The Nuclear Choices Facing Canadians A Brief to the House of Commons Standing Committee on Natural Resources by Terrestrial Energy Inc. Submitted 9 December, 2016 TerrestrialEnergyInc. 2275UpperMiddleRdEast Suite102 Oakville Ontario L6H0C3 CANADA www.TerrestrialEnergy.com 1 Introduction Weappreciatethisopportunitytoplaceourviewsonthistopicbeforethe Committee.WebelievetheCommittee’sexaminationoftheFutureoftheNuclear Sectoristimely,andwewelcometheCommittee’sreportandrecommendations.We hopeourperspectivesonsomeoftheimportantissuesfacingthesector,andthe policyissuesfacingthegovernment,willassistyouinyourdeliberations. Defining Terms Ourfirstobservationisthatitisimportanttodefinetermswhendiscussingthe futureofthenuclearsector.The“nuclearoption”isnotmonolithic,anditshould not,therefore,beidentifiedsinglywiththeConventionalReactoroptionthatis currentlyinuseworld‐wide.Whenexaminingthefutureofnuclearenergy,we recommendthattheCommitteecastitsnetwiderthanthecurrentnuclearproduct inthemarkettoday,i.e.,theConventionalReactor.Conversely,werecommendthat theCommitteenotjudgeAdvancedReactorsthroughtheprismofattitudestoward today’sConventionalReactors,thereactorsthatweseeinthemarkettoday. The alternative to Conventional Reactors is not Small Modular Reactors Theterm“SmallModularReactor”(SMR)refersonlytothesizeandflexibilityofthe reactor,nottothetechnologyituses.ThealternativetoConventionalReactorsisnot SMR,butAdvancedReactors.Arguably,aConventionalReactor–i.e.,anuclear reactorusingsolidfuelrodsandwater‐cooled–couldbesmallandmodular,too,as arethereactorsystemsonnuclearsubmarines,forexample.Inpractice,however, theelaborateengineeringandcontainmentsystemsdemandedtomakeasuccessful regulatorySafetyCase1forthecivilianpowerapplicationsofConventionalReactors aresocostlythattheyrequirelargescaletoamortizethecostsandmakethe installationseconomicallyviable.Bycontrast,thesuperiorSafetyCases,with attendantcostsavings,thatcanberealizedwithAdvancedReactorsystemsallow themtobedeployedeconomicallyevenassmallmodularinstallations(typically understoodtobelessthan300MWe).This,however,innowaylimitsAdvanced ReactorsystemsonlytoSMRapplications.AdvancedReactorsystemscanalsobe scaleduptoproducethesameamountofenergyasourexistingfleetof ConventionalReactors. 1AnuclearSafetyCaseisanextensivesetofdocumentsanddisclosurespresentedtoaNuclear RegulatoryAuthoritytosecureanoperatinglicense. 2 The exercise is neither “academic” nor “trivial” WhilethepaceofgrowthinenergydemandinCanadahasslowedinrecentyears– duetoenergyconservation,tosomeextent,butalsotoglobalizationandtheshiftof highenergy‐consumingmanufacturingindustriestodevelopingcountries–global demandforenergycontinuestogrowrapidlyasdoesthedemandforfossilfuel substitution.EveninCanada,demandfornewandcleanenergysourceswill continuetogrowbothaseffortstoreducegreenhousegasesincrease,andas existingsourcesofcleanenergy,suchasourexistingfleetofnuclearreactors,reach theendoftheirservicelives.Wearenotconvinced–andneitheraremostexpertsin thefield–thatwecanmeetourdemandforcleanenergybyrelyingonrenewable sourcesalone.Newnuclearoptionsmustbeincludedinourenergybasketifweare toachievetheCOP21targets.Thatisthestarkreality–althoughitisinconvenient forsome. WorldEnergyConsumption,1990‐2040 (quadrillionBtu) Source:InternationalEnergyOutlook2016,fromtheU.S.Energy InformationAdministration Advanced Reactors represents a sea change from Conventional Reactors WhendiscussingthemeritsofAdvancedReactorsystems,thesystemsshouldbe consideredastechnologiesthataredistinctfromConventionalReactorsystems. Whilebothsystemsexploitnuclearfission,theydosousingverydifferent