risks correctly. But with subprime securities, many bankers seem to have underestimated the risk: they lost some of their own money as they were losing their banks’ money (a key distinction being that the bankers usually kept some of their own money whereas in some instances such as Lehman Brothers they lost all of their shareholders’ money and a great deal of the creditors’ money). In hindsight, the risks seem downright absurd. But even in prospect, the risks were underestimated. Psychology tells us something about why this occurred. For a long time psychology has been recognized as a critical factor in economic behavior, particularly in periods of excessive risk taking that produce speculative bubbles and ensuing economic collapse. Analysis of cognitive biases and other factors has become more sophisticated, but the psychological groundings of reckless economic behavior that has been told almost as often as it has been forgotten. Charles MacKay recognized how “delusional” thinking characterized economic action in his well known 1841 book Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. Michael Lewis, the author of Liar’s Poker and The Big Short, recently included the financial mania portions of MacKay’s book as one of the six classics of economics along with publications by Adam Smith, Thomas Malthus, David Ricardo, Thorsten Veblen and John Maynard Keynes. Now, one hundred and seventy years after MacKay, we have access to a wealth of psychological studies that give us insights on how delusional thinking plays itself out in assessment of risk. These psychological insights are critical to an accurate understanding of the subset of economic actors that is the subject of this book: investment bankers. One easy and probably accurate part of the story is over-optimism and confirmation bias. The search for “yield” and the great new instrument that maximizes return yet minimizes risk is eternal; the U.S. culture, and particularly the culture of Wall Street, believes that brilliance and effort can solve just about any problem. The title of one of the best books on the crisis sums up the Wall Street response to the obvious objection: “This Time Is Different.” Confirmation bias makes it possible to (mis) interpret data in a manner consistent with one’s working assumptions and theory—until it’s no longer possible. Other mechanisms are probably at work as well, such as those offered by “prospect theory” and the related “house money effect.” The simple neoclassical economic paradigm hypothesizes that people assess risk symmetrically. But people do not do so. In particular, people might be quite willing to “lose” money they never really regarded as theirs. In this regard, there is considerable anecdotal evidence that early in their careers, after their first ‘big paydays,’ some bankers put aside a large quantity of money, enough to maintain a high standard of living for the rest of their lives, freeing them to regard anything else they have as surplus. 27 More formally, prospect theory hypothesizes that people have a reference point from which they compute gains and losses. Many bankers’ reference points might not have been adjusted upwards by their gains during some significant portions of their careers. Thus, they might not regard amounts they could “lose” from the wealth they accumulated from previous pay packages as “losses.” Rather, they might see all amounts above the amounts they ‘started with’ as gains. In the new “meritocracy” many investment bankers have not inherited money and started with relatively little; just about everything they have is a “gain” and remains so until they take it “off the table,” perhaps when they leave the business. We have no empirical proof that bankers regard their earnings from banks this way; indeed, the “endowment effect” might suggest otherwise. Experimental evidence shows that people apparently and instantly become quite attached to objects – even coffee mugs -- they are given, demanding much more to part with an object they have been given than they would have paid several minutes before to buy the same object. We cannot resolve this issue as a matter of theory, but we would note that there is evidence for our view: the “house money effect” described and demonstrated by Richard Thaler, a leading behavioral economist. A cavalier attitude toward wealth from this “house money effect” may trump any “endowment effect” that could cause a banker to want to keep his fortune. People can experience large or unexpected gains as “house money,” influencing their willingness to take risky gambles in which they might lose the money.7 Prospect theory also offers insights on the irresponsible conduct that made matters worse in 2008, once it became clear that many risks that investment bankers had taken were unraveling and bankers knew that they and their firms were in trouble. In such “loss frames” decision makers have been shown to be prone to take exceptionally large risks to avoid a loss. There are many examples: Nick Leeson’s risky bets that were aimed at ‘recovering” the amounts he had already lost come immediately to mind. As is wellknown, the result was that a bank that had been in existence since 1762 collapsed. Courses of action that might allow bankers to cut their losses -- for example selling Lehman Brothers to the several suitors that approached senior management early in 2008 about an acquisition – will be rejected because those options involve acknowledging that a business plan has in part failed. Reckless risk is seen as a way of escaping the consequences of reckless risk. In this way cognitive biases in a loss frame can exacerbate a well known aspect of irresponsibility discussed in Chapter 1, which is lack of accountability and unwillingness to accept the consequences of one’s actions. Where someone is “doubling down” to recoup amounts he has already lost, the chances are also reasonably good that he will conceal his prior losses and present strategy. Thus, another aspect of irresponsible conduct identified in Chapter 1, deception. Even if a banker’s risk-taking was unauthorized, the bank may have an interest in concealing the initial risk and the subsequent “doubling down.” Government actors may also participate in the deception to avoid a market upheaval. The “psychology of the cover up” firmly takes hold, at least until the markets discover what is going on. 7 Being risk-preferring may be helpful in obtaining and excelling in fields like investment banking. is some evidence that this is the case with CEOs. There 28 Finally, neuroscience studies suggest that some people are simply more prone to riskseeking behavior – such people