Japanese Journal of Clinical Oncology, 2015, 45(4) 367–372 doi: 10.1093/jjco/hyv005 Advance Access Publication Date: 27 January 2015 Original Article Original Article What are the radiologic findings predictive of indolent lung adenocarcinoma? Takahiro Mimae1, Yoshihiro Miyata1, Yasuhiro Tsutani1, Takeshi Mimura1, Haruhiko Nakayama2, Sakae Okumura3, Masahiro Yoshimura4, and Morihito Okada1,* 1 Department of Surgical Oncology, Hiroshima University, Hiroshima, 2Department of Thoracic Surgery, Kanagawa Cancer Center, Yokohama, 3Department of Thoracic Surgery, Cancer Institute Hospital, Tokyo, and 4Department of Thoracic Surgery, Hyogo Cancer Center, Akashi, Japan *For reprints and all correspondence: Morihito Okada, Department of Surgical Oncology, Hiroshima University, 1-2-3 Kasumi, Minami-ku, Hiroshima 734-8551, Japan. E-mail: [email protected] Received 20 September 2014; Accepted 6 January 2015 Abstract Objective: Small pulmonary nodules are often followed up. This study aimed to establish radiographic criteria with which to accurately and reproducibly predict indolent cancers including adenocarcinoma in situ. Methods: We examined correlations between pre-operative factors and surgical outcomes, including pathological findings and prognosis among 609 patients with clinical Stage IA lung adenocarcinoma that had been completely resected at multiple institutions. Indolent cancers were defined as tumors without lymphatic, blood vessel, pleural invasion or lymph node involvement (LY0V0PL0N0) regardless of stromal invasion. Results: Pathological assessments of specimens of 35 of 85 (41%) pure ground glass opacity tumors including 3 (23%) of 13 pure ground glass opacity tumors ≤1 cm, revealed partially invasive components. Receiver operating characteristic curves for LY0V0PL0N0 revealed solid tumor size ≤6 mm on high-resolution computed tomography or maximum standardized uptake values ≤0.6 on 2-[18F] fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography as radiographic indolent tumor criteria for predicting indolent tumors. Among 216 (35.5%) of 609 patients who met these criteria, none developed recurrence over a median follow-up of 41.6 months. Conclusions: Pure ground glass opacity lesions on high-resolution computed tomography could pathologically include invasive components and would not correspond to adenocarcinoma in situ. Solid tumor size on high-resolution computed tomography and maximum standardized uptake values on positron emission tomography/computed tomography can predict indolent LY0V0PL0N0 lung tumors that can be followed up. Key words: lung adenocarcinoma, indolent, solid tumor, SUVmax, follow-up Introduction Small solitary pulmonary nodules on computed tomography (CT) are often simply followed up in clinical practice if malignancy is not proven because such lesions are less likely to be malignant (1–4). In addition, the prognosis of patients is expected to be good after small nodules are completely resected even if they are malignant (5). The American College of Chest Physicians guidelines for lung nodules applies a follow-up algorithm for pulmonary nodules that are ≤8 mm (4). These guidelines are applied not only to pure- or partly solid, but also to pure ground glass opacity (GGO) tumors. However, © The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 367 368 Radiologic indolent lung adenocarcinoma criteria the malignant behavior of pure GGO and pure- or semi-solid 8 mm lesions significantly differs (6,7). Thus, criteria for following up pulmonary solitary nodules should be defined according to both solid tumor size excluding a GGO component on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) and maximum standard uptake values (SUVmax) on 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography/ computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT) because these parameters indicate the malignant potential of lung adenocarcinoma more accurately than whole tumor size (6–10). Adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) and invasive adenocarcinoma without lymphatic, blood vessel and pleural invasion and lymph node involvement (LY0V0PL0N0) are considered to be pre-lesions of invasive adenocarcinoma with lymphatic, blood vessel or pleural invasion, or lymph node involvement (11–13). Among lung adenocarcinomas ≤3 cm, those that show LY0V0PL0N0 including AIS are assumed to be indolent because the prognosis of patients with such adenocarcinomas is excellent (8,9,13–16). Accordingly, radiographic criteria that indicate indolent LY0V0PL0N0 adenocarcinoma including AIS have potential for follow-up. However, such criteria have not been fully defined although one study has suggested pre-operative GGO ratios on HRCT that indicate LY0V0PL0N0 (17). Here, we aimed to define the pre-operative radiographic findings that indicate AIS. We also examined the pre-operative radiographic findings, including solid tumor size and SUVmax that could predict indolent LY0V0PL0N0 lung adenocarcinoma. The results of this study will facilitate decisions regarding whether small pulmonary nodules should be followed up or surgically treated. Patients and methods Patient population This study included 609 consecutive patients with complete pathological data who underwent surgically curative R0 resection of clinical Stage IA lung adenocarcinoma at Hiroshima University Hospital (Hiroshima, Japan), Kanagawa Cancer Center (Yokohama, Japan), Cancer Institute Hospital (Tokyo, Japan) and Hyogo Cancer Center (Akashi, Japan) between April 2007 and December 2010. The Institutional Review Boards of the participating institutions approved this retrospective review of a prospective database and waived the requirement for informed consent from individual patients. All patients were staged according to the TNM Classification of Malignant Tumors, seventh edition (18). Endobronchial ultrasonography or mediastinoscopy was not routinely performed. Swelling of the mediastinal or hilar lymph nodes was not evident on HRCT, and FDG-PET revealed no accumulation of FDG in those lymph nodes. Sublobar resection was allowed when a peripheral T1aN0M0 tumor was completely removed and surgical margins were appropriate. Wedge resection without lymph node assessment was allowed for GGO tumors, which a prospective study regarded as node-negative and non-invasive (17). Segmentectomy with hilar and mediastinal lymph node dissection was allowed for GGO-mixed tumors. If any lymph node involvement was detected on intraoperative frozen sections, the procedure was converted to standard lobectomy. All other patients underwent standard lobectomy. The inclusion criteria included pre-operative staging determined by HRCT and FDG-PET/CT and curative surgery without induction therapy. Patients with incompletely resected tumors (R1 or R2) and those with multiple tumors or previous lung surgery were excluded. Pathological studies Specimens were fixed with 10% formalin, embedded in paraffin and then consecutive 4 µm sections were histologically diagnosed by microscopy based on the latest edition of the WHO classification. The histological type of adenocarcinoma and presence of lymphatic involvement were determined in hematoxylin–eosin (H–E)-stained tissues. If the type could not be determined by H–E staining alone, then lymphatic and blood vessel invasion was assessed by immunohistochemistry for D2–40 and Elastica-van Gieson (EVG) staining and pleural invasion was evaluated by staining elastic tissue fibers with EVG as necessary. Indolent cancers were defined as LY0V0PL0N0 regardless of an invasive component. Pathologists from each institution histologically assessed all specimens. HRCT imaging Chest images were acquired using 16-row multidetector CT. We defined solid tumor size as the maximum dimension of the solid component of the lung windows, excluding GGO (10), which we defined as a hazy increase in lung attenuation that did not obscure underlying vascular markings and the solid component was defined as having residual high density. Radiologists from each institution reviewed all CT images and determined tumor sizes. FDG-PET/CT imaging Patients were instructed to fast for at least 4 h before intravenous injection of 74–370 MBq of FDG and then to relax for at least 1 