Economic Evaluation of Health Technologies Ifat Abai-Korek, PhD 1,2, Einav Horowitz, MD. 1 1. 2. Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, The Gertner Institute Assuta Medical Centers The problem of resources scarcity is one of the fundamental issues in the field of economics. Scarcity of resources means that attaining one economic good requires forgoing another. This phenomenon affects the management of the economy on a national scale, and one of the tools designed to support the proper usage of resources to achieve desired goals is economic evaluation (EE). EE analyzes the different options and indicates how they should be prioritized in order to maximize the benefit within a limited budget. EE is defined as a comparative analysis between alternative courses of actions, in terms of costs and consequences. Therefore, conducting EE involves identifying and quantifying the relevant costs and outcomes. EE is used as a decision-supporting tool as it enables the decision-makers to systematically rank the alternatives and facilitate the decision process. [1] Resource scarcity exists also in the field of medicine. Healthcare systems around the world face a continuing growth in health expenditures along side with accelerated development of new and expensive medical technologies. The true cost of using valuable health resources is the inability to fund other effective technologies. Because the resources are limited, there is an ever growing gap between the variety of available health services and those that are funded. The result is a constantly insufficient health budget, and the need to appraise both the clinical and the economic aspects of each new technology that is being funded. [2-5] EE of health technologies supports this need by examining the costs and outcomes (both in term of clinical outcomes and in terms of subsequent costs added / averted) of alternative interventions, generally the technology considered for funding and one or more technologies already being funded for the same indication. It seeks to provide an objective and systematic method to assist prioritization and reflects the universal goal 1 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute of maximizing the value received for the money by demonstrating the existence of not only clinical effectiveness but also cost-effectiveness. [1,6] While this problem of scarcity is most severe where funding of health services is mainly public, even private health insurance agencies are beginning to feel the need to prioritize between services they may wish to offer their enrollees. Formal use if EE and EE-based decision making is, however, still predominantly performed for publicly-funded health services. Because of the role EE plays in reimbursement decisions in many countries, it has been termed "the fourth hurdle" (after the three hurdles for registration- quality, safety and efficacy). [7,8] Cost-Effectiveness The term cost effectiveness describes to what degree a particular option gives the highest value for money (or, conversely, the least cost for a unit of outcome). While originating in cost-effectiveness analysis (one type of EE), the term is used nowadays regardless of the method used to conduct the EE. Cost-effectiveness reflects the desire to achieve a pre-defined target for the lowest expense or a maximal health benefit within a limited budget. These goals may be accomplished by choosing the most costeffective technologies based on EE. Table 1 presents the most common types of evaluations related to the costs and outcomes used in health services: Are both costs (inputs) and consequences (outputs) of the alternatives examined ? NO Examines only costs Examines only consequences Cost Description Outcome Description Is there comp ariso n of two or more alter nativ es ? NO YES Cost-outcome description 2 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute YES Partial evaluationPartial evaluationincremental cost/budget incremental efficacy or impact analysis effectiveness evaluation Table 1: Definitions of clinical and economical evaluations. Full Economic Evaluation Based on: Drummond MF, O’Brien B, Stoddart GL, Torrance GW. Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programs. Oxford Medical Publication 2nd edition. [9] Costs: Costs are the monetary value of expenditures for supplies, services, labor, products, equipment and other items. In EE of medical technologies, many different types of costs may be involved. While there are many ways of categorizing the different types of costs, most differentiate between medical costs and non-medical costs. [10-12] The most basic medical cost is the cost of the technology itself. For pharmaceuticals, the cost depends on the dosage and the duration of treatment. For devices, it is the cost of the device, and, if implanted, the procedure of implantation. Costs may also include the setting in which the technology is used- full or part hospitalization, ambulatory clinic, etc. Other costs may be related to specific characteristics of the technology, such as need for specific follow-up (physician visits, laboratory tests and/or imaging) or treatments for side effects or complications due to the use of the technology. Last, but not least, medical costs cover costs related to the effects of the intervention on the course of the medical condition - need for other treatments or hospitalization