6th China Remanufacturing Summit Remanufacturing Global Outlook Joe Kripli – APRA President & Vice President of Remanufacturing for Instrument Sales and Service, Inc. Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Founded 1949 120K square feet of Remanufacturing, Manufacturing and Logistics 100+ employees serving our customers 5,600 active customers APRA • Founded in 1941. The scarcity of automotive & truck parts during World War II helped the industry grow. • Today APRA consists of over 1,000 companies worldwide. • We are the only association that represents the world wide remanufacturing industry. • Our Website is: www.apra.org Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association What is Remanufacturing? • Remanufacturing is the process used to restore a component or part into “good as new” condition – to meet or exceed OE performance standards – through disassembly, cleaning, reassembly and testing to ensure a product of the highest quality level. Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Rigorous Remanufacturing Process Powered by Six Sigma Lean Processes Certified ISO TS 16949:2009 Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Compare the Parts USED PARTS REPAIRED PARTS NEW PARTS REMANUFACTURED PARTS Complete disassembly and reassembly NO NO Not Applicable YES All components either new, remanufactured or qualified NO NO YES YES High availability NO Not Applicable YES YES 100% final test NO Partly True YES YES No safety risks NO Partly True YES YES YES YES NO YES Environmental friendly Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association IT IS ALL ABOUT THE CORE Core Transportation Customer Distribution Center REMAN product Remanufacturing Sorting process Goods flow Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Sorting and Scraping Plant Global Reverse Logistics Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association New Frost & Sullivan Remanufacturing Marketing Study Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Top Five Predictions for Remanufacturing Market demand for light duty applications alone is expected to grow to $50 B by 2022 at 6.6% CAGR 1 United States to continue to dominate the global remanufactured aftermarket 2 Asia-Pacific region is forecast to grow faster than other parts of the world 3 China, Brazil will be most attractive countries for remanufacturing demand 4 Mexico, Eastern Europe emerging as low-cost reman hubs for North America, Europe 5 Bosch, BorgWarner, Delphi show the strongest potential in light duty remanufacturing Notes: IAM = independent aftermarket, U.S = United States Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Source: Frost & Sullivan Regional Attractiveness for Remanufacturing North America and Western Europe are still the most attractive markets for remanufacturing because of their maturity, while a continuing preference for rebuilding and the threat of counterfeiting continues to hold the industry back in emerging countries. Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Regional Attractiveness, Global, 2015-2022 Regional Attractiveness (Ranked on a scale of 1 to 10 where 10 is highest) VIO growth 4 3 9 6 Average vehicle age growth 8 7 5 6 Degree of Market Maturity 2 6 10 9 Acceptance of Remanufactured Parts 4 8 9 8 Revenue growth 4 6 9 7 Ease of doing business 10 10 5 3 Presence of global remanufacturers 10 6 2 3 Core availability and logistics 9 7 5 4 Preference for rebuilt or repaired components 8 6 2 2 Impact of Counterfeiting & Grey Market 7 6 2 2 1 TOTAL Ranked Score (100) Key High Low 66 2 65 3 58 4 50 Note: Comparative Ranking on a scale of 1 to 10. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Light-Duty Reman Market Size (Manufacturer-level) China and Brazil will account for nearly 15% of global remanufactured components revenue by 2022. Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Reman Market Size by Region, Global, 2015 and 2022 2015 Global Market Size $32B CAGR (2015-22) 2022 $50 B Region Total AM CAGR Reman CAGR Global 4.9% 6.6% NA 2.5% 3.7% W Eu 2.2% 8.0% E Eu 2.5% 8.6% S America 5.1% 12.3% China 14.7% 15.0% ROW 4% 6.3% 6.6% Remanufactured parts growth to total aftermarket parts growth ratio will be highest in Europe and South America Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Reman Market Share by Region, Global, 2015 and 2022 2015 Note: CAGR = compound annual growth rate 2022 Note: NA = North America (US+Canada+Mexico) SA = South America (Brazil,+Argentina+Others) ROW = rest of world (Rest of Asia-Pacific+Africa) Note: The base year is 2015. Source: Frost & Sullivan 12 Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Growth Drivers Rising vehicle population, continued economic growth, consistent price difference, and improved consumer awareness are the biggest drivers for the remanufacturing industry. Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Growth Drivers, Global, 2015 Strong growth in global VIO primarily driven by Apac region . High Apac avg. vehicle age is 3.4 years in 2015 which is expected to increase to 5 years by 2022 Improving awareness on value proposition of reman parts The growing 7+ yearolder vehicle population in NA and EU will favour remanufacturing Consistent price spread of 30 to 35% between new and reman and supported by a competitive warranty favors reman The Federal Vehicle Repair Cost Savings Act of 2015 to favor No trade restrictions within North reman in the U.S Impact America and Schengen zone in Europe favors core logistics benefitting reman in NA and EU Increasing number of global remanufacturers setting up facilities in China and Brazil demonstrates high growth potential in these countries Low Low Certainty High Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Source: Frost & Sullivan Global Legislative Landscape and Ease of Remanufacturing Movement of cores remains a challenge in countries such as Brazil and China Region Trade Laws Core Logistics Business Barriers No trade restrictions Lower core logistics barriers Market understands value proposition of remanufacturers, and so is widely accepted. Intense competition in market No legislative barriers within the Euro Union (Schengen zone) No core procurement, management, or logistics issues Competition is generally intense, but regional and country specific. Legislations prohibit export of used parts or cores Once remanufactured parts are sold into Russia, cores are not returned due to the lack of collection programs. Currently, no global remanufacturer has a remanufacturing base in Russia; no major plans known Strict government mandate prohibits the import of remanufactured parts and export of cores or used parts. Core logistics is not a problem, but there is a need to educate the aftermarket on proper core management practices Legislation discourages global remanufacturers from setting up factories. Legislations prohibit import of remanufactured parts and/or cores into China; remanufactured parts cannot be used for warranty replacements Core logistics awareness remains low Difficult to do business without a local partner Legislations prohibit the import of cores or used parts into Brazil The aftermarket does not understand the core procurement process Global remanufacturers are setting up operations because the country is migrating away from repair/rebuild components to higher-quality remanufactured parts Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association The cause for Mechatronic Evolution in light duty truck and passenger car market Government regulation – Tighter emission standards – Increased safety requirements – Increased CAFE fuel economy standards – Recycling Requirements Technology Impact – Increased number of electronic modules (ECM, BCM, TCM, Safety, Security, etc.) – Increased engine performance (direct Injection, turbocharging, hybrids) – Driver convenience products increases (bluetooth, navigation, web-enabled, video) – Complicated system integration (CAN network) TECHNOLOGY EXPLOSION - Traditional mechanical systems are being replaced by electronic and mechatronic systems Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Technology Impact on the Industry? • New diagnostic & training requirements at the repair level – System integration of multiple electronic products – CAN-BUS communication • Flashing/Software update requirements • Life cycle production concerns – Past model electronic component shortages – Life time buy requirements (how do you know how many you need?) • Core handling changes – Cannot damage connector or case – Cannot damage electronic components – Electro-Static Discharge (ESD) concerns Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Effects of ADAS Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Global Remanufacturing Footprint Currently, China and Brazil have only 15% of the global remanufacturer’s plants which is forecast to increase in future % Share of Global Remanufacturing Locations, 2015 Future expansion in reman footprint CHINA Volvo, Mercedes, General Motors expected to set up reman plants by 2017-18 BRAZIL Delphi purchased a reman facility and will launch first phase of reman products in 2016 EASTERN EUROPE Remanufacturers increasingly shifting reman base from west to east Europe e.g. Bosch & Remy operating in Hungary, Valeo in Poland, Knorr-Bremse & Meritor in Czech Rep MEXICO Will continue to remain the preferred production hub for U.S remanufacturers 37% 24% 6% 24% 9% Note: Manufacturing locations share based on reman footprint of top 20 global suppliers Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Source: Frost & Sullivan REMANUFACTURING HOTSPOTS Next 9 Markets Eastern Europe Mexico