Ecology Letters, (2010) 13: 1270–1279 doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01521.x LETTER Key innovations within a geographical context in flowering plants: towards resolving Darwin!s abominable mystery Jana C. Vamosi*† and Steven M. Vamosi† Department of Biological Sciences, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive NW, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada *Correspondence: E-mail: [email protected] † Both the authors contributed equally to this work. Abstract Elucidating factors associated with diversification have been attempted in lineages as diverse as birds, mammals and angiosperms, yet has met with limited success. In flowering plants, the ambiguity of associations between traits and diversification has sparked debate since Darwin!s description of angiosperm diversification as an "abominable mystery!. Recent work has found that diversification is often diversitydependent, suggesting that species richness depends on geographical area available more than on traits or the time available to accumulate species. Here, we undertake phylogenetic generalized least squares analyses that jointly examine the effects of age, ecoregion area and four ecological traits on diversification in 409 angiosperm families. Area explained the most variation, dwarfing the effect of traits and age, suggesting that diversity-dependent diversification is controlled by ecological limits. Within the context of area, however, traits associated with biotic pollination (zygomorphy) exhibited the greatest effect, possibly through the evolution of specialization. Keywords Angiosperms, biogeography, diversification, ecological limits, extinction, key innovations, latitudinal biodiversity gradient, lineage age, pollination, speciation. Ecology Letters (2010) 13: 1270–1279 INTRODUCTION The species richness of lineages shows tremendous variation amongst clades, originally sparking widespread support for the idea that traits influence speciation and ⁄ or extinction rates. In plants, putative evolutionarily successful traits include self-incompatibility (Igic et al. 2008), floral asymmetry (Sargent 2004) and short generation time (Barraclough & Savolainen 2001; Smith & Donoghue 2008), whereas traits associated with evolutionary dead-ends include dioecy (Heilbuth 2000) and selfing (Igic et al. 2008). The reasons why certain traits are associated with increased or decreased diversification are often intuitively appealing: some traits inherently encourage speciation via increased genetic diversity (self-incompatibility, herbaceous growth form), or an association with increased opportunities for the evolution of specialization (floral asymmetry and fleshy fruit). Other traits may decrease extinction rates by providing an escape from predators (latex canals), while still others may be affiliated with less stochastic pollen receipt (hermaphroditism vs. dioecy). ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS The extreme variance in diversification rates amongst clades was hard to reconcile with early theories of gradualism (Darwin, in a letter to J. D. Hooker, 1879), leading to Darwin to speculate that a particular trait could spur rapid angiosperm diversification and describe the evolutionary success of angiosperms as "an abominable mystery!. The answer to whether any of the above traits are consistent predictors of diversity of a given clade remains elusive to this day (Davies et al. 2004a). The low explanatory power of traits in determining tree imbalance has led some researchers to posit that the rate of lineage growth depends more upon geographical rather than biological traits, such as geographical extent (i.e., total area occupied by a clade) and climate (Ricklefs 2003; Jansson & Davies 2008). Others have suggested that neither geographical nor biological traits determine diversification on their own but rather certain traits (or combinations thereof) may stimulate diversification within a particular geographical context (De Queiroz 2002). Some ambiguity in the effects of traits comes from the different metrics used to characterize evolutionary success. For example, recent studies have called into question the Ecological limits vs. key innovations 1271 Letter wisdom of using diversification rates (i.e., log-transformed species richness of a lineage divided by its age) because older lineages will be unduly penalized. Even when estimators of diversification rate incorporate extinction (as in Magallon & Sanderson 2001), the accumulation of species within a lineage is expected to increase with time, resulting in the null expectation that species richness will show positive linear relationships with age. Surprisingly, however, recent evidence suggests that this pattern rarely exists (Rabosky 2009a,b). In the absence of a strong relationship between lineage age and species richness (Ricklefs 2007), it has been suggested