Theor Appl Climatol (2014) 117:73–87 DOI 10.1007/s00704-013-0989-7 ORIGINAL PAPER Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on the onset and strength of urban heat islands: a case study Admir Créso Targino & Patricia Krecl & Guilherme Conor Coraiola Received: 3 March 2013 / Accepted: 29 July 2013 / Published online: 16 August 2013 # Springer-Verlag Wien 2013 Abstract Air temperature was monitored at 13 sites across the urban perimeter of a Brazilian midsize city in winter 2011. In this study, we show that the urban heat island (UHI) develops only at night and under certain weather conditions, and its intensity depends not only on the site's land cover but also on the meteorological setting. The urban heat island intensity was largest (6.6 °C) under lingering high-pressure conditions, milder (3.0 °C) under cold anticyclones and almost vanished (1.0 °C) during the passage of cold fronts. The cooling rates were calculated to monitor the growth and decay of the UHI over each specific synoptic setting. Over four contiguous days under the effect of a lingering high-pressure event, we observed that the onset of cooling was always at about 2 h before sunset. The reference site attained mean cooling rate of −2.6 °C h−1 at sunset, whilst the maximum urban rate was −1.2 °C h−1. Under a 3-day cold anticyclone episode, cooling also started about 2 h before sunset, and the difference between maximum rural (−2.0 °C h−1) and urban (−1.0 °C h−1) cooling rates diminished. Under cold-front conditions, the cooling rate was homogeneous for all sites and swang about zero throughout the day. The air temperature has a memory effect under lingering high-pressure conditions which intensified the UHI, in addition to the larger heat storage in the urban area. Cold anticyclone conditions promoted the development of the UHI; however, the cold air pool and relatively light winds smoothed out its intensity. Under A. C. Targino (*) : G. C. Coraiola Department of Environmental Engineering, Federal Technological University of Paraná (UTFPR), Av. dos Pioneiros 3131, 86036-370 Londrina, PR, Brazil e-mail: [email protected] P. Krecl Institute of Hydraulic Research, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Av. Bento Gonçalves 9500, 91501-970 Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil the influence of cold fronts, the urban fabric had little effect on the city's air temperature field, and the UHI was imperceptible. 1 Introduction It is estimated that by 2030, more than two thirds of the world's population will live in urban areas. The fast pace of human population growth over the last decades has been observed especially in developing countries experiencing rapid industrialization. Interestingly, the urban population of these countries is projected to grow at a faster rate when compared to the developed world, with an average annual rate of 2.4 against 1.2 % (Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat 2007). Although urban areas take up just 2 % of the Earth's surface, they represent a large burden on natural resources. For example, urban areas account for about 75 % of industrial wood use, and 60 % of the water withdrawn is for human use (O'Meara 1999). The environmental implications of increasing the urban population without proper planning affect several areas, like freshwater resources (Shiklomanov and Rodda 2003), food security (Crush and Frayne 2011) and air quality (Duh et al. 2008). A confounding issue is that the increase in urban population occurs irrespective of the size of the city. However, Brazilian midsize cities (with populations between 100 and 500 thousand inhabitants) grew between 2000 and 2007, whilst small cities shrank, and large cities showed a modest decline in population. In 2007, midsize cities concentrated 25.0 % of the country's urban population, compared to 23.8 % in 2000. The population of small and large cities accounted for 46.4 and 29.8 % of the urban population, respectively, and declined to 45.2 and 29.7 % over the same period (Institute for Applied Economic Research 2008). As regions transform from rural to urban, various environmental changes become evident. The vegetation that provides 74 moisture for evapotranspiration and cooling are removed, and the introduction of impervious surfaces increases risks of flash flooding when heavy rains fall over a city, since runoff from an acre of pavement is about 10–20 times greater than the runoff from an acre of grass (Frazer 2005). Engineered materials used to build shelter, mobility and other modern facilities transform natural surfaces into high-energy absorbing surfaces, rendering thermal properties that retain more heat, impact radiative characteristics, reduce turbulent transfer of heat within streets and ultimately rise the air temperature (Taha 1997). These alterations favour the occurrence of