due to progression or complications of the disease. The later is particularly important for intervention with an element of prevention. While successful treatment of one medical condition (especially if leading to prolongation of life) may result in additional costs due to other, unrelated, diseases that the patient would not have suffered from otherwise, these costs are usually not included in an EE. Non medical costs are costs that, though related to the disease or treatment, are not related to the healthcare system. Those include direct costs, such as transportation to the hospital or a need for paid assistance or escort, and indirect costs- reduction of 3 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute productivity due to absenteeism (total absence from work) or presenteeism (working at a reduced capacity) due to illness. [13] The choice of which costs to include in the EE is dependent on the perspective of the EE- for whom the EE is meant to be relevant. Therefore, an EE from the perspective of a health insurer may include costs of treatment covered by it but not those that are paid out-of pocket by the patient or that are funded by other sources, an EE from the perspective of a national health-care system will include the medical costs but may not include non-medical ones, and an EE from a societal perspective should include both medical and non-medical costs. [14] The costs used in EE are mainly per-person costs. That means that "once-off" costs, (e.g. construction of an operations room, purchase of permanent equipment or training of staff) and other fixed costs are not usually included in the costs, unless they are translated into per-person units by pricing. Benefits: There are four general types of EE of medical technologies, which differs mainly in the way the outcome of the technology is handled. [6,15,16] The main differences between the different methods of EE are summarized in table 2. Type of EE Outcome Application/ Interpretation Used only when the The least costly technology is preferred. difference in outcomes is 0 (outcomes are equal) so no units are needed. Cost Benefit Outcomes are translated into Net benefit. If the benefit is greater than monetary units. the costs, the technology is preferred. Analysis (CBA) May be used non-comparatively. Cost Effectiveness Outcomes are expressed as a What is the incremental cost of natural endpoint of clinical improving the outcome in one unit? Analysis (CEA) effect Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio. Cost Utility Outcomes are expressed What is the incremental cost of gaining Quality Adjusted Life Years- one Quality Adjusted Life Years? Analysis (CUA) effects on both life Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio. expectancy and quality of life Cost Minimization Analysis (CMA) Table 2: Types of economical evaluations. 4 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute a. Cost Minimization Analysis (CMA) This type of EE is limited to situations where the health benefits of the technologies are equal. CMA does not disregard benefits, but rather proper use of CMA requires evidence that the outcomes of the alternative technologies are identical. It is commonly accepted that use of CMA is legitimate only when clinical equivalence is proven in an equivalency trial (trial designed to demonstrate equivalency between interventions) or a non-inferiority trial (designed to prove that one intervention is not inferior to the other). By comparing alternatives with the same clinical outcome, this type of EE identifies the alternative with the lowest costs as the preferred one. CMA may be seen as a special case of cost-effectiveness analysis where, because the incremental benefit is zero, no incremental cost effectiveness ratio (see CEA) can be calculated. [17] b. Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) In CBA, the outcome is expressed in monetary units. For medical technologies, this means translation of outcome such as life expectancy and health to money. This type of analysis makes it possible to compare technologies with very different outcomes, both in type and in quantity, including intervention completely unrelated to healthcare such as transportation or education, because they all may be translated into currency. The result of CBA is usually expressed as Net Benefit: (Ct – Ca) - (Bt – Ba) where Ct and Bt are the cost and benefit of the new technology respectively, and Ca and Ba are the cost and benefit of the alternative. Use of CBA is not very common for EE of medical technologies because it is difficult, both technically and conceptually, to capture the full dimensions of health in monetary terms, especially notions such as concern, happiness, and spiritual wellbeing. When using CBA, the customary way to quantify the outcome is by the Willingness to Pay (WTP) method, where respondents are asked how much they would be willing to pay to live an a certain health state or to avoid/treat a specific condition. The main problem with using WTP is that, as respondents are not actually 5 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute asked to pay, they may treat the question as purely theoretical and not as an accurate representation of worth. Unlike the other types of EE, CBA may be used in a non-comparative manner, i.e. to determine whether a specific technology is cost-effective by