may be overrepresented in the ranks of top bankers. Of a piece with the neuroscience findings are the research findings from the psychology and management literature about the characteristics of the sort of people who become top bankers: people who are overoptimistic and assertive. Summary In sum, through a confluence of factors, banking now makes possible and rewards behavior that can have disastrous effects on banks, their clients and stockholders, and the greater society. The types of people attracted to banking want to be ‘movers and shakers;’ they hope and expect to earn a great deal of money, and perhaps, retire quite young. Their community is one that rewards clever and narrowly self-interested behavior. As we will argue below, it is unlikely that enough can be done either through regulation or through classic economic techniques such as better alignment of incentives or better monitoring to counter banker incentive and ability to proceed in the ways we have seen. Whatever specific efforts we take need to be accompanied by a broader push to redefine what banking is, and how bankers should want to behave. But the focus has not been on redefinition. Indeed, because economic analysis has been so dominant in discussion of how investment bankers behave, it is not surprising that the “calculated pursuit of self interest” model has been assumed as a given and then used to design policy solutions; redefinition has been assumed to be if not impossible then not necessary given its difficulties and the supposedly good-enough alternative from the standard toolkit of economic incentives. For example, neoclassical economics might lead us to consider a simple solution to the problem of investment bankers helping clients lie to third parties: to attack the problem at its root cause, the banker’s calculated pursuit of self interest, by changing the banker’s calculation of his self-interest. We could try to make the banker internalize the external costs of fraud, by, for example by imposing civil liability for aiding and abetting fraud and/or stepping up government enforcement efforts against bankers who aid and abet fraud. But a fault-based regime premised on aiding and abetting liability is not likely to be effective by itself. Consider in this regard bankers helping their clients hide debt; while we think this clearly is fraud in any common-sense understanding of the term, proving that it constituted fraud so as to prevail in a legal proceeding might be very difficult. The term “debt” cannot be mechanically defined; bankers will be able to argue that their clients’ financial statements were accurate. Companies are certainly not required to depict themselves in the most unattractive way possible. Even clear rules defining “debt” or any other term can often be maneuvered around (and probably will be, by well-motivated and very able bankers); we resist standards because we value predictability, and because enforcement is costly and may seem arbitrary. In any event, ex post enforcement may be too late to avoid huge damage. That a bank would figure out a new financial beautification technique, use it a great deal, and significant damage would be done before it could be stopped scarcely seems unlikely- indeed, that is what happened with both Enron and Greece. 29 The critical point is that people trying to maximize their money and status in the present world with its present system of rewards have the incentive and ability to maneuver around even a good regulatory scheme. A needed part of any solution is therefore to change the people—to instill a sense of personal responsibility such that they are not simply trying to maximize their money and with it their power and status. Their sense of self worth should come from somewhere else. Chapter 3 The History of Investment Banking, and the Trajectory towards Irresponsible Banking This Chapter will discuss the history of several investment banks, emphasizing those factors affecting the personal responsibility of investment bankers that have changed over time 8. We will focus particularly on the Salomon Brothers partnership and its traditionally responsible attitude toward risk, how Salomon became a corporation in the Phibro merger, and how the culture that Michael Lewis described in Liar’s Poker led to the firm’s relatively quick demise. In this Chapter, we will also discuss the LBO wave of the 1980’s, in which companies were bought for a very small amount of equity and a massive amount of debt. Junk bonds and other financing vehicles were designed by investment banks to make these deals possible. Much of this business was done by Drexel Burnham Lambert, a firm that after several mergers had evolved out of the venerable Philadelphia firm Drexel & Company, founded by Austrian immigrant Francis Martin Drexel in 1837. When a bankruptcy wave followed the LBO craze, this one hundred and fifty year old investment banking firm was among the casualties, along with many of the companies that had been leveraged in the LBO transactions it had financed. Michael Milken, the mastermind of these financing schemes, went to jail for insider trading. This LBO wave was, especially in its later years, driven by investment bankers seeking short-term gain from excessive risks that caused considerable damage to acquired and acquiring companies, their employees and the lenders involved. The concept of limited liability was taken to its limits, as more and more debt was piled onto entities run by shareholders with a relatively small stake in the enterprise. Contractual control by debt holders proved inadequate to control excessive risk taking. Whereas the early stages of the LBO wave involved companies with relatively stable earnings, the latter stage involved less stable enterprises that never should have incurred so much leverage. The investment bankers who put these deals together earned big up-front fees from the risks they were foisting on others. Like the bankers in the 2008 financial crisis, many of these bankers believed – or at least claimed -- they had created a brave new world in which the transactions they were doing would pay off for everyone involved notwithstanding the heroic assumptions required for the debt incurred to be paid off and the leveraged 8 Other factors that we believe to be more constant such as psychological biases are discussed in other chapters. 