GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 31, L23303, doi:10.1029/2004GL021200, 2004 The interannual variability of the North Atlantic Ocean revealed by combined data from TOPEX//Poseidon and Jason altimetric measurements Lee-Lueng Fu Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USA Received 4 August 2004; accepted 19 October 2004; published 8 December 2004. [1] A decade-long record of sea surface height from combined altimeter data taken by the TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason satellites was analyzed for studying the interannual variability of the North Atlantic Ocean. On time scales of 5– 6 years, variations of sea surface height have maximum amplitudes in three areas: the subpolar gyre, the Gulf Stream gyre (the Gulf Stream and its recirculation), and the subtropical region. The variation of the subpolar gyre is 180 degrees out of phase with that of the Gulf Stream gyre at its eastern end. The variation of the Gulf Stream gyre at its western end is connected to that of the subtropical region, exhibiting phase propagation from the subtropics all the way to the eastern end of the Gulf Stream gyre. The patterns of phase change suggest possible roles of Rossby waves in the dynamics of the basin-wide INDEX TERMS: 4556 Oceanography: Physical: Sea variability. [3] In a recent study, Häkkinen and Rhines [2004] reported a decadal trend of slowing down of the subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic. Their findings were primarily based on the altimetry data from the TOPEX/Poseidon satellite. From analysis of empirical orthogonal functions (EOF), they identified a leading EOF characterized by a basin-wide pattern of rising sea level in the subpolar gyre and falling sea level in the Gulf Stream gyre (defined here as the Gulf Stream and its recirculation system). Interesting interannual variability is also revealed in the EOF. This leading mode accounts for only 11% of the total variance, however. level variations; 4215 Oceanography: General: Climate and interannual variability (3309); 4576 Oceanography: Physical: Western boundary currents. Citation: Fu, L.-L. (2004), The interannual variability of the North Atlantic Ocean revealed by combined data from TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason altimetric measurements, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L23303, doi:10.1029/ 2004GL021200. 1. Introduction [2] The circulation of the North Atlantic Ocean is of critical importance to long-term climate change because of the perceived roles played by the formation of the North Atlantic deep water [Broecker, 1997]. It is therefore important to monitor and understand the variability of the North Atlantic. However, basin-wide observations of the variability of the North Atlantic are limited in both spatial and temporal coverage. Our understanding of the variability of the North Atlantic circulation has largely been based on sparsely located in-situ data and numerical models [e.g., Joyce and Robbins,1996; Ezer et al., 1995]. Some important basin-wide changes have been discovered from sea surface temperature (SST) observations [Hansen and Bezdek, 1996; Sutton and Allen, 1997], but it is difficult to determine the underlying dynamic processes from SST. The advent of satellite altimetry observations of sea surface height (SSH) has offered a new opportunity to study the circulation and dynamics of oceanic variability. For example, Häkkinen [2001] used altimetry data and numerical models to study the interannual variability of the circulation and meridional heat transport of the North Atlantic Ocean. Copyright 2004 by the American Geophysical Union. 0094-8276/04/2004GL021200$05.00 Figure 1. SSH time series at (a) 63°N, 330°E, (b) 43°N, 330°E, and (c) 20°N, 330°E. The thick solid lines show the low-passed SSH with variance at periods shorter than 18 months removed. L23303 1 of 4 L23303 FU: NORTH ATLANTIC VARIABILITY L23303 Figure 2. The spatial pattern of the leading CEOF: (a) amplitude in arbitrary units; (b) phase in degrees. The asterisks in (b) are the locations where the phase is plotted in Figure 3b. [4] The objective of the present study is the interannual variability of the North Atlantic derived from analyzing a combined record of 11.7 years’ worth of SSH observations from TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason satellites. The technique of complex-valued empirical orthogonal function (CEOF) [see Horel, 1984] was used to extract coherent large-scale variability from the data record. The advantage of CEOF over regular EOF is the ability to take into account continuous phase variations in the separation of modal structures. Regular EOF can only account for 180 degree phase difference in a mode. The resulting leading CEOF turns out to be more energetic and informative than the regular EOF. The data and analysis methods are described in the next section followed by discussions of the results. 2. Data Analysis and Descriptions [5] Altimetric observations of SSH from the TOPEX/ Poseidon (T/P) satellite and its successor Jason satellite were used in the study. The T/P data cover a period from October 2, 1992 – August 10, 2002. The Jason data became available along the same ground tracks of T/P after January, 2002. A relative bias of 13 cm between the two altimeter measurements was established from analysis of the overlapping data records [Vincent et al., 2003]. After subtracting the relative bias from the Jason data, the two data records were combined to create global SSH time series with a record length of 11.7 years. [6] Both T/P and Jason altimeters measure the height of sea surface above a reference ellipsoid every 6.2 km along repeat ground tracks every 10 days. The longitudinal distance between ground tracks is approximately 200 km at mid latitudes. The procedures of data processing are described by Fu [2003] with the standard corrections applied, including the tidal and inverted barometer corrections. The mean sea surface model supplied in the Geophysical Data Records was first removed from the SSH observations and the residuals were interpolated to a set of normal points (6.2 km apart) for each repeat track. A record time mean from the combined T/P and Jason time series was removed from the residual SSH at each normal point. The resultant SSH ‘‘anomalies’’ were used for the study. [7] In order to focus on the large spatial scales of the interannual variability, we need to filter out the mesoscale variability. A Gaussian-weighted smoothing scheme was applied to the data to create smoothed SSH maps on uniform 1° 1° grids every 3 days. The smoothing scale was chosen to create a cutoff wavelength of 500 km. The transfer function of the smoothing was discussed by Fu [2003]. The mesoscale variability with wavelengths shorter than 500 km was essentially removed by the smoothing. Figure 3. (a) SSH time series of the leading CEOF at three locations: Solid line (320°E 43°N), dashed-dotted (293°E, 35°N), and thin dashed (330° E, 63° N). (b) The phase of the leading CEOF at the locations marked by asterisks along the line shown in Figure 2b. The abscissa corresponds to numbered locations beginning at the eastern tropical region. 