itself. A technology can be said to be cost-effective using CBA if its benefits (as translated into money) are greater than its costs, irrespective of what the alternatives may be. [18] c. Cost Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) CEA has become almost a synonym for EE when dealing with medical technologies. CEA is defined by the UK National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) as an economic study where the clinical outcomes of different interventions are measured by one endpoint, usually a "natural endpoint". This endpoint usually represents the dominant clinical effect such as survival (life years gained or mortality avoided), complications prevented or a clinical parameter achieved. The product of CEA, known as Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER), expresses who much it would cost to gain/avoid one unit of the outcome (e.g. cost per life-year gained) by switching from one option to another. ICER is calculated by the formula: (Ct – Ca) / (Et – Ea) where Ct, Et, Ca and Ea are the costs and effects of the new technology respectively and the alternative. [16,19] A related product is Average Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ACER), in which the comparator is "do nothing" or "no treatment". ACER (and sometimes ICER) is occasionally, and erroneously, thought to mean the division of the cost of the technology by its benefit. Although this value may be considered to represent an intrinsic characteristic of the technology, is not used for decision making because it implies that the alternative the technology comes to replace has a cost and a benefit of 0, a highly unlikely possibility, even when the alternative is not treating. There may be circumstances where there is more than one outcome of clinical importance, but aggregating them is not feasible or desirable. In those cases, it is possible to calculate the ICER for each outcome (i.e. what is the cost to increase 6 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute outcome A, what is the cost to increase outcome B etc.). This is called CostConsequence Analysis (CCA). It should be noted that making decision based on CCA can be complicated if the ICERs of the outcomes are significantly different. In order to conduct CEA, the benefit of the options being compared should be expressed in the same units. Because of this, CEA is useful when comparing technologies in the same field to determine which will give the best value for money, but is less so when needing to prioritize technologies from different fields, because the outcome may not be comparable. Even survival, thought by many to be the ultimate endpoint in medicine, is not always appropriate, because many interventions are aimed at improving quality of life. d. Cost Utility Analysis (CUA) CUA is a subtype of CEA, where the outcome is measured in units known as Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). The concept behind QALYs is that the benefit of every medical technology can be said to be longer survival, improved health related quality of life (HRQoL) or both. Therefore, CUA addresses the short coming of classical CEA by making it possible to use the same unit of benefit for technologies from vastly different fields. [16,20,21] Because of its wide applicability, CUA is the most commonly used type of EE in healthcare. It should be noted that although CEA and CUA are two distinct types of EE, the two terms are often used interchangeably, and, in fact, many of the studies published under the heading of CEA are actually CUA. The use of QALYs is based on the concept that the benefit of every medical technology is increased life-expectancy, improved quality of life, or both. QALYs are the product of the time spent in a health state multiplied by a factor denoting the relative desirability of that health state. This factor, called utility, usually ranged from 0 to 1, where 0 is the value given to being dead and 1 represent perfect health (negative values may be used to represent health states that are worse than death, but their usage in CUA is still unclear). One QALY, therefore, is equivalent, but not necessarily equal, to one year of life in perfect health. It may also stand for living two years at a HRQoL that is half of that of full health, 5 years at 20% quality, etc. [22-24] 7 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute Selecting the type of EE depends on the context and purpose of the evaluation as well as the specific health condition and technologies compared. The specific type of EE selected reflects the type of decision it is meant to inform. Therefore, for a decision on which medication should be used for treating patients with a certain health condition, such as diabetes, CEA using glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1C) may be appropriate. For prioritizing medical technologies for different health conditions affecting different parameters, CUA, where all the effects are translated into QALYs, is considered best. Cost-effectiveness plane and decision making in CEA/CUA Understanding decision making using CEA and CUA can be simplified by conceptualizing the analysis as a two-dimensional place, where the X axis is the incremental effectiveness, and the Y axis- the incremental cost of the technology compared to the alternative. A graphic representation of this plane, called the CE plane, is