Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Tectonophysics j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / t e c t o Regional isostatic response to Messinian Salinity Crisis events Rob Govers ⁎, Paul Meijer 1, Wout Krijgsman 2 Faculty of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Netherlands a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 4 July 2007 Received in revised form 29 August 2008 Accepted 16 September 2008 Available online 25 September 2008 Keywords: MSC Paleogeographic reconstruction Mediterranean tectonics Messinian erosion surface 3D Flexure Shareware a b s t r a c t The salinity crisis of the Mediterranean during Messinian time was one of the most dramatic episodes of oceanic change of the past 20 or so million years, resulting in the deposition of kilometer thick evaporitic sequences. A large and rapid drawdown of the Mediterranean water level caused erosion and deposition of non-marine sediments in a large ‘Lago Mare’ basin. Both the surface loading by the Lower Messinian evaporites, and the removal of the water load resulted in isostatic/flexural rebound that significantly affected river canyons and topographic slopes. We use flexure models to quantitatively predict possible signatures of these events, and verify these expectations at well-studied margins. The highly irregular shape of the reconstructed basin calls for a three-dimensional model. Near basin margins, plate-bending effects are most pronounced which is why flexure is particularly important for a relatively narrow basin like the Mediterranean. We focus on one specific sea level scenario for the Messinian Salinity Crisis, where most of the evaporite load was deposited during a sea level highstand, followed by a rapid desiccation. Evaporite loading at current sea level is expected to cause subsidence of the deep basins by hundreds of meters and simultaneous uplift of continental parts of the margins. Differential uplift may lead to significant slope angle changes and thus gravity flows. The relative scarcity of Lower Evaporite sequences along the margins may be a result of these phenomena. Normal faulting of Lower Evaporite and older sediments and rocks is expected on the margins. Desiccation enhances erosion of the freshly exposed continental shelf and slope. Subsidence and riverbed sedimentation occurs on the continental margins, and significant uplift towards the basin center. Reverse faulting is predicted at the margins. Finally, regional isostatic uplift following Zanclean flooding is predicted to destabilize margin slope deposits, and to cause marginal uplift, river down-cutting, and normal faulting. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Surface processes act to move loads from one place to another. The solid Earth responds by rock uplift or subsidence to this redistribution of surface mass. These vertical (isostatic) motions in turn affect the surface processes, for instance by increasing sedimentation where subsidence occurs. From the perspective of the solid Earth, it is irrelevant whether the surface loads are water, sediments or rocks; the only thing that counts is the weight. Obviously, this is quite different from a surface process perspective. For instance, an increase of seawater depth at some location is quite different from sedimentation with the former leaving quite different footprints in the geological record than the latter. One of the most pronounced natural experiments with surface processes has been occurring in the Mediterranean realm. Here, the deposition of thick evaporitic sequences and the drying up of most of ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +31 30 253 4985; fax: +31 30 253 5030. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (R. Govers), [email protected] (P. Meijer), [email protected] (W. Krijgsman). 1 Tel.: +31 30 253 5091; fax: +31 30 253 5030. 2 Tel.: +31 30 253 1672; fax: +31 30 253 1677. 0040-1951/$ – see front matter © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.tecto.2008.09.026 the basin (desiccation) has been established by numerous studies. These events occurred during the Messinian stage of the Late Miocene, which is why they are commonly referred to as the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC). These giant evaporite bodies were discovered in the early 1970's by shipboard scientists of the Deep Sea Drilling Project (Hsü et al., 1973). Numerous papers and working hypotheses have subsequently contributed to a better understanding of the complex and enigmatic scenario of rapidly changing depositional environments that governed this MSC. Most current interpretations converge to a scenario of progressive isolation of the Mediterranean in a twostep model (Clauzon et al., 1996; Krijgsman et al., 1999; Roveri et al., 2001; Rouchy and Caruso, 2006), but the precise course of events is still a matter of serious debate. Astronomical tuning of Messinian sedimentary sequences resulted in a high-resolution time frame indicating that the MSC started at 5.96Ma (Krijgsman et al., 1999) with the deposition of the Lower Gypsum unit (Lower Evaporites) all over the Mediterranean at marginal settings. Field evidence and quantitative analyses suggest that Mediterranean sea level remained at the level of the Atlantic during Lower Gypsum formation which lasted at least until ~ 5.6Ma (Krijgsman et al., 1999; Krijgsman and Meijer, 2008). The Lower Evaporites are classically described from Sicily to comprise evaporitic 110 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 limestone, gypsum and massive halite (Decima and Wezel, 1973), but also consist of detritic mass deposits, along with re-sedimented evaporites (Roveri and Manzi, 2006). The detailed correlation of the Sicilian sequences to the seismic profiles of the abyssal Mediterranean is still a matter of serious controversy (e.g., Roveri et al., 2006). The Sicilian lower evaporites are overlain, with an erosional unconformity, by the Upper Evaporitic sequences (~ 5.5–5.33Ma) which comprise gypsum as well as brackish-water sediments of so-called “Lago Mare” facies. These Upper Evaporites are generally thought to have been deposited at low sea level when the Mediterranean was isolated from the Atlantic (Hsü et al., 1973; Orszag-Sperber, 2006). Both the timing and amount of sea level drawdown are controversial. The MSC ended at 5.33Ma with the Zanclean (Pliocene) flooding of the Mediterranean, which re-filled the basin within a few thousand years (Blanc, 2002). The cause for re-establishing an ocean connection is speculative and quite enigmatic. Like today, the Mediterranean during the Miocene was most likely an evaporation basin, meaning that in order to preserve sea level evaporative water losses needed to be balanced by inflow of water from rivers and the Atlantic Ocean. During the MSC, as tectonics acted to cork the strait connections with the Atlantic Ocean, water influx into the Mediterranean basin no longer sufficed to maintain sea level. This resulted in a near-synchronous desiccation of the entire Mediterranean basin within a couple of thousand years (Meijer and Krijgsman, 2005). Krijgsman and Meijer (2008) and Govers (submitted for publication) present evidence that this occurred during the last stage of deposition of the massive halite (top of the Lower Evaporites). Most workers today agree that there was only one (major) drawdown event. Desiccation resulted in hill-slope instabilities and erosion, leading to the Intra-Messinian Unconformity (or “Messinian Erosion Surface”) between the top of the Lower Evaporites and the Upper Evaporites. The amount of sea level drop is only incompletely constrained by observations. Seismic images offshore show that the base of erosional canyons and continental fans are in continuity with the Messinian evaporites (Lofi et al., 2005), giving estimates of a paleoshoreline at − 2500m. Estimating the exact amount of sea level drop, however, requires that the isostatic uplift is quantified, once postMessinian sediments and the sea water column have been removed, as well as the isostatic subsidence because of evaporite loading — as is being done in flexural backstripping. Observations and discussions on the MSC in the decades following its discovery (Ryan, 1969; Hsü et al., 1973) have focused on the involved surface processes. Norman and Chase (1986) were the first to recognize the potential impact for the solid Earth of these surface events, and the possible feedbacks of basement vertical motions to river discharge and incision. Similar, but more detailed studies of basement motions of the Gulf of Lions/Provence region and incision of the Rhone river where conducted by Gargani (2004a,b). In view of the strong coupling between surface processes and basement isostatic motions, we feel that the relative lack of attention for the solid Earth role represents a hiatus in our understanding of the MSC. Therefore, it is the purpose of this paper to estimate the solid Earth response to MSC events, and to predict how surface processes likely were affected. Based on our new three-dimensional approach, we show that previous work substantially overestimated the regional isostatic deformation. We predict hundreds of meters of basement motions in most of the Mediterranean realm. We pay particular attention to possible errors in the model, and how they affect our predictions. In the first part of this paper we present a paleogeographic reconstruction of the Mediterranean basin, along with the most pertinent observations and arguments that we used to build it. In the second part we present our estimate of the “effective elastic thickness” during the MSC, which is a mechanical parameter in our isostatic calculations. In the third part we briefly introduce the differential equation, the numerical method, and boundary conditions. In the fourth part we investigate the response to two different Lower Evaporite scenarios. In part five we present results of different desiccation scenarios. In part six we discuss the model results, and their uncertainties, along with expected and observed responses at well studied Messinian localities. One consequence of the (still ongoing) tectonic activity in the Mediterranean domain is that its horizontal extent and bathymetry was different during the Messinian (e.g., Jolivet et al., 2006). As our model predictions are sensitive to basin topology, we start by presenting a reconstruction in the next section. We will argue below that the western and eastern Mediterranean had a geometry that was very similar to the modern geometry, and that important changes took place in the central portion. We recognize, however, that available observations leave room for alternative reconstructions, particularly in the central Mediterranean. We will deal with these uncertainties by also calculating the isostatic response in a Current geometry. The sensitivity of the model calculations to (potential errors in) the reconstruction will thus become clear as the difference between the two models predictions; one for the reconstructed basin, and the other for the current basin. 