Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / p a l a e o Long-term climate variability in continental subarctic Canada: A 6200-year record derived from stable isotopes in peat Päivi Kaislahti Tillman a,⁎, Steffen Holzkämper a,b,1, Peter Kuhry a,2, A. Britta K. Sannel a,3, Neil J. Loader c,4, Iain Robertson c,5 a b c Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Becherweg 21, 55099 Mainz, Germany Department of Geography, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 10 May 2010 Received in revised form 9 September 2010 Accepted 29 September 2010 Available online 7 October 2010 Keywords: Stable isotopes Subarctic Sphagnum Climate reconstruction a b s t r a c t The rapid warming of arctic regions during recent decades has been recorded by instrumental monitoring, but the natural climate variability in the past is still sparsely reconstructed across many areas. We have reconstructed past climate changes in subarctic west-central Canada. Stable carbon and oxygen isotope ratios (δ13C, δ18O) were derived from a single Sphagnum fuscum plant component; α-cellulose isolated from stems. Periods of warmer and cooler conditions identified in this region, described in terms of a “Mediaeval Climatic Anomaly” and “Little Ice Age” were registered in the temperature reconstruction based on the δ13C record. Some conclusions could be drawn about wet/dry shifts during the same time interval from the δ18O record, humification indices and the macrofossil analysis. The results were compared with other proxy data from the vicinity of the study area. The amplitude of the temperature change was similar to that in chironomid based reconstructions, showing c. 6.5 ± 2.3 °C variability in July temperatures during the past 6.2 ka. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Holocene palaeoclimate reconstructions of the northern hemisphere and the arctic regions have been developed based upon a range of proxies including tree-rings, chironomids, diatoms and pollen (Overpeck et al., 1997; Moberg et al., 2005; Viau et al., 2006; Barnekow et al., 2007). Many studies were conducted in coastal areas influenced by maritime air masses but studies from remote areas with continental climate are rare. Differences in air mass flow from different sources can impact temporal and spatial climate patterns (Latif and Barnett, 1994; Edwards et al., 1996; Trouet et al., 2009) and thus bias large scale reconstructions if data distribution is unevenly spaced. Climate responses in migrating permafrost zones and terrestrial ecoregions at high latitudes can act as feedback sources to climate change by enhancing greenhouse gas and water vapour release and by seasonal changes of land surface albedo (Christensen et al., 2004; Chapin et al., 2005; Johansson et al., 2006; MacDonald et al., ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +46 8 164961; fax: +46 8 164818. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (P. Kaislahti Tillman), [email protected] (S. Holzkämper), [email protected] (P. Kuhry), [email protected] (A.B.K. Sannel), [email protected] (N.J. Loader), [email protected] (I. Robertson). 1 Tel.: +49 6131 39 26732; fax: +49 6131 39 24735. 2 Tel.: +46 8 164806; fax: +46 8 164818. 3 Tel.: +46 8 164795; fax: +46 8 164818. 4 Tel.: +44 1792 295546; fax: +44 1792 295955. 5 Tel.: +44 1792 295184; fax: +44 1792 295955. 0031-0182/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.09.029 2006; McGuire et al., 2006; Schuur et al., 2009). In Canada, the recent warming has been most pronounced in the north-western parts (Prowse et al., 2009), but it is expected that the effects will be felt most extremely in the currently widespread discontinuous and sporadic permafrost zones, where peatlands cover vast areas in the boreal and subarctic ecoregions of the continental interior (Kettles and Tarnocai, 1999; Natural Resources Canada, 2007). An increase in mean annual temperatures by only 1–2 °C in these regions can lead to permafrost degradation in peatlands located in discontinuous permafrost areas with mean annual air temperatures just below zero, impacting factors such as vegetation, snow cover and local hydrology (Vitt et al., 1994; Jorgenson et al., 2001). Also transient warming can significantly impact permafrost environments and active layer depths (Smith et al., 2001). Each of the different environmental indicators (proxies) used to explore climatic changes has particular strengths and weaknesses in its ability to record changes over different spatio-temporal scales. Therefore, there is a need to develop multi-proxy studies and new methods capable of addressing existing research gaps. Several studies have corroborated the potential of stable isotopes archived in peat mosses as proxies for climate change (Ménot-Combes et al., 2002; Sharma et al., 2004; Loader et al., 2007; Lamentowicz et al., 2008; Daley et al., 2009, 2010; Loisel et al., 2009; Moschen et al., 2009; Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010). Plant macrofossil analysis can be used to detect variations in mire surface wetness as a proxy for changing environmental conditions (Kuhry et al., 1993; Barber et al., 2003; Oksanen, 2006; Väliranta et al., 2007) and is an important tool to identify and 236 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 select species for stable isotope studies that otherwise could be influenced by the varying botanical composition of peat. Climatic changes have also been reconstructed based on peat humification as indicator for dry/wet mire surface conditions back in time (Chambers et al., 1997; Chambers and Blackford, 2001; Roos-Barraclough et al., 2004; Borgmark, 2005; Payne and Blackford, 2008). In this study, we reconstruct July temperatures in subarctic westcentral Canada over the last ~6 ka. The study is based on new stable carbon isotope data from Sphagnum fuscum moss and an improved age model, in addition to the data presented in a methodological study by Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010, where stable isotope and peat humification palaeodata relationship as well as correlation to modern (~50 yr) meteorological observations