that log-transformed species richness alone may be a better measure of evolutionary success (Rabosky 2009a). Recent studies (Rabosky 2009b) have concluded that the near-zero correlation between age and species richness is unlikely to be attributed to variation in diversification rates between lineages. Instead, the lack of a relationship between age and species richness is best explained by diversitydependent diversification, where diversity is initially rapid but slows as lineages age, implying that lineages approach a "carrying capacity! set by ecological limits. Geographical area might be what place these limits on diversification (Ricklefs 2007; Rabosky 2009a), such that speciation declines as competition increases from the ever-increasing number of species within a particular clade (Phillimore and Price 2008). Extinction rates may also increase due to competition from other species, yet this process appears to exert little influence (Rabosky 2009b). Key innovations may still operate to alter the evolutionary success of lineages upon this biogeographical backdrop, yet the mechanism of operation is different. Examining these traits after the "explosive diversification! phase may instead provide evidence that certain traits influence the carrying capacity of a lineage (Rabosky 2009a). Whether traits are instrumental in altering diversification rates or carrying capacities should be evident, if one examines the interaction between the presence of a trait and time. If the differences in species richness between sister clades increases with age, it implies that the trait affects net diversification rates (and not ecological limits) because the difference in species richness should increase over time. If different carrying capacities distinguish the species richness amongst clades and if carrying capacities are indeed set by available area, then key innovations may influence the carrying capacity of a lineage in two main ways. First, a trait may alter the ability of a lineage to expand its range, which then in turn increases the carrying capacity of the lineage. Of the traits that may influence geographical extent, life history (Cardillo et al. 2003) and dispersal (Roy et al. 2009) has emerged as most influential in animal lineages and associations between growth form, seed ⁄ fruit size and geographical extent in plants may indicate a similar pattern (Morin & Chuine 2006). Second, certain traits may appear to be key innovations because they allow for greater species packing upon a landscape (e.g., through increased specialization). Thus, ecological limits are present but the carrying capacity is set higher for some lineages over others for a given amount of space. While not a key innovation in the same sense, an important contributor to this pattern might be if diversification occurs within the tropics, as the tropics has long been acknowledged for supporting more species per unit area (Pianka 1966). While the latitudinal biodiversity gradient has garnered much attention, most evolutionary investigations have focused on whether diversification rates are higher in tropical lineages (through increased speciation or decreased extinction) or whether the tropics have simply had more time to accumulate more species (Mittelbach et al. 2007). Whether a temperate environment simply sets lower ecological limits on species richness of a given lineage has not been previously examined. Here, we examine interconnected issues related to characterizing, and understanding the basis of, variation in diversification amongst lineages when controlling for phylogenetic relatedness and age. We apply an information-theoretic approach in a phylogenetically informed multiple regression framework to decipher the contributions of, and plausible interactions between, four putative key traits (growth form, fruit type, sexual system and floral symmetry), and available geographical area (summed area of the ecoregions occupied by a lineage) to species richness of 409 angiosperm families. Finally, we examine the effects of geographical distribution of a given ecozone area by examining whether lineages that have a predominantly tropical distribution exert effects on species richness independently or in concert with the above traits. METHODS Investigation of broad, global patterns necessitates the gathering of large amounts of information from disparate sources. We generated geographical extent (i.e., total area occupied by the entire family) for 396 of the 409 angiosperm families by digitizing family maps (Stevens 2001 onwards). With reference to these maps and family treatments for the 12 families without complete family maps, we subsequently calculated the area potentially available for expansion (hereafter available area; see Fig. 1) for all 409 families. We assessed the effect of ecological limits by approximating available area using the presence ⁄ absence of