presented in Figure ZZZ. Because the axes are incrementals, the alternative to which the technology is compared is placed at the crossing point (0,0). [16] The place has four quarters, representing the four possible combinations of incremental cost and effectiveness. The left upper quarter is the situation where the new technology is less effective (negative incremental effectiveness) and more costly (positive incremental cost) compared to the alternative. In such cases, the new technology is considered to be dominated (sometimes referred to as "strongly dominated") by the alternative and funding the new technology is clearly undesirable. On the other hand, if a technology is in the right lower quarter, it means that it is dominant over the alternative, i.e. offer better outcomes for less cost. In this case, the decision is also clear- such a technology should be funded, unless there are good extraneous reasons. The decision making dilemmas in CEA/CUA involves the two remaining quarters: technologies with positive benefits and positive costs and technologies with negative benefits and costs. Very few articles dealt with the question of when is a saving in costs worth the "price" of lower effectiveness and worse health outcomes, a ratio sometimes called "decremental cost effectiveness ratio", but since cases of such 8 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute technology are rare so far, the matter is more of a theoretical interest than a practical consideration [25] Most decision making focuses on technologies that are more effective but more costly than the alternative, with the ICER influencing the decision whether to fund the technology or not. Because the ICER is the ratio of the cost to benefit, it is obvious that the lower the ICER, the more cost-effective the technology is. From the standpoint of EE, funding those technologies that have the lowest ICER (as well as, obviously, dominant technologies) is the best way to achieve economically efficient allocation. Decision making based on ICER may be in two forms: the decreasing marginal utility approach and the threshold approach. Using the decreasing marginal utility approach, the first technology to be funded is the one with the lowest ICER, than the one with the second-lowest ICER etc, until the budget is exhausted. Obviously, this approach is relevant for countries with a fixed healthcare budget. With this approach, there is no pre-defined value denoting what is cost-effective, but rather, it is an ex post result of the ICERs of the technologies considered. Moreover, this value is also dependent on the size of the budget. The greater the available budget, the more technologies, with higher ICERs, may be funded, and the value defining cost-effectiveness will be higher. [26,27] The threshold approach sets a threshold value defining whether a technology is costeffective or not, and the decision is based on the relationship of the ICER to that threshold. Technologies with ICER below the threshold are likely to be funded, while those above it are not. The threshold may be formal and binding, or may serve as a general declaration of intent. The threshold approach is usually used when there is no set budget for funding health technologies- if, at a specific point, many technologies have ICERs below the threshold, there may be a need for considerable resources to fund all of them; on the other hand, if all the technologies are above the value, none will be funded. The threshold value may be different in different countries, reflecting cultural perception on the value of life and health as well as political and economical necessities. [29-30] 9 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute Economic Evaluations around the world There is a continuous growth in the literature regarding EE and in the number of articles reporting cost-effectiveness of medical technologies, with over 300 studies published annually in the last few years. [16,31] During the 1990's, there was a significant increase in the use of comparative EE, especially CEA and CUA, in relation to re-imbursement of pharmaceuticals, especially in Europe. This is related in part to the growing costs of new and advanced technologies but also a result of a coordinated effort by clinicians involved in Evidence-Based Medicine. [32,33] Australia was the first country to formally include cost-effectiveness in its health policy in 1993. The Guidelines for preparing submissions to the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee (PBAC), last updated in 2008, requires EE for all significant submissions. The preferred method of analysis of CUA, but all other types may be used if relevant to the technology. [34] Analysis of PBAC decisions between 1991 and 1996 showed a threshold of 42,000-76,000 Aus$ per life year. In a more recent study which analyzed 245 Australian EE, the median ICER was 20,165 Aus$ for fully funded technologies, 9,011 Aus$ for partially funded technologies and 20,850 Aus$ for technologies that were not funded. [16, 35-37] The United Kingdom is one of the leading countries in the worlds in EE. The vast majority of the health services in the UK are supplied by the National Health Services (NHS). In 1985, the British parliament made the first change in the healthcare system by creating the "black list". This list was a cost containment method and it included