Features Primary productivity: the link to global health A look at how terrestrial ecosystems will respond to changing climate O ne of the greatest ecological stead act as a source, compounding conundrums of our time cen- the problem. The lack of consensus ters on the question of glo- stems from a lack of crucial data. bal warming. Scientists have long Filling the data gaps stood at censpeculated that increased atmo- ter stage during a symposium for spheric carbon dioxide levels from plant ecologists and physiologists the burning of fossil fuels would, held last March in Montpellier, through an enhancement of the France. Participants sought to examGreenhouse Effect, lead to global ine how plant primary productivity warming. Today, considerable evi- functions in the biosphere, particudence suggests that, indeed, the ob- larly in regard to global change. served rise in Earth's mean tempera- However, the scientists used the tures over the past century is a result meeting not only to look ahead at of increased carbon dioxide and other ways to fill data gaps, but also to look back to 1962, at another symGreenhouse gas emissions. Moreover, scientists from a wide posium of plant ecophysiologists held range of disciplines predict that, if in Montpellier, and to reflect on the present trends in fossil fuel combus- history of their field over the 35 tion continue, so will global warm- intervening years. ing, bringing with it profound changes in the way humankind lives Primary productivity research: and does business. Climate change a look back carries the potential to alter crop growing patterns, to increase the The term plant ecophysiology was spread of diseases and of insect pests, coined by Frode Eckardt, a Danish to raise coastal sea levels-the list botanist with the Institut de Biologie goes on and on. At stake in the im- in Montpellier and the organizer of mediate future are the vast economic the 1962 meeting. That meeting emimpacts for all nations of attempting phasized methods for studying the to control global warming by reduc- physiology of vegetation above the level of the individual plant. As ing the burning of fossil fuels. One critical question about glo- Eckardt wrote in the conference probal warming concerns how terres- ceedings, "With advances in microtrial primary productivity-the rate meteorology and data processing, at which land plants fix carbon research on the physiology of plant through photosynthesis-will re- communities or whole ecosystems was spond to climate trends. Although coming within the range of possibilthe scientific literature is replete with ity." The symposium produced the elements of the answer, scientists are landmark reference Methodology of still far from a consensus on whether Plant Eco-physiology (UNESCO the terrestrial biosphere will in the 1965), which included several chapfuture act as a sink for atmospheric ters concerned with the estimation carbon dioxide, buffering increases of primary productivity. The first concerted effort at develfrom fossil fuel combustion, or inoping a global database on primary productivity began two years after by Deborah Schoen Eckardt's meeting, when the InterSeptember 1997 national Council of Scientific Unions, a nongovernmental body funded primarily by its member organizations, set up the International Biological Programme (IBP). Citing the need "for a better understanding of the environment as the basis for rational management of natural resources," the International Council chose terrestrial, freshwater, and marine primary productivity as the theme for the IBP. The first three years of the tenyear program were devoted primarily to planning and establishing national IBP organizations, with each national program orienting and funding its subsequent research projects according to its own particular objectives. Many IBP publications mention scientists' concerns with human population growth and its demands on world resources. However, IBP interests lay more in basic scientific knowledge than in solving human problems. "Today, we often think in terms of policy issues driving science," says Hal Mooney, of Stanford University. "But in the 1960s, [the motivation] was a feeling that we needed more basic information about Earth's biological processes, particularly productive capacity. The natural driving force for the IBP was not policy but rather global information gathering. " IBP research focused on harvesting and measuring plant biomass at regular intervals to estimate plant growth, or what is termed net primary productivity. Researchers also measured gas exchange by enclosing plant parts or portions of plant communities in chambers and recording the uptake of carbon dioxide. Such investigations had been done before, but IBP put the research on a global 477 Frode Eckardt, the plant physiologist who called the first Montpellier meeting on primary productivity in 1962, gathers data in a sunflower field at France's Centre d'Ecologie in 1967. The assimilation chamber (left) measured carbon dioxide and water vapor, while the device in the center measured canopy light interception. Eckardt died in 1990, but last March plant physiologists again gathered in Montpellier to examine primary productivity and its effect on global warming. Photo: Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive. scale by seeking to collect data on representative ecosystems from all parts of the world. Thanks