©2009 Poultry Science Association, Inc. Organic poultry: Consumer perceptions, opportunities, and regulatory issues P. G. Crandall,*1 S. Seideman,* S. C. Ricke,* C. A. O’Bryan,* A. F. Fanatico,† and R. Rainey‡ *Department of Food Science and Center for Food Safety, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville 72704; †National Center for Appropriate Technology, Fayetteville, AR 72701; and ‡Cooperative Extension Service, Division of Agriculture, Little Rock, AR 72204 Primary Audience: Researchers SUMMARY Organic and all-natural foods have become an alternative in most mainstream retail food outlets. Organic foods, although only 3% of total retail food sales, account for an estimated $17 billion in sales in the United States, and this category has been growing at a rate 7 times faster than the average food category, maintaining a sustained growth rate of more than 15% per year. Organic meat is the fastest growing sector of the organic market, and organic poultry is considered to be a gateway food, drawing in consumers who are just beginning to purchase organic foods. Current organic consumers are a bimodal population consisting of one group in their 20s and a second composed of aging baby boomers. The income distribution is also bimodal, with young parents rebudgeting to pay the higher prices for organic foods at one extreme and older Caucasian families with household incomes in excess of $80,000 at the other. African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and persons with personal or family health issues are more interested in purchasing organic foods than members of the general population. Organic food consumers have traditionally insisted the foods they purchase be raised by local farmers with a strong respect for the environment and, as is the current organic standard, to be free from growth hormones and synthetic chemicals. One of the principal beliefs is that organic foods are safer than conventional foods. Many consumers base this belief in the safety of organic foods on the prohibition of pesticides and chemicals in raising the organic food. However, their understanding of the risks from pathogenic microorganisms on organic foods is not clear. Researchers have documented many common consumer food safety errors in handling conventional poultry. Whether organic poultry has similar food safety issues has yet to be determined. Key words: consumer demand, organic, all-natural food, poultry 2009 J. Appl. Poult. Res. 18:795–802 doi:10.3382/japr.2009-00025 MARKET TRENDS AND POTENTIAL Organic Farming According to a 2006 worldwide survey, more than 30 million hectares (74 million acres) of 1 Corresponding author: [email protected] land is farmed organically on 700,000 farms. Countries with the greatest organic acreage at the end of 2006 were Australia, China, Argentina, and the United States. International sales of organic foods reached more than $38 billion 796 in 2006, with Europe and the United States being the largest consumers, and demand has outgrown supply of many organic foods since 2005 [1]. Growth and Future Potential of US Demand for Organic Foods In the United States, organic foods have reached only 3% of total retail food sales, and the principal market driver for the purchase of organic foods seems to be health concerns [2]. The current demand for organic foods outstrips the domestic supply, causing retailers in the United States to import $2 billion worth of organic foods annually. If the demand for organic foods continues to grow, there will need to be an increase in the number of organic producers and the number of hectares dedicated to organic production. However, the impact of the current US economic downturn remains uncertain. Much of the consumer and market data on organic food originates from the Organic Trade Association (OTA). The OTA conducts numerous surveys of producers, processors, and retailers of organic foods. The OTA has reported that organic food sales almost tripled, from $3.5 billion in 1997 to more than $10 billion by 2003 [3]. The OTA asked its members to make predictions about the future growth in organic food sales for the next 20 yr. The key prediction of OTA members was for 10 to 15% growth in the organic food sector from 2006 through 2010 and for 5 to 10% additional growth from 2011 to 2025 [3, 4]. These predictions appear to be reasonable, given that the annual growth in organic food purchases maintained an annual increase of 16 to 21% per year from 1997 to 2004. This projected growth will add approximately $2 billion in annual sales to the total projected organic food sales of $50 to $70 billion in 2025. Growth in the sale of organic foods has been increasing at a sustained rate of 16 to 21% per annum [4]. The growth rate for organic foods in 2006 was 22.1%. This rate of growth is 5 to 7 times the rate of most of the other food market sectors, which have approximately 3% growth. In 2008, sales of organic foods rose by approximately 16% to a total of $22.9 billion, in spite of the recent economic downturn [5]. JAPR: Review Article Another prediction by OTA members was that 68.3% of all US food companies would offer organic foods as part of their product line by 2025 [3]. These glowing predictions from members of the organic community were based in part on the growth of a strong infrastructure for the production of organic foods and new marketing channels. A recent report from the USDA Economic Research Service postulated that this rapid growth in sales of organic foods was due in part to an increase in consumer concerns about the safety of conventional foods, combined with the evolution of new organic production and marketing systems [6]. If the prediction that by 2025 the average consumer will purchase some organic food on a regular basis is to become a reality, then an organic food supply will need to be available through almost every retail food outlet. The results of a recent Harris Poll of 2,392 adults found that young, affluent shoppers, especially members of the millennial (ages 18 to 30) and generation X (ages 31 to 42) populations, were more likely to be regular organic food buyers [7]. A recent