J.P. Morgan Asset Management JPMorgan European Investment Trust (Income) 15th May 2014 Alexander Fitzalan Howard, Portfolio Manager, European Equity Group The value of investments and the income from them is not guaranteed and you may not get back the full amount invested. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Fund overview: JPMorgan European Investment Trust – Income Shares Management team Trust highlights Michael Alexander Stephen MacklowBarakos Fitzalan Howard Smith CIO & Portfolio Portfolio Manager Portfolio Manager Manager Part of a team of 44 European equity investment professionals Objective: growing income together with long term capital growth Conversion between share classes (income & growth): – 15th March – 15th September Yield*: 3.8% Dividend payments: – April & October Discount: Current 5.0% Gearing: – Range: 90-120% – Actual: 111% Ongoing charges apply** Portfolio Characteristics Benchmark: Fund size Current number of holdings: Typical tracking error: MSCI Europe ex UK £96.2m 197 4% p.a. There is no guarantee that the above targets will be achieved. Yield, gearing and discount as at 7 May 2014, all other fund data as at 31 March 2014. * Yield is Trust Income share class yield (net). ** For further information, including information on Trust fees and charges please visit our website at www.jpmeuropean.co.uk. J.P. Morgan Asset Management Marketing Limited accepts no legal responsibility or liability for any matter or opinion expressed in this material. 2 Why should high yielding stocks be considered? Decomposition of nominal equity returns, 1970 – 2013 Dividend Yield Performance of high yield versus the market since 1988 Return 20% Dividend growth 100% High Yield 80% Market 15% 60% 10% 40% 20% 5% 0% Dividend Yield UK 4.2 Dividend growth 6.9 Change of 0.1 Valuation Total return (p.a.) 11.4 US 3.1 France 3.5 Germany 2.8 Japan 1.6 5.4 6.4 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.0 0.1 1.8 10.1 10.1 8.0 6.3 0% -5% Global Source: Société Générale Cross Asset Research team. The chart shows what percentage of nominal returns, in the broad country market, come from the change in valuation, dividend growth and dividend yield, as at December 2013. Yields are not guaranteed and may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to the future. US Europe ex UK UK Japan Asia ex Japan Source: Société Générale Cross Asset Management. High yield is defined as the highest yielding 20% of the market. Market is based on FT World Universe, as at December 2013. Yields are not guaranteed and may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to the future. The value of investments and the income from them is not guaranteed and you may not get back the full amount invested. … dividend yields drive equity returns 3 Returns to a Dividend strategy Compound return for dividend yield stocks* Returns % p.a. Highest Lowest Quintiles … excess returns from dividend investing Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management; figures are for pan-Europe. Universe is the Citigroup Broad Market Index Europe. Data from January 1990 to December 2013. Calculations are based on 12 month returns. *Returns based on dividend yield ratio. Past performance is not a guide to the future. 4 European equity valuations are compelling Current yields versus 10 year average Yields across asset classes (%) Europe Equity Gov Bonds Yields across equities (%) Money markets Source: Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters Datastream. Left hand chart shows yields across asset classes. Right hand chart shows yields for MSCI indices in each region, as at 31 March 2014. Past performance is not a guide to the future. Yields are not guaranteed and may fluctuate. 5 European equities are attractively valued and high yielding stocks trade at a discount to the broad market Cyclically adjusted dividend yield (Shiller) European equities – median price to earnings 4.5% P/E ratio (X) 4.0% Shiller D/Y Europe Average + 2 STDEV 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% - 2 STDEV 0.5% 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 Source: Deutsche Bank AG/London, IBES. Information based on the median forward price to earnings. High Dividend Yield is defined as stocks yielding more than 4%. As at 31 March 2014. Source: UBS, Data as at 7 April 2014. Grey lines represent average. Dotted line represents +/- 2 standard deviations from time series average. 6 Dividends have historically been less volatile than earnings Historic EPS and DPS movements for MSCI Europe ex financials since 1973 EPS: -9% DPS: -8% EPS: -45% DPS: -7% EPS: -34% DPS: -3% EPS: -42% DPS: -9% EPS: -42% DPS: -12% EPS: -39% DPS: -11% … dividends have historically fallen just 9% on average in recessions vs. earnings down 41% Source: Morgan Stanley. Data as at 31 December 2013. DPS = dividend per share, EPS = earnings per share. Past performance is not a guide to the future. 