h before FDG-PET/CT scanning. For imaging, Biograph Sensation 16 (Siemens Healthcare, Erlangen, Germany), Aquiduo (Toshiba Medical Systems Corporation, Tochigi, Japan) or Discovery ST (GE Healthcare, Little Chalfont, UK) integrated three-dimensional PET/CT scanners were used. Low-dose non-enhanced CT images of 2–4 mm section thickness were taken from the head to the pelvis of each patient. An anthropomorphic body phantom (NEMA NU2–2001; Data Spectrum Corp, Hillsborough, NC, USA) was used to minimize variations in standardized uptake values among the institutions (8,19). The original SUVmax values were determined by radiologists from each institution for the purposes of this study. On FDG-PET/CT images, all lymph nodes in the thorax with FDG uptake no greater than the normal background activity of the mediastinal blood pool the SUVmax of which was <1.5, regardless of size, were considered cN0. A lymph node where the SUVmax was 1.5 or more was considered ‘suspicious for malignancy’. However, even lymph nodes with high FDG uptake, when they showed higher attenuation than mediastinal structures (great vessels) or benign calcification (central, nodular, diffuse or popcorn-like), were also considered benign (20). Follow-up evaluation All patients who underwent lung resections were followed up from the day after surgery. Post-operative follow-up comprised a physical examination and chest radiography every 3 months and chest and abdominal CT examinations every 6 months for the first 2 years. Thereafter, patients underwent a physical examination and chest radiography every 6 months and annual chest CT. Statistical analyses Continuous and categorical variables were analyzed using the Mann– Whitney U-test and the χ 2 test or Fisher’s exact test. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves of solid tumor size and SUVmax for predicting lymphatic, blood vessel, pleural invasion or lymph node metastasis were generated to determine a cutoff value that was not associated with pathological invasion. The threshold of the ROC curves was defined as sensitivity plateaus. Overall survival (OS) and Jpn J Clin Oncol, 2015, Vol. 45, No. 4 recurrence-free interval (RFI) curves were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method and the two groups were compared using univariate log-rank analyses. All data were statistically analyzed using EZR (Saitama Medical Center, Jichi Medical University), which is a graphical user interface for R (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, version 2.13.0). More precisely, it is a modified version of R commander (version 1.6-3) designed to add statistical functions frequently used in biostatistics. P ≤ 0.05 was deemed to indicate statistical significance. 369 GGO is usually considered from a pathological viewpoint to be AIS. Therefore, we examined the whole tumor size and SUVmax of pure GGO lesions to predict AIS. Thirty-five (41.2%) of 85 patients with pure GGO tumors had non-AIS (Table 2). The whole tumor sizes in 3 (23.1%) of 13 patients with whole pure GGO lesions ≤10 mm were 7, 9 and 10 mm and all had invasive component. Moreover, some lesions were pathologically invasive adenocarcinoma even when their SUVmax was equal to that of the background lung (Table 3). These findings indicated that predicting AIS is difficult based on whole tumor size and SUVmax even among pure GGO tumors. Results Prediction of AIS Radiographic indolent tumor criteria Lobectomy, segmentectomy and wedge resection were performed in 375, 97 and 137 patients, respectively. Table 1 summarizes the clinicopathological findings and recurrence status of patients with AIS and clinical Stage IA adenocarcinoma including the invasive component. The patients with AIS were younger than those with invasive adenocarcinoma. Invasive adenocarcinoma appeared as larger whole and solid tumors on HRCT and had a higher SUVmax on FDG-PET than AIS. No recurrence was detected in any patient with AIS. Pure We assessed pre-operative radiographic criteria based on pre-operative solid tumor size and SUVmax and propose, ‘radiographic indolent tumor criteria’ with which to