Hartman Group Poll concluded that Asian Americans, Hispanic Americans, and African Americans would continue to purchase organic food in greater numbers relative to the general population [8]. Organic Production and Potential Problems In a 2007 survey, Mogelonsky [9] reported that 48% of respondents agreed with the statement that organic products are better for them than nonorganic products, but 32% worried about the safety of organic meat and produce. This persistent consumer belief about the safety of organic poultry is certainly another global issue that must be considered. In addition to the escalating demand for organic foods and the global issues just discussed, several other issues must be taken into consideration when considering organic poultry production, processing, and value-added products. Perhaps the most important local issue is the significant likelihood of a national food safety recall of organic poultry. Prolonged negative media coverage could deliver a serious blow to the foundational organic consumer perception Crandall et al.: PERSPECTIVE ON ORGANIC POULTRY that all organic foods are inherently safer than conventional foods. In 2006, a total of 1,600 new food and beverage products with organic labels were introduced as part of 15,643 new products launched [10]. Overall new organic product introductions in 2006 were concentrated in the market segments of sauces, seasonings, bakery products, and beverages. Within these new product categories that could potentially contain organic poultry, there was an increase from 67 to 93 in the meal and meal-centered products. In the overall processed meats category, new product introductions increased from 37 to 45 new products in that year. However, individual companies that are considering the possibility of entering the organic poultry market would do well to see if these new organic poultry-containing products, especially those in the value-added categories and store-branded organic meat products, would meet their expected sales goals and market penetrations. Another major impact that is largely outside the control of poultry producers is the unknown effect of the ever-changing US governmental regulatory climate. Increased surveillance and genetic fingerprinting of microbial pathogens from foodborne outbreaks may have contributed to heightened media attention. However, this issue is currently being affected by at least 2 factors: 1) funding for the US Food and Drug Administration has increased by only $32 million, enough to cover inflation but not for increased spending on hiring additional food safety inspectors [11]; and 2) although most organic consumers characterize organic foods as being better for them than conventional foods, they do not necessarily think this translates into less bacteria on organic foods [9]. There is confusion on the part of some consumers with respect to the terms “organic,” “natural,” “all natural,” “Naturally Grown,” “antibiotic free,” and “locally produced.” This issue needs particular scrutiny before one should consider investing in a new organic poultry operation. The USDA regulations are highly restrictive regarding the use of the term “organic.” The organic label is restricted to poultry production systems that feed the chickens or turkeys only certified organic feed (feed that is grown without synthetic pesticides or fertilizers); poultry must be grown according to an organic plan, and the 797 entire poultry production facility is inspected by third-party auditors. Certified organic poultryprocessing plants must also follow an organic plan, use only cleaning compounds and sanitizers that are on the National Approved List, and be subjected to third-party audits. Producers or manufacturers that label products as organic that do not comply with all these regulations can be penalized with fines of $10,000 [12]. Historically, the term “natural” could be used on a label to indicate that it had no artificial ingredients or was minimally processed, and the label would have an explanation for the use of the term [13]. In January of 2009, the Agricultural Marketing Service of the USDA issued a voluntary standard defining “naturally raised” [14]. To meet this standard, livestock must be raised entirely without growth promotants and antibiotics (except for ionophores used as coccidiostats for parasite control) and must never have been fed animal by-products [14]. CONSUMER BELIEFS AND ATTITUDES Misconceptions by US Consumers Scientists, both academic and industrial, should be aware of the potential for increased risk to the consumers of organic and all-natural poultry. This increased risk is related to 2 misconceptions. First is that most organic consumers believe organic food is inherently safer than conventional food [15]. Second, because most organic consumers believe organic poultry is safer, there may be a relaxation of their adherence to the recommended precautions associated with handling any raw poultry. Following is a summary of research findings on consumer beliefs about organic foods. Based on a consumer Health Belief Model, individuals who perceive that they are “very unlikely to be at risk for foodborne illness” are the same consumers who are less apt to use good food-handling practices [16]. Maciorowski et al. [17] found a significant difference between Hispanic American and Caucasian consumers. When asked to choose among the risks from eating poultry, beef, and pork, Caucasians tended to believe that poultry presented the highest food safety risk. Conversely, Hispanic American consumers 798 tended to believe that pork had the most harmful bacteria. Most Hispanic American consumers thawed frozen poultry outside the refrigerator, whereas most Caucasians did not. Because Hispanic Americans make up a large portion of the organic food market, the potential for foodborne illness may be greater because of their mishandling of poultry. Kentucky consumers who were more confident of the safety of the nation’s food supply were more likely to engage in risky food-handling or unsafe consumer behaviors compared with consumers who did not share their assurance [18]. Females were more