THE POINT Issue 21 | May 2012 THE POINT bridgepoint.eu Intelligent investing in Europe from Bridgepoint Issue 21 | May 2012 Retro-active Commercialising the allure of the past Young and dispossessed Harnessing the talents of today’s youth Finding your niche In a global world, specialism brings real benefits www.bridgepoint.eu Crafting the future Catriona Marshall on crossstitch, decopatching and efficient supply chains FOREWORD Revisiting yesterday It is perhaps ironic in the 21st issue of The Point that our cover story is looking back rather than forward. But such is the yearning for products from the past that many quick-thinking businesses are seeing commercial possibilities open up that were unthinkable 10 years ago. In ‘Bring back yesterday’ (page 5) we examine the fascination with days gone by and show how even nostalgia comes with a price tag, creating many profitable opportunities along the way. Striking a similarly contrarian tone, we explore the concept of the niche (‘Small is beautiful’, page 18). It’s now clear that many companies in Europe are defying the economic gloom to exploit profitable segments in nearly every market, underlining the fact that ‘niche’ can mean anything but small or marginal. It should come as no surprise that Bridgepoint is especially interested in businesses that have carved out their own niche in sectors where perhaps Europe has a genuine competitive advantage or where a business has a particular global appeal. One of the worrying aspects of any economy is its inability to provide employment, especially for the young. We analyse the long-term costs of youth unemployment (‘A lost generation’, page 11) and question whether today’s youth can become tomorrow’s high earners or if their prospects have been permanently blighted. As we get older, we take for granted that healthcare provision will be both available and effective. But, as governments and the electorate know, there are no quick costeffective fixes. One favourable innovation is ‘telehealth’, the remote monitoring of people’s conditions from their home. This, and other exciting advances, are examined in ‘In sickness or in health’ (page 22). THE POINT May 2012 Issue 21 Published by Bladonmore (Europe) Ltd Editor Joanne Hart Design Bagshawe Associates UK LLP Reproduction, copying or extracting by any means of the whole or part of this publication must not be undertaken without the written permission of the publishers. The views expressed in The Point are not necessarily those of Bridgepoint. www.bridgepoint.eu Ironically, as we adopt new technologies to improve healthcare delivery, many businesses remain firmly in the pre-internet age. As a result they are overtaken by more agile competitors using technology to grow well beyond their local markets. In ‘New era: old ways’ (page 32) we show how businesses can succeed by embracing the digital world. Not unconnected but on a more lighthearted note, in Last Word (page 36) we see how technology can go a step too far. Finally, in our regular Ins & Outs section (page 2) we provide news on two new UK investments: Wiggle, the online cycling and tri-sports equipment retailer, and Quilter, the client wealth management group. As always, I hope that you enjoy reading The Point and that it still stimulates interest in topics that we believe remain very relevant to the performance of corporate Europe n William Jackson is managing partner of Bridgepoint 1 INS &OUTS BRIDGEPOINT news across Europe UK sports leader acquired One of the best-known names in sport retail, Wiggle, has been acquired by Bridgepoint for £180 million. Specialising in cycling and trisports equipment, Wiggle has a worldwide customer network and is the UK’s leading online retailer for cycling, running and swimming enthusiasts. The company has seen exceptionally strong growth over the past three years, with sales and EBITDA increasing by 50 per cent, despite the economic downturn. During 2011, robust growth persisted as Wiggle expanded its customer offering and reach. More than a million shoppers visit the online stores every week and more than 600,000 consumers bought goods from the company last year. The website is available in nine languages, accepts sales in 15 different currencies, and is accessible to 88 countries across the globe. Wiggle has also established a highly regarded ‘social commerce’ store on Facebook, making it one of the most advanced and accessible online retail businesses in the world. The UK cycling market was worth £1.4 billion in 2010 while international markets were estimated to be worth more than £25 billion that year. Running and swimming products were valued at more than £10 billion. Bridgepoint partner Vince Gwilliam explains: “Wiggle is benefiting from strong structural market drivers such as the shift to online retailing combined with the trend towards fitness and health living and the increasing popularity of cycling as a pastime. In addition, it has had a strong track record of profitable organic growth.” Wiggle is chaired by former Asda chief executive Andy Bond, while Humphrey Cobbold is chief executive. “We are delighted to have a new partner and owner in Bridgepoint,” says Cobbold. “The firm is highly experienced and successful in investing in growing retail and consumer businesses, and has an extensive international network which matches Wiggle’s international strategy and growth aspirations, and will be a significant benefit to continuing the strong growth.” n New hire boosts Asian ambition for portfolio companies Bridgepoint has appointed Henry WK Chow to its European Advisory Board in a move that is set to strengthen its ties with the Asia Pacific region. The former chairman and chief executive of IBM’s Greater China Group has more than 40 years’ 2 experience in the Asia Pacific region. During his time at IBM, he oversaw operations in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. Mr Chow was recently named by Fortune magazine as one of the top15 people who have had the greatest impact on the Chinese economy in the past 15 years. William Jackson, managing partner at Bridgepoint, says Mr Chow’s knowledge and experience “will be invaluable in assisting portfolio companies with their sourcing, production and business development activities” and will significantly help Bridgepoint’s exploration of growth opportunities for its investee companies in China and the rest of the Asia Pacific region n Wealth of opportunity Bridgepoint has gained a foothold in the UK’s under-penetrated private client wealth management market with the acquisition of Quilter from Morgan Stanley Smith Barney. Quilter, which can trace its ancestry back to 1777, manages approximately £7.6 billion of funds for a range of private clients including high-net-worth individuals, charities and trusts, pension funds, corporate bodies and friendly societies. The company currently employs approximately 350 staff across 13 offices throughout the UK, Ireland and Jersey. The UK’s discretionary wealth management market has about £400 billion worth of investable assets and is forecast to grow due to several factors including the shift from defined benefit to defined contribution pension schemes, increasing personal savings and investments and a shift in the independent financial adviser market towards outsourced investment management. “Quilter is a long-established and highly regarded business operating in a large but fragmented market favoured by underlying structural growth drivers,” says Michael Black, a partner at Bridgepoint. “As such, we believe that there is every opportunity for Quilter to accelerate its growth organically as well as make complementary acquisitions for the business.” Martin Baines, Quilter’s CEO, has described the Bridgepoint-backed management buyout as an “extremely exciting move” for the company. “As an independent entity, we will have more flexibility in how we operate,” Baines says. “This is a vital attribute in a fast-changing market, when the opportunities to meet the evolving needs of our clients and intermediaries call for greater agility and entrepreneurial thinking.” Quilter has started work on improving efficiency, innovation and effectiveness and plans to make announcements on these developments in the coming months n IT investments relaunched as Pulsant Bridgepoint Development Capital (BDC) has integrated its three IT services companies, Lumison, Blue Square Data and DediPower, under a new name, Pulsant. The acquisition of Lumison, an IT managed services provider, in January 2011 provided BDC with a platform to build a group focused on the high-growth SME market. Subsequently, Lumison acquired Blue Square Data, which provides data centres for customers in south-east England. To strengthen its cloud and managed services, Lumison then acquired DediPower. Pulsant CEO Mark Howling says: “We have brought together three successful IT service companies under an effective management team, backed by experienced solutions architects and support staff.” The newly formed Pulsant has a turnover of £30 million and its growth plan involves an investment of £6 million in 2012 n Continued growth ahead Bridgepoint committed €1.4 billion to 11 new investments last year and returned €573 million to investors. The figures emerge in Bridgepoint’s 2011 Annual Review, which reveals that more than 72,000 people work in Bridgepoint portfolio companies. During the past 10 years, more than 55 transactions have been completed with a combined value of almost €18 billion. And more than €12 billion has been committed to the firm from investors around the world. “Market headwinds are likely, we believe, to create opportunities for Bridgepoint to continue the construction of its investment portfolios at attractive prices,” says Bridgepoint managing partner William Jackson. “We remain confident that our portfolio companies are well placed to deliver continued good earnings growth and cash generation,” he adds n 3 Market insight Bring back yesterday The past has often seemed more beguiling than the present day. Now, more than ever, consumers feel a yearning for the good old days and quick-thinking businesses are reaping the benefits. 