Cashing in on Cards Getting More Business Value from Debit More than a 1,000 times per year a European citizen goes shopping, buys a newspaper, sips a coffee or pays a bill. But only a fraction of these is paid through banks or cards and most payments are still in cash. In times of increased travel, ubiquitous use of technology, and rising security concerns, should banks not strive to capture more of this everyday spending? The banking paradigm is changing. With traditional profit pools shrinking faster than predictions, and a contracting economy, the future mix of the banking business is destined to change. Investment banks are being reinvented. Asset and wealth management, a traditional profit heavyweight for consumer banks, are facing fundamental business model questions with customers shifting from complex to simple models and from actively managed to passive products. The lending business might be getting better margins for new business, but continues to suffer from a substantial rise in defaults and from deleveraging forced by regulatory concerns. Even the „safe“ life and pensions business is under pressure due to devalued investments and lower returns. Banks might not have a choice but to go after the cards and payments business. Indeed, cards and payments are becoming quite attractive. Transactions have risen at a stable 6 percent per year over the past decade—a solid number in a fee business with low operational risk that requires little equity. Moreover, although electronic payments such as credit transfers and direct debits tend to stagnate in times of crisis, debit card payments have proven rather resilient both in the last downturn from 2001 to 2003 in Germany and in recent months (see figure 1). Even if there is a slight decrease in transactions, it will be minor compared to the 20 to 40 percent revenue decrease (or more) across some other banking businesses these days. These effects are neither temporary nor solely in the realm of regulators and a declining economy. Companies and consumers are also taking a more cautious approach to their investments and financing needs. According to A.T. Kearney scenarioplanning, we can expect return-onequity levels of European banks to go down from an average pre-crisis level Europeans make more than a 1,000 payments per year — but only a fraction is on cards. Most payments are still cash. Figure 1: Growth of Debit, Consumption and GDP Y/Y Change Debit value GDP Food Non-food Source: Office for National Statistics; Statistisches Bundesamt, European Central Bank, A.T. Kearney analysis and transaction costs are less for acquirers. With more innovation being rolled out, namely in the contactless card and the mobile payments space, a significant reduction in check-through-times is expected. Safer, quicker and probably cheaper should convince more merchants to accept cards—and more cardholders to pay by card for their everyday purchases. Which card will benefit most from this opportunity? Clearly, the innovation benefits apply equally to credit, charge or debit cards. But the queuing and cost advantages are most relevant for everyday payments in supermarkets, drugstores, kiosks and for transportation, just to name a few. Europeans tend to pay with debit rather than credit cards at these outlets, so clearly debit plays a prominent role in capturing the opportunity. How can banks ensure that their cardholders follow their ambitions? And is there more to get from debit? 1 of 17 percent (2003-2007) to a range from 5 to 9 percent. This steep decline not only raises the importance of stable areas such as payments, but also triggers intentions to grow these businesses. White Space for Cards There is some good news for banks. For one thing, even in times of downturn, people continue to consume. While people might cut back on luxury items, travel and white or brown goods, they continue to purchase and use „daily“ goods and services. They might be buying smaller ticket items, but not necessarily fewer. Also, out of more than 1,000 payment transactions per year, only a fraction is done through banks or cards today. Around 60 to 80 percent of these transactions are paid in cash (see figure 2). In some markets, such as Italy, the percentage is even higher. Overall, the trend is in favor of cards. This presents a huge „white space“ opportunity for banks and other finan- 2 cial institutions. Around half of these payments are low-value payments below €15 to €20, an area that has traditionally not been a focus of banks. They include everyday payments from newspapers to food and coffee to pharmacies, where in many markets neither customers nor merchants have been „educated“ that cards could be used. Sometimes merchants do not accept cards or people reject using cards for low-value purchases for educational or pricing reasons. But initiatives are underway to change this picture for the better. The EMV roll-out across Europe is a great opportunity to broaden card acceptance to these categories. Indeed, some argue that EMV, the global standard for credit and debit cards based on chip card technology, will play out best in these merchant segments. That‘s because they are safer in comparison to magnetic stripe cards, have faster authorization times with a possibility for offline authorization, Exploiting the Marketing Value of Debit Debit cards are more than a utility. They have a legacy behind them, first as guarantee cards for checks and later for cash withdrawals at ATMs. There has been little focus on marketing a debit card as a product by itself. In fact, consumer research shows the extent to which this legacy is still shaping the uses cardholders associate with debit—many consider it an ATM card for domestic use that can also be used to pay for things. As the cost of cards increases, ATM withdrawals continue to be a cost item, and interchange levels decrease in most countries, Differentiation. Banks will albanks have to wonder if the quest for ways strive to provide more functionmore transactions is all they can do ality at a higher fee. Not all customers, with debit. Figure for instance, require an internationally There are1 levers banks can pull to accepted, internet- and mail-order-enexploit the of marketing value of and debit Growth Debit, Consumption GDP abled card. Around 40 percent of debit cards. And already banks across Europe Y/Y Change are showing the way—less in the large Debit valuecards issued are not in use at all, and a GDP mature banking markets and more so Food large share of active cards is used in limNon-food ited ways. Why not tier the offering? in Iberia, the Nordics, Turkey and CenFor example, offer national, European tral and Eastern Europe. In these counand global cards, or