each family in eight biogeographical realms (see also Fig. 1), or ecozones, based on Udvardy (1975): Nearctic (area = 54.1 · 106 km2), Neotropic (19.0 · 106 km2), Palaearctic (87.7 · 106 km2), Afrotropic (22.1 · 106 km2), Indo-Malaya (7.5 · 106 km2), Australasia (7.6 · 106 km2), Oceania (1.0 · 106 km2) and Antarctic (0.3 · 106 km2). Available area was calculated by summing ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS 1272 J. C. Vamosi and S. M. Vamosi GE E the areas for all ecozones that a family was present in. For example, the family Achatocarpaceae, with member species in the Nearctic and Neotropic ecozones, was assigned a value of 73.1 · 106 km2 for available area. Geographical extent and available area were cube-root transformed for consistency with other studies (Jansson & Davies 2008). Information on predominant growth form (herbaceous, woody), fruit type (fleshy, dry), breeding system (cosexual, dioecious), distribution (tropical or temperate) and species richness for these same 409 angiosperm families was collated from Vamosi & Vamosi (2005) with information updated as required using (Stevens 2001; onwards). Family descriptions often offered only rough descriptive resolution of trait states: e.g., "mostly shrubs and trees! would be coded as "woody!. Fruit type is apparently unknown for the poorly studied monotypic Haptanthaceae, which reduced our sample size to N = 408 families for subsequent multi-model analyses of species richness. Floral symmetry (zygomorphic, actinomorphic) was collated from Sargent (2004) with information updated as required using (Stevens 2001 onwards). Species richness was log-transformed prior to analyses. Trait data are provided in Supporting information, Data S1. ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS Letter Figure 1 A representative example of the geographical variables used. The Afrotropic Ecozone (E) has an area of 22.1 · 106 km2 (light grey), while the family Huaceae (dark grey) has a geographical extent [GE; redrawn from Stevens 2001 onwards)] of 2.73 · 106 km2 within this ecozone. If the area of these ecozones (E), defined largely according to plate tectonics, places limits on species richness (and GE) then families restricted to smaller ecozones should have fewer species than those restricted to larger ecozones (or present in more ecozones). The phylogenetic relationship amongst families was obtained using the angiosperm APGIII consensus tree (R20091110) from Phylomatic (Webb & Donoghue 2005). Instances of uncertainty in the tree topology (collapsing of uncertain nodes from source trees) were left as soft polytomies, making the phylogeny as insensitive to tree uncertainty as can be reasonably accomplished with a dataset of this size. We dated as many nodes in the tree as possible using data from TimeTree (Hedges et al. 2006), with the criterion that the topology used TimeTree matched that of APGIII. This procedure resulted in the calibration of 95 nodes of the tree. While broad consensus is emerging on the relationships between angiosperm orders, there is less confidence in the relationships between families within orders. As the accuracy of dates generated with smoothing algorithms are sensitive to topology (Drummond et al. 2006; Smith et al. 2009), we did not attempt to date nodes within orders and instead used the branch length adjuster function in Phylocom (Webb et al. 2008) to estimate these undated branch lengths within the phylogeny, inputting our dated nodes as calibration points. A visualization of the dated phylogeny used for all analyses is provided in Supporting information, Data S2. Although programs such as BEAST Ecological limits vs. key innovations 1273 Letter could potentially incorporate uncertainty in the phylogeny, the level of uncertainty at each node would still be dependent on the genes and species included in the tree, which clearly have limits imposed by the present level of data and computing power. In total, the procedures used here attempt to incorporate our broadest knowledge of angiosperm systematics to produce the most comprehensive phylogenetic hypothesis. Statistical analyses We assessed associations between various traits and diversification, while taking account of their evolutionary history (Freckleton et al. 2002). An advantage of the statistical analysis approach adopted below, is that, unlike independent contrasts that only compare sister species at defined nodes (Davies et al. 2004b), our approach includes a more comprehensive coverage of the angiosperm phylogeny. The approach we take is to use the lambda (k) transformation suggested by Pagel (1999). This allowed us to determine whether the available phylogeny improves the statistical description of the data compared to treating all data points as independent. While outstanding potential to dissect speciation and extinction individually on phylogenies exists with programs such