Doctoral Attrition and Completion
UCLA
Claudia Mitchell-Kernan
Vice Chancellor Graduate Studies, Graduate Dean
UCLA
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Attrition Rate for All Entering Students, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
45
40
35
30
Percentage
All Students
(N=13,391)
25
20
15
10
5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Order Of Presentation
• Attrition
• Overall UCLA
• CGS Majors
• Completion
• Overall UCLA
• CGS Majors
• Interventions
• Concluding Remarks
Cumulative Attrition Rate for All Entering Students by Ethnicity/Foreign, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
70
60
50
Percentage
Foreign (N=3,448)
40
Other Domestic
(N=5,514)
30
Underrepresented
Minority (N=1,429)
20
10
0
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Total
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Attrition Rate for All Entering Students by Gender, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
45
40
35
Percentage
30
25
Female (N=5,940)
Male (N=5,220)
20
15
10
5
0
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Total
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Percentage of Doctoral Students Receiving Degree by Year, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
70
60
Percentage
50
40
1990-1994 (N=4,573)
1995-1999 (N=4,076)
30
2000-2004 (N=4,742)
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Doctoral Attrition Over Time - All CGS Majors
50
45
40
35
Percent
30
1992-1994
1995-1997
25
1998-2000
20
15
10
5
0
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
NSF March 31, 2008
% of Doctoral Students Leaving through Year of Study
F1995-1999 Entry Cohorts (N= 4,076)
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
GD Total
6%
15%
20%
24%
27%
Foreign
6%
14%
18%
20%
22%
Other Domestic
6%
15%
21%
25%
28%
URM
5%
13%
20%
27%
30%
NSF March 31, 2008
% of Doctoral Students Leaving in Year of Study
F1995-1999 Entry Cohorts (N= 4,076)
10%
9%
9%
8%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Percentage of Doctoral Students Receiving Degree by Year, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
70
60
Percentage
50
40
All Students
(N=13,391)
30
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Percentage of Doctoral Students Receiving Degree by Year, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
80
70
60
Percentage
50
Foreign (N=3,448)
40
Domestic Nonunderrepresented
minority (N=8,514)
30
Underrepresented
Minority (N=1,439)
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Cumulative Percentage of Doctoral Students Receiving Degree by Year, All Majors
1990 - 2004 Entry Cohorts
70
60
Percentage
50
40
Female (N=5,940)
Male (N=7,451)
30
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Year
Note: If not enough time has elapsed to observe an entry cohort during a time period, those observations are censored.
NSF March 31, 2008
Doctoral Completion by Time Frame, CGS Majors
60
50
Percent completing
40
1992-1994
1995-1997
30
1998-2000
20
10
0
3 yrs
4 yrs
5 yrs
6 yrs
7 yrs
8 yrs
9 yrs
10 yrs
>10 yrs
NSF March 31, 2008
% of Doctoral Students Persisting or Graduated through Year of Study
F1995-1999 Entry Cohorts (N= 4,076)
100%
95%
90%
85%
GD Total
Foreign
80%
Other Domestic
URM
75%
70%
65%
60%
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
GD Total
94%
85%
80%
76%
73%
Foreign
94%
86%
82%
80%
78%
Other Domestic
94%
85%
79%
75%
72%
URM
95%
87%
80%
73%
70%
NSF March 31, 2008
CGS majors - Completion rate - F95-F00
% completed by 0506
URM
120%
Other Domestic
100%
100%
100%
80%
66%
61%
66%
60%
41%
40%
38%
33%
38%36%
30%
25%
25%
27%29%
20%
0%
0% 0%
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NSF March 31, 2008
CGS majors - Completion rate - F95-F00
% completed by 0506
Female
Male
80%
69%
70%
68%
67%
63%
62%
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NSF March 31, 2008
UCLA
Completion rates by 2005/06 for Students who Entered Fall
1995-2000 By URM Status (excluding Foreign Students)
Under-represented minorities*
100%
Other Domestic
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
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NSF March 31, 2008
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Completion rates by 2005/06 for Students who Entered Fall
1995-2000 By Gender (includes Foreign Students)
100%
90%
80%
Female
Male
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NSF March 31, 2008
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Completion rates by 2005/06 for Students who
Entered Fall 1995-2000
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
NSF March 31, 2008
Doctoral Completion Rates by Field (Completing in 7 Years or less):
Cohort 1 (entering Fall 1991-Spring 1994), Cohort 2 (Fall 1994-Spring 1997), Cohort 3 (Fall 1997 - Spring 1998)
1991-1994
1994-1997
1997-1998
100.0%
90.0%
% Completing in 7 Years or less
80.0%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
To
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Ac
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ed
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nc
e
0.0%
NSF March 31, 2008
Doctoral Completion Rates (Completing in 7 Years or less):
Cohort 1 (entering Fall 1991-Spring 1994), Cohort 2 (Fall 1994-Spring 1997), Cohort 3 (Fall 1997 - Spring 1998)
100.0%
90.0%
% Completing in 7 Years or less
80.0%
70.0%
1991-1994
60.0%
1994-1997
50.0%
40.0%
47.0%
37.9%
1997-1998
40.6%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Total
NSF March 31, 2008