Cladistics 14, 221 ] 228 (1998) WWW http:rrwww.apnet.com Article No. cl980064 The Logical Basis for the use of Continuous Characters in Phylogenetic Systematics Todd C. Rae Department of Anthropology, University of Durham, U.K. and Department of Mammalogy, American Museum of Natural History, New York, U.S.A. Received for publication 12 March 1998 It has been argued that continuous characteristics should be excluded from cladistic analysis for two reasons: because the data are considered inappropriate; and because the methods for the conversion of these data into codes are considered arbitrary. Metric data, however, fulfill the sole criterion for inclusion in phylogenetic analysis, the presence of homologous character states, and thus cannot be excluded as a class of data. The second line of reasoning, that coding methods are arbitrary, applies to gap and segment coding, but quantitative data can be coded in a nonarbitrary manner by means of tests of statistical significance. These procedures, which are both objective and repeatable, determine the probability that two taxa possess an homologous character state; that is, if they have inherited a particular central tendency and distribution of individual variates unchanged from a common ancestor. Thus, the application of statistical tests to quantitative data empirically detects the presence of evolutionary change, the raw material of phylogenetic reconstruction. Q 1998 The Willi Hennig Society ‘‘I advise my philosophy students to develop hypersensitivity for rhetorical questions in philosophy. They paper over whatever cracks there are in the arguments.’’ ŽDennet, 1995: 178.. Correspondence to: Todd C. Rae, Dept. of Anthropology, Univ. of Durham, 43 Old Elvet, Durham, DH1 3HN, U.K. E-mail: [email protected] 0748-3007r98r030221 q 08 $30.00r0 Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved INTRODUCTION The widespread acceptance of computer-assisted phylogenetic analysis has served to focus debate on many of the operational aspects of cladistics. Before the advent of mathematical algorithms for the analysis of phylogenetic data, verbal descriptions of characters and character states were sufficient. Computer parsimony packages such as Hennig86 ŽFarris, 1988. and PAUP ŽSwofford, 1990., Žand even some numerical taxonomy procedures; see Kendrick, 1964., on the other hand, require the translation of raw data andror verbal descriptions into alphanumeric codes that represent character states. For discrete characteristics, each recognizable state is represented by a unique code. Many characteristics of organisms, however, vary in a quantitative manner. The appropriate methods used to derive character state codes from quantitative data, and the applicability of these data to phylogenetic analysis in general, have been widely disputed ŽArchie, 1985; Pimentel and Riggins, 1987; Cranston and Humphries, 1988; Chappill, 1989; Thiele, 1993.. The purpose of the present contribution is to review the arguments against the use of continuous characters in phylogenetic systematics, and the various methods for coding these characters, and to outline a 221 222 Rae theoretical justification for their use in determining evolutionary relationships between organisms. In the following account, several phrases Žquantitative or continuous characters, measurement or metric data, etc. describing quantitative characteristics will be used synonymously. All of these phrases are used to describe characters used in phylogenetic analysis which can be described quantitatively and show some intraspecific variation. In practice, quantitative or continuous characters are nearly always synonymous with metric or measurement data. OBJECTIONS TO CONTINUOUS DATA The arguments against the use of continuous characteristics in phylogenetic analysis are diverse. Disotell Ž1994: 51., in describing the characters used in a previous study, simply states that ‘‘one is not discrete . . . and therefore cannot be used in a cladistic analysis’’. Similarly, in the estimation of Crowe Ž1994: 78., ‘‘Žc.ontinuously varying characters are not the stuff of phylogeny’’. Most of the objections, however, fall into two main categories: those that question metric data in principle, and those that question the methods by which codes are derived from quantitative data. Many of the objections raised against continuous data as a class of data are phrased as rhetorical questions. For example, Crisp and Weston Ž1987: 67, emphasis added. offer the following argument: ‘‘However, most quantitative data are not discontinuous, but represent series of overlapping values . . . w andx means must be calculated and statistical tests applied to group those means into meaningful subsets. But, then what is the cladistic significance of a mean for a taxon?’’ This particular line of reasoning is repeated by Pimentel and Riggins Ž1987: 201., who ask, ‘‘what are the cladistic properties of means, standard deviations, or tests of significance . . . ?’’ Asking questions merely for effect, however, is no substitute for a reasoned argument against any class of data. More explicit grounds for the elimination of metric data Žin this case, ratios. were offered by Cranston and Humphries Ž1988: 81., when they ‘‘question even whether a ratio represents a cladistic character... Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved Žbecause ratios. are clearly phenetic, possessing little or no cladistic value, since they cannot be scored in outgroups and cannot be polarized’’. Data themselves, however, cannot be cladistic or phenetic; those terms apply only to the analysis of data. Further, any characteristic that can be scored Žread ‘‘coded’’. for ingroup taxa can be coded for outgroups as well, since there is no intrinsic difference between ingroup and outgroup organisms to prevent it. Thus, all characters, once coded, can be polarized in the same manner, via the outgroup criterion Žsee Maddison et al., 1984.. None of these objections represent theoretically justifiable reasons for dismissing metric data on their intrinsic qualities. In fact, there has been no adequate justification offered for a fundamental differentiation between quantitative and discrete characters and there are many suggestions to the effect that ‘‘discrete’’ traits are simply continuous characteristics hidden in disjunctive terminology ŽBaum, 1988; Chappill, 1989; Stevens, 1991; Thiele, 1993.. It is still possible, however, that continuous characteristics could be inappropriate for cladistic analysis. To determine if this is the case, the necessary attributes of characteristics in cladistic analysis must be defined and then it must be demonstrated that this particular class of data does not fulfil those criteria. THE REQUIRED ATTRIBUTES OF CHARACTER STATES The definitions of ‘‘character’’ and ‘‘character state’’ used here follow those of Farris et al. Ž1970: 172.: ‘‘A character Ž‘‘transformation series’’ of Hennig. is a collection of mutually exclusive states Žattributes; features; ‘‘characters’’, ‘‘character states’’, or ‘‘stages of expression’’ of Hennig. which a. have a fixed order of evolution such that b. each state is derived directly from just one other state, and c. there is a unique state from which every other state is eventually derived’’ while recognizing that these terms refer to properties of taxa in cladistic analysis ŽThiele, 1993.. This definition is followed, explicitly or otherwise, by most of the authors discussed above Že.g. Pimentel and 223 Continuous Characters Riggins, 1987.. Thus, a character state is an observable property of the individual organisms that belong to a particular taxon Že.g. blue., while a character is a collection of character states presumed to be homologous Že.g. color.. Operationally, this is analogous to the traditional genetic definitions of gene Žcharacter. and allele Žcharacter state.. The implicit argument in the above definition is that the character states are alternative representations of the ‘‘same’’ thing; i.e. that the states are homologues. This point has been used by Pimentel and Riggins Ž1987. again to argue against metric data in cladistics. They cite Patterson Ž1982. to the effect that there are two types of homology, taxic and transformational, and conclude Žp. 208. that it ‘‘seems obvious that most quantitative variables can lead only to . . . transformational homologies, so are useless in cladistic analysis’’. Patterson Ž1982., who adapted the concept from Eldredge’s Ž1979. discussion of approaches to evolutionary theory, distinguishes taxic homology, used to diagnose hierarchical groups, and transformational homology, which explains organismal similarities by reference to archetypes. Transformational homology implies no grouping of taxa and is not useful for the examination of hierarchical structures of monophyletic groups. But the link between transformational homology and metric data is unclear at best. For instance, imagine two taxa ŽA and B. coded as identical Ži.e. homologous. for femur length for cladistic analysis; the hypothesis is that the length of the femur is a shared character of these taxa inherited from a common ancestor. Thus, the hypothesized homologues will be used to diagnose groups, not to refer to hypothetical archetypes, and the hypothesis of homology will be subject to the test of congruence Žsee below. in the same manner as for ‘‘discrete’’ characteristics. The only requisite criterion that a character must fulfill for use in phylogenetic analysis is that character states must be homologous. There are no other ‘‘cladistic properties’’ of characteristics. In fact, there are no such things as ‘‘cladistic data’’ Ž sensu Pimentel and Riggins, 1987.; all attributes of an organism can be used in phylogenetic analysis, provided they can be described in terms of homologous character states. If one hypothesizes that taxa A and B share an homologous character state of a metric character, one presents the explicit hypothesis that the organisms Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved inherited the character state unchanged from a common ancestor. This hypothesis of homology, based on similarity, is then tested by parsimony analysis of the data set; those character states that have fulfilled the second criterion of homology, congruence, can be assumed to have arisen from common ancestry. Therefore, since quantitative data cannot be excluded from phylogenetic study by reference to the logical requirements of ‘‘cladistic characters’’, it remains only to determine if there is a justifiable method of performing the similarity test on metric characters. METHODS OF CODING CONTINUOUS DATA Continuous characteristics possess a more or less even distribution