30 companies to avoid default. This mindset appears to have been yet another product of the pathologies we discussed in the context of the 2008 crisis: declining marginal utility of money for investment bankers who become oblivious to risking even their own assets much less the assets of other people, insulation of investment bankers from real downside risk that they would have had in the days of general partnerships and investment bankers’ desire to keep up with their peers in pursuing the latest financial trends. The chapter will conclude with a brief discussion of what happened at several other firms, including Bear Stearns, Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs, comparing these firms to Salomon Brothers. In this regard, consider that Morgan Stanley – the investment bank most readily associated with a white protestant upper class in the early and middle Twentieth Century– had a credo to “do first class business in a first class way.” After going public, a less than successful merger with Dean Witter, and a series of scandals, much has changed at Morgan, although some Morgan bankers still think of themselves as better bankers than their peers. The Lehman Brothers discussion will focus on the firm’s culture in the days when Robert Lehman was the managing partner and the very different culture that prevailed when shortly before its failure Lehman concealed from just about everyone – including apparently the risk committee of its board of directors -- how leveraged it really was. Goldman, the last of the Wall Street partnerships to go public, is still an enormous profit center for its bankers and sometimes for its shareholders. With two Secretaries of the Treasury in fifteen years and several more high ranking officials in the Treasury Department and elsewhere, Goldman also seems to have mastered the revolving door between Wall Street and a government that is supposed to regulate Wall Street. Goldman also has had its share of scandal, including a fraud claim by the SEC that settled in 2010 for $ 550 million, an enormous sum that still only constituted 15% of its first quarter profit.9 Goldman’s most senior bankers still refer to themselves as partners (they take away a substantial share of the firm’s profits when it does well), although they are not. Chapter 4: The Limits of Limited Liability This chapter will discuss the broader debate in corporate law on limited liability and whether it undermines personal responsibility. In a seminal case used in corporate law classes, Walkovszky v. Carlton, Walkovszky was injured by a taxicab. The cab was operated by a corporation; the controlling owner of the corporation was William Carlton. Walkovszky’s damages were greater than the corporation’s assets. He sued Carlton individually, and lost. The law provides that corporations have a liability “shield:” owners are not liable for their corporation’s debts. The result is that Walkovszky was not compensated for his loss, and Carlton kept his assets. The corporation’s liability was “unlimited” – that is, any and all of its assets were available to pay its creditors. But Carlton’s liability wasn’t: he could suffer some losses insofar as the corporation he owned had to pay out funds, but he kept whatever he had 9 Goldman Settlement: Who Wins, Goldman or SEC?, WSJ Deal Journal Blogs, July 15, 2010, at http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2010/07/15/goldman-settlement-who-wins-goldman-or-sec/ 31 outside the corporation. It should be noted, too, that Carlton was not only the owner of the corporation that operated the accident-causing taxi; he was also the manager. Being a manager didn’t make him liable either. If Carlton had not incorporated his taxicab business, his assets would have been available to satisfy the business’s debts, including its debts to Walkovzsky. That they were not reflects a deliberate policy decision under law: to encourage business activity by allowing people to engage in business without exposing their full assets to the business’s creditors. This policy decision has always been controversial. Indeed, in the Carlton case itself, Carlton had ten taxicab corporations, each of which had only 2 taxicabs. The way in which Carlton did business was clearly designed to reduce the pot of assets available to each corporation’s creditors. As the case noted, “[t]he law permits the incorporation of a business for the very purpose of enabling its proprietors to escape personal liability.” The privilege “had its limits,” but those limits were not reached by Carlton’s way of doing business. Even if the taxi business’s drivers and mechanics were chosen for their low wage demands rather than their skill, and perhaps even if Carlton took all the money from the business’s cash register each night to assure the business had no money, Walkovzksy would probably still have not been able to “pierce the corporate veil” to recover from Carlton’s assets. The doctrine has various formulations in different jurisdictions but effectively only requires piercing if the corporate entity is disregarded- for instance, Carlton failed to abide by corporate formalities and commingled the corporation’s money with his own, paying personal expenses (such as, as occurred in another case, a pet’s veterinary bills) from the corporate coffers- and if the corporate form is used for something wrongful or fraudulent. Again, doing business in a manner intended to limit the amounts available to creditors does not count as something wrongful for this purpose. If Carlton had thought his personal assets might be available to satisfy his business’s creditors, he would probably have run his business more carefully. It is hard not to feel sympathy for Walkovszky, injured by Carlton’s business when Carlton gets to keep his assets; indeed, many of our corporate law students think Walkovszky should get to recover from Carlton’s assets. There is something disturbing about Carlton perhaps scrimping on safety to increase his profits, where the result is losses that he can externalize onto unfortunate people injured by his business. This sentiment- that limited liability undermines personal responsibility- has been common since government began permitting limited liability by allowing “incorporation” or its historical predecessors. Indeed, originally, entities allowed to have limited liability had to have specified, and public, purposes – the state was willing to allow limited liability only to entities doing “good.” And incorporation was certainly not given easily as a matter of right. But in modern times, an entity’s purpose needn’t be public or even specified: Delaware corporations’ purposes in their incorporation documents are routinely set forth as follows: “The purpose of the corporation is to engage in any lawful act or activity for which corporations may be organized under the General Corporation 32 Law of the State of Delaware.” Obtaining corporate status could