2. Paleobathymetric reconstruction Fig. 1a shows our reconstruction of the Mediterranean basin for the Messinian. Realizing that significant portions of the region were little affected after the Messinian, we took the Current topography (and bathymetry) and modified it where changes did occur. We used rigid block rotations to make alterations, taking the topography within a block and rotating it into its new position. The limitation of such an Euler pole approach is that it does not capture block-internal strains. However, well-dated total strain data are too scarce to sufficiently constrain better reconstructions everywhere. The time of reconstruction is 5.65 Ma, midway between the beginning (5.95 Ma) and end (5.33 Ma) of the Messinian salinity crisis. The eastern Mediterranean's Ionian and Levantine basins are relics of the Mesozoic oceanic Tethys (e.g., Hsü and Bernoulli, 1978). By contrast, the western Mediterranean (including the Tyrrhenian basin) and the Aegean Sea basin are young basins. The largest part of the post-MSC motions within the Mediterranean basin differed substantially from the slow, overall convergence between Nubia and Eurasia (Sella et al., 2002). 2.1. The Mediterranean basin west of Corsica–Sardinia Our choices of block boundaries and reconstruction poles are based on the following arguments. 1. Sicily and Corsica reached their Current positions relative to stable Europe well before Messinian time. This inference is based on paleomagnetic findings (Montigny et al., 1981; Pares et al., 1992; Vigliotti and Langenheim, 1995) and on the end of volcanism on Sardinia (Beccaluva et al., 1985). 2. Opening of the Valencia Trough was accompanied by rotations of the Balearic Islands. Available paleomagnetic observations indicate that rotations ended in the Late Miocene to Pliocene (Montigny et al., 1981; Freeman et al., 1989; Pares et al., 1992). Watts and Torne (1992) and Negredo et al. (1999) use geohistory analysis to date Valencia rifting before 8Ma (but the data allow some extension after that). The age of the youngest calc-alkaline volcanics (Lonergan and White, 1997) is consistent with our assumption that extension ended well before the MSC. 3. Docking of Kabylian terranes onto the Algerian/Tunesian margin was finalized during the Tortonian (Lonergan and White, 1997; Carminati et al., 1998). 4. Post-MSC motion and deformation of the Alboran domain relative to Iberia was small. Paleomagnetic rotations in both the Internal and External zones of the Betic Cordillera are widely held to have R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 111 Fig. 1. (a) Reconstructed geometry and bathymetry (in meters) of the Mediterranean region during the Messinian period. (b) Effective elastic thickness (km) of the Mediterranean region during the Messinian. ended during the Middle Miocene (Platzman, 1992; Allerton et al., 1993; Allerton, 1994; Lonergan and White, 1997; Calvo et al., 2001). Stratigraphic backstripping results suggest an even earlier end of the (Burdigalian/Langhian) (Watts et al., 1993). We agree with the conclusion of Lonergan and White (1997) that “shortening in the External Zones and extension in the Alboran Sea had terminated by the Late Tortonian, suggesting … that the Alboran Sea basin had achieved its present-day dimensions”. The 15–7Ma age of calcalkaline volcanics in the Alboran Sea and the Betic-Rif Cordillera (compilation in Lonergan and White, 1997) is consistent with this interpretation. Consequence of these starting points is that the shape of the reconstructed basin west of Corsica and Sardinia is nearly identical to the current shape. To constrain the pre-MSC basin depth in our reconstruction, we note that the post-Miocene sediment thickness is mostly less than ~ 1500m, and we estimate the Messinian evaporites to be 1500m thick. A backstripping calculation shows that these sediments would have left the basin shallower by ~ 900m since the onset of the MSC. The other aspect to account for is the ageing of the oceanic sea floor, which resulted in basement sinking. The average age of the Mediterranean basin west of Corsica and Sardinia at 5.96Ma was around 14Myr (Faccenna et al., 1997). A half-space cooling model predicts about 300m of isostatic sinking since the start of the MSC. The net outcome is that, relative to the current bathymetry, we estimate this basin to have been b 600m deeper at the onset of the MSC. Our estimate is consistent with the findings of Ryan (1976) and with paleodepth estimates as compiled by Dercourt et al. (2000). Below, we address the impact of uncertainties in our paleodepth estimates. 2.2. The Mediterranean basin east of Adria 1. For our reconstruction of the Aegean region and the Hellenic Trench, we backrotated the Peloponnesus using the results of Van Hinsbergen et al. (2005) and Reilinger et al. (2006). 112 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 2. Post-Miocene westward extrusion of Anatolia south of the North Anatolian Fault was removed using the pole of McClusky et al. (2000), which is consistent with paleomagnetic data of Kissel et al. (2003). 3. We removed the post-Messinian back-arc extension of the Sea of Crete based on references in Van Hinsbergen and Meulenkamp (2006). Pliocene opening of the Sea of Crete occurred synchronous and parallel with sinistral strike slip along the Pliny and Strabo trenches (Le Pichon and Angelier, 1979; Van Hinsbergen et al., 2007). 4. High-resolution tomography indicates the existence of a NE dipping slab beneath the Isparta triangle (Wortel et al., 2006; previously believed to be detached by McKenzie 1978). We interpret this to have resulted from convergence between the Tauride Mountains and central Anatolia. The Late-Miocene– Pliocene Aksu thrusting phase in the Isparta Triangle is interpreted as a surface manifestation of this convergence (e.g., Poisson et al., 2003). In our reconstruction of the Mediterranean Basin (Fig. 1), this shows as a NW–SE trending basin within Anatolia that is an artifact of our block rotation method. There is no point in trying to remedy this for the purpose of the work in this paper. 5. Back rotation of the Africa margin increases the north–south extent of the Eastern Mediterranean. The oceanic lithosphere (roughly south of Crete and Cyprus) has a Mesozoic age, so that postMiocene isostatic sagging due to ageing was insignificant. 6. As the Nile Delta is largely a post-Messinian feature (Salem, 1976; Ross and Uchupi, 1977), we used the results of Segev et al. (2006) to estimate the Messinian bathymetry of the easternmost part of the basin. 7. The oldest sediments in the Mediterranean Ridge are of Early Miocene age (Robertson and Kopf, 1998). About half of the current sedimentary volume was deposited after the beginning of the MSC (Kopf et al., 2003). The spatial distribution of pre-MSC sediments is however not well constrained. For reconstructing the paleobathymetry, we therefore took the simplest possible assumption, that these sediments had a uniform thickness. 2.3. The central portion of the Mediterranean basin Reconstructing the Central Mediterranean basin (from Corsica– Sardinia to the Adriatic) we assumed the following; 1. The Apulian Platform remained in its current position. Structural studies in the Gargano Promontory, in the Adriatic Sea north of Apulia (Bertotti et al., 1999; Casolari et al., 2000), have shown that normal NE–SW compression and shortening were interrupted in the latest Messinian–middle Pliocene by NW–SE extension followed by NW–SE directed contraction. The net outcome is limited post-Miocene horizontal deformation in the Gargano basin. Bertotti et al. (2001) estimate the paleo-waterdepth of what today constitutes the foredeep at 2–3km. Vertical deformation of the foredeep began in the Pliocene. The Adriatic crust consists of a crystalline basement (Finetti et al., 1987) that is covered by a thick sequence of post-Devonian sediments (Ricchetti et al., 1988), and is most often considered continental. Di Stefano et al. (submitted for publication) use high-resolution tomography to trace the intersection line of the Adriatic (and Apulian) Moho surface and the Tyrrhenian Moho surface. They find that this line follows the culmination of the Central and Southern Apennines. We interpret this as the location of the Adriatic passive margin, west of which the Adriatic oceanic basin existed during the Messinian. 