1 Marketing BMEGT20MW01 Department of Management and Corporate Economics, building Q, room B 303b email: [email protected] Gyorgyi Dano Lecturer: Gyorgyi Dano 2 • The Marketing Information System • Big Data • Marketing Research • Secondary and Primary Data • Research Methods • Qualitative and Quantitative Research • Sampling Techniques • Research Instruments Gyorgyi Dano Marketing 03 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zzh06zPjkTs Gyorgyi Dano Wal-Mart Failure in Germany and South Korea 3 Beyond the ambience, Wal-Mart’s shoes-to-sausage product line does not suit the shopping habits of many non-American shoppers. They prefer daily outings to a variety of local stores that specialize in groceries, drugs or household goods, rather than shopping once a week at Wal-Mart. In South Korea, Wal-Mart’s stores originally had taller racks than those of local rivals, forcing shoppers to use ladders or stretch for items on high shelves. http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/02/business/worldbusiness/02walmart.html 4 Gyorgyi Dano In South Korea, Wal-Mart had only 16 stores. Many Koreans have never heard of Wal-Mart. In Seoul, a sprawling area of 10 million, there is only a single store. The company initially installed American executives, who had little feel for what German consumers wanted. 5 In Germany, Wal-Mart required sales clerks to smile at customers — a practice that some male shoppers interpreted as flirting. People found these things strange; Germans just don’t behave that way. They tried to sell packaged meat when Germans like to buy meat from the butcher. http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/02/business/worldbusiness/02walmart.html Gyorgyi Dano Wal-Mart never established comfortable relations with its German labor unions. They didn’t understand that in Germany, companies and unions are closely connected. New Coke https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QkfFdQ1yaqs http://www.coca-colacompany.com/stories/coke-lorenew-coke/ Gyorgyi Dano 6 7 Customer Insights Difficult to obtain • Not obvious • Customer’s unsure of their behavior Gyorgyi Dano Fresh understandings of customers and the marketplace derived from marketing information that become the basis for creating customer value and relationships. 8 Marketing information system (MIS) refers to the people and procedures dedicated to assessing information needs, developing the needed information, and helping decision makers to use the information to generate and validate actionable customer and market insights. Gyorgyi Dano Marketing Information Systems (MIS) 9 Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Gyorgyi Dano Marketing Information Systems (MIS) 10 Marketing Information Systems (MIS) Marketing intelligence Marketing research Competitive Marketing Intelligence: is the systematic collection and analysis of publicly available information about consumers, competitors, and developments in the marketing environment. Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Gyorgyi Dano Internal data Internal databases: are collections of consumer and market information obtained from data sources within the company network. Gyorgyi Dano 11 Big Data Target’s statistician identified 25 products that when purchased together indicate a women is likely pregnant. The value of this information was that Target could send coupons to the pregnant woman. Plugged into Target's customer tracking technology, the formula was a beast. Once it even exposed a teen girl's pregnancy: [A] man walked into a Target outside Minneapolis and demanded to see the manager. He was clutching coupons that had been sent to his daughter, and he was angry, according to an employee who participated in the conversation. “My daughter got this in the mail!” he said. “She’s still in high school, and you’re sending her coupons for baby clothes and cribs? Are you trying to encourage her to get pregnant?” The manager didn’t have any idea what the man was talking about. He looked at the mailer. Sure enough, it was addressed to the man’s daughter and contained advertisements for maternity clothing, nursery furniture and pictures of smiling infants. The manager apologized and then called a few days later to apologize again. On the phone, though, the father was somewhat abashed. “I had a talk with my daughter,” he said. “It turns out there’s been some activities in my house I haven’t been completely aware of. She’s due in August. I owe you an apology.” http://www.businessinsider.com/the-incredible-story-of-how-target-exposed-a-teen-girls-pregnancy-2012-2 Gyorgyi Dano The Incredible Story Of How Target Exposed A Teen Girl's Pregnancy 12 13 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DS310JMdu2s Gyorgyi Dano Can Big Data Predict The Future? Find out what your Facebook Likes say about you! https://goo.gl/Y8yEUu 14 http://applymagicsauce.com/demo_likes.html Gyorgyi Dano Apply Magic Sauce translates individuals' digital footprints into detailed psychological profiles. https://www-01.ibm.com/software/data/bigdata/ Gyorgyi Dano 15 16 What is Marketing Research? Marketing research is the systematic design, collection, analysis, and reporting of data relevant to a specific marketing situation facing an organization. Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Gyorgyi Dano Marketing Research Process 17 Exploratory research: Marketing research to gather preliminary information that will help define problems and suggest hypotheses. Descriptive research: Marketing research to better describe marketing problems, situations, or markets, such as the market potential for a product or the demographics and attitudes of consumers. Causal research: Marketing research to test hypotheses about cause-and-effect relationships. Gyorgyi Dano Research Objectives Defining the Problem and Research Objectives 18 „Will offering an in-flight phone service create enough incremental preference and profit for American Airlines to justify its cost against other possible investments American Airlines might take?” Gyorgyi Dano Problem Defining the Problem and Research Objectives 19 •What are the main reasons that airline passengers place phone calls while flying? • What kinds of passengers would be the most likely to make calls? • How many passengers are likely to make calls, given different price levels? • How important is phone service relative to improving other factors such as food quality, baggage handling, etc.? • How many extra passengers might choose American Airlines because of this new service? Gyorgyi Dano Research objectives 20 Developing the Research Plan Management problem Research objectives How the results will help management decisions Budget Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Gyorgyi Dano Information needed 21 Secondary data Gyorgyi Dano Information that already exists somewhere, having been collected for another purpose. 22 Secondary data Lower cost Relevant Obtained quickly Accurate Cannot collect otherwise Current Impartial Gyorgyi Dano Advantages Disadvantages - data may not be 23 OECD Better Life Index http://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org Gyorgyi Dano http://goo.gl/Bc9jw4 Information collected for the specific purpose at hand. Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Gyorgyi Dano Primary data Observation observing relevant people, actions, and situations Survey asking people questions about their knowledge, attitudes, preferences, and buying behavior Experiment selecting matched groups of subjects, giving them different treatments, controlling related factors, and checking for differences in group responses Gyorgyi Dano Research Approaches 25 Qualitative vs. Quantitative Research Research questions Quantitative Qualitative Blythe (2006:239) Gyorgyi Dano What? When? Where? Why? Who? How? How many? 26 27 http://www.greenbookblog.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/esomar-spend-by-method.png Gyorgyi Dano Research methods Personal interviewing that involves inviting six to ten people to gather for a few hours with a trained interviewer to talk about a product, service, organization or other topic. The interviewer “focuses” the group discussion on important issues. Gyorgyi Dano Qualitative: Focus groups 28 29 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pglroxm_Y4o Gyorgyi Dano Observation: Mystery Shopping 30 Ethnographic research involves sending trained observers to watch (and interact with) consumers in their “natural environments.” Netnography research: observing consumers in a natural context on the internet and mobile space. Gyorgyi Dano Observation: Netnography Real-time social media search and analysis - socialmention.com 31 https://goo.gl/pmdhaf Budapest Gyorgyi Dano Zappos 32 • Packaging research • Shelf layouts • Point-of-sale Which items did they hover over and for materials how long? Which products did they ‘pick up’? • etc. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M IJgrUXxbQA http://www.playmr.com.au/ Which labels did they read? How long did it take them to make a purchase decision? Gyorgyi Dano 3D virtual shopper research 33 Telephon e Personal Online Flexibility Quantity of data that can be collected Control of interviewer effects Control of sample Poor Good Good Fair Excellent Excellent Good Good Excellent Fair Poor Fair Fair Excellent Good Excellent Speed of data collection Poor Excellent Good Excellent Response rate Poor Poor Good Good Cost Good Fair Poor Excellent Gyorgyi Dano Mail Copyright © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. Contact Methods 34 Sample: A segment • Sampling unit of the population • Sample size selected for • Sampling marketing research procedure to represent the population as a whole. Gyorgyi Dano Sample 35 Sample Probability Sample Simple random sample Every member of the population has a known and equal chance of selection Stratified random sample The population is divided into mutually exclusive groups and random samples are drawn from each group Cluster (area) sample The population is divided into mutually exclusive groups and the researcher draws a sample Convenience sample The research selects the easiest population members Judgment sample The researcher uses their judgment to select population members Quota sample The researcher