5 n an era when we can watch films on our laptops, iPads and even our phones, who could have predicted that Hollywood’s biggest prize this year would go to a silent movie shot in black and white? The Artist – the first silent film to win the coveted Oscar for Best Picture since the inaugural Academy Awards ceremony in 1929 – was not alone in drawing its inspiration from the past. Martin Scorsese’s Hugo, which uses 21st-century movie-making techniques to recreate the Paris of the 1930s – in 3D – also collected a clutch of golden statuettes. The wave of nostalgia sweeping Hollywood doesn’t end there: Silent Life, a film based on the life of the pre-talkies heartthrob Rudolph Valentino, is due to be released soon, and later this year a musical celebrating the life of Charlie Chaplin will open on Broadway. It’s not just the entertainment industry that seems fixated on the past these days: echoes of bygone eras are all around, from the revival of the 1970s Sunday teatime favourite the Arctic Roll, to a surge in sales of vinyl records and the return of goodies from former East Germany. I 6 Past perfect The yearning for products from our past seems to be a response to the confusion of the age in which we now live, an attempt to recapture a time when life seemed so much simpler. As consumers struggle with postcredit crunch austerity, the days of old have never looked more comforting. A diverse range of manufacturers are now employing nostalgia as a marketing tool, from kettle manufacturer Russell Hobbs, which celebrated its 50th anniversary by relaunching its K2 kettle, to carmaker Fiat, which launched the new-look Fiat 500, also on the 50th anniversary of the original model. Old-style Dutch bicycles can be seen in city centres around Europe. Even in the cutting-edge technology sector, nostalgia is widespread: retro-style radios have become increasingly popular, while for the iPhone a retro camera app gives photos a vintage sepia tint. There’s also a roaring trade in vintage Nokia handsets and ringtones. In Germany, for example, a specific brand of nostalgia dubbed “Ostalgie” – a love for all things from the former East Germany – has boosted old-style brands such as Rotkäppchen sparkling wine and the Zaha trainers once favoured by East German and Soviet athletes. Vinyl albums have taken off too in recent years, with sales surging 39 per cent to 3.9 million albums last year, accounting for 1.2 per cent of all album sales, according to figures from Nielsen SoundScan. The revival of vinyl is all the more remarkable given that digital music sales outstripped physical sales last year, for the first time ever. Return of the staycation Some British seaside resorts are also championing the growth in ‘staycations’ as evidence of a nostalgia for past holiday habits. Growth in domestic tourism is forecast at 1.3 per cent in 2012, according to the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC), more than double the rate expected for the wider economy. But WTTC communications director Toby Nicol suggests austerity rather than nostalgia is driving the trend back towards the British seaside. “The euro is still very strong against the pound, which makes it expensive to go abroad. People ‘‘ are effectively going back to what they did 20 years ago. But if they’re eating rock and riding donkeys in Skegness, I don’t think it’s because of nostalgia; it’s just that they’ve got less money to spend,” he says. So perhaps any misty-eyed talk of a resurgence of the great British seaside resort is more a case of hard-up holidaymakers putting a gloss on their enforced staycations rather than any real desire to swap Tuscany for the delights of Torquay. One of the hottest homemaking trends right now is baking, reflected in the surprise UK television hit last year, The Great British Bake Off. More than five million viewers watched the finale of the competition” Homemaking and baking One sector that has boomed in the UK recently is the £2 billion a year arts and crafts market, as cash-strapped families rediscover old-fashioned pursuits such as knitting, baking and papier-mâché. But the growing popularity of arts and crafts is not fuelled purely by hard times. Catriona Marshall, chief executive of Hobbycraft, the largest retail operator in the sector, explains: “It’s not all about make do and mend. It’s about homemaking and a reaction against materialism and the disposable society.” Hobbycraft’s core customer is aged 45-plus, and a keen sewer and knitter. These skills tended to skip the younger generation, as it became cheaper and more fashionable to buy goods rather than make them yourself. “There was simply no need to darn socks, so they never learnt how,” says Marshall. But the current generation of mums is keen to see the creative skills they missed out on acquired by their children. “It’s a great way for parents to interact with their kids and a much more sociable pursuit than hours spent alone in front of a computer,” says Marshall. One of the hottest homemaking trends right now is baking, reflected in the surprise UK television hit last year, The Great British Bake Off, which became BBC2’s most-watched programme. The finale of the competition, where the three contenders baked Victoria sponges, strawberry and cream meringue nests and cheesecakes for a street party, had all the excitement of The X Factor final, with more than five million viewers tuning in. The nostalgia-fest is a Europewide phenomenon, however. According to research group Euromonitor, the more consumers’ lives become defined by technology, the stronger their desire to refer back to slower, cosier times. In its 2011 report Nostalgia Marketing and European Consumers: Does Yesterday Sell? Euromonitor also makes the point that nostalgia and retro styles are not confined to older consumers, but appeal across all age groups. This is backed by a survey from insurance group Standard Life, which found that the age group most eager to go back in time is 7 ‘‘ A diverse range of manufacturers are now employing nostalgia as a marketing tool, from kettle manufacturer Russell Hobbs, which celebrated its 50th anniversary by relaunching its K2 kettle, to carmaker Fiat, which launched the newlook Fiat 500, also on the 50th anniversary of the original model” Sweet life 28- to 40-year-olds – ie, the The food and confectionery generation burdened by the market was among the first to tap biggest mortgages and childinto the trend for nostalgic rearing responsibilities. “comfort foods”, such as the UK’s Kitchens have become Arctic Roll dessert, first created in “notorious hotspots for nostalgia” the 1950s and brought back by in these days of food blogging, Birds Eye during the 2008 say Euromonitor researchers. recession. Cadbury successfully “Home-makers everywhere have brought back the Wispa made UK brand Cath Kidston, chocolate bar after a campaign Danish GreenGate kitchenware on social networks and it is still and German purveyors of quality selling well. And tools and when Nestlé brought furniture In Germany, there’s a based on old specific brand of nostalgia back the Texan bar in models, dubbed ‘Ostalgie’ – a love 2005, it offered customers a free Manufactum, for all things from the retro ringtone too. the success former East Germany” Ten years ago, stories they Michael Parker founded A are,” they suggest. Quarter Of, an online sweets Furthermore, it would be retailer that stocks just about misleading to see this simply as a every old-fashioned sweet you result of the recession: “Quite the have ever heard of, from sherbert contrary – consumers often flying saucers to parma violets, spend above the odds to space dust and sugar mice. purchase something that reminds Business is booming, as older them of former, happier days,” consumers satisfy their cravings says the research group. for sweets they used to spend their pocket money on. “It’s an inexpensive treat,” says Parker. “For just a few pounds you can be whisked back to your childhood.” While some sweets from the past still sell well today – pineapple chunks and sweet ‘‘ 8 tobacco are among the most popular treats – others remain unwanted. “There is a good reason some brands disappeared – they just weren’t selling enough because people didn’t like them. That’s not going to change now,” says Parker. But older customers are not the only section of society to indulge their sweet cravings at A Quarter Of. “We keep finding younger and younger customers, who are nostalgic about the newer sweets that were around when they were kids. The sweets might change, but the nostalgia doesn’t,” says Parker. Nostalgia also plays strange tricks on consumers. Cybercandy imports sweets from around the world and founder Margaret Morrison explains: “Customers sometimes say: ‘It’s not as big as I remember it.’ “Perhaps it’s just that your hands and mouth were smaller then, I tell them.” Longing to belong Their experiments found that There is some academic research the key to preferring nostalgic to support the commercial case products is the human need to for marketeers’ dash down belong: “Whenever a situation Memory Lane. In a study arises in which people feel a published in the Journal of heightened need to belong to a Consumer Research in 2010, group, or generally need to feel researchers from Arizona State socially connected, they will University in the United States show a corresponding higher and Erasmus University in the preference for nostalgic Netherlands conducted a series products,” the report says, and of those players experiments to The age group most eager to excluded from discover why the ball game go back in time is 28- to 40people turn to year-olds – ie, the generation were “cured” of nostalgic their need to burdened by the biggest products. belong by eating mortgages and child-rearing In one experia biscuit brand responsibilities” ment, a group from the past. of people were asked to play a “Next time you know you are computer ball game, from which feeling left out, try watching a some members of the group movie that you loved watching in were excluded within the first college, or eating a food that few minutes. reminds you of when you were a “Those people who were kid,” the academics advise. “It excluded after just a couple of really will make you feel better.” ball tosses not only said that There is nothing new about feeling like they belong is more nostalgia, nor about companies important to them than people tapping into the power of the who were not excluded did, but past to sell their products. When they also chose more nostalgic the Yorkshire-based confecthan contemporary products in a tionery group Mackintosh variety of categories, including launched its Quality Street movies, TV shows, food brands, chocolates during the Depression cars and even shower gel,” the of the 1930s, it invoked the spirit researchers say. of a bygone era by dressing the ‘‘ characters illustrated on the tin – Major Quality and Miss Sweetly – in Napoleonic garb. With the Queen’s Diamond Jubilee in the UK this year, there will be no shortage of opportunities to take a trip down Memory Lane. However, simply invoking the past is no guarantee of commercial success. Past Times, the retro-retailer, collapsed into administration at the start of the year, as customers found they could do without its mix of art deco jewellery and Victorian kitsch. In 1995, Mars revived Spangles, the square, dimpled, fruit-flavoured boiled sweets that were first sold in the 1950s, when confectionery was still rationed. But sales failed to take off and the Spangles brand was soon abandoned again, even though it still regularly tops polls for the sweet most people say they would like to see reintroduced. However, relaunching an old brand is no substitute for product innovation, nor can a nostalgialaden advertising campaign sell products for a company that has run out of ideas n 9 Talking point A lost generation? Millions of young people across Europe are looking for work. The problem is acute and there are few signs of imminent improvement. But what are the long-term effects of this problem? Will today’s youth be tomorrow’s happy high-earners or are their prospects for health, wealth and happiness permanently blighted, asks Professor David Blanchflower. 