scarcely be easier, and requires only the filing of a few short documents. Sometimes even the limitation to “lawful activity” in corporate charters is not taken seriously by managers who believe themselves immune from personal liability regardless of whether the corporation acts illegally. Indeed, critics of limited liability have worried about bad consequences of limited liability for centuries going back to the 1720 collapse of England’s South Sea Company, a trading company that was essentially run as an investment bank to speculate in government debt.10 England’s 1720 Bubble Act responded to the collapse of the South Sea Company, which purported to be a trading company but operated mostly as an investment bank and promoted widespread speculation in its own stock. The Act sharply curtailed publicly held limited liability companies for almost a century.11 Next was the English Companies Act in the late Nineteenth Century, which established the beginnings of mandatory disclosure to investors. Securities regulations followed in France, Germany and other European countries in the first decades of the Twentieth Century. In the United States, the states tried to require some disclosure to investors and regulate fraud with “blue sky laws” but these could not keep up with interstate commerce and excessive risk taking in the 1920s caused yet one more economic collapse. The response was massive regulation in the federal securities laws of the 1930s. Other doctrines have attempted, with mixed success, to limit the harm limited liability and its attendant effects on personal responsibility can do. For some companies, government requires mandatory levels of insurance. Commercial banks and other depository institutions are supposed to be monitored for safety and soundness. The veilpiercing doctrine mentioned above and related doctrines allow control persons sometimes to be liable for their corporations’ debts notwithstanding limited liability. For example, a corporation’s owners may be liable if the corporation engages in an ultra-hazardous activity. The traditional cases involved blasting and similar activities. One could argue, however, that some types of investment banking have the potential to be ultra-hazardous activities as well. Such an argument would justify holding bankers who cause their institutions to engage in these activities to be personally liable, an idea to which we shall return in the next Chapter. We explore as well in that Chapter other reasons – including the large percentage of profits that is paid out in compensation -- for making investment bankers personally liable for some of their banks’ debts. Making investment bankers liable for their banks’ debts is not a new idea – in fact, limited liability is relatively new to the industry. The largest investment banks have for the most part been operating under limited liability only for the past three decades. They had been general partnerships; all partners were unlimitedly liable for all of their 10 Richard W. Painter, Ethics and Corruption in Business and Government: Lessons from the South Sea Bubble and the Bank of the United States, supra note ___. 11 London solicitors did a considerable amount of business helping promoters evade the Act. Richard W. Painter, Ethics and Corruption in Business and Government: Lessons from the South Sea Bubble and the Bank of the United States (published by the University of Chicago Law School) (2006 Maurice and Muriel Fulton Lecture in Legal History), posted on SSRN Minnesota Legal Studies Research Paper 06-32. 33 partnership’s debts. As discussed in Chapter ___, the events of 2008 strongly suggest that limited liability has not been a successful organizational form for investment banking, except perhaps for the bankers themselves. It has not been successful for the rest of the society. We will argue in the next Chapter that for investment banking, a modified version of limited liability is appropriate. Chapter 5: Why Law Isn’t Enough We think bankers should behave in accordance with the standards befitting a profession; they should do so because it is “the right thing to do.” We also think that society’s interest in having bankers behave responsibly justifies regulation. Banker behavior can impose significant negative externalities. However, without attempts through other methods to instill a sense of responsibility, regulation is likely to be insufficient. This Chapter explains why this is so. A simple way to make our point is by analogy with the tax system. Some – perhaps many -- sophisticated taxpayers and their advisers expend significant resources to pay the least tax possible, using strategies that adhere to the letter of particular regulations while violating the spirit. “Well”-advised taxpayers reduce their tax liability considerably; others are left to pay more to make up for the shortfall. Tax advisers get internal and external rewards from their cleverness and coming up with the best strategies to avoid tax. The history of tax regulation is a history of largely failed approaches to this problem. There are enormous rewards to paying less tax, and prevailing norms do not penalize, and may even reward, clever ways of achieving this result – of staying one step ahead of the regulators, and using other “minimal compliance” strategies to make colorable arguments that justly earn the epithet “legalistic.”12 Tax evasion is a serious social problem, but bankers who stretch the limits of the law probably do more damage than loophole-seeking taxpayers and their advisers. Taxpayers are able not to pay tax, which results in lost revenue. The law’s legitimacy also is compromised, and people are less apt to comply overall, as they see one law for the privileged few who can afford sophisticated tax advice and investment strategies that avoid tax and another law for other people who pay the tax. But even a pessimistic scenario of tax evasion would not contemplate damage of anything like the magnitude we have seen to society – and to the government’s treasury -- from banker behavior leading up to the 2008 crisis. Attempts to regulate bankers are likely to have limited effectiveness for many of the same reasons that attempts to limit tax evasion and avoidance do. The resources available to subvert attempts at regulation are enormous: private parties have both the incentive and ability to “push the envelope” to find the most favorable interpretations and techniques consistent with facial compliance with law. The norms of the relevant community permit 12 We do not address normative arguments about how much tax people “should” pay; arguably many people who earn a lot use these strategies to pay less than their “fair share.”; even if however some of these taxpayers still pay more than their “fair share”, one wonders about the ethical integrity of a system where the answer to excessive taxation is tax evasion. 