were investigated. Here we also present new plant macrofossil analyses from two peat sequences that are used together with normalized and detrended humification indices and stable oxygen isotope time series to reconstruct past moisture conditions. Furthermore, we compare our results from north-eastern Saskatchewan (~ 60°N; 102–104°W) with results from previous studies in the region, mainly between c. 58–65°N and 94– 110°W in west-central Canada covering the past ~ 6 ka. The comparison also includes a study from east-central Canada from the discontinuous permafrost zone with similar climate conditions as our study region, and reconstructions in continental/hemispheric scale. As far as we know, no other comparable studies from Sphagnum have been made in the region. Therefore, other proxies derived from peat archives, lake sediments and tree-rings are considered. The main questions addressed in this study are: How did summer temperatures vary in west-central Canada during the past 6 ka? What conclusions can be drawn about moisture conditions in this region? Do peat moss stable isotope records show similar climate changes as other proxy records? 2. Background Selwyn Lake and Misaw Lake (Fig. 1) are located in the discontinuous permafrost zone (DPZ, permafrost covers 50–90% of the area) of subarctic Canada, where the tree line coincides approximately with the southern limit of the continuous permafrost zone (CPZ, permafrost N 90% of the area) and reflects the mean position of the arctic front in July (Gajewski and Atkinson, 2003). Peatland formation in this region was generally caused by paludification of upland forests (Zoltai, 1995). Peat plateaux and palsas are underlain by permafrost in the DPZ, unlike water bodies and many fens that are free of permafrost. The peat profiles used in our study, S52 (59°52'N, 104°12'W; 395 m elevation) and S53 (59°55'N, 104°13'W; 394 m elevation), were collected in 1993 southeast of Selwyn Lake. Profile S52 was cut from the edge of a forested peat plateau calving into Porcupine Bay and profile S53 from an unfrozen part of a peat plateau. A hummock ML3 (59°52'N, 102°34'W; 390 m elevation) representing modern peat accumulation was sampled in July 2005 at Misaw Lake, c. 90 km east of Selwyn Lake. The observed vegetation in the peatland (ombrotrophic peat plateau/palsa–minerotrophic fen/collapse scar–complex) at Selwyn Lake consisted of trees (Picea mariana, and Larix laricina), shrubs (Chamaedaphne calyculata, Ledum spp, Rubus chamaemorus, Oxycoccus palustris, Vaccinium uliginosum, and V. vitis-idaea), unidentified lichen species, mosses (Sphagnum fuscum, S. rubellum, S. cf. magellanicum, and Drepanocladus sp.) and sedges (Carex spp, Eriophorum sp., and Equisetum sp.). Around the Sphagnum fuscum hummock at Misaw Lake, vegetation consisted mainly of Picea mariana, Betula glandulosa, Ledum groenlandicum, and Vaccinium vitis-idaea. The oldest bottom peat dates back to c. 6600 cal BP at Selwyn Lake. Permafrost aggradation occurred more than 1 ka later Fig. 1. Study sites S52 and S53 are located c. 3 km from each other, close to the south-eastern shore of Selwyn Lake in NE Saskatchewan, Canada. Site ML3 is located at Misaw Lake, c. 90 km east of S52. Present permafrost zones: SPZ = sporadic, DPZ = discontinuous and CPZ = continuous permafrost zone (after Zoltai, 1995). Reference studies in the region: 1 Nichols (1967), 2 Kay (1979), 3 Tardif et al. (2008), 4 MacDonald et al. (2009), 5 Moser and MacDonald (1990), 6 Pienitz et al. (1999), 7 D'Arrigo and Jacoby (1993), and 8 Fallu et al. (2005, in the small scale map), marked by numbers and proxy symbols in the map. The most frequent wind directions in July at stations with continuous instrumental records imply a more southerly origin of air masses south of the boundary between DPZ and CPZ. The boundary approximately follows the actual tree line reflecting the mean summer position of the arctic front (Gajewski and Atkinson, 2003). P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 when isolating Sphagnum fuscum peat had become thick enough (Sannel and Kuhry, 2008). The present subarctic region in Canada is influenced by cold and dry arctic air masses most of the seasons. Warm air and (some) moisture of Pacific origin is transported across the Cordillera by westerly winds in the summer-time, when the Pacific-North American pattern characterized by meridional flow is not dominant (Edwards et al., 1996; Birks and Edwards, 2009). Continuous climate records were not available from the closest meteorological station at Stony Rapids (Environment Canada, 2010), so instrumental records from Ennadai Lake, Cree Lake, Fort Smith, Churchill Airport and Baker Lake were also used to estimate variations of temperature, precipitation and the most frequent wind direction in the region (Fig. 1). In Stony Rapids, mean January and July temperatures were -23.7 °C and +16.0 °C, respectively, mean annual air temperature (MAAT) was -3.3 °C and mean annual precipitation (MAP) was 430 mm in the period 1987–2002. In the whole region, MAAT varied between -2.3 °C (Cree Lake) and -11.8 °C (Baker Lake) and MAP between 270 mm (Baker Lake) and 446 mm (Cree Lake) in 1971–2000. During 1970–78 when observations were made in all six meteorological stations, average July temperatures were 15.6 °C in Stony Rapids, 15.3 °C in Cree Lake, 15.8 °C in Fort Smith, 13.2 °C in Ennadai Lake, 11.5 °C in Churchill, and 11.3 °C in Baker Lake. Mean temperature anomalies calculated from a combination of meteorological stations correlated well with observations from Stony Rapids, whereas precipitation amounts had a larger deviation. As no observations were reported from Stony Rapids between 1979 and July 1986, the time period 1987–2004 was chosen to calibrate the relationship between instrumental climate records and stable isotope ratios (δ13C, δ18O). When different time intervals between May and September were used to investigate the relationship between climate and stable isotope ratios of Sphagnum fuscum plant components, 60% (p b 0.01) of the variation in δ13C values of α-cellulose in stems were explained by the variability in July temperatures. No correlation was found between δ 13 C values and precipitation amounts (R 2 = 0.08; p = 0.43). δ18O values of α-cellulose from stems had weak positive correlations to both July temperatures (R2 = 0.38; p = 0.06) and precipitation amounts (R2 = 0.23; p = 0.16) (Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010). 