technologychoices–and,asaconsequence,theissuesthatareproblematicfor ConventionalReactorsmaybedifferentforAdvancedReactors.Inthecaseof TerrestrialEnergy,ourIntegralMoltenSaltReactor(IMSR)usesanAdvanced Reactorsystemknownasa“moltensaltreactor.”WecandemonstratethattheIMSR hasmanyuniquevirtuesthatsupportacompletelydifferentSafetyCase.This producesanumberofsignificantcommercialandsociallicensebenefits. The Integral Molten Salt Reactor TheIMSRisa400MegaWattThermal(MWth),thermalspectrum,graphite moderated,moltenfluoridesaltreactorsystem,fueledbylowenricheduranium– unlikeanyreactorsystemthathasbeencommercializedtodate.TheIMSRachieves hightechnologyreadinessbyincorporatingmanynuclear‐industryacceptedand demonstratedmethodsformoltensaltreactoroperationsanddesign,specifically thosefromtheMSREandDMSRreactorsdesignedandoperatedatOakRidge 3 NationalLaboratoryintheUS.TheIMSR’skeyinnovationistheintegrationofthe primarycomponentsofthereactorcoreintoasealedandreplaceablevesselthat hasanoperatinglifeofsevenyears.Thiskeydesignchoiceavoidsallfundamental technologychallengesthatmustbeovercomeformoltensaltreactor commercialization–specifically,challengesregardingthelifetimeofmaterials,often citedasobstaclestoearlydeployment.WiththeIMSRdesign,TerrestrialEnergyis undertakinganengineering,licensinganddeploymentprojectforinitialdeployment inthe2020sofanAdvancedReactor–onewith“gamechanging”commercialand environmentalmerits. The fundamental difference between the IMSR and a Conventional reactor Allcommercialscalereactorsinoperationtodayaresolid‐fuelled.Bycontrast,the IMSRisaliquid‐fuelledsystem.Thisfundamentaldifferenceproducesa fundamentallydifferentSafetyCasefortheIMSR.Becausenuclearfissioncreates enormousenergyintheformofheat(nearlyonemilliontimesmoreenergyperkilo ofnuclearfuelthanforfossilfuels),thedissipationofheatis,andhasalwaysbeen, themaindesignchallengefacedbyallnuclearreactors–anditisalsocentraltothe SafetyCase.Byvirtueofusingaliquidfuel,heatfromthefissionprocessinamolten saltreactorisdissipatedthroughconvectioninthesaltmixture(obviatingtheneed forwatercoolantsoperatinginapressurizedloop)–thisisimpossibletodowith anysolid‐fuelledreactorsystem,i.e.,allConventionalReactors.TheIMSRoperates usingacoolingsystembasedonnaturalandpassiveprocesseswhicharesimple, secureandrobust,thusrenderingtheIMSR“walk‐away”safe–i.e.,evenifallpower tothesystemfailedandnohumanwerepresentattheplant,thereactionwould shutdownandthereactorwouldcoolquietlyonitsown.Sincealargeproportionof thecapitalexpenditurerequiredtobuildaConventionalReactoriscommittedtothe complexengineeredsystemsneededtosupportthereactor’sSafetyCase–and, specifically,withrespecttoheatdissipation–theIMSRhasafundamental commercialadvantagethat,alongwithsafety,iskeytothefutureofnuclearenergy: cost.[PleaseseetheConfidential“IMSRCostInnovationWhitePaper”deliveredtothe Committeeunderseparatecover.] The IMSR should not be considered only for “niche” applications ThecomponentsoftheIMSR,includingits“Core‐unit”havethedistinctvirtueof beingsmallandmodular–theCore‐unitcanbefabricatedinafactoryandcanbe ordinarilytransportedonarailcarortruckbedtoitsinstallationsite.Assuch,it doeslenditselftoconsiderationforoff‐grid,remotelocations.Thisvirtue,however, shouldnotcreatetheimpressionthattheIMSRissuitableonlytonichemarkets suchasoff‐gridandremoteapplications.Thetoweringcommercialopportunityfor IMSRisinmainstreamheatandpowermarketsand,todate,theIMSRdesignhas beendrivenbytheneedsofthesemarkets. Itisanobviousalternativetothecurrentfleetofnuclearreactorsandcould beco‐locatedonexistingsites,whereitcouldoperatesymbioticallywiththe 4 CANDUreactorsduringtheremainingdecadesoftheirpost‐refurbishment