34 and even encourage this behavior. Many of the people “hurt” are third parties in no position to constrain the behavior; they “should” be represented by government, but government is not up to the task. We develop the story in more detail below. One reason law is not more effective in constraining banker behavior is that regulators have difficulty keeping up with new financial instruments, new technologies and other developments. The explosive growth in the market for derivative securities, swap agreements, and collateralized debt obligations in the last twenty years illustrates this point. Investment bankers designed and marketed new financial instruments so rapidly that regulators could not keep up. Investment bankers may not have understood the instruments they were investing in, but regulators understood them even less. Another reason is that regulation is a delayed reaction. Regulators have to decide which agency shall regulate a financial instrument or practice (there have been notorious turf battles between the SEC and the CFTC about this). Regulators then must deliberate over how to regulate something and draft a regulation. The notice and comment period required by the Administrative Procedures Act adds to the delay before a rule is in place. By then investment bankers may be selling a new and different financial instrument or be engaged in a new business practice that is not subject to the regulation. Third, regulation is a cat and mouse game in which investment bankers hire lawyers to help them get around regulations. This problem raises concerns about the moral responsibility of corporate lawyers. As we will explain, lawyers themselves are part of the reason why law is sometimes an ineffective instrument for regulating business conduct. Complicating matters, for some cases, there is no one principled answer to the question of what the regulation should reach. Fourth, regulators are sometimes captured by regulated industry and do what the industry wants at the moment, rather than what is best for the industry in the long run. Capture results in part because of the revolving door of employees between the private sector and government, particularly at the most senior levels. Government is supposed to regulate Goldman Sachs and its Wall Street competitors, but to some extent the shots are called by a group of individuals who work for government and investment banks consecutively. Hence the phrase that became popular in the media a few years ago, “Government Sachs”. The revolving door helps regulators understand the industry they regulate but the revolving door also gives regulated industry more influence over the content of regulation. Fifth, regulators also often lack the resources to enforce regulation. The SEC budget is substantial but it pales in comparison with the budget that investment banks devote to designing new financial instruments, hiring lawyers to get around regulation, and fighting SEC enforcement actions. Also, many securities frauds all over the country are perpetrated by promoters other than large investment banks, and the SEC may devote scarce enforcement resources toward this low hanging fruit rather than untangle the complexities of what is going on at Lehman Brothers or Goldman Sachs. Sometimes 35 even low hanging fruit – including warnings the SEC got about Bernie Madoff – is ignored. Sixth, regulators have to deal with Congress and financial institutions have influence with Congress. Congress makes laws that define regulators’ authority. For example, Section 2A of the 1933 Act and a parallel provision in the 1934 Act, as amended in 1999, removed security based swap agreements from the definition of a security and specifically prohibited the SEC from promulgating regulations designed to prevent fraud in these instruments. Congress thus expressly prohibited the SEC from preventing fraud. The political atmosphere of the 1990s made this effort – led by Senate Banking Chairman Phil Gramm -- possible. Moreover, regulators’ enforcement of existing law is under Congressional oversight. Congress puts pressure on regulators on behalf of regulated companies that also happen to be campaign contributors and political supporters. For example, former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt in 2001 wrote a book about his tenure at the Commission and the pressure from Senator Gramm and others to back off on regulating the accounting industry. The appendix to Levitt’s book includes letters he received from Congress and very similarly worded letters he received from Enron CEO Ken Lay complaining that the SEC was interfering in Enron’s relationship with its auditor Arthur Anderson. Levitt was expected to listen to Congress and Congress was listening to Lay. Seventh, regulation is generally confined to national boundaries. Regulation across national boundaries, even within a group of countries such as the EU, is difficult. Worldwide regulation is nearly impossible. Global investment banking, by contrast, is rapidly expanding. Opportunities for regulatory arbitrage are frequent, as illustrated by the Lehman Brothers Repo 105 transactions that concealed debt on Lehman’s balance sheet. When New York lawyers refused to bless a dubious short term sale of Lehman’s bad assets to get them off its balance sheet for a few days at the end of the quarter, the deal was done in London and blessed by English solicitors who reported it as a legitimate transaction to Lehman’s accountants in New York. Another example is the assistance that Goldman Sachs and other New York banks gave to Greece in using derivative securities to conceal government debt from the EU and from Greece’s creditors, precipitating a second financial crisis in Europe. Finally, the United States Supreme Court this past summer recognized that United States securities laws only go so far. The Exchange Act’s antifraud provisions, the Court said in Morrison v. National Australia Bank, do not apply to securities transactions that take place outside of the United States. The United States is not, and cannot effectively be, the world’s policeman against securities fraud. While there is hope for more global cooperation than at present, worldwide government regulation of securities transactions will be very difficult. The foregoing is mostly focused on federal regulation. State regulation might in theory be possible as well. But where the regulation is similar to the