Public health in emergencies; Basic concepts Ragnar Andersson Basic concepts • • • • Accident (Disaster/Crisis/Emergency) Injury (Lesion/Damage/Harm/Loss) Risk/Hazard (Danger/Threat/Vulnerability) Safety (Security/Resilience/Robustness) Two main sets of terminologies in safety research • Injury-centered fields: Occupational, traffic, home & leisure safety (with competing views between engineering and public health circles) • Disaster/crisis/emergency management “Accident” - types of definitions • By consequence (injury, harm) • By event (loss of control) • By intention (unintentional) Examples • Public health: An unintentional injury • Engineering: A deviation beyond a system’s inherent stability limits • Law: An event that nobody should be blamed for Accidents or not? • • • • • Boxing injuries? Car crashes? Railway suicides? Heart attacs? Nuclear reactor meltdowns? Controversy on the term ”accident” • ”Injuries have traditionally been regarded as random, unavoidable ’accidents’. Within the last few decades, however, a better understanding of the nature of injuries has changed these old attitudes, and today both unintentional and intentional injuries are viewed as largely preventable events.” (WHO, 2002) • “Experts in the field of injury prevention avoid use of the term 'accident' to describe events that cause injury in an attempt to highlight the predictable and preventable nature of most injuries. Such incidents are viewed from the perspective of epidemiology - predictable and preventable. Preferred words are more descriptive of the event itself, rather than of its unintended nature (e.g., collision, drowning, fall, etc.)” (Wikipedia, 2010) BMJ bans "accidents" Accidents are not unpredictable For many years safety officials and public health authorities have discouraged use of the word "accident" when it refers to injuries or the events that produce them. An accident is often understood to be unpredictable - a chance occurrence or an "act of God“ - and therefore unavoidable. However, most injuries and their precipitating events are predictable and preventable.1-3 That is why the BMJ has decided to ban the word accident. Davies & Pless, BMJ 2001;322:1320-1321 1. Doege TC. An injury is no accident. N Engl J Med 1978; 298: 509-510. 2. Loimer H, Driur M, Guarnieri M. Accidents and acts of God: a history of the terms. Am J Public Health 1996; 86: 101-107. 3. Doege TC. Eschewing accidents. JAMA 1999; 282: 427. “Injury” • Defined as a bodily lesion at the organic level resulting from acute exposure to energy (or insufficiency of heat/oxygene) in amounts or rates that exceeds the threshold of physiological tolerance. • Operationalized as categories under chapter 19, “injury and poisoning” or chapter 20 “external causes” in International Classification of Diseases Operational problems • Definitions of injury may differ between classifications, sectors and countries • Comparisons must be done with caution “Normal accidents” ”The odd term normal accident is meant to signal that, given the system characteristics, multiple and unexpected interactions of failures are inevitable.” Perrow C. Normal Accidents – Living with high risk technologies, Basic Books, 1984 Disasters as “normal accidents” “Disasters… are all too often regarded as unusual events, not part of “normal life.” In reality, however, the opposite is true. Disasters and emergencies are a fundamental part of normal life. They are consequences of the ways societies structure themselves, economically and socially; the ways that societies and states interact; and the ways that relationships between the decision makers are sustained.” International Humanitarian Law. The International Committee of the Red Cross. Geneva, Switzerland. 1993 Disaster ”The term disaster is reserved for the actual occurrence of events that produce casualties and damage at levels exceeding a community’s ability to cope” Lindell et al. Fundamentals of emergency Management. Washington DC: FEMA, 2006 Disaster (cont.) • A serious disruption of the functioning of a community or a society causing widespread human, material, economic or environmental losses which exceed the ability of the affected community or society to cope using its own resources. • A disaster is a function of the risk process. It results from the combination of hazards, conditions of vulnerability and insufficient capacity or measures to reduce the potential negative consequences of risk. UN-ISDR (International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Disaster (”bad star” in Greek) “In contemporary academia, disasters are seen as the consequence of inappropriately managed risk. These risks are the product of hazards and vulnerability. Hazards that strike in areas with low vulnerability are not considered a disaster, as is the case in uninhabited regions.” (Wikipedia 2010, with reference to: Quarantelli E.L. (1998). Where We