11 he past four years have seen minimise actual redundancies, dramatic changes in the the public sector has seen workplace. Firms across widespread job culls, hiring Europe have hoarded labour. freezes and an effective They have not fired as many reduction in pay. All of this has workers or closed as many plants been hard enough for those in as in previous recessions but they work but it has had a major have radically cut the cost of effect on the young, dramatically human capital – reducing hours reducing demand for their and keeping wages low. Fear of services. Employment of 16- to unemployment 17-year-olds fell has risen, by 209,000 Long spells of unemployworkers have between March ment when young can have 2008 and had little genuinely harmful bargaining November 2011, consequences, leaving power and while that of 18permanent scars rather companies to 24-year-olds than temporary blemishes” fell by 384,000. have done what was The pattern is necessary to survive. repeated across Europe. The While the private number of unemployed young sector has tried to people has risen sharply in many countries, not least because youth unemployment tends to be cyclically volatile. Unemployment rates of more than 20 per cent have become the norm in parts of Europe, and in Spain and Greece about half of the youth labour force is unemployed. Countries such as Austria, Germany, the Netherlands and Norway have been more benign, with youth unemployment in single digits. In every country though, youth rates are higher than overall rates and in many cases, the ratio is two or even three to one. T ‘‘ 12 Young, keen and willing to learn Even when young people do manage to find jobs, they are more likely to be temporary staff than permanent; they are far more likely to have a part-time job than a full-time one, and even when they are full-time, they say they would like more hours. So prospects are not great: it is hard to procure a job and those that are available are unsatisfactory. The problem is intensified because there are lots of young people about, offspring of the prolific baby boomer generation. So in 2008 the number of 22year-olds in the UK was the highest it had been for more than a decade or will be for at least another two decades. The situation is similar in most other European countries. But it will not persist. In fact, the size of the youth cohort is expected to decline sharply over the next few years, especially in East European countries. In Latvia, Lithuania and Russia, for example, there were half as many five-year-olds as 20-yearolds in 2008. Fast forward 10 or 20 years and a clear pattern emerges. Good news for toddlers: little comfort for today’s hard-pressed school and college leavers, however. Permanent damage It is too early in the current cycle to determine what long-term impact the Great Recession will have on these youngsters’ working lives but, as so many struggle to make a successful transition from school to work, there are growing fears that they Harnessing the talents of the young may seem a tall order in today’s world – but youth can bring long-term benefits to business Irish playwright and co-founder of the London School of Economics George Bernard Shaw famously opined in his dotage: “Youth is wasted on the young.” But as they face one of the worst job markets in living memory, there’s a cohort of graduates and school leavers who are starting to think that youth is wasted on business, too. It’s true that businesses are hiring far fewer eager young newbies than they were a few years ago. “Kids are struggling to get on the career ladder, yes. The situation’s been getting worse for the past five years and it seems to be harder than ever this year,” says Dan Wagner, CEO of incubator group Bright Station Ventures. But it’s not because firms don’t recognise the advantages of hiring youth. “They simply don’t have the jobs. The gravy train has stopped, businesses and consumers are squeezed and banks aren’t lending,” he says. Whatever the causes, a lack of new blood can have dangerous consequences. Indeed, the business benefits of having a decent number of youngsters in the workplace are arguably stronger than ever. The pace of technological development means the latest generation of twenty-somethings has an unprecedented ability to reshape the world in its own image, with all the opportunities for growth that presents. Take the Arab Spring: a graphic demonstration of the younger generation of ‘digital natives’ blindsiding established power structures thanks to their superior understanding of technologies such as social networking. Or the advance of online shopping relative to the traditional high street. “Youngsters are very plugged in from a tech point of view; they live social networking in a way that older people just don’t,” says Wagner. It’s not just their engagement with the Next Big Thing that makes younger people good for business either. “Youngsters are enthusiastic; they bring fresh eyes to the challenges facing any organisation and a brain that is not preformed to accept the limitations of the status quo,” says executive coach Miranda Kennett. Who can afford to ignore such valuable attributes? Properly managed and engaged, businesses can reap rich rewards from the virtues of youth but, like so many things in life, the output depends on the input. “A proper induction which makes your expectations clear is essential if you are to get the best out of new young employees,” says Kennett. However enthusiastic and energetic they are, graduates lack experience of the workplace and need to be shown the ropes. Wagner agrees. “They are optimistic, they want to make things happen and they will work all hours to do so. But you have to mentor them and give them mindshare and resources to really galvanise results.” A serial entrepreneur from his early 20s, he has one other piece of advice for employers – give them credit and as much responsibility as you possibly can. “In my early 20s, I worked for an ad agency. I got a client nobody wanted to commit to a million-pound campaign, and the agency took it away from me. That’s why I left to start my own business – I felt like I had been robbed.” 13 Table 1: Unemployment rates Euro area Austria Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy The Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden United Kingdom US Overall Ratio of under 25/overall Under 25 21.6% 10.7% 2.0 4.0% 8.9% 2.2 21.2% 7.4% 7.9% 2.9 14.6% 1.8 23.3% 10.0% 2.3 5.8%7.8% 1.3 19.9% 48.1% 14.8% 2.4 29.6% 2.0 31.1% 9.2% 3.4 5.0% 9.0% 1.8 3.4% 8.4% 2.5 14.8% 35.1% 2.4 23.3% 49.9% 2.1 7.6% 22.4% 2.9 8.4% 22.2% 2.6 8.3% 16.0% 1.9 Source: Eurostat, January 2012 Under 25 Over 25 Financial Life Financial Life expectations expectations expectations expectations Table 2: Expectations Columns 1 and 2 report financial and life expectations for those under 25. Austria 40 39 21 18 Belgium 38 49 21 29 Columns 3 and 4 report financial and life expectations for those aged 25 and above. Denmark 48 54 23 28 France 47 63 22 27 The questions asked were: “What are your expectations for the next 12 months: will the next 12 months be better, worse, or the same when it comes to (a) the financial situation of your household (b) your life in general?” Germany 27 44 13 17 Greece 9 18 6 8 Ireland 14 29 13 18 Italy 22 39 22 24 Netherlands 39 53 19 27 Portugal 7 22 8 10 Spain 30 43 22 28 Sweden 52 82 24 36 United Kingdom 41 58 20 27 The table reports the proportion of respondents that answered “better”. Source: Eurobarometer Survey #75.3, conducted in May 2011 Table 3: How do you feel? NEET In education, employment or training The table opposite reports responses to the question: “How often do you feel stressed, anxious, etc?” Stressed 55 50 Anxious 51 39 Loved 52 70 Down or depressed 52 28 The table presents the proportion saying “always” or “often” for NEETs and for anyone in employment, education or training. Sad (like crying) 38 22 Secure 38 65 Rejected 38 20 Hopeful 35 65 14 Source: YouGov ‘‘ Youngsters growing up during recessions tend to believe success in life depends more on luck than effort” will be permanently damaged. Research suggests that long spells of unemployment when young can have genuinely harmful consequences, leaving permanent scars rather than temporary blemishes. In other words, there is a serious danger that we are creating ‘a lost generation’. For a start, the effects of a period without work when young can impede further employment. A teenager who spends time out of work in one year is highly likely to spend less time working the following year. Lost work experience also seems to have a persistent effect on wages. The National Child Development Study (NCDS) follows the lives of 17,000 people born in the UK during a single week in 1958. Its data indicates that those who were unemployed when young still ‘‘ There are large, had lower wages at negative and persistent the age of 50 than effects on wages for those who worked those who graduate during their teens from college during an and 20s. economic downturn” Even youngsters who go to college or A poor start university appear to be adversely affected if they enter the labour Not only are people poorer if market during a recession, their working lives get off to a whether or not they experience bad start: they are often more a spell of unemployment. In fact, miserable throughout their lives. research suggests there are The link between material large, negative and persistent wellbeing and contentedness is effects on wages for those who widely debated but evidence graduate from college during an from the NCDS suggests that economic downturn. Simply put, children who were unemployed lifetime earnings are substanafter school or college are less tially lower than they would happy than their more gainfully have been if the graduate had employed peers, even 40 years entered the labour market in on. There is even a school of good times. thought that youngsters growing Furthermore, those who up during recessions tend to graduate in worse national believe success in life depends economies tend to end up in more on luck than effort. They lower-level occupations. support more government 15 ‘‘ redistribution, but have less confidence in public institutions. In other words, recessions make youngsters both fatalistic and cynical. Northern lights Under normal circumstances, happiness tends to be U-shaped. Especially high when young, it hits