2. That the opening of the Sicily Channel occurred after the Messinian, based on structural studies (Reuther and Eisbacher, 1985; Gardiner et al., 1995; Catalano et al., 1995) and age of most of the volcanism (Rotolo et al., 2006). 3. Like Dercourt et al. (1986), we assume that a deep, Tethyan ocean extended east of the Apenninic subcontinent. This assumption is motivated by a geodynamic argument (Royden, 1993), that retreating subduction boundaries likely cease shortly after entry of the Adriatic passive margin into the subduction zone. Pliocene– Quarternary rotation of the Apennines is taken to be the result of subduction and rollback of the oceanic Adriatic slab. The paleobathymetry of this oceanic domain is taken to be similar to that of the eastern Mediterranean oceanic domain. 4. That the opening of the Tyrrhenian basin, including Marsili and Vavilov and Paola sub-basins, occurred mostly after the Messinian. This is based on the following arguments; Nicolosi et al. (2006) demonstrate that Marsili opened between 1.6 and 2.1Ma; Vavilov basin formation occurred after the MSC (Kastens and Mascle, 1987; site 651 and 655, core data reveal lower to middle Pliocene oceanic crust and sediments). Rifting and the onset of the Tyrrhenian Basin commenced during the Tortonian (Kastens et al., 1988). Most of the extension and opening of the Tyrrhenian Basin had yet to occur at the onset of the MSC, as documented by the post-MSC age of both the Marsili and Vavilov basins. 5. To reconstruct the shape of the overriding Apenninic crust, we note that available data insufficiently constrain such attempt. We therefore treat the Apennine crust as a single tectonic unit, in spite of geodynamic objections to this choice. We assumed that narrowing of the peninsula due to Apennine thrusting is balanced by widening due to the development of foreland basins. The reconstructed shape of the Apenninic subcontinent is therefore similar to its current shape. 6. That Calabria constituted the overriding crust that independently tracked roll-back of the Ionian slab from its pre-Messinian position close to Sardinia (Bouillin et al., 1986). 3. Effective elastic thickness A critical element in our prediction is the thickness of the flexing plate. This is typically not identical to the thickness of the lithosphere, as the lithosphere consists of high- and low-viscosity layers (e.g., Burov and Diament, 1995). For our first order assessment of the flexure, we assume that the lithosphere is made up of two types of elastic-viscous layers; 1. Layers in which the viscosity is so high that no relaxation occurs over the time span of the MSC and which therefore are elastic, and 2. Lowviscosity layers in which deviatoric stresses have fully relaxed and which therefore do not support surface loads. In this simplified view, the accumulative thickness of all elastic layers (the effective, or equivalent, elastic thickness) is relevant for the bending problem; the effective elastic thickness (EET) is consequently less or equal than that of the lithosphere (Watts, 2001). Our view is simplified in two respects; first, the shallow lithosphere has a finite (brittle) strength. Secondly, part of the elastic-viscous layers have a Maxwell time that is similar to time scale that we consider here, i.e., between a few thousand and 0.5Myr. As a physical process, the development of lithospheric flexure is thus expected to be time dependent. However, we are not aware of observations that document this time evolution for the Mediterranean MSC, which is why we adopt a simple elastic model that aims to predict the flexural response at a few thousand years after loading, when most of the transient signatures have vanished. EET's are commonly inverted from an observed lithospheric response to (known) surface loads, like from sediments or volcanoes. As it is the purpose of this paper to estimate lithospheric response from surface loads, we cannot use this approach. We therefore use a similar procedure as for our reconstruction in Fig. 1, i.e., we take EET “measurements” (from Bouguer coherence) for the Current Mediterranean basin, and modify it only in parts where significant changes occurred since the Pliocene. These “gravimetric” EET's represent the long-term strength of the lithosphere and are thus consistent with our elastic model approach. Fig. 1b shows our estimate of the effective elastic thickness, based on the Current EET model of Perez-Gussinye and Watts (2005). The R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 reconstruction shows the signature of Miocene back-arc extension due to slab roll-back in the western Mediterranean (Malinverno and Ryan, 1986) in that the effective elastic thickness is representative for a 15Myr oceanic lithosphere (10km). The eastern basin is presumed to be the last remnant of the Mesozoic Neo-Tethys ocean (Catalano et al., 2001; Hafkenscheid et al., 2006). In the southeast Mediterranean, a surface heat flow of about 50mW/m2 (Eckstein, 1978) is indicative of approximately 80Myr old lithosphere. As a consequence, the effective elastic thickness of the lithosphere was relatively large — we assume 30km (Caldwell and Turcotte, 1979; ~ 600°C isotherm). Consequences of uncertainties in these EET estimates will be addressed in the last part of this paper. 4. Model setup The response of the entire planet to surface (un)loading is elastic at first, followed by viscous relaxation. Within the first few thousand years after the loading, stress relaxation occurs particularly in the low viscosity asthenosphere. This effectively transfers the support for the surface load to the more viscous layers, i.e. to the lithosphere. This process dominates in post-glacial rebound and takes place on time scales of a few thousand years. On longer time scales, surface loads are eventually carried in part by the strength of the lithosphere (regional support or flexure) and by isostatic mantle pressures. The purpose of the present study is to compute this eventual lithospheric bending, which thus reflects the solid Earth response a couple of thousand years after a change in surface loading. The governing differential equation is typically (e.g., Zienkiewicz and Taylor, 1991) derived assuming small vertical deformation of a thin (Kirchhoff) plate. For linear isotropic elasticity and plane stress assumptions, a fourth-order differential equation describes the vertical displacement w that results from flexure in a Cartesian coordinate system: ! A2 w A2 w A2 D 2 þD 2 þ 2 Ax Ay Ay A2 Ax2 2 2 þðρa −ρi Þgw ¼ q þ Pxx 2 ð1Þ A2 w A2 w A2 w þ Pyy 2 þ Pxy AxAy Ax2 Ay x and y represent the two horizontal coordinate directions parallel to the plate, z is the vertical coordinate direction. Poisson's ratio is represented by ν (0.25), E is Young's modulus (50GPa), ρa is the density of the asthenosphere (3200kg/m3), ρi the density of the material that fills the flexural moat, g gravity acceleration (9.8m/s2), and q represents the surface load. Pxx, Pyy, and Pxz are boundary tractions, integrated over the thickness T of the plate (T = EET): Z Pxx u T=2 −T=2 Z σ xx dz; Pyy u T=2 −T=2 Z σ yy dz; Pxy u2 T=2 −T=2 σ xy dz and D is the flexural rigidity (or bending stiffness): Du GFLEX Fortran source files are available via our website at http://www. geo.uu.nl/Research/Tectonophysics/. Plate boundaries constitute important tectonic elements of the Mediterranean region. Flexure can be substantially affected by the presence of major faults (Vening Meinesz, 1950), particularly when these faults are near vertical. Faults are irrelevant for flexure when they have a near-horizontal dip. As most Mediterranean plate boundaries are subduction contacts, i.e., gently dipping faults in the crust, we do not incorporate the plate boundaries in the model. In the flexure models that we investigate here we do not include any boundary tractions. We have no doubt that such tractions did actually act on this tectonically active region, but given the expected complexity of stress patterns (see Jimenez-Munt et al. (2003) for the Present) which includes Europe–Africa convergence simultaneous with back-arc extension and roll-back, we currently feel that adding such tractions would increase the complexity of the models but not their accuracy. Anyway, Cloetingh (1986) showed that boundary tractions have a second-order effect on the flexural response. Version 1.1 of GFLEX that we used here works with a uniform restoring pressure (ρa − ρi)gw. Particularly the assumption of uniform infilling material is inaccurate. We investigated the impact of this assumption on our results in an iterative procedure where we added or removed (image) surface loads depending on the flexed topography. We found that the results were nearly identical. In the model calculations, the equidistant geographical load grid is first converted to a Cartesian grid with uniform grid spacing dx and dy (not equal). The finite difference code verifies that the resulting grid spacing is neither too coarse nor too dense for the given flexural wavelengths. Finite difference output is subsequently back-converted to a geographic grid for plotting. 