federal regulation, the same objections as are set forth above should apply. Another state body of law, corporate fiduciary duty law, isn’t likely to help either. Corporate directors -with the shareholder consent that is almost always forthcoming- can choose the state where they incorporate (or reincorporate) and perhaps for this reason, the law is very deferential to corporate 36 officers and directors. Corporate law also focuses on process rather than substance, making it easy for corporate managers with good legal advice to comply. Absent evidence of self-dealing of the sort the law recognizes - an officer selling the company headquarters to himself, for instance - or a failure to act in the face of a known duty to act courts will not find directors to have breached their duty. For example, when shareholders sued Citigroup’s directors for failing to exercise their oversight duties in permitting Citigroup to invest in subprime securities, the Delaware Chancery Court dismissed the suit, noting that “oversight duties under Delaware law are not designed to subject directors, even expert directors, to personal liability for failure to predict the future and to properly evaluate business risk.” Excessive risk, like excessive compensation, is an issue that state courts deciding corporate law cases do not want to address. The “business judgment rule” gives them an easy out. In our view, the one legal response that could work is the legal response that has not been tried since the days of investment banking partnerships -- personal liability for highlycompensated bankers. This is one of the few changes that could make a difference. It would make a difference because of standard “incentive alignment” –bankers would not want to behave in a manner that subjected them to the risk of losing not just their stake in their employers but the risk of losing everything they own. Personal liability could also make a difference if it created and reinforced a norm of personal responsibility, moving us away from the ethos made possible by limited liability where bankers are free to disregard others’ interests and only advance their own. This relatively simple solution, however, has not been chosen, and the law has instead focused on solutions far more complex and probably far less effective. Chapter 6: Restoring personal and professional responsibility to investment banking The previous chapter discussed the limits of law, and the need to change the ethos of bankers and investment banking. How can the ethos be changed? We will discuss in this chapter in detail a variety of proposals summarized in our introduction above. These include promoting the growth of regional banks more likely to be tied to the interests of the communities they serve, encouraging banks to pursue select areas of client service such as brokerage, underwriting and/or mergers and acquisitions instead of “full service” banking likely to involve conflicts of interest, discouraging proprietary trading by banks that creates conflicts of interest with client services and exposes banks to undue risk, changing hiring and compensation practices at banks, reintroducing some measure of personal liability for the most highly paid bankers, changing compensation arrangements to align the incentives of lawyers and other professional representing banks with the long term interests of those banks, increasing business ethics training and professional training for investment bankers, developing and promoting best practices for bankers and banks (including codes of professional responsibility), promoting shareholder activism on this issue, and generally encouraging public debate on how to counter norms of sharp dealing in this industry and supplant them with norms of personal and professional responsibility. 37 All of our proposals have as their aim to increase the personal and professional responsibility of bankers. One proposal involves encouraging regional banks. Bankers who lead such banks live in the communities affected by their activities – they and their family members are likely to have leading roles in local charitable organizations, schools, churches and temples and see first-hand what socially responsible banking – and socially irresponsible banking – does to people’s lives. Regional bankers have the added advantage that the portion of the world they learn about through charitable, religious and social activities is the same as that which is most affected by their banks. It is therefore important that policy makers consider whether too much financial power is now concentrated in the hands of multinational institutions headquartered in London, New York, Tokyo and a few other world financial capitals. People and businesses in Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Minneapolis need financial services, and these services may be better if they originate in the communities they serve. Also, from a societal perspective, regional banking is an important means to accomplish broader objectives. Just as excessive concentration in one investment is inadvisable, society should not allow large portions of the economy to be exposed to financial risks – and ethical risks -- concentrated in the decision making of a few individuals in faraway places. Diversifying the power base in banking, and spreading it out geographically may help make this sector of the economy conduct itself more responsibly. Another proposal concerns potential monetary liability for bankers. We describe in this chapter the broad outlines of various proposals to impose some measure of personal liability for a bank’s debts on the most highly paid bankers. We would impose strict liability, up to a certain amount, on highly compensated bankers: bankers would be liable for their banks’ obligations to creditors if the banks became insolvent, and their liability would exist regardless of whether they were in any way “at fault.” A proposal that we will emphasize here and discuss in some detail would revive two mechanisms that imposed strict personal liability in an earlier era: general partnership, which was common for investment banks prior to the 1980s, and assessable stock, which was relatively common in corporations including some commercial banks through the 1930s. We propose that bankers earning over $3 million per year be required to enter into a partnership/joint venture agreement with the employing bank that would make them personally liable for some of the bank’s debts. We also propose that compensation in excess of $1 million per year be paid to bankers only in stock that is assessable in the event of the bank’s insolvency in an amount equal to the book