Who pays the price? hunger: the hidden cost of tax injustice Poverty is an outrage. It robs people of dignity, freedom and hope, of power over their own lives. Christian Aid has a vision – an end to poverty – and we believe that vision can become a reality. We urge you to join us. IDCS is an Indian government-sponsored programme and India’s primary social welfare scheme to tackle malnutrition and health problems in children aged under 6 years of age and their mothers. Christian Aid partner Chetna Vikas helps some of the most remote and poorest communities in India to access and improve government welfare schemes available to them Christian Aid/Sarah Filbey hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 1 contents Introduction 2 1. Hunger – the true extent 5 2. Why tax dodging means people go hungry 9 3. How tax justice could help combat hunger in India, El Salvador and Ghana 14 4. Secret links: how companies can use tax havens to dodge taxes 28 5. Swissploitation: the hidden cost of trading with Switzerland 32 6. Recommendations: what political leaders need to do in 2013 40 Endnotes 44 Abbreviations 48 Appendix 49 I Christian Aid/Name Name Christian Aid/Susan Barry This is a standard picture caption, it is the same width as the columns on the main pages Ana Maria Ayala’s maize crop was completely destroyed by floods in El Salvador in October 2011. Most of El Salvador’s farmers rely on what they can grow in their smallholdings. Inequality, an unfair tax system and lack of government investment in agriculture mean almost half the population live in poverty, and one-third of all children aged under five die from malnutrition hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 3 Hunger still blights the lives of one in eight of the global population – some 868 million people.1 Progress towards halving the number of people who are hungry by the year 2015, a goal set by world leaders at the turn of the century, is disappointing. In sub-Saharan Africa, the number of people undernourished has actually increased. In Asia too, the figures are alarming. India, at the forefront of newly emerging economies, is still home to a quarter of the world’s hungry, with more than 40 per cent of its children malnourished and stunted.2 Hunger has many causes: harvests ruined by flood and drought – both increasingly common due to climate change – lead to shortages and rising prices that poor people can ill afford. In addition, a woeful scaling back of investment in small-scale farming in the developing world has hit the ability of communities to feed themselves. So, too, has the impact of large-scale cash-crop plantations, particularly those producing biofuels, which have forced poorer farmers off the land. Conflict also plays a role in exacerbating hunger: crops are burned or seized for feeding armed groups; people are driven from their homes; and there is a shortage of labour because of recruitment into armies and militias. Employment for migrant workers also ceases – as in the recent cases of Libya and Ivory Coast – ending the sending home of income to communities in neighbouring states where food shortages may also be acute. Massive rich-country investment in commodity funds is yet another factor contributing to rising prices – its impact now so marked that a number of banks no longer offer such portfolios.3 Global acceptance that everyone is entitled to ‘a standard of living adequate for the health and wellbeing of himself and of his family, including food…’4 was enshrined more than 60 years ago in the United Nations’ Universal Declaration of Human Rights, with subsequent UN declarations and conventions underlining the duty of governments to respect, protect and fulfil that right.5 That the world remains a long way off seeing these commitments met is a shameful indictment of modern day priorities, for the sad truth is there would be enough food to sustain every man, woman and child on Earth if the interests of the poor were properly upheld. Lacking, however, is the political will needed to safeguard their rights, and sufficient resources in developing countries to implement pro-poor policies that would usher in lasting change. In 2013, a mass campaign by more than 120 organisations in the UK has been launched6 to draw attention to some of the key steps that could – and should – be taken to help eradicate hunger. Key demands include greater support for small-scale farmers who produce about four-fifths of food supplies in developing countries, as well as measures to address a fundamental malaise that hampers the efforts of poorer governments to help themselves: illicit capital flight and tax dodging by multinational corporations (MNCs). Christian Aid estimates that businesses that benefit from lack of transparency in trade and financial systems deprive the poorer countries where they trade of some US$160bn (£102bn) in tax revenues every year – far more than such countries receive in aid.7 Tax revenues are predictable and sustainable sources of income. They are fundamental to allowing developing-country governments to foster human development. But most poorer countries lack the staff, expertise and access to corporate information to counter activities such as transfer mispricing, in which some MNCs manipulate the profits they make and often hide them offshore. In this report, Christian Aid provides new evidence of how an end to such practices, coupled with appropriate development policies, could make major progress towards eradicating world hunger. We realise that not all the revenues raised would automatically be channelled to priority areas such as health and nutrition. There are other priorities such as education and infrastructure. There also remain the challenges of corruption and government profligacy; challenges to which Christian Aid and our partners are rising. But without doubt, fairer tax systems and greater tax revenues could lead to increased practical measures to reduce food insecurity. 4 Who pays the price? Chapter 1 looks at the extent of world hunger today. Chapter 2 explains how unsustainable tax competition, ineffective tax systems and financial secrecy enable MNCs and wealthy individuals to illicitly shift capital to jurisdictions with low or zero tax rates, thus dodging taxes and maximising profits. It also looks at the practical measures that could be funded with the money lost. Chapter 3 looks at three middle-income countries – India, El Salvador and Ghana – showing how unfair tax systems and low tax revenues affect the lives of the poor. Based on the analysis of a sample number of MNCs operating in our three country examples, chapter 4 shows that those with connections to tax havens are paying 28.9 per cent less in taxes as a percentage of profits than MNCs with no tax haven links. Chapter 5 looks at the role one tax haven, Switzerland (the most secretive of all, according to a recent survey by the Financial Secrecy Index8), plays in helping MNCs shift profits and dodge taxes. Analysis of trade data shows that developing countries could have lost as much as US$578bn (£368bn) between 2007 and 2010 from MNCs trading with or via Switzerland. This is far more than the annual estimated US$50.2bn (£32bn) cited in a 2012 UN Food and Agriculture Organization report that would be needed to create a world free from hunger by 2025.9 Finally, chapter 6 contains policy recommendations about how to tackle financial secrecy, illicit capital flight, and tax avoidance and evasion. The UK government, as chair of the G8 in 2013, and the government of Ireland, as President of the European Union for the first six months of the year, have a golden opportunity to take determined action to make tax justice a major weapon against poverty and hunger. It’s an opportunity they must not shirk. 1. hunger – the true extent Christian Aid/Antoinette Powell Dorcas in the yard of her parents’ home in Fooshegu, northern Ghana. Thanks to the support of Christian Aid partner Northern Presbytery Agricultural Services, her father, Samson Napatia, is able to give her and her five sisters three nutritious meals a day, even during the hunger season when food is traditionally scarce. Samson cannot speak highly enough of Northern Presbytery Agricultural Services’ field officers. Since they came to his community with practical ideas to help farmers grow more, his maize harvest alone is 10 times larger – enough to see him to the next harvest. Until the government has the funds to employ more of its own field officers, it will fall to NGOs like Northern Presbytery Agricultural Services to fill in the gaps 6 Who pays the price? … hunger is neither the result of demographic problems nor just the result of a mismatch between supply and demand. it is primarily the result of political factors that condemn small farmers, the main victims of hunger, to poverty Olivier de Schutter, UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food10 Progress has been made in the fight against hunger since the start of the millennium, when 919 million people went to bed hungry every night. Today, the figure stands at 868 million, a reduction from 15 per cent of the world’s population to 12.5 per cent.11 To that figure, however, must be added another 1 billion people who continue to suffer a lack of essential micronutrients.12 Known as ‘hidden hunger’, micronutrient deficiencies increase the rate of disease, lower life expectancy and impair cognitive development, learning ability and productivity. The result is a tragic loss of human potential with far-reaching implications. In India, for example, iron and iodine deficiencies that cause stunting are estimated to result in productivity loss equivalent to 2.95 per cent of GDP annually.13 Although there has been some progress in recent years in reducing the number of children globally affected by hunger, malnutrition and related causes still lead to the deaths of 2.3 million children every year.14 Indeed, childhood malnutrition is the underlying reason for an estimated 35 per cent of all deaths of children under the age of five in the developing world, with those that survive often suffering long-term irreversible damage.15 Meanwhile, one in every six children aged under five in developing countries is underweight, while as many as one in four suffers stunting.16 Recent research suggests that children under five who are malnourished are likely to see their future earnings reduced by almost a quarter.17 Women, who make up a little over half the world’s population, suffer disproportionately, accounting for some 60 per cent of the world’s hungry as a result of persistent, deep gender inequalities.18 Table 1: Number of hungry people worldwide (millions) 1990/1992 1998/2001 2004/2006 2007/2009 2010/2012 1,000 919 898 867 868 Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, 2012. Table 2: Geographic distribution of hunger Region Number of millions hungry Developed regions 16 Africa 239 Asia 563 Latin America and the Caribbean 49 Oceania 1 World 868 Zenabu Razak, caterer at Gbanyamni primary school in Ghana, prepares the lunch that will be provided free to all of the school’s pupils as part of Ghana’s free school feeding programme Christian Aid/Antoinette Powell Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, 2012. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 7 When promises become empty words In recent years, world leaders have been party to a series of undertakings and pledges to tackle hunger head-on. In 2000, at the Millennium Summit, they agreed to reduce poverty at historically unprecedented rates through collaborative global action. The first of the eight millennium development goals (MDGs) aimed to halve the percentage of people affected by hunger by the year 2015. We have the means; we have the capacity to eliminate hunger from the face of the earth in our lifetime. We need only the will US President John F Kennedy, 1963 In 2008, the year food-price spikes triggered rioting in more than 30 countries, the UN Secretary-General established a High Level Task Force on the Global Food Security Crisis, which included heads from UN specialised agencies, and the World Bank and IMF. A G8 Summit in Aquila (Italy) in 2009 then agreed a Food Security Initiative that committed US$20bn (£12.7bn) over three years for sustainable agriculture development and safety nets for vulnerable populations.19 However, much of the money was later not forthcoming. That same year, at the World Summit on Food Security, held in Rome by the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), world leaders unanimously pledged renewed commitment to eradicating hunger ‘sustainably and at the earliest date’. They set as their target reducing ‘respectively the proportion and the number of people who suffer from hunger and malnutrition by half by 2015’.20 The then-FAO director-general, Jacques Diouf, stressed the need to produce food where the poor and hungry live, and to boost agricultural investment in those regions.21 Yet, despite all promises made, a look at the percentage of people suffering from hunger and the actual number of people undernourished shows that progress has been disappointing. In southern Asia, where 327 million children, women and men were undernourished in 1990, the decrease after more than two decades has been less than 5 per cent. Worse still, in Africa, the number of hungry people has increased by 36 per cent over the same period, from 175 to 239 million people. The truth is we are a long way from halving the number of people suffering from hunger. Table 3: Progress made towards halving the number of people who suffer from hunger, expressed as prevalence of hunger Region Baseline 1990/1992 1998/2001 2004/2006 2007/2009 2010/2012 MDG target 2015 Level of achievement* World 18.6% 15% 13.8% 12.9% 12.5% 9.3% 65.6% Africa 27.3% 25.3% 23.1% 22.6% 22.9% 13.65% 32.2% Asia 23.7% 17.7% 16.3% 14.8% 13.9% 11.85% 82.7% Latin America and the Caribbean 14.6% 11.6% 9.7% 8.7% 8.3% 7.15% 88.1% Oceania 13.6% 15.5% 13.7% 11.9% 12.1% 6.8% 23.1% Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, 2012. *‘Level of achievement’ is our own calculation.22 8 Who pays the price? Table 4: Progress made towards halving the number of people (in millions) who suffer from hunger, expressed in absolute terms Region 1990/1992 1998/2001 2004/2006 2007/2009 2010/2012 WFS Target 2015 Achievement* World 1,000 919 898 867 868 500 26.4% Africa 175 205 210 220 239 87.5 No reduction Asia 739 634 620 581 563 369.5 47.6% Latin America and the Caribbean 65 60 54 50 49 32.5 49.2% Oceania 1 1 1 1 1 0.5 No reduction Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, 2012. *‘Level of achievement’ is our own calculation. 2. Why tax dodging means people go hungry Christian Aid/Simon Williams Women prepare food for the Jan Satyagraha marchers. Christian Aid partner Ekta Parishad organised the march in 2012. More than 50,000 poor and landless farmers marched peacefully to demand rights to the land they have worked on for years. Eight days into the month-long march, the Indian government agreed to their main demands 10 Who pays the price? We are determined to use our [g8] presidency to drive a serious debate on tax evasion and tax avoidance. This will include action to help developing countries collect tax that is due to them UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, February 2013 Why tax justice is essential to combat hunger The face of global poverty – and therefore hunger – has changed in recent years. Whereas two decades ago most of the world’s poor people lived in low-income23 countries, today two-thirds are to be found in countries that the World Bank classifies as middle-income countries, such as India and China.24 With that change, in the UK at least, a growing chorus of dissent has questioned whether countries that are relatively rich, in comparison to least-developed nations, should still receive aid, particularly at a time of cuts in public services at home.25 The argument ignores such salient facts as the minimal difference in per capita income between low-income countries and the economically disadvantaged in middleincome countries. It ignores too the sheer scale of need in many of today’s emerging economies. In Brazil, for instance, a country that has a GDP almost as large as that of the UK, some 16 million people – the same number as live in the Netherlands – go hungry every day.26 Christian Aid would like to see a world free from hunger and poverty, where aid is no longer necessary. For this to become a reality, the causes of poverty need to be addressed and developing countries need to find the resources to cope on their own. As a sustainable and predictable source of finance, tax revenues have a key role to play in fostering economic self-sufficiency for both the developed and the developing world. Providing a sound economic footing for development, fair and efficient tax systems also have an impact on the body politic itself, leading to greater transparency and accountability on the part of governments as taxpayers demand evidence of how their money is being spent.27 The UK government says: ‘Governance appears to be better where governments have to earn their incomes by taxing a wide range of citizens and economic activities... Well-managed taxation systems can play a major role in state building.’28 Today, however, low-income countries collect an average of only 13 per cent of their GDP in tax revenues, compared to around 35 per cent in countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).29 The UN estimates that if the world’s least-developed countries raised at least 20 per cent of their GDP from taxes – still a long way from the rate in the developed world – they could achieve all the MDGs – including halving the number of people living in hunger.30 There are, of course, cogent reasons why developing countries are unable to raise the requisite amount. Large numbers of their citizens, especially smallholder farmers in rural areas, live in poverty and do not enjoy taxable incomes. In addition, such countries have large untaxed ‘informal’ sectors. Revenues are also lost when developing countries offer major tax incentives to foreign companies in return for investment. The fear is that without such tax breaks, the companies may go elsewhere. In recent years, development agencies, including Christian Aid, have sought to draw attention to the huge costs associated with tax incentives. In fact, evidence seems to suggest that costs are often found to be higher than the benefits derived from the investment they seek to attract. Finally, one of the most important factors working against developing countries is tax avoidance and evasion by MNCs and wealthy individuals. In 2008, Christian Aid estimated that tax evasion associated to trade mispricing by MNCs costs developing countries around US$160bn (£105.3bn) a year, far more than they receive in aid.31 Dealing with the ‘corporation tax gap’ in developing countries could, according to research by the IF campaign, raise enough public revenue to save the lives of 230 children under five every day.32 how companies are able to dodge tax Foreign direct investment, the investment in commercial activities in one country by a business in another, rose by 2,000 per cent between 1982 and 2011 to US$1.5tn (£955bn).33 To attract the vast amounts of foreign capital now available, many countries have resorted to potentially damaging tax ‘competition’, such as the reduction of corporate income tax rates, the granting of generous tax incentives to foreign corporations, and even, in some cases, lax legal enforcement and the promotion of secrecy provisions, eg banking secrecy laws. Some countries – those generally known as tax havens or secrecy jurisdictions – have made their capacity to attract foreign capital their major economic activity. The prime attractions they offer are a low or zero tax hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 11 rate and financial secrecy, heedless of the damage that might cause elsewhere. A lack of inter-government cooperation at regional and global levels and the effective influence of powerful beneficiaries from the tax competition phenomenon have resulted in numerous legal loopholes as well as a lack of transparency, which enables MNCs and wealthy individuals to shift capital and profits in secret to minimise their tax liability. Financial secrecy enables other forms of illicit capital flight too, including corruption. Raymond Baker, a senior fellow at the US Center for International Policy and an internationally respected authority on money laundering, has estimated that some 3 per cent of money moved illicitly around the world consists of the proceeds of bribery and theft by government officials.40 One method used by some MNCs is transfer mispricing, where different subsidiaries of the same corporation sell goods and services to each other at manipulated prices. False invoicing involves similar transactions taking place between unrelated companies. Research published last year estimated that US$854bn (£543bn) illicitly escaped from sub-Saharan Africa between 1970 and 2008. This figure is double the official development aid flows over the same period, and four times the size of Africa’s debt in 2008,41 thus making sub-Saharan Africa – the region with the highest prevalence of undernourishment – a net creditor to the rest of the world. With 60 per cent of world trade, according to the OECD,34 now taking place between companies that are part of the same MNC, such transactions play an important part in artificially distributing profits and tax liabilities.35 It’s clear that far-reaching global action is needed to prise open the financial secrecy of tax havens that not only facilitates tax dodging, but also hides the proceeds of corruption, drug trafficking and other crimes. However, transfer mispricing is not the only mechanism used by corporations to dodge taxes. As ActionAid’s recent report on Associated British Foods shows, corporations establish complex corporate structures to exploit tax legal loopholes and benefit from the existing network of tax agreements between countries (double tax treaties).36 Governments have their role to play (as outlined in chapter 6), but MNCs do too. The UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights state that corporations have the duty to respect human rights, including the right to be free from hunger.42 However, when corporations engage in abusive tax avoidance or evasion, they create an adverse impact on the human rights of others. Such activities, even when legal, are increasingly being seen as immoral. These complex corporate structures often involve the establishment of subsidiaries in tax havens. The sheer scale of business now conducted through tax havens is immense. More than half of world trade today follows such a route: half of all banking assets are held offshore and one-third of foreign direct investment is channelled through such accounts.37 This secret world allows vast amounts of money to be hidden from public scrutiny, facilitating tax dodging and massively reducing revenues that could promote development. The OECD has estimated that the money lost by developing countries to tax havens is nearly three times the amount of aid they receive.38 More recent research by the Tax Justice Network estimates that rich individuals alone could be hiding as much as US$21tn (£13.4tn) in tax havens. If the capital gains of 3 per cent of US$21tn (£13.4tn) were taxed at 30 per cent, it would generate revenues of US$189bn (£120bn) a year.39 how tax revenues can reduce hunger Tax revenues should account for at least 20 per cent of a country’s GDP for sustainable development to become a reality.43 Indeed, evidence suggests that African countries with higher tax collections generally have lower levels of undernourishment: countries collecting more than 20 per cent of their GDP in tax had an average level of undernourishment of 15 per cent during 2005-08, while those collecting less than 10 per cent had an average rate of undernourishment of 32 per cent.44 Increasing tax revenues is necessary to end hunger and poverty. However, what matters most is how governments make an effective use of the financial resources available. In this sense, the effective investment of tax revenues to increase the productivity of smallholders’ agriculture and develop appropriate pro-poor markets becomes essential.45 12 Who pays the price? Today, more than half the population of the developing world (3.1 billion people) live in rural areas and, of these, 2.5 billion derive their livelihood from agriculture. In many developing countries, agriculture remains the main driver of economic growth and is often the sector that is most resilient to global economic crises.46 At least half of the food consumed in the world is produced by smallholders, who produce food for subsistence and/or for sale to local, as well as sometimes regional and international, markets. These farms are the backbone of rural economies. However, many food-producing households are trapped in poverty, often not producing enough for their own consumption or making only meagre profits from their sales, so they are unable to build up assets or invest in practices that could help increase and diversify their production, cope better with risks and uncertainties, and seize market opportunities. As well as enhancing food security and maximising the productivity of limited arable land, the right kind of support for smallholders can contribute to poverty reduction through multiple benefits, including providing employment,48 building resilience to sudden changes in the weather or other factors affecting food supply, empowering women and vulnerable or excluded communities, and enhancing the natural resource base on which the future of food production depends, for instance by promoting soil-conservation practices.49 The World Bank estimates that agriculture growth is three times more effective in reducing extreme poverty than growth in other sectors, particularly in rural areas.50 A thriving agricultural sector is a strong basis for economic diversification, creating new opportunities that can contribute to much-needed economic differentiation and employment. Tackling tax dodging and financial secrecy could provide the US$50.2bn required every year to tackle hunger. Food insecurity47 persists because sufficient food is not produced or available to poor people in those places where it is most needed, and because poor people cannot afford to buy enough food to meet their needs. Other important causes of hunger are natural hazards such as droughts and floods, slow-onset climate change and environmental degradation, lack of income security and other safety nets, as well as dispossession of some of the world’s most vulnerable people from land. Even if smallholders produce enough to sell, food markets are characterised by power inequalities and policy and infrastructure failures, which keep small-scale food producers poor, limiting their purchasing power and preventing food from being distributed to where it is needed. In many developing countries, local food markets are fragmented, and in the case of staple foods, the usual mechanics of demand and supply do not work at all, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Christian Aid/Sarah Wilson Low levels of production are the result of lack of government investment in smallholder agriculture for many decades. Small-scale farmers are often marginalised by policy-makers, and lack the ability to influence policies and programmes to their benefit, particularly over the provision of agricultural research and technology development, rural credit, transport infrastructure, and access to markets to buy and sell goods. In El Salvador, Rosa Cruz worries about her son and husband. With no other jobs available, they work in the sugar cane fields, where they are exposed to toxic chemicals. Her husband is already suffering from chronic kidney failure, which could be caused by the pesticides used in the fields hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 13 What developing-country governments could do to combat hunger Tackling tax dodging and illicit capital flight could provide much needed revenue to help combat food insecurity. Governments in developing countries should use tax revenue effectively, particularly in support of measures to improve food security. This could include: crops they grow, removing barriers to innovation and adaptation (for example, lack of access to improved seed varieties), and integrating disaster risk reduction strategies and climate services with agricultural development work ●● ●● supporting food production for local and national domestic consumption and regional markets through investment in agricultural research involving local farmers (including smallholders), and the development of technologies appropriate to their needs, including irrigation and storage capacity ●● implementing effective programmes of social protection for the most vulnerable groups promoting education and health systems, including improving nutritional education, healthcare and family planning, and access to water and sanitation. In addition, actions should be taken to: ●● ●● ●● ensuring equitable access, especially of women, to credit and land, with a focus on long-term sustainable development promoting sustainable food production, which is commercially viable and profitable, environmentally sound, inclusive and equitable promoting pro-poor markets, for example through the development of thriving and integrated local food industries in which food producers can add value to their products and improve their access to markets ●● ●● ●● ●● ●● ●● improving infrastructures, such as road systems, to support food transportation building the population’s resilience to food shortages by helping farmers to diversify the adopt policies to prevent and manage excessively volatile food price fluctuations empower small-scale producers and their organisations in decision-making about public spending on agriculture and rural development challenge unsustainable production and consumption in industrialised countries, and highlight the links between food and energy, including the problems of biofuels expansion promote stronger and more equitable global governance, particularly of international trade, agricultural investment, and financial and commodities markets. 3. hoW tax justice could help combat hunger in india, el salvador and ghana The Jan Satyagraha 2012 campaign for land rights for some of the poorest people belonged to, and was rooted in the experiences of, the Indian people. Yet Christian Aid partner and march organiser Ekta Parishad stressed the importance of global solidarity to this campaign, striving for justice on a very global land issue. With secure access to land and free from the fear of being forced off their land by big business, farmers are able to invest their time and resources in caring for the land and ultimately grow more food for their communities Christian Aid/Simon Williams hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 15 I Table 5: Poverty and inequality in India Population 1,245 million Gross national income (GNI) per capita US$3,296 (£2,096) Position in Human Development Index (2011) 134 Income GINI coefficient 36.8 Average income: 20% richest over 20% poorest ratio 5.6 Population living on less than US$1.25 (£0.80) a day 41.6% 51 Source: United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Human Development Report 2011. Table 6: The goal to eradicate hunger in India 1990-1992 2004-2006 2010-2012 2015 target (reduce by 50%) Level of achievement in 2012* Number of people undernourished (millions) 240 238 217 120 19.1% Proportion of people undernourished 26.9% 20.9% 17.5% 13.45% 69.9% Source: FAO, The State of Food Insecurity in the World, 2012. *‘Level of achievement’ is our own calculation. Table 7: Child undernourishment in India Table 8: India in the Global Hunger Index 201252 Percentage of children who are stunted 47.9% Percentage of children who are underweight 43.5% Mortality (per 1,000 births) 66 Source: UNDP, Human Development Report 2011. India’s gross national income (GNI) per capita doubled between 1995 and 2010.53 Yet, one in every four hungry people in the world lives in the sub-continent. As the tables above clearly indicate, India will not reach the target to halve the incidence of hunger by 2015. While the proportion of undernourished people has fallen by 35 per cent since 1990, the actual number of people still suffering from hunger only decreased by 9.5 per cent, from 240 million in 1990 to 217 million in 2012. Almost half of the children under the age of five in India suffer from stunting, while more than 40 per cent of children and 30 per cent of women are underweight. In addition, it is estimated that as many as 80 per cent of children and 56 per cent of women are anaemic.54 Global Hunger Index 1990 1996 2001 2012 30.3 22.6 24.2 22.9 Source: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Global Hunger Index 2012. At the current pace of events, India would only achieve the goal of halving hunger by 2043.55 As the Nobel Prize winner Amartya Sen put it: ‘there is probably no other example in the history of the world development of an economy growing so fast for so long with such limited results in terms of broad-based social progress’.56 India, with a score of 22.9, ranks 66 out of 79 countries in the Global Hunger Index (GHI), worse than Niger or Sudan. But the aggregated national data hides important internal disparities. According to the India State Hunger Index57 analysed by the International Food Policy Research Institute in 2008, the scores ranged from 13.6 for Punjab to 30.9 16 Who pays the price? for Madhya Pradesh, the worst-performing state. Punjab would actually rank 34th when compared to the GHI 2008 country rankings (between Nicaragua and Ghana), while Madhya Pradesh would be ranked 82nd (between Chad and Ethiopia). The same analysis showed that 12 of India’s 17 states fall into the ‘alarming’ category’, while the situation in one, Madhya Pradesh, was ‘extremely alarming’. For the majority of states, high child underweight ratios were the key reasons for the high GHI score.58 Despite the significant and sustained growth rates experienced in India in the past two decades, 3,000 people still die of starvation every year.59 But it is not as though the country failed to produce enough food for everyone. In fact, India sold around 10 million tons of food grain in open market in 2012. Christian Aid/Simon Williams Handling of food stocks remains a key challenge in India.60 Some 80,400 tons of food grain rotted in 2012 Ekta Parishad activist Sita Ram holds a jar containing donations – often given by people with precious little to spare – to support the Jan Satyagraha marchers due to lack of storage facilities.61 The government claims that its ability to ensure food for all is limited by budgetary constraints. The national food security Bill and the public distribution system In October 2010, concerned with the alarming state of food insecurity in the country, the National Advisory Council (NAC) drafted a National Food Security Bill, proposing legal food entitlements for 75 per cent of the population. In January 2011, an expert committee set up by the then prime minister examined the Bill and made several recommendations, including reducing the percentage of the population entitled to the benefits of the programme from 75 to 63 per cent. Based on these recommendations, a draft Bill was circulated in September 2011 by the Ministry of Food, Consumer Affairs and Public Distribution for public feedback. The Bill finally proposes food grain entitlement for up to 75 per cent of the rural population and 50 per cent of the urban population. Of these, at least 46 per cent of the rural population and 28 per cent of the urban population are declared as priority households and are entitled to 7kg of subsidised food per person per month (non-priority households are entitled to 3kg per person per month). Hence, the Bill follows a targeted public distribution approach. However, many in India, including Christian Aid partner the Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability (CBGA), claim that all citizens in India should be entitled to the food distribution system. For households to be entitled to the food distribution system, they need to be identified as poor by the government and receive the corresponding Below Poverty Line card. In the past, methods used to identify potential recipients were proved to be based on faulty estimates of who was living below the poverty line. As a result, the programme failed to reach many in need. Three different national surveys62 have shown that as many as half of the current poorest households in India do not have a Below Poverty Line card.63 One of the main arguments for the government to opt for a targeted system was the need to control spending. According to CBGA, ensuring food for all vulnerable households would cost an additional US$20.6bn (£13.1bn) per year. This figure could be reduced if transport systems and storage capacity were improved. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 17 Niyanci’s experience of the public distribution system (PDS) Christian Aid/Sarah Filbey Shortages used to be a major issue. ‘We were really struggling; villages were isolated… we were only having one meal a day and we didn’t have any means to improve our food supply’, Niyanci recalls. Most of the households were registered as BPL – Below Poverty Line – which meant that they were entitled to PDS grain, but collecting it entailed an 8km walk to the nearest grain dealership. ‘We had to carry it far on our heads and cross the river during the rainy season. It would take us an entire day to collect the rice, and when we reached the dealership, we were often told the distribution date had changed,’ explains Niyanci. ‘We weren’t informed about when the rations had arrived. Also they would update the passbook [to show we’d collected], but say that the rations hadn’t come. Months would pass at a time in that way,’ she says, recounting a common tale of corrupt administration of such schemes, which are not properly monitored. The consequences to families that depended on these rations were significant. ‘When we were not getting rations on time we would have to go for casual labour, we’d migrate and be underpaid,’ she explains. Niyanci Miranda lives in a village called Parasdah, in the state of Jharkhand, where the prevalence of hunger is the second-highest in the country. She is a member of a local women’s group that was established with the support of Christian Aid partner Chetna Vikas. The group has been running the government’s public distribution system, which provides subsidised foods in an area covering more than 1,000 households. However, while food security has significantly improved in Parasdah and neighbouring villages, it was not always like this. The situation improved when the women’s group, after organising protests, was offered the chance to take over the distribution. ‘We realised the importance of organising these women and giving them a platform from which to claim their rights and entitlements,’ explains Rani Kumari of Chetna Vikas. Niyanci concludes: ‘Although the government is doing quite a lot, it is not enough. We were lucky, but most of the programme does not reach all people in need in India. Many go still hungry.’ 18 Who pays the price? H Given India’s sustained period of growth – between 1990 and 2010, per capita income grew at almost 5 per cent a year in real terms64 – the Indian government’s claims that budgetary constraints hamper its ability to improve food security for the 212 million people that are undernourished stretch credulity. Low tax revenues, however, are an issue. With a tax-to-GDP ratio of 16.8 per cent, India obtains a relative very low level of income compared to other emerging economies. Brazil, for instance, has a 34.2 per cent ratio, while South Africa’s tax revenues represent 31.2 per cent of its GDP.65 Another key characteristic of the Indian tax system is the relatively low part played by direct taxes (personal and corporate income taxes). In 2009-10, they represented 37 per cent of total tax revenues, one of the lowest of all G20 countries, and well below South Africa at 57.5 per cent and Russia at 41.3 per cent. 66 One reason for the short fall is the low tax rate enjoyed by high earners. The current 30 per cent rate is lower than the average maximum personal income tax rate in sub-Saharan Africa, which is 35.07 per cent.67 With around 3,500 disputes over alleged mispricing, India has the most transfer-mispricing cases in the world after Japan and Canada.70 According to the country’s Directorate of Transfer Pricing, the amounts involved in mispricing ran at US$8.1bn (£5.2bn) in 2010-11 and US$12.6bn (£8bn) in 2011-12.71 Corporation tax of 33 per cent on these amounts would have provided an additional US$6.9bn (£4.4bn). That wealthy individuals and MNCs in India have significantly engaged in illicit capital flight and tax avoidance and evasion practices is also confirmed by recent research conducted by Global Financial Integrity.72 The Washington-based think tank estimates that India could have lost as much as US$462bn (£294bn) between 1948-2008. The transfer of deposits from Indian to offshore banks by individuals and corporations is identified as one of the key routes of illicit financial flows out of the country. As the share of offshore deposits increased from 36.4 per cent of total deposits in 1995 to 54.2 per cent in 2009, deposits in Indian banks fell commensurately to 45.8 per cent. Not surprisingly, according to research by the OECD, Mauritius, a tax haven, appears to be the top investor country into India.73 As for corporate income tax, research shows that there is a significant difference between the statutory tax rate (33 per cent) and the rate that is effectively being paid (24 per cent).68 Despite this, a new Direct Tax Code Bill proposes to lower corporate taxes even further. Generous tax exemptions enjoyed by businesses and individuals also help account for the low level of tax raised as a percentage of GDP. A government estimate of the revenue foregone in exemptions in 2011-12 alone was US$99bn (£63bn), which represents a staggering 5 per cent of GDP.74 Illicit capital flight and tax dodging in the form of transfer mispricing by national corporations endeavouring to take tax advantages (such as a tax ‘holiday’) in the special economic zones69 that have been created, as well as by international corporations shifting profits to lower tax jurisdictions, are a major problem. Table 9, based on research by Christian Aid partner CBGA, suggests tax-policy changes that could provide additional revenue. The figures seem to indicate that with a fairer and more efficient tax system, the Indian government could find the resources required to ensure food security for all its citizens. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 19 Table 9: How tax policies could provide revenue to tackle hunger Area of intervention Policies to be adopted Estimated annual additional tax revenue Marginal tax rate on personal income Increase marginal income tax rate on income above US$37,000 (£23,532) from the current 30 per cent to 40 per cent. US$5.8bn (£3.7bn) Capital gains tax Re-introduce long-term capital gains tax on securities transactions, and tax short-term capital gains progressively as personal income. The current zero tax on long-term capital gains on securities privileges stock market speculation and favours wealthy individuals. US$13bn (£8.3bn) Property tax, including wealth, inheritance and municipal property tax Expand and make property tax more progressive; re-introduce inheritance tax (estate duty); improve the targeting and valuation system for municipal property tax. US$15.3bn (£9.7bn) Tax arrears Tax arrears should be collected immediately, and no laxity should be shown in filing cases. US$11.5bn (£7.3bn) Tobacco tax Increase taxes on tobacco, as the current rate is low according to international standards. Increase of US$3.4bn (£2.2bn) and save US$5.6bn (£3.6bn) on tobacco-related diseases. General anti-avoidance rule (GAAR) A strong GAAR should be introduced in order to tackle aggressive tax planning by corporations. The government decided to postpone this measure to 2015-16. Advance pricing agreements (APAs) APAs could be established with some relevant corporations as a means to avoid transfer mispricing. US$4.3bn (£2.7bn) Double tax avoidance agreements The current double tax agreements with Mauritius and Singapore need to be reviewed in relation to the treatment of capital gains tax. US$2.3bn (£1.5bn) 20 Who pays the price? E Table 10: Poverty and inequality in El Salvador Population 6.225 million Gross national income (GNI) per capita US$5,925 (£3,768) Position in Human Development Index (2011) 105 Income GINI coefficient 46.9 Average income 20% richest over 20% poorest ratio 12.1 Population living on less than US$1.25 (£0.80) a day 5.10% Source: UNDP, Human Development Report 2011. Table 11: The goal to eradicate hunger in El Salvador 1990-1992 2004-2006 2010-2012 2015 target (reduce by 50% ) Level of achievement in 2012* Number of people undernourished (millions) 0.79 0.71 0.76 0.395 7.5% Proportion of people undernourished 15.6% 12.6% 12.3% 7.8% 42.3% Source: FAO, The State of Food Insecurity in the World, 2012. *‘Level of achievement’ based on our own calculations. Table 12: Child undernourishment in El Salvador Percentage of children who are stunted 24.6% Percentage of children who are underweight 6.1% Mortality (per 1,000 births) 17 Table 13: El Salvador in the Global Hunger Index 2012 Global Hunger Index 1990 1996 2001 2012 10.1 8.7 5.4 5.7 Source: IFPRI, Global Hunger Index 2012. Source: UNDP, Human Development Report 2011. In El Salvador, the extent of undernourishment remains the same as 20 years ago. Despite a gross national income per capita of almost US$6,000 (£4,000), the prevalence of hunger is very similar to the world average: one in eight people are hungry. Although classified as a lower-middle-income country, a recent government survey75 shows 47.5 per cent of the population (47.6 per cent of women and 47.3 per cent of men) live in poverty, of whom more than a third (15.46 per cent) live in extreme poverty. The government’s estimation is thus largely consistent with the figures of undernourishment provided by FAO, as shown in table 11 above. One child in four is stunted and, according to a recent World Bank study, 38 per cent of children aged 6-24 months are anaemic. In addition, one-third of all deaths of children under five is considered caused by malnutrition.76 ‘Eating varied and nutritious food remains a challenge in El Salvador’, the World Bank concluded. Inequality also remains an issue in El Salvador. In 2011, the richest 20 per cent of households enjoyed 58.3 per cent of the national income, while the poorest 20 per cent accounted for just only 2.4 per cent.77 Exacerbating matters is an unfair tax system, where those with the greatest ability to pay face the least taxes. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 21 A El Salvador’s lack of progress in tackling hunger cannot be readily understood without considering the damaging effects of the stabilisation and structural adjustment programmes implemented since 1989. These are the series of reforms demanded by donor governments and international financial institutions of poorer countries in return for aid. In El Salvador’s case, they included a decrease in trade tariffs, the suppression of agricultural marketing boards, increases in the costs of agricultural inputs, the elimination of guaranteed prices to producers, a cutting back of agricultural research and technical assistance to farmers, and the reduction of credit to agriculture (from 20 per cent of total credit in 1980 to 7 per cent in 2011).78 All are factors that help to explain to a large extent the collapse of agricultural production, especially of rice, A vulnerable community Christian Aid/Olga Castro The community of Milagro Belen is located in Candelaria, a municipality in Cuscatlán Region. It is home to 350 people (200 women and 150 men), most under the age of 35, grouped into 96 families, all living in poverty. Families in the community mainly eat fruits and vegetables, with occasional meat and dairy products. Food consumption is severely limited due to unemployment, problems to access markets, lack of land security and insufficient credit. Rosa Denis Aguilar, a 46-year-old woman, describes the precarious living conditions faced by families in corn, vegetables, meat and eggs. In 1993, El Salvador produced 93 per cent of the food grain consumed: today, only 28 per cent of rice, 54 per cent of corn and 62 per cent of beans eaten are produced locally. All the rest are imported. In the case of vegetables, 70 per cent of the amount consumed is imported.79 Today El Salvador invests just 1.5 per cent of its budget in agriculture, as opposed to 5.2 per cent in 1990.80 More than 80 per cent of its farms are small-holdings that do not produce for market, nor do they have access to modern production techniques and credit. Unsurprisingly, the damaging effects of earlier policies have led to a significant increase in migration. In 1990, 60 per cent of the population lived in rural areas, as opposed to 37 per cent today, while 3 million Salvadorans have left the country, most to seek new opportunities in the US.81 the community. ‘A small piece of land was assigned to me by the community, so I can now produce some vegetables for our own consumption during the rainy season. Unfortunately though, I cannot sell food at the market as we need to pay US$2 (£1.27) a day if we want to sell, or US$1 (£0.64) if you only want to be there in the morning, but there have been days where I sold nothing and had no money to pay even US$1 (£0.64). ‘I cannot get a decent job, and I cannot buy meat, milk or even cereals for my children. I sometimes work for another woman and sell the products that she gives me, but with that I only earn US$3 (£1.91) a day, not enough to take care of my family. ‘The fact that larger companies and wealthy individuals do not pay their fair share of taxes is outrageous. I wonder how it is acceptable that the poorest people in El Salvador have to pay VAT, if then large national and international companies do not pay taxes. The government has to require large companies to pay their taxes, and with that money, it needs to create programmes to support rural single mothers, old people, and communities through access to land, decent jobs, and seeds and fertilisers to grow our own food.’ 22 Who pays the price? The government of El Salvador is currently implementing a five-year development programme, with a total budget of US$4.8bn (£3bn), or an average of US$975m (£620m) per year. This plan focuses mainly on improving access and quality of essential services, while only 4 per cent of the budget (US$40.6m/£25.8bn) is directly devoted to promoting agricultural production.82 Christian Aid’s partner FESPAD (Foundation for the Study and Application of Law) considers that the government should urgently upscale the plan to a total investment of US$1.4bn (£0.9bn) per annum. Some of the priorities, as identified by FESPAD, should include the increase in the level of credit available, the expansion of the national production area, the growth of storage capacity, the investment in agricultural research, the improvement of irrigation systems and the promotion of women’s access to credit and land. In addition, the tax system continues to be highly regressive, which partly explains the high level of inequality. Compared to OECD economies, indirect taxes in El Salvador provide a higher share of revenues than direct taxes. Within direct tax revenues, companies contribute 40 per cent more than individuals. Within individual tax revenues, taxes on labour represent 57 per cent of the total,84 which suggests that the tax burden in El Salvador is disproportionately placed on ordinary people. El Salvador also faces a very significant challenge in relation to tax evasion and generous tax incentives. The government estimates tax evasion, often in the form of transfer mispricing, costs El Salvador as much as US$1.7bn (£1.1bn) a year, which is twice the 2012 fiscal deficit.85 Investing to develop agriculture in rural areas would not only raise national production, but also have an important domino effect on other sectors of the economy, such as trade, banking services and construction, thus helping to reduce hunger and poverty in El Salvador. According to a report published by the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), the overall income tax gap in El Salvador in 2005 was estimated as 45.3 per cent of the tax income revenue, equivalent to 3.1 per cent of GDP.86 H Of this, the tax gap for corporate income tax was estimated as 51 per cent of the corporate tax revenue and equivalent to 2.1 per cent of