2 of 4 L23303 FU: NORTH ATLANTIC VARIABILITY L23303 Figure 4. Maps of SSH (in cm) from the leading CEOF sampled every 15 months beginning in August, 1993 as shown in (a) and ending in October, 1999 as shown in (f). [8] Shown in Figure 1 are three sample SSH records from the subpolar region (at 63°N), the North Atlantic Current region (at 43°N), and the subtropical region (at 20°N) along the longitude of 330°E in the eastern North Atlantic. The annual cycles and other high-frequency variations are quite prominent. To focus on the interannual time scales, variability with periods shorter than 18 months was removed from the data. The low-frequency residuals are also shown in Figure 1. These signals reveal some similarity between the subpolar region and the subtropical region, but exhibit quite different characteristics in the North Atlantic Current region. [9] To illustrate the basin-wide spatial and temporal structures of the low-frequency variability, the technique of CEOF was applied to the low-passed SSH data. Shown in Figure 2 is the spatial variability of the leading mode, which accounts for 34% of the variance. A regular EOF analysis was also performed to the data. The resulting leading mode accounts for only 17% of the variance. The significant difference in the efficiency of the two approaches indicates the importance of the phase information of the variability captured by the CEOF mode to be discussed below. [10] The spatial pattern of the amplitude of the leading mode (Figure 2a) is characterized by three branches located in the subtropics at 15°N –25°N, the Gulf Stream gyre at 35°N–45°N, and the subpolar gyre at 55°N – 65°N. The maximum amplitude is located in the Gulf Stream gyre with a peak-to-trough variation of 15 cm (Figure 3a, solid line). The temporal variability of the mode reveals a time scale of 5 – 6 years. The time series exhibits the completion of 2 cycles of the mode within the 11.7 year record. [11 ] The spatial pattern of the phase of the mode (Figure 2b) reveals that the Gulf Stream gyre is generally 180 degrees out of phase with the other two branches. This is basically consistent with the characteristics of the leading regular EOF reported in Häkkinen and Rhines [2004]. However, the CEOF is able to delineate the details of the phase relations among different regions of the mode and thus extract a more complete modal structure of the variability. A notable feature is the progression of phase changes along the line marked with asterisks in Figure 2b. This line goes through the local amplitude maxima in the three branches of the mode. In fact, the subtropical branch is somewhat connected to the Gulf Stream branch at the western end of the basin. There is a gradual progression of phase in this connecting region. A plot of the phase along the line is shown in Figure 3b. The eastern end of the Gulf Stream gyre (also called the North Atlantic Current) is in opposite phase with the subpolar gyre with a sharp gradient of phase between them. This 180 degree phase difference is illustrated in Figure 3a (solid line vs thin dashed line). There is a region of more gradual change of phase between the subtropical branch and the Gulf Stream gyre at the western end of the basin. [12] Displayed in Figure 4 are six SSH maps from the leading CEOF sampled every 15 months to illustrate a cycle of the interannual variability. The phase propagation from the subtropics to the Gulf Stream gyre can be visualized, especially in Figures 4b and 4e. Note the onset of phase propagation from southwest to northeast in the Gulf Stream gyre following the phase change in the subtropical region. The phase shift between the west end and the east end of the Gulf Stream gyre is also illustrated in Figure 3a (solid line vs dashed-dotted line). 3. Discussions [13] The pattern of the leading CEOF (Figure 2a) is quite similar to that of the North Atlantic SST ‘‘tripole’’ [Marshall et al., 2001], which is characterized by three distinct regional maxima of low-frequency SST variability in the subpolar gyre, the Gulf Stream gyre, and the Canary Basin of the subtropical eastern North Atlantic. It is generally believed that the SST tripole is the ocean’s response to the forcing of the atmosphere-ocean heat flux [Cayan, 1992]. The frequency spectrum of the SST tripole does reveal enhanced variance at periods of 5 – 6 years [Marshall et al., 2001]. It is therefore plausible that the SSH variability is also the ocean’s response to the heat flux forcing, as suggested by the modeling study of Häkkinen [2001]. The SSH variability has revealed the ocean’s dynamic response to the atmospheric forcing. 3 of 4 L23303 FU: NORTH ATLANTIC VARIABILITY [14] The spatial variability of the phase of the interannual SSH variability has provided new information on the connection between the Gulf Stream gyre and the subtropical region, where the SSH changes lead those in the Gulf Stream region. A recent modeling study by Köhl [2004] indicates that the meridional overturning circulation at 30°N in the Atlantic Ocean is sensitive to changes in the temperature and salinity of the Canary Basin of the eastern subtropical North Atlantic. This sensitivity is achieved through Rossby waves of advective type similar to those operating in the subtropical Pacific described by Galanti and Tziperman [2003]. These Rossby waves, amplified through the baroclinic instability of the Atlantic North Equatorial Current [Keffer, 1983], transmit signals across the basin to affect the Gulf Stream and thus the overturning circulation across 30°N. This underlying dynamic process is indication that the SSH variability is not just a steric response to the heat flux forcing, but also involves a dynamic response which presumably plays a role in affecting the atmosphere-ocean heat flux [Czaja et al., 2003]. [15] Acknowledgments. The research presented in the paper was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under contract with the National Aeronautic and Space Administration. Support from the TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Projects is acknowledged. References Broecker, W. S. 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