Client: Sunday Times
Agency: panelbase.com
Universe: Adults resident in Scotland
Methodology: Online panel
Sample size: 1012
Fieldwork dates: 29 January - 06 February 2014
Weighting: All the results were weighted by age, sex, household tenure and SEG, and filtered on 8-10 likely to vote in
the referendum / an election tomorrow. Respondents who voted in the 2011 Holyrood election were weighted back to
the actual election result.
Further enquiries: Ivor Knox, [email protected]
11/02/2014
Base: 1012
Total
Male x 16- Male x 3534
54
1012
131
165
(1012)
(97)
(183)
100%
100%
100%
Total
As you may know, the Scottish
government intends to hold a
referendum this year on Scotland
becoming a country independent
from the rest of the United
Kingdom. The question on the
ballot is expected to be as below.
How would you vote in this
referendum?
Should Scotland be an
independent country?
Base:
Yes
No
Undecided
If you did vote, who would you Base:
vote for with your constituency
vote?
SNP
Labour
Conservative
Liberal Democrats
UKIP
Greens
Other
Will not vote
Undecided / don’t know
11/02/2014
Gender x Age
Male x
Female x Female x Female x
55+
16-34
35-54
55+
189
170
180
176
(173)
(173)
(218)
(168)
100%
100%
100%
100%
Social Grading
ABC1
C2DE
461
(716)
100%
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes
No
Undecided Would not
vote
551
346
469
175
22
(296)
(348)
(469)
(182)
(13)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
885
(901)
327
37%
430
49%
128
14%
84
(75)
43
51%
29
34%
12
14%
148
(165)
72
49%
55
37%
21
14%
179
(167)
79
44%
92
51%
8
5%
139
(137)
34
24%
81
58%
24
17%
168
(198)
53
32%
75
45%
39
23%
168
(159)
46
27%
98
59%
24
14%
428
(649)
142
33%
223
52%
64
15%
457
(252)
185
41%
207
45%
64
14%
327
(329)
327
100%
0
0
0
0
430
(438)
0
0
430
100%
0
0
128
(134)
0
0
0
0
128
100%
0
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
810
(835)
312
39%
231
28%
99
12%
40
5%
24
3%
16
2%
5
<1%
1
<1%
82
10%
84
(73)
33
39%
23
27%
13
16%
6
7%
1
1%
1
1%
2
2%
0
0
6
7%
133
(150)
62
47%
46
35%
8
6%
2
2%
4
3%
3
2%
1
<1%
0
0
6
5%
174
(163)
83
48%
30
17%
29
17%
14
8%
10
6%
1
<1%
1
<1%
0
0
7
4%
108
(113)
33
30%
38
35%
4
4%
6
5%
4
3%
4
4%
0
0
1
<1%
19
18%
152
(186)
45
30%
44
29%
20
13%
7
4%
1
<1%
6
4%
2
1%
0
<1%
28
18%
159
(150)
57
36%
50
32%
24
15%
6
4%
4
3%
2
<1%
0
0
0
0
16
10%
401
(605)
140
35%
121
30%
52
13%
18
4%
16
4%
10
3%
4
<1%
1
<1%
38
9%
410
(230)
172
42%
109
27%
46
11%
22
5%
8
2%
6
1%
2
<1%
0
<1%
44
11%
324
(324)
249
77%
39
12%
1
<1%
6
2%
4
1%
7
2%
2
<1%
0
0
16
5%
376
(395)
32
9%
153
41%
94
25%
28
7%
20
5%
9
2%
3
<1%
0
<1%
39
10%
110
(116)
31
28%
39
35%
4
4%
6
6%
0
0
1
1%
1
<1%
1
<1%
27
24%
0
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Base: 1012
Total
Male x 16- Male x 3534
54
1012
131
165
(1012)
(97)
(183)
100%
100%
100%
Total
And who would you vote for
with your regional vote?
Base:
SNP
Labour
Conservative
Greens
Liberal Democrats
UKIP
Other
Will not vote
Undecided / don’t know
Thinking of the Scottish
Base:
economy in the year ahead, do
you expect things to get better 5 - Much better
or worse?