7 Dividends are supported by corporate financial strength European net debt/equity % of companies with net cash on their balance sheet Source: UBS, Based on UBS European Universe ex-Financials. Data as at 31 March 2014. Past performance is not a guide to the future. There is no guarantee that forecasts will come to pass. Source: MSCI, Worldscope, IBES, Morgan Stanley Research. Data ex-Financials. Data as at 31 March 2014. Past performance is not a guide to the future. 8 Disciplined approach to dividend investing Stock universe (1200 stocks) Don’t like it, don’t own it All stocks given equally weighted positive active positions Large number of stocks Industry positions max. +10% vs. benchmark Monthly program trades Identify highest yielding stocks Confirm sustainability of yield and momentum characteristics Dividend Fund … selecting high yielding stocks that are fundamentally sound 9 Identifying yield opportunities and avoiding yield traps 16% Banco Santander – Dividend yield 8.3% 14% STOCK NOT HELD – we have concerns over sustainability of dividend Dividend yield 12% 10% Daimler – Dividend yield 3.7% STOCK HELD – Attractive dividend yield, which we view as safe and sustainable 8% 6% Amadeus – Dividend yield 2.0% 4% Potential holdings 2% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Insufficient yield 50% 60% 70% STOCK NOT HELD – the dividend yield is not sufficient to be considered for inclusion in the portfolio 80% 90% 100% Proportion of stocks in the pan European investment universe (c.1800 stocks in universe) ...we analyse our universe to systematically avoid low yielding stocks Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet. Dividend yield is an average of historic and forward yields. As at 30 April 2014, the cut-off point would be c.3.0% historic and c.3.5% forward. The opinions and views expressed here are those held by the author at the time of publication, which are subject to change and not to be taken or construed as investment advice. The companies above are shown for illustrative purposes only. The inclusion of the stocks/companies should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. 10 JPM European Investment Trust – Income Shares - portfolio Key style characteristics Low Portfolio Benchmark Sustainability / momentum 1200 stocks Dividend yield (historic) 4.2% 3.1% Dividend yield (forward) 4.6% 3.5% Dividend cover 1.6x 1.7x JETI 150 - 300 stocks High High Low Income Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet, as at 6 May 2014. Abbreviations used: dividend yield (forward) = 12 month forward yield based on forecast dividends over next 4 consecutive quarters, which are not guaranteed. Dividend yield (historic) = 12 month historic yield based on trailing 4 quarters, dividend cover = dividend cover calculated using earnings. Benchmark is MSCI Europe ex UK Index. 11 The fund consistently maintains a superior yield to the index 10% 100% Portfolio Yield Premium (RHS) 90% JPMorgan European Investment Trust dividend yield (LHS) Trailing Dividend Yield (%) 8% 80% 7% 70% 6% 60% 5% 50% 4% 40% 3% 30% 2% 20% 1% 10% 0% Dividend Yield Spread (%) 9% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 … a significant yield premium to the market Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet, based on trailing gross portfolio dividend yield. Data from 31 December 2007– 31 March 2014, for illustrative purposes only. The effect of charges will reduce the yields shown. Past performance is not a guide to the future. 12 Current positioning and yield JPMorgan European Investment Trust – Income - as at 30 April 2014 Top / bottom active sector positions Forward Dividend Yield Index Fund Holdings (DY Fwd) 5.1% 5.1% Swiss Re (6.5%) 4.6% 4.8% Fortum (6.4%) 3.4% 4.6% Bolsas y Mercados (5.5%) 3.1% 4.4% Bpost (7.0%) 3.7% 4.6% RTL (6.5%) 2.3% -- -- 3.1% 3.7% Daimler (3.7%) 2.1% 2.3% Pandora (2.3%) 2.8% 3.6% Tikkurila (4.7%) 4.2% 4.8% Swedbank (6.6%) Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, FactSet. Allocations are made at the managers discretion and can be changed without notice. The companies above are shown for illustrative purposes only. The inclusion of the stocks/companies should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell. The yields shown above are not guaranteed and may fluctuate. 13 JPMorgan European Investment Trust - Income Shares Performance to 31 March 2014 – 12 month rolling returns JPMorgan European Investment Trust – Income 5 year performance 31/3/13 – 31/3/14 31/3/12 – 31/3/13 31/3/11 – 31/3/12 31/3/10 – 31/3/11 31/3/09 – 31/3/10 Share price return +28.8 +21.2 -6.3 +7.7 +64.2 Net Asset Value return +26.6 +19.1 -7.4 +7.6 +60.0 MSCI Europe ex UK Net Index +17.0 +16.0 -7.2 +6.6 +47.5 (%) …a strong five year track record Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Returns as at 31 March 2014, in GBP. NAV returns are net of fees and applicable charges, income reinvested. Benchmark indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Benchmark prior to 27 March 2013 was MSCI Europe Net Index (Total Return). Some of the manager’s annual charge for the Fund is taken from capital and income, which may reduce the yield and potential for capital growth. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. 14 JPMorgan European Investment Trust - Income Shares Performance to 31 March 2014 Annualised excess returns versus MSCI Europe ex UK Index Fund NAV (net of fees) 26.6 11.3 18.7 Share Price (mid) 28.8 13.5 20.9 Benchmark 17.0 8.0 14.6 Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Returns as at 31 March 2014, in GBP. NAV returns are net of fees and applicable charges, income reinvested, relative returns calculated geometrically. Benchmark indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Benchmark prior to 27 March 2013 was MSCI Europe Net Index (Total Return). Some of the manager’s annual charge for the Fund is taken from capital and income, which may reduce the yield and potential for capital growth. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. 15 Fund overview: JPMorgan European Investment Trust – Income Shares Management team Trust highlights Michael Alexander Stephen MacklowBarakos Fitzalan Howard Smith CIO & Portfolio Portfolio Manager Portfolio Manager Manager Part of a team of 44 European equity investment professionals Objective: growing income together with long term capital growth Conversion between share classes (income & growth): – 15th March – 15th September Yield*: 3.8% Dividend payments: – April & October Discount: Current 5.0% Gearing: – Range: 90-120% – Actual: 111% Ongoing charges apply** Portfolio Characteristics Benchmark: Fund size Current number of holdings: Typical tracking error: MSCI Europe ex UK £96.2m 197 4% p.a. There is no guarantee that the above targets will be achieved. Yield, gearing and discount as at 7 May 2014, all other fund data as at 31 March 2014. * Yield is Trust Income share class yield (net). ** For further information, including information on Trust fees and charges please visit our website at www.jpmeuropean.co.uk. J.P. Morgan Asset Management Marketing Limited accepts no legal responsibility or liability for any matter or opinion expressed in this material. 16 J.P. Morgan Asset Management Fund Specific Risks The value of investments and the income from them can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of the product(s) or underlying overseas investments. Both past performance and yield may not be a reliable guide to future performance. There is no guarantee that any forecast made will come to pass. Furthermore, whilst it is the intention to achieve the investment objective of the investment product(s), there can be no assurance that those objectives will be met. Please also be aware that investment trusts may use gearing techniques (borrowing) which will exaggerate market movements both down and up which could mean sudden and large falls in market value. Some or all of the Manager’s annual charge for the Fund is taken from capital and/or income. Whilst this increases yield, it reduces the potential for capital growth. Important Information This promotional presentation is for information and educational purposes only and as such the views contained herein are not to be taken as an advice or recommendation to buy or sell any investment or interest thereto. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. The result of such research are being made available as additional information and do not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, statements of financial market trends or investment techniques and strategies expressed are unless otherwise stated, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s own at the date of this document. They are considered to be reliable at the time of writing, may not necessarily be all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. They may be subject to change without reference or notification to you. J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand name for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase & Co and its affiliates worldwide. You should note that if you contact J.P. Morgan Asset Management by telephone those lines may be recorded and monitored for legal, security and training purposes. You should also take note that information and data from communications with you will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with the EMEA Privacy Policy which can be accessed through the following website http://www.jpmorgan.com/pages/privacy. Investment is subject to documentation (Investment Trust Profiles, Key Features and Terms and Conditions), copies of which can be obtained free of charge from JPMorgan Asset Management Marketing Limited. Issued by JPMorgan Asset Management Marketing Limited which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England No: 288553. Registered address: 25 Bank St, Canary Wharf, London E14 5JP. 17
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