the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon, whereby the temperature in the urban core is higher than in the surrounding suburbs and rural areas. The UHI is a complex phenomenon, involving the interaction of various elements of the urban atmospheric system with on-site variables, such as the geometry of urban canyons, thermal properties of materials, the urban greenhouse effect, reduction of albedo by canyon geometry, reduction of turbulent transfer, reduction in evaporating surface and the production of anthropogenic heat (Oke 1987; Taha et al. 1988). The anthropogenic heat is released by both mobile (fuel combustion) and stationary sources (electricity and fuel consumed by houses, industrial and commercial activities) and by human and animal metabolisms (Ferreira et al. 2010). Most urban sprawls have low surface albedo, which is largely due to a high proportion of concrete or asphalt paving in the open areas. Replacing surfaces of lowenergy absorption potential, like water and vegetation areas, by surfaces of high-energy absorption potential, such as concrete and asphalt, changes the partition of the energy flux at surface level. In such scenario, the energy that would be used in evapotranspiration, through the latent heat flux, will be used in surface heating through the sensible heat flux. As impervious surfaces have a high capability to store heat, the temperature of the air in contact with the heated surface will consequently increase. The UHI is also conditioned by off-site variables such as incoming solar radiation and large-scale wind field, which in turn are related to the synoptic weather conditions (Kim and Baik 2005; Hart and Sailor 2009). High wind speeds and/or cloud cover, usually observed during the passage of cold fronts, disrupt the cooling differences between the urban and rural areas and reduce the urban heat island intensity (UHII) (Kidder and Essenwanger 1995), whilst calm conditions with clear skies usually observed in anticyclonic systems favour the development of stronger UHII (Nkemdirim 1980; Yague et al. 1991; Unger 1996; Gedzelman et al. 2003). The UHI is associated with adverse health aspects (e.g. thermal discomfort; Giles et al. 1990; Pantavou et al. 2011; Matzarakis and Nastos 2011; Nastos and Matzarakis 2012), A.C. Targino et al. enhancement of air pollution (Jonsson et al. 2004; Zhao et al. 2006; Sarrat et al. 2006) and precipitation (through convection that replaces the hot air of the urban areas by colder and dense air of the rural areas; Jauregui and Romales 1996) and higher electricity consumption for cooling buildings (Hekkenberg et al. 2008). On the positive side, some studies identified a few benefits in the UHI phenomenon. Kolokotroni et al. (2010) found that the UHI in London reduces the energy demand for heating between 65 and 85 % in winter compared to sites outside the UHI area. Hirano and Fujita (2012) reported that the UHI increases commercial energy consumption in the Tokyo metropolitan area, but decreases residential energy use; nevertheless, they observed a total net decrease in energy consumption. Searle et al. (2012) showed that red oak seedlings in New York's Central Park accumulated eight times the biomass in the same period as those grown in more rural, cooler settings in the Hudson Valley and Catskill Mountains. The differences in average maximum and minimum temperatures between New York's Central Park and Catskill Mountains were of 2.4 and 4.6 °C, respectively. Previous investigations to assess the UHII focused on comparing the temperature difference between pairs of urban and rural sites. However, the heterogeneities found in urban areas may result in different UHI intensities (Upmanis et al. 1998; Unger 2004), which is why extending the results of a pair of stations to other urban points with different land cover is not advisable. Moreover, it is important to study the weather conditions which favour the UHI and their frequency of occurrence, so that strategies of mitigation can be streamlined for that particular study region. Many studies reported on monthly (Unger et al. 2001) and even yearly (VelazquezLozada et al. 2006) values of UHII. Despite the important contributions of these investigations to identifying local climate variability trends, these approaches hinder the assessment of the processes that control the development of the UHI. For example, mean monthly values of UHII mask the daily variability imposed by the atmosphere dynamics. From this standpoint, assessing the onset and strength of UHI should integrate both high-frequency air temperature data and description of the atmospheric conditions. In this work, we utilised air temperature data gathered in dedicated field measurements at 13 sites across a midsize city in southern Brazil, covering a range of synoptic conditions and land cover surfaces to characterise the spatio-temporal distribution of the UHI. We focused on nocturnal intra-site cooling rates and atmospheric circulation to pinpoint the conditions that favoured the development of the UHI. To investigate the effect of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on the UHII, the data collected during the experiment were segregated into the prevailing synoptic regimes observed during the campaign. Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI 2 Methodology 2.1 Study area Londrina is a city with 510,000 inhabitants located in the northern part of the state of Paraná, Brazil (lat 23°19′S, long 51°08′W). The city was founded in 1934 by the British in an area of semi-deciduous native forest that was mostly eradicated by slash-and-burn agriculture to grow coffee. In the 1960s and 1970s, the city experienced a rapid urbanisation and increased the housing density. The city's core is compact with tall buildings (up to 20 storeys) and a few green areas. In the region surrounding the city centre, the buildings are lower with variable heights, whereas detached houses are mostly present in the residential suburbs. A relatively new urbanised area developed in the southern part of the city with even taller buildings (up to 30 storeys). With each new development, native vegetation was sacrificed as this area tries to keep up with its ever increasing demand for dwellings and urban infrastructure (shopping areas, sidewalks, driveways and parking lots). The city's urban green areas are scattered and amount to only 16 % (ca. 3.64 km2) (Polidoro et al. 2011). Londrina has a humid subtropical climate (Cfa in the Köppen–Geiger classification) with an annual mean temperature of 21.0 °C and annual mean precipitation of 1,630 mm. Rainfall occurs throughout the year, with summer (Dec to Feb) being the rainiest season and winter (Jun to Aug), the driest one. In winter, the average temperature ranges from 11.6 to 25.8 °C, whereas the range varies from 19.0 to 29.7 °C in summer. Insolation is greatest during winter time (mean value of 225 h) when cloud coverage is at its lowest level. The city has a gentle relief with altitudes ranging between 520 and 610 m above mean sea level, oriented on a northwest–southeast direction following the hydrographic basin, and with low declivity (up to 10º). 2.2 Experimental set-up and data analysis Between 7 Jun and 9 Aug 2011, the ICALON experiment (acronym for the project's original name in Portuguese Ilha de Calor em Londrina) was conducted to map out the air temperature field across the city perimeter. The study was divided into three stages: (1) assessment of land cover around sites strategically chosen to represent different surface covers on the ground, (2) deployment of sensors and continuous measurements of air temperature at these sites and, further, (3) separate data analysis in relation to synoptic scale circulations. In the first stage, we performed an image segmentation and unsupervised classification using the Georeferenced Information Processing System (SPRING) software (Camara et al. 1996). We used high-spatial resolution Google Earth images from the QuickBird satellite to evaluate the land cover in a squared area of 40,000 m2 around each monitoring site. In 75 short, the image classification with SPRING was performed as follows (Rodríguez-Yi et al. 2000): (a) imagery importing and geo-referencing with aid of a high-resolution image of the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission; (b) performing supervised segmentation (identification of regions in the image that are made up of pixels that have similar spectral properties); (c) training by selecting regions (ground truth) of known land cover categories. The images were trained to identify five categories: vegetation, asphalt, roof, water and bare soil; and (d) performing classification. The air temperature was monitored at 13 sites (Fig. 1). The data at the sites marked with an asterisk in Table 1 were gathered using HOBO-U23 temperature data loggers (Onset Computer, Bourne, MA). These sensors operate in an air temperature range of −40 to 70 °C, with ±0.2 °C accuracy and 0.02 °C resolution. In this study, the data acquisition interval was set up to 1 min, and the sensors were deployed at 1.5–2.0 m high, except for the thermometer at the city's Public Library which was installed on the roof top (ca. 7.0 m) due to security reasons. Air temperature at the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA) was measured with a S-THB-M002 sensor (Onset Computer, Bourne, MA); at Londrina's Airport (LDB), the temperature was sampled using a thermistor model 5190C (Qualimetrics, Inc., now All Weather, Inc., Sacramento, CA); and at the State Meteorological Service (SIMEPAR), with a HMP155 probe (Vaisala, Helsinki). These sensors have an accuracy of ±0.2 °C. The wind speed and direction, and incoming short-wave