Pure Appl. Geophys. Ó 2011 Springer Basel AG DOI 10.1007/s00024-011-0339-6 Pure and Applied Geophysics Homogenization of Earthquake Catalog for Northeast India and Adjoining Region RANJIT DAS,1 H. R. WASON,1 and M. L. SHARMA1 Abstract—A catalog for northeast India and the adjoining region for the period 1897–2009 with 4,497 earthquakes events is compiled for homogenization to moment magnitude Mw,GCMT in the magnitude range 3–8.7. Relations for conversion of mb and Ms magnitudes to Mw,GCMT are derived using three different methods, namely, linear standard regression, inverted standard regression (ISR) and orthogonal standard regression (OSR), for different magnitude ranges based on events data for the catalog period 1976–2006. The OSR relations for Ms to Mw,GCMT conversion derived in this paper have significantly lower errors in regression parameters compared to the relations reported in other studies. Since the number of events with magnitude C7 for this region is scanty, we, therefore, considered whole India region to obtain the regression relationships between Mw,GCMT and Ms,ISC. A relationship between Mw,GCMT and Mw,NEIC is also obtained based on 17 events for the range 5.2 B magnitude B 6.6. A unified homogeneous catalog prepared using the conversion relations derived in this paper can serve as a reference catalog for seismic hazard assessment studies in northeast India and the adjoining region. Key words: Moment magnitude, catalog, homogenization, orthogonal regression, Northeast India. 1. Introduction Earthquake catalogs describing the historical seismicity of a seismic region in general, are heterogeneous in magnitude types, whereas a homogeneous earthquake catalog is a basic requirement for studying the earthquake occurrence patterns in space and time and seismic hazard estimates for any seismic region. In order to compile a homogeneous earthquake catalog for a seismic region, the regression relations used for conversion of different magnitude types to a preferred magnitude scale are of critical importance since any 1 Department of Earthquake Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India. E-mail: ranjit244614@ gmail.com bias introduced during the conversion process propagates errors in the parameters of the frequency magnitude distribution and consequently in the seismic hazard estimates. A majority of such regression relations are, however, derived based on the assumption that one of the magnitudes (independent variable) is error free. When both the magnitude types contain measurement errors, the use of the standard leastsquares regression procedure is found to be inadequate. In such a case, the use of orthogonal regression analysis is more appropriate to estimate regression relationships between different magnitude types (CASTELLARO et al., 2006). Some reported regression relations also make use of other approximations, such as taking averages of conversions from mb and Ms to moment magnitude, which limits the accuracy of the converted magnitudes (DAS and WASON, 2010). Because of the inherent limitations of different magnitude scales in accurately representing the size of an earthquake and the fact that they also tend to saturate at higher magnitude levels, it is better to use the moment magnitude Mw. As is well known, Mw has two main advantages over other magnitudes; firstly, Mw is physically meaningful because it is derived from seismic moment which is directly related to earthquake source physics (slip, fault area, rigidity) and secondly, the Mw scale does not saturate for large earthquakes which is the limitation of all other magnitude scales. In this study, we also adopt Mw as the homogeneous size estimate requiring assignment of Mw to all events of the catalog through appropriate magnitude conversions. Northeast India and the adjoining region is seismically one of the most active regions in the world. The seismicity in this region is considered to be related to the collision of the Indian plate with Tibet in the north and the Burmese landmass towards the R. Das et al. Pure Appl. Geophys. east. This region has witnessed two great earthquakes in the recent past. The Shillong earthquake with Mw 8.1 (BILHAM and ENGLAND, 2001) on 12 June 1897 and the Assam earthquake with Mw 8.7 (THINGBAIJAM et al., 2008) on 15 August 1950, caused extensive damage and destruction over a very large area. Available earthquake catalogs for northeast India and the adjoining region covering the seismicity from historical times (1897 onwards) to the period up to 1962 are heterogeneous in magnitude types (e.g., GUPTA et al., 1986; CHANDRA, 1992). Recently, THINGBAIJAM et al. (2008) obtained generalized orthogonal regression (GOR) relationships for conversion of Ms,ISC and mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT. As significant dispersion was observed in the scaling relation between mb,ISC and Mw,GCMT, mb,ISC magnitudes were first