POS versus ATM tries, banks are pulling five levers: cards, or offline versus online-enabled Segmentation. Across all industries, cards and price those with higher funccustomers do not want to be treated tionality differently. As a side effect, this alike. Communities and affiliations also increases the delineation between have become more important and endebit and credit cards and makes credit hance traditional sociodemographic card cross-selling easier. segmentation approaches. It goes withEnrichment. More possibilities exout saying that cards as a bank‘s only ist to earn higher annual fees. For extouch-and-feel product are well suited ample, charge more for design options to respond to affinity marketing—both (picture cards, different shapes), insurvisually and in terms of functionality. ance packages (purchase protection, For instance, issuers in Iberia have emtravel insurances), instant or pre-agreed braced this concept and offer a wide credit facilities, or loyalty options. This range of affinity cards. In one case, a fastrategy is already well underway in mous sports club offers five different some countries, for instance, in Cencards for people with different affiliaFigure 2 tral and Eastern Europe where these eltions. Figure Retail Payment Pattern Retail2:Payment Pattern in Europein Europe Significant need • >1,000 yearly payments per person • 60-80% paid in cash • Every second transaction is low value Key role for debit • Everyday spending • Low cost • Fast check through/check-out … likely through contactless or mobile payments Card payment Non-cash payments (credit transfer, direct debit, cheque) Cash payments Source: A.T. Kearney analysis 1 ements are typically offered as optional add-ons across the entire card portfolio. New uses. Without doubt cardholders want to use their cards to pay. There are manifold opportunities to make (debit) cards more versatile in their core. More than 50 of such solutions have been identified across Europe, of which 10 to 15 will most likely find sufficient user demand to allow for a reasonable profit potential. They range from bill payments (in the non-direct-debit markets), paying traffic tickets, making card-to-card payments to ticketing solutions. Card life cycle. With customers getting more free checking accounts in many places, and debit cards being issued for all of these accounts, it is getting more important than ever for banks to manage the life cycle of their debit cards. Activating cards within the first 90 days is key to staying in the wallet. But also active cardholders frequently exhibit legacy usage patterns: too many cash withdrawals, almost no cross-border usage, no card payments below €50, as examples. Measures to resolve this do not have to be costly. Although loyalty programs are rather cost prohibitive in debit, sending information (for example, via statement imprints) and a targeted communication to priority customers can make a difference. From this discussion there is just one conclusion: Product management and positioning is essential to capturing additional revenue opportunities. It is not enough to simply increase transactions. Positioning will be even 3 more important in the emerging European debit landscape, characterized by a multitude of card schemes. There are around 15 formerly domestic schemes, some with cross-border intentions, new initiatives such as Monnet, EAPS or V PAY, and the incumbents Maestro and Visa Debit. While it is questionable what array of choice is actually beneficial to cardholders, merchants and issuers, experience has proven that in a world of choice branding and positioning determine success. The Case for Debit Cards The case for debit cards is actually better than many would presume (see figure 3): • Increasing usage from one card payment per week to one per day. Only doubling the number of transactions would provide an additional €5 per card and year—even with an interchange rate at current U.K. levels. • Pay by card on trips. If every European travelling abroad would make two card payments per trip rather than withdrawing cash (often at home), banks would gain another €2 per card (interchange, ATM cost savings). • Segmentation, differentiation and en- Figure 3: Debit Profitability Perspective in €/Card >8-18 >1 -2 to 8 >2 >2 >>5 Today Usage Abroad Annual fees VAS Tomorrow Source: A.T. Kearney analysis richment of card functionality could add another €3 or more from payment and service commissions, assuming that every fifth cardholder takes up these offers. No doubt capturing more revenues will require investment in product management, customer education, and customer relationship management campaigns around activation and usage. Such initiatives do not have to be costly or overly sophisticated, but are required to overcome deep-rooted legacy perceptions about debit card usage. The more costly part, with a mid-term break-even, is expanding the acceptance infrastructure to the typical low-value payment segments, which in some countries will require joint initiatives by issuers and acquirers. But this is necessary to capture everyday spending and promote a step-change in card usage. The estimated upside of €10 per card and year is significant for two reasons: Every current account holder is also a debit cardholder, thus providing a sizable increase in individual card profitability. And it responds to the continued pressure on the fourparty model (cardholder-issuer-acquirer-merchant) and its economics. This will not only require individual banks to work on their debit card portfolio, but also for the industry to promote a step-change in card usage at fair economic conditions. Authors: Andreas Pratz is a partner in the Munich office. He can be contacted at [email protected]. Ralf Baldeweg is a principal in the Berlin office. He can be contacted at [email protected]. A.T. Kearney is a global strategic management consulting firm known for helping clients gain lasting results through a unique combination of strategic insight and collaborative working style. The firm was established in 1926 to provide management advice concerning issues on the CEO’s agenda. Today, we serve the largest global clients in all major industries. A.T. Kearney’s offices are located in major business centers in more than 30 countries. For more information, please contact: A.T. Kearney GmbH Marketing & Communications Kaistraße 16 A 40221 Düsseldorf Tel.: +49-(0)211-13 77-0 Email:[email protected] www.atkearney.de Copyright 2009, A.T. Kearney, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form without written permission from the copyright holder. A.T. Kearney® is a registered mark of A.T. Kearney, Inc.
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