Arms Races and
Brinkmanship
J. Bradford Delong
http://bradford-delong.com
[email protected]
@delong
2017-02-13
key: https://www.icloud.com/keynote/02nkZxjZh72ucmUjkJYkVrjQ#2017-02-13_Arms_Races_and_Brinkmanship_.TCEH
pdf:
pages:
South Africa
The South African Gold Rush
•
RemembertheZuluWar?
•
Afterwards,themandateto
“Canadaize”SouthAfricaputon
hold…
•
ButthentheWitwatersrand…
•
Backup
•
•
TheGreatTrek
•
1886Transvaalgoldstrike
•
100,000(Englishspeakingminers
etc.inJohannesburg)
•
200,000Boers
By1913:1MDutch,English;500K
Indians,others;2.5MZulu,Tswana…
Convince the Boers…
•
The1895JamesonRaid
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JosephChamberlainin1899:equalrightsforBritish
citizens,orwar
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BoersstruckinOctober1899
•
•
40KBritishsoldiersinSouthAfrica
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50KmaleBoersofpotentialmilitaryage
•
Mafeking,Ladysmith,Kimberley,SpionKop,Vaal
Kranz,Magersfontein,Stormberg,TugelaRiver…
DidtheBritishnegotiate?
•
Sent250Ksoldiers
•
Competentcommander,LordRoberts
•
Boersturnedtoguerrillawar
•
Britishinventedtheconcentrationcamp
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Boerpopulationof200K—30Kdeadafterthewar:10K
soldiers,15Kchildren,5Kwomenandelderly.
•
Britishdeaths:8Kinbattle,14Kofdisease
•
Africandeaths:30K?
•
1900“Khakielection”
Nationalism
•
GermansociologistMaxWeber:
•
“TheGermancharacteroftheEast...should
beprotected...theeconomicpolicyofthe
stateshouldenterintothelistsinits
defense....Theeconomicstrugglebetween
thenationalitiesfollowsitscourseeven
underthesemblanceof‘peace’….The
vulgarconceptionofpoliticaleconomyis
thatitconsistsinworkingoutrecipesfor
makingtheworldhappy.…However…
elbow-room…can[only]bewon…through
thehardstruggle....Thatstandardofvalue
adoptedbyaGermaneconomictheorist,
can…benothingotherthanaGerman
policyandaGermanstandard....Our
successorswill...holdusresponsible...for
theamountofelbow-roomweconquer....
Thescienceofpoliticaleconomyis...a
servantof...thelastingpolitical-power
interestsof...ournation'spower,andthe
vehicleofthatpower,theGermannational
state…”
Erich von Manstein
•
vonManstein
•
vonLewinsky
•
Lewinski
•
Levi
“We Offered 4, the Navy Demanded 6…
•
…andwecompromisedon8…”
•
Frenchpoliticswelcomesa
rematch…
•
Germanywantsitsplaceinthe
sun…
•
theGermanbattlefleetto
command“respect”
•
Russiaseeksashortvictoriouswar
•
Austria-Hungarywantstorepel
Balkannationalism
•
Busyinggiddymindswithforeign
quarrels?
CatchOurBreath…
•
Comments?
•
Questions?