value of the stock on the date of issue. We believe that imposing genuine downside risk through these or other vehicles for personal liability is the best way to make bankers approach risk in a manner consistent with their broader social responsibilities. One reason why we prefer a regime of strict liability to a negligence regime is that we want bankers to be mindful of the risk their banks are taking, taking care themselves and monitoring each other. We do not want them focusing on ways to demonstrate that they were not at fault.13 13 There are other reasons why we think a negligence regime is a bad idea. Negligence is a sufficiently low bar that uncompensated losses would presumably almost always yield lawsuits. And the standard is 38 We recognize that a law requiring bankers to be personally liable will not be easy to enact. And even if it were enacted, it would not be a panacea. Without an accompanying ethos of responsibility, we can expect considerable resources expended at evasion of the scheme. We also might expect maneuvering to avoid the day of reckoning – sophisticated ways to challenge whether a bank was really insolvent, for instance. And if banks approached the zone of insolvency, our proposal might encourage particularly risky behavior by some risk-loving bankers who thought extreme risk-taking might succeed in turning things around, or those who simply thought that if they were going to be personally liable up to a certain amount, they might as well “go out with a bang.” Again, without an ethos of personal responsibility, our proposal wouldn’t be nearly as effective. There is another important limitation. The personal liability in our proposal is liability for the bank’s debts when the bank is unable to pay. Goldman’s Sachs’s conduct in helping Greece conceal its debts, and many banks’ conduct in helping Enron conceal its debts, yielded considerable fee income. Our proposal on its terms does not address that situation. Personal liability for involvement in fraud might help, but again, such an approach has significant limitations. Accounting is perhaps necessarily an art rather than a science. We can’t develop rules as to what counts as a “correct” depiction of a company; the best we can do is develop some necessarily underinclusive rules as to what constitute incorrect depictions, together with fairly loose standards that might reference something like ‘what an investor would find material want to know to make an investment decision.’ The intractably difficult problems of line-drawing, coupled with the complexity of the strategies used by bankers and regulators’ inability to keep up, all combine to make it unlikely that making bankers personally liable for “fraud” will significantly curtail the behavior we are concerned about. Bankers are able to devise new techniques that have not been judged to be fraud, and that they can argue are acceptable given what has been accepted previously. This is the same issue we discussed above in the context of tax. Indeed, the analogy to tax shelter techniques is a particularly good one, since the respective techniques both focus on creating desired appearances: tax shelter techniques often make taxpayers look worse than they are, whereas the accounting techniques bankers use make their clients look better than they are. But in the absence of a determinate mapping of a company’s attributes to how it must be depicted for tax or accounting, a tax adviser or banker has considerable discretion—discretion that will be used to societally destructive ends in the absence of an ethos of personal responsibility. Moreover, in this context and more broadly, the more regulation attempts to specify what is prohibited, the more it may sanction an ethos in which whatever is not prohibited is permitted, stoking the search for loopholes and further validating the self-interest permitting norms that have developed. Indeed, while regulation of financial institutions and markets is a potentially important constraint on irresponsible behavior, if we sufficiently nebulous and perhaps pervasive that hindsight bias might dictate liability more than legal merit. In other words, much would be spent on litigation, and the set of lawsuits that succeeded might very well not be the right set by any normative metric. Significant resources would also be expended documenting lack of negligence – a full employment act for lawyers of the sort crafted in the famous Van Gorkom case. 39 overemphasize regulation as a means of addressing the problem, we may make matters worse: legal rules could crowd out the core components of personal responsibility. This chapter will discuss how a personal liability regime must be coupled with other measures that reinforce notions of personal responsibility in investment banking. Education in ethics in business schools and perhaps continuing ethics education for investment bankers is one approach. Borrowing from corporate governance, and from the literature on corporate social responsibility, banks could be assessed on how good a job they do making banks and bankers behave well – in this case, assessing how well they manage risk, and how well they motivate bankers to pursue truly value-adding innovations. Lists of “responsible” and “irresponsible” banks could be publicized, in a manner akin to business journals’ publication of lists of companies with good and bad corporate governance. Organizations that have become heavily involved in pressuring corporations to be good citizens vis a vis pollution and other issues, including shareholder activists, could work to pressure investment banks to be good citizens vis a vis the equally toxic externalities they can impose on society. The government – an increasingly important actor in finance, and the single biggest issuer of debt securities – should make it clear that it will not deal with banks that do not meet the criteria for personal and professional responsibility discussed in Chapter 1: honesty, concern for others, accountability and a responsible approach to risk. Public pension funds, unions, and corporate pension funds should do the same. The investment banking industry has justly been criticized for its role in the financial crisis; we conclude that with measures to increase institutional and personal responsibility, the industry can be a force for societal good. Paul Volcker has been quoted as saying: “I wish that somebody would give me some shred of neutral evidence about the relationship between financial innovation recently and the growth of the economy, just one shred of information[sic].” We think that innovation for its own sakeinnovation that is not good for the