4 - Slightly better
3 - No better or worse
2 - Slightly worse
1 - Much worse
Don't know
Mean score
11/02/2014
Gender x Age
Male x
Female x Female x Female x
55+
16-34
35-54
55+
189
170
180
176
(173)
(173)
(218)
(168)
100%
100%
100%
100%
Social Grading
ABC1
C2DE
461
(716)
100%
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes
No
Undecided Would not
vote
551
346
469
175
22
(296)
(348)
(469)
(182)
(13)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
810
(835)
321
40%
199
25%
96
12%
47
6%
33
4%
26
3%
6
<1%
8
<1%
75
9%
84
(73)
44
52%
12
14%
15
17%
6
7%
2
3%
1
1%
2
2%
0
0
3
4%
133
(150)
53
40%
39
29%
9
7%
13
10%
3
2%
6
5%
1
1%
1
<1%
9
6%
174
(163)
85
49%
29
17%
29
16%
2
<1%
11
6%
7
4%
1
<1%
6
3%
5
3%
108
(113)
36
33%
37
34%
3
3%
4
4%
4
4%
4
3%
0
<1%
1
<1%
19
17%
152
(186)
51
33%
34
22%
16
11%
16
11%
7
5%
1
<1%
2
1%
0
0
24
16%
159
(150)
53
33%
48
30%
25
15%
7
4%
5
3%
7
5%
0
0
0
0
15
9%
401
(605)
142
35%
97
24%
53
13%
34
9%
17
4%
14
4%
2
<1%
3
<1%
38
10%
410
(230)
179
44%
102
25%
43
10%
13
3%
16
4%
12
3%
4
1%
5
1%
37
9%
324
(324)
251
77%
31
10%
1
<1%
16
5%
6
2%
2
<1%
3
<1%
0
0
14
4%
376
(395)
32
9%
142
38%
91
24%
18
5%
25
7%
24
6%
3
<1%
6
2%
35
9%
110
(116)
37
34%
26
24%
3
3%
13
12%
2
2%
0
0
0
0
2
2%
25
23%
0
(0)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1012
(1012)
44
4%
345
34%
319
31%
171
17%
44
4%
90
9%
3.2
131
(97)
9
7%
73
56%
28
21%
5
4%
2
2%
15
11%
3.7
165
(183)
15
9%
44
27%
58
35%
25
15%
12
7%
11
6%
3.2
189
(173)
3
2%
77
41%
51
27%
46
24%
6
3%
5
3%
3.1
170
(173)
6
4%
55
32%
47
28%
16
9%
11
6%
35
21%
3.2
180
(218)
8
4%
43
24%
63
35%
41
23%
9
5%
16
9%
3.0
176
(168)
3
1%
53
30%
71
40%
38
22%
3
2%
8
5%
3.1
461
(716)
15
3%
158
34%
159
34%
84
18%
14
3%
32
7%
3.2
551
(296)
29
5%
187
34%
160
29%
87
16%
30
5%
58
11%
3.2
346
(348)
39
11%
148
43%
100
29%
33
9%
15
4%
12
3%
3.5
469
(469)
3
<1%
132
28%
163
35%
114
24%
18
4%
37
8%
3.0
175
(182)
1
<1%
60
34%
52
30%
22
12%
11
6%
30
17%
3.1
22
(13)
0
0
5
25%
4
18%
2
9%
0
0
10
48%
3.3
Base: 1012
Total
Male x 16- Male x 3534
54
1012
131
165
(1012)
(97)
(183)
100%
100%
100%
Total
In 2014 do you anticipate
spending on any of the
following
Base:
I expect to take at least one
holiday abroad
I expect to buy a new TV or
stereo-system
I expect to extend or renovate
the family home
I expect to buy a new car
I am planning for a new baby
I expect to buy a more
expensive house
None of these
If Scotland becomes
independent do you expect
that you would require to pay
more or less in personal
taxation to fund public
services?
Base:
5 - Much more
4 - Slightly more
3 - No change
2 - Slightly less
1 - Much less
Don't know
Mean score
Which of these statements
Base:
comes closest to your own
view (irrespective of your view Levels of tax and funding of
on independence)?