scaled to Ms,ISC and subsequently converted to Mw,GCMT. In another study for this region, standard regression (SR) relations have been reported by YADAV et al. (2009) for conversion of Ms and mb magnitudes to Mw,GCMT, but their Ms,ISC and Ms,NEIC conversion relations differed significantly. In this study, regression relations for conversion of mb and Ms magnitudes to Mw,GCMT using OSR, SR and ISR approaches have been derived. Earthquake occurrence data for 4,497 events in the Mw magnitude range 3.0–8.7 pertaining to the study region (lat. 20°– 32°N and long. 87°–100°E) for the period 1897–2009, combining the historical and instrumental periods, has been compiled from ISC, NEIC and GCMT databases. A unified homogeneous catalog prepared using the conversion relations derived in this study can serve as a reference catalog for seismic hazard estimates and other seismicity studies in northeast India and the adjoining region. folded belt in the east and also the uplift of Shillong plateau. The eastern Himalayas and the Arakan-Yoma mountain arc meet and define the Assam syntaxis encasing between them the upper Assam petroliferous Tertiary basin. The Shillong massif stands out as a plateau with an average elevation of 1,500 m at the SW mouth of this basin. The Shillong massif was the seat of the great earthquake of 12 June 1897 (Mw = 8.7). On 15 August 1950, another great earthquake (Mw = 8.1) occurred further northeast in the vicinity of the India–China border. These great earthquakes are considered to be the responses of the India– Asia convergence zone to their continued relative motion (e.g., SEEBER and ARMBRUSTER, 1981; KHATTRI and TYAGI, 1983; MOLNAR, 1987; MOLNAR and PANDEY, 1989). Further, this region has experienced several damaging large earthquakes with magnitudes [7.0. In this study, earthquake occurrence data for the period 1897–2009 has been compiled from different sources. For the historical seismicity period 1897–1962, events are taken from the catalog by GUPTA et al. (1986). Those earthquake events which do not have any specific magnitude unit assigned in this catalog are taken as Ms,ISC following THINGBAIJAM et al. (2008) and YADAV et al. (2009). For the period 1964 to May 2007, events data has been compiled from International Seismological Center (ISC), UK (http://www.isc.ac.uk/search/Bulletin), National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC), USGS, USA (http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/epic/epicglobal.htm) and HRVD (HRVD is presently addressed as GCMT http://www.globalcmt.org/CMTsearch. html) earthquake data bulletins. Data for the year 1963 has been adopted from International Seismological Summary (ISS).The complete catalog period (1897–2009) contains a total of 4,497 events out of which 14 events have M [ 7 and 223 events are with M C 6. Conversion relations have been developed using the data for the period 1964–2006 only. The seismicity of the region for Mw magnitudes in the range 3–8.7 is shown in Fig. 1. 2. Study Region and Data Sources Northeast India and the adjoining region encompasses a very active seismic region bounded by latitudes 20°–32°N and longitudes 87°–100°E. The seismicity in this region is related to the collision of the Indian Plate with Tibet towards the north and the Burmese landmass towards the east. This collision resulted in the formation of the Himalaya thrust front in the north, Arakan-Yoma, Naga Hills and Tripura 3. Regression Procedures For seismological applications including homogenization of earthquake catalogs, it is important to Homogenization of Earthquake Catalog Figure 1 A seismotectonic map of Northeast India and Adjoining Region on GIS platform depicting seismicity for Mw C 3.0 from the earthquake catalog prepared in this study know how different magnitude determinations compare with each other and the associated measurement errors. It is widely in use to assume one of the magnitudes to be error free, and thus obtain regression conversion relationships using standard linear least-squares approach. Inverted standard leastsquares regression is similar to the standard leastsquares regression but instead minimizes the horizontal offsets to the best fit line. In this regression the role of the dependent and independent variables gets reversed. When both the magnitude types have measurement errors, it is more appropriate to use OSR approach (CASTELLARO et al., 2006, 2007; THINGBAIJAM et al., 2008; RISTAU, 2009). However, this regression procedure requires the knowledge of the R. Das et al. Pure Appl. Geophys. error variance ratio between the two magnitude types. An advantage of the OSR approach is that the computations yield predicted values for both the variables. The procedure for orthogonal standard regression is described in detail in the literature (MADANSKY, 1959; FULLER, 1987; KENDALL and STUART, 1979; CARROLL and RUPPERT, 1996) and is not included here. 4. Magnitude Conversion Relations For conversion of surface and body wave magnitudes to moment magnitudes, we have considered events in the period 1964–2006 in specified magnitude ranges. Ms,ISC and Ms, NEIC values with focal depths B50 km only are considered for deriving the conversion relations. OSR relation for conversion of surface and body wave magnitudes to moment magnitudes requires the value of the error variance ratio g. For the events data considered in this study, we use the standard deviations 0.15, 0.20 and 0.25 for Mw, Ms and mb, respectively as considered by THINGBAIJAM et al. (2008). Software developed by the authors in another study (DAS et al., 2011) has been used to derive the regression relations. 