3. Methods 237 3.2. Plant macrofossil analysis The hummock ML3 was analyzed at 1 cm intervals from the upper 25 cm, only three samples were analyzed below that level. The uppermost 60 cm of the profile S53 were analyzed, corresponding to a time period from recent to c. 1200 cal yr BP. Peat samples from ML3 and S53 were washed in NaOH (5%) and sieved with a 125 μm mesh. Plant macrofossils were identified under a stereo binocular (X25-40 magnification) with reference to literature (Hallingbäck and Holmåsen, 1982; Nilsson, 1986; Mossberg and Stenberg, 2008) and presented as volume percentages of the total sample. If the occurrence was less than 1% of the total sum, they were classified as locally “rare” and identified accordingly. Sphagnum species were identified under the light microscope mainly by stem leaf morphology (stained with methyl violet) with X400 magnification (Lange, 1982; Andersson et al., 1995), and compiled in diagrams as a percentage of species abundance among other plant remains, based on stem leaf counts (Johnson et al., 1990; Grimm, 2004–2008). The method description and results of macrofossil analysis for the profile S52 (SL1) were published by Sannel and Kuhry (2008). 3.3. Colorimetric analysis Bulk peat samples (1–2 cm3) were homogenised after oven drying at ~50 °C or freeze-drying. The method described by Blackford and Chambers (1993) was modified by reducing the sample size to 50 mg, and by centrifuging samples (10 min, 4000 rpm) after boiling in NaOH (8%) following the procedure described by Borgmark (2005). Samples were analyzed with a UNICAM spectrophotometer at 540 nm wavelength, 4 ± 0.5 h after initial mixing. Samples were recorded both as absorbance in logarithmic scale (high values indicate a high degree of humification) and as percentage transmission T (%) (low values indicate a high degree of humification). Absorbance values were normalized using the equation Ast = (A - μ)/σ, where Ast denotes a standardized absorbance value, A the original absorbance value, μ the mean value and σ the standard deviation of the dataset. The detrending was made by reducing Ast values with a difference to values A*st calculated by a linear regression between normalized values and the corresponding depths in the profile. This was made in order to compensate for possible anaerobic decay in catotelm and to create varying surface moisture conditions at peat formation and subsequent acrotelm humification (Gunnarson et al., 2003; Roos-Barraclough et al., 2004). 3.1. Chronology 3.4. Stable isotope analysis In this study, the chronology of the Selwyn Lake peat profile S53 was improved by an additional AMS radiocarbon date based on Sphagnum remains, 137Cs analysis of bulk samples and a subsequent modification of the age model of the top 0–60 cm, compared to the chronologies previously described by Kaislahti Tillman et al. (2010, in the Appendix). The modification consisted of extrapolation of accumulation rates in Sphagnum peat to lower and upper boundaries of a rootlet layer and a charcoal layer. Also chronological controls were conducted in order to correlate peat sequences of overlapping ages. After removal of organic material by ignition at 550 °C, cryptotephra was searched from residuals of the upper part of the profile S52 (overlapping S53) by polarizing microscope, but were absent. From the upper part of the profile S53 (overlapping the Misaw Lake hummock ML3), 137Cs analysis was made from bulk samples at the Department of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University. All radiocarbon dates were calibrated using the program OxCal 4.1.6 (Bronk Ramsey, 2010) and IntCal09 calibration curve (Reimer et al., 2009) and expressed in calendar years before present (cal yr BP) ± 2σ. Ages in older reference records, which were reported in non-calibrated years BP (Nichols, 1967; Kay, 1979), were calibrated in the same way and rounded off to the nearest multiple of ten as described by Stuiver and Polach (1977). In order to increase the temporal resolution at a more even spacing, additional stable carbon isotope values were incorporated into the original dataset described by Kaislahti Tillman et al. (2010). The isolation of α-cellulose followed the original chemical method (Green, 1963) modified to suit small (moss) samples (Loader et al., 1997; Rinne et al., 2005; Daley, 2007) and homogenized before freeze-drying (Loader et al., 2008). Isotope analyses (0.30–0.35 mg of the Sphagnum α-cellulose, standard Sigma cellulose, C4- and C3sugars and IAEA-standard cellulose) were performed by online combustion (carbon isotopes) and pyrolysis (oxygen isotopes) in a PDZ Europa ANCA GSL elemental analyser interfaced with a 20/20 isotope ratio mass spectrometer at Swansea University, UK. Stable carbon isotope ratios (δ13C) are presented as per mille (‰) deviations from the VPDB standard and stable oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O) as ‰ deviations from the VSMOW standard. The analytical precision of 13C for the Sigma cellulose standard was better than 0.1 ‰ (n = 19) and for the 18O IAEA standard better than 0.4‰ (n = 8). Since carbon released from anthropogenic sources is depleted in 13C, correction factors adapted from McCarroll and Loader (2004) were added to δ13C values after AD 1850. Linear relationships between stable isotope ratios and climate parameters were evaluated by analysis of variance 238 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 (ANOVA), t-test for a slope; the relationship was regarded significant if the p-value was b0.05. 4. Results 4.1. Chronology For the temperature reconstruction of the past c. 6.2 ka, only the upper part of the Selwyn Lake profile S53 (0–58 cm) was used to cover the hiatus in the upper part of the profile S52 (0–13 cm), enabling high time resolution with some overlap (Table 1). The age model of the profile S53 was modified because of the presence of a rootlet layer at 28– 33 cm depth (c. 360–110 cal yr BP) and a charcoal layer at 43–44 cm depth (c. 770–450 cal yr BP) (Fig. 2a). 