GDP, while the tax gap for personal income tax was estimated as 36.3 per cent of the revenue and equivalent to 1 per cent of the GDP. Two consecutive waves of fiscal reforms have been adopted by the government of El Salvador in the past few years. In 2009, new legislation was passed to counter transfer mispricing, and the capacity of the revenue service was increased. A second wave of reform took place in 2011 and brought significant changes in relation to direct taxes. Some 82,000 taxpayers with income below US$503 (£320) per month were exempted from paying taxes, while the tax rate on income above US$6,200 (£3,943) per month was raised from 25 per cent to 30 per cent. On corporate income tax, the tax rate on income above US$150,000 (£95,400) was increased by 5 per cent, and a tax rate of 1 per cent was created for businesses that continued trading despite having declared losses for two consecutive years. A tax rate of 5 per cent was also introduced on dividends. Although these are positive measures, the tax burden as percentage of GDP in El Salvador is still below 16 per cent, compared to the regional average at 18.3 per cent.83 As for tax incentives, a recent report by the fiscal committee of the legislative assembly indicated that there were 26 different laws in El Salvador that enabled corporations to avoid taxes legally, often through the granting of incentives.87 The same report stated that the value of these exemptions could have been as high as US$9.3bn (£6bn) between 2001 and 2009. For 2011, the commission estimated a loss of US$1.2bn (£0.76bn). The tax incentives offered in special economic zones cost US$206.5m (£131.3m), a figure that represents 0.9 per cent of GDP. This implies that tax evasion and tax incentives together are costing El Salvador more than US$2.9bn (£1.84bn) every year. Taking action to collect 50 per cent of this amount would provide much needed resources to eradicate hunger in the country. This community lost its entire shrimp harvest due to the extreme flooding across El Salvador in October 2011 caused by Tropical Depression 12E. With no funds available to help them rebuild their livelihoods, people had to repair the damage and buy new shrimp larvae themselves before they could start harvesting again Christian Aid/Susan Barry hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 23 Table 14: How the government could increase tax revenue and combat hunger Area of intervention Policies to be adopted Tax evasion Strengthen legislation and the tax administration’s capacity to fight tax evasion, with a special focus on tackling transfer mispricing. Tax incentives Review the current policies on tax incentives and other tax avoidance provisions, and limit the granting of tax incentives to those cases where they are really effective and benefits are higher than the associated losses. Corporate income tax Introduce a more progressive corporate income tax system, where those corporations that obtain higher profits contribute relatively more to the exchequer. Personal income tax Apply the minimum tax rates on income above US$800 (£508) per month, rather than the current US$503 (£320). For single mothers, this could go up to US$1,000 (£636) per month. With this measure, it is estimated that the government may lose US$35m (£22.3m) per year, but it would promote consumption and reduce inequality. VAT Introduce a new 35 per cent tax on luxury items. Property tax Introduce a new tax on property, with lower tax rates in rural areas. Tax revenues from property taxes could be transferred to municipalities at local level. Compiled by Christian Aid’s partner FESPAD. 24 Who pays the price? G Table 15: Poverty and inequality in Ghana Population 25 million Gross national income (GNI) per capita US$1,584 (£1,007) Position in Human Development Index (2011) 135 Income GINI coefficient 42.8 Average income 20% richest over 20% poorest ratio 9.3 Population living on less than US$1.25 (£0.80) a day 30% Source: UNDP, Human Development Report 2011. Table 16: The goal to eradicate hunger in Ghana Ghana 1990-1992 2004-2006 2010-2012 2015 target (reduce by 50%) Achievement in 2012 Number of people undernourished (millions) 6 2 1 3 Goal achieved as of 2012. Proportion of people undernourished 40.5% 9.5% 5% 20.25% Goal achieved as of 2012. Source: FAO, The State of Food Insecurity in the World, 2012. Table 17: Child undernourishment in Ghana Table 18: Ghana in the Global Hunger Index 2012 Percentage of children who are stunted 28.6% Percentage of children who are underweight 14.3% Mortality (per 1,000 births) 69 Global Hunger Index 1990 1996 2001 2012 21.4 16.3 12.8 8.9 Source: IFPRI, Global Hunger Index 2012. Source: UNDP, Human Development Report 2011. Ghana, a middle-income country since 2010, is widely hailed as a positive development story. Clear policies, together with a government commitment to support and fund them, have contributed to a significant decline in poverty and hunger, making it one of the very few countries in sub-Saharan Africa that could halve poverty and hunger by 2015. Progress, however, has been accompanied by increasing inequalities in the living conditions of the Ghanaian people. Agriculture is estimated to be the primary source of livelihood for about 41.3 per cent of Ghanaians,88 with about 80 per cent of total agricultural production in the hands of smallholder farmers.89 Yet smallholder farming households, and in particular food-crop farmers – more than 50 per cent of whom are women – are poorer and more food insecure than other groups in Ghana, with about half of them falling below the poverty line. Today, around a third of the population lives on less than US$1.25 (£0.80) a day, more than 1.25 million people are undernourished, and more than one child in every five is stunted. The three northern regions in particular have suffered from lack of targeted policies for, and limited investment in, economic development. Fifty-four per cent of the extreme poor live in the Northern region alone, which is home to only 17.2 per cent of Ghana’s total population. The Upper West, Upper East and Northern regions together make up 70 per cent of the country’s poor.90 These regions have unpredictable rainfall patterns and only one harvest each year in contrast with two in the south. They also face periodic drought and sometimes hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 25 floods, both of which are increasing in frequency because of climate change.91 These climatic conditions, combined with a series of challenges in the agriculture sector, create an alarming situation that calls for urgent action. Most people living in north Ghana do not have access to food for between three and six months a year.92 Families resort to food rationing in the long, lean season, and cut back to two meals a day instead of three. In some cases, parents go without to enable their children to eat, and livestock and personal valuables are sometimes sold in order to purchase food, making the owners more vulnerable the following year as they have fewer assets to fall back on.93 It is estimated that about 40 per cent of under-five mortality in Ghana is linked to malnutrition.94 According to the World Food Programme, in 2007 chronic malnutrition among children ranged from 34 per cent to 48 per cent in the Northern Region, and acute malnutrition from 8 per cent to 12 per cent in the Upper West and Upper East Regions. In a bid to increase crop yields, many children are taken out of school to work on their parents’ farms. pupils from deprived communities. The programme aims at providing one hot and nutritious meal for each child every day. The programme targeted the feeding of 1,040,000 pupils by the end of the first phase (2007-2010), but it was only able to reach about 67 per cent of pupils targeted.97 An additional US$ 34.5m (£22m) would have been required annually to meet the initial goal.98 In 2012, the programme was expected to reach 1,500,000 pupils with a funding requirement of about US$112m (£71.2m) to meet the target. However, the government was only able to cover 38 per cent and the remaining 62 per cent had to come from external donors.99 Currently, the programme covers just about 22 per cent of all primary and kindergarten pupils across the country.100 Some donors have recently stopped their contributions, so the effectiveness and sustainability of this programme is largely dependent on a viable source of revenue. Central to the attainment of the vision of sustainable long-term agricultural development is the need to commit the requisite financial resources to fund the sector, with special attention to irrigation, research and technology, storage facilities and credit. A Medium Term Agriculture Sector Investment Plan (METASIP) has been developed to achieve an agricultural GDP growth rate of at least 6 per cent annually, based on the Maputo Declaration’s commitment to allocate at least 10 per cent of government expenditure in agriculture.95 E Ghana is the first country in Africa to have adopted a tailored national plan to promote a free school feeding programme, following the recommendations of the United Nations Millennium Project’s Task Force on Hunger and the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD). The programme started as a pilot in 2005 and has since been expanded to target more than 1 million school Christian Aid/Antoinette Powell According to the financial and investment plan contained in the METASIP, it will cost the government of Ghana a total of US$766m96 (£487m) to achieve the objectives of the sector for the period. Of this amount, the government’s total funding contribution is 32 per cent. Adopting policies to increase tax revenues could bridge the funding gap of US$518.45m (£329.7m). Children at Gbanyamni primary school enjoy their school lunch provided through Ghana’s free school feeding programme. Ensuring that Ghana’s government can collect the taxes it is owed will ensure more funds are available for the programme to reach more schools 26 Who pays the price? Fuel for learning Christian Aid/Antoinette Powell ‘When I eat, I get energy,’ says Fuseini. ‘I feel better in class after I’ve eaten. If there wasn’t food for us at school, it wouldn’t be good for us.’ Fuseini Fatmata didn’t start school until she was nine years old. Now age 12, she’s determined to do well, but with money tight at home, breakfast is never guaranteed. On the days she misses it, Fuseini struggles to concentrate in class. Fuseini explains: ‘Sometimes in the morning my mother prepares rice and we eat it before coming to school. [Sometimes] we don’t get anything. My stomach will be boiling when we don’t eat and it’s like a sickness to me. I feel dizzy and feel some stomach pains and my mind is not on what they are teaching us in the class.’ For pupils like Fuseini, Ghana’s school feeding programme means they get at least one nutritious meal a day and can make the most of their lessons. P A series of reforms in the 1980s to the Ghanaian tax system contributed to improving overall tax collection in Ghana, while making the system fairer. As a result, tax revenues today, as a percentage of GDP, are well above the average in sub-Saharan Africa. Direct taxes in Ghana are mainly individual income and corporate taxes. Other types of taxes in the direct-tax category include capital gains, property and rent taxes, which contribute marginally to the tax revenue due to inadequate enforcement of these laws. But many children are yet to benefit because the feeding programme does not run in their local school or because their parents rely on their help for farming. This is the case of Sulemana Alhassan, who journeys several kilometres to his family’s field to work under the blazing sun. He is just 13. Sulemana would much rather be at school, but without advice and support from government on how to grow more without the need for extra labour, his father says he needs Sulemana’s help. ‘If I don’t come to help my father, where will they get enough food?’ asks Sulemana. Sulemana doesn’t enjoy working on the farm and would much rather be at school. ‘When I am at the farm I don’t have a chance to talk to anybody and I become tired. Sometimes I find when I get home there is nothing to eat. My whole body gets weak and I will often go to sleep early. ‘I want to be in school because I want to be a teacher in the future. The reason I want to be a teacher is they are normally paid at the end of each month. [If] I got a salary at the end of each month, I could use it to help my brothers and sister.’ The tax burden on low-income earners has been lessened through the abolition of tax on the minimum wage and the introduction of a lower rate for those with incomes only marginally above the minimum wage. This is to ensure that disposable income for household basic consumption stays above the minimum wage. The corporate tax rate was reduced from 32.5 per cent in 2001 to 25 per cent in 2006. However, to increase tax revenue, the mining sector corporate income tax rate was increased to 35 per cent in 2012. The contribution of direct taxes to total tax revenue has been increasing since 2001, rising from 24.61 per cent in 2001 to 32.84 per cent in 2005, and 34 per cent in 2009. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 27 However, while the share of personal income taxes to total direct tax revenue is increasing, that of corporate tax fell from 47 per cent in 2005 to 40 per cent in 2009. Indirect taxes continue to be a major source of tax revenue, accounting by the third quarter of 2011 for about 33 per cent of total tax revenue.101 Some provision has been made to reduce the burden on the poor, with a range of basic consumption items exempted from VAT. During the 2008 food crisis, the government removed the 20 per cent import duty on rice and other basic foods to keep prices down.102 In the same year, a communication service tax was introduced to help fund the national youth employment programme (NYEP) and a 6 per cent charge is now levied on all communications and related services (such as internet and data services).103 As of June 2012, a total of 457,779 young people who would have been vulnerable to poverty have been engaged in the programme.104 Ghana passed a new transfer pricing regulation in 2012 and has since trained a team to oversee its implementation. It has also signed the Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters, a convention that facilitates the sharing of information between the tax authorities of signatory nations.105 C Despite Ghana’s progress in improving tax revenues and making the system fairer, a number of challenges remain. Coordination among the revenue collection agencies has been a major challenge to building an efficient tax system. This has been exacerbated by the absence of proper mechanisms to share tax information among the Ghanaian institutions concerned. While the government has undertaken some important initiatives, such as the creation of an integrated Ghana Revenue Authority (GRA) in 2009 and the establishment of the Tax Policy Unit to strengthen the capacity in the pursuit of accountable, transparent and sustainable tax policies, law and reform and capacity building is still needed. Increasing taxes from the informal sector, in which 80 per cent of the working population is engaged, is a major challenge because there are few records of accounts, many people earn very little income, and workers are often invisible to the authorities.106 Recently, new measures have been introduced including a tax on public transport operators and a tax stamp for small traders, but these bring in relatively little revenue.107 Christian Aid partners in Ghana have been working with female small traders who pay taxes and demand accountability from the government on that basis. Generous tax incentives offered to foreign investors are also a problem. Although corporate taxes in the mining sector have been increased, along with a windfall profit tax of 10 per cent, exemptions seriously undermine the potential revenue gains.108 The IMF estimated that tax exemptions amounted to about 1.6 per cent and 0.9 per cent of GDP in 2009 and 2008 respectively,109 while the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning indicate Ghana may be losing US$700m (£445m) per annum from VAT and import exemptions. Christian Aid partner Ghana Integrity Initiative (GII) has been campaigning for a tax-incentive framework that is transparent, accountable and well targeted. Ghana’s revenues are also being undermined by corporations not paying their due royalties. Research110 undertaken by Christian Aid and other development agencies in 2007 revealed that mining companies have never paid royalties above 3 per cent, despite the higher rates on a sliding scale stipulated in the Minerals and Mining Act. These lower royalties led to lost revenue of US$68m (£43.2m) a year between 1990 and 2007. Finally, transfer pricing abuse needs to be tackled. Analysis of the mining sector suggests that some US$36m (£22.9m) is lost through transfer mispricing each year.111 In addition, Christian Aid research has showed that the average amount of tax loss to Ghana in trade relations with the EU between 2005 and 2007 through trade mispricing was between €30.7m-€51.4m (US$41.1m-US$68.9m/£26.2m-£43.8m) each year.112 In 2008, the country lost €62.4m (US$83.6m/£53.2m) because of trade mispricing, which accounted for about 3.4 per cent of total tax revenue in the same period.113 The challenges described seriously undermine the capacity to raise tax revenues and address food insecurity and poverty in Ghana. 