The 4th Northeast Asia Energy Security Forum 2016 Seoul, December 15 2016 Renewable potential in Gobi desert, Gobitec and Asian Super Grid Initiative Yeren-Ulzii Batmunkh, Senior Officer, Ministry of Energy, Mongolia Contents Renewable Potential in Gobi Desert Wind, Solar Gobitec Initiative Idea, Concept Towards Asian Super Grid Rationale, What is next Concluding Lessons to be learned, recommendations www.energy.gov.mn www.energy.gov.mn www.energy.gov.mn Solar – Solar: 270-300 sunny days in a year, 4.3-4.7 kWh/meter or higher per day Estimated kWh/ m2/day 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.5 5.4 Total Applicable land (km2) 5,269.5 3,924.7 4,210.6 4,514.8 5,541.9 23,461.5 Total Power: GWh/yea 654,000 544,000 630,000 742,000 1,092,000 4,774,000 www.energy.gov.mn •Source: US National Renewable Energy Laboratory, National Renewable Energy Center of Mon Renewable Potential in Gobi Desert National Renewable Energy Laboratory and the US Department of Energy estimates the overall potential for installed renewable energy by 2,600 TWh, only for the Mongolian part of the Gobi desert. This divides into 1,100 TWh wind energy potential and 1,500 TWh solar power potential per year. Therefore after an estimation, 3% of the Gobi area would be enough, which includes around 1,3 Mio. km² to produce more than 21.400 TWh of energy in one year. Calculations existed, that this energy production per year would have been enough to serve the energy demand of the whole world in the year 2008. www.energy.gov.mn 7 The DESERTEC Concept (for EU-MENA) www.energy.gov.mn The SEATEC Concept (for Northern Europe) European offshore super grid: Transmitting electricity through HVDC interconnectors within Northern Europe Source: European Wind Energy Association (EWEA) 2009 / 2010 www.energy.gov.mn GOBITEC and Asian Super Grid INITIATIVE (NORTHEAST ASIA) •9 •9 www.energy.gov.mn •Resource: “GOBITEC AND ASIAN SUPER GRID FOR RENEWABLE ENERGIES IN NORTHEAST ASIA” Report 2014 •Ази, номхон далайн бүсийн орнуудын хүрээнд эрчим хүчний нэгдсэн систем байгуулах санаачлагууд COAL OIL NATURAL GAS ELECTRICITY Energy Demand Outlook in NEA 406 RUSSIA 310 257 Currently, NEAsian region use 1/5 and countries use 1/4 of world energy supply 506 159 126 103 69 2015 2030 9 3 1 0 2015 1 3 0 2 2035 MONGOLIA 2240 1708 66 CHINA 45 2010 DPRKOREA 787 754 552 500 67 94 76 43 40 93 39 400 111 164 2015 185 49 2015 2035 101 86 129 152 129 92 KOREA 2035 •10 2015 JAPAN 2035 •Unit: Mtoe •Source: ADB 2013 www.energy.gov.mn Road to Very Large Scale PV MW-scale PV system 100MW PV system : already ‘proven’ GW-scale PV plant : within a decade! : now realizing! GW-scale to ‘TW electricity’ Src: 'Potential of Very Large Scale PV Systems', Workshop on Super Grid in North-East Asia, Busan, Korea, 28 March 2013 www.energy.gov.mn HVDC projects in Worldwide HVDC technology is not new, there has been realized many projects Hällsjön Nelson River 2 FennoSkan 1&2 Hagfors Highgate Estlink Troll CU-project Châteauguay Vancouver Island Pole 1 Skagerrak 1-3 Gotland 1-3 Outaouais Valhall Gotland Light QuebecNew England NorNed SwePol Konti-Skan Baltic Cable Tjæ reborg Kontek BorWin1 Hülünbeir- Liaoning EWIP English Channel Lingbao II Extension Three Gorges-Changzhou Dürnrohr Sardinia-Italy Italy-Greece Three Gorges-Shanghai Rapid City Sapei Square Butte Cross Sound Gezhouba-Shanghai Eagle Pass Xiangjiaba-Shanghai Pacific Intertie Pacific Intertie Upgrading Sharyland ChaPad Vizag II Pacific Intertie Expansion Rio Madeira Intermountain Inga-Shaba IPP Upgrade Itaipu Rihand-Delhi Sakuma Three Gorges-Guandong Leyte-Luzon Broken Hill Vindhyachal Caprivi Link New Zealand 1&2 Apollo Upgrade Blackwater Cahora Bassa Brazil-Argentina Interconnection I&II Source: Navigant Research, 2014 Directlink www.energy.gov.mn Murraylink HVDC projects in China Humeng – Shandong (The year means project in operation) 800kV, 6400 MW, 2015 Humeng - Tianjing Irkutsk (Russia) - Beijing 800kV, 6400 MW, 2016 800kV, 6400 MW, 2015 Ningxia - Tianjing Russia 3000 MW, 2010 Hami – C. China 800kV, 6400 MW, 2018 Xianjiaba – Shanghai 800kV, 6400 MW, 2011 NEPG Heilongjiang NW-Sichuan 3000 MW, 2011 Xinjiang Inner Mongolia NCPG Gansu BtB Northeast-North (Gaoling) Hebei NWPG Xiluodu - Hunan 