as Diversitree (Fitzjohn et al. 2009), the accuracy of the estimates diminishes with trees that are < 50% complete at the species-level and have < 400 tips. The phylogenetic signal for growth form, fruit type, breeding system, floral symmetry, species richness, geographical extent and available area was initially estimated for each single trait via maximum likelihood (sensu Freckleton et al. 2002), as implemented in the "ape! package (Paradis et al. 2004) in R version 2.10.1 (R Development Core Team 2008). The phylogenetic covariance structure was multiplied by a phylogenetic signal value (k), ranging from 0 (no phylogenetic autocorrelation) to 1 (maximum phylogenetic autocorrelation), and the log-likelihood of each run was recorded; from the resulting likelihood surface a maximumlikelihood value of k was obtained (Pagel 1999). The parameter k measures the degree to which the variation ⁄ covariation of traits across a tree agrees with a Brownian process (Freckleton et al. 2002). In the context of analysing species richness, for example, a value of k = 0 implies that species richness is distributed amongst families at random with respect to phylogeny. A value of k = 1 indicates that species richness exhibits a phylogenetic signal; that is, closely related groups have more similar species richness values than would be expected by chance (Appendix S1). Before proceeding with our primary investigations of factors associated with variation in diversification in angiosperm families, we assessed whether the appropriate dependent variable was species richness (i.e., log N ) or diversification rate (i.e., ln[N] ⁄ t ) (see also Ricklefs 2007; Rabosky 2009a). Species richness was not significantly predicted by family age (non-phylogenetic analysis: r = )0.07, P = 0.14; Fig. 2). Other analyses indicate (Rabosky 2009b) that this coefficient is out of the range that can be obtained through variation between families in diversification rates (0–0.8), unless there is a uniform distribution of diversification rates (range of coefficients )0.4 to 0.5). We did not have a uniform distribution of diversification rates (v23,408 = 624; P < 0.001), and therefore concluded that subsequent analyses of diversification were best conducted on log-transformed species richness as the response. For the main analyses of species richness in angiosperm families, we evaluated the fit of a series of candidate models (Appendix S2) using an information-theoretic approach (Burnham & Anderson 2002). Each variable in isolation has been hypothesized to affect diversification rates, with the state typically being associated with higher rates being: being present in more ⁄ larger ecozones (Rabosky 2009b), tropical distribution (hereafter "tropicality!; Jansson & Davies 2008), herbaceous growth form (Tiffney & Mazer 1995), fleshy fruits (Eriksson & Bremer 1992), hermaphroditism (Heilbuth 2000; Vamosi & Vamosi 2004) and zygomorphic flowers (Sargent 2004). Adhering to the rule of thumb that the maximum number of structural parameters in a regression should be N ⁄ 10 (Burnham & Anderson 2002), our global model contained all main effects and all two-way interactions between the main effects (K = 22, including intercept). Subsequent reduced models (K = 3–13) evaluated the relative importance of Figure 2 Relationship between estimated family age and ln-transformed species richness (SR). There is a marked lack of the expected positive relationship (logSR = 1.83)0.0025 [family age], P = 0.13, R2 < 0.01), indicating that differences in diversification of families may be more due to differences in their ecological limits (Rabosky 2009b). ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS 1274 J. C. Vamosi and S. M. Vamosi Letter "geography! (i.e., ecozone area, tropicality) vs. "intrinsic traits! (Appendix S2). By following the suggestion of testing 4–20 candidate models (Burnham & Anderson 2002), we do not expect that we captured the "true! model in our set. Therefore, in addition to choosing the best approximating model(s) with reference to Akaike!s information criterion (AICc) values, we calculated Akaike weights for all candidate models, which provide a measure of relative support for each model. Using the presence ⁄ absence of terms from a model and the model!s Akaike weight, we subsequently calculated model-averaged estimates of effect sizes and associated P-values of all variables and interaction terms present in models with non-zero Akaike weights to assess their relative contributions to amongst-family variance in SR. All models were run scaling the covariance between predictors by the global maximum-likelihood estimate of k estimated for the relationship between variables in each particular model. Clearly, not all clades will occupy all of the available area (see Fig. 1) and the extent to which the available area is occupied might influence species richness. We thus tested