of individual variates, and the range of variates of any given taxon may overlap the range of another taxon. As data for individuals cannot be entered into phylogenetic analysis, since the method cannot logically apply to tokogenetic relationships ŽHennig, 1966., a method must be employed to determine which codes apply to which taxa. In this sense, it must be determined whether two taxa are ‘‘the same’’ or ‘‘different’’ for a given quantitative attribute. First, however, it is useful to make the distinction between dividing continuous distributions and coding taxa for phylogenetic analysis. Pimentel and Riggins Ž1987: 201. state categorically that ‘‘continuously varying quantitative data are not suitable for cladistic analysis because there is no justifiable basis for recognizing discrete states among them’’. Felsenstein Ž1988: 462. also objects to dividing a continuous distribution into discrete states: ‘‘None of the authors on coding methods has yet faced the question of how we could test for the presence of underlying discrete states. Lacking such a test, there is no reason to discretize w sicx quantitative characters.’’ ‘‘Continuous-into-discrete’’, however, is not isomorphic with coding. The continuous distribution of individual variates is not itself divided; the taxa to which the individual variates belong are assigned character codes on the basis of whether they are similar to one another in central tendency and distribution. All deci- 224 Rae sions about taxon membership are made before coding begins. A particular organism from Taxon A may be indistinguishable from an organism from Taxon B with respect to character X, but the two taxa may be significantly different in the distribution of trait X nonetheless. The entire issue of overlap is a red herring that results from a fundamental confusion between attributes of organisms and attributes of taxa ŽThiele, 1993.. Even given this distinction, opponents of the use of metric data contend that dividing the continuous distribution of individual variates into codes is arbitrary and hence not fit for use in scientific inquiry. For example, Crisp and Weston Ž1987: 67: emphasis added. advocate: ‘‘the rejection of w continuousx characters for which states can be circumscribed only arbitrarily . . . Arbitrary decisions cannot be assessed critically and thus cannot be discussed within a scientific context. Arbitrary character states have nothing to do with homology.’’ Even some who accept the use of continuous data have conceded that some aspects of the division of nondiscrete distributions into codes is essentially arbitrary Že.g. Archie, 1985.. Since the class of metric data cannot be dismissed in principle Žsee above., the case against the inclusion of these data in phylogenetic systematics relies on whether the methods for assigning character states to taxa are arbitrary. The two most common coding methods, segment coding and gap coding, both have arbitrary elements. Segment coding proceeds by dividing the range of variates into a number of equally sized segments, then assigns codes to taxa according to the segment in which their central tendency Žusually either the mean or the median. lies. This method is outlined in Simon Ž1983. and comprises the theoretical basis of the technique advocated by Chappill Ž1989; see Farris, 1990.1. Gap coding ŽMickevich and Johnson, 1976; Almeida and Bisby, 1984; Archie, 1985. proceeds by defining the boundaries between character states at those points in the univariate distribution where a ‘‘gap’’ equal to or above a certain size occurs between the central tendencies of any two taxa. In most cases, 1 The method of Colless 1980., although considered segment coding by both Chappill Ž1989. and Thiele Ž1993., is a scaling or weighting method that was applied in that work to gap-coded data Žsee Farris, 1990. and will not be discussed in this context. Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved the critical gap size is some function of the withingroup standard deviation. Both of these methods of assigning character states to taxa are arbitrary in that the number of codes, their distribution, and membership depend entirely on either the a priori number of segments chosen, or the critical gap size. As Crisp and Weston Ž1987: 67. argue: ‘‘it would be inadmissible to use a length variable that had been arbitrarily subdivided into two states, one of lengths less than, the other of lengths greater than the median length, since it would be just as reasonable to choose any point along such a continuum at which to delimit states.’’ The arguments put forth against the arbitrary nature of coding continuous characters are not as obviously applicable to coding that is based exclusively on statistically significant differences between taxa. Because statistical methods are based on probability, the number of subsets or size of gaps is not determined a priori, nor in an arbitrary fashion. The use of this type of coding, however, has also been questioned. Again, Pimentel and Riggins Ž1987: 207. use a rhetorical question to frame their argument: ‘‘How can . . . statistics or tests of significance be applied to transform quantitative variables into cladistic variables? . . . We know of no reported theoretical basis for doing this and can provide none. Rather, such recommendations amount to ‘‘data massaging’’ to the point of inventing data.’’ The following section is an attempt to answer this objection by offering justification for using statistical methods to derive character states from measurement data. THE BIOLOGICAL BASIS FOR RECOGNIZING CHARACTER STATES Tests of statistical significance determine the probability that the difference between any two samples is due to random Žor chance. factors. In two-sample cases, statistical tests determine whether the absolute difference between the samples, represented by a measure of central tendency Žusually means or medians., is ‘‘real’’, or whether it can be attributed to 225 Continuous Characters chance variation, such as measurement error. Central tendencies are used since they are good summaries of the data and, by analogy with the normal distribution histogram based on coin-tosses, the central tendency of a biological attribute for a taxon can be thought of as the expected value and the variation is attributed to natural, random variation andror measurement error. This type of distribution, approximating the normal distribution, is an empirically demonstrable property of many unidimensional metric characteristics in populations of living organisms. It has also been shown that the central tendency of metric attributes in organisms changes over the course of evolution, often in a short time and in response to known selection factors Že.g. Bates Smith et al., 1995.. Because organisms possess characteristics of this type that change historically, the concepts of probability can be applied to test whether taxa are ‘‘the same’’ or ‘‘different’’ for a given trait. Thus, statistical tests provide an objective, repeatable, nonarbitrary method for deciding if two taxa are similar, in terms of some metric attribute 2 . In coding characters, every decision of character state membership is an explicit hypothesis of homology ŽPatterson, 1982.. That is, the act of assigning a code for a given trait to any two particular taxa is the equivalent of proposing that the taxa in question have inherited that condition unchanged from a common ancestor. Codes are thus explicit hypotheses of relationships between taxa. An examination of the implicit assumptions of tests of statistical significance based on the normal distribution illustrates the applicability of these methods to biological questions. The Student’s t-test, for example, determines the probability that two samples were drawn from populations with the same central tendency ŽSokal and Rohlf, 1981.. If the null hypothesis of equality is falsified Žthat is, if the samples are significantly different from one another., it can be assumed that the absolute difference in central tendency between the samples is ‘‘real’’ and cannot be attributed to chance. This type 2 Another coding method, finite mixture coding ŽStrait et al., 1996., operates on differences between the distributions of groups of species means, and assigns codes to intermediate taxa via a likelihood algorithm. This potentially has uses for higher level analyses, particularly after the theoretical connection between statistical ‘‘populations’’ of means and natural populations has been adequately explored. Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved of biological hypothesis testing is essential to such endeavors as species designation, as is implied in Pimentel and Riggins Ž1987: 208.. Objections to the effect that the choice of statistical test employed is arbitrary, and thus makes the coding exercise arbitrary as well, are negated by recognition that different samples require different methods of determining significance. For the analysis to be accepted, however, the particular test chosen must conform to the hierarchy of methods appropriate for the particular samples tested developed within the field of biometry Žsee Sokal and Rohlf, 1981.. Since sample parameters cannot be known a priori, it is not possible to prescribe a particular method that will be relevant in all cases. If we accept that codes are hypotheses of homology and that statistical tests of significance are a biologically relevant way to determine whether two samples are ‘‘the same’’, the evolutionary Žor cladistic . relevance of this method is evident. If two taxa are statistically indistinguishable for a particular metric variable, we may hypothesize that they have inherited the central tendency and distribution of that character from a common ancestor. If two taxa are not ‘‘the same’’ Ži.e. if there is less than 5% probability that the samples were drawn from populations with identical statistical sample parameters., then these taxa have failed the first test of homology Žsimilarity. and we can infer that an evolutionary change Žor step. has occurred in that character, necessitating a second character state. In other words, these taxa could not have inherited the central tendency and distribution of the variates for that character unchanged from a common ancestor. Two-sample tests Žlike the Student’s t-test., unfortunately, are not applicable for phylogenetic analysis, because at least four taxa are needed: three members of the ingroup and one outgroup for polarity determination. In multiple comparisons, however, areas of overlap in statistical significance can occur. For example, taxa A and B could be indistinguishable from one another in central tendency, but only taxon A is significantly different from a third taxon C. This kind of distribution of significant differences can lead to situations in which two taxa that are not significantly different from one another are assigned different codes; Farris Ž1990: 98. has argued that this procedure can ‘‘create nonsense distinctions’’. 