Scaling Revealed by Spatial CrossCorrelation Analysis of Aquatic Communities and Environmental Drivers Using R-EMAP Data Joel Trexler and Evelyn Gaiser South East Research Center and Department of Biological Sciences, Florida International University, Miami, FL USA CERP Trophic Hypothesis • Aquatic fauna are monitored because of their role linking environmental drivers controlled by management and wading birds • Annual or semi-annual life cycles yield real-time responses to management • Linkage of periphyton mats to prey populations is a key CERP hypothesis in the causal model Regional-scale environment Vegetation structure Landscape configuration Local-scale environment Frequency of drought Time since end of last drought Duration and severity of last drought event Periphyton standing stock and composition Dry season Prey concentration Prey population size High-quality food patches Food intake, foraging aggregation size, spatial and temporal nesting patterns Wading Bird breeding population size Large fish population size Wading bird characteristics Morphology Foraging Behavior Directional relationships Top avian carnivore Top reptilian carnivore Top fish carnivore Reciprocal relationships Nutrient regeneration Interm Omniv/Carniv Infauna Omniv/Carniv Herb/Detrit Infauna Herb/Detrit Refuge Disturbance/ Hydrology Basal Food (Qual + Quant) Nutrients CERP-MAP and REMAP Aquatic Fauna • CERP-MAP aquatic animals/periphyton for wet season 2005 – 149 sites with three throw-trap/periphyton samples each • REMAP for wet season 2005 – 54 sites with three throw-trap samples each • See Sargeant poster: #26 for path analysis CERP-MAP R-EMAP A Little Statistics Jargon with apologies to normal people • Spatial cross-correlation may be used to evaluate compromises in inter-dataset combinations: – Semivariograms illustrate the correlation of a single PM between sites at incrementally increasing distances (scaling) – Cross-correlations illustrate the correlation between two different PMs (or a PM and a ‘driver’ variable) at sites with incrementally increasing distance Hypothetical Result of Spatial Cross correlation between a Performance Measure and Environmental Driver Killifish density and Periphyton tissue TP Sill: Relationship weakens between these distances 0.4 No Sill: Relationship weakens between these distances R2 0.3 Algal species composition and Periphyton tissue TP 0.2 0.1 0 5 10 20 40 80 160 0 5 Distance (km) 10 20 40 80 160 Hypothetical Result of Spatial Cross correlation #2 Anisotropy (directional bias) is possible in flow-linked parameters Periphyton TP with Water TP measured perpendicular to flow Periphyton TP with Water TP measured upstream 0.4 Predicted if periphyton is scouring TP from water as it flows downstream Typical relationship that weakens with distance R2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 5 10 20 40 80 160 0 5 Distance (km) 10 20 40 80 160 Edible Algae (%) • Measured as the relative abundance of green algae and diatoms from mat samples • Though some bluegreens are palatable, this split is consistent with many literature sources • Experimental studies from the Everglades support this designation (Geddes and Trexler 2004, Chick et al. 2008, and others) Edible Algae (%) = Periphyton Tissue TP (ug/g) 90 Edible Algae (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 3 4 5 6 Log (Periphyton Tissue Phosphorus) ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 7 Edible Algae (%) = Conductivity (umhos/cm) 90 Edible Algae (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Conductivity ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 1200 1400 1600 • Initial model = TP + hydroperiod + DSD + stem density 50 Edible Algae (%) Edible Algae (%) 60 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 Log (Periphyton Tissue Phosphorus) • Final model: 3 - Tissue TP + Hydroperiod - R2 = 0.327 • Partial Regression plots Edible Algae (%) 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -300 -200 -100 0 Log (Hydroperiod) 100 200 Model Fit (R2) Edible Algae (%) = Tissue TP + Hydroperiod (days) 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Distance Class (kms) * Isotropic tests, only REMAP only Edible Algae Model Fit (R2) • Final