the influence of available area, tropicality and the four traits on geographical extent (N = 396 families for which reliable geographical extent values were available; Supporting information, Data S1) following the same framework as described above, with the exception of specifying geographical extent as the response variable. Because it can be argued that geographical extent is merely a proxy for species richness, we were especially interested in whether the ranking of the relative importance values for the four intrinsic traits differed between the two sets of analyses. Finally, we assessed the relative importance of traits in the context of age, in a third set of analyses. To avoid the inherent circularity of using age as an independent variable in a phylogenetically informed framework, we applied nonphylogenetic analyses. For all variables, with the exception of available area, we specified models: (1) SR ! trait (e.g., growth form), (2) SR ! trait + age and (3) SR ! trait + age + trait · age. We used goodness-of-fit tests to determine whether retention of the interaction between age and the focal trait (e.g., herbaceousness) and ⁄ or the effect of age was justified. Although each of the five sets had too few variables or models to justify the information-theoretic approach, ranking by AIC scores produced the same results. RESULTS We found limited evidence for phylogenetic signal overall, with maximum-likelihood estimates of k being significantly greater than zero for only two of our five predictor variables (growth form and floral symmetry) and neither of our response variables (Appendix S1). We nonetheless conducted phylogenetically informed analyses for two main reasons. First, the analysis framework we used did not suffer from the reduced power that may accompany independent contrast methods with discrete traits (i.e., if k = 0, the model becomes equivalent to a non-phylogenetic model). Second, the observed significant phylogenetic signal in some of the traits resulted in a significant maximum-likelihood value of k of the overall relationships between the variables for several models of species richness, including all of the best-supported ones (k = 0.27–0.32, P = 0.002–0.03; Table 1a). Two candidate models of species richness, SR6 (available area + tropicality) and SR10 (available area + tropicality + fleshy fruits + zygomorphy), received nearly equivalent empirical support (Table 1a). Despite our analysis omitting some putative key innovations (e.g., self-incompatibility), the best models explained 50–51% of the amongst-family variation in species richness. With reference to model-averaged estimates, we obtain the following ranking of the contribution of the main effects: available area (estimate: 0.0072; P < 0.0001) > zygomorphy (0.287; P = 0.018) > tropicality (0.203; P = 0.074) ! cosexuality (0.201; P = 0.066) > fleshy fruits (0.071; P = 0.41) > herbaceousness (0.001; P = 0.89). Examination of Fig. 3 (panel a) suggests that available area places limits on species richness, with families having zygomorphic flowers containing more species on average than those with comparable available area values but actinomorphic flowers. We found little evidence for significant two-way interactions, with only that between available area and Table 1 Phylogenetically informed models of (a) species richness (SR; N = 408 families) and (b) geographical extent (GE; N = 396 families), ranked by relative support; number of parameters (K ), model lambda statistic (k), small sample Akaike!s information criterion (AICc), Akaike weight (wi), R2 values; total area of occupied ecoregions (E), tropics (T), herbaceousness (H), fleshy fruits (F), cosexuality (C) and zygomorphy (Z). Only models with substantial empirical support (i.e., AICc difference £ 2) reported here (see Appendix S2 for all models) Response variable Model Terms K k AICc wi R2 Species richness SR6 SR10 GE3 E+T E+T+F+Z E + T + H + F + C + Z + E:T 3 5 8 0.32 0.29 0.00 960.35 960.64 4485.9 0.34 0.30 0.81 0.50 0.51 0.72 Geographical extent ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS Ecological limits vs. key innovations 1275 Letter Figure 3 Species richness (a–c) and geographical extent (d–f ) as a function of ecozone area with the three traits that received empirical support displayed. Zygomorphic flowers (a), tropicality (b), and cosexuality (c) are associated with higher species richness for a given ecoregion area, while tropicality (d), herbaceous growth form (e) and cosexuality (f ) are associated with higher geographical extents. In all cases, solid circles indicate the trait state associated with higher values. tropicality being present in candidate models with non-zero Akaike weights (SR5, SR3; Appendix S2). However, we note little empirical support for this term, based on model averaging ()0.0005; P = 0.55). Despite the significant correlation between species richness