a low point in the mid-40s and rises again in later life, without ever hitting the highs of youth. Unemployment seems to wreak havoc with this trend however, lowering the happiness of both young and old. A look across Europe highlights this pattern. In virtually every country, the under 25s have a far sunnier outlook than the over 25s. But in countries experiencing the greatest austerity measures, the young are considerably less optimistic. In Greece, for example, only 18 per cent of under 25s expect life to be better in the coming year. In Sweden, 82 per cent do. The gap in expectations is also narrower between young and old 16 In Greece, only 18 per cent of under 25s expect life to be better in the coming year. In Sweden, 82 per cent do” in poorer countries, particularly when it comes to financial expectations. In Portugal, 7 per cent of under 25s expect their financial situation to improve this year, compared with 8 per cent of older folk. In the Netherlands, the figures are 39 per cent and 19 per cent, respectively. Of particular concern is the group of young people who are not in education, employment or training, known as NEETs. In a recent survey conducted by UK pollsters YouGov, more than 2,000 16- to 25-year-olds were asked about their attitudes to various aspects of their lives. The survey, the fourth in a series, shows that happiness levels have remained pretty constant over the past three years for those in work, education or training but the happiness levels of NEETs, which was always lower than everyone else, has fallen further. The gap has widened considerably. More than half of NEETs say they always or often feel down or depressed, compared with 28 per cent in work, education or training (WETs). And just 38 per cent of them say they often or always feel secure, compared with 65 per cent of WETs. Conversely, only 35 per cent of NEETs claim they often or always feel hopeful, against 65 per cent of WETs. The concern is that this group of NEETs, along with their counterparts in austerity-stricken parts of Europe, may never catch up. This is a difficult situation. Youth unemployment is rising across Europe and its long-term impact could be serious. Longterm unemployment hurts young people even more than older adults and is particularly hard to overcome, having an adverse impact on optimism, disposition and general levels of contentment. In normal economic conditions, the vast majority of youngsters successfully make the transition from school to work and feel happy and upbeat as a result. In these tough times many will not. It isn’t their fault; they were just dealt a bad hand. How this will affect their thinking in later life is anyone’s guess n Business trends Small is beautiful cross Europe, mainstream companies are struggling against austerity and economic stagnation. But niche companies are bucking the low-growth trend, defying the economic gloom to exploit profitable segments of nearly every market. Businesses in this category are incredibly wide-ranging: from online retailers to specialist pharmaceuticals firms to IT services providers. Nimble and highly specialised, many are enjoying genuine success. So what is giving them the financial edge? Jim Murphy, editorial director at The Future Foundation, a think tank that identifies social and consumer trends for businesses, says that for a start it is a mistake to presume niche simply means small. “Niche can mean small and marginal, but it can also be a synonym for game-changing – something A 18 Niche used to be a byword for small and underdeveloped in business. Now, niche is becoming a byword for success. that completely redefines the market in which it is operating and then everyone has to follow suit,” he suggests. The common driving force behind many niche businesses is the internet, which has completely reconfigured the landscape for retailers and other consumer-facing companies. But business-tobusiness service providers have also reinvented their models recently in response to the development of an online marketplace. Pulsant is a mid-market IT services consolidator, backed by Bridgepoint Development Capital. The business, originally called Lumison, has made three acquisitions in the past 18 months, which have been integrated and rebranded as Pulsant. “Our strategy was to create a company that provides hosted IT services to medium-sized ‘‘ The common driving force behind many niche businesses is the internet, which has completely reconfigured the landscape for legions of consumerfacing companies and business-to-business service providers” companies. The market was poorly served and there was an opportunity to create a company that could grow quickly,” says chief executive Mark Howling. “The name stands for being alive with activity. It is supposed to demonstrate we are at the heart of any company.” Not only is the service provided by Pulsant linked to the internet – the company hosts data centres that companies use to store their information in the cloud rather than relying on servers on their own premises – but many of its clients, such as graphic design agencies, are themselves internet-based. “We only focus on the mid-market, so companies a product which is hard to replicate and has access to a global customer base, although we do have a few UK companies in our portfolio,” says Chris Hutchinson, investment manager at specialised asset manager Unicorn. “Companies also have to have a proven track record, be cash generative and we have to understand what they do – so someone who digs holes in the ground in Kazakhstan wouldn’t work,” he adds. Hutchinson says the most obvious niche area for investments is currently pharmaceuticals, life sciences and healthcare. with between 10 and 1,000 staff. And what we predominantly do is provide their IT infrastructure. Those customers tend to have a high dependency on IT and their supplier base is very fragmented,” explains Howling. Pulsant’s main competitors are major global corporations such as IBM, which Howling believes are not really interested in mid-market UK customers. Alternatively, big global players such as Amazon, which currently offers smaller businesses off-the-peg cloud computing solutions, might be able to tailor their services to compete. This could threaten Howling’s continued expansion but with a £10 billion SME IT market to play for in the UK – of which Pulsant currently has just 1 to 2 per cent – there is ample room to expand. Pulsant focuses on UK-headquartered companies but in today’s globalised world this is the exception rather than the rule, both for management teams and for investors searching out promising niche companies. “We specifically look for businesses that are able to sell into a global marketplace. They need to have “One example is Advanced Medical Solutions. It’s a £160 million company, which is in the business of advanced wound care. They produce what is effectively an advanced sticking plaster made from silver alginate and seaweed, which both have great healing properties. They sell it into the NHS extremely successfully,” he explains. London-listed Advanced Medical Solutions has ploughed its profits back into research and development and is now ready to launch LiquiBand, a sort of medical glue. Global conglomerate Johnson & Johnson is the only competitor for this product and its offer is more expensive and more limited; for instance, emergency medics cannot use it on patients’ faces. “This is an example of a business where there is only one global competitor and they can expand into a huge niche global market,” says Hutchinson. An early example of Unicorn’s niche investment strategy is Abcam, a manufacturer and distributor of therapeutic solutions linked to the human genome project, which listed in London in 2005. After failing to secure early-stage venture capital 19 funding in the 1990s, its founders cobbled together some cash themselves. Their persistence paid off: when Abcam listed, it was worth £50 million; today it has a market cap of £630 million. The Future Foundation believes pharmaceutical and health will continue to be a huge growth area for niche businesses, with one twist – that Europe will be borrowing ideas from the developing world. “One highly visible trend in Western Europe, where you have hard-pressed health services across the continent, is that they are adopting technologies in Africa and Asia,” says Murphy. “In poorer countries, people are finding cheap solutions, like machines that allow patients to take their blood pressure at home then phone in results completely changed the dynamics of the retail sector.” While there are successful niche retailers who do not rely primarily on internet sales – for example, 99p Stores, a rapidly expanding UK retail chain that offers more than 3,000 products at less than a pound each – online is key for many of the most dynamic operators in the sector. And because the internet spans the globe, so does Wiggle’s marketplace. “There are a couple of things that make Wiggle global. First of all, we have customers around the world – cyclists and triathletes – who have their own, shared vocabulary. Second, the brands we deal with are small but global. These common because they won’t see a doctor for months. There factors allow us to both exploit and expand a global are examples of sophisticated wealthy buyers in niche,” says Cobbold. Western Europe taking the same ideas.” But despite the centrality of the internet to his But it is not just life sciences that provide business model, Cobbold makes a distinction entrepreneurs with the opportunity to exploit a between the original online businesses that folded global niche. Humphrey in the wake of the 2001 Cobbold, co-founder and chief dotcom crash and his own. executive of cycle and cycle “There were a lot of bad We have customers around accessories retailer Wiggle, says businesses founded in the the world – cyclists and triaththe internet made his dotcom years. Our business letes – who have their own proposition possible. Cobbold had few pretensions so by shared vocabulary. And the started the business, as he puts necessity it was profitbrands we deal with are small it, “by accident” in the UK in making from the start. We’ve but global. These common 1998, with just a “bit” of hardly even scratched the UK factors allow us to both exploit experience with bikes. Today, market. It’s a £1.5 billion and expand a global niche” after two rounds of private market and we have a 2.3 per equity backing from Isis and cent share in total, maybe 20 Bridgepoint, Wiggle delivers to customers in 70 per cent of the online market. Globally our share countries worldwide. is infinitesimal.” “There are a number of things the internet Bridgepoint acquired Wiggle just a few months channel helps us to do,” says Cobbold. ago and Cobbold is confident there is plenty of “Most importantly, it creates a market globally growth left in the tank. where there wasn’t one before. The internet