to this effort, estimates of global net primary productivity were in hand by 1975. Up to three-fourths of current productivity data come from the IBP era, says Sam McNaughton, of Syracuse University, adding that in following years IBP ecologists moved away from productivity research and toward investigations of much more detailed processes. In the 1980s, however, a second generation of terrestrial productivity research began, arriving through the back door of weather satellite programs. Starting in 1983, ecologists began to compile and analyze data from satellites, such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer. The remote sensing measurements include solar radiation reflected in both the 478 visible and infrared spectral domains, which depend on the amount of vegetation covering Earth's surface and its physiological state. The resulting "greenness index" and accompanying data on surface temperature have helped scientists to create models aimed at estimating primary productivity. "But the models have not yet been sufficiently validated with the estimates derived from the more traditional methods, such as those used in the IBP," says Bernard Lacaze, of the French National Scientific Research Center. Lacaze points out, however, that one of the great advantages of remote sensing methods is that they yield long-term data. In addition, because different satellite sensors have different resolutions, satellites provide data at various spatial scales. This variability allows ecologists to analyze year-toyear changes in productivity and to explore how observations made at one spatial scale can be translated to larger or smaller scales . Most important, the satellite images have documented widespread changes in land use, such as deforestation and forest regrowth-critical factors in the global carbon balance. According to Bernard Saugier, of the University of Paris-Sud, the need to validate remote sensing models renewed ecologists' motivation for measuring net primary productivity on the ground. At the same time, researchers developed rnicrorneteorological methods that measure carbon dioxide flux above plant canopies . These methods led to better estimates of net ecosystem productivity-equivalent to the rate at which plants take up carbon dioxide for photosynthesis minus its rate of release through plant, animal, and microbial respiration-which, in turn, can be compared with net primary productivity. Global productivity and the missing sink Ecosystem productivity research continued with little fanfare throughout the 1980s. But in 1990, following publication of the second scientific assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control (IPCC), interest in terrestrial productivity surged among scientists concerned with global climate change. That in terest remains strong to this day. The IPCC was set up in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme "to assess more closely the current state of knowledge on climate change." With this objective in mind, IPCC scientists carried out a global carbon mass balance based on data from 1980 to 1989, adding up the two major inputs responsible for increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide-fossil fuel combustion and deforestationand subtracting the modeled ocean uptake. The resulting figure would represent the increase in atmospheric BioScience Vol. 47 No. 8 carbon dioxide levels for the ten-year period, presuming that all sources and sinks were accounted for. In fact , atmospheric carbon dioxide levels had increased more slowly than the mass balance equation predicted, leading IPCC researchers to speculate that the difference was due to increases in terrestrial primary productivity. The terrestrial biosphere accordingly acquired the popular but misleading label of "missing sink." As symposium participants pointed out, the terrestrial biosphere's increased uptake of carbon dioxide was "missing" only in the sense of not having been included in the original mass bal ance. According to later IPCC assessments, th e terrestrial biosphere took up the equivalent of approximately one quarter of the carbon dioxid e reA tower of man y measurements: Infr ared devices on thi s tower measure car bon leased by fossil fuel combustion in dio x ide and wat er va po r fro m a boreal fo rest in France, wh ile an anemometer the 1980s. The oceans took up an- records wind veloci ty . Eq uipment such as thi s is used in studies o f pr im ar y other quarter, and the other half productivit y and may offer clue s ab out how th e terrestrial biosphere w ill affect remained in the atmosphere. glo bal warming. Photo: Dermi s Baldocchi. To distinguish ocean uptakes of carbon dioxide from terrestrial up takes, scientists have used measure- or limit this uptake. These force s ofLanguedoc-Roussillon, focu sed on ments of atmospheric carbon-13 gra - range from increasin g atmospheric identifying information needs. Pardients. Using this technique, Philippe carbon dioxide to increasing levels ticipants put these information needs Ciais, of the Climate and Environ- of nitrogen, from agricultural fertili- in the context of a question unimagined ment Modeling Laboratory in Gif- zation and pollution to forest re- in 1962-how the terrestrial biosur-Yvette, France, provided addi- growth, changes in water availabil- sphere will respond to and influence tion al evidence for the existence of a ity, loss of spe