226 Rae These distinctions, however, are based on an evolutionary argument about the distribution of significant differences in central tendency between taxa. It is expected that taxa that inherit a particular character state for a metric attribute from a common ancestor will inherit the both the central tendency and distribution of the state unchanged. If this is the case, taxa A and B should be significantly different from exactly the same taxa. If they are not, it can be hypothesized that some change has occurred, although it may only be in the distribution of individual variates. An example of this type of coding is given by Simon Ž1983. under the rubric homogeneous subset coding; only taxa that form a homogeneous subset Ži.e. are different from exactly the same taxa. are coded as identical. This coding method provides an answer to the common criticism of numerical coding voiced by Trinkaus Ž1990: 7., that the ‘‘amount of within-group variation obscured and the number of intermediate forms denied by these w codingx methods are unknown’’. DISCUSSION The preceding argument suggests that continuous characters cannot be excluded from cladistic analysis, but are there reasons to believe that these data improve our understanding of the evolution of life, outside of the somewhat obvious ‘‘more-datais-better’’ ŽChappill, 1989; Donoghue and Sanderson, 1992. formulation? Although many workers Žincluding the author; Rae, 1995. have provided empirical comparisons of various methods using actual data, it is difficult to imagine, in fact, a situation where it would be possible to demonstrate that either different coding methods or different classes of data have any specific logical effect on the outcome of phylogenetic analysis. Two comparisons from the literature highlight this problem. To date, tests designed to measure the effects of coding have been flawed in that they only measure the a posteriori effect, not how well the coding methods reflect the nature of the organisms. Chappill Ž1989. attempted to determine the differences between alternative codings of the same data by comparing the homoplasy andror resolution of the Copyright Q 1998 by The Willi Hennig Society All rights of reproduction in any form reserved resulting most parsimonious trees. If the parameter used to evaluate methods is, for example, level of homoplasy, then the optimum coding method would be that which reduced between-taxon variation to zero, since there is no homoplasy if all taxa are the same. Unfortunately, this would reduce resolution to zero, as well. Alternatively, Cranston and Humphries Ž1988. used a partitioning method; they removed continuous characteristics from their data set and performed parsimony analyses on the discrete data only. They found that the tree lengths of the most parsimonious arrangements decreased and consistency indices ŽCI. increased, relative to the topologies obtained from the combined data set. This led them to recommend excluding continuous data from analyses, in the interest of decreasing homoplasy. This ‘‘result’’, however, was merely an effect of removing characters; all other things being equal, tree length will decrease as a result of the reduction of the number of characters in an analysis, while the CI, a direct inverse function of tree length, will increase 3. The same result would be obtained if only discrete characters were removed. The only way to evaluate the effect of either different classes of data or different coding methods would be to use ‘‘known’’ phylogenies, such as artificial virus lineages ŽHillis et al., 1992. or computer simulations ŽHuelsenbeck and Hillis, 1993.. Unfortunately, this kind of test is unavailable for the vast majority of organisms. A second alternative, at least for classes of data, is to utilize tests of taxonomic congruence ŽMickevich, 1978; Mickevich and Farris, 1981; Farris et al., 1994., although this method will determine only whether the two data sets are congruent, not which of the two is ‘‘better’’ or ‘‘more appropriate’’. In the absence of an appropriate critical test, the applicability of data or methods must rely on their theoretical foundations. Since continuous characters are not inappropriate in principle, since they fulfil the necessary criterion for use in phylogenetic analysis Žhomologous character states. and, since they can be coded in a nonarbitrary, biologically appropriate manner, there can be no theoretically justifiable means for dismissing them from phylogenetic systematics. In fact, techniques such as homogeneous 3 The same phenomenon was demonstrated by Archie Ž1989. for numbers of taxa in an analysis Žalthough see Farris, 1989, for a discussion of the history of this finding.. 227 Continuous Characters subset coding may even provide a method for the inclusion of polymorphisms into computer phylogeny analyses, as the percentage presence of alternative expressions of a character in a taxon can be treated in the same manner as measurement data. 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