has “I want to drive and develop this business and ‘‘ 20 make it a highly successful retailer,” was originally driven by safety, but it’s now he says. developing rapidly.” Looking ahead, smart entrepreneurs are Murphy points to the new electric Ford Focus, analysing a number of influential trends that could which comes with what it terms a “Driver define the niche success Assistance Pack” as an optional stories of the future. extra. The system includes a One growth area is functional “One growth area is front-mounted camera that foodstuffs, food that either functional foodstuffs, food scans the road for the driver, makes your hair and skin shine that either makes your hair looking for traffic signs such as or makes your healthier. Another speed limits. The car will also and skin shine or makes you is smart cars – that do healthier,” says Murphy. automatically break for the everything except make the “Another is smart cars – you driver in high-density urban driver a cup of coffee” see cars that do everything environments where it senses an except make the driver a cup obstacle, avoiding collisions with of coffee. The trend stationary objects. Luxury customer service is another area of growth, such as the concierge service offered by private members’ club Quintessentially. Vertu, the designer mobile phone created by Nokia, has a luxe service of its own. Users can access a global concierge service that will book dinner in London or a hotel in Asia at any time of day or night – a taste of things to come for the cashrich, time-poor traveller. But in a globalised corporate world, which is rapidly polarising into huge conglomerates and niche specialists, differentiation remains the key to success. “The world in the 21st century is about finding out what the customer wants, adding that extra level and delivering it. Niche operators can often do that faster and more effectively than their larger peers,” says Murphy n ‘‘ 21 In the spotlight In sickness or in health Europe’s ageing population imposes considerable challenges on national health services. But recent advances in the way healthcare is delivered can save costs and improve lives, as the BBC’s medical correspondent, Fergus Walsh, explains. ere are two healthcare visions of the future… In the first scenario, a 75-year-old man checks into hospital for organ regeneration therapy. His failing heart is injected with stem cells that will revitalise and repair years of accumulated damage. For good measure, his diseased liver is replaced with an organ grown in the laboratory. After a spell in hospital he returns home, but his vital functions are being constantly monitored and relayed back to the medical team. Any sign of trouble and he’ll get an alert on his smartphone and may be called in to see his specialist. After a few weeks, he’s back on his bike and cycling 20 miles a day. The few medicines he receives are personalised to his genetic profile to ensure that they not only work but also cause minimum side effects. H 22 In the second scenario, the same man is living as a virtual prisoner in his home due to chronic cardiovascular disease. Just walking upstairs leaves him gasping for breath. He is morbidly obese and his complex health needs mean he is a frequent hospital inpatient. He would prefer to have some home monitoring of his diabetes but his local health provider says it cannot afford it. Side effects from his various medications are worsening his mood and he faces another slew of appointments to evaluate and treat his depression. Clearly we would all prefer to see the first future rather than the second, but which is the most likely? What are the prospects for health in the 21st century? Any focus on the future of health must concentrate on diseases and ailments of the ageing body. Elderly people account for a bigger proportion of European healthcare every year and that trend is likely to continue. Half the population over 60 already has a long-term health condition. Yet in most Western European countries, one in three girls born this year is expected to live to 100 and one in four boys. By 2050, there will be about half a million people aged over 100 in the UK alone. So old age will be the norm. The issue is whether these extra years of life will be spent in sickness or in health – and what technology and health innovation can do about it. Remote delivery In the corner of his kitchen, 60year-old Joe Barr has a small black box he calls the “nurse on my shoulder”. He has heart disease, Type 2 diabetes and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, a lung condition known as COPD. When he checks his ‘‘ weight, the machine reads it out loud. He pricks his finger and does a blood glucose reading. He slips his finger into an oximeter, which monitors the oxygen saturation levels in his blood. All the results are relayed wirelessly to nurses at a health clinic many miles away. Barr explains: “It gives me great peace of mind and it tells you about your body. When my blood pressure has been really low, I have just taken it easy that day.” Telehealth – the remote monitoring of people’s vital signs and conditions from their home – has been embraced by health services as an area with huge potential. The world’s biggest randomised controlled trial of telehealth was conducted recently, involving more than 3,000 patients with diabetes, The world’s biggest trial of telehealth suggests it can cut emergency hospital visits by 15 per cent and emergency admissions by 20 per cent. Most strikingly, it seemed to show a 45 per cent reduction in mortality rates” heart failure or COPD. Preliminary findings suggest telehealth can cut emergency hospital visits by 15 per cent and emergency admissions by 20 per cent if used correctly. Most strikingly, it seemed to show a 45 per cent reduction in mortality rates. Hospitals in Cornwall, south-west England, had 1,000 patients on the telehealth trial and were so impressed, they want to increase that number to 30,000 within five years. UK-based company Tunstall is the biggest global provider of telehealth, with about 2.5 million patients on its books. Managing director Simon Arnold says Germany and the US have been at the forefront of telehealth and both countries have trialled a range of different schemes in recent years. In autumn 2011, for example, a telemedicine network was launched in Cottbus, Brandenburg, south-east of Berlin. Jointly developed by a telecoms company, a medical and IT supplier and a hospital, the system is designed to allow the remote monitoring of up to 500 high-risk patients with advanced heart failure. Doctors will have access to patients’ electro-cardiograms, blood pressure and oxygen saturation levels. The aim is to reduce emergency hospital admissions and cut death rates. Getting personal If patients are to be kept out of hospital and living independently, then effective treatments are clearly vital. Anders Sandberg, research fellow 23 at the Future of Humanity Institute at the University of Oxford, says there will be an increasing need for medicines to help those who are living longer than previous generations but suffering from chronic disease. “We are seeing a serious stagnation in the number of new medicines coming to market, which is surprising given the huge advances in the understanding of the body. The problem is that in order to make a new drug you have to spend a fortune in trials to check it is safe. This is particularly problematic because there will be an increasing need for drugs to help our growing elderly population,” he explains. Sandberg believes personalised medicines may help refocus the approach of the industry and of doctors. A simple genetic test can already check whether many treatments will work for some patients and not others. This ‘‘ targeted use of drugs is now a significant growth area in treating cancer and other conditions. Almost every day, researchers find new genetic markers for disease, encouraging the creation of medicines specific to some patients and not others, so that side effects can be minimised. One key driver of personalised medicine is the dramatic advance in gene sequencing, arguably one of the greatest leaps forward in our understanding of the human body. In the year 2000, it took more than a decade and cost billions of dollars to sequence one genome. Now it can be done in hours for a few thousand dollars. The cost is falling so fast and the speed of sequencing increasing so rapidly that within the next few years it is conceivable that every newborn could have their genome sequenced at birth. One genome on its own is of limited value, but comparing hundreds or thousands will allow far deeper understanding of Pointing to a bio-engineered human health and why synthetic artery, he says: our bodies malfunction. ‘This material pulses like an A research project at artery. We are also making London’s Royal heart valves, replacement Brompton Hospital, for ears, nose and skin’” 24 example, is investigating individual gene sequencing as part of a research project into the inherited factors that help trigger heart disease. Professor Dudley Pennell explains: “Ultimately, our aim is to offer same-day analysis – involving patients having a scan and genetic profile of their heart problem, leading to a personalised therapy which will treat their particular disease.” Artificial technologies We cannot change our genetic profile but we already know how to boost our chances of a healthy future, through a balanced diet, regular exercise and so on. Men in Glasgow, Scotland, live on average 14 years less than those in the smarter parts of London. The reasons are not to be found in their genes, but in social factors, lifestyles and especially smoking rates. But if damaged organs could be replaced or repaired, it might mean decades more of good health even for those who most abuse their bodies. Synthetic body parts may sound like something out of a from the patient’s bone marrow. rather outlandish sci-fi movie but major issue – many people die The operation was carried out – according to Alex Seifalian, while on the waiting list for an in Barcelona by the same professor of nanotechnology organ. Removing the need for Italian surgeon who did the and regenerative medicine at immunosuppressant drugs Swedish surgery. University College London – they would release patients from Regenerative medicine is still have a great future. Pointing to a dependence on powerful in its early stages, and scientists bio-engineered synthetic artery, medication, which itself can are particularly keen to learn he says: “This material pulses shorten life expectancy. how to repair disorders of the like an artery. We are also The material used in the ageing brain, such as making heart valves, Alzheimer’s disease. replacement ears, Dementia costs the UK nose and skin.” A simple genetic test can already check £17 billion a year, and it’s Professor Seifalian whether many treatments will work for