Have Been and Where We Might Go. In: Quarantelli E.L. (ed). What Is A Disaster? London: Routledge. pp146-159) Classification of disasters Abdallah S, Burnham G (2000). The Johns Hopkins and Red Cross / Red Crescent Public Health Guide for Emergencies Other classifications • Natural • Man-made – Technological – Sociological “all disasters can be seen as being human-made ... All disasters are … the result of human failure to introduce appropriate disaster management measures”. (Wikipedia 2010, with reference to: B. Wisner, P. Blaikie, T. Cannon, and I. Davis (2004). At Risk - Natural hazards, people's vulnerability and disasters. Wiltshire: Routledge) Emergency, two notions: • ”an event involving minor consequences for a community – perhaps a few casualties and a limited amount of property damage … and can be managed successfully with local resources” • ”the imminence of an event rather than the severity of its consequences … a situation in which there is higher than normal probability of an extreme event occurring” Lindell et al. Fundamentals of emergency Management. Washington DC: FEMA, 2006 Relationships among hazards, emergencies and disasters Time/probability Demand compared to communtiy capacity Uncertain Imminent Occurred Less than Hazard Emergency Emergency Greater than Hazard Emergency Disaster Lindell et al. Fundamentals of emergency Management. Washington DC: FEMA, 2006 Crisis • An unstable situation of extreme danger or difficulty: "they went bankrupt during the economic crisis“ (WordNet) • A crucial stage or turning point in the course of something: "after the crisis the patient either dies or gets better“ (WordNet) • A crucial or decisive point or situation; a turning point. (Wiktionary) • An unstable situation, in political, social, economic or military affairs, especially one involving an impending abrupt change. (Wiktionary) • A sudden change in the course of a disease, usually at which the patient is expected to recover or die. (Wiktionary) • A traumatic or stressful change in a person's life. (Wiktionary) ”Risk”- Different meanings • Probability of a certain outcome, e.g. death • A combination of probability and consequence, usually R = P x C • Conditions associated with danger, e.g. a slippery spot, a spinning wheel, a sharp object (“hazards”) • Perceived risk (perceptions of insecurity) Risk (in disaster management) “the probability of harmful consequences, or expected losses (deaths, injuries, property, livelihoods, economic activity disrupted or environment damaged) resulting from interactions between natural or humaninduced hazards and vulnerable conditions” UN-ISDR (International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Hazard vs. risk • Hazard is the potential to cause harm • Risk on the other hand is the likelihood of harm (in defined circumstances, and usually qualified by some statement of the severity of the harm). • The relationship between hazard and risk must be treated very cautiously. If all other factors are equal - especially the exposures and the people subject to them, then the risk is proportional to the hazard. However all other factors are very rarely equal. The Concise Oxford Dictionary Hazard, vulnerability, barriers and risk Barriers Hazard Vulnerability Risk Vulnerability (in disaster management) “the conditions determined by physical, social, economic and environmental factors or processes, which increase the susceptibility of a community to the impact of hazards” UN-ISDR (International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Resilience (in disaster management) “The ability of a system, community or society exposed to hazards to resist, absorb, accommodate to and recover from the effects of a hazard in a timely and efficient manner.” UN-ISDR (International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Safety • The opposite to risk • Systematic control of conditions associated to risk Definitions of ”safety” and “safety promotion” (Maurice et al. 2001) • Safety: a state in which hazards and conditions leading to physical, psychological or material harm are controlled in order to preserve the health and well-being of individuals and the community. • Safety promotion: The process applied to develop and sustain the basic conditions for safety at a local, national and international level by individuals, communities, governments and others, including enterprises and non-governmental organizations. Security vs. safety • Security: antagonistic threats with significant impact on societal functions • Safety: non-antagonsitic threats with limited impact on societal functions (Swedish ministry of defense) Other meanings of security • Social security • Job security • Financial security Conclusion • Terminologies vary between sectors and professions • Clear definitions are essential for correct understanding
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