model TP + hydroperiod • R2 = 0.4899 • Low sample sizes at shorter distance classes • Results suspect N = 15 0.44 0.42 0.40 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.30 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 N = 27 N=6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Distance Class 70 80 90 Herbivores (#/m2) • Measured as the sum of all snails, grass shrimp, herbivorous fish (sailfin mollies and flagfish) and tadpoles • Isotope values grass shrimp suggest animal prey is consumed, but algae is seen in gut • Isotope values for other consumers in list support herbivory or detritivory (Williams and Trexler, Loftus et al.) Herbivore Density (log #/m 2) Herbivores = Edible Algae (%) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 10 20 ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 30 40 50 60 Edible Algae (%) 70 80 90 Herbivores = Conductivity (umhos/cm) Herbivore Density (log #/m2) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Conductivity ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 1200 1400 1600 • Initial model = Edible algae + hydroperiod + DSD + stem density • Final model: - Edible algae + stem density - R2 = 0.147 • Partial Regression plots 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Edible Algae (%) 3 Log Herbivore Density (#/m^2) Herbivore Density (#/m2) Log Herbivore Density (#/m^2) 4 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Log Emergent Stem Density (#/m2) 3 Model Fit (R2) Herbivore Density (#/m2) = Edible algae (%) + Stem density (#/m2) Distance Class (kms) Omnivorous Fishes (#/m2) • Measured as the sum of all fishes except herbivores (sailfin mollies and flagfish) • Isotope values support this designation • Size limited by throw-trap efficiency to over several mm and under 8 cm • Crayfish are treated separately. Isotope values for both species support detritivory/omnivory (Loftus et al.) Omnivore Density (log #/m^2) Omnivorous Fish Density = Edible Algae (%) 5 4 3 2 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Edible Algae (%) ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 70 80 90 Omnivore Density (log #/m^2) Omnivorous Fish Density = Conductivity (umhos/cm) 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 200 ENP LOX WCA2A WCA3A 400 600 800 1000 Conductivity 1200 1400 1600 • Initial model = Edible algae + hydroperiod + DSD + stem density • Final model: - Edible algae + stem density - R2 = 0.172 • Partial Regression plots 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Edible Algae (%) 3 Log Omnivore Density (#/m^2) Omnivorous Fish Density (#/m2) Log Omnivore Density (#/m^2) 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Log Emergent Stem Density (#/m^2) 3 Omnivore Density (#/m2) = Edible algae (%) + Stem density (#/m2) 0.32 Model Fit (R2) 0.28 0.24 0.20 0.16 0.12 0.08 0.04 0.00 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Distance Class 70 80 90 Summary of Spatial Models Parameter Final Model R 2 Max R Distance class (kms) Edible algae TP + Hydroperiod 0.3 0.351 10 to 15 Herbivores Edible algae + stem density 0.1 0.320 1 to 10 Omnivorous fish Edible algae + stem density 0.2 0.296 10 to 15 Everglades crayfish Edible algae 0.1 0.266 1 to 10 Slough crayfish Edible algae 0.1 0.476 10 to 15 2 Conclusions • We noted a robust relationship between periphyton mat algal composition relevant to edibility and tissue phosphorus and hydroperiod (more phosphorus and longer hydroperiods yielded more edible algae) • Density of aquatic herbivores and omnivorous fishes in the size class sampled were positively correlated with algal edibility and density of emergent vascular plants Conclusions • Periphyton – TP/hydroperiod relationship was best revealed from syntopic measurements • Consumer density – periphyton/stem-density relationships were strongest when measured at 1 to 10 km scale • Periphyton and consumer difference may be tied to effects of consumer movements on scaling Acknowledgements • South Florida Water Management District, US Environmental Protection Agency, and Everglades National Park have funded CERP-MAP and REMAP • Pete Kalla, Dan Scheidt, Jennifer Richards, Brooke Sargeant, Charles Goss
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