likely than males to perceive that foodborne illnesses were quite common, and females also practiced better food-handling practices and were less likely to consume the highest risk foods [18]. College students, who are generally in the millennial generation (born between 1977 and 1997), seem to be divided into groups of high and low organic consumption; the high-consumption group seems to be correlated with greater health consciousness and a perception of having a better understanding of what organic means [19]. These college students are among some of the newest converts to buying organic poultry. A nationwide survey of college students identified their self-reported food-handling behaviors as well as their perceived knowledge of safe food-handling practices [20]. The scores of college students on best practices for food handling were generally poor, averaging below 50% of the correct response in most cases. Thus, these new organic poultry consumers were also at an increased risk for foodborne illness because of their poor food-handling practices. In a more rigorous study that did not rely on self-reported data, Anderson et al. [21] recruited volunteers who were told they were participating in a marketing study; to avoid biasing the study, participants were informed that their foodhandling practices were being noted. Volunteers were videotaped while preparing an entrée and a salad in their own kitchens. On average, the participants failed to wash their hands on 7 different occasions to prevent cross-contamination of the salad after handling raw meat, seafood, or eggs. The researchers defined “failure to wash hands” as a behavior that should have prompted the subjects to wash their hands (e.g., handling JAPR: Review Article raw meat) and the subsequent failure to do so. Most participants also failed to prevent potential cross-contamination by adequately cleaning kitchen surfaces, especially after contact with raw meat. Only 5 of 99 participants used a thermometer to determine if their meat was cooked to a safe internal temperature. Almost one-half did not know the recommended final internal temperatures for cooking various meats. Only 17 of the 99 subjects had ever actually checked the temperature of their refrigerators. When the temperature of their home refrigerators was checked, close to one-half had refrigerator temperatures above 40°F, the recommended refrigerator temperature, and some were even above 45°F, which is well into the optimal temperature range for many bacteria. Market Drivers for US Organic Consumer Purchases Onozaka et al. [22] conducted surveys to define the market forces affecting the rapid increase in the production of organic foods. For organic food producers, the premium price paid for organic foods compared with conventional products has been a major positive incentive. Organic products have higher production costs as well as unique costs associated with certification, and organic produce must be kept segregated throughout the entire distribution channel. Demand for organic meat and dairy foods has been greater than supply to the point that that there have been significant price increases in organic animal feed ingredients, such as highprotein organic soybean meal and dairy cattle feeds [23]. This higher demand and these higher prices may encourage the production of more organic animal feeds. All these factors are in addition to the firmly held perceptions by many organic consumers that organic foods not only provide additional health benefits to them and their families, but also that organic farming practices provide long-term environmental benefits [24]. Gabbett [25] summarized several reports on market drivers for organic meat purchases. The author [25] reported that although Walmart, a major retailer, carries organic poultry, it has yet to sell organic red meat, pork, or lamb. Gabbett [25] quoted a retail consultant, Willard Bishop, Crandall et al.: PERSPECTIVE ON ORGANIC POULTRY as saying, “A lot of premium products skew with income (decreased demand with higher price), but not organics. A lot of average and below average income households put a premium on purchasing organics.” This should be taken into consideration when pricing organic foods— there may be a bimodal price distribution, with one group consisting of households with high disposable income, where price is no object, and the other consisting of household groups in which a single mom must do without purchasing other commodities to buy organic food that she deems necessary for her family. According to the 2007 Health and Wellness Trends Report, most shoppers reported that they bought organic foods to avoid pesticides, genetically modified ingredients, and hormones or antibiotics. More than one-half said they began buying organic foods because “they are better for me” [26]. The American Meat Institute and the Food Marketing Institute surveyed consumers and reported that the key drivers for consumers buying organic or natural meats are 1) better health, 2) better nutrition, 3) better treatment of animals, and 4) better taste [27]. They reported that 63% of consumers would buy more organic meat if it had a lower price tag. The major purchase outlets for organic meat, poultry, and fish are shown 799 in Figure 1. In a 2006 Food Marketing Institute survey, almost one-half (49%) of those surveyed believed that bacterial contamination (germs) was the most serious threat to their health and safety. Pesticide or herbicide residues in foods were classified as a serious risk by 37% of those polled, genetically modified organisms by 20%, irradiated foods by 18%, and additives or preservatives by 16% [27]. For more detailed information on consumer beliefs and attitudes, see O’Bryan et al. [28]. REGULATORY IMPACT The Role of Regulations in the Growth of Organic Foods After years of contemplation and receiving stakeholder input, the USDA published strict guidelines for USDA Certified Organic production as part of the National Organic Program Rule and the National Organic Standards. These regulations were established by the Organic Foods Production Act of 1990, which was implemented on October 21, 2002 [29]. This act provided a clear definition of what constitutes organic foods and what production, processing, and handling requirements are mandated. The USDA Certified Organic foods have to be grown Figure 1. Point of sale for organic meat, poultry, and fish, 2006. 