public services should remain
Everyone should pay more tax
in order to increase funding of
Taxes should be reduced and
funding of public services cut
Not sure/ none of the above
11/02/2014
Gender x Age
Male x
Female x Female x Female x
55+
16-34
35-54
55+
189
170
180
176
(173)
(173)
(218)
(168)
100%
100%
100%
100%
Social Grading
ABC1
C2DE
461
(716)
100%
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes
No
Undecided Would not
vote
551
346
469
175
22
(296)
(348)
(469)
(182)
(13)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
1012
(1012)
407
40%
122
12%
112
11%
97
10%
22
2%
22
2%
428
42%
131
(97)
40
31%
16
12%
23
17%
12
9%
6
5%
6
5%
50
38%
165
(183)
49
29%
17
10%
20
12%
21
12%
3
2%
7
4%
82
50%
189
(173)
75
39%
16
8%
12
6%
14
7%
2
1%
2
1%
90
48%
170
(173)
77
45%
38
22%
15
9%
16
10%
8
5%
3
2%
60
36%
180
(218)
72
40%
28
15%
22
12%
18
10%
2
1%
3
2%
79
44%
176
(168)
94
54%
8
4%
20
11%
16
9%
0
0
0
<1%
65
37%
461
(716)
230
50%
59
13%
56
12%
58
13%
13
3%
19
4%
152
33%
551
(296)
177
32%
63
11%
56
10%
38
7%
10
2%
3
<1%
276
50%
346
(348)
125
36%
47
14%
36
10%
37
11%
6
2%
11
3%
154
45%
469
(469)
202
43%
61
13%
55
12%
46
10%
10
2%
7
2%
176
38%
175
(182)
71
40%
15
9%
21
12%
13
7%
6
3%
4
2%
85
48%
22
(13)
10
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
56%
1012
(1012)
200
20%
312
31%
265
26%
63
6%
4
<1%
168
17%
3.8
131
(97)
20
15%
23
18%
48
37%
10
8%
3
2%
27
20%
3.4
165
(183)
27
16%
62
38%
53
32%
12
7%
0
0
12
7%
3.7
189
(173)
50
26%
62
33%
55
29%
17
9%
0
0
6
3%
3.8
170
(173)
34
20%
59
34%
35
20%
8
5%
1
<1%
35
20%
3.9
180
(218)
34
19%
64
35%
39
21%
7
4%
1
<1%
37
20%
3.9
176
(168)
36
20%
42
24%
37
21%
10
5%
0
0
52
29%
3.8
461
(716)
115
25%
164
36%
124
27%
13
3%
1
<1%
45
10%
3.9
551
(296)
85
15%
148
27%
142
26%
50
9%
3
<1%
123
22%
3.6
346
(348)
11
3%
86
25%
184
53%
34
10%
3
<1%
28
8%
3.2
469
(469)
179
38%
174
37%
50
11%
5
1%
1
<1%
60
13%
4.3
175
(182)
10
5%
46
26%
29
16%
24
14%
0
<1%
68
39%
3.4
22
(13)
0
2%
6
27%
4
17%
0
0
0
0
12
53%
3.7
1012
(1012)
534
53%
171
17%
93
9%
214
21%
131
(97)
53
40%
38
29%
11
9%
29
22%
165
(183)
86
52%
34
21%
19
11%
26
16%
189
(173)
119
63%
33
17%
20
10%
18
9%
170
(173)
74
43%
19
11%
21
12%
56
33%
180
(218)
104
58%
27
15%
11
6%
38
21%
176
(168)
98
56%
18
10%
12
7%
48
27%
461
(716)
255
55%
93
20%
43
9%
69
15%
551
(296)
279
51%
77
14%
50
9%
145
26%
346
(348)
178
51%
90
26%
30
9%
48
14%
469
(469)
281
60%
62
13%
52
11%
75
16%
175
(182)
69
40%
18
11%
11
6%
76
44%
22
(13)
6
29%
0
0
0
<1%
15
70%
Base: 1012
Total
Male x 16- Male x 3534
54
1012
131
165
(1012)
(97)
(183)
100%
100%
100%
Total
Thinking about how fair the
Base:
current system is, do you think
people on your level of income 5 - We pay much too much
pay too much tax, or about the
right amount, or should pay
4 - We pay a bit too much
more?