and geographical extent in our data set (nonphylogenetic analysis: r = 0.82, t1,395 = 28.41, P < 0.0001), we observed marked differences in the relative importance of the six predictor variables in the corresponding set of candidate models with the latter response variable. Perhaps unsurprisingly, models with available area explained a greater amount of amongst-family variation in geographical extent (R2 = 0.72 for best model) than in species richness. A single model, GE3 (all main effects + available area · tropicality), received substantial empirical support (Appendix S3). With reference to model-averaged estimates, we obtain the following ranking of the contribution of the main effects: available area (estimate: 1.200; P < 0.0001) > tropicality (109.022; P = 0.0009) > herbaceousness (16.286; P = 0.020) > cosexuality (16.302; P = 0.051) > zygomorphy (12. 782; P = 0.11) > fleshy fruits (6.797; P = 0.24). Model averaging revealed a considerably greater contribution of the available area · tropicality interaction ()0.284; P < 0.0001) than with species richness, which explains the moderate support for model GE5 (Appendix S3). As with species richness, the remaining twoway interactions (all in model GE11) did not receive much empirical support (all P > 0.26). Finally, we found little support for the importance of family age (Table 2), and we note that the sign of its association with species richness was negative in all candidate models (see also Fig. 2). The retention of age and the trait · age interaction was warranted only when the focal trait was fleshy fruits (Table 2). However, this trait did not explain much of the amongst-family variation in either species richness or geographical extent (see above). DISCUSSION Our analyses reveal that available area for expansion is the most critical determinant of increased diversification in flowering plants, followed by zygomorphy, as revealed by model-averaged estimates. Our best models consistently incorporated these features, explaining up to 51% of the variation in species richness. Age explained little of the variation in species richness, indicating diversity-dependent diversification consistent with previous studies (Rabosky ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS 1276 J. C. Vamosi and S. M. Vamosi Letter Table 2 Tests of the relative importance of family age (A) and trait · family age interactions (e.g., H:A) as covariates in models of species richness in 409 families (N = 408 for analyses with fruit type) Trait Model Age Interaction GOF H H + A + H:A H+A H F + A + F:A F+A F C + A + C:A C+A C Z + A + Z:A Z+A Z T + A + T:A T+A T 0.83 0.17 – 0.009 0.13 – 0.21 0.12 – 0.14 0.19 – 0.34 0.13 – 0.19 – – 0.019 – – 0.50 – – 0.46 – – 0.86 – – – 0.19 0.17 – 0.019 – – 0.50 0.12 – 0.46 0.19 – 0.86 0.13 F C Z T Goodness-of-fit (GOF) F-tests were used to determine whether retention of the interaction term and ⁄ or the main effect of age were supported; significant (i.e., < 0.05) P-values provide support for retaining the model with more terms (simplest model supported indicated in bold for trait). Trait abbreviations are given in Table 1. 2009a). There was no indication that particular trait combinations, rather than isolated traits, lead to higher diversification rates (Ricklefs & Renner 1994; Vamosi & Vamosi 2004, 2005). Diversity-dependent diversification and upper limits on species richness Recent simulations indicate that if no limits are placed on the number of species within a clade, then species richness should simply increase with clade age, even when diversification rates vary between lineages. The decided lack of a positive correlation between clade age and species richness is consistent with previous studies in angiosperms (Rabosky 2009b) and indicates instead that clades experience diversitydependence in cladogenesis. Our results support the idea that ecological limits (e.g., set by the size of ecozones) play a major role (Rabosky 2009b) in setting the asymptote, or "carrying capacity! for a lineage. While other interpretations cannot be completely ruled out (e.g., taxonomists may tend to split older diverse clades into smaller, younger families), a separate analysis using a different taxonomical system resulted in identical results (results not shown). We find that geographical area of the ecozones upon which a clade is diversifying exerts the greatest limitation on angiosperm species richness as it does in birds (Ricklefs 2006). In short, ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS larger ecozones support families with higher species richness. To what degree this is because larger ecozones will support families with more larger-ranged species (and decrease the per-species extinction rate) or because larger ecozone area provides a larger landscape for increased allopatric speciation remains an interesting question. While one can envision the causal arrow