accurately and reproducibly predict LY0V0PL0N0 lung adenocarcinoma including AIS and minimally invasive adenocarcinoma. The ROC curves showed that all tumors whose radiographic findings show a solid tumor size ≤6 mm on HRCT or an SUVmax ≤0.6 on FDG-PET/CT had LY0V0PL0N0 status (Fig. 1 and Table 4). Therefore, these parameters were regarded as radiographic indolent tumor criteria. Radiographic findings of nodules met these criteria in 216 (35.5%) patients with significantly lower carcinoembryonic antigen levels, smaller whole or solid tumors and a lower SUVmax compared with those for whom radiographic findings of nodules did not meet the criteria (Table 4). The 5-year OS rates of patients whose radiographic findings of nodules met and did not meet the criteria for radiographic indolent tumors were 96.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 92.0–98.5%] and 85.1% (95% CI: 79.6–89.2%; P = 0.0019), whereas the 5-year RFI rates were 100 and 83.7% (95% CI: 81.6–85.7%; P < 0.001; Fig. 2A and B). Patients with nodules that met the radiographic indolent criteria had no recurrence, whereas 10 of 441 patients with LY0V0PL0N0 tumors had recurrence (median follow-up, 41.6 months). Table 1. Clinicopathological findings and recurrence status in patients with clinical Stage IA adenocarcinomas according to presence of invasive components Variable Adenocarcinoma in situ (n = 96) Age (year) Mean 63.9 ± 10.8 Range 31–89 Gender Male 37 (39%) CEA (ng/ml) Mean 2.4 ± 1.5 Range 0–8.4 Whole tumor size (cm)a Mean 1.6 ± 0.5 Range 0.7–3 Solid tumor size (cm)a Mean 0.3 ± 0.5 Range 0–2.7 SUVmax Mean 1.0 ± 0.9 Range 0–4.0 Lymphatic invasion Positive 0 (0%) Blood vessel invasion Positive 0 (0%) Pleural invasion Positive 0 (0%) Lymph node metastasis Positive 0 (0%) Recurrence Positive 0 (0%) Invasive adenocarcinoma (n = 513) P 66.1 ± 9.4 33–87 0.038 231 (45%) 0.26 3.7 ± 6.6 0.5–113.8 0.056 2.0 ± 0.6 0.6–3 <0.001 1.3 ± 0.8 0–3 <0.001 3.8 ± 2.4 0–16.9 <0.001 89 (17%) <0.001 104 (20%) <0.001 65 (13%) <0.001 41 (8%) 0.001 58 (11%) <0.001 Data are shown as counts and ratios (%) or means ± standard deviation, as appropriate. Invasive adenocarcinomas include pure invasive tumors and invasive tumors including a lepidic component. CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; SUVmax, maximum standardized uptake values. a Determined by high-resolution computed tomography. Discussion Our proposed criteria for radiographic indolent tumors can predict LY0V0PL0N0 lung adenocarcinoma including AIS if pulmonary nodules are malignant. The criteria comprised a solid tumor size ≤6 mm or an SUVmax ≤ 0.6. Patients with lung adenocarcinoma whose preoperative radiographic findings met the criteria had an excellent prognosis after complete resection. In addition, most nodules that preoperatively met the proposed criteria were expected to be benign (4). Therefore, the proposed criteria are useful for following up pulmonary nodules. The criteria cannot prohibit surgical intervention for diagnosis and treatment. If surgical intervention is considered, sublobar resection including wedge resection for peripheral nodules and segmentectomy for central nodules without lymph node dissection would be sufficient (5,16,17,21). However, the present findings indicate that surgical resection should be recommended for diagnosis and treatment when the radiographic findings of pulmonary nodules exceed the criteria. Moreover, evaluating pulmonary nodules using the criteria excluding the GGO component can provide insight to help solve the clinical dilemma regarding whether or not to follow-up GGO-predominant pulmonary nodules including pure GGO that are ≥1 cm. Pre-operative findings on HRCT or FDG-PET could not absolutely predict AIS. Although pure GGO lesions are often regarded as AIS, 370 Radiologic indolent lung adenocarcinoma criteria Table 2. Patients with clinical Stage IA adenocarcinoma and pure GGO according to whole tumor size Variable Adenocarcinoma in situ Invasive adenocarcinoma All (n = 85) 50 (59%) 35 (41%) Whole tumor size (mm) 0–10 (n = 13) 11–15 (n = 33) 16–20 (n = 23) 21–25 (n = 11) 26–30 (n = 5) 10 (77%) 3 (23%) 21 (64%) 12 (36%) 11 (48%) 12 (52%) 6 (55%) 5 (45%) 2 (40%) 3 (60%) Data are presented as counts and ratios (%) as appropriate. Invasive adenocarcinomas include pure invasive tumors and invasive tumors including a lepidic component. GGO, ground glass opacity. Table 3. Patients with clinical Stage IA adenocarcinoma and pure GGO according to SUVmax Variable Adenocarcinoma in situ Invasive adenocarcinoma All (n = 85) 50 (59%) 35 (41%) SUVmax 0–0.5 (n = 28) 0.6–1.0 (n = 39) 1.1–1.5 (n = 15) 1.6–2.0 (n = 2) 2.1–2.5 (n = 1) 16 (57%) 12 (43%) 26 (67%) 13 (33%) 6 (40%) 9 (60%) 1 (50%) 1 (50%) 1 (100%) 0 (0%) Data are shown as counts and ratios (%) as appropriate. Invasive adenocarcinomas include pure invasive tumors and invasive tumors including a lepidic component. Figure 1. Receiver operating characteristics curves of solid tumor size and maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax) for predicting no lymphatic, blood vessel or pleural invasion or lymph node metastasis. (A) Optimal cutoff of solid tumor size for clinical Stage IA adenocarcinoma is 6 mm (n = 609; area under the curve [AUC], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79–0.86; P < 0.001). (B) Optimal SUVmax cutoff for clinical Stage IA adenocarcinoma is 0.6 (n = 609; AUC, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.84–0.90; P < 0.001). some pure GGO lesions ≤10 mm had a partly pathological invasive component. Because invasive adenocarcinomas including lepidic and papillary components that have morphologically alveolar cavities (5,13), the HRCT findings of such tumors might be pure GGO. Conversely, non-invasive AIS, such as Noguchi’s Type B adenocarcinoma, show alveolar collapse, which is detectable as a consolidation component on HRCT (5,13). Hence, AIS is difficult to predict based on HRCT findings. However, the grade of malignancy of pure GGO tumors was low and such tumors did not recur after complete resection in the present study. More follow-up data, particularly within the context of a larger-scale randomized prospective study, are needed to elucidate the real prognosis of patients with pure GGO. The proposed radiographic criteria can be applied to solid predominant tumors. Pure solid tumors >6 mm in diameter with a low SUVmax can be followed up. The background lung SUVmax could be considered as ≤0.6. Therefore, lung nodules with SUVmax values exceeding the pulmonary background might have malignant and invasive potential. That is, pulmonary nodules with a similar SUVmax to the background value have little malignant aggressiveness even if they are predominantly solid. However, PET/CT might be too costly for evaluating indolent GGO tumors. If LY0V0PL0N0 criteria were adopted, all patients with lung lesions would require assessment by HRCT and PET/CT and the latter modality is usually used to check the status of local lesion or distant metastasis in patients with advanced lung cancer. Many institutions throughout the world might have difficulty justifying the use of PET/CT to assess all patients with clinical Stage IA tumors. In addition, lung lesions with the histological features of adenocarcinoma often show a halo pattern on CT, whereas some lung lesions show a scatter pattern. Such features impose barriers to measuring solid tumor size and the SUVmax of such lesions in the clinical setting. Therefore, the LY0V0PL0N0 criteria are difficult to apply to lesions with the scatter pattern. Jpn J Clin Oncol, 2015, Vol. 45, No. 4 Table 4. Clinicopathological findings and recurrence status in patients with clinical Stage IA adenocarcinomas according to radiographic indolent tumor criteria Variable Age (year) Mean Range Gender Male CEA (ng/ml) Mean Range Whole tumor size (cm)a Mean Range Solid tumor size (cm)a Mean Range SUVmax Mean Range Histology Adenocarcinoma in situ Invasive adenocarcinoma Lymphatic invasion Positive Blood vessel invasion Positive Pleural invasion Positive Lymph node metastasis Positive Recurrence Positive Radiographic indolent tumor criteria Met (n = 216) Unmet (n = 393) P 64.7 ± 9.5 31–89 66.3 ± 9.7 33–87 0.041 82 (38%) 186 (47%) 0.027 2.4 ± 2.3 0.5–24.3 3.9 ± 7.0 0–113.8 0.011 1.7 ± 0.6 0.6–3 2.1 ± 0.5 0.8–3 <0.001 0.2 ± 0.3 0–1.4 1.7 ± 0.6 0.6–3 <0.001 0.9 ± 1.0 0–9.8 3.1 ± 2.3 0–16.9 <0.001 78 (36%) 138 (64%) 18 (5%) 375 (95%) <0.001 0 (0%) 89 (23%) <0.001 0 (0%) 104 (26%) <0.001 0 (0%) 65 (17%) <0.001 0 (0%) 41 (10%) <0.001 0 (0%) 58 (15%) <0.001 Data are shown as counts and ratios (%) or means ± standard deviation, as appropriate. Invasive adenocarcinomas include pure invasive tumors and invasive tumors including a lepidic component. a Determined by high-resolution computed tomography. 