society, and may even be catastrophic, as has been the case with CDO3 and the rest of the toxic brew-is importantly related to the lack of personal responsibility we discuss. We think that with personal responsibility, bankers would be less inclined to pursue the latest fashion in financial instruments and more inclined to look for innovation that created value in the long term. We will discuss contexts in which societally undesirable behavior has been curbed, and new more desirable norms have arisen. Our aim is, to use a term coined by Kwame Appiah in his recent book The Honor Code, a “moral revolution.” Appiah’s book demonstrates that moral revolutions can and sometimes do happen, and gives some guidance as to how to bring one about. The change in ethos we describe may have another important and quite felicitous effect. Present-day researchers in psychology are re-discovering truths long understood by philosophers, theologians, and authors of great literature, such as that “money doesn’t buy happiness.” There is considerable research as to the beneficial effects on happiness and health of being part of a cohesive social network, of “altruistic” behavior and of trusting other people and being trusted. 40 Some researchers have attempted to devise a new measure of well-being that would take these types of benefits into account. For example, Robert Frank discusses the status arms-race that can arise: the race almost by definition cannot be won. Once people start competing for more money, more prestige, more “points” in the highly competitive zerosum system of values that has become pervasive in banking, they continue, and need to work harder simply to stay in the same place relative to their peers. The 2008 financial crisis has already prompted a reassessment of some values; there is some evidence that the society overall has become a bit less interested in increasing levels of wealth accumulation and consumption. We hope it can make possible an even deeper reassessment, and ultimately, a retreat from the atomistic points-based arms race so vigorously engaged in by investment bankers. Conclusion Investment banking has changed enormously in recent years. Some of these changes have paralleled other changes in our society – less emphasis on geography, social class and other similarities between people in defining business relationships, and more emphasis on meritocracy and on rankings and other objective criteria for defining merit. There is more emphasis on financial products and less emphasis on people. There is more emphasis on trading and less on corporate finance and the tight customer relationships that once came with it. There is fluid movement of bankers as well as customers from one bank to another. Corporate form, and access to public capital markets, has replaced partnerships and personal liability for firm debts. And there is even more emphasis in an already mercurial society on a single criterion for measuring status: money, or at least the appearance of having money. We discuss in this book ways in which many of these changes have not been for the better in investment banking. We recognize, however, that this industry will not go back to the past. We look to the past where the past demonstrates what works and what does not work, but the relevant investment banking industry for our inquiry is that of the future. Restoring personal and professional responsibility to investment banking will require a combination of strategies. Some involve legal rules, but legal rules are not enough. Thus, we also will need different business models for banks, and different personal goals for bankers. These models and goals cannot be defined or required by the law. Rather, these might be encouraged as industry best practices or through meaningful dialogue between bankers and the rest of society about the goals of their profession and how bankers intend to further those goals. This dialogue should be conducted as much as possible on an individual level by bankers and not simply by financial institutions that repeat slogans about customer service and corporate social responsibility (indeed the emphasis on “corporate” social responsibility instead of the responsibility of individuals who work for corporations lends itself to a public dialogue that reduces personal responsibility to an advertising slogan with relatively little truth in advertising at that). . Decentralizing investment banking and reinvigorating regional banking should help. 41 Restoring some measure of personal liability of highly paid bankers for the debts of their firms should also help. Lawyers and other professionals who help investment banks structure and sell new products should also perhaps have some of their compensation tied to the long-term success of those products. Paying investment bankers less money with less variation from year to year might help if we believe society would be better off if people seeking big risks to earn big money should perhaps do something else. Traditionally, the staid investment banks attracted a different type of person that the oil exploration business or start up technology firms, and stock market speculators worked on their own and in smaller firms but not in the prestige investment banks. Perhaps the allocation of human resources between these different types of businesses in out of line with what they are supposed to accomplish. Finally, the evidence we have seen – both anecdotal and empirical – does not suggest that investment bankers are happy with themselves. Many are rich, but human beings have known for a long time that money does not buy happiness. We think that investment banking would be a far more rewarding profession if, while retaining a reasonable measure of profitability (and solvency), investment banks were to slow down and concentrate on lines of business where bankers can genuinely believe that they are doing good in addition to doing well. However a banker views his or her own relationship with humanity as a whole, or with a higher being, most probably want something more out of life than money, status and power, To the extent they have these three things, they want to believe that they are using them for good things. Lloyd Blankfein may have accurately described the aspirations of many investment bankers when he talked of them doing the Lord’s work. The problem is too many of them don’t. Changing this fact will be critical to the personal and professional success of investment bankers and, because investment banking has enormous influence on our economy, to the success of our society as a whole. 42
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