5. Results 5.1. Lower Evaporite deposition ! A2 w A2 w D 2 þD 2 þ Ax Ay ! A DA w A DA w A2 D A2 w þðv−1Þ þ þ 2ð1−vÞ 2 2 2 2 AxAy AxAy Ax Ay Ay Ax 2 113 ET 3 12ð1−m2 Þ We solve Eq. (1) for zero vertical displacement and displacement gradient boundary conditions using a newly developed finite difference package (“GFLEX”). Solutions consists of vertical displacements w, horizontal displacement derivatives ∂w/∂x and ∂w/∂y (used to compute change in surface slopes), and second derivatives ∂2w/∂x2, ∂2w/∂x∂y and ∂2w/∂y2 (for computing flexure-induced stresses and changes in erosion/sedimentation). In Appendix A we discuss the matrix equations and experiments that were used to validate the code. The first scenarios that we model represent the deposition of all dominantly marine evaporites. We include in this model the Lower Evaporites and Salt units from the seismic profiles of the deep westMediterranean basin, collectively labeled as “Lower Evaporite” on Sicily, and the Mobile unit of Messinian evaporites in the east Mediterranean (Levantine) basin. We assume that no major sea level fluctuations occurred during evaporite deposition and that the Mediterranean level remained at Atlantic values. We realize, however, that the exact timing of the onset of evaporite formation in the deep basins is still uncertain, but we want to emphasize that this will have little influence on our model predictions. The surface load distribution q in this case is determined by the evaporite that displaces water volume, constituting a net load increase of ðρs −ρw Þgh where ρs represents the average density of the Lower Evaporites., ρw is the average seawater density (taken to be 1024kg/m3), and h is the thickness of the evaporite layer. As water flows into the flexural moat next to the load, the density of the infilling material ρi is equal to the density of seawater. In Sicily, the Lower Evaporites (Decima and Wezel, 1973) consist primarily of gypsum (2200–2600kg/m3; Telford et al. (1976), limestones (1550–2750kg/m3; Carmichael, 1989), and halites (2100–2200kg/m3; Carmichael, 1989). In our model, we assume a single density for the Lower Evaporite deposit of 2250kg/m3. One of the main outstanding issues in MSC research is the original thickness of the Messinian deposits. This uncertainty derives from the inability of seismic and drilling methods to penetrate into the underlying sedimentary sequences. In most locations, MSC sequences must be thick and common estimates are between 1500 and 3500m (e.g., Rouchy and Caruso, 2006) for deep basins. One complication with these estimates is that it is unclear to which extent thicknesses 114 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 Fig. 2. Two scenarios for the distribution of the evaporites, illustrated for a north–south cross section from the Rhone (left) to Algeria (right); a) Uniform Load scenario: deposition of a uniform thickness layer, if possible, and b) Deep Load scenario; deposition beneath a critical water depth. c) Lower Evaporite thickness (km) resulting from the uniform load scenario in which we assume a layer thickness of 1500 m. d) Lower Evaporite thickness (km) resulting from the Deep Load scenario, in which evaporites displace seawater at depths greater than 1500 m. A significantly greater load results in the eastern (2500 m) than in the western basin (~ 1250 m). e) Investigated evolution of Mediterranean sea level (gray dashed line) and evaporite thickness (solid black line). We show results of isostasy calculations at two moments (indicated by arrows); towards the end of the deposition of the massive halite, and after sea level drawdown. See text for further explanation. R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 115 Similarly, the response to a 3km thick uniform evaporite layer is approximately twice the response of the 1.5km layer that we show below. The reason why this is only approximately accurate is that the horizontal distribution of the load changes somewhat in marginal regions when we change load thickness in both deposition scenarios. Fig. 2 (continued). have been affected by tectonics, salt diapirism and gravity sliding, for which there is also ample evidence. A related, but slightly dissimilar, issue is the lateral thickness variation of the evaporites. Available data hint at thinner sequences in marginal areas than in the deepest part of the basins. Here too, it is unclear whether thickness estimates reflect the primary sediment thicknesses, or that marginal instabilities resulted in a major redeposition into deeper parts of the basin. We will come back to this point after showing below that deeper basinal portions undergo a more pronounced subsidence than marginal parts. In view of these uncertainties, we defer to two simple assumptions for the load (Fig. 2). In our first scenario, we suppose that evaporite deposition is more like a sedimentary process resulting in blanketing by a uniform thickness layer. We assume that this layer is 1500m thick in parts of the basin where, initially, the water column is greater or equal to 1500m high. The load distribution resulting from this “Uniform Load” scenario is shown in Fig. 2c. In the second scenario, we suppose that evaporite deposition is a chemical process that occurs at sea water depths greater than some critical value (1500m). This “Deep Load” scenario leads to a variable load thickness, which depends on the initial bathymetry that we reconstructed in Fig. 1. The resulting load thicknesses are shown in Fig. 2d. Besides the spatial distribution of the evaporite load, it is also important to consider the buildup of the evaporites with time (Fig. 2e) in relation to the sea level evolution. We think that it is unlikely that a sea level drawdown occurred much earlier than deposition of most of the Lower Evaporites, for two reasons; (1) concentrating on salt budgets only, Krijgsman and Meijer (2008) show that an early drawdown, while maintaining Atlantic inflow, would have resulted in unrealistically thick massive halite; (2) concentrating on the isostatic consequences of a sea level drawdown in the Alboran region, Govers (submitted for publication) demonstrates that it results in a complete blocking of Atlantic exchange, thus leaving an unrealistically thin massive halite if occurring much earlier. Both studies conclude that a restriction of the oceanic exchange towards the end of the massive halite is most likely. This is not new; Debenedetti (1982) was the first to advocate the resulting idea that most of the MSC evaporite column was deposited during normal sea level conditions. We recognize that these choices for evaporite density, thickness and history are not tightly constrained by observations. This introduces a margin of error and it is important to estimate the influence of these uncertainties on our model results. This is not very difficult; one consequence of the linearity of differential Eq. (1) is that, for instance, a 20% smaller density results in a 20% smaller surface deformation. 5.1.1. Uniform evaporite loading Fig. 3a shows the results of the uniform evaporite scenario of Fig. 2a and c. Flexure theory indicates that wide loads subside to the depth of local isostatic equilibrium (e.g., Watts, 2001). The central part of the western basin indeed subsides to the local isostatic depth of 845m. Peripheral anti-bulges develop at the fringe of this flat-lying center; constructive interference in the 3D geometry results in subsidence up to 928m. This result is consistent with flexure theory (see Appendix B), which predicts that such anti-bulges should develop at a horizontal distance of 88km from the rim of the load when the horizontal extent of the load exceeds the flexural wavelength (175km). The maximum subsidence in the eastern basin south of Greece and Turkey also exceeds the Airy isostatic value, because the north–south extent of the load (450km) surpasses the flexural wavelength of the oceanic lithosphere (260km), resulting in a flexural anti-bulge. West of 20° E, the maximum subsidence is close the local isostatic value around latitude 35° N. Further to the NNW, the width of the evaporite load drops below the flexural wavelength, resulting in less-than-Airy maximum subsidence to the NNW of 40° N as expected from flexure theory. Flexural bulge uplift of several decameters is predicted along both the eastern and the western basin. Cumulative contributions by both basins in the central part of the Mediterranean product a maximum of 54m in western Sardinia. Many surface processes result in a critically balanced angle of repose in soil and river slopes. An “externally” driven change (by deep processes such as flexure) of these slopes can therefore evoke a pronounced response, like a reorganization of river drainage systems or slope instabilities. Fig. 3b displays the flexural slope change, i.e., the magnitude of the horizontal uplift gradient. Deepening of the basement mostly increases slope angles of Messinian margins, particularly in the western basin. Here, a basinward slope increase by up to 9‰ is predicted. Slope change in the eastern basin is less pronounced than in the west owing to its thicker EET (Fig. 1b), which results in longer wavelength bending. The predicted slope angle changes are probably enough to drive extensive sub-aqueous gravity flows (e.g., Canals et al., 2004). This would lead to a redistribution of the evaporite load towards deeper parts of the basin, to amplification of the flexural gradients and to further gravity flows. To study these positive feedback loops is beyond the focus of this paper. Qualitatively, we expect however that current evaporite thicknesses, representing autochtonous and allochtonous units, are thicker in particularly the deepest western Mediterranean basin than near the margins as a result of gravity sliding. To (very) first order, changes in surface slope curvature are proportional to changes in erosion rate or sedimentation rate. The basis for this proportionality is Culling's (1960) model which, when combined with a mass conservation constraint, results in a linear diffusion equation of topography. The proportionality constant is the sediment transport coefficient, and its value ranges over many orders of magnitude, depending mostly on climate and material type. We do not believe that a linear description is particularly accurate or useful for prediction, but we do think that the sign of the flexural curvature indicates where erosion increases or where sedimentation increases. One could question whether these