Middle East (Egypt) North Africa Pakistan Philippines South America Turkey Vietnam Future Hotspots For Remanufacturing Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Market Attractiveness - China Increasing opportunities for remanufacturing makes China the most preferred reman destination in future Reman Market (2016) More repair centric market and dominated by regional remanufacturers/ rebuilders Demand Factors (2016) Reman Market (2022) Increase in reman acceptance with entry of more global remanufacturers Demand Factors (2022) • Avg. vehicle age is 3.4 years • Avg. vehicle age reaching 5 years • Reman quality not at par with US or EU • Reman quality will significantly improve with more global remanufacturers setting up reman base • Top 3 categories that are remanufactured: engines, transmissions, starters & alternators Legislative Factors (2016) • Strong environmental concerns Legislative Factors (2022) • Import of reman parts and/or cores is not permissible • Usage of reman parts for warranty replacements not permissible • Certain provinces only allows JVs with local cos Global Supplier Presence (2016) • Currently, Cummins, CAT, Bosch, BorgWarner(Remy), Delphi, and WABCO Reman are the among the few global suppliers who have reman presence in China • Govt. is in process of relaxing import policies • Setting up reman factories across China will be made easier by government Global Supplier Presence (2016) • It is expected that Volvo and Mercedes-Benz will start reman operations in the near future • GM is in process of setting up a reman operation through JV Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Source: Frost & Sullivan Comparative Benchmarking of Key Remanufacturers Bosch and BorgWarner (post Remy acquisition) appear to be the most competitive remanufacturers globally because of their strong regional, application and channel coverage. Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket: Comparative Benchmarking of Key Remanufacturers, Global, 2015 CARDONE Bosch Delphi BorgWarner Valeo BBB Industries Meritor Cummins Region Coverage NA NA, EU, China, Brazil NA, EU, China, Brazil NA, EU, China, Brazil NA, EU NA, SA, ME, Australia NA, EU NA, EU, China, Brazil Vehicle App Coverage Light / Medium Light / Medium / Heavy Light / Medium / Heavy Light / Medium / Heavy Light / Medium / Heavy Light / Medium / Heavy Medium / Heavy Medium / Heavy No of Reman locations 2 15 17 10 5 3 4 4 Reman product line coverage ~40 ~ 30 ~ 15 ~6 ~ 12 8 ~ 20 5 Core Management Practices Offers Customized programs Offers Customized programs Company or Customer owned programs Standard for all customers Company or Customer owned programs Offers Customized programs Standard Program Offers Customized programs Competitive Advantage Huge category coverage OE brand image OE brand image Strong IAM base OE brand image Huge WD base OE brand image OE brand image Note: NA = North America, SA = South America, EU = Europe, ME = Middle-East Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Source: Frost & Sullivan Key Conclusions and Future Outlook Remanufactured Automotive Aftermarket Outlook: Key Conclusions and Future Outlook, Global, 2015-2022 Growth Challenges • Global manufacturer-level reman revenue is estimated at $31.7 billion in 2015. • The key challenges include reman of technologically advanced electronic controls, the threat of low-cost new parts and used parts with competitive warranties • Europe is the only mature region expected to offer growth for remanufacturers (8.1%). • Trade restrictions on remanufacturers in China, Brazil, Russia, and Turkey pose significant business barriers Part Categories • Turbochargers, electronics, ECUs, Rack & Pinion Steering Gears and Steering Pumps are the parts with the highest growth potential, particularly in the US market New Trends • Repair / rebuild: Installers in China are four times more likely to repair or rebuild a component than to purchase a remanufactured replacement part, but this is changing as customer awareness grows • In addition to Mexico and Eastern Europe, North Africa could emerge as a production region Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Remanufacturing Value Proposition LIFE CYCLE SERVICE SOLUTION Maintain a cost effective supply of service parts MAINTAIN COMPETITIVE POSITION Protect against new market entries WARRANTY COST REDUCTION OPPORTUNITY Utilize Reman Product for warranty replacement IMPROVE END OF LIFE MANAGEMENT Reduce capital locked up in long term inventory holding Before - After PROTECT THE ENVIRONMENT Support sustainability with the ultimate ‘recycling’ option - “GREEN” Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association Thank you. APRA looks forward to working with you. Automotive Parts Remanufacturers Association
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