August 2nd, 2013

Increases in violent crime:
 Shooting victims up 15% from last year
(109)
▪ 14 more shooting victims than last year
▪ 38% above 3-year average (79)
 Robberies up 14.4% from last year
▪ Up 20% from the 3-year mid-year average
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development

Lowest mid-year property crime total in 25 years,
driven by:
 4.5% reduction in Burglary
 2nd Lowest level of Larceny in 25 years
 Lowest level of Motor Vehicle theft in 25 years

Overall Assaults down 11% from 2012

Overall Part I Crime down 9% from 2012
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Rochester Part I Mid-Year Crime: 2001-2013 (Jan-June Only)
9,000
8,236
8,000
8,214
7,870
7,777
7,609
7,583
7,000
6,478
6,217
6,211
6,036
6,010
5,809
6,000
5,677
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
0
UCR Part I Crime Type
2010
2011
2012
2013
Homicide
20
14
21
16
-23.8%
-12.7%
Rape
46
35
44
38
-13.6%
-8.8%
Rape (Expanded Definition)
22
30
30
22
-26.7%
-19.5%
Robbery
384
314
374
428
14.4%
19.8%
Aggravated Assault
621
552
554
494
-10.8%
-14.2%
1,093
945
1,023
998
-2.4%
-2.2%
Burglary
1,480
1,368
1,290
1,232
-4.5%
-10.7%
Larceny
3,499
3,365
3,592
3,154
-12.2%
-9.5%
406
332
312
293
-6.1%
-16.3%
5,385
5,065
5,194
4,679
-9.9%
-10.3%
6,478
6,010
6,217
5,677
-8.7%
-8.9%
Violent Crime Total
Motor Vehicle Theft
Property Crime Total
Part I Crime Total
% Ch from % Change from
2012
3 Yr. Avg.
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development

+15% from 2012

+38% from 3 Yr. Avg.

+26% from 10 Yr.
Avg.
Context:
 Monthly shooting
victim totals have
been above average
for 18 months

Despite shooting
increase, overall
Agg. Assaults are
down
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Crime Type
10-Year
5-Year Rank Rank
Murder
3rd
3rd Lowest (Tie)
Rape
3rd***
3rd***
Robbery
Highest
5th Lowest
Agg. Assault
2nd Lowest
3rd Lowest
Violent Crime
3rd Lowest
3rd Lowest
Burglary
2nd Lowest
5th Lowest
Larceny
Lowest
2nd Lowest
MV Theft
Lowest
Lowest
Property Crime
Lowest
Lowest
Total Part I Crime Lowest
Lowest
***Note: Beginning in 2013, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) has expanded the definition of Rape. Previously the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) definition of forcible rape
included only female victims vaginally penetrated by a male. The 2013 expanded definition now includes “penetration, no matter how slight, of the vagina or anus with any body part or
object, or oral penetration by a sex organ of another person, without the consent of the victim”. In practice, the new definition now includes both female and male victims, all vaginal
and anal sex acts, and any oral sex act that involves another person’s sexual organs. Consistent with New York State Department of Criminal Justice Services (DCJS) guidance, for
comparison purposes, offenses falling under the original rape category are being reported separately from offenses in the new definition. The data above includes only offenses
occurring under the original rape definition.
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Total Violent
Crimes
940
919
1,096
1,051

Decrease driven by
decrease in Agg. Assault,
despite Robbery increase
1,052
1,275
1,044
1,039
893
1,093
945
1023
998
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Murder

11 Murders closed via Arrest (69%)

Murder weapon:
19



21
27

16
22
25
20
In 13 of the 16 murders, the victim is believed to have known the
suspect

Motive

Dispute: 12
▪
14
▪
▪
21
16
NE: 8
SE: 2 (Durand Eastman Park and Tryon Park)
NW: 3
SW: 3

17
10
By Quadrant:




22
10- Firearm
5- Knife
1- Blunt Object

In at least three incidents, the murder was part of an ongoing violent
dispute
2 Had a gang connection
2 involved a dispute over drug turf
Robbery: 4
▪
In 3 cases, offender was known to victim
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
60
89% of 2012 rapes involved a
suspect known to the victim
66
 About half of all rapes involved an