371 Other novel modalities or evaluation methods are needed to assess the malignant aggressiveness of lung lesions with scatter patterns. Ten among the 441 patients who had LY0V0PL0N0 tumors in this cohort recurred, whereas none of the pulmonary nodules that met the proposed criteria recurred. Hence, the pre-operative radiographic indolent tumor criteria might predict true LY0V0PL0N0 lung adenocarcinomas compared with pathological assessments that can overlook lymphatic, blood vessel and pleural invasion, as well as lymph node metastasis because only some sections of surgical specimens are evaluated. Therefore, we suppose that some tumors with pathological LY0V0PL0N0 status will in fact be positive for lymphatic, blood vessel, or pleural invasion or lymph node metastasis. Thus, that some LY0V0PL0N0 tumors recurred is reasonable. We examined only patients with cancers that were completely and surgically resected. Not all lesions that appeared as solitary pulmonary nodules on HRCT were assessed and thus pulmonary nodules that were not surgically resected were not qualitatively evaluated. However, considering the difficulty of histopathologically evaluating nodules that are not surgically resected, the lack of data about non-resected small pulmonary nodules is a limitation of this type of study design. Other limitations of this study included the nonrandomized, retrospective nature and potential variations in radiographic interpretations. On the other hand, the median follow-up of 41.6 months in the present study might have been too short to evaluate the prognosis of patients with lung lesions including a GGO component, because this type of tumor relapses very slowly. Further followup is required to accurately evaluate prognosis and whether patients with pre-operative findings that meet radiographic indolent tumor criteria could be cured by complete resection. Conclusions In summary, we propose new ‘radiographic indolent tumor criteria’. Pulmonary nodules whose solid tumor size was ≤6 mm or SUVmax was ≤0.6 were indolent tumors even if they were malignant and the prognosis of patients with such lesions was excellent. The results of this multi-institutional study require valuation in a larger-scale cohort. Nevertheless, patients with pulmonary nodules that are not Figure 2. Kaplan–Meier survival curves of patients with clinical Stage IA tumors that met or did not meet radiographic indolent tumor criteria. Overall survival (A) and recurrence-free interval (B) curves significantly differ between the two groups (P = 0.0019 and P < 0.001, respectively; log-rank test). Thick and thin lines, patients who met and did not meet radiographic indolent tumor criteria, respectively. 372 Radiologic indolent lung adenocarcinoma criteria pathologically proven to be malignant could be followed up when the radiographic findings of nodules meet the proposed criteria. Surgical resection for diagnosis and therapy is recommended when the preoperative findings of nodules exceed the radiographic indolent tumor criteria. Prediction of AIS with no life-threatening potential based on pre-operative HRCT and FDG-PET findings is difficult. 9. 10. Funding This study was supported by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Kakenhi (26861122 to T.M. and 24390329 to M.O.). Conflict of interest statement 11. 12. None declared. References 13. 1. Kobayashi Y, Fukui T, Ito S, et al. How long should small lung lesions of ground-glass opacity be followed? J Thorac Oncol 2013;8:309–14. 2. Lim HJ, Ahn S, Lee KS, et al. 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