pointed in the opposite direction (high diversification leading to a larger area covered), such a relationship would not result in the observed lack of relationship between species richness and age (lineages should continue to diversify after filling all the available area). Phylogenetic signal Overall, phylogenetic signal at the family level of analysis was relatively modest for most variables considered. Examining the whole models, there was a phylogenetic signal in the models with species richness but not in models of geographical extent. Our result of low phylogenetic signal in diversification is not consistent with previous work (Savolainen et al. 2002; Davies et al. 2004a), which may be a result of changes in the angiosperm phylogeny topology or our use of species richness instead of diversification rate. To some degree, the lack of phylogenetic signal in species richness mirrors the lack of phylogenetic signal in ecozone area, which may have a large stochastic component based on whether propagules experience intercontinental dispersal (see below). We also find that most of the traits considered had moderate (fleshy fruit) or effectively no (breeding system, tropicality) phylogenetic signal, which indicates that these traits transition between families frequently upon the angiosperm phylogeny. Floral symmetry and growth form, on the other hand, exhibited significant and marked phylogenetic signals [e.g., zygomorphic (actinomorphic) families were often sister to other zygomorphic (actinomorphic) families]. The finding of frequent transitions in many putative key innovations may be tied to the lack of phylogenetic signal in species richness at the family level. These traits that provide recognizable common traits for higher taxa of angiosperms are possibly the same traits that enable them to rapidly diversify within a novel "adaptive zone! (Rabosky 2009b). That variance in traits between higher taxonomic levels is often greater than between related species and ⁄ or genera has been previously recognized (Smith 2004), as well as the connection that these same key traits that often mark synapomorphies (or common traits) of families are also important in causing divergent diversification (see Burlando 1993; Schaefer 2009). We would further add that these key innovations could effectively "reset! the biogeographic arena for a renewed bout of exponential diversification when they evolve, allowing for interplay between traits and geography in diversification (Ricklefs 2007). Ecological limits vs. key innovations 1277 Letter Key Innovations and ecological limits With ecozone area included in the models, we consistently found evidence that zygomorphy was the primary trait contributing additively to increased species richness. The effects of tropicality and cosexuality also received marginal empirical support. Considering that there was little evidence for interactions between traits and age in our dataset, we expect that few lineages were in the exponential phase of growth and would argue that zygomorphy conveys a higher "carrying capacity! per unit area, potentially evolving into ever-narrower specialist "niches! (Rabosky 2009a). This finding further suggests that the effect of key innovations on diversification rates (speciation or extinction) is minimal relative to the effect on carrying capacities within a geographical landscape. The rather moderate effect of tropicality may be surprising in light of recent findings (Jansson & Davies 2008) but, despite numerous differences in data and methodology, the relative ranking of area vs. latitudinal distribution remains consistent with these previous studies. Taken together, the picture emerges that the latitudinal gradient in angiosperm diversification relies to some degree on the more specialized relationships between plants and their pollinators in the tropics (Olesen & Jordano 2002) as well as tropical lineages occupying larger areas (see below). Studies in other systems have found associations between fast life history (Cardillo et al. 2003), and dispersal (Roy et al. 2009) and range size, leading to predictions that growth form (tree vs. herb) and ⁄ or fruit type (fleshy vs. dry) may increase the geographical extent covered within a given ecozone area, which in turn may elevate the available area (and thus the carrying capacity) of herbaceous and ⁄ or fleshy-fruited clades. Our analysis revealed that herbaceousness was indeed a strong additional predictor of geographical extent. In a post hoc analysis, herbaceousness was also strongly correlated with clades with higher ecozone area (F2,408 = 35.80; P < 0.0001), lending further support to the idea that herbs are more widely dispersed, leading to increased species richness. Fleshy fruits, on the other hand, exhibited few strong additive effects on species richness or geographical extent, even when previously reported growth form · fruit