4.1. Relationship between MS,ISC/MS,NEIC and Mw, GCMT For the regression relations between Ms,ISC and Mw,GCMT we used 124 events (compared to 114 considered by YADAV et al., 2009) within the range 4.1 B Ms, ISC B 6.9, and the derived OSR, SR and ISR conversion relations are given in Table 1 and Fig. 2a. Similarly, for conversion of Ms,NEIC to Mw,GCMT, we considered 97 events (compared to 16 considered by YADAV et al., 2009) for the range 4.4 B Ms, NEIC B 6.3, and the derived OSR, SR and ISR conversion relations are given in Table 1 and Fig. 2b. The OSR and SR conversion relations obtained above have lesser uncertainties in the regression parameters compared to the corresponding OSR relation obtained by THINGBAIJAM et al. (2008) and the SR relations of YADAV et al. (2009). Since the higher magnitude events in this region for the year 1964–2006 are scarce, we instead considered the whole India region for the range 7.0 B magnitude B 8.7. Based on 13 events, the regression relationships between Mw,GCMT and Ms,ISC are obtained as given in Table 1 and Fig. 2c. The Mw estimates given by the OSR and SR relationships are Table 1 Regression parameters for different magnitude conversion relations Regression relation Magnitude range Slope Error (slope) Intercept Error (intercept) R2 r (SD) Ms, ISC to Mw, GCMT (OSR), g = 1 Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT (SR) Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT (ISR) Ms,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(OSR), g = 1 Ms,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(SR) Ms,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(ISR) Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT (OSR), g = 1 Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT(SR) Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT(ISR) mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT (OSR), g = 0.36 mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT (SR) mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT (ISR) mb,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(OSR), g = 0.36 mb,NEIC to Mw, GCMT(SR) mb,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(ISR) Mw,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(OSR,) g = 1 Mw,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(SR) Mw,NEIC to Mw,GCMT(ISR) 4.1 B Ms,ISC B 6.9 0.638 0.608 1.397 0.66 0.623 1.375 1.42 1.324 0.708 1.40 1.060 0.688 1.37 0.983 0.707 0.998 0.962 0.966 0.0006 0.025 0.053 0.0007 0.03 0.057 0.05 0.104 0.055 0.0043 0.05 0.032 0.006 0.054 0.039 0.014 0.069 0.069 2.20 2.355 -2.518 2.13 2.281 -2.412 -3.35 -2.628 2.343 -1.98 -0.151 1.537 -1.77 0.216 1.473 0.03 0.232 0.177 0.016 0.119 0.291 0.0201 0.135 0.314 2.73 0.793 0.415 0.122 0.263 0.177 0.1567 0.286 0.211 0.456 0.387 0.389 0.85 0.109 0.146 0.151 0.09 0.125 0.13 0.108 0.175 0.18 0.17 0.238 0.21 0.133 0.201 0.2 0.055 0.106 4.4 B Ms,NEIC B 6.3 7.0 B Ms,ISC B 8.7 4.7 B mb,ISC B 6.6 4.6 B mb,NEIC B 6.8 5.2 B Mw,NEIC B 6.2 0.86 0.93 0.73 0.69 0.92 Homogenization of Earthquake Catalog Figure 2 Regression relations (OSR, SR, ISR) for different magnitude conversions; a Ms,ISC | Mw,GCMT relation, b Ms,NEIC | Mw,GCMT relation, c Ms,ISC | Mw,GCMT relation (for larger events), d mb,ISC | Mw,GCMT relation, e mb,NEIC | Mw,GCMT relation, f Mw,NEIC | Mw,GCMT relation found to be much closer to the directly measured Mw values compared to those given by the global relation of SCORDILIS (2006), and hence should be preferred for conversion of regional events. These relations also match with the global trend between Ms and Mw as given by HEATON et al. (1986). R. Das et al. Pure Appl. Geophys. The square root of the error variance ratio between Ms and Mw,GCMT measurements is found to lie between 0.7 and 1.8 for the events data considered in this study. However, we prefer OSR relationships with g = 1, which yields better results as suggested by CASTELLARO and BORMANN (2007). However, standard linear regression is not a good estimator when both the dependent and independent magnitude variables contain errors of non-negligible size. OSR relations for conversion of mb and Ms magnitudes to Mw,GCMT for this region are reported only in one