4. secret links: hoW companies can use tax havens to dodge taxes Mopani Copper Mine in Mufulira, Zambia. The mine is largely owned by a subsidiary of FTSE100 giant Glencore. It has been accused of dodging tax in Zambia, an allegation it denies. In addition, it causes significant local environmental damage – sulphur dioxide air pollution and soil pollution so bad that most plants will not grow and, local people suspect, chronic pollution of the water they drink. Christian Aid partner the Centre for Trade and Policy Development is supporting a local campaign group to demand improvements to the Kankoyo environment Christian Aid/Rachel Baird hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 29 New research by Christian Aid into the financial and ownership data of MNCs operating in India, El Salvador and Ghana strongly suggests that corporations with links to tax havens are not paying their fair share of tax. O Data in Orbis is derived from official balance sheets, profit and loss accounts, and financial statements notes, and is complemented with news, market research, information from official bodies (for example, stock exchanges) and private correspondence. The producer of the data has also developed a uniform format that is applied to each entity analysed in order to address comparison issues. In our own research, we used the data available in Orbis for India, Ghana and El Salvador to produce both descriptive and regressive statistical analyses. Our research was to establish whether MNCs with subsidiaries in tax havens114 pay less in taxes than corporations without such links, based on the hypothesis that, because tax havens offer secrecy and nil or low tax rates, enterprises using their services have greater incentives However, two considerations need to be taken into account. First, data available for all the required variables and opportunities to dodge taxes than those that don’t. for El Salvador and Ghana was limited to a relatively small number of corporations, so the aggregated results, and To test this, we analysed three different indicators: therefore conclusions, are to a very large extent driven by ●● India, for which data in Orbis is much more abundant. pre-tax profits reported per unit of asset, as a proxy for the corporate’s tax base115 This limitation also implies that only descriptive ●● statistical analysis was applied to Ghana and El taxes paid per unit of asset Salvador, as regression models require a higher sample ●● of observations than are available in Orbis for these taxes paid per unit of pre-tax profit, as a proxy for two countries. the average effective tax rate. The concrete research goal was to test if MNCs with connections to tax havens report lower pre-tax profits per unit of asset and pay less in taxes per unit of asset and unit of profit than other multinational corporations. The level of revenue was not used as a variable in our research because revenue itself is often affected by profit-shifting strategies, so the preference was to use assets instead. In order to carry out our research, we obtained access to Orbis,116 a commercial database containing consolidated and unconsolidated financial and accounting data, as well as information on shareholders and subsidiaries of around 108 million national and multinational companies. Secondly, because the data used in our analysis belonged to MNCs of different sizes and operating in different sectors with heterogeneous characteristics, eg different average profitability ratios, we took the precaution of controlling for these differences in our regression model. In other words, we wanted to make sure that differences found were really attributable to the use of tax havens, and not to other variables such as the size of the MNC or the sector where it operates. Table 19 shows the results obtained in our research when we analysed data from those MNCs with asset values of at least US$10m (£6.36m). Table 19: Aggregated results for MNCs with asset values of more than US$10m (£6.36m) MNCs with no tax haven links MNCs with tax haven links Indicator Number of MNCs in sample Number of MNCs in sample Results obtained for our sample of MNCs Profits reported per 100 units of assets 770 6.9 727 6.6 Taxes paid per 100 units of assets 681 2.3 668 2 13% Taxes paid per 100 units of profits 680 24.2 667 17.2 28.9% Results obtained for our sample of MNCs Source: table uses data from Orbis 2010. Differences observed: how much less profits reported and less paid in taxes per unit of asset and unit of profit respectively when the MNC has links to tax havens 4.3% 30 Who pays the price? As table 19 indicates, MNCs with connections to tax havens reported in 2010, on average, 4.3 per cent less profits per unit of asset; paid 13 per cent less taxes per unit of asset; and 28.9 per cent less taxes per unit of profit than MNCs with no links to tax havens. These results strongly suggest that MNCs with links to tax havens use income-profit-shifting strategies to reduce their tax bills. Tables 20, 21 and 22 show the results we obtained for each specific ratio and country on the basis of the data available for all MNCs operating there, regardless of their size. As stated above, only the sample for India is large enough to draw statistically meaningful conclusions. However, the descriptive results obtained for Ghana and El Salvador, based on a much lower number of corporations,117 may suggest that profit shifting could actually be a more serious problem in those countries with less administrative capacity to tackle tax dodging, so further research should be undertaken. Table 20: Profits declared per 100 units of assets MNCs with no tax haven links MNCs with tax haven links Country Number Number India 787 6.6 738 Ghana 25 4.8 3 El Salvador 15 15.9 16 Profits Profits 6.5 How much less profits reported per unit of asset when the MNC has a tax haven link 1.5% 3 37.5% 4.8 69.8% Source: table uses data from Orbis 2010. Table 21: Taxes paid per 100 units of assets MNCs with no tax haven links MNCs with tax haven links Country Number Taxes paid Number Taxes paid How much less paid in taxes per unit of asset when the MNC has a tax haven link India 722 2.3 685 1.9 17.4% Ghana 6 3.1 2 0.9 71.0% El Salvador 4 0.7 5 0.2 71.4% Source: table uses data from Orbis 2010. Table 22: Taxes paid per 100 units of profit MNCs with no tax haven links MNCs with tax haven links Country Number Taxes paid Number Taxes paid How much less paid in taxes per unit of profit when the MNC has a tax haven link India 714 24.1 683 16.8 30.3% Ghana 6 17.1 2 8.6 49.7% El Salvador 3 22 5 8 63.6% Source: table uses data from Orbis 2010. hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 31 As indicated in table 22, MNCs operating in India with connections to tax havens are found to pay, on average, 30.3 per cent less in taxes per unit of profit than those MNCs with no tax haven links. Considering that all MNCs with tax havens links in our sample made total profits of US$104bn (£66.1bn) in 2010, had they paid the same effective tax rate as MNCs that do not use tax havens, additional tax revenue ofUS$7.5 bn (£4.8bn) would have been raised. However, we are not suggesting that the difference in the effective tax rates is entirely explained by profit shifting; other factors, such as the impact of tax incentives, could have an influence as well. In any case, the effective rate estimated in our research is significantly lower than the Indian corporate income tax rate (33 per cent). Table 23: Additional tax could be obtained if MNCs with tax-haven links paid the same tax rate as other MNCs Profits declared by MNCs in our sample with tax haven links Effective tax rate for MNCs with no tax haven links Effective tax rate for MNCs with tax haven links Effective tax rate difference Tax revenue that could have been lost due to profit shifting by MNCs with tax haven links 104,000,000,000 24.1 16.8 7.3 7,592,000,000 Source: research results based on our own estimation, using data from Orbis 2010. The results obtained in the descriptive analysis are supported by those obtained in the regression model, as shown in appendix 1. Our regression results remain valid when we control for both sector heterogeneity118 and company size. All the different specifications in the regression analysis show consistent results and indicate that MNCs with links to tax havens report fewer profits and pay less in taxes per unit of asset and profit. In the regression analysis, our results are particularly strong (statistically significant) when the variable ‘taxes paid per unit of asset’ is analysed. Christian Aid’s research strongly suggests that multinationals often use tax havens to shift profits from higher to lower tax jurisdictions. In many cases, these tax haven subsidiaries lack economic substance (eg there are no manufacturing processes or products sold in the tax havens market), which implies that they could exist for the only purpose of avoiding and evading taxes. Our findings are aligned with the analysis made by the OECD in its recent Addressing Base Erosion and Profit Shifting report.119 As the OECD states, the current international tax system, characterised by inter-state tax competition rather than cooperation, has not kept pace with the business environment, leading to a situation where MNCs can exploit the existing legal loopholes and secrecy provisions to avoid paying their fair share of tax. While the separate legal entities that form a multinational corporation are treated from a tax perspective as if they were independent companies, the truth is that they all follow an overall business strategy. Today, management lines clearly go beyond national boundaries. In its report, the OECD identifies profit shifting as a fundamental cause of tax dodging. Similarly, the OECD acknowledges the increased segregation between the location where actual business activities and investment take place and the location where profits are reported for tax purposes. In other words, MNCs are transferring mobile activities to where they benefit from a favourable tax treatment. More importantly, the OECD states, and our findings seem to confirm, that the current international tax system is broken. Our political leaders need to have the courage to review the fundamentals of the current international tax rules to ensure that every MNC pays, and every country receives, its fair share of tax. 5. sWissploitation: the hidden cost of trading With sWitzerland Zambian copper exports to Switzerland fetch vastly inflated sums when sold on by Switzerland to a third country. But this money does not get seen by ordinary Zambians, who have to put up with the effects of living alongside mining companies. Peter Chilesh lives in Kankoyo township, Mufulira, which is dominated by the Mopani copper mine. Local people believe that the explosives the mine uses underground (as part of the mining process) have caused huge cracks to appear in their houses, as in this picture. The mining company says the cracks exist because the houses were built without foundations Christian Aid/Rachel Baird hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 33 switzerland is not only a tax haven, but also lacks transparency and regulation, and it attracts commodity trading as a dunghill attracts flies The Berne Declaration, 2011120 In this section, we look now at macro-trade data and show that developing countries could have lost as much as US$578bn (£367.6bn) when trading with or via one particular tax haven: Switzerland. Switzerland sits at the top of the 2011 Financial Secrecy Index drawn up by the Tax Justice Network and Christian Aid.121 Tax haven rankings were based on the role of each haven in global financial flows and the scale of secrecy offered. Others, like the UK and US, did more business, while some, such as the British Virgin Islands and Liechtenstein, offered greater secrecy, but for the combination of both, Switzerland came top. Now, based on data from the UN Commodity Trade Statistics Database (UN COMTRADE), which collates commodity trade information from more than 140 countries, Christian Aid can provide a detailed analysis of world trade patterns that reveals the extent to which trade mispricing – which includes both transfer mispricing and false invoicing – depletes the resources available to the developing world.122 Previous analysis has suggested two dangers that may arise when commodities are traded with, or via, Switzerland. Christian Aid research in 2010 highlighted how Zambian copper, when exported from Zambia to Switzerland (on paper at least, for precious little of the metal would have actually made the journey to Switzerland), then fetched vastly inflated prices when exported from Switzerland to a third country. The price was so far in excess of what Zambia – the producer country – received, that Zambia’s GDP would have nearly doubled had Zambia exported directly to the third country at the inflated price, cutting Switzerland out of the equation.123 Analysis by the Berne Declaration, a Swiss NGO that monitors the role of Swiss corporations, banks, and government agencies, highlighted in 2011 the fact that many commodities bought by companies registered in Switzerland never actually reach its borders. ‘Contracts may be concluded, deliveries scheduled and ships chartered from Swiss offices, but the actual goods... never touch Swiss soil. [...] In this way, the flow of goods conveniently eludes the official statistics of the Federal Customs Administration – one reason for the notorious lack of transparency in the business,’ the Berne Declaration said.124 According to research by the Berne Declaration, transit trade via Switzerland could represent 15-25 per cent of the world’s commodity trade.125 In transit trade, a company based in Switzerland purchases goods from a supplier or their own subsidiaries abroad and sells these on to a buyer also abroad, without the goods entering Switzerland. Currently, transit trade is recorded in Switzerland as trade services, rather than as imports and exports. As a result, exporting countries do not have the capacity to track their goods once they leave their country. Exporting countries do not know where their goods will eventually end up, so many of them report these trade operations as exports to Switzerland, only because this is where the transit traders that initially buy the goods operate from (even if the goods will never reach Switzerland and will therefore not be recorded as imports there). In the past decade, the value of transit trade via traders based in Switzerland has increased as much as in the previous four decades. In fact, the value of transit trade via Switzerland in 2011 was 36 per cent higher than Switzerland’s GDP. Most of the goods sold abroad by Swiss transit traders were commodities (94 per cent), in particular energy commodities (59 per cent). Mineral commodities accounted for 20 per cent and agricultural commodities 15 per cent.126 Switzerland has consolidated as a commodity trade hub and attracts many new trading companies largely because of its preferential tax status, generally loose regulatory and business-friendly environment, banking secrecy provisions and extensive capital markets. The transformation of transit trade into an extremely important industry within the Swiss economy has gone almost unnoticed by the general public.127 Most companies active in transit trade are not listed and therefore do not have to publish financial statements. The current opacity provides huge opportunities for illicit income shifting out of developing countries. The international division of labour leads to certain countries specialising in gaining while other countries specialise in losing Olivier De Schutter, UN Special Rapporteur on the Right to Food128 34 Who pays the price? We seek to establish the following: ●● ●● trade with all other partner countries. How much do developing countries lose from sales of their commodities to or via Switzerland? (‘Swissploitation’ is the label we use to describe the difference between the price developing countries receive and the price the commodities are then sold on for by companies registered in Switzerland.)129 Following this process, we could then combine the excess margin between Switzerland and all other partner countries with the known quantity of declared exports to Switzerland to generate an estimate of the capital loss suffered by countries when trading with Switzerland, rather than with any other country. What proportion of trade is obscured by transit trade via Switzerland, where commodities traded by Switzerland-based companies never reach Swiss soil and are not recorded by the authorities there? (In other words, how much trade disappears into what we have called the ‘black hole of Geneva’?) Of course, we could not pretend that there are no distortions in trade, eg no trade mispricing with any country other than Switzerland. The implication of this assumption, however, is to lower the estimate of the distortion in Swiss trade, compared to what we would find if we could genuinely compare with a zero-distortion baseline, so the resultant estimates of both capital shift and untraced volume are inevitably conservative. The nature of our analysis The simplest analysis would be to compare a given volume of exports that has a given value from country ‘X’ to Switzerland with the re-export volume and value of the same commodity from Switzerland to other countries. However, data limitations130 mean that it would be impossible to explain what proportion of the discrepancies exposed in this way simply reflected those limitations rather than being a particular feature of trade with Switzerland. A somewhat more cautious approach was therefore required. To achieve this, we established benchmarks for ‘reasonableness’. This involved looking at the trade of individual commodity exporters with