interactions (Tiffney & Mazer 1995) were included in our models, indicating that any association between species richness and fruit may be due to complex, multidimensional effects with other traits. Other predictors of a large geographical extent within an ecozone include a tropical distribution and, marginally, cosexuality. Interestingly, a strong negative interaction between tropicality and ecozone area was present in the best models. This interaction indicates that, while tropical clades were larger in range than temperate ones for more restricted lineages (and thus could elevate the carrying capacity of a lineage), the tropical lineages occupied a smaller amount of available area than temperate clades as ecozone area expands. Opposite to the effect of herbaceousness, there was a non-significant tendency for tropical families to occupy smaller ecozone areas in general (F2,408 = 1.94; P = 0.16). In total, these effects (1) may show some support for the tropical conservatism hypothesis (Wiens & Donoghue 2004) in that tropical clades remain constrained close to the tropical band in more widely distributed clades and (2) diminish the overall effect of tropicality on species richness. Higher geographical extent may produce higher species richness through buffering from extinction (Payne & Finnegan 2007), yet we expect this effect plays only a minor role in the mechanism of most key innovations. We would expect such an effect to manifest itself with a trait showing significant effects in both geographical extent and species richness for a given ecoregion area and only cosexuality had equivalent dual effects (and these were relatively weak). Thus, we venture that traits can act as key innovations through two main mechanisms: by increasing speciation through increased specialization within a given area (e.g., zygomorphy), being associated with increases in the amount of area occupied (e.g., herbaceousness), or some combination of the two (e.g., tropicality). CONCLUSIONS Understanding broad-scale determinants of angiosperm diversification in terms of the origin of key traits has had a long history (see Crepet & Niklas 2009 for review), yet recent analyses have questioned whether key traits account for a meaningful amount of variation (cf. Davies et al. 2004a). We find that several key traits are associated with species richness and geographical extent but that their effects are best seen when accounting for ecoregion area. These constraints on the "carrying capacity! of a lineage are emerging as critically important in disparate lineages and placing the most severe bounds on the species richness of a lineage (Ricklefs 2007; Rabosky 2009b). Geography, thus, determines the species richness of a clade far more than age as lineages rapidly expand and diversify upon a landscape. Certain traits (herbaceousness and tropicality) encourage diversification by expanding the size of the landscape upon which diversification occurs. Once the landscape is "full! of members of a particular family with a characterizing adaptation, speciation rates decline (or extinction rates increase) leaving both medium-aged and old-aged lineages with equivalent species richness. The variation in species richness, once the main effect of ecoregion area is removed, is influenced by traits involved in biotic pollination (von Hagen & Kadereit 2003; Ree 2005), indicating that this trait parses a given amount of ecological space more finely. ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS 1278 J. C. Vamosi and S. M. Vamosi Amongst extant families, the next challenge in understanding differential diversification is now one of characterizing ecological limits and determining whether biotic interactions influence the "carrying capacity! of angiosperm clades within a given area. Future examination of key innovations within a geographical context will provide more insight into the main determinants of imbalance on the angiosperm phylogeny. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Thanks to R. Freckleton and S. Queenborough for advice on model selection and using R to implement phylogenetic GLS models. A. 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Data S1 Predominant trait states of angiosperm families. Data S2 Hypothesized angiosperm family phylogeny based on Stevens (2001 onwards). As a service to our authors and readers, this journal provides supporting information supplied by the authors. Such materials are peer-reviewed and may be re-organized for online delivery, but are not copy-edited or typeset. Technical support issues arising from supporting information (other than missing files) should be addressed to the authors. Editor, Arne Mooers Manuscript received 2 June 2009 First decision made 16 June 2010 Manuscript accepted 13 July 2010 ! 2010 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS
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