radiation (SWR) were measured at EMBRAPA using a pyranometer model S-LIB-M003 and propeller anemometer model S-WCA-M003, respectively (Onset Computer, Bourne, MA). The urban heat island intensity was calculated by the following: UHII ¼ T Ui −T ref ð1Þ where TUi is the temperature of the i-th station, and Tref is the temperature of the reference station, here taken as the Londrina State University (UEL) Campus located on the western part of the city, spread over a 2.2-km2 area of which 90 % is covered by vegetation, comprising mainly native forest and some cropland. We chose this site as reference because it captures the patterns of the region's native vegetation and landscape, providing a natural framework for assessing the impact of species depletion due to clearing on the city's microclimate over the last decades. The species on the campus are predominantly evergreen trees with large trunks and well-developed crowns. Note that the vegetation cover reported in Table 1 for UEL is for a restricted area around the measurement point and, thus, differs from the campus total vegetation percentage. Ideally, the UHII is best assessed over areas with flat terrain, since differences in terrain features are reflected into 76 A.C. Targino et al. Fig. 1 Geographical location of Londrina in Brazil (right upper corner) and spatial distribution of the monitored sites across the city (left). The grey area delimits the urban sprawl not available, a constant value of 6.5 °C km−1 is generally used from the Earth's surface up to 11 km. However, two reservations should be made: (a) the lapse rate is affected by wind speed and solar radiation and, thus, varies considerably close to the Earth's surface along the day. For example, Pepin et al. (1999) found nocturnal lapse rate as low as 0.2 °C km−1 increasing to 9.8 °C km−1 during the day in the English horizontal variations of surface temperature and turbulent fluxes. The altitude within the study area ranges from 534 m (at IATE Clube (IAT)) to 633 m (at EMBRAPA (EMB)), with the reference site located at 587 m. Hathway and Sharples (2012) suggested to control the altitude influence on the air temperature by applying a correction factor based on the environmental lapse rate. When lapse rate measurements are Table 1 Location of the monitored sites and land cover percentage in 40,000-m2 areas around each site obtained using the SPRING software. The sites' acronyms are shown in parenthesis Sites Position Land cover (%) Lat (S) Long (W) Alt (m) Vegetation Roof Asphalt Water Bare soil SIMEPAR (SIM) EMBRAPA (EMB) Londrina State University (UEL)* Technological University (UTF)* City's Public Library (BIB)* IATE Clube (IAT)* Exposition Park (PQE)* Servino Freitas St (SER)* Belo Horizonte St (BHZ)* Londrina's Airport (LDB)* 23°21′34″ 23°11′38″ 23°19′40″ 23°18′27″ 23°18′46″ 23°19′44″ 23°17′47″ 23°15′34″ 23°18′47″ 23°19′59″ 51°09′54″ 51°11′02″ 51°11′56″ 51°06′52″ 51°09′32″ 51°09′59″ 51°13′44″ 51°10′35″ 51°10′01″ 51°08′04″ 587 633 587 552 592 534 606 553 592 566 86 83 69 51 38 33 31 31 21 19 2 6 17 9 40 14 22 49 61 7 0 11 13 24 21 20 28 12 17 64 2 0 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 0 10 0 0 16 0 0 18 8 0 0 Lucia Helena Ave (LUC)* Odilon Carvalho St (ODI)* Lessence Building (LES)* 23°17′18″ 23°17′53″ 23°19′58″ 51°09′17″ 51°10′26″ 51°10′34″ 535 571 584 17 16 7 60 46 47 22 38 43 0 0 1 0 0 2 *Indicates data acquired with HOBO-U23 temperature dataloggers Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI 77 uplands; (b) radiative cooling could produce temperature inversions in clear weather and cause warmer temperature close to the ground. In this scenario, the urban–rural temperature difference would be weakened rather than strengthened. By applying a conservative correction of 6.5 °C km−1, our temperature measurements would be offset by a maximum of + 0.34 °C (adjustment based on the height difference between IAT and reference site) and by a minimum of −0.30 °C (based on the height difference between EMB and reference site), which would still fall within the accuracy of the equipment. Moreover, the adjustments would be lost in the overall calculations of the average air temperature and cooling rates. Thus, our dataset was not corrected for altitude difference, given the lack of air temperature vertical profiling. 