3 - About the right amount
2 - We should pay a bit more
1 - We should pay a lot more
Don't know
Mean score
11/02/2014
1012
(1012)
125
12%
316
31%
391
39%
46
5%
10
1%
123
12%
3.6
131
(97)
19
15%
39
30%
29
22%
9
7%
9
7%
25
19%
3.5
165
(183)
22
13%
48
29%
66
40%
11
7%
1
<1%
17
10%
3.5
Gender x Age
Male x
Female x Female x Female x
55+
16-34
35-54
55+
189
170
180
176
(173)
(173)
(218)
(168)
100%
100%
100%
100%
189
(173)
23
12%
56
29%
89
47%
10
5%
0
<1%
11
6%
3.5
170
(173)
26
16%
48
28%
61
36%
1
<1%
0
0
34
20%
3.7
180
(218)
17
9%
56
31%
77
43%
10
5%
0
0
20
11%
3.5
176
(168)
17
10%
68
39%
69
39%
5
3%
0
0
17
10%
3.6
Social Grading
ABC1
C2DE
461
(716)
100%
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes
No
Undecided Would not
vote
551
346
469
175
22
(296)
(348)
(469)
(182)
(13)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
461
(716)
50
11%
137
30%
212
46%
28
6%
1
<1%
33
7%
3.5
551
(296)
75
14%
179
33%
180
33%
19
3%
9
2%
90
16%
3.6
346
(348)
64
19%
85
25%
147
43%
24
7%
1
<1%
24
7%
3.6
469
(469)
43
9%
159
34%
183
39%
17
4%
10
2%
57
12%
3.5
175
(182)
17
10%
66
38%
60
34%
5
3%
0
0
27
15%
3.6
22
(13)
0
<1%
6
26%
1
4%
0
0
0
0
15
70%
3.9
Base: 1012
Total
Male x 16- Male x 3534
54
1012
131
165
(1012)
(97)
(183)
100%
100%
100%
Total
If there was a Yes vote in
September, which currency
option do you think would be
best for Scotland?
Base:
Keep sterling in a formal
currency union with the rest of
Continue using sterling but
with no formal currency union
Set up a new Scottish currency
Join the Euro as soon as
feasible
I don’t think I have enough
information to make a
Don't know
And regardless of your
Base:
preference, which do you think
is the most likely outcome if
Keep sterling in a formal
there is a Yes vote?
currency union with the rest of
Continue using sterling but
with no formal currency union
Set up a new Scottish currency
Join the Euro as soon as
feasible
I don’t think I have enough
information to make a
Don't know
11/02/2014
Gender x Age
Male x
Female x Female x Female x
55+
16-34
35-54
55+
189
170
180
176
(173)
(173)
(218)
(168)
100%
100%
100%
100%
Social Grading
ABC1
C2DE
461
(716)
100%
Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes
No
Undecided Would not
vote
551
346
469
175
22
(296)
(348)
(469)
(182)
(13)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
1012
(1012)
465
46%
118
12%
110
11%
42
4%
239
24%
37
4%
131
(97)
72
55%
16
13%
19
15%
4
3%
14
11%
5
4%
165
(183)
63
38%
23
14%
35
21%
16
10%
26
16%
3
2%
189
(173)
72
38%
20
10%
28
15%
12
6%
55
29%
3
2%
170
(173)
105
62%
17
10%
7
4%
3
2%
26
15%
13
7%
180
(218)
83
46%
26
15%
10
6%
6
3%
48
26%
7
4%
176
(168)
69
39%
16
9%
12
7%
2
<1%
70
40%
7
4%
461
(716)
208
45%
49
11%
49
11%
24
5%
115
25%
16
3%
551
(296)
256
47%
70
13%
61
11%
19
3%
124
23%
21
4%
346
(348)
128
37%
61
18%
79
23%
17
5%
58
17%
3
<1%
469
(469)
272
58%
19
4%
22
5%
16
3%
130
28%
10
2%
175
(182)
63
36%
24
14%
9
5%
10
6%
48
27%
21
12%
22
(13)
1
5%
13
61%
0
0
0
0
3
14%
4
20%
1012
(1012)
418
41%
155
15%
79
8%
70
7%
192
19%
99
10%
131
(97)
62
47%
29
22%
11
9%
6
4%
8
6%
15
11%
165
(183)
85
51%
26
16%
14
9%
10
6%
22
13%
8
5%
189
(173)
68
36%
31
16%
29
15%
18
9%
26
14%
18
9%
170
(173)
78
46%
20
12%
3
2%
22
13%
29
17%
18
11%
180
(218)
63
35%
29
16%
15
9%
9
5%
41
23%
22
12%
176
(168)
63
36%
19
11%
5
3%
6
4%
66
38%
17
10%
461
(716)
194
42%
82
18%
24
5%
35
8%
86
19%
41
9%
551
(296)
224
41%
72
13%
55
10%
36
6%
106
19%
58
10%
346
(348)
183
53%
55
16%
36
10%
15
4%
45
13%
12
3%
469
(469)
172
37%
70
15%
38
8%
44
9%
101
21%
44
9%
175
(182)
61
35%
24
14%
4
2%
12
7%
43
24%
32
18%
22
(13)
2
10%
6
26%
0
0
0
0
3
14%
11
50%