800 following an approved production plan without the use of synthetic fertilizers, pesticides, growth hormones, or antibiotics. Organic foods are required to be processed in facilities that use only approved chemicals and sanitizers. Both production and processing facilities are subjected to third-party audits, and auditors check for compliance with every aspect of the organic plan every year. The USDA organic seal can be used only on organic foods whose production systems have been inspected and approved by third-party certifying agencies and who are in compliance with the regulatory requirements. The USDA organic regulations require that USDA-certified 100% organic broilers be grown according to the producer’s written Organic System Plan. Broilers must be grown without antibiotics, such as the low levels of antibiotics that were previously used as growth stimulators. All the corn, soybeans, and the other constituents in the poultry ration must be certified as being organic, which means that they must be grown without the use of synthetic fertilizers or pesticides. For new broiler producers, a 36-mo washout period is mandated, during which an organic grower is required to operate under strict organic guidelines but is not allowed to sell products as USDA-certified organic until this wash-out period is completed. The only exception is when a grower can prove that no synthetic inputs had been used in the previous 36 mo of production. Before organic production and processing facilities are allowed to be considered USDA Certified Organic, an accredited certifying organization, contracting with third-party auditors, must make on-site inspections. Annual inspections must also be conducted by third-party auditors, according to 7 CFR 205.403(a). Legally imposed restrictions carry a hefty $10,000 fine for each mislabeling violation of the USDA organic standards [12]. Definitions of Organic and Natural Foods The current USDA regulations call for a 3-tiered nomenclature for organic foods. Foods labeled as “100% organic” contain no nonorganic ingredients. Foods labeled as “organic” must contain more than 95% organic ingredients. Foods labeled as having been “made with organic ingredients” must contain between 70 JAPR: Review Article and 95% of the ingredients as organic. The term “organic” may be used only on labels and in labeling of raw or processed agricultural products, including ingredients that have been produced and handled in accordance with the regulations. Products for export to other countries may be labeled in accordance with the regulations of that country. Additional information is available from online references at the National Agricultural Law Center (http://www.nationalaglawcenter.org/readingrooms/organicprogram/). There were years of delay before governmental regulators imposed these legal definitions for organic foods. In this void, marketers exploited the terms “natural” or “all natural” on their labels to answer consumer demands in this area. In addition, there evolved a “Certified Naturally Grown” label, tailored for small-scale, direct-tomarket organic growers that circumvented the extensive documentation required to become certified organic growers [30]. The USDA has recently defined the use of the term “naturally raised” as a label claim [14]. RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES IN ORGANIC PRODUCTION AND PROCESSING Most of the current research conducted in US academic institutions and chemical supply companies has tended to ignore the small but rapidly growing organic poultry niche. Consumer research that has touched on organic food sales through farmers markets has been limited, as reviewed by Brown [31]. The development and food product research conducted by chemical companies is focused on volume sales opportunities in the conventional foods arena. For a detailed analysis of organic production practices, see Crandall et al. [32]. Current research opportunities on organic foods can be organized into 3 focus areas. The first research focus would be substantiating or refuting the organic marketing hypotheses that organic broilers are safer because they contain fewer pesticide residues, are safer because broilers raised organically will have fewer foodborne pathogens, and are more nutritious or better tasting than conventionally raised broilers. The second area of focus would be substantiating the hypothesis that organic farming practices are Crandall et al.: PERSPECTIVE ON ORGANIC POULTRY better for the environment. A third focus would be investigating whether organically raised poultry are raised and slaughtered in a more humane manner, although this is not currently a component of the organic regulations. CONCLUSIONS AND APPLICATIONS 1. Comprehensive examination of data on the worldwide food market reveals substantial opportunities in organic poultry. 2. Poultry is generally the first organic meat new organic consumers buy, and is generally purchased by a dedicated following of young mothers and women of higher socioeconomic status, with an expanding group of purchasers among the baby boomer and millennial groups and among ethnic groups that have a preference for organic foods. 3. Although demand continues to increase, supply has not kept up, and there are currently shortages of organic commodities, including meat and chicken. 4. Some consumers continue to believe that organic foods are both safer and more nutritious than conventional foods, even though scientific studies to support these ideas are lacking. 5. Research opportunities exist to verify that organic foods are more nutritious than conventionally raised foods, as well as to verify a difference in pathogen levels between organically and conventionally grown products. REFERENCES AND NOTES 1. Willer, H., M. Yussefi-Menzler, and N. Sorenson. 2008. 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