all other partner countries (ie countries importing the commodities) other than Switzerland, and using this data to determine a reasonable value for: (i) the price margin – the difference between the original export price and the subsequent re-export price by the partner country (ii) the untraced volume – the difference between the volume of trade declared as exports to a given partner country and the volume declared as imports by that partner country. The benchmarks of ‘reasonableness’ we obtained by exploring data with all trade partners other than Switzerland were then compared with the data related to trade with or via Switzerland. In other words, we compared the excess price margin and the excess untraced volume for trade with Switzerland with the excess price margin and the excess untraced volume for In practice, when we undertook the research, we came upon a further problem. The declared prices for many commodity exports leaving Switzerland were so far above the prices for equivalent exports from all other countries that in other research one would likely consider these as ‘outliers’ (anomalies) and remove them from the main analysis. In this case, however, it is their anomalous nature that is of interest. To deal with this, we first knocked out the few cases in which reported Swiss export prices were more than 1,000 times higher than those of the original exporter. For these cases, we replaced – and normalised – the estimate of capital shift by a simpler one: how much higher a total payment would the exporter country have received if, instead of exporting to Switzerland, the country had exported to any other trading partner and received the average price instead. This gave us the upper estimate of the scale of ‘Swissploitation’. We then repeated the exercise to address those cases where the Swiss export price was more than 100 times higher than that of the original exporter, and where it was more than 10 times higher. Finally, we produced an absolute low-end estimate where the exporter country was simply considered to have received the average price declared on its exports to other trading partners, rather than the price declared for exports to Switzerland. The costs of ‘swissploitation’ Our research shows that ‘Swissploitation’ – the capital apparently shifted out of developing countries through their commodity trade with or via Switzerland – could have cost these countries as much as US$578bn hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 35 (£367.6bn) between 2007 and 2010. This figure is US$67bn (£42.6bn) higher than the total global aid budget during the same period.131 It also is far greater than the annual US$50.2bn (£31.9bn) needed to achieve a world free of hunger by 2025, as estimated by the FAO in its 2012 report The State of Food and Agriculture.132 2007/10 Total Aid: US$494.4bn (£314.4bn) 133 2007/10 Aid flows vs ‘Swissploitation’ ‘Swissploitation’: US$578bn (£367.6bn)134 0 100 200 300 400 500 Table 24 below shows that even when we remove the cases where Swiss export prices are more than 100 times those of original exporters, the estimate is US$441bn (£280.5bn); when we remove all cases where Swiss export prices are more than 10 times those of original exporters, the capital loss estimate is US$154bn (£98bn). Finally, in the last step of our process, when we treat all declared Swiss export prices as entirely unreliable and rest the analysis purely on prices declared in trade with other partner countries, the extreme low-end estimate is US$34bn (£21.6bn). That is, if developing countries had not traded with Switzerland but instead received the average price from trade with all other countries, they would have been US$34bn (£21.6bn) better off. 600 Table 24: the cost of ‘Swissploitation’ Capital loss in exports to Switzerland, 2007-2010 (US$bn) UPPER ESTIMATE Exclusions: LOWER ESTIMATE Swiss export price > Swiss export price > Swiss export price > All Swiss export prices 1000 X original 100 X original 10 X original treated as unreliable 893.7 635.5 238.6 25.5 315.7 194.1 84.2 -8.5 16.6 12.2 -2.3 -5.8 Europe and central Asia 328.2 326.0 91.4 5.1 Latin America and Caribbean 150.6 32.8 18.9 14.1 Middle East and north Africa 34.6 23.1 4.4 1.8 TOTAL LOSS By region: High-income East Asia and Pacific South Asia 2.9 2.1 0.4 -0.2 45.2 45.1 41.6 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Low 18.7 18.7 17.4 16.0 Lower-middle 47.4 43.4 27.1 1.2 Upper-middle 512.0 379.3 109.9 16.7 High-income OECD 315.5 194.0 85.3 -7.5 0.2 0.1 -1.1 -0.9 578.0 441.3 154.4 34.0 Sub-Saharan Africa By income level: Non-defined High-income non-OECD Developing country totals135 Source: calculations on UN Comtrade. 136 36 Who pays the price? For robustness, we checked the results for price margin by considering only the major economies with which Switzerland shares a border: Austria, France, Germany and Italy. By doing this, we are able to confirm that the results are not skewed by transport or any other location-specific costs that might apply for commodities reaching this location. The results obtained when using Switzerland’s neighbours as a benchmark, rather than the average of all countries, closely resemble those presented in table 24, the developing-country totals in each of the four columns yielding, respectively, US$560.1bn (£356.2bn), US$427.7bn (£272bn), US$155.6bn (£99bn) and US$61.3bn (£39bn). Only the last figure is significantly different from those presented in this table, implying a higher capital loss. If developing countries received the average Austrian/French/ German/Italian price for the exports that are labelled for Switzerland, US$61.3bn (£39bn) would have been obtained over the four-year period, rather than US$34bn (£21.6bn). Finally, we calculated the value of exports excluded from the capital shift analysis at every progressive step. As table 25 shows, original exports with a price where the corresponding Swiss re-export price is more than 1,000 times higher represents and excludes from the main analysis more than 40 million metric tons of trade, including more than 10 per cent of all lower-middleincome country exports to Switzerland. If priced highly conservatively at the actual declared price for exports to Switzerland, the value trade for developing countries is more than US$50bn (£31.8bn). The numbers increase only marginally at the next step, implying that the extent of Swiss re-export pricing between 100 and 1,000 times greater than that of the original exports is not huge. Finally, the last column in table 25 shows the extent of trade excluded from the main analysis when we look at commodities with Swiss export prices at least 10 times higher than the original exports. In this case, this would exclude 85 million metric tons of commodities, which represents 8 per cent of all declared exports to Switzerland, but 12-15 per cent from lower-middle- and upper-middle-income countries, with a conservative corresponding value of US$116bn (£73.8bn). On this basis, we determine that the associated lower estimate in table 24 is unrealistic and understates the extent of the distortion in question. Table 25: ‘Swissploitation’ and ‘anomalous’ Swiss export prices Extent to which trade was excluded by addressing outliers (2007-2010) Exclusions: Total excluded Swiss export price > Swiss export price > Swiss export price > 1000 X original 100 X original 10 X original Millions of metric tons Millions of metric tons Millions of metric tons % exports to Switz’d US$bn % exports to Switz’d US$ bn % exports to Switz’d US$ bn 41.9 3.9% 96.5 48.7 4.6% 97.5 85.1 8.0% 116.0 Low 0.0 1.2% 4.3 0.0 1.2% 4.3 0.1 2.6% 4.4 Lower-middle 9.2 12.4% 5.1 9.7 13.1% 5.1 11.0 14.9% 5.9 Upper-middle 29.1 5.5% 42.0 33.7 6.3% 42.5 63.6 12.0% 55.9 High-income OECD 3.5 0.8% 40.4 5.4 1.2% 41.0 10.3 2.2% 45.2 High-income non-OECD 0.0 0.1% 4.6 0.0 0.1% 4.6 0.1 9.8% 4.6 51.5 43.4 51.9 74.7 Developing country total 38.3 66.2 Source: calculations on UN Comtrade data, for 244 countries/trade jurisdictions, 2,596 commodity codes (selected as those most appropriate for the other elements of this analysis, focusing on price by weight comparison) and the most recent four years of data available: 2007-2010. NB currency values are given in year 2010 US dollars, with earlier years adjusted for inflation using the US GDP deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (Feb 2012 update). hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 37 The ‘black hole of geneva’ The Berne Declaration has highlighted the phenomenon of Swiss ‘transit trade’, not recorded by customs officials since it never physically reaches the border but is captured elsewhere by the central bank, as akin to a flow of services.137 The bare minimum of transparency would require that this data is provided to the UN system separately from the customs data we are forced to rely on here, so that all could see the apparent pattern. As things stand, the scale of missing trade makes it impossible for countries and their citizens to see the path that their commodity exports follow. Given the scale of capital that could be lost in these transactions, transparency here is clearly crucial – and of course it is highly unlikely to be coincidental that we find both broad opacity and major hidden outflows in the same countrylevel transactions. Tables 27 and 28 show a breakdown of the top 10 countries affected by the ‘black hole of Geneva’. The biggest loser, in terms of the opacity of its overall trade, is Zambia, which has seen more than a quarter of its total exports disappear in the black hole. The biggest losers in terms of pure volume of trade are Russia, Kazakhstan and Brazil, which between them have seen more than 100 million metric tons disappear over the period. Christian Aid/Rachel Baird The ‘black hole of Geneva’ refers to the amount of trade for which Switzerland is the declared destination, but which is not recorded there as an import. More than 90 per cent of commodity exports to Switzerland, in the commodity categories used in this analysis, were simply not recorded as imports arriving there. A mine shaft in Kankoyo township in Mufulira district, Zambia. It is operated by Mopani Copper Mine, which is largely owned by FTSE100 company Glencore 26.0 3.8 0.9 7.8 24.0 -5.8 0.6 4.9 Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and north Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa -62.5 -62.5 -213.4 -5.6 -108.6 0.6% -0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 3783.7 1109.2 863.4 897.7 92.4% -151.2% 69.3% 62.3% -18.9 0.2% 1.8% -296.8 -160.0 0.9% 0.4% 5226.7 91.8% 3726.1 90.1% 10.1 103.8 1 1779.3 84.1% 133.0 95.3 9.1 East Asia and Pacific 3747.4 83.6% Europe and Central Asia 111.8 Upper-middle income Source: UN Comtrade. By region: 15.4 Lower-middle income 18.5 -14.6 1.1% 80.2 89.6% 1.0 0.9 -471.5 0.2% 15606.9 90.1% 152.5 128.1 Developing countries Low-income -148.7 -0.1% 1 7005.5 -9.6% 114.6 -11.0 High-income countries of which: By income level: -620.2 0.4% 3261 2.4 43.9% 267.0 117.1 Total Millions of metric tons % Millions of metric tons % Millions of metric tons Millions of metric tons ‘Black hole’: ‘lost’ exports to neighbours ‘Black hole’: share of total exports ‘Black hole’: share of exports to Switzerland Total exports: World 105.0 12.5 247.1 239.4 619.8 74.3 1130.0 164.9 3.2 1298.1 2161.1 3459.2 Millions of metric tons Total exports to neighbours -25.5% -6.9% -17.9% -103.4% -44.4% -86.4% -26.1% -10.1% -25.5% -26.3% -97.0% -460.0% % ‘Black hole’: share of exports to neighbours Memo: Equivalent ‘black hole’ in trade with Switzerland’s major neighbours Total exports to Switzerland Scale of untraceable trade with Switzerland The ‘black hole of Geneva’: ‘Black hole’: ‘lost’ exports to Switzerland Table 26: The ‘black hole of Geneva’ 38 Who pays the price? hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 39 Table 27: Leading countries by share of exports lost in the ‘black hole of Geneva’ Rank Country 1 Zambia 2 Millions of metric tons Exports lost as a % of total exports to Switzerland Exports lost as a % of total world exports 2.12 99.8% 27.7% Burundi 0.04 97.3% 18.3% 3 Burkina Faso 0.30 100.0% 15.7% 4 Rep. of Moldova 0.38 99.4% 8.4% 5 Kazakhstan 32.24 87.2% 7.1% 6 Rwanda 0.02 99.8% 7.0% 7 Uganda 0.23 98.3% 4.5% 8 Paraguay 1.16 99.0% 3.7% 9 Tunisia 1.82 99.3% 3.6% 10 Greenland 0.02 99.7% 3.2% Table 28: Leading countries by volume of exports lost in the’ black hole of Geneva’ Rank Country Millions of metric tons Exports lost as a % of total exports to Switzerland 1 Russian Federation 60.80 98.7% 1.8% 2 Kazakhstan 32.24 87.2% 7.1% 3 Brazil 21.00 94.6% 1.2% 4 Indonesia 8.72 99.1% 0.6% 5 Norway 4.28 90.7% 0.5% 6 South Africa 3.69 83.9% 0.6% 7 Ukraine 3.17 98.3% 0.6% 8 Colombia 2.16 95.6% 0.6% 9 Zambia 2.12 99.8% 27.7% 10 Tunisia 1.82 99.3% 3.6% Time to shine a light Enough oil to meet Swiss needs 75 times over is traded electronically via Switzerland, and more than 60 per cent of the world’s coffee beans and 80 million tons of grains and oil seeds pass virtually through the country every year.138 Switzerland’s low taxes and light regulation have transformed the country into the world’s leading market trader in many staples of daily life, including food. Switzerland occupies a uniquely powerful and damaging place at the centre of a nexus of financial secrecy and commodity trading, which strips the benefits of natural resource wealth and economic activity away from the poorest countries that need it most. With the opacity that surrounds this trading, the opportunities to hide abuse are legion. Exports lost as a % of total world exports There can be no question that capital loss – and the related tax losses – of the scale shown in this report is causing dramatic damage to human development and condemning millions of people to hunger and poverty. Were trade mispricing tackled, how many children, women and men could see their right to be free from hunger fulfilled? The results presented here indicate, in the strongest possible terms, that too many countries suffer Swissploitation, and too much development is being lost through the ‘black hole of Geneva’. It is surely time now to shine a light. 6. recommendations: w hat political eaders need o do in 2013 Christian Aid/Antoinette Powell Making lunch for pupils at Gbanyamni primary school as part of the Ghana School Feeding Programme (GSFP). Back in 2008, it was not uncommon for classrooms at Gbanyamni primary to remain empty for weeks as children missed school to accompany their parents to their farms. Since Gbanyamni secured support through the GSFP to ensure every pupil receives a free, healthy lunch, parents are now eager to send their children to school to benefit from the scheme. The GSFP is an example of a government introducing a policy to respond to the pressing needs of its population, but there are many more vulnerable children the programme is yet to reach hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 41 people rightly get angry when they work hard and pay their taxes but see others not paying their fair share. so this g8 will seek to maintain the momentum generated by the g20 on information exchange and the strengthening of international tax standards... and we will work with developing countries to help them improve their ability to collect tax too UK Prime Minister David Cameron, November 2012 The evidence in this report is an urgent call to action. Financial secrecy, especially in tax havens, allows MNCs to deprive developing countries of badly needed revenues to tackle the scandal of hunger. Ending financial secrecy and ensuring governments and business adopt greater transparency would make a huge difference. To make that happen, two major issues must be addressed. First, to fight tax dodging and illicit capital flight effectively, the revenue authorities of developing countries must be able to access information that exists in other jurisdictions about the assets, income and corporate structures of all business entities operating within their borders, particularly in tax havens. They must also be able to investigate the accounts of wealthy citizens held offshore. Accessing that information at present is impossible in the vast majority of cases. International concern about tax havens and the tax affairs of MNCs has grown since the start of the global financial crisis. In 2011, the G20 declared ‘we are committed to protect our public finances and the global financial system from the risks posed by tax havens and non-cooperative jurisdictions’.139 The G20’s call for ‘non-cooperative jurisdictions’ (tax havens) to share more tax information has led to a proliferation of bilateral tax information exchange agreements between countries.140 In addition, it has encouraged countries to sign up to a Multilateral Convention on Mutual Assistance in Tax Matters, making it easier for all signatories to share information about tax affairs.141 These moves are welcome, but in practice do not go far enough. Governments and tax havens that seek the economic benefits of global trade should also share the costs of making sure globalisation is not abused. These costs include requiring automatic information exchange. A second key issue is that at present it is often impossible to identify the ultimate – or beneficial – owner of a company, foundation or trust. Obscure company ownership structures, often based in tax havens, that disguise the identity of the beneficial owner can facilitate tax dodging and other illicit activities. Even law enforcement authorities frequently struggle to identify the beneficial owner of assets held in tax havens. A World Bank review of 213 big corruption cases between 1980-2010 found that more than 70 per cent relied on anonymous shell entities, with