estimated this could rise and his team are some patients and not others. This to £50 billion by 2050 as already putting their targeted use of drugs is now a the population ages. artificial body parts significant growth area in treating Clearly, drugs or to work and last year cancer and other conditions” implants that enhance orchestrated the cognition in elderly world’s first entirely people would be hugely benefiwindpipe operation does have synthetic organ transplant. The cial. “People understandably limits. While it is suitable for recipient was a 36-year-old man want a cure for neurodegenerahollow structures such as a in Sweden whose windpipe had tive diseases and there is a huge windpipe or an artery, it can’t be been ravaged by cancer. Without amount of research going on. We used to create complex organs surgery he would have died. The are still far away from it but such as a heart, liver or kidney. tailor-made synthetic organ was treatments which enhance Instead of trying to replace these created in London using 3D scans memory are already in developorgans, many trials are under of his windpipe. It was flown to ment,” says Sandberg. way to see if an injection of stem Stockholm where it was bathed Back in 1971, President Nixon cells can help halt disease or in a solution of stem cells taken set doctors and scientists a repair damaged tissue. from the patient’s bone marrow. challenge: to cure cancer. Four After just two days, the millions Regenerative research decades on, there has been of tiny holes in its surface were Stem cell research in the field of immense progress but the battle seeded and coated with the transplantation has led to several has still not been won. patient’s own tissue. partnerships between European The long war against cancer During a 12-hour operation, teams. In 2008, surgeons in Spain should tell us not to expect quick the diseased windpipe was carried out a partially synthetic removed and the patient given fixes or outright victory in the windpipe transplant, which can his bespoke replica. Synthetic quest to heal the ageing body now been seen as a precursor to tissue has two enormous and tackle dementia. But given the Swedish operation last year. advantages over conventional what is at stake, few would The difference was that this organ transplantation: it does argue the battle is not earlier transplant involved a not rely on a human donor, and worth fighting n donor organ. A team in Padua, it will not be rejected by the Italy, decellularised the donor body. These benefits cannot be organ, while another in Bristol, overestimated. The shortage of UK, grew stem cells taken donors for transplant surgery is a ‘‘ 25 Face to face Craft work 26 Catriona Marshall is chief executive of Hobbycraft, the UK’s leading chain of arts and crafts stores. An award-winning retailer, Marshall is ruthlessly efficient, utterly charming and totally dedicated to her job. So much so, that she has created a list of characters to bring to life the range of Hobbycraft customers. J there from Monday to Friday. It’s no bother at all ean is an old-fashioned mend-and-maker. because it means I can completely immerse myself Brought up in the post-war years, she knits, in the job – I can live and breathe the business 24/7 darns socks and bakes all her own cakes. Jean loves during the week and at this stage, that’s really nothing more than rummaging for patterns, new important,” she says. wool and bargains. Her husband will sometimes Marshall joined Hobbycraft in February 2011, accompany her on these shopping trips. He is not having spent eight years as trading and marketing averse to the odd Airfix plane and would probably director at Pets at Home, another Bridgepointmake more models if he came across kit that backed retail group, sold to KKR in 2010 for £955 inspired him. Their daughter, Emma, is quite million. “I was planning to take six months off different. She never learnt to knit, sew or do when I left Pets at Home. But the opportunity to anything very creative but now she wishes she had. run Hobbycraft came up, we were under time Her children are at school, craft is on the pressure to get going, so in the end I took six curriculum and she does not have a clue. weeks,” she says. The children are taught by Miss Thompson, a real Before the Bridgepoint acquisition, Hobbycraft fan of creative learning. She will often buy what she was a family-run business, developed in a needs for lessons out of her own pocket because it is somewhat homely fashion over easier than waiting for money Whenever we talk about our 15 years by the Haskins family. from the increasingly stretched strategy, we always say we school budget. Marshall comes from different are looking for Emma, while Sam the artist and Kate, the stock. Originally at Mars, she not alienating Jean” craft enthusiast, may have been worked with Archie Norman, inspired in early life by a similar Allan Leighton and Richard teacher. Now Sam is dedicated to Baker at Asda, transforming his art and Kate is a semi-professional crafter, the supermarket chain during the 1990s before it making jewellery and gifts to sell at markets or give was sold to Wal-Mart for £6.7 billion in 1999. to friends. Moving to Pets at Home from Asda, Marshall This motley crew is Catriona Marshall’s virtual worked closely with chief executive, Matt Davies, family. Born and brought up in Glasgow, Marshall again helping to transform the business. After more has lived south of the border for most of her adult than a decade and a half in turnaround retail life. Managing to combine exceptional energy, situations, Marshall is something of an expert. unashamed ambition and genuine charisma, “The first thing that struck me when I walked into Marshall is resolute in her determination to make Hobbycraft stores a year ago is that, as a retailer, Hobbycraft a true retail success. you would see lots of things that go against the grain “I live in Cheshire at the weekends but the of retail principles. There was no signage, no Hobbycraft head office is in Bournemouth so I am obvious customer layout and far too much stock. So 27 The first thing that struck me when I walked into Hobbycraft stores a year ago is that, as a retailer, you would see lots of things that go against the grain of retail principles. There was no signage, no obvious customer layout and far too much stock. However, the core Hobbycraft customer loved it” it was hard to find your way around, you had to do lots of rummaging and if you didn’t know what you were looking for, you had to ask lots of questions. So to me, it was not a retail-friendly environment,” she explains. “However,” she adds, “the core Hobbycraft customer loved it. She knows what she’s looking for; she’s more than happy to spend time browsing; she loves to rummage and she loves to find a bargain so she was very happy in that environment.” Marshall calls this customer “Jean”. She has been coming to Hobbycraft for years and Marshall does not want to alienate her. But Hobbycraft cannot survive on Jeans alone. “The direction we’re moving in now is to have a much wider, younger customer base. And the customers we’re targeting now are far more discerning. They want brighter, fresher stores that are well organised and well laid out so they can find what they’re looking for without spending hours searching for it,” says Marshall. This customer is “Emma”, who’s never had any interest in crafting but finds herself in Hobbycraft because her children need paper, glue and various bits and pieces for their school projects. She is also drawn to the stores because she is looking for different pastimes for her children. “Emma wants to encourage her kids to do creative play – clay-modelling, painting, cardmaking and other alternatives to television, X-box and computer games,” says Marshall. In Marshall’s virtual family of customers, Emma’s mother knows about papercraft, jewellery, crossstitch and similar painstaking crafts. She is happy to spend hours on intricate work and is looking for the products to help her. Emma, however, wants more immediate results. Marshall explains: “Emma is looking for easy-to-do crafts. She is focused on the end result whereas her mother is as interested in the process as the outcome.” Even as Marshall tries to lure more Emmas into 28 Hobbycraft, she knows she cannot lose her core shoppers, her Jeans. “Whenever we talk about our strategy, we always say we are looking for Emma, while not alienating Jean. Fortunately, Jean doesn’t think of herself as Jean. She thinks of herself as younger and trendier than a typical ‘Jean’ so she likes the bright new stores and the more contemporary feel,” says Marshall. Hobbycraft has 61 stores and 1,700 employees. Since Marshall joined, she has been steadily renovating old stores and expanding into new ones. Over the next three years, the group is expected to move to 100 stores and change its image – from homely and old-fashioned to modern, bright and exciting. “At Pets at Home, we had about 5,000 different product lines. When I joined Hobbycraft, there were 50,000. Some stock had literally been sitting in stores for years. Now we are down to 35,000,” says Marshall. “In retail, you can’t do everything you want to do unless you have an effective supply chain, so a great deal of our energy is going into managing that process. If we have the right systems and processes in place, then we can put all our energy into developing fantastic products and offering great customer service. But you have to do the hard-core plumbing first, so we are in the middle of a huge business transformation phase at the moment on both systems and supply chain,” she adds. Marshall and her team are working day and night to complete this process as quickly as possible before moving on to the “customer plan” – making sure stores are constantly filled with “new and exciting products”. As Marshall explains: “We want to become famous for seasonal products and occasions. So every time customers come in, there will be a whole new seasonal display at the front of the store. We also need to be really on-trend in terms of fashion, whether it’s the latest colours in wool or the latest fad in cupcake making. But we can only do that if Name: Catriona Marshall Age: 45 Born: Glasgow, Scotland Education Dundee University, reading Scottish and European law First job Midland Bank (now part of HSBC) Car Red Audi TT Hobbies Running and crafting, when possible Long-term ambition To have a successful specialist running business that funds teaching disadvantaged youngsters life-skills through running Biggest professional achievement Being part of the Pets at Home team and transforming and ultimately selling that business Biggest regret My life moves at such a pace, and always has, that I don’t really have time to dwell on the past. I just think – good, bad or ugly, it happens for a reason so you just make the best of it and move on we can stock in and out of the stores