model predictions have any geological relevance, since we cannot distinguish between increase in erosion and decrease in sedimentation. We actually think they have, because the geological context of a region will help further interpretation. For instance, in a sedimentary basin one would be looking for a decrease in sedimentation (rate). Fig. 3c displays the change in surface curvature due to flexure. In our context of regional isostasy we are particularly interested in 116 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 117 Fig. 3. a) Subsidence (negative, highest subsidence 928 m) and marginal uplift (densely striped regions, ≤54 m) resulting from the deposition of a 1500 m uniform thickness evaporite layer. Contour lines are shown at every 100 m. The dashed line shows the location of the profile line, for which the flexure is shown in the inset panel at the upper right. b) Slope change (‰) predicted by the uniform Lower Evaporite scenario. c) Predicted changes in erosion and sedimentation rate due to flexure by a uniform evaporite load. Stippled areas signify an increase in sedimentation (here equivalent to a decrease in erosion). Darker, hatched regions indicate an increase in erosion (here equivalent to a decrease in sedimentation). d) Effective stress exceeding 10 MPa. Stress is tensional in regions with plusses, and compressive in horizontally hatched areas. erosion and sedimentation changes on a basin scale (5km and larger) on time scales that are longer than the time to develop lithospheric flexure (few thousand years). The sediment transport coefficient corresponding to these dimensions is approximately 104m2/yr. Taking a topography change of 100m (or more) in a million years as a significant figure, a flexural curvature of 10− 7/m, or larger, suggests a relevant change in erosion or sedimentation rate. Erosion increase (or sedimentation decrease) is expected wherever the curvature is more negative than − 10− 7/m. Sedimentation increases (or erosion decrease) where curvature is greater than 10− 7/m. We do not make a distinction between continental and marine conditions. Erosion is predicted to increase along the basin margins, and sedimentation within the basins. Whether the predicted rate changes are significant or not depends on the actual transport coefficient; for example, a value of 104m2s− 1 results in a maximum erosion rate increase by 1mm/yr. A one order-of-magnitude increase of the transport coefficient makes 1cm/yr. In upper crustal and sedimentary layers, flexure causes tension where the basement arches up, and compression where it flexes down. Failure will occur if these stresses are higher than the rock or sediment strength. Fig. 3d shows the effective stresses resulting from the uniform thickness evaporite load. Effective stress σE is the square root of the second invariant of the deviatoric stress tensor σ′, with a sign that derives from the first invariant: qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi σ E uF 1=2σijV σijV F ¼ SIGN σijV (summation convention). As our numerical model is based on an elastic plate, these stresses represent the potential for deformation; e.g. high enough tensile stresses may cause normal faulting near the surface. Whether or not such faulting actually occurs however depends on the rock strength at any location. The results indicate that we should expect significant normal faulting along basin margins in early Messinian and older layers as a result of evaporite loading. Shortening is predicted in deep portions of the basins. The transition from tension to compression is relatively sharp. Its location is controlled the location of the edge of the load. 5.1.2. Deep evaporite loading Fig. 4 shows the results of the Deep Evaporite scenario for the first stage of the MSC (Fig. 2b and d). Differences between Figs. 3a and 4a mostly reflect the significant increase in evaporite load of the eastern basin in that both the subsidence in, and uplift around, the eastern basin is higher. Slope changes (Fig. 4b) are consequently also increased relative to the uniform loading case (Fig. 3b), so that the most extensive slope instabilities are expected in the eastern rather than in the western basin. A very similar picture as previously arises for the change in erosion/ sedimentation rate (Fig. 4c). This relative insensitivity to the magnitude of the vertical deformation is a consequence of the fact that we chose to only display sign information, i.e., whether erosion or sedimentation increases at any location. This sign is mostly dependent on the location of the evaporite load, and not on its magnitude; the load distribution is very similar in the two scenarios considered here. We note a similar insensitivity to the predicted stress regime (Fig. 4d; c.f. Fig. 3d). The reason for the similarity is the same; whether stresses are tensional or compressive depends on the horizontal evaporite distribution. 5.2. Late Messinian desiccation The classical study of Norman and Chase (1986) was the first to address the solid Earth response to the desiccation of the Mediterranean Sea. In their and subsequent studies (Gargani, 2004a) the contribution of Lower Evaporites to the basin bathymetry was ignored. For historical reasons we will follow this approach also, allowing us to make a comparison with this earlier work. Next, we will consider the superposition of all Messinian loads to produce what we consider the best possible prediction for the late Messinian desiccation phase given our current level of knowledge. Meijer and Krijgsman (2005) showed that evaporation results in desiccation within a few kyr after closure of seawater gateways. This result means that the Mediterranean Sea should be considered either full or empty from the (limited time resolution) perspective of geological observations. We therefore consider water unloading as an instantaneous event, which is consistent with our modeling approach thus far. 118 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 119 Fig. 4. a) Subsidence (negative, highest subsidence 1510 m) and marginal uplift (densely striped regions, ≤60 m) resulting from the deposition of evaporites beneath 1500 m water depth (Deep Load scenario, Fig. 2b, d). Contour lines are shown at every 100 m. b) Slope angle changes (‰) due to flexure following loading by Lower Evaporites according to the Deep Load scenario. The most significant slope instabilities are predicted in the eastern basin. c) Predicted changes in erosion and sedimentation rate due to evaporite loading according to the Deep Load scenario. Stippled areas signify an increase in sedimentation (here equivalent to a decrease in erosion). Darker, hatched regions indicate an increase in erosion (here equivalent to a decrease in sedimentation). d) Effective stress in excess of 10 MPa due to the Lower Evaporite loading by the Deep Load scenario. Stress is tensional in regions with plusses, and compressive in horizontally hatched areas. 5.2.1. Flexure due to removal of the pre-MSC water column For the purpose of comparing with previous 2D studies, in this section we examine the results of a 3D calculation in which we removed the pre-MSC water column. The height of this water column (Fig. 5) is calculated for the reconstructed basin geometry following Meijer and Krijgsman (2005). Taking present-day values for the freshwater budget and assuming that the net evaporation per unit area of sea surface is constant, we seek the equilibrium level to which the sea surface will be drawn down upon complete closure of the strait. Lower sea level entails a reduction in sea-surface area and hence a decrease in total evaporation. The equilibrium level is reached when the evaporative water loss exactly equals freshwater input. The calculation differentiates between the western and eastern parts of the Mediterranean. For the case of our reconstruction the equilibrium sea level of the western Mediterranean basin amounts to almost − 2800m while the eastern basin is predicted to desiccate completely. The weight of the removed water column is calculated using a seawater density of 1024kg/m3. Fig. 6 displays the resulting flexural response of significant uplift in the basins and some decameters of subsidence along the margins. The inset panel shows the flexural response along the profile that was also studied by Norman and Chase (1986) and Gargani (2004a). Vertical deformation in our model is substantially less than computed by these authors, even if we use the same flexural rigidity that they do. An implicit, but strong, assumption in these earlier two-dimensional studies is that the surface load extends out to infinity in the direction perpendicular to the studied profile. Even though the water load along the profile is similar to theirs, the total load is appreciably less in our three-dimensional calculation due to the curved basin shape. 