firms registered in the US and the UK and its crown dependencies and overseas territories at the forefront of setting up such companies.142 The Financial Action Task Force (FATF), a consortium of NGOs and governments (including those of France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the UK), has recommended that all jurisdictions should adopt legislative measures to guarantee the disclosure of beneficial ownership.143 Developing countries are increasingly demanding that wealthier countries tackle tax havens, financial secrecy and tax dodging. Indian President Pranab Mukherjee has called for the obligatory, global automatic exchange of tax information, describing it as ‘one of the most effective ways to reduce tax evasion’.144 India has also called on the G20 to ensure that tax havens join this regime.145 With insufficient action by the wealthiest countries, others are starting their own initiatives: 21 African countries recently agreed the text of an African multilateral tax cooperation agreement, providing the legal tools to pursue tax avoidance and evasion across borders.146 While this is positive, illicit capital flight, trade mispricing and tax dodging are global problems that require determined and well-coordinated global action. a unique opportunity for the uK government This year, the UK will chair the G8 summit. This is a golden opportunity to give new impetus to action on tax havens at international level through a new Convention on Tax Transparency, providing a framework for all countries to cooperate in tackling tax haven secrecy. Indeed, there is a particular onus on the UK to do so since three British crown dependencies and 14 overseas territories, notably the Cayman Islands and Jersey, are among the world’s leading tax havens. The UK government recognises that ‘tax avoidance in developing countries deprives governments of the vital income needed to build and maintain their public services’, and the Department for International Development (DFID) supports projects in developing countries to improve tax collection and administration.147 Prime Minister David Cameron has publicly criticised the way companies ‘use the complexity of the tax and legal system to try and endlessly reduce their tax 42 Who pays the price? This year, the uK hosts the meeting of g8 leaders. We are determined to use our presidency to drive a serious debate on tax evasion and tax avoidance. This will include action to help developing countries collect tax that is due to them Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, February 2013148 payments’.149 As recently as November 2012, in a joint statement with the German finance minister at the G20, Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne called for ‘concerted international cooperation to strengthen international tax standards that at the minute may mean that international companies can pay less tax than they would otherwise owe’.150 Treasury minister David Gauke has promised more international cooperation against tax havens.151 In particular, the government has championed the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters as a platform for such cooperation.152 However, these positive words now need to be followed by effective action. David Cameron has said that the G8’s approach to global injustice cannot be about ‘rich countries doing things to poor countries’. It must be about ‘us putting our own house in order and helping developing countries to prosper’.153 A recent enquiry by the all-party International Development Committee called on the government to give more consideration to the impact of UK tax policy on developing countries.154 The British public’s view of tax avoidance Clamping down on tax havens and tax avoidance is certainly popular. A 2012 YouGov poll found that 79 per cent of the British public believe the government is not doing enough to tackle tax avoidance by large companies.155 Another 2012 poll revealed that 56 per cent believe that tax avoidance by MNCs, while legal, is morally wrong, and half think it should be made illegal. Some 79 per cent of people polled say it is too easy for MNCs in the UK to avoid paying tax. And 74 per cent believe that David Cameron should demand international action to tackle tax evasion and avoidance, with only 38 per cent saying the government is genuine in its desire to do so.156 The Confederation of British Industry has said that it supports ‘the end of secrecy jurisdictions’.157 The 2013 budget should be a place to start. UK tax rules, particularly those governing the taxation of UK taxpayers’ overseas operations and income, should make it harder, not easier, for MNCs to shift profits out of developing countries, and dodge taxes. UK tax rules could also help remove the obstacles preventing developing countries from obtaining information about the tax practices of UK-headquartered MNCs, for example, by expanding the UK’s tax disclosure rules to force companies and wealthy individuals to disclose their participation in a much broader range of international tax avoidance schemes, rather than the very narrow, specialised scope of the current rules. These disclosure rules may have helped to curtail £12.5bn worth of sophisticated UK tax avoidance schemes since 2004, including two £500m tax avoidance schemes used by just one high street bank in early 2012.158 Yet the National Audit Office has said the rules have not yet tackled most of the tax schemes and arrangements in current use.159 At the international level, the G8, chaired by the UK government, should take the opportunity to commit to and implement the highest standards on transparency and provide a rallying point for those committed to tax transparency. G8 countries have been increasing the pressure on tax havens to open up and share information on a bilateral basis.160 This has shown that the G8 countries have the power to force tax havens to cooperate. Developing countries lack the political and economic power to get similar cooperation from tax havens, and so it is necessary for the G8 countries to make it clear that they expect tax havens to offer developing countries the same information that G8 countries are receiving. R hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 43 ●● The UK should also seek to both ensure that the G8 countries are doing the best they can to set the highest standards in tackling tax dodging, as well as looking to use their political and economic power to bring changes that benefit all countries. Additional action that the governments of the UK and Ireland should take ●● What the UK and G8 can do at international level To ensure we see international action that can really deliver benefits for developing countries, we call on the UK government to lead the G8 in taking meaningful steps towards global tax transparency by: ●● ●● Ending tax haven secrecy by 2016: tackle global tax haven secrecy once and for all by launching a Convention on Tax Transparency at the 2013 G8. G8 governments should be the first signatories, acknowledging that, as some of the world’s biggest economies, they should lead in instituting transparency measures to prevent companies and individuals from hiding wealth – such as a global standard for registration and public disclosure of ownership of companies and trusts – and should report on their progress by 2014. Ending corporate taxpayer secrecy by 2016: introduce country-by-country reporting for all sectors within the G8’s own jurisdictions, and push the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) to have country-by-country reporting as a global accounting standard. The governments of the UK and Ireland should ensure that the G20 adopts all recommendations provided in 2011 by the OECD, UN, World Bank and IMF to support the development of more effective tax systems. These include: ●● ●● The G8 should also commit to pushing tax havens to sign this Convention on Tax Transparency and join the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance on Tax Matters, committing them to sharing critical information on hidden wealth and assets at all levels of information exchange permitted under the Multilateral Convention; and should take robust and binding counter-measures against tax havens that fail to participate in these initiatives by the end of 2013. ●● The OECD and G20 members have recently launched the Base Erosion and Profit Shifting initiative (BEPS). In 2013, the governments of the UK and Ireland should ensure that developing countries are included in the negotiations. The measures adopted must enable developing countries to obtain their fair share of tax. Abusive tax avoidance by MNCs needs to be tackled. ●● ●● ●● ●● undertaking ‘spillover’ analysis of the impact of their own tax systems on those of developing countries supporting efforts to develop policies, such as transfer pricing legislation, to counter tax evasion and avoidance in developing countries promoting the development of an analytical framework to assess the cost and benefits of tax incentives, and developing guidance for countries using tax incentives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) promoting effective exchange of tax information encouraging MNCs to provide the relevant and necessary information to developing countries in which they operate, and apply domestic rules to ensure that transfer-pricing practices of any particular entity do not result in a misallocation of profit out of its jurisdiction. At the European Union level, the governments of the UK and Ireland should ensure that the new AntiMoney Laundering Directive removes the cloak of secrecy around ownership of companies. National registries should be established to collect and publish the real (beneficial) owners of companies and trusts. The UK and Irish governments should encourage other countries beyond the EU to also adopt this standard. 44 Who pays the price? endnotes 1 S p 2 D C 3 h b f 4 d 5 R w 6 7 t d 8 fi 9 1 g fi 1 1 1 1 a F M 1 1 1 – c i 1 1 I i 2 O D 2 2 a t 2 l u o 2 p D 2 D m hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 45 for sustainable markets in agriculture, HBF and MISEREOR, 2007. investopedia.com/terms/s/sez.asp#axzz2JRnQ5gGY 50 See note 44. 70 ‘India has 3rd largest number of transfer pricing cases: E&Y’, The 51 Measure of the deviation of the distribution of income (or Economic Times, 20 August 2012, http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes. com/2012-08-20/news/33288009_1_transfer-prices-e-y-partner-intercompany-transactions consumption) among individuals or households within a country from a perfectly equal distribution. A value of 0 represents absolute equality, a value of 100 represents absolute inequality. 52 According to the Global Hunger Index elaborated by IFPRI, the food security situation is considered as ‘extremely alarming’ when the GHI is higher than 30; ‘alarming’ for values between 20 and 29.9; ‘serious’ when between 10 and 19.9; ‘moderate’ for values between 5 and 9.9; and ‘low’ when lower than 5. The GHI combines three equally weighted indicators: 1) the proportion of undernourished people as a percentage of the population; 2) the prevalence of underweight children under the age of five; and 3) the mortality rate of children under the age of five. See ifpri.org/sites/ default/files/publications/ghi12.pdf 53 World Bank, World Development Indicators Database, Human Development Unit, South Asia Region, World Bank, 2012. 54 Government of India (2007a), National Family Health Survey 2005-06, 71 SPS Pannu, ‘I-T says transfer pricing is key to illicit fund flow’, Business Today, 27 January 2011, http://businesstoday.intoday.in/story/consensus-ongst-may-take-time-fm/1/12800.html 72 Report available at india.gfintegrity.org/ 73 Government of India (various years), Union Budget 74 Government of India (various years), Union Budget. 75 See www.digestyc.gob.sv/index.php/temas/des/ehpm.html 76 ’Nutrición de un Vistazo, El Salvador’, siteresources.worldbank.org/ NUTRITION/Resources/281846-1271963823772/ElSalvadorSPA91311web. pdf 77 Ministerio de Economía. ‘Encuesta de Hogares de Propósitos IIPS (International Institute of Population Science) and Macro International. Múltiples, 2011’. Julio de 2012. http://www.digestyc.gob.sv/index.php/ temas/des/ehpm/publicaciones-ehpm.html 55 K Suneetha, P K Joshi, S Mahendra Dev, T Nanda Kumar and Vijay Vyas, 78 Banco Central de Reserva de El Salvador, Revista Trimestral, ‘A Nutrition Secure India: Role of Agriculture’, Economic and Political Weekly, 25 February 2012. 56 Dreze Jean and Amartya Sen, ‘Putting Growth in Its Place’, Outlook, 14 November 2011. 57 Purnima Menon, Anil Deolalikar, Anjor Bhaskar, The India State Hunger Index: Comparisons Of Hunger Across States, 2008 www.theaahm.org/ fileadmin/user_upload/aahm/docs/India-State-Hunger-Index.pdf (quarterly magazine), 2001-2012, bcr.gob.sv/esp/index.php?option=com_ wrapper&view=wrapper&Itemid=288 79 Ibid. 80 Figures obtained from El Salvador’s annual budget for respective years. 81 Ministerio de Justicia y Seguridad Publica, El Salvador, www. 58 Ibid. seguridad.gob.sv/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=79&I temid=137 59 J Venkatesan, ‘Release 5 million tonnes of foodgrains: Supreme 82 Gobierno de El Salvador, Plan Quinquenal de Desarrollo, 2010-2014, Court’, The Hindu, 14 May 2011, viewed on 26 December 2012, thehindu. com/news/national/release-5-million-tonnes-of-foodgrains-supreme-court/ article2018995.ece 60 Gargi Parsai, ‘Food Minister meets Manmohan for review of Mayo 2010, http://tecnica.presidencia.gob.sv/index.php?option=com_conte nt&view=article&id=54&Itemid=108 83 Juan Pablo Jiménez, Juan Carlos Gómez Sabaini, and Andrea Podestá, Tax Gap and Equity in Latin America and the Caribbean, ECLAC, 2012, www. eclac.org/de/publicaciones/sinsigla/xml/0/39960/Fiscal_Studies_No16_End. pdf foodgrains procurement policy’, The Hindu, 7 November 2012, viewed on 26 December 2012, thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/foodminister-meets-manmohan-for-review-of-foodgrains-procurement-policy/ article4072395.ece 84 Ibid. 61 ‘Food grains wasted amid starvation death reports’, Ucan India, May 85 Gobierno de El Salvador, El camino del cambio en El Salvador, Mayo 2012, viewed on 26 December 2012, ucanindia.in/news/food-grains-wastedamid-starvation-death-reports/17699/daily 2010, http://tecnica.presidencia.gob.sv/novedades/publicaciones/el-caminodel-cambio-en-el-salvador.html 62 Desai, Sonalde, Amaresh Dubey, B L Joshi, Mitali Sen, Abusaleh 86 See note 77. Shariff and Reeve Vanneman, Human Development in India: Challenges for a Society in Transition, New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 2010. Government of India (2007a): National Family Health Survey 2005-06, IIPS (International Institute of Population Science) and Macro International. Government of India (2007b): National Sample Survey (61st Round, 2004-05), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI), August 2007. 63 Ibid. 64 World Development Indicators Database, World Bank, Human Development Unit, South Asia Region, 2012. 65 Revenue Mobilization in Developing Countries, IMF, 2011, www.imf. org/external/np/pp/eng/2011/030811.pdf 66 Government Finance Statistics 2011, IMF. 67 USAID, 2010-2011. http://egateg.usaid.gov/collecting-taxes 68 Government of India, Revenue Forgone statement, Union Budget, 2008-2012. 69 Special economic zones have economic regulations that are different from other areas in the same country. These regulations tend to contain measures that are conducive to foreign direct investment, such as offering companies tax incentives and the opportunity to pay lower tariffs. See 87 Daniel Trujillo, ‘Gran empresa se ha beneficiado con más de $9 mil millones del Gobierno’, Diario Colatino, 16 February 2011, www. diariocolatino.com/es/20110216/portada/89547/Gran-empresa-se-habeneficiado-con-m%C3%A1s-de-$9-mil-millones-del-Gobierno.htm 88 Population and Housing Census 2010, Ghana Statistical Service, statsghana.gov.gh/docfiles/2010phc/Census2010_Summary_report_of_ final_results.pdf 89 Comprehensive Food Security and Vulnerability Analysis, World Food Programme, 2009. 90 Ghana Statistical Service, 2007, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/ groups/public/documents/ena/wfp201820.pdf 91 W Laube, B Schraven and M Awo, ‘Smallholder adaptation to climate change: dynamics and limits in Northern Ghana’, Climatic Change , 111:753–774, 2012, available at www.zef.de/fileadmin/media/news/77ac_ laube-schraven-awo_smallholder_adaption.pdf 92 W Quaye, ‘Food Security Situation in Northern Ghana: coping strategies and related constraints’, African Journal of Agricultural Research, Vol 3(5), 2008. 93 Ibid. 94 S Antwi, ‘Malnutrition: Missed Opportunities for Diagnosis’, Ghana 46 Who pays the price? Medicial Journal, 2008, ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2643431/#R7 95 At the Second Ordinary Assembly of the African Union in July 2003 in Maputo, African heads of state and governments endorsed the Maputo Declaration on Agriculture and Food Security in Africa. The declaration contained several important decisions regarding agriculture, but prominent among them was the ‘commitment to the allocation of at least 10 per cent of national budgetary resources to agriculture and rural development policy implementation within five years’. See www.neapd.org/foodsecurity/ agriculture/about for more details. 96 This figure is taken from the METASIP and is based on the exchange rate as at November 2012. 