operatinglives. TheIMSRisascleanashydropowerandhaslessenvironmentalimpact. Weestimatethat,onceinproduction,theIMSRwillproduceheatandpower atalowercostthancoalandatacomparablecosttonaturalgas–although unliketheenergyproducedbybothfossilfuels,theenergyproducedbythe IMSRwillbecarbon‐free. BecausetheIMSRcan“ramp‐up”poweroutputveryquickly,itcanprovide dispatchable–andcarbon‐free–powertobackuprenewableenergysources suchaswindandsolarpower;currently,theserelyprincipallyonnaturalgas back‐up(which,tous–and,infact,tomanyothersaswell,includingthe InternationalPanelonClimateChange–seemstodefeatthepurposeof havingacarbon‐freealternative). TheIMSRalsogeneratesheatat6000C,whichmakesitideallysuitedfor industrialprocessheat–amarketcurrentlyservedalmostexclusivelyby naturalgas.ConventionalReactors,bycontrast,produceusableheatatless than300oC,whichlimitstheirindustrialapplication. TheEnergyLandscape– Cost(Power)andHeat Source:TerrestrialEnergyInc. The IMSR should not be factored in only for future plans – it should be factored in today CommercializationoftheIMSRisanengineeringproject,notaresearch& developmentproject.TheR&DonwhichmuchoftheIMSRdesignisbasedwas conductedinthe60s,70sand80sattheOakRidgeNationalLaboratory.Avery similarreactortotheIMSR,onethatusedmoltensaltreactortechnology,was successfullyoperatedforfouryearsinthelate1960s–again,attheOakRidge NationalLaboratory.InFebruary2016,TerrestrialEnergysubmitteditsIMSR designtotheCanadianNuclearSafetyCommission(CNSC)forPhaseIofitspre‐ licensingVendorDesignReview.TheCompanyisontrackwithitsplantolicense, constructandcommissionthefirstcommercialIMSRAdvancedReactorpowerplant nextdecade.Thisiswellwithintheplanninghorizonofpolicymakers,energy departmentsandpowerutilitiesthataremakingcapitalchoicestomeet2020‐2030 powercommitments,particularlyrelatingtocoalsubstitution. 5 The IMSR provides improved solutions for the management of spent fuel Amongenergyproducers,thenuclearsectoristheonlyonethattakescomplete responsibilityformanagingtheby‐productsofitsenergyproduction–and underwritesthetotalcostofmanagingitsspentfuel.Althoughfuelandwaste disposalcostsarenotprimarydriversofnuclearpowerproduction,theyare importantfactorstosupportsociallicensingandtoreduceenvironmentalimpacts. TheIMSRproduceselectricpowermoreefficientlycomparedwithConventional Reactorsystems–whichimpliesitrequireslessmineduraniumandproducesless spentnuclearfuel.ThecurrentIMSRdesignproduces30%to40%lessspent nuclearfuelperKWhofelectricityproduced,whichisasignificantimprovement overConventionalReactortechnologies.However,futureiterationsoftheIMSR couldreducethisevenfurtherbyconsumingfarmoreofthenuclearfuelandleaving evenlesswaste,andcouldalsoconsumetheexistingspentfuelofConventional Reactors.ThespentfuelofCANDUreactors,forexample,isrichinplutonium,an excellentIMSRnuclearfuel,whichcurrentlyrequireslong‐termandsocially problematicstorage.Instead,CANDUspentfuelcouldbearichfuelsourceforfuture IMSRs.SuchfutureiterationsoftheIMSRcouldpotentiallyreducethespentnuclear fuel“issue”by99percent–therebysignificantlyaddressingamajorpublic objectiontonuclearenergy.Inbroadterms,theenergytheIMSRcouldreleasefrom consumingCANDUfuelcouldbeasourceofheatandpowertomeetCanada’stotal energyneedsformanydecades.WithAdvancedReactors,CANDU“waste”should rightlybeviewednotasaliability,butasanationalenergytreasureforthefuture. Policy implications for your Committee to consider 1. Basedonarelativeassessmentofitsmeritsandbenefits,Advanced Reactortechnologyshouldbefrontandcentreamongthepolicyoptions consideredbyalllevelsofgovernmenttomeetfutureenergyneeds. AdvancedReactorsprovidetechnologieswiththecommercialcredentialsto