quickly.” Reducing the overall number of lines and having a nimbler supply chain means Hobbycraft stores can be slightly more compact than they have been historically so they can be located in better retail parks, where Emma likes to shop. Fortunately, Jean does too. Just to make sure the core customers would not find Marshall’s vision off-putting, she took a coach-load of doughty knitting enthusiasts on a trip to one of Hobbycraft’s new-look stores. “They loved it. They loved the new concept and the freshness and brightness of it. So we know that, as long as we continue to stock a good range at good prices, they will keep coming. But we are constantly checking ourselves to make sure that Jean will not be alienated and we will continue to do so,” says Marshall. Even as she and her team work on the supply chain, efforts are in place to improve customer service. “One of the big similarities between Pets and Hobbycraft is that your colleagues are also your customers – pet lovers at Pets, crafters or creative types at Hobbycraft. We stop work at about 5.30 Either way, in the evening and go for a they have a lovely cycle ride through the passion for the forest. Then we come back, subject, which shower, have some food and is a fantastic carry on working” foundation for customer service,” Marshall suggests. Marshall also benefits from strong support from Bridgepoint, who recruited her for the Hobbycraft position after seeing her performance at Pets at Home. 29 “Bridgepoint truly understand management kids are at the forefront of Marshall’s mind but Miss teams and how to get the best out of them. They Thompson, Sam the artist and Kate the canny have extremely high values and honour them. They crafter cannot be forgotten either. are very commercially aware but they want to build “It is quite a challenge because you need to have quality businesses for the long term. They are a wide enough range to satisfy all of them and they interested in long-term quality and long-term all have different needs. Sam is an artist and quite reputation so they take decisions based on longdistinct from the traditional crafter. Kate is term value,” she says. probably the most demanding Marshall fitted in beautifully of them all because she is semiIf we have the right systems at Pets at Home. With two professional and very and processes in place, then Boxer dogs, two cats and a accomplished,” says Marshall. we can put all our energy parrot, she is a real animal lover Progress is under way and into developing fantastic and actually left two bearded Marshall is full of plans, not just products and offering great dragons and some fish behind for the physical stores but also customer service. But you for her successor when she left for Hobbycraft’s online have to do the hard-core the company. Fortunately, she presence. The task is not for the plumbing first” is rather keen on craft as well faint-hearted but Marshall is and comes from a family of undaunted, helped on the way “crafters”, though she never thought about it until by another passion – running. A member of a arriving at Hobbycraft. running club, Marshall does fell-running and “My family was always making things and I grew marathons and tries to run or cycle at least three up in that environment. I never thought of myself times a week. as a crafter but I do a lot of it now, as you’d expect. I “I started about 10 years ago because I realised I really love knitting. It’s just so satisfying to be could no longer eat and drink in copious quantities watching TV and at the end of the evening, you’ve without putting on weight. So I used to run to eat produced something – though I don’t have much but then I became completely hooked. I’m very spare time for TV at the moment,” she says. average but I love the challenge and I find it really In recent months, there have been some genuine clears the head. I have also started a weekly cycle crafting moments, including a weekend where with my team. We stop work at about 5.30 in the three teenage girls came to stay with Marshall and evening and go for a lovely cycle ride through the her husband. Unsure of how to occupy them, she forest. Then we come back, shower, have some ordered a life-size model elephant to be delivered food and carry on working,” she says. to her home and invited the girls to have a go at Marshall admits she works long hours and the ‘decopatching’ – a craft that is growing rapidly in timetable is demanding but she clearly benefits popularity, which involves covering models, in this from the zeitgeist – a nationwide hankering for oldcase an elephant, with colourful paper and fabrics. fashioned pursuits, from card-making to “We were doing it until 11 o’clock on Saturday scrapbooking to cross-stitching to home-baking, night and when we came down on Sunday Hobbycraft’s strongest growth area. morning, they were all there in their pyjamas back “On the one hand, I want to make Hobbycraft a at it again. Now I have a decopatched elephant in really successful commercial retailer and that is all my guest room,” says Marshall. about having the right team and the right This probably speaks volumes not just for infrastructure. But there is also the opportunity to Marshall’s creative energy but also for the breadth create something unique and special so I am really of Hobbycraft’s appeal. Jean, Emma and Emma’s lucky to have that chance,” says Marshall n 30 31 Management focus New era: old ways The digital world offers huge commercial opportunities – but many companies have yet to grasp its potential. W hen historians look back to the beginning of the 21st century, they may well conclude that information technology brought about changes in business conduct that were just as dramatic as those wrought by the Industrial Revolution 200 years earlier. From the growth of web-based ecommerce and cloud computing services, to the mass adoption of social networking sites, such as Facebook and Twitter, and the unprecedented success of smartphones and tablets, the internet and IT are fundamentally changing our personal and business lives. 32 But, just as with the Industrial Revolution, these changes are unevenly distributed and some companies and individuals risk being left behind. Many businesses are still trapped in the pre-internet age – relying on paper-based systems to manage their supply chains, processes and relationships with customers. Constrained by these physical ties, they focus on local markets at a time when the internet and ecommerce have made distance of little consequence for more agile competitors. Such backward-looking businesses are under threat of extinction, just like the handweavers, blacksmiths and bookbinders who thrived before the Industrial Revolution. But it does not have to be that way. Companies can jump-start their digital futures if they adopt the right mindset and take the right steps. The rise of BYOD A key development in this regard is the so-called ‘consumerisation of IT’. Historically, commercial IT and consumer electronics have been considered entirely separate and, for the most part, serious companies have shunned consumer devices as trivial and time-wasting. But attitudes are shifting. Many senior business managers and corporate executives have taken to bringing personal mobile devices to work and asking if they can be hooked up to corporate IT systems and applications, such as consumer relationship management, business intelligence and enterprise resource planning systems. While some IT departments have been reluctant to accede to such requests, others including many in the financial services, technology and healthcare industries have embraced the idea and encouraged employees to bring or buy their own devices, a trend known as BYOD. The advantage of this approach is not just financial – although studies show that employees using their own devices at work make far fewer support calls to IT departments. Rather, employers such as SAP, the German enterprise software company that has embraced BYOD, say it improves productivity, flexibility, recruitment and employee loyalty, particularly among younger employees who have grown up in a digital world. As a recent survey and report from PwC, the management consultancy, noted: “Everyone is now a mobile consumer. Executives must recognise that the expectations of employees and customers are largely affected by consumer-driven technologies. Employees want the tools they use for work to be as good as those they use in their personal lives, and customers expect to interact with firms on the platform and device of their choice.” The mobile user The consumerisation of IT feeds into another significant trend and opportunity for businesses – mobility. PwC’s survey indicates that while many firms are focused on developing better mobile tools for their workers, they are underinvesting in solutions for their customers: only 45 per cent of respondents said they interact with customers significantly using mobile channels, and fewer than onethird are investing in mobile technologies for customers. This offers a genuine competitive opportunity for companies that do recognise the potential of mobile applications and devices to reach their customers. One of the big surprises of the past 18 months is the speed with which companies have embraced tablets, particularly the iPad. By some estimates, about a third of all the iPads purchased last year are being used in business. Some companies use them to provide senior executives with access to a ‘digital dashboard’ showing key financial data. Others, such as Edmunds.com, a US-based online vehicle shopping service, have gone further and built applications designed to improve the performance of their sales teams when they visit customers. State Street, a Boston-based investment services firm, has built applications for clients, providing them with comprehensive information about their portfolios. And in the UK, Unilever’s investor services department turned to an external ‘‘ Backward-looking businesses are under threat of extinction, just like the handweavers, blacksmiths and bookbinders who thrived before the Industrial Revolution” consultancy to build an app for investors that allows them to monitor remote video presentations and access corporate data. Certain forward-looking companies have replaced traditional ‘board books’ sent out to directors before board meetings with a secure iPad app that is always up to date. Embracing social media Others are trying to engage clients and build customer loyalty through social media channels. PwC suggests the real value of these channels lies in their “ability to add a new dimension to the entire product life cycle and create more regular interaction across the lifespan of a product or service. This information can be instrumental in wringing greater value out of existing products while providing invaluable insights as new products are developed”. But again, most companies have yet to embrace the benefits these tools can provide: among the total pool of PwC survey respondents, only 37 per cent have invested in social media tools to reach customers. Industries that have invested more significantly in this area include the retail and consumer sector (51 per cent) and the industrial product sector (50 per cent). 