137Cs measurements showed high values in the uppermost 5 cm of this profile collected in 1993 (Fig. 2b), which was interpreted as possibly fallout from the Chernobyl accident in 1986 and a subsequent uptake by fresh peat, as described by Rosén et al. (2009). A second peak at c. 13–18 cm was interpreted as 1963 bombtest fallout that had accumulated at 13–14 cm and migrated vertically into underlying peat. The age–depth model of ML3 was compiled with 1σ error bars (Fig. 2c). The uncertainty increased in samples accumulated before 1970, and the accumulation rate around 1960 was surprisingly high. Because a higher accumulation rate seems to be unlikely in peat with a higher decay rate (increase in colorimetric absorbance values at 27–33 cm depth, Fig. 2d), a plausible explanation is that the high fallout at the early 1960's has been migrating downward, as in the profile S53. Sample ages before 1120 cal yr BP were calculated from the age–depth model of the profile S52, based on the linear interpolation model in Kaislahti Tillman et al. (2010). 4.2. Stratigraphy and macrofossil analysis A macrofossil study and subsequent selection of branches or stems from one moss species is important for stable isotope time series, as isotope values vary in different species and in different plant components (Loader et al., 2007). The identification of Sphagnum species by stem leaf morphology and size was not always straightforward. In case of uncertainty or when stem leaves had been separated from stems (as they often are in highly decomposed peat), species were identified only at section level. S. fuscum is a species relatively resistant to decay (Johnson et al., 1990). It belongs to the Sphagnum section Acutifolia (Laine et al., 2009), and was possibly classified both on the species level and on the section level in a same sample because of identification problems (Fig. 3a–b). The youngest 25 cm of the hummock ML3 were dominated by Sphagnum fuscum. Low abundances of Dicranum sp. in the upper part and Polytrichum sp., dark roots, needles, bark, wood and fungal sclerotia/mycorrhizae cf. Cenococcum were found below 10 cm depth. Dicranum, Polytrichum and Cenococcum indicate dry permafrost conditions during the hummock growth (Oksanen, 2006). In the profile S53, S. fuscum was the dominant moss species throughout the peat sequence. Identification of Sphagnum species was uncertain in samples at 37–38 cm and 57–58 cm and therefore partly reported in the section level. Colorimetric values indicated high peat decay and dry conditions in the rootlet layer (28–33 cm), where no S. fuscum plants could be identified and picked for isotope analyses. The humification rate was high also in peat preserved below the rootlet layer, possibly because of secondary decomposition, i.e. deep decay during a dry period (Borgmark and Schoning, 2006; Sannel and Kuhry, 2009). In the topmost sample, a leafy liverwort Mylia anomala grew among S. fuscum indicating rather fresh surface conditions. The stratigraphy and macrofossil analysis of the profile S52 (SL1) consisting of repeated layers of Sphagnum peat, rootlet peat, and charcoal layers was slightly modified by adding a 3 cm thick lichen layer at the surface to all depths in SL1 given by Sannel and Kuhry (2008). The topmost lichen layer indicates dry surface conditions. Table 1 137 Cs and AMS-radiocarbon dates used in the age–depth models. Unpublished data is marked with Bold. *Conventional radiocarbon dates, pMC denotes percent Modern Carbon. Sample depth (cm) Lab. number Age (14C yr BP) Profile S53 0 13–14 25–26 35–36 41–42 47–48 57–58 67–68 83–85 129–130 137-Cs Poz-24369 Poz-32067 Hel-3851* Poz-26425 Poz-26426 Poz-24370 AECV1967c* AECV1906c* 70 ± 30 320 ± 30 460 ± 90 960 ± 30 1200 ± 30 1740 ± 30 2490 ± 70 5320 ± 90 Profile S52 0 4–5 13–14 30–31 44–45 48–49 61–62 69–70 86–87 94–95 117–118 127–129 158–159 184.5–185.5 198–199 Poz-19656 Poz-18597 Poz-26424 Poz-16805 Poz-19675 Poz-19658 Poz-19659 Poz-16806 Poz-19660 Poz-19661 AECV1966c* Poz-19662 Poz-20142 AECV1905c* 115 ± 0.36pMC 1120 ± 30 1335 ± 30 1614 ± 36 1750 ± 30 1770 ± 30 2160 ± 30 2605 ± 32 2915 ± 30 3250 ± 35 3690 ± 90 3890 ± 35 5250 ± 40 5780 ± 90 a b c Agea (cal yr BP) Best fit ±2σ -43 (AD 1993) -13 (AD 1963) 83 + 177/-57 387 ± 82 438 + 208/-129 863 + 67/–68 1120 + 119/-107 1639 ± 78 2550 + 186/-187 6105 ± 178 Acc. rateb (cm/yr) 1 cm agec (yr) 0.45 0.13 0.03 0.12 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 2.2 8.0 30.4 8.5 70.8 25.7 (51.9) (55.2) (78.1) 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.21 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.11 0.02 0.02 (79.0) 14.4 15.8 39.8 4.7 59.1 33.1 39.6 18.1 55.5 8.7 64.0 42.4 -43 (AD 1993) 1023 + 144/-67 1268 + 37/-88 1489 + 109/-81 1648 + 86/-87 1709 ± 104 2182 ± 126 2745 + 34/-125 3062 + 139/-101 3478 ± 84 4061 + 317/-331 4327 + 93/-143 6023 + 156/-101 6595 + 198/-241 Radiocarbon dates are calibrated to calendar years before present (cal yr BP) by OxCal 4.1.6 (Bronk Ramsey, 2010) and IntCal09 (Reimer et al., 2009). Accumulation rates are calculated from intervals between the overlying and the actual depth. The age of 1 cm sampling interval is given in years based on accumulation rates. No samples were analyzed for stable isotopes from intervals in ( ). P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 239 Fig. 2. a–d From the left: a) age–depth model of the Selwyn Lake profile S53in cal yr BP, where a black square shows the 137Cs date (13–14 cm depth) and open squares without error bars show interpolated ages between radiocarbon dates/extrapolated ages to a rootlet peat layer (28–33 cm) and a charcoal layer (43–44 cm), b) 137Cs concentrations in S53 (Bq/g), c) age–depth model of the Misaw Lake hummock ML3 in 210Pb years AD ± 1σ, and d) normalized (grey) and detrended (black) colorimetric absorbance values from ML3, positive values indicating increased humification. 