3 Results 3.1 General overview During the campaign, mean daily temperatures ranged between 7.4 °C (at UEL) and 26.3 °C (at BIB) (Fig. 2), and the mean relative humidity was between 40 and 100 %. The mean wind speed was 2.1 m s−1, and the dominant winds were from west (34 %), northwest (17 %) and northeast (11 %). Total monthly rainfall measured at EMB was 67.8 mm in Jun, and 81.0 mm in Jul (Aug 2011 was not included since measurements span only a few days into this month). Compared to the climatological period of 1976–2010, Jun and Jul 2011 presented monthly precipitation anomalies of −19.3 and 12.1 mm, respectively. The anomaly of mean air temperatures for Jun was 1.4 °C and for Jul, −0.9 °C; however, the differences between the measurements in 2011 and the climatological period was not statistically significant, according to the Mann–Whitney U IAT BIB LES SER LUC UTF ODI BHZ PQE UEL 07/07 12/07 17/07 22/07 27/07 EMB LDB 01/08 06/08 27 23 Air Temp. [°C] Fig. 2 Daily mean air temperature in Londrina during ICALON experiment. The hatched grey areas highlight periods in which the intra-site air temperature differences are largest test at 5 % significance level. To analyse tendencies in extreme temperature events over the period of 1976–2010, we calculated the warm day (Tx90) and warm night (Tn90) indices. They are defined as the number of days in which the maximum temperature is larger than 90th percentile of daily maximum temperature and the number of days in which the minimum temperature is larger than the 90th percentile of the daily minimum temperature, respectively (Frich et al. 2002). We observed an uptrend in the values of Tx90 and Tn90. For example, in 1976, Tx90 and Tn90 were 6 and 17, respectively, jumping to 42 and 57 in 2010, with some falls in the time series that match the occurrence of El Niño events, which feature enhanced rainfall in southern South America and, thus, a decrease in air temperatures. These results suggest that in the twenty-first century, periods of hot sustained temperatures will be more frequent in Londrina. This pattern is in agreement with model results reported by the IPCC (2012) which project increased dryness for southern Brazil in the twenty-first century, with increases in the frequency and magnitude of warm daily temperature extremes and decreases in cold extremes. Broadly speaking, the air temperature curves during ICALON followed one another (Fig. 2), with a few outstanding features. Over some periods, large daily intra-site temperature differences (hatched grey areas) were recorded, whilst the difference was modest during other measurement periods. For example, on 15 Jul, the average daily UHII between a street canyon site (defined as a relatively narrow street with buildings lined up along both sides) on Belo Horizonte St (BHZ), surrounded by roof, cement and asphalt, and the reference site UEL was 2.7 °C, whilst on 2 Jul, the UHII between the same sites was only 0.3 °C. Given that the city's fabric makeup was unaltered over this period, the different UHIIs suggest that the air temperature was controlled not only by the local but also by external variables related to the 19 15 11 7 12/06 17/06 22/06 27/06 02/07 Date [2011] SIM 78 A.C. Targino et al. The measurements were segregated into three prevailing synoptic situations observed during the experiment: lingering high-pressure conditions (LHP), cold anticyclones (CA) and passage of cold fronts (CF). Lingering high-pressure conditions occurred at 47 % of the time and featured clear skies and wind speed <2 m s−1. These conditions usually locked in place across Londrina between 4 and 6 days, producing scarce or no rainfall, weak flows and pushing temperatures up. The cold fronts (21 % of occurrence) were accompanied by rainfall, a shift in wind direction from north to south, wind speed larger than 4 m s−1 and a temperature change of at least 2 °C. Cold anticyclones (32 %) occurred either due to surface and upper level anticyclogenesis or in the wake of cold fronts and brought clear skies, a sharp drop in temperature and wind speed <4 m s−1. South America has a strong frontogenetic region over the east-central part, between the two semi-permanent subtropical anticyclones (Satyamurty and Mattos 1989). The fronts in this region have a southwest–northeast trajectory and are more frequent below 30° S during winter (average of 45 cold fronts per year) with the frequency of occurrence decreasing towards the equator. The passage of frontal systems over Londrina is between only 10 and 15 per year (Cavalcanti and Kousky 2009). This relatively low number is influenced by strong and lingering blocking highs which prevent the rain-bearing cold fronts from penetrating the region. As a consequence, rainfall is weakest and insolation is greatest during the winter months, which contribute to the occurrence of heat waves. With little rainfall to alleviate the hot and dry spells, the UHII is expected to be largest in this season. UHII [°C] 4 a 3.3 Spatial distribution of minimum temperatures and UHII Since the intra-site temperature differences and the urban heat island intensity were more pronounced at night, we focused on the spatial distribution of average minimum air temperature and the nocturnal UHII (1800–0700 hours) under the three synoptic situations (Figs. 4 and 5). b 500 c SWR 2.5 375 1 250 −0.5 125 −2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 0 2 