33 Dell, the PC maker, has gone tion (HD) video, play HD video one stage further, monitoring games and conduct face-to-face social media to detect consumer HD videoconferencing from sentiment and encouraging its smartphones and other portable customers to ‘help themselves’ in devices. The move to higheruser forums rather than calling speed mobile networks also frees the company support centre. up capacity for other services Such services would be such as machine-to-machine impossible without the fast wired (M2M) services. and wireless broadband services By embedding a small $10 that consumers have come to radio module in a device, M2M expect. While fibre-optic based services offered by network wired networks in Asia, Europe operators enable transport and the US provide the fastest companies to monitor trucks or fixed-line internet access, containers, utility companies to the next generation of read meters remotely and mobile networks using a manufacturers to track the technology called LTE (Long Term By embedding a small $10 radio Evolution) will module in a device, transport deliver download companies can monitor trucks or speeds of up to about containers, utility companies can 50 megabits per read meters remotely and manufacsecond, enabling a raft turers can track the progress of a of new software component shipment” applications including data-hungry video services. progress of a component These mobile networks shipment. Since most telecoms will enable users to operators now offer a complete watch streaming M2M managed service to high definicorporate customers, this technology is within reach of almost any company, big or small. ‘‘ 34 In the cloud Other wireless technologies are enabling smartphones and other devices to function as ‘mobile wallets’, while companies such as Google and Groupon see the opportunity to deliver instant coupons and offers to smartphone owners when they walk into a store. Smart companies can also use the data collected at store checkouts and ATMs and via digital devices such as smartphones to detect consumer trends early, and tailor services and special offers to individual consumers. The huge volume of data collected this way, coupled with other information such as weather forecasts and demographic data, is one of the hottest subjects in enterprise IT today. Dubbed Big Data, it can be used to assess trends in near realtime and quickly adjust forecasts and production to meet customer demand. Indeed, some companies, particularly in the financial services and consumer goods sectors, are already starting to use it. The ability to process vast ‘‘ Smart companies can use the data collected at store checkouts, ATMs and via digital devices like smartphones to detect consumer trends early, and tailor special offers to individual consumers” amounts of data quickly was once confined to the biggest companies operating their own data centres. But cloud computing – perhaps the biggest trend in corporate IT over the past few years – has put these resources within reach of almost all companies. Cloud computing and highspeed data networks enable companies to access computing resources from highly efficient remote data centres as and when they need them, and pay for these resources on a usage basis. According to research firm Forrester Research, the global cloud computing market could be worth more than $241 billion by 2020, up from just $40.7 billion in 2010. It is already having a profound impact on the way companies operate their businesses, particularly smaller companies and startups, which cannot afford to invest in IT servers that may be obsolete within a few years. “Cloud computing means someone else runs the computers and software while you use what they deliver and focus on its value,” says Daryl Plummer, managing vice president of IT consultancy Gartner. “You can access solutions that are ‘in the cloud’, like community resources that everyone can use without owning any of them, and everyone pays part of the price, which lowers total outlay for all.” He adds: “Cloud solutions are delivered to you ‘as a service’, like a cup of coffee from Starbucks down the street. You go in, order, pay and gulp down a cup before 6.30am. Did you stop to think about how much of the coffee maker you used? Or what type of machine it was? Of course not. You don’t have to. What you came in for was a cup of coffee. The timeliness, taste and price dictate whether you will come back, not the equipment used to make the coffee. That’s a service. Everybody uses the same equipment and gets their coffee in the same way.” This makes it much easier to launch an online business. But it can also help bricks and mortar firms to focus on their core business instead of worrying about expensive in-house IT departments. Computing power ‘on tap’ like water or electricity enables companies of any size to test out a new service too, or deal with sudden changes in demand. In 2009, for example, when the number of gamers playing Zynga’s FarmVille jumped from zero to 10 million within six weeks, the online games company turned to Amazon’s Web Services to meet demand. Despite its potential, analysts caution that cloud computing is not a panacea. To succeed in business in the second decade of this century, companies will need to embrace a complete arsenal of digital tools and rethink business processes starting with their supply chains and extending all the way through to sales, marketing and customer support. Yesterday was a good time to start n 35 Last word The spy who loves you A location app revealing the whereabouts of family and colleagues may be the answer to a parent or boss’s prayers but it could have unintended consequences, as columnist Sali Hughes explains. So technology now exists in the form of mobile phone apps that let parents track their children as they go about their day. I get it, albeit reluctantly. There’s something comforting about seeing a little moving dot on a map demonstrating that all is well with your precious baby. Fair enough, but at which point do children have the right to their privacy? Are teenagers not entitled to experience the same sense of adolescent abandon that we did? Besides, let’s get real here. These apps will be used primarily by adults to keep an eye on other adults. And serious moral implications aside, this is a deeply flawed way to gather information. If we’re relying on GPS to give us conclusive information on our spouse’s whereabouts, we’re barking up the wrong tree – one that’s probably three streets away. Navigation software, particularly on mobile phones, is not yet an exact or infallible science. An app that suggests your wife is spending too long at the neighbour’s could mean she’s getting her tyres changed at the nearby Kwik-Fit. Frankly, an unfounded accusation is likely to cause more marital disharmony than blissful ignorance. That is, of course, if you own up at all. In my experience, looking for information on a loved one only leads to increased suspicion because what you uncover is never enough to gain a full picture. An unrecognised or ominous location is inconclusive and so requires yet more snooping to give it weight. Either that or, fatally, a confrontation and an admission that you’ve been spying. Should anybody really be going down that route? It’s a depressing end game and one from which it’s near impossible to turn back. And even if there is no mistrust, only genuine care, these apps may rob us of our small, everyday liberties. Who hasn’t dropped a loved one a well-meaning text saying: ‘I’m just finishing my drink, then leaving’, when in fact, they’re eyeing up the cocktail 36 menu and contemplating a Margarita fishbowl? Or: “Traffic is terrible! I’ll be 15 minutes late!” when they’ve just come out the shower? These tiny lies are largely harmless and part of life for most of us. It seems inevitable that a counter app will be out sooner or later, deliberately telling your partner you’re hard at work when you’ve actually nipped out for a swift half. Work is a whole other minefield. Calling in sick by hanging upside down off the foot of the bed and adopting a croaky voice (oh. Just me?) will no longer cut it. Now you (or at least, your phone) will have to stay under your own roof throughout your absence, however much you fancy a day trip to the beach. And even when you’re no slacker, Big Brother could still be tracking your every move. Who cares if you do your job brilliantly and deliver your results on time? That two-hour lunch, extended conference day and quick run to the dry cleaners will all count against you. And you’d better forget that drink after a tough meeting – your phone is stamping your timecard as soon as you leave your authorised location. Even if one is untroubled by the morality of this technology, there are major issues with its workability. If my children were given an iPhone so I could keep abreast of their whereabouts, I’d give it no more than one hour before they’d either removed the app or eaten all the battery by playing Angry Birds. With the best will – and the most stringent controls – in the world, it’s time we accepted that advancements in technology cannot control everything that happens to us. We’re obsessed that something terrible will happen to our children but disasters are no more likely now than when we were children unable even to imagine what a mobile phone was, let alone the incredible and fantastical uses we’d have for it in the future. Tragedy is extremely rare, yet our extreme neurosis increases by the month – hampering our children’s self-confidence and need for some autonomy. I’ll stick with texts for now n CONTENTS 2 INS & OUTS Investments and exits across Europe 5 MARKET INSIGHT Bring back yesterday Manufacturers are cashing in as people hanker after products and memories from the past 11 TALKING POINT A lost generation? What does the future hold in store for millions of youngsters across Europe currently searching for work? 18 22 BUSINESS TRENDS IN THE SPOTLIGHT Small is beautiful In sickness or in health Why do niche businesses often have competitive advantages over big companies? Advances in the way healthcare is delivered can save costs and improve the lives of an ageing population 26 FACE TO FACE Craft work Hobbycraft’s Catriona Marshall creates a virtual family of characters to bring its range of customers to life 32 MANAGEMENT FOCUS New era: old ways Backward-looking companies risk extinction if they fail to adapt to the digital future 36 LAST WORD The spy who loves you Big Brother’s watching you with mobile apps that chart your every movement
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