4.3. Stable isotopes and climate reconstruction Because the isotope data in this study was used to reconstruct past temperatures, an inverse approach to regression (joint variability) was adopted (cf. Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010). Additional stable carbon isotope analyses were performed from the profile S52 (Table 2) in order to improve the uneven temporal resolution caused by varying peat accumulation in the oldest part of the record. A linear model equation derived from δ13C values of the uppermost 10 cm of the Misaw Lake hummock ML3 and July temperatures in Stony Rapids 1987–2004 (Table 2) gives y = 1.86x + 65.1 (R2 = 0.60, p b 0.01). The estimates made by a regression model that are closer to the mean δ13C value -26.5‰ have a more narrow confidence interval (±0.68 °C) than the standard error of the estimate (±0.93 °C at 95% level), while more extreme temperatures have a wider interval (±1.3 °C for min value -27.4‰ and max value -25.6‰). Available instrumental data from Stony Rapids 1960–1978 was not used for the calibration, because of increasing uncertainty with 210Pb ages (Fig. 2c) in the older part of ML3. A short overlap of observed temperatures and high resolution isotope data hampered a proper validation. However, a calculation based on the linear regression model and an average of four δ13C values (-26.75‰) from ML3 during the period 1970–78 results in 15.3 °C that is within the standard error of the estimate compared to average temperature 15.6 °C in Stony Rapids the same period. Also two modern values reconstructed from the profile S53 match with the instrumental records (Fig. 4). Past July temperatures calculated by the equation are shown with expected estimate intervals on the 95% confidence level in Figs. 5 and 6. The sample ages of the entire time-series were determined by linear interpolation from age–depth models. The largest confidence interval was ±2.3 °C calculated from the most extreme δ13C value (-28.3‰) outside the regression model. As our study sites are located between Stony Rapids and Ennadai Lake, July temperatures at our study sites should be approximately 1.2 °C colder than the reconstructed temperatures using Stony Rapids data. Our July temperature reconstruction shows increasing, but variable, temperatures from 6200 ± 180 cal yr BP to 3100 ± 120 cal yr BP (Fig. 5) with up to 3.0 ± 2.2° higher than modern temperatures at 4300± 120 cal yr BP. As a result of the cooling trend after 3100 ± 120 cal yr BP, July temperatures fall below the reference value at c. 2500–1300 cal yrs BP, except a peak at 1700 ± 100 cal yr BP based on a single value representing only 5 yr (Table 1). A period between 1270 ± 60 and 860 ± 70 cal yr BP was slightly warmer than our reference value interrupted by a 2.2 °C drop in the middle of the period. After a slight cooling c. 900– 450 cal yr BP, our reconstruction shows a rapid peak comparable to modern temperatures at 420 ± 150 cal yr BP and then a 4.1 °C drop at 390 ± 80 cal yr BP. No Sphagnum fuscum was identified in the rootlet layer c. 390–110 cal yr BP, so we lack carbon isotope data from that period. Around 100 cal yr BP the recovery to warmer temperatures was shortly interrupted, but the 20th century shows a fluctuating temperature increase (Fig. 6). Past precipitation amounts were not reconstructed because of poor correlation. Instead, the local moisture conditions were interpreted from combined macrofossil analysis and the records of detrended absorbance values and stable oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O), which are illustrated in Figs. 5 and 6. High absorbance values show increased humification during dry conditions (if there is no change in the botanical composition), while high δ18O values may reflect dry conditions because of high evaporation or higher temperatures locally or along the path of moisture transport. Detrending of humification indices had almost no effect on normalized values in profile S53 and only a slight effect in profile S52, probably because decay in the catotelm was slowed down by permafrost (Vardy et al., 2000; Sannel and Kuhry, 2009). Our study shows that climate was relatively dry in the period c. 6000–4400 cal yr BP. A short wet event at 4300 ± 120 cal yr BP and a longer period of increased precipitation between c. 3500 cal yr BP and 2500 cal yr BP were indicated by low humification indices and low δ18O values despite no change in the botanical composition according to the macrofossil analysis. Around 2060 ± 120 cal yr BP, when stable oxygen isotope values may reflect mainly low evaporation rates due to cooler temperatures, both the humification index and the botanical composition indicate locally dry conditions. Short-term fluctuations to more southerly origin of air masses bringing higher precipitation in the summer time could explain low humification rates occurring simultaneously with reconstructed high temperatures at 1700 ± 100 and 1270 ± 60 cal yr BP. Because of the poor overlap in humification time series from peat profiles S53 and S52, moisture conditions 438 ) 1962 25 1961 30 1959 35 1950 40 20 Sphagnum peat 20 40 40 20 Sphagnum peat Rootlet peat 60 40 80 Selwyn Lake S 53 60 80 100 Charcoal layer 20 20 40 s 20 ot 1966 ro 15 k 1977 ar Misaw Lake ML3 Be tu la Bu lea f d sc La ale rix n Pi eed ce le a n Ba ee d rk /w le o C yp od er a Em ca e pe t Le rum du ni g m sp rum U ni p de n Va tifie d cc le in af Va ium cc m yr in Va ium tillu cc ox s in yc iu o C en m v cco oc iti s- s oc id C ea en cu e oc m m o yc cc D et o u rr m rit us sc hiz ae D le ar ro k t i a ro ot s 21 0Pb y D ep rs ( A th ( c D) m ) St ra tig ra ph D y ic ra n Po u ly m s t Sp rich pp ha um Sp gn sp ha um p gn se um ct . fu Ac sc ut um ifo lia a) D 10 se c Ba t. S p rk /w ha oo gn um Be d tu Bu la l d ea C sca f ha le La rco rix al Pi ne ce e d C a n le yp ee Le era dle du ca U m e nk sp Va now p cc n Va ini lea cc um f Va ini m cc um icro C ini ul ca en um ig rp o C oco vit no un en c is su cu -i m o D co m da et c rit cu my ea us m co sc rrh le iz ro ae tia 1987 S. 5 ra ph ic ra y M nu yl m i Sp a an spp ha om . gn a um la se ct .A Sp cu ha tif gn ol ia um