800kV, 6400 MW, 2014 Jinsha River II – East China Qinghai Xizang Shanxi Ningxia Shaanxi Sichuan & Chongqing 1500 MW, 2008 Shandong North Shaanxi-Shandong 3000 MW, 2011 Jiangsu Henan Anhui BtB Shandong - East ECPG CCPG Shanghai 1200 MW, 2011 Hubei BtB North - Central Zhejiang 1000 MW, 2012 800kV, 6400 MW, 2012 Jiangxi Hunan Jinsha River II – East China Fujian SCPG Guangxi Yunnan Jinsha River II - Fujian 800kV, 6400 MW, 2018 Nuozhadu-Guangdong Gezhouba-Shanghai Expansion 3000 MW, 2011 Taiwan Guizhou 800kV, 6400 MW, 2019 800kV, 5000-6000 MW, 2015 Hulunbeir (Inner Mongolia) - Shenyang 3000 MW, 2010 Liaoning Beijing Tianjin FarEast (Russia) – NE China 3000 MW, 2010 Humeng - Liaoning 800kV, 6400 MW, 2018 Jilin (Baoji – Deyang) Xiluodu - Hanzhou 800kV, 6400 MW, 2015 800kV, 6400 MW, 2016 Jingping – East China BtB China-Russia (HeiHe) 750 MW, 2008 Jinghong-Thailand Hainan 3000MW, 2013 Lingbao BtB Expansion 750 MW, 2009 Goupitan - Guangdong 3000 MW, 2016 Yunnan - Guangdong Guangdong 800kV, 5000 MW, 2009 Bangkok •China has accumulated huge experience for constructing the long distance HVDC lines Source: Navigant Research, 2014 www.energy.gov.mn GOBITEC INITIATIVE AND (NORTHEAST) ASIAN SUPERGRIG The main goal of the Gobitec initiative and (Northeast) Asian Supergrid is: - To build sustainable energy infrastructure based on renewable energy sources, wherein electricity produced from the vast potential of renewable energy in Gobi desert and Siberia would be transmitted through HVDC Supergrid to all countries of the Northeast Asia. www.energy.gov.mn GOBITEC INITIATIVE AND (NORTHEAST) ASIAN SUPERGRIG First study published in 2014; partners: • ECS (Brussels) • KEEI (Korea) • ESI (Russia) • MoE (Mongolia) • JREF (Japan) • Fraunhofer ISI • Fraunhofer ISE www.energy.gov.mn GOBITEC/ASG system is composed of 4 parts …. ① Solar/Wind Farms for NRE Generation ② Collecting system for Generation Sites ③ Cross-border transmission system (ASG) ④ Connecting system to Each Countries Conceptual Configurations on GOBITEC+ASG www.energy.gov.mn Second stage of the study ADB approved Technical Assistance to Mongolia: TA name: Strategy for Northeast Asia Power System Interconnection TA purpose: Prepare action plan and road map for power interconnection in the Northeast Asia TA amount: $1.75 million funded by (i) Climate Change Fund, (ii) The PRC Regional Cooperation, and Poverty Reduction Fund, and (iii)ROK e-Asia and Knowledge Partnership Fund Implemented period: 2016 to 2018 (25 months) www.energy.gov.mn Second stage of the study TA activities Assess power systems and markets in NE Asia - conduct analytical studies including political, economic, technical, institutional and legal aspects Conduct wind and solar resource assessment of Mongolia and develop renewable energy capacity expansion plan for power export Identify projects and develop investment plan Initiate regional knowledge and investment platform that promotes regional power interconnection participated by nongovernment organizations, research institutes, and the private sector Raise awareness and build consensus through workshops and conferences in Mongolia, PRC, ROK, and Japan. www.energy.gov.mn To move forward - NEA countries are strongly pushing forward the large scale utilization of RE power sources and has accumulated sufficient experiences for constructing the long distance HVDC lines, particularly China, which are very important basic for development of supergrids at regional level in Northeast Asia There are has been accumulated a huge analytical studies & researches for development and construction of long distance transnational HVDC Supergrids in Asia, which concludes that ASG is one of the feasible option for energy integration and technology is proven and available An important issue is that there is an increasing understanding about the need to intensify high level policy dialogue among government of Northeast Asian countries on energy connectivity and it’s economic and financial benefits www.energy.gov.mn Thank you for your attention Main Information Sources: • Gobitec and Asian Super Grid for Renewable Energies in Northeast Asia, 2014 • www.gobitec.org www.energy.gov.mn
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