Housing Land Availability Study
Housing Monitoring Report
Fourth Quarter of 2011 (October - December)
For Information
The Figures at a Glance
Reference to ‘additional dwellings’ implies the net number of new dwellings. A scheme involving
the net loss of a unit of accommodation results in an automatic subtraction of that unit from the
statistics. For this reason, previous reports should not be used in direct comparison with the
current statistics.
To date (running totals)
Full permits (work not commenced): 371 dwellings (195 urban / 176 rural)
Permission in Principle/Outline: 73 (62 urban / 11 rural)
Under Construction: 176 (127 urban / 49 rural)
Effective Housing Supply: 620 additional dwellings (384 urban / 236 rural) are under
construction or have some form of permission, representing a reduced 2 years’ housing supply
than was represented by the data of the previous quarter. There is a 62 / 38% split between the
effective provision of urban and rural housing, respectively. The total housing supply figure has
decreased by 62 units from the last quarter (or 9% of the previous pipeline figure).
The Parishes
The status of potential new housing development in each parish is illustrated below. The figures
represent a running total and not just the permissions granted during the quarter.
Parish
St Peter Port
St Sampson’s
Vale
Câtel
St Martin’s
St Saviour’s
Forest
Torteval
St Andrew’s
St Peter’s
TOTAL
Units upon which work
has not yet started
(a)
(b)
All types
incl. Permits
Permits alone
(PMT+COU)
222
35
44
40
74
12
1
2
6
8
444
171
26
35
39
74
10
1
2
5
8
371
Units under
construction
(c)
110
19
16
14
10
0
2
1
1
3
176
Total Units
(a) + (c)
"Pipeline
figure"
332
54
60
54
84
12
3
3
7
11
620
Fourth Quarter Statistics 2011
Housing Land Availability
Full permits were issued for a total of 67 units during the fourth quarter of 2011 without any
outline permissions and a location split of 55 [82%] in the urban area and 12 [18%] rural based.
A total number of 67 dwellings were granted permission during the quarter, a decrease in the
number from the previous quarter, equalling the average for 2010 and remaining under the
quarterly average total for permissions for the past five years. The largest permission was for 32
units at the former Les Vauxlaurens Brewery.
Form of provision during the Quarter
New build
Re-development
Sub-division
Conversion
Loss of units
Total
Urban area
5
33
4
13
0
55
Rural area
0
0
2
10
-2
12
Total
5
33
6
23
-2
67
Brownfield / Greenfield development
100% of new housing allowed during the quarter involved brownfield sites.
Completions
The Housing Database from which information is drawn to prepare this report allows for a
calibration of planning permissions in various forms. A secondary but nevertheless important
output defines level of completions from a given years permissions although not necessarily the
actual year of completion. The table below records this information for a ten-year period from
1999 to 2008.
Year
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Total
Completions
129
258
253
305
208
144
100
204
177
153
1,931
Urban / Rural Split
75 / 54
192 / 66
167 / 86
238 / 67
173 / 35
90 / 54
61/ 39
177 / 27
148 / 29
100 / 53
1,421 / 510
During the latter five-year period (2004-2008) there was a total of 778 completions, (576 urban
and 202 rural-based) with an average of 155 units per year. For the whole ten-year period
(1999-2008), there was a total of 1,931 completions (1,421 urban and 510 rural-based) with an
average of 193 units per year. These figures are somewhat conservative estimates for the
actual number of completions during the respective five and ten year periods, due to the
exclusion of completed permissions from the preceding 2/3 years which would have contributed
to the overall totals.
Housing Land Availability - (Figures based on Environment Department's Housing Database)
Approvals during period
Running totals at end of period
Area
PIPs
NOT Started
Not Started
Units under
Construction
4
63
40
13
120
140
154
167
138
138
265
273
258
229
229
405
427
425
367
367
350
313
319
317
317
755
740
744
684
684
56
54
33
72
215
16
43
28
14
101
153
154
182
233
233
220
213
221
213
213
373
367
403
446
446
309
329
252
237
237
682
696
655
683
683
96
42
60
70
268
40
34
49
59
182
56
8
11
11
86
297
310
330
284
284
209
194
166
138
138
506
504
496
422
422
257
256
281
258
258
763
760
777
680
680
34
63
78
67
242
28
25
41
55
149
6
38
37
12
93
305
315
384
371
371
135
85
85
73
73
440
400
469
444
444
252
209
213
176
176
692
609
682
620
620
PIPs
2 0 0 8
Jan-March
April-June
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
Total for 2008
26
102
32
25
185
30
49
35
26
140
56
151
67
51
325
52
88
27
38
205
2009
Jan-March
April-June
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
Total for 2009
40
43
35
64
182
32
54
26
22
134
72
97
61
86
316
2 0 1 0
Jan-March
April-June
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
Total for 2010
90
37
58
69
254
6
5
2
1
14
2 0 1 1
Jan-March
April-June
July-Sept
Oct-Dec
Total for 2011
34
63
78
67
242
0
0
0
0
0

Grand
Total
Full Permits
& COU
NOT Started
Full
Permits
Total
Urban
Rural
Total
(Potential
housing stock)
Please note that the number in the ‘Total for 200X’ row is smaller than the apparent aggregate for that year. This is because the ‘Total’ figure weeds out duplicate applications approved for any one scheme during that
year. It is not uncommon for several permissions to be issued for a single scheme as plans are amended either before or during construction.
Full Permits (work not started)
PiP / PDs
Units Under Construction
400
375
350
325
300
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
1st Qtr
2nd Qtr
3rd Qtr
2008
Last
1st Qtr
2nd Qtr
2009
3rd Qtr
Last
1st Qtr
2nd Qtr
2010
3rd Qtr
Last
1st Qtr
2nd Qtr
2011
The graph gives a ‘snapshot’ of the status of housing land availability at the end of each quarter. The numbers are not cumulative.
3rd Qtr
Last