fu sc um 1995 D 0 tig m (c 2005 ra St BP th ep yr b) D al C 240 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 45 100 20 Sphagnum-Polytrichum peat 0 10 20 83 30 387 40 863 50 1120 60 60 20 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 Table 2 Additional stable carbon isotope ratios (δ13C) in the Selwyn Lake profile S52 and data from Misaw Lake hummock and Stony Rapids meteorological station used in the linear regression model. S52 depth (cm) Age (cal yr BP)a δ13C (‰) July temp.b 77–8 123–124 162–163 171–172 180–181 184.5–185.5 2450 3810 4580 5160 5740 6020 -26.20 -26.22 -25.53 -25.68 -27.31 -25.78 16.3 16.3 17.6 17.3 14.2 17.1 ML3 Depth (cm) Age (AD) δ13C (‰) July temp.c 0–1 1–2 2–3 3–4 4–5 5–6 6–7 7–8 8–9 9–10 2002–2004 (2005) 2000–2001 1998–1999 1996–1997 1995 1993–1994 1992 1990–1991 1989 1987–1988 -25.96 -26.00 -25.59 -26.21 -27.39 -26.40 -27.13 -26.88 -26.25 -26.81 16.0 17.1 16.3 17.3 13.1 15.6 14.2 16.0 17.5 15.4 a Ages are derived from the age–depth model and rounded off to the nearest multiple of ten. b July temperatures are calculated from the linear regression model. c July temperatures are averaged from observed data. AD 2005 was excluded from the dataset because samples were collected before the end of July. around 1000 cal yr BP are unclear. High humification values of c. 500– 100 cal yr BP coinciding with a rootlet layer (c. 360–110 cal yr BP) indicate dry conditions, possibly reflecting southwards fluctuations of the arctic front during the so called Little Ice Age. The change in the botanical composition during the period could be a consequence of changing climate or a result of a local change in moisture (microtopographical features) that probably caused the discrepancies in the recent parts of the Selwyn Lake and Misaw Lake records. 5. Discussion Our temperature reconstruction (Fig. 4) is based on the assumption that the relationship between carbon isotope ratios and July temperatures has been stable throughout the middle and late Holocene. It was also assumed that the 13C concentration in the atmosphere has been constant on pre-industrial levels before AD 1850. The temperature dependence of the fractionation of carbon isotopes is plausibly because of kinetic effects during diffusion and photosynthesis. Summer temperature is an important factor for surface wetness and plant growth in areas where the variation in the amount of precipitation is low (Scott et al., 1987; Schoning et al., 2005; Skrzypek et al., 2007), e.g. near the tree-line in west-central Canada (Tardif et al., 2008), and affect (either directly or indirectly) the photosynthetic rate of Sphagnum fuscum to a high degree (Dorrepaal et al., 2003). The effects of uncertainty in the 210Pb age model can possibly explain a part of the remaining 40% of the temperature-isotope relation that are not explained by linear regression (R2 = 0.60), in addition to factors such as other environmental forcing, e.g. pCO2, moisture and light. Moisture conditions were interpreted from humification indices, the oxygen isotope record and the macrofossil evidence. Although wet/dry periods could alter the hydrology at our study site, macrofossil analyses demonstrate a continuous succession of Sphagnum fuscum interrupted by local dry conditions. An exception was a very short period of fen succession indicated by Sphagnum cf. jensenii 241 at 4600–4400 cal yr BP after permafrost degradation caused by a local fire (Sannel and Kuhry, 2008). Since stable isotope analyses were not conducted from that layer and S. fuscum is a species growing above the water-table (Lindholm, 1990; Rydin and Jeglum, 2006) in hummocks on the peat plateau and not in fens and collapse scars, we can regard the record being mainly influenced by meteoric water. The oxygen isotope record is influenced by both moisture conditions in the peatland and temperature variation between the source of precipitation and the rainfall (Zanassi and Mora, 2005). Although there was more significant correlation between δ18O values and July temperatures than between δ18O values and July precipitation amounts (Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010), the discrepancies between the δ18O record and the temperature reconstruction may reflect changes in local moisture conditions and/or shifts in the source of precipitation caused by fluctuations in the position of the arctic front (Edwards et al., 1996). If the water table had been high for longer periods when stable oxygen isotopes were derived from the water, it should also be seen as a change in the botanic composition. Still, there is a possibility that changes in the plant macrofossil assemblage are not detected because of the selective decay of peat (Clymo, 1984) or that other competitive advantages of Sphagnum fuscum inhibit the change. The weak covariance of humification indices and stable isotope ratios at some levels has been interpreted to be caused by climatic impact rather than autocorrelation (Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010). Colorimetry is a semi-quantitative method depending not only on decomposition rate, but also on the botanical composition (Blackford and Chambers, 1993; Yeloff and Mauquoy, 2006). Therefore, these qualitative indicators of climate variation should not be related only to wet and dry shifts, but also to local conditions. To what extent changes in relative humidity and evaporation rate control our record was not evaluated in this study. The pattern of absorbance and δ18O curves from peat profiles S52 and S53 show a c. 100 yr offset instead of overlap (Fig. 5). Which of the age models – or both – cause this offset cannot be concluded without an independent age control, such as the detection of an attributable tephra horizon or a high resolution pollen record. The error can contribute to the uncertainty in the temperature reconstruction at c. 1000–1200 cal yr BP although the time series derived from δ13C seem to coincide at that level. Considering the estimated uncertainties of calibrated radiocarbon dates, the uncertainty between the profiles is approximately of the same magnitude as within the profiles. Despite