5.2.2. Response to desiccation during the late Messinian We now move on to what we consider a more realistic scenario for the Upper Evaporite phase. Lower Evaporite deposition onto the initial bathymetry was followed by regional isostatic subsidence of the scenario for the Lower Evaporites. The eventual water column therefore is the initial bathymetry (Fig. 1) minus the Lower Evaporite thickness (Fig. 2) plus the flexural subsidence (Figs. 3 or 4). The remaining accommodation space is generally less than the pre-MSC bathymetry. In this section we determine the regional isostatic response from instantaneous removal of this water column. We neglect loading by Upper Evaporites, which probably are thin. Fig. 5b displays the height of the water column (based on the Uniform Load evaporite thickness) that we assume to have been evaporated. Like before, the removed water column height was calculated based on water flux balance. Abyssal parts of the western Mediterranean lost more than 2100m of equivalent water weight. In the eastern Mediterranean, a water load close to 3400m disappeared. The predicted flexure is shown in Fig. 7a. Compared to Fig. 6, the predicted vertical deformation is less; this is due to the reduction in height of the evaporated water column relative to that of the pre-MSC (c.f. Fig. 5b and a). The overall pattern of uplift and subsidence is not so much affected. The most pronounced uplift is predicted in the central portions of the eastern basin, where most of the water load has disappeared. Fig. 7b displays the change in basement gradient. The change is most pronounced in marginal areas, where a decrease in the existing margin slope will result, contributing to an increase in slope deposit stability. Whether the net stability of surface deposits increases or decreases remains however unclear, because other factors are also likely to simultaneously affect stability; the release of water pressure will have a destabilizing effect, and the increase in internal friction due to water release will tend to stabilize slope deposits. Desiccation itself may have had a regional imprint on climate (e.g., Fauquette et al., 2006). Model predicted changes in erosion and sedimentation (Fig. 7c) do not include these changes and therefore should be taken with a grain of salt. In lieu of quantitative assessments of this climate change, and on its imprint on surface processes, we consider the results of this graph as one component that may, or may not, have significantly contributed to surface mass redistribution. Predicted stress changes (Fig. 7d) are not very susceptible to climatic changes. Well-dated, regional mapping of tectonic regime in (otherwise quiescent) marginal areas therefore holds the promise of independent verification of MSC scenarios; if the desiccation scenario that we investigate here is correct, the net effect of the unloading should be that marginal regions show evidence of reverse faulting 120 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 Fig. 5. a) Height of the pre-Messinian seawater column that is removed in the flexure calculation. b) Height of the seawater column (km) that evaporated at the beginning of the late MSC. This seawater column remained after deposition and isostatic uplift of the Lower Evaporites following the Uniform Load scenario. (e.g., DeCelles and Cavazza, 1995). The reason for concentrating the effort on marginal regions is that these are more accessible to direct observation than deep portions of the Mediterranean basin. The above Fig. (7a–d) give the expected response to the Zanclean flooding at the beginning of the Pliocene when taken with a minus sign. Our method of estimating the evaporated water load builds on bathymetry, Lower Evaporite thickness and flexure, all of which have uncertainties. One potential pitfall of adding various contributions is that errors add up too, and that (already significant) error bars on the desiccated water load increase even further. To quantify the sensitivity of our results to Lower Evaporite thickness, we recomputed in Fig. 7e the flexure, now assuming that the Lower Evaporites are only 500m thick. This reduces the Lower Evaporite flexure (by one third), and leaves a taller water column to be desiccated. The figure demonstrates that the magnitudes change, but not the locations of uplift and subsidence. 6. Discussion The results of this paper are based on model calculations of the flexural down- and upwarping of the lithosphere and crust, i.e. regional isostasy. The theory underlying such modeling is well documented (Watts, 2001). Given a surface load, it predicts a rich variety of possible geological footprints; vertical motions, unconformities, regions where erosion and sedimentation rates change, and tectonic stress changes. Some of these imprints have been observed, but others have yet received limited or no attention. Our study is by no means intended to give a comprehensive explanation of all observations related to the MSC. We intend to estimate the solid earth R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 121 Fig. 6. Uplift (highest uplift 1355 m) and marginal subsidence (negative; densely striped; ≤51 m) resulting from the removal of the pre-Messinian water load (Fig. 5a). Contour lines are shown at every 100 m. The dashed line shows the location of the profile line, along which the vertical deformation is shown in the inset panel. The dashed line shows the flexure that was calculated by Norman and Chase (1986) based on a 2D model. (isostasy) response to MSC events, which will be one contribution only to the observed phenomena. Key to ongoing discussions on the MSC is the dissimilar response of marginal and deep basins — see the recent overview by Rouchy and Caruso (2006). The physics dictate that adjacent marginal and deep basins respond synchronously, albeit possibly differently, to MSC events. Synchronicity is caused by the fact that basement responds elastically to loading or unloading, even if loading itself is not simultaneous in peripheral and deep basins. The critical concept here is the “radius of influence” (R), which defines the horizontal extent of the region where a load has a marked (say, greater than 10%) imprint. The influence radius follows directly from flexure theory: ET 3 R ¼ −lnð0:1Þ 2 3g ð1−v Þðρa −ρi Þ 1= 4 For typical Earth parameters, a water infilling load and effective elastic thickness T given in km R≌12.4T3/4km, amounting to R = 41km for a basin with T = 5km and R = 178km for T = 35km. Given the limited distance between neighbor basins, a simultaneously reaction to a surface load is thus most likely. In summary, the expected imprints at basin margins from the scenarios that we investigate here are Lower MSC; Loading from deposition of the Lower Evaporites at current sea level leads to slope instability and thus to gravity flows. Simultaneously, marginal uplift increases erosion and river incision, thereby further increasing sediment fluxes towards the deep basin. The relative scarcity of Lower Evaporite sequences along the margins, and resedimented evaporites and turbidites in the deep basins, may be a result of these phenomena. Synchronous normal faulting of Lower Evaporite and older sediments and rocks occurs on the margins. Upper MSC; enhanced erosion of the freshly exposed continental shelf and slope (sensu Ryan and Cita, 1978). The flexural effect of unloading is opposite in that it stabilizes margin slope deposits. Subsidence and riverbed sedimentation occurs on the margins, uplift closer to the basin center, marginal sedimentation or decrease in erosion, and reverse faulting of Upper Evaporite and older sediments and rocks. Zanclean flooding; destabilization of margin slope deposits, uplift and river down-cutting, subsidence closer to the basin center, marginal erosion, and normal faulting of Lower Pliocene and older sediments and rocks. This sequence of events likely leads to a stratigraphy like in Fig. 8 in undisturbed localities. The development, or not, of detrital bodies will depend on local factors at the margin (sediment starvation, erodability, slope angle and so on), which is why this Figure does not represent all margins. Fig. 1 represents our best estimate of the paleogeography, paleobathymetry and effective elastic thickness during the MSC. In the section on the paleogeographic reconstruction we indicated that some parts are fairly well constrained, and others are not. Similar uncertainties arise in the EET map. To illustrate the sensitivity to the reconstruction and the assumed EET, we show below results of identical calculations as presented above, except that we performed them in the present-day geometry, with the Current EET model of Pérez-Gussinyé and Watts (2005). These results will be shown below, when we discuss regional predictions. The investigated scenarios are not proven or even generally accepted, and we consider our model predictions as a means to move towards observational verification. There is some evidence already, particularly along the better-studied margins in the western Mediterranean. 6.1. Gulf of Lions Paleogeographic uncertainties for the Gulf of Lions region are relatively small, and the size of error bars on modeled vertical displacements is mostly determined by uncertainties in the Lower Evaporite load distribution (Fig. 9). Curves a, b and c show responses to the Lower Evaporite scenarios. Differences between curves a and c result from variations in the assumed flexural rigidity. Curves d and e display the computed response to MSC desiccation, which for anyone interested in the total uplift and subsidence due to the MSC should be added to b and a, respectively. The Gulf of Lions continental margin has largely been tectonically quiet after the Aquitanian (Early Miocene), except for a latest Miocene to early Pliocene extensional phase (Mauffret et al., 2001). Most of the faults occur in post-Aquitanian sediments and are sealed by the 122 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 123 Fig. 7. a) Uplift (highest uplift 1137 m) and subsidence (negative values; densely striped; up to 39 m) due to desiccation. Contour lines are shown at every 100 m. The dashed line represents the location of the profile, for which the predicted flexure is shown in the upper right panel. b) Slope angle changes (‰) due to flexure after desiccation in the late Messinian. The expected consequence of these changes mostly is stabilization of surface deposits. c) Predicted changes in erosion and sedimentation rate due flexure following desiccation. Stippled areas signify an increase in sedimentation (here equivalent to a decrease in erosion). Darker, hatched regions indicate an increase in erosion (here equivalent to a decrease in sedimentation). d) Effective stress in excess of 10 MPa due to the late Messinian desiccation. Stress is tensional in regions with plusses, and compressive in horizontally hatched areas. e) Result of sensitivity test to an alternate scenario of desiccation following deposition of a uniform 500 m thick Lower Evaporites. The figure shows the resulting uplift (highest uplift 1282 m) and subsidence (negative values; densely striped; up to 47 m) Contour lines are shown at every 100 m. The dashed line represents the location of the profile, for which the predicted flexure is shown in the upper right panel. Messinian unconformity (Gorini et al., 2005). This deformation phase is restricted to the western part of the Gulf of Lions (Lofi et al., 2005). We propose that these tectonics were caused by the loading of the basin by Lower Evaporite sequences (Figs. 3d and 9). The Messinian Erosional Surface (MES) has been documented along several Mediterranean margins (Ryan and Cita, 1978), including the Gulf of Lions continental margin. Onshore, the MES is recognized as deep and narrow rivers incisions (Clauzon, 1973). Offshore beneath the shelf, a prominent seismic reflector with a rugged topography is interpreted as an erosional surface. Here, post-Messinian deposits lie unconformably on top of pre-Messinian sediments (Lofi et al., 2003; Lofi et al., 2005). This reflector is typically referred to as the MES. The topology of the MES on the shelf represents an extensive erosion network (Guennoc et al., 2000). The seismic reflector can be traced from the shelf margin (Fig. 6B in Lofi et al., 2005) towards the SE into the continental slope region, where it changes character; it becomes a smooth surface separating conformable Miocene and Plio–Quaternary sediments. Some chaotic seismic units occur directly above a similar reflector. These units are unique to the slope. They are conformably overlain by early Pliocene deposits on the slope, and by Massive Salt and Upper Evaporites along the foot of the slope. One interpretation of this reflector is that it represents the same MES (Lofi et al., 2005), which puts the entire erosional phase before the deposition of the Massive Salt. An alternative interpretation of this reflector is that it represents a décollement below the Lower Evaporites, representing gravitational sliding well after the erosional phase that was recorded further upslope. Close to the current coastline, seismic and borehole observations of hard rock incision convincingly demonstrate river activity during the MSC. Flexural uplift due to Lower Evaporite loading may explain this observation. Similar evidence for fluvial incision does not exist for the rest of the offshore erosion network, leaving room to interpret it as 124 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 Fig. 8. Schematic stratigraphy that we expect from our flexure models (inspired by Sage et al., 2005). Deposition of the Lower Evaporites (LM; includes Massive Halite in our scenario) causes marginal uplift and erosion, leading to (chaotic?) mass flow deposits LC. Upper MSC desiccation produces the Upper Evaporites (UM), and simultaneously exposes the margin to erosion, resulting in erosion/mass flow unit UC. This last erosive phase entirely removes prior MSC deposits on the uppermost margin; here, the total erosion is most prominent because the margin had already undergone an erosive phase, and because Lower MSC tensile faulting primed this part of the margin for enhanced erosion. PQ stands for Pliocene–Quaternary sediments. entirely due to river activity or due to submarine mass flows. The investigated scenario of Lower Evaporite deposition at current sea level implies a submarine origin of the erosion network. Both the Fig. 10. Implications of MSC events along a profile through Valencia Trough. The inset in the upper right shows the location and orientation of the profile line. The shaded relief map shows a topography swath along the profile (thick horizontal line) in the reconstructed geometry, and the approximate location of Barcelona city. Thin lines indicate the azimuth of the meridian and latitude line. Solid lines in the lower panel show flexural uplift and subsidence for a) the uniform evaporite deposition scenario, b) the deep evaporite deposition scenario, c) uniform evaporite load in Today geometry, d) desiccation following deep evaporite scenario, and e) desiccation following uniform evaporite scenario. The dashed line shows horizontal stress changes from the uniform evaporite deposition scenario a) (compression negative, tension positive). shoreline and near shore river incisions and the offshore erosion network agree with predicted uplift and slope angle changes based on this scenario for the first phase of the MSC. 6.2. Valencia trough Fig. 9. Implications of MSC events along a profile through the Gulf of Lions in southeast France. The inset in the upper left shows the location and orientation of the profile line. The shaded relief map shows a topography swath along the profile (thick horizontal line) in the reconstructed geometry, and the approximate location of the town of Agde. Thin lines indicate the azimuth of the meridian and latitude line. Solid lines in the lower panel show flexural uplift and subsidence for a) the uniform evaporite deposition scenario, b) the deep evaporite deposition scenario, c) uniform evaporite load in Today geometry, d) desiccation following deep evaporite scenario, and e) desiccation following uniform evaporite scenario. The dashed line shows horizontal stress changes from the uniform evaporite deposition scenario a) (compression negative, tension positive). In the likely absence of rifting tectonics after 8Ma, uncertainties in the Messinian paleogeography of the Valencia Trough region are relatively small. However, Alonso et al. (1990) have shown that post-MSC sedimentation did reshape the NE Iberian margin, something we did not account for in the present study. Uncertainties in the Lower Evaporite load distribution result in substantial variations in the predicted subsidence and uplift (Fig. 10). Based on the synthesis of seismic reflection lines, Maillard et al. (2006) conclude that the Massive Halite only occur to the NE of the Valencia Trough, and not in the Trough itself. In keeping with our classification of the Massive Halites as part of the Lower Evaporites, this indicates that our Deep Load scenario may be more representative for the MSC than the Uniform Load scenario. The model predicted differences between these two scenarios are significant; subsidence (Figs. 3a and 4a) and unconformity angles (Figs. 3b and 4b) are substantially reduced in the Deep Load scenario relative to the Uniform Load scenario. The observation from seismic reflection data that unconformity angles are low or absent therefore also supports the Deep Load scenario. The extensive erosive imprint of the Zanclean flooding on Valencia Trough is well documented (Stampfli and Höcker, 1989; Escutia and Maldonado, 1992; Maillard et al., 2006). Another seismic reflector was found beneath the Upper Evaporites by Escutia and Maldonado (1992). Maillard et al. (2006) trace the reflector beneath the Upper Evaporites in the central portion of the Valencia Trough and interpret R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 125 prominent (Fig. 11), and all major features of Fig. 8 are expected to be present. Following the interpretation of Sage et al. (2005) that the C and C’ units represent detrital continental deposits above the Massive Salt layer, we think that these sediments reflect the erosive phase due to Lower Evaporite deposition (Figs. 3c and 4c, unit LC in Fig. 8). Our Lower Evaporite scenario predicts that there should be an unconformity between Upper and Lower Evaporites (Figs. 3b and 4b) that increases from the upper slope the deep basin. Interpreting the reflector between C (C’) and T (Upper Evaporite) units as the onset of the Upper MSC, we note that such unconformity is not imaged. This discrepancy is caused by an important limitation of our models, which do not account for the leveling effect of surface processes. Onshore, the well documented Messinian normal faulting and uplift (Casula et al., 2001) has not yet been accurately dated. Our interpretation is that these represent peripheral uplift due to basin loading, i.e., the onshore response to Lower Evaporite deposition. Fig. 11. Implications of MSC events along a profile offshore W-Sardinia. The inset in the upper left shows the location and orientation of the profile line. The shaded relief map shows a topography swath along the profile (thick horizontal line) in the reconstructed geometry, and the approximate location of the town of Oristano. Thin lines indicate the azimuth of the meridian and latitude line. Solid lines in the lower panel show flexural uplift and subsidence for a) the uniform evaporite deposition scenario, b) the deep evaporite deposition scenario, c) uniform evaporite load in Today geometry, d) desiccation following deep evaporite scenario, and e) desiccation following uniform evaporite scenario. The dashed line shows horizontal stress changes from the uniform evaporite deposition scenario a) (compression negative, tension positive). it as an erosion surface. One alternative to this interpretation is that it represents a tectonic décollement surface, and that its topology controlled the location of river gullies during the later desiccation phase. 