97 GSFP 2011, Annual Operating Plan, available at sign-schoolfeeding. org/_dynamic/downloads/AOP%202011%20final%20draft.pdf Avoidance in Developing Countries: the role of International Profit Shifting, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation, August 2009, http://eureka. bodleian.ox.ac.uk/3257/1/WP1012.pdf 116 Orbis is a company database published by Bureau van Dijk, bvdinfo. com 117 Note that the number of observations for the same country varies in the different tables. This is because each ratio requires different data so, for the same company, Orbis can sometimes provide data to calculate one specific ratio, but not other ratios. 118 The data used contained the four-digit NACE Rev 2 codes that provide information on industry. In our research, in order to control for sector heterogeneity, we used in our regression model the full set of NACE twodigit industry dummies, in line with Fuest and Riedel (2012). 98 Francisco De Carvalho, Beattie Samuel Dom, Michael 119 OECD, Addressing Base Erosion and Profit Shifting, February 2012, MawuliFiadzigbey et al, School Feeding Program: retooling for development, 2011, available at sign-schoolfeeding.org/_dynamic/downloads/2011%20 BD%202011_GSFP_ReTooling%20for%20a%20Sustainable%20Future_ Final_report.pdf Paris, oecd.org/tax/beps.htm 99 See note 94. 100 See note 94. 101 Government of Ghana, Budget Statement, 2012. 102 ataftax.net/news/member-news/food-security-ghana-whengovernments-care.aspx 103 The NYEP is a social development programme that is aimed at reducing youth unemployment by engaging the youth in various short-term job opportunities. 104 youth-employment-inventory.org/inventory/view/404/ 105 The convention is a multilateral instrument for tax cooperation and exchange of information to counter cross-border tax evasion. See www.oecd.org/tax/exchangeofinformation/ conventiononmutualadministrativeassistanceintaxmatters.htm 106 Abena D Oduro, Gender and Taxation: the Case of Ghana, Department of Economics, University of Ghana, January 2009, http://sds.ukzn.ac.za/ files/Ghana_PIT_2009.pdf 107 W Prichard and I Bentum of A, A & K , Taxation and Development in Ghana: Finance, Equity and Accountability, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, www.taxjustice.net/cms/upload/pdf/ Ghana_0906_Report_printer_friendly.pdf 108 Government of Ghana Budget Statement, 2012. 109 It is unclear how these figures were arrived at by the IMF; they may cover only import duty exemptions, which is what government figures tend to mention. IMF, Staff report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation, 12 May 2011, p30, www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=24912.0 110 Southern Africa Resource Watch, TJN Africa, TWN Africa, ActionAid, Christian Aid, Breaking the Curse: How transparent taxation and fair taxes can turn Africa’s mineral wealth into development, 2007, christianaid.org.uk/ Images/breaking-the-curse.pdf 111 Martin Hearson and Richard Brooks, Calling Time: Why SABMiller should stop dodging taxes in Africa, ActionAid, 2010, actionaid.org.uk/ doc_lib/calling_time_on_tax_avoidance.pdf 112 David McNair, Andrew Hogg et al, False Profits, robbing the poor to keep the rich tax-free, Christian Aid, 2009, christianaid.org.uk/images/falseprofits.pdf 113 See note 104. 114 In our research, we considered a jurisdiction a tax haven if it was classified as so in at least seven of 13 different lists of tax havens elaborated by different sources. 115 To avoid distortions through outliers, we drop observations with a pre-tax profitability low below one or a pre-tax profitability above one. That, however, does not qualitatively affect our results. This is consistent with similar research conducted by C Fuest and N Riedel, Tax Evasion and Tax 120 Berne Declaration (ed), Commodities: Switzerland’s most dangerous business, 2011, p21, www.evb.ch/cm_data/2011_09_19_Berne_ Declaration_-_Commodities_-_English_Sample.pdf 121 See financialsecrecyindex.com/2011results.html for details. 122 Commodity trade data are taken from the UN Comtrade database that collates, standardises and makes available data from national authorities (typically customs) on the annual quantity, value and trade-partner country of commodity trade. United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database, Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Statistics Division, http:// comtrade.un.org/db/ 123 Andrew Hogg, Rachel Baird, Nick Mathiason and Alex Cobham, Blowing the Whistle. Time is up for financial secrecy, Christian Aid, 2010, pp22-23, http://bit.ly/CABtW 124 See note 115, p38. As documented by The Berne Declaration, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) does provide some additional data on the ‘transit’ trade (ie the trade that never reaches the country). However, this does not allow equivalent analysis against the global standard data that the UN Comtrade database provides. One clear advocacy ask that emerges from this, however, would be for the SNB to provide this data in the appropriate form to the UN system as a separate trading category from actual (non-‘transit’) Swiss trade. 125 See note 120. 126 Swiss National Bank, Swiss Balance of Payments, 2011, p37, snb.ch/ ext/stats/bop/pdf/en/bop.book.pdf 127 Ibid, p39. 128 Quoted in: Why No Thought for Food? A UK Parliamentary Inquiry into Global Food Security, January 2010. 129 This analysis is based on commodities for which there exists trade records in Balance of Payments, so not on transit trade, which is recorded in Switzerland as trade services. 130 Complications in the data collation process mean that there are some limitations to what can be expected of the dataset. Comtrade lists six limitations, which can be summarised as follows. 1. Confidentiality results in some data on detailed commodity categories not being available, although this is still captured in data on higher-level aggregates. 2. Coverage is not complete; that is, while the database runs from 1961 to the present, not all countries report all of their trade for every year. 3. Classifications vary; that is, different commodity classifications are used by different countries in different periods, so comparisons cannot always be exact. 4. Conversion cannot always be precise; that is, where the database includes data that has been converted from one classification to another, these will not always map precisely one on to the other and hence imprecision may result. 5. Consistency between reporters of the same trade is not guaranteed: that is, exporter and importer country will record the same trade hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 47 differently ‘due to various factors including valuation (imports CIF, exports FOB), differences in inclusions/exclusions of particular commodities, timing etc’. 6. Country of origin rules mean that the ‘partner country’ recorded for imports will generally be the country of origin and need not imply a direct trading relationship. These limitations mean that caution is required, but do not prevent reasonable use of the data. 131 It is important to note that our estimation of Swissploitation refers to recorded trade only, and excludes possible capital lost through transit trade, which surely offers – because of its lack of transparency – higher opportunities to hide profits. 132 ‘Over this period, incremental annual public expenditures of US$50.2bn are estimated to be required (in addition to existing levels of funding) to support investment in rural agriculture, natural resource conservation, research, development and extension and rural institutions, but also to provide safety nets aimed at those suffering from hunger’. FAO, State of Food Insecurity in the World, 2012, fao.org/docrep/016/i3027e/ i3027e.pdf 133 www.oecd.org/dataoecd/42/20/47457763.xls 134 United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database, Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Statistics Division, comtrade.un.org/db/ 135 Note that developing country totals include ‘low-income’, ‘lowermiddle-income’ and ‘upper-middle-income’ countries. 136 UN Comtrade data, for 244 countries/trade jurisdictions, 2,596 Independent, 11 October 2011, independent.co.uk/news/business/news/ british-firms-attacked-for-routine-use-of--tax-havens-2368753.html 149 A Goodhall, ‘Large companies should pay “a fair tax rate”, says Cameron’, Tax Journal, 6 January 2012. 150 Patrick Wintour, ‘UK and Germany agree tax crackdown on multinational companies’, the Guardian, 5 November 2012, guardian.co.uk/ business/2012/nov/05/uk-germany-tax-crackdown-multinationals 151 David Gauke MP, Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury, at the Cross Atlantic and European Tax Symposium, speech on 9 September 2011, hmtreasury.gov.uk/speech_xst_090911.htm 152 David Gauke, House of Commons, Hansard, 3 November 2011, c733W. Development Minister Stephen O’Brien has said: ‘The government strongly supports improvements in international tax information exchange to help all countries, including developing countries, tackle tax evasion and avoidance. The work of the Global Forum on Tax Transparency and Exchange of Information, which the UK fully supports and which developing countries are being encouraged to join, is particularly important in this respect. In addition, one of the government’s first acts on coming into office was to sign up to a new international protocol strengthening the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)/Council of Europe Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters.’ House of Commons, Hansard, 18 October 2011, c910W. 153 David Cameron, ‘A G8 meeting that goes back to first principles’, EU Observer, 21 November 2012, http://euobserver.com/opinion/118265 commodity codes (selected as those most appropriate for the other elements of this analysis, focusing on price by weight comparison) and the most recent four years of data available: 2007-2010. NB currency values are given in year 2010 US dollars, with earlier years adjusted for inflation using the US GDP deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (Feb 2012 update). 154 House of Commons, International Development Committee, ‘Tax 137 Berne Declaration (Ed), La Suisse, Le Negoce et La Malediction des 156 ‘Majority of British adults say tax avoidance is “morally wrong”’, matieres premieres, Swiss Trading SA, 2011. 138 Rupert Neate, ‘Swiss fear role as haven for secretive resource traders will cost the country’, the Guardian, 29 November 2012, guardian.co.uk/ world/2012/nov/29/switzerland-commodities-trading-political-cost in Developing Countries: Increasing resources for development’, Fourth Report of Session 2012-13, 16 July 2012. 155 ActionAid, Collateral Damage: How government plans to water down UK anti-tax haven rules could cost developing countries – and the UK – billions, March 2012 , p1. Christian Aid press release,16 August 2012, christianaid.org.uk/pressoffice/ pressreleases/august-2012/british-adults-tax-avoidance-morally-wrong.aspx 157 ‘CBI backs end to financial secrecy, as MPs investigate tax dodging’, 35. Christian Aid press release ,27 February 2012, christianaid.org.uk/ pressoffice/pressreleases/February-2012/cbi-backs-end-financial-secrecymps-investigate-tax-dodging.aspx 140 ActionAid, Addicted to Tax Havens: The secret life of the FTSE 100, 158 HMRC, ‘Tax avoidance schemes closed’, 27 February 2012; OECD, 139 Cannes G20 Summit Final Declaration, 4 November 2011, paragraph October 2011, p7. 141 ‘G20 renews the fight against tax haven secrecy’, Christian Aid press release, November 2011, christianaid.org.uk/pressoffice/pressreleases/ november-2011/g20-renews-the-fight-against-tax-haven-secrecy.aspx 142 World Bank/UN Office on Drugs and Crime, The Puppet Masters: how the corrupt use legal structures to hide stolen assets and what to do about it, 2011. 143 See ‘Beneficial ownership’ at http://www.financialtaskforce.org/ issues/beneficial-ownership/ and Global Witness, Undue Diligence: How banks do business with corrupt regimes, March 2009, http://www. globalwitness.org/library/undue-diligence-how-banks-do-business-corruptregimes 144 ‘India presses for automatic exchange of tax info at G20’, Times of India, 21 April 2012, http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/ international-business/India-presses-for-automatic-exchange-of-tax-infoat-G20/articleshow/12800220.cms 145 ‘G20: India to press for transparency in tax haven functioning’, Times of India, 18 February 2011, http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/201102-18/india/28614879_1_tax-havens-black-money-tax-information 146 ‘Twenty-one African Countries finalise Mutual Assistance Agreement in collecting taxes’, African Tax Administration Forum, 2 August 2012. 147 guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/feb/16/george-osborne-on-his-taxreform-agenda 148 A Grice, ‘British firms attacked for routine use of tax havens’, The Tackling Aggressive Tax Planning through improved reporting and disclosure: report on disclosure initiatives, February 2011, p17; HMT press release, ‘Government to tighten net round cowboy tax advisers’, 23 July 2012. 159 National Audit Office, Tax avoidance: tackling marketed avoidance schemes, 21 November 2012. 160 The FATCA regulation in the US has led to many countries, including some tax havens, agreeing to automatic information exchange with the US. 48 Who pays the price? abbreviations APA: advance pricing agreement GNI: gross national income BEPS: Base Erosion and Profit Shifting GRA: Ghana Revenue Authority CBGA: Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability GSFP: Ghana School Feeding Programme IASB: International Accounting Standards Board DFID: Department for International Development MDGs: millennium development goals DOTAS: Disclosure of Tax Avoidance Schemes ECLAC: Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean METASIP: Medium Term Agriculture Sector Investment Plan MNCs: multinational corporations FAO: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations NAC: National Advisory Council FATF: Financial Action Task Force NEPAD: New Partnership for Africa’s Development FDI: foreign direct investment NYEP: national youth employment programme FESPAD: La Fundación para el Estudio y la Aplicación de la Ley (Foundation for the Study and Application of Law) OECD: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development GAAR: General Anti-Avoidance Rule PDS: public distribution system GDP: gross domestic product UN COMTRADE: United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics Database GHI: Global Hunger Index UN: United Nations GII: Ghana Integrity Initiative hunger: The hidden cost of tax injustice 49 appendix Regression number Dependent variable: MNCs with no tax haven links MNCs with tax haven links 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Profitability Profitability Profitability Tax per assets Tax per assets Tax per assets Tax per profits Tax per profits Tax per profits 4.104*** 3.608*** 1.905*** 1.087*** 0.851*** 0.724*** 19.31 31.49 26.84 (0) (6.7e-11) (0.000734) (0) (1.98e-09) (6.27e-07) (0.558) (0.352) (0.443) 3.952*** 3.443*** 0.806 0.671*** 0.441*** 0.247 10.26 23.54 16.30 (0) (1.17e-09) (0.178) (2.44e-06) (0.00253) (0.109) (0.760) (0.498) (0.662) Total assets (log, 2010) Industry NACE dummies included Number of observations 0.721*** 0.0572*** 2.332 (0) (0.000132) (0.597) No Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes Yes 9,545 9,466 9,466 9,212 9,135 9,135 7,988 7,916 7,916 p-value in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Table in appendix 1 shows the results for 9 regressions, 3 per each of the variables analysed: profitability, taxes paid per unit of assets and taxes paid per unit of profit. The first specification in each block of regressions (specifications 1, 4 and 7) shows the results for a simple ordinary least squares model that regresses the dependent variable on two dummy variables: MNCs with connections to tax havens and MNCs with no connections to tax havens. Specifications 2, 5 and 8 control for sector heterogeneity. This is done by incorporating a full set of two-digit industry dummies, as provided by the Orbis database . Finally, specifications 3, 6 and 9 control for corporations’ size by including the logarithm of the firm’s total assets as an additional control variable. As the parameters for industry dummies and total assets are largely significant, their inclusion improves the regression specifications. Therefore, regressions 3, 6 and 9 (ie those that include all these explanatory variables) can be considered as the most suitable for interpretation. Acknowledgements Main author: Alex Prats Main contributors: Andrew Hogg, Alex Cobham (who, as Christian Aid’s Chief Policy Officer, led on the research for chapter 5), Petr Jansky (consultant, who provided research support for chapters 4 and 5), Ernest Okyere, John Kumar, and Alexis Moncada. Thanks to: Sol Oyuela, Sophie Powell, Nadia Saracini, Antoinette Powell, Joe Stead, Heather Lowe and Joshua Simmons (Global Financial Integrity), and Andreas Missbach (Berne Declaration). And Christian Aid partners: La Fundación para el Estudio y la Aplicación de la Ley (Foundation for the Study and Application of Law/FESPAD) and Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability (CBGA). Editorial, design and production: Christian Aid’s Creative team. Thanks also to: the Task Force on Financial Integrity and Economic Development, which financially supported the research included in this report. christianaid.org.uk christianaid.ie UK registered charity number 1105851 Company number 5171525 Scotland charity number SC039150 Northern Ireland charity number XR94639 Company number NI059154 Republic of Ireland charity number CHY 6998 Company number 426928 The Christian Aid name and logo are trademarks of Christian Aid Poverty Over is a trademark of Christian Aid © Christian Aid March 2013 13-017-J1153
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