Rape
62
acquaintance (non-family or intimate
partner)
68
57
51
45
42
37
46
35
44
38

Decreases in three of city
quadrants
 Only 1 Rape in SW quadrant YTD (-
86%)
 NE Quad up slightly to 14 from 9 in
2012
*Includes original Rape classification data only
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Robbery
445
2013 trending upward after four years
of near-record lows
 2013 is still 5% below the 10-year mid-
396
year average
566
463
433
634
461
498
371
384
314
374
428

In 2013, each quad saw an increase
compared to last year:




NE: + 6% (+7 Robberies)
SE: +13% (+14 Robberies)
NW: +21% (+18 Robbery)
SW: +23% (+15 Robberies)
▪ Southwest has the lowest overall volume of
Robberies of any quadrant
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year Aggravated Assault
2001
416
2002
436
2003
441
2004
504
2005
540
2006
568
2007
513
2008
482
2009
447
2010
621
2011
552
2012
554
2013
494

Three-year downward trend

Despite increase in shootings, serious
assaults involving other weapons or
beatings are down
 Assaults with a knife (-21%)
 Blunt object (-20%)

Primarily non-random incidents

43% all Agg. Assaults involve a threat of
violence with a weapon (Menacing 2nd)
▪ Indicative of Interpersonal Disputes
▪ No actual Assault occurs
▪ Menacings are down 13% from mid-year 2012
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year Total Property Crimes
2001
6,669
2002
6,951
2003
7,140
2004
7,163
2005
6,725
2006
6,308
2007
5,167
2008
4,997
2009
4,916
2010
5,385
2011
5,065
2012
5,194
2013
4,679

Lowest midyear level in 25
years

Declines from midyear 2012
in all three crime types
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Burglary
1,145
1,042
 2013 still above long-term average
1,044
1,175
1,241
1,131


1,242
1,129
1,368
Overall decrease led by East Division

1,048
1,480
Mid-year totals have been trending
downward for 3 years in a row

Northwest is only quadrant to see an increase (+6.4%)

1,290
1,232
-17% in the Northeast
-10% in the Southeast

Only quadrant with an increasing trend in Burglaries over the past
5 years
Northwest has highest volume of Burglaries of any quadrant
▪
34% of all Burglaries Citywide occurred in the Northwest quadrant
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Larceny
4,606

2nd lowest mid year total in 25 years

Declines in all four quadrants- led by NW
Quadrant (-19%)

SE Quad down 9%
4,848
4,540
4,498
 Accounts for 1/3rd of all Larcenies Citywide
4,456
3,912
3,307
3,113
3,283
3,333
3,365
3,592
3,154

Car-break ins
 Account for 24% of all larcenies YTD
 SE Quadrant accounts for 43% of all car break-ins
citywide
 NE Quadrant is only quadrant to see a YTD increase
(+22.7%, net change of 25)
 Downtown car break-ins:
▪ -35% from last year (78 from 119)
▪ -46% from 4 Yr. Avg. (143.5)
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Year
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Motor vehicle
theft

Lowest mid-year total in 25
years, seven consecutive years
of decline

Led by a 22% decrease in the
Southwest

All thee other quadrants are
essentially unchanged from
last year
918
1,061
1,556
1,490
1,028
1,265
812
642
454
406
332
312
293
Public Safety - Community Engagement - Morale - Teamwork - Leadership Development
Rochester Mid-Year Part I Crime Rate (2001-2013)
(Crimes per 100,000 people)
4000
3795
3801
3614
3611
3477
3539
3500
3076
2911
3000
2953
2842
2850
2747
2697
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Rochester Midyear Violent Crime Rate (2001-2013)
(Violent Crime per 100,000 persons)
700
595
600
519
505
486
500
489
489
489
486
474
448
430
422
2001
2002
422
400
300
200
100
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Rochester Part I Crime: 1985-2012
30,000
27,486
26,875
25,570
25,000
26,030
25,520
24,444
22,491
22,728
23,187
22,722
22,585
20,901
20,000
19,885
18,713
17,742
17,250
17,240
16,911
16,156
16,100
16,017
15,665
14,212
15,000
13,988
13,627
13,432
13,155
13,361
10,000
5,000
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
-