the uncertainty, the chronology is well constrained by 22 radiocarbon dates without any reversed ages. The Holocene Thermal Maximum occurred later in central Canada than in the north-western parts of the continent because of the cooling effect of the residual Laurentide Ice Sheet, but the exact timing varied across central Canada (Kaufman et al., 2004). Nichols (1967) estimated from the distance of the forest limit from Ennadai (based on stratigraphical evidence and pollen records, Fig. 1) that mean July temperatures were about 3 °C warmer than modern values at around 5850–6850 ± 150 cal yr BP and 3950 ± 150–5300 ± 200 cal yr BP. Kay (1979) derived July temperatures in the Northwest Territories (Fig. 1) from pollen transfer functions and found 1–3 °C higher July temperatures than modern values about 6250 ± 250–4070 ± 340 cal yr BP, a 3–5 °C drop until 3590 ± 240 cal yr BP at Long Lake and an increase in temperatures around 3150 ± 260 cal yr BP. Pollen and diatom records from Queens Lake and Toronto Lake implied warmer climate between 5000–3500 cal yr BP and cooling after 3500–3000 cal yr BP (Moser and MacDonald, 1990; Pienitz et al., 1999; Kaufman et al., 2004). Our results are largely consistent with the studies mentioned above. Furthermore, our reconstructed warm event corresponding to a so-called Mediaeval Climatic Anomaly in this Fig. 3. a–b Stratigraphies and percentage diagrams of plant macrofossils of a) the upper part of the Misaw Lake hummock ML3, and b) the upper part of the Selwyn Lake profile S53. Rare types (b 1% of total sum) are marked by + (1–10 findings) or ++ (11–20 findings). 242 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 Fig. 4. July temperatures (broken line) are reconstructed from stable carbon isotope ratios (δ13C) in the Selwyn Lake peat profiles S52 (cross) and S53 (open square), and in the Misaw Lake hummock ML3 (open diamond). Error bars show 95% confident intervals. July average temperatures were recorded in Stony Rapids meteorological station AD 1960– 1978, 1986–2008 (red/solid line). Note different time scales; 0 in cal yr BP is equivalent to AD 1950. region was divided in two phases in the same manner as e.g. Kay (1979) described c. 1–2 °C lower July temperatures in 950 ± 220 cal yr BP than during centuries before and after at Nicol Lake. The trend of increasing temperatures during the past 450 yr that was temporary ceased in the middle of the 19th century was rather similar to reconstructions by Moberg et al. (2005) and Overpeck et al. (1997) despite that the temperature anomalies were lower in their larger study area (the northern hemisphere and the arctic region) and multi proxy studies (Fig. 6). In their tree-ring studies, D'Arrigo and Jacoby (1993) showed elevated summer temperatures about AD 1770–1830 and after 1930 in Churchill, some decades later than in a region northwest of our study site (Fig. 1). Unfortunately, we have limited data from the period between c. 390 and 110 cal yr BP (AD 1560–1840) because of the rootlet layer in our peat record (Fig. 6), but around 100 cal yr BP the recovery to warmer temperatures was shortly interrupted also in our reconstruction. Precipitation records from the region are rare and observed amounts had a large monthly variation between included meteorological stations (Kaislahti Tillman et al., 2010). In our study, a short wet event around 4300 ± 120 cal yr BP and a drier period around 2000 cal yr BP coincide with annual precipitation anomalies in central Canada reconstructed by Viau and Gajewski (2009) (Fig. 5). There is mismatch with the other parts of their record, e.g. when our study shows that climate was locally dry in the period c. 6000–4400 cal yr BP and wet after 3500 ± 80 cal yr BP. The comparison between proxies was limited by the grade of smoothing of the used reconstruction method, the spatial coverage, and the temporal resolution. In our study, the reconstruction based on calculated values show a temperature range of 6.5 ± 2.3 °C (12.5– 19.0 °C) over the past 6.2 ka where 1 cm sample thickness represent c. 2–70 yr. The instrumental record of July average temperatures had an annual variation of 5 °C (13.1–18.0 °C) during the period 1987–2009 in Stony Rapids (Environment Canada, 2010), i.e. almost the same as the reconstructed amplitude. The large annual variation is probably not superimposed on climate reconstructions with averaged values from several decades, but it shows the possible impact of short temporal fluctuations, e.g. on the peak around 1700 cal yr BP representing a c. 5-year period. Although the fluctuations in our record and the chironomid records by Fallu et al. (2005) and MacDonald et al. (2009) were approximately of the same magnitudes (Fig. 5), they were not exactly synchronous, possibly reflecting the uncertainty range of radiocarbon dates of lake sediments and peat. However, the comparison indicates that the regions in west-central and east-central Canada may have been influenced simultaneously by the arctic front, although several studies have to be compared before drawing too far reaching conclusions. It also implies that our results are not only representing a local response to environmental forcing but can be regarded as reflecting environmental changes at a regional scale. We were not able to compare our results with tree-ring studies because of a hiatus during overlapping records. Therefore, we suggest further studies about contemporary stable isotopes from peat archives and tree-ring records in order to reveal if they have a potential as complementary proxies in the future. 