cies diversity, and climate change. significant terrestrial sink. Ciais increases in glob al temperature. "DeThe scientists cited two needs comviews the partitioning of carbon di- pending on the dri ving forces, the mon to many areas of ecological reoxide between the oceans and the biosphere uptake could continue in- search: the need for more informaterrestrial biosphere as more than an definitely, could follow another tra- tion o n year-to-year variation in academic question. Knowledge of jectory, or it could sto p tomorrow," primar y productivity and the need these roles will allow us to predict says Chris Field, of the Carnegie In- for better methods of extrapolating future levels of carbon dioxide and stitution of Washington in Stanford, to large regions the results of experihow we can deal with them. " The California. ments carried out over a limited area. magnitude of the maximum atmoMore sur pris ingly, however, th e spheric carbon dioxide level in the Going underground ecoph ysiologists admitted that the y next century depends on the relative had not been pa ying enough attenimp ortance of these two sinks," he The 1962 M ontpellier symposium tion to what was happening below says . " Carbon fixed by th e bio sphere discussed methods for measuring ground-th e productivity of root will re-enter the atmosphere with in primary productivit y and other eco- syste ms and associated nutrient cy20 or 30 years. In the oceans, carbon ph ysiological par am et ers. By con- cling. "Unless we get the belowdio xid e is dissolved and isolated at the tra st, th e 1997 symp osium, orga- gro und estimation in net primar y deep sea levels for severa l millenni a." nized by the Ce n t re d 'Ecologi e pr oductivity, we will never get it Future uptake of carbon by the Fonctionnell e et Evolutive of the right ," sai d David Hall, of Kin g' s terrestrial biosphere cannot, how- French N ational Scientific Research College, London. He highlighted his ever, be forecast without a better Center and co sponsored by NASA group's work on tropical grasslands, understanding of the force s th at drive and the French regional government in which they showed that failu re to September 1997 479 o Wildlife. Life in the wild can be pretty tough these days. Without the necessary ancient-forest habitat to live in, some species like the northern spotted owl of the Pacific Northwest are severely threatened . At the Sierra Club, we believe that these owls and the ancient forest ecosystems they depend on need our help. The Sierra Club's work to permanently protect our ancient forests also helps preserve the habitat of the northern spotted owl, giving them the range they need to help their population grow. measure root and shoot production resulted in a threefold to fivefold underestimate of net primary productivity. The importance of belowground productivity was echoed repeatedly as symposium participants stressed the importance of root systems to ecosystem water flux, carbon storage, and nutrient cycling. Participants also acknowledged a past bias for measuring aboveground biomass production. Sampling below ground, everyone agreed, can be difficult and laborious. During the IBP era, the focus was on primary productivity as an energy source available to higher trophic levels. This research emphasis, together with the technical difficulties of sampling roots, led many scientists to limit their estimates to aboveground increases in biomass or to only approximating root productivity. "Yet, roughly one-third of the net primary productivity of the world's ecosystems is in fine roots," according to Rob Jackson, of the University of Texas in Austin . "In some plant species, the roots go 30 feet or more below the surface. We almost never sample at that depth." With improved belowground information, additional directly and remotely sensed data on productivity, and better methods for scaling up results from physiological experi- ments, ecologists may, in the near future, more confidently forecast the behavior of the terrestrial biosphere in response to global change. jacques Roy, of the French National Scientific Research Center, adds, "To be useful, ecological models need to incorporate information on the control of primary productivity. Among the [different controls], atmospheric carbon dioxide and biodiversity are currently given high research priority. In most cases, trophic interactions, particularly in the soil, are found to be a key, but insufficiently understood, factor." For participants of the 1997 symposium, the time has come to set ecological research on a better course for understanding the forces that control primary productivity of the terrestrial biosphere. "We're talking about dramatic changes in the world's economy as a result of limiting fossil fuel combustion," says Chris Field. "It would behoove us to have the clearest possible idea of what is controlling a sink that currently accounts for about one-fourth of fossil fuel carbon dioxide emissions. " 0 Freelance writer Deborah Schoen is a resident of Montreal, Quebec. She covered the Montpellier meeting while on a 12month visit to France. To learn more about our work protecting the forest habitats of endangered species such as the northern spotted owl, please write us at: S rra Club, Dept. PB 730 Polk Stre t San Francisco, CA 94109 (415) TI6-2211 \l BioScience Vol. 47 No. 8
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