technologies that are not covered by the NHS because they may be replaced by other technologies with lower costs. In order to lead this process, the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) was established in 1999. This body is an independent health authority whose task is to provide guidance for maintaining and improving health and his recommendations focus on the question whether a medical technology is cost effective considering the resources available to the NHS. The Department of Health refers technologies that are considered to be of special interest to NICE for technology assessment, including EE. NICE considers CUA the most appropriate 11 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute form of EE, and the QALY is considered to be the most appropriate measure that reflects both mortality and quality of life effects. [38,39] NICE is one of the frontrunners of the threshold approach. In the UK, technologies with an ICER of less than 20,000-30,000 £/QALY are very likely to be covered, while those above it are not, although exceptions has been known to occur. In January 2009, because of a report published by the UK Ministry of State, NICE decided to adopt a new, and higher, threshold for "end of life drugs". The criteria for inclusion in this category are: a small population of patients, short life expectancy (<2 years), prolongation of survival (using the technology) by at least 3 months and lack of comparable funded alternative. [40,41] In the United States, economic evaluations are manly used in the private sector. The Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy has developed a standard format for submitting clinical and economic information, including EE. [42,43] Since its first edition, published in 2000, the AMCP format, or a format-like process, was adopted by over 50 health insurers/organizations, covering approximately 120 million individuals, adopted the use of EE. Medicare, on the other hand, has been largely resistant to formal inclusion of economic issues, especially cost-effectiveness, claiming coverage is based on necessity of the technology. [44] Many Americans (including policy makers) seem to view EE as a rationing method and a limit to both patients and providers/ insurers freedom of choice [45,46] 11 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute Economic evaluations in Israel The gap between the growing demand for health services and the limited resources, characterizing most healthcare systems in the western world, has not passed over Israel. The question of costs was always an integral part of the discussion of the public committee when updating the National List of Health Services (NLHS) but cost considerations were generally limited to Budget Impact analysis, in order to fit the technologies to the pre-defined annual budget allocated for updating the NLHS. As the use of EE in the world increased, some manufacturers began to include in the submissions of technologies references to the cost effectiveness of the technology, as additional information that manufacturers hoped will help increase the chances the technology will be funded. This use of EE, however, was informal- submission of cost effectiveness was voluntary, the evaluations were from different countries and using different methodologies, and no review or critical assessment of those evaluations was conducted. Although a retrospective analysis for the NLHS public committee's decision in 2006/2007 found a rough threshold of approximately 50,000 NIS per QALY, it appears that cost-effectiveness did not play a significant part in the decision process [47] In 2007, the Director General of the Israeli Ministry of Health, in the annual call for updating the NLHS, introduced Israeli-specific EE into the data included when submitting technologies. While this circular identified CUA as the preferred method, it was vague and did not cover other important details of the desired EE. [48] In 2009, the Ministry of Health published guidelines for EE, developed by the Infrastructure and Health Technologies Administration and the Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care. EE were to be conducted by the submitters, and reviewed and approved by a team comprised of experts from both agencies, before being presented to the NLHS public committee. EE was required only for technologies with annual cost of 100,000 NIS per patient or more, although EE of less costly technologies was also accepted. The choice of this threshold for submission 12 Management of Health Technologies, Israeli Center for Technology Assessment in Health Care, Gertner Institute was both a reflection of the sort of technologies where EE may be of greater importance to the decision makers and a concession to the limited personnel available in Israel, both to conduct and to review the EE. The pilot attempt to introduce the results of the EEs into the deliberations and decision making of the public committee in 2010-2011 was met with limited success. The results of the EEs were presented at a relatively late stage of the process, when most members already had a general idea which technologies they thought should be funded. Moreover, only a few of the technologies required had EE, and the quality of those varied greatly, making comparison and prioritization nearly impossible. 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