6. Conclusions The reconstruction based on stable carbon and oxygen isotope ratios, plant macrofossil analysis and colorimetry suggest that main climate changes are preserved in the Sphagnum fuscum record on decadal and longer time scales. The record is the first long-term stable isotope climate reconstruction from peat in the Canadian arctic region. It implies a potential of the proxy to extend this kind of studies into larger temporal and spatial scales. A higher resolution is possible to obtain if samples are analyzed from continuous and thinner intervals in the future. We draw the following conclusions from our record: During the past 6.2 ka, average July temperatures varied by 6.5 ± 2.3 °C. Thermal maxima occurred at c. 4300 ± 120 and 3100 ± 120 cal yr BP with 3.0 ± 2.2 °C and 2.5 ± 1.9 °C higher temperatures, respectively, than the recent (late 20th century) mean July temperature value. During the period from c. 2500 to 1200 cal yr BP, July temperatures were as much as 3.5 ± 2.3 °C lower than modern values, except a short peak event at 1700 ± 100 cal yr BP. Between c. 1300 and 900 cal yr BP, corresponding to a period of Mediaeval warmth, temperatures of a level similar to that experienced in the late 20th century appear to have prevailed. The general cooling tendency of the last millennium experienced a rapid drop by 4.1 °C around 400 cal yr BP. The latter part of the Little Ice Age was not recorded because of a (climatically induced?) hiatus in our proxy record. 20th century temperatures are characterised by an increasing but fluctuating trend. The early warming period was relatively dry until a short wet event around c. 4300 ± 120 cal yr BP. From c. 3500 ± 80 cal yr BP, local conditions were moist until c. 2500 ± 130 cal yr BP. After a dry cooler period, the (local) wetter periods around c. 1700 ± 100 cal yr BP and c.1300 ± 60 cal yr BP could be the result of a short-term influence from more humid southerly air-masses. The Little Ice Age was a dry period, possibly as a consequence of increased influence and southwards fluctuations of the arctic front; conclusions here are further limited by temporal resolution and dating uncertainties in our archive. The δ13C temperature record is largely compatible with other proxy records, despite the difficulties with age controls in peat P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 243 Fig. 5. a–i From the top: a) Colorimetric normalized (grey line) and detrended (black line) absorbance values (this study), b) stable oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O) of Selwyn Lake profiles S52 and S53 (this study), c) annual precipitation anomalies in central Canada reconstructed by Viau and Gajewski (2009), temperature anomalies in d) the northern hemisphere by Moberg et al. (2005) and e) central Canada by Viau and Gajewski (2009), summer surface water temperatures (SWT) in f) the Northwest Territories by MacDonald et al. (2009) and g) east-central Canada by Fallu et al. (2005), h) July temperatures in west-central Canada (this study) reconstructed by stable carbon isotope ratios (corrected for the decrease of δ13C in CO2atm during the industrial time) with 95% confidence interval (grey solid lines), and i) June insolation 60°N (black line) and July insolation 65°N (grey line) after Berger and Loutre (1991). Broken grey lines mark reference period means. Samples from the peat profile S52 are marked by crosses and from the profile S53 by open squares. Comparative datasets c)–f) originate from the NOAA database (NOAA National Climatic Data Center, 2010) and g) is published with personal permission from Marie-Andrée Fallu. The patterned/yellow bars show warmer periods in our reconstruction and the grey/light blue bars show cold periods discussed in the text. archives and lake sediments, and differences in temporal resolution. Our reconstruction shows similar temperature amplitudes compared with chironomid records, i.e. c. 6 °C range in July temperatures the past 6.2 ka, nearly simultaneous variations on the centennial scale, and warm–cold differences of c. 4 °C during the Little Ice Age. The only deviation in our temperature curve compared with other proxy reconstructions is a single-value warm period at c. 1700 cal yr BP supported by a rapid peat accumulation rate at that level. No comparison with tree-ring data was made in this study because of lack of temporary overlapping data from our study region. Wet–dry periods have more mismatches between different records – reflecting possibly a larger spatial variability and reconstruction uncertainty in precipitation compared to temperature. Acknowledgements From Stockholm University, we thank Karin Helmens for field assistance, Stefan Wastegård for tephra analysis and Markus Meili for 244 P. Kaislahti Tillman et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 298 (2010) 235–246 Fig. 6. a-i Records covering the last ~ 450 yr from the top: a) colorimetric normalized (grey line) and detrended (black line) absorbance values (this study), b) stable oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O) of the profile S53 and the hummock ML3 (this study), c) annual precipitation anomalies in central Canada reconstructed by Viau and Gajewski (2009), temperature anomalies in d) the northern hemisphere by Moberg et al. (2005), e) central Canada by Viau and Gajewski (2009) and f) the arctic by Overpeck et al. (1997), summer surface water temperatures (SWT) in g) the Northwest Territories by MacDonald et al. (2009) and h) east-central Canada by Fallu et al. (2005), i) July temperatures in west-central Canada (this study), reconstructed by stable carbon isotope ratios (corrected for the decrease of δ13C in CO2atm during the industrial time) with 95% confidence interval (grey solid lines). Broken line c. AD 1560–1840 is because of a rootlet layer from which no Sphagnum fuscum samples were picked. Broken grey lines mark reference period means. Samples from the peat profile S53 are marked by open squares. Comparative datasets c)–g) originate from the NOAA database (NOAA National Climatic Data Center, 2010) and h) is published with personal permission from Marie-Andrée Fallu. 137 Cs analysis. Päivi Kaislahti Tillman acknowledges financial support from the Ahlmann Foundation, Bert Bolin Centre for Climate Research (BBCC), the Lagrelius Foundation and Svenska Sällskapet för Antropologi och Geographi (SSAG). Peter Kuhry received financial support from Vetenskapsrådet and Britta Sannel from the Ahlmann Foundation and the Royal Swedish Academy of Science. Iain Robertson and Neil J. Loader thank Tim Daley and Jonathan Woodman-Ralph for support and technical assistance. 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