driveeconomicgrowthandimproveCanadianindustrialcompetitiveness. Convenient,cost‐competitiveenergyiskeytoeconomichealth.Infuture,with theadventofcarbonpenalties,findingasubstituteforfossilfuelcombustion thatiscleanaswellasconvenientandcost‐competitivewillhaveevengreater economicimportance.AdvancedReactors,suchastheIMSR,promisetodeliver thatsubstitute. Ifweareseriousaboutreducingourcarbonfootprintandweareseriousabout endingcoal‐poweredelectricityproductioninCanadaby2030,thenweshould useallthetoolsavailabletoustodaytoachievethatgoal.Wecannotrelyon windandsolaralone–indeed,windandsolarwillcontinuetobetertiary sourcesofpowerfortheforeseeablefuture.Governmentneedstotalkopenly andsupportivelyabouttheroleofnuclearpowertomeetourimportantfuture energyneeds. 6 2. Thegovernmentshouldnot“pickalane”–i.e.,attempttochoosethe “right”technologythatisgoingtomeetourneeds. Thatistheoldparadigmofnuclearinnovation.Todaythereisanewparadigm, wherenuclearinnovationisledbytheprivatesector,andmarketactiondrives theselectionofwhichcompaniesandtechnologieswillthrive,limitingthe winnerstothoseofgreatestmarketmerit. Instead,thegovernmentshouldadopta“watermanyflowers”approachto encourageprivatesector‐ledAdvancedReactorinnovation.Thesolutionswill needtobecommerciallyviableforthemtobeadoptedbyindustry,which impliesthat,ultimately,theprivatesectorisinabetterpositiontopickthelane –orlanes. 3. Thegovernmentneedstopreserveandinvestintherightunder‐pinnings forAdvancedNucleartothriveinCanada. Canadahasaproudtraditionofnuclearleadershipgoingbacktothedawnofthe AtomicAge.Today,wetreatournuclearinfrastructureasa“legacyproduct,” providingonlyenoughfundingtosustainit,butnoneoftheinvestmenttogrow it.Asaresult,feweruniversitiesfocusonproducingthenextgenerationof nuclearspecialists,andresearchfacilitiesaredisappearing.Furthermore,we predictthat,followingthereburbishmentsoftheOntario‐basedCANDUfleet, Canadawillbeindangeroflosingfromitsnationalengineeringbaseanentire cohortwithspecializedskills.Thiscohortmaynotbeeasilysustainedor replacedwithoutGovernmentreinforcing,throughwordsandaction,the importanceofnucleartechnologyandinnovationinCanada;itiscleartoprivate marketsthatthegovernment,sofar,hasbeenshyindoingthis. 4. Tocompeteinternationallyandinthenuclearindustry,Canadawillneed toprovideitsdomesticAdvancedReactorindustrywithadomesticand reliablesourceofneurons. ThisisessentialtofacilitateresearchanddevelopmentofAdvancedReactors. Previously,thissourceofneutronswastheNRUtestfacilityatChalkRiver, whichwillceaseoperationsin2018.Unlessreplaced,privatesectorinnovators willbeforcedtoconducttheirresearchanddevelopmentoutsideofCanada, wheresuitableneutronsourcescanbefound.Insteadofbeingamagnetfor nuclearresearchersfromaroundtheworld,Canadawillbethrowingupa barriertothedevelopmentofitsnuclearindustry.Theinnovationwillcontinue, andAdvancedReactorswillbecomewidespread.Insteadofleadingthis development,however,Canadamayfinditselfimportingthetechnologyin future. 7 Conclusion TheIMSR’svaluepropositionhasthreeelements:itprovidesCleanenergy;it providesConvenientenergy;anditprovidesCost‐Competitiveenergy.Bydelivering thesethree“Cs”,TerrestrialEnergywillbeabletocommercializeitsIMSR–and revolutionizetheenergyindustry.WebelievetheIMSRchangestheenergy paradigm.WeencourageyourCommitteetoembracethepotentialofAdvanced Nuclearandtokick‐startanewconversationaboutnuclearenergy,nuclear innovationandAdvancedReactorsinourcountry–aconversationbasedon optimism,opportunityandthepromiseofamuchbetterworld.Itisanopportunity wecannotaffordtomiss. RespectfullysubmittedbyTerrestrialEnergyInc.,ofOakville,ON.
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