study (THINGBAIJAM et al., 2008). As significant dispersion was observed in the scaling relation between mb,ISC and Mw,GCMT, mb,ISC magnitudes were first scaled to Ms,ISC and subsequently converted to Mw,GCMT. The main purpose of the present study is to fill up the gap for reliable OSR relations towards catalog homogenization for northeast India and the adjoining region. In this study, earthquake occurrence data for 4,497 events pertaining to northeast India and the adjoining region (lat. 20°–32°N and long. 87°– 100°E) for the time period 1897–2009, combining the historical and instrumental periods, has been compiled from ISC, NEIC and GCMT databases. The seismicity of the study area (Mw C 3) is shown in Fig. 1. Ms,ISC to Mw,GCMT and Ms,NEIC to Mw,GCMT conversion relations have been derived for magnitude ranges 4.1 B Ms, ISC B 6.9 and 4.4 B Ms,NEIC B 6.3, respectively. The quality of OSR relations obtained is found to be better than the corresponding SR relations obtained by YADAV et al. (2009) as the standard deviation and the absolute average of the differences between the directly measured and the Mw,GCMT values estimated by the OSR are relatively smaller compared to the SR relation. Also, the regression relations for Ms conversion are found to be in good agreement as expected (UTSU, 2002; SCORDILIS, 2006; DAS and WASON, 2010). The data for strong earthquakes with Ms,ISC C 7 for the region being scarce, OSR and SR conversion relations are instead derived for the whole Indian region using 13 data points. The derived relations are the first such relations for conversion of large Ms events for the Indian region and provide better Mw,GCMT estimates compared to the global relation of SCORDILIS (2006). These relationships also match well with the global trend of Ms and Mw (HEATON et al., 1986). Further, regression relationships between Mw,GCMT and Mw,NEIC are also obtained which show that the Mw estimates by GCMT and NEIC can be treated as equivalent. 4.2. Relationship between mb,ISC/mb,NEIC and Mw, GCMT With respect to mb determinations by ISC and NEIC, it is observed in several studies that the two determinations are not equivalent (NATH and THINGBAIJAM, 2010; DAS et al., 2011). For the conversion of mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT in the magnitude range 4.7 B magnitude B 6.6, and mb,NEIC to Mw,GCMT in the magnitude range 4.6 B magnitude B 6.8, we follow the same approach using data sets of 171 and 149 events, respectively, for the period 1964–2006. We derived OSR by taking g = 0.36 and also SR, ISR relations, but the ISR relation is preferred for conversion of mb to Mw,GCMT since ISR is found to perform better compared to OSR and SR relations if pffiffiffi g\ 0:7 (CASTELLARO and BORMANN, 2007). The regression parameters obtained for these conversion relations are given in Table 1 and the plots are shown in Fig. 2d, e, respectively. 4.3. Relationship between Mw,GCMT and Mw,NEIC In order to obtain regression relationships between Mw,NEIC and Mw,GCMT, we considered 17 events for the range 5.2 B magnitude B 6.6, during the period 1964–2006. The OSR, SR and ISR relationships between Mw,GCMT and Mw,NEIC are given in Table 1 and the plot is shown in Fig. 2f. The OSR relation obtained is matches well with the global relation given by SCORDILIS (2006). 5. Discussion and Conclusions The regression relations available for the study region for conversion of different earthquake magnitude types to the unified Mw,GCMT are mostly based on the standard linear least-squares (SR) approach. Homogenization of Earthquake Catalog Further, ISR, OSR and SR relations have been derived for mb,ISC to Mw,GCMT conversion using 171 events data for the magnitude range 4.7 B mb,ISC B 6.6. Similarly, mb,NEIC to Mw,GCMT conversion relations for the range 4.6 B mb,NEIC B 6.8, are based on 149 events data. The derived relations have significantly lower errors in their regression parameters than the corresponding relations derived by YADAV et al. (2009) and THINGBAIJAM et al. (2008). We prefer ISR relation for conversion of mb to Mw,GCMT., since pffiffiffi g\ 0:7: No regression relation is attempted for smaller body wave magnitudes, i.e. mb \ 4.6, as the data is very scarce. No conspicuous nonlinearity is noticed in the derived OSR relation as observed in some other studies (CASTELLARO et al., 2006; THINGBAIJAM et al., 2008). This study presents improved OSR and ISR conversion relations for the study region as evidenced by lower uncertainties in the regression parameters. A homogenized catalog prepared using these relations shall imply lower uncertainties in unified moment magnitude estimates, which is an important input for seismic hazard estimation and other seismological studies. 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(Received July 21, 2010, revised March 23, 2011, accepted May 9, 2011)
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