6.3. Sardinia The western Sardinia (and Corsica) margin is one of the best locations to study the MSC. First, the margin has been tectonically quiet since the Oligocene. Second, the thickness of Plio–Quaternary sediments is limited relative to other W Mediterranean margins. Third, the expected imprints along the margin are very Fig. 12. Implications of MSC events along a profile through western Cyprus. The inset in the upper right shows the location and orientation of the profile line in the reconstructed geometry, and the approximate location of the town of Polemi. Thin lines indicate the azimuth of the meridian and latitude line. Solid lines in the lower panel show flexural uplift and subsidence for a) the uniform evaporite deposition scenario, b) the deep evaporite deposition scenario, c) uniform evaporite load in Today geometry, d) desiccation following deep evaporite scenario, and e) desiccation following uniform evaporite scenario. The dashed line shows horizontal stress changes from the uniform evaporite deposition scenario a) (compression negative, tension positive). 126 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 6.4. Cyprus Lower Evaporites of the Pissouri and Polemi basins consist of massive lower gypsum, a breccia showing evidence of reworking of the lower gypsum, and upper gypsum layers interbedded with carbonates and marls. Upper Evaporites are represented by a chaotic succession of carbonates, marls and conglomerates. Orszag-Sperber et al. (1989) recognize two major phases of erosion, chaotic deposits, re-sedimentation and syn-sedimentary deformation in and around Cyprus. The breccia unit of the Lower Evaporites represents the first phase, which may be coeval to the Massive Halite (Rouchy et al., 2001). Extension was “more or less simultaneous” with deposition of this lower unit (Robertson et al., 1995). The second phase is represented by the Upper Evaporites, which show ample evidence of paleosols (Rouchy et al., 2001) related to desiccation. Overall, these observations and inferences are consistent with flexurally driven erosion and N–S horizontal extension during the first phase of the MSC (Lower Evaporites; Fig. 12), followed by erosion due to desiccation. 7. Conclusions Surface processes of the Messinian Salinity Crisis result in loading (evaporite deposition) and unloading (desiccation) of the solid Earth. We construct a new paleo-bathymetric reconstruction of the Mediterranean. We develop a new finite difference solver to compute the flexural response in this 3D basin geometry. We demonstrate that the vertical deformation was substantially overestimated in previous 2D studies. Vertical deformation of hundreds of meters is predicted, and that uplift and subsidence are highly variable, albeit synchronous, along basin margins. Both loading and unloading are expected to cause significant basement tilting that would be observable as tectonic unconformities at margins of the Mediterranean basin. The investigated scenario of Lower Evaporite deposition at current sea level predicts marginal uplift, unconformities, hill slope instability, river incision and erosion, and normal faulting. All these phenomena are observed, in particular the erosion surface. Desiccation causes significant flexural uplift of the deep basins and margin subsidence. The most pervasive imprint of this phase is erosion of freshly exposed margins. Our study of the tectonic contribution of regional isostasy leads us to propose that two erosion surfaces of different origins are found in the Mediterranean (Fig. 8); the first occurs towards the end of the Lower Evaporites and is caused by flexure, the second is represented by the Upper Evaporites and is caused by desiccation. 8. Uncited reference DeCelles and Cavazza, 1995 Acknowledgements Computational resources for this work were provided by the Netherlands Research Center for Integrated Solid Earth Science (ISES 3.2.5; High End Scientific Computation Resources). Figures in this paper were created using GMT version 4.1.2 (Wessel and Smith, 1991). boundary conditions at nodes i b 1, i > NX, j b 1 and j > NY. Replacement of differentials in A2 Ax2 D ! A2 w A2 w A2 þ D þ 2 2 2 Ax Ay Ay D A2 w A2 w þD 2 2 Ax Ay ! by first order differences in the usual way results in Di−1;j þ Δx4 Di−1;j þ Di;j−1 Di−1;j þ Di;j Di;j þ Di−1;j Di−1;j þ Di;jþ1 −2wi−1;j þ þ þ wi−1;jþ1 þwi−1;j−1 4 Δx2 Δy2 Δx2 Δy2 Δx Δx2 Δy2 Di;j−1 Di;j−1 þ Di;j Di;j þ Di;j−1 þ þwi;j−2 −2wi;j−1 þ 4 Δx2 Δy2 Δy4 Δy Diþ1;j þ 4Di;j þ Di−1;j Di;jþ1 þ 4Di;j þ Di;j−1 8Di;j þ þ 2 2 þwi;j 4 4 Δx Δx Δy Δy Di;jþ1 þ Di;j Di;j þ Di;jþ1 Di;jþ1 −2wi;jþ1 þ þ wi;jþ2 4 2 2 4 Δy Δx Δy Δy Diþ1;j þ Di;j−1 Diþ1;j þ Di;j Diþ1;j þ Di;j Diþ1;j þ Di;jþ1 þwiþ1;j−1 −2wiþ1;j þ þ wiþ1;jþ1 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 Δx Δy Δx Δx Δy Δx Δy Diþ1;j þwiþ2;j Δx4 wi−2;j where wi,j and Di,j represent vertical displacement and flexural rigidity at node i,j. First, second, third and fourth order horizontal derivatives of the vertical displacement field are thus explicitly defined upon discretization. Similarly, the part of differential Eq. (1) connected to lateral variations in the flexural rigidity ! A2 D A2 w A2 D A2 w A2 D A2 w ðm−1Þ þ 2 þ 2ð1−mÞ 2 2 2 AxAy AxAy Ax Ay Ay Ax results in matrix contributions ð1−mÞ Diþ1;jþ1 −Di−1;jþ1 −Diþ1;j−1 þ Di−1;j−1 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ 8 −Di;jþ1 þ 2Di;j −Di;j−1 þwi−1;j 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ −Diþ1;jþ1 þ Di−1;jþ1 þ Diþ1;j−1 −Di−1;j−1 þwi−1;jþ1 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ 8 −Diþ1;j þ 2Di;j −Di−1;j þwi;j−1 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ 16 Diþ1;j þ Di−1;j þ Di;jþ1 þ Di;j−1 −4Di;j þwi;j 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ 8 −Diþ1;j þ 2Di;j −Di−1;j þwi;jþ1 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ −Diþ1;jþ1 þ Di−1;jþ1 þ Diþ1;j−1 −Di−1;j−1 þwiþ1;j−1 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ 8 −Di;jþ1 þ 2Di;j −Di;j−1 þwiþ1;j 8Δx2 Δy2 ð1−mÞ Diþ1;jþ1 −Di−1;jþ1 −Diþ1;j−1 þ Di−1;j−1 þwiþ1;jþ1 8Δx2 Δy2 wi−1;j−1 Terms due to in-plane traction boundary conditions Pxx A2 w A2 w A2 w þ Pyy 2 þ Pxy 2 AxAy Ax Ay result in matrix contributions Appendix A. Numerical solution of the flexure equation We solve Eq. (1) using a finite difference approach. Here, we document the resulting matrix equations. We assume uniform grid spacing Δx and Δy in horizontal x- and y-direction, so that node coordinates xi = x0 + (i − 1)Δx and yi = y0(j − 1)Δy. We seek solutions of the differential equation on a numerical grid 1 ≤ i ≤ NX, 1 ≤ j ≤ NY, with Pxy Pxx Pxy þw −wi−1;jþ1 4ΔxΔy i−1;j Δx2 4ΔxΔy Pyy Pxx Pyy Pyy þwi;j−1 2 −2wi;j þ þ wi;jþ1 2 Δy Δx2 Δy2 Δy Pxy Pxy Pxx þ wiþ1;j 2 þ wiþ1;jþ1 −wiþ1;j−1 4ΔxΔy 4ΔxΔy Δx wi−1;j−1 R. Govers et al. / Tectonophysics 463 (2009) 109–129 The finite difference equations are assembled into a linear matrix equation Aw ¼ B in which A represents the banded matrix, w the vector of nodal displacements, and B the load vector. The matrix equation is solved for nodal displacements either with a direct solver (LAPACK version 3.1, http://www.netlib.org/lapack) for small problems, or with sparse solvers (PETSc version 2.3.1, Balay et al., 2001; http://www.mcs.anl. gov/petsc) for larger problems, typically with a Gram–Schmidt Krylov subspace approach and LU preconditioner. The GFLEX software was verified to reproduce two-dimensional and three-dimensional analytical solutions. Expected limit behavior of cases with lateral variations in flexural rigidity was also demonstrated. Appendix B. Flexural anti-bulges Flexural bulges are a well-known feature in Earth Sciences, for instance as outer rises near subduction zones. Purpose of this Appendix is to introduce a similar, yet less known feature of flexure; the anti-bulge. We will do so by examining a well-established analytical solution to the two-dimensional flexure equation for a homogeneous, isotropic elastic plate in the absence of in-plate tractions; D d4 w þ gΔρw ¼ qðxÞ dx4 The Green function (or line load response) GðxÞ ¼ ke−kx ðcoskx þ sinkxÞ 2gΔρ ðxz0Þ represents a damped harmonic function with wavenumber k, defined as gΔρ 1=4 ku 4D (Turcotte and Schubert, 2002), which is related to the flexural wavelength λ = 2π/k. Fig. B1. Two-dimensional flexure due to box loads of various widths; from left to right, W/λ = 0.1, W/λ = 5, W/λ = 10. 127 We are interested in the solution to a “box“ load, with width W and magnitude Q0, that is centered around x = 0; 8 < 0 qðxÞ ¼ Q0 : 0 x a x a x a b−∞; −W=2 > ½−W=2; W=2 bW=2; ∞ > Watts (2001) shows how convolution of the Green function and the load gives the desired solution: 8 > > < Q0 −kðx−W=2Þ coskðx−W=2Þ−e−kðxþW=2Þ coskðx þ W=2Þ xa½0; W=2 e 2gΔρ wðxÞ ¼ Q0 > −kðW=2−xÞ −kðW=2þxÞ > coskðW=2−xÞ−e coskðW=2 þ xÞ xabW=2; ∞ > 2−e : 2gΔρ The solution is symmetric around x = 0. Fig. B1 shows the ratio of the vertical deformation w and the local Airy isostatic deformation wAiry as function of non-dimensional horizontal distance x/λ for different non-dimensional load widths W/λ. The load is assumed to act downward, in the direction of gravity acceleration. A narrow box load of W = 0.1λ results in a response that is very similar to that of a line load, with a maximum subsidence directly under the load (x = 0) that is less than the Airy isostatic value. A normal flexural bulge develops beyond the load, which is a consequence of the mechanical requirement of subsidence in the center and zero bending of the plate away from the load. The response for a very wide load of W = 10λ shows Airy isostatic subsidence beneath most of the load, except near the load edge (in this case at x = 5). Here, a flexural anti-bulge develops with a subsidence that exceeds the local isostatic value. It represents the anti-symmetric equivalent of the flexural bulge, resulting from a zero deflection requirement beneath the load center and a deflection gradient near the edge. Both the bulge and anti-bulge take on their extreme values at a horizontal distance of λ/2 from the edge of the load. 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