finds and interviews a prescribed number of people in each of several categories Gyorgyi Dano Nonprobability Sample 36 The Literary Digest correctly predicted the outcome of the previous five presidential elections (1920, 1924, 1928 and 1932). Gyorgyi Dano The 1936 Literary Digest Poll The 1936 Literary Digest Poll Great Depression Franklin Roosevelt Alf Landon (Democrat) (Republican) “New Deal” programs A.L. Sample F.R. Literary Digest 43% 57% > 2 million Gallup 56% 44% Actual results 62% 38% 3000 Gyorgyi Dano 37 38 The 1936 Literary Digest Poll George Gallup: 3000/50000 people quota sampling Gyorgyi Dano The Literary Digest: over 2 million people - most of + response who were magazine readers, car rate was owners or telephone customers ~24% unrepresentative sample http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm http://goo.gl/VZK5rT 39 Gyorgyi Dano Sample Size Calculator The confidence interval (also called margin of error) is the plus-or-minus figure usually reported in newspaper or television opinion poll results. For example, if you use a confidence interval of 4 and 47% percent of your sample picks an answer you can be "sure" that if you had asked the question of the entire relevant population between 43% (47-4) and 51% (47+4) would have picked that answer. The confidence level tells you how sure you can be. It is expressed as a percentage and represents how often the true percentage of the population who would pick an answer lies within the confidence interval. The 95% confidence level means you can be 95% certain; the 99% confidence level means you can be 99% certain. Most researchers use the 95% confidence level. 40 Research Instruments Gyorgyi Dano • Questionnaires • Mechanical devices • Ensure questions are free of bias • Make questions simple • Make questions specific • Avoid jargon • Avoid sophisticated words • Avoid ambiguous words • Avoid negatives • Avoid hypotheticals • Avoid words that could be misheard • Use response bands • Use mutually exclusive categories • Allow for “other” in fixed response questions Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Gyorgyi Dano Questionnaire Do’s and Don’ts 41 42 Question Types—Dichotomous In arranging this trip, did you contact American Airlines? Gyorgyi Dano Yes No 43 Question Types—Multiple Choice With whom are you traveling on this trip? No one Spouse Children only Business associates/friends/relatives An organized tour group Gyorgyi Dano Spouse and children Question Types—Likert Scale 44 Indicate your level of agreement with the following statement: Small airlines generally give better service than large ones. Strongly disagree Neither agree nor disagree Agree Strongly agree Gyorgyi Dano Disagree 45 Question Types—Semantic Differential American Airlines Large ………………………………...…….Small Modern……………………….…..Old-fashioned Gyorgyi Dano Experienced………………….….Inexperienced Question Types—Importance Scale 46 Airline food service is _____ to me. Extremely important Very important Not very important Not at all important Gyorgyi Dano Somewhat important Question Types—Rating Scale 47 American Airlines’ food service is _____. Excellent Very good Fair Poor Gyorgyi Dano Good Question Types— Intention to Buy Scale 48 How likely are you to purchase tickets on American Airlines if in-flight Internet access were available? Definitely buy Not sure Probably not buy Definitely not buy Gyorgyi Dano Probably buy 49 Question Types- Completely Unstructured Gyorgyi Dano What is your opinion of American Airlines? 50 Question Types—Word Association What is the first word that comes to your mind when you hear the following? Gyorgyi Dano Travel ________________________ When I choose an airline, the most important consideration in my decision is: _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________ _____________________________________. 51 Gyorgyi Dano Question Types— Sentence Completion “I flew American a few days ago. I noticed that the exterior and interior of the plane had very bright colors. This aroused in me the following thoughts and feelings.” Now complete the story. _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________. Gyorgyi Dano Question Types—Story Completion 52 53 Gyorgyi Dano Question Types—Picture (Empty Balloons) https://www.google.com/intl/en/forms/about/?usp=mkt_formsdrive Gyorgyi Dano Online Questionnaire: Google Drive - Forms 54 Online Questionnaire: SurveyGizmo 55 Gyorgyi Dano https://www.surveygizmo.com/ 56 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCf3L4pUpOg Gyorgyi Dano Mechanical devices: Eye tracking Mechanical devices: Neuromarketing 57 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTsVw-28NCw Gyorgyi Dano Decision-making process behind consumer spending: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkE2s6UTsVs Gyorgyi Dano NeuroAdvertising analysis of Mercedes TV ad 58 59 Implementing the Research Plan • Collecting the information • Processing the information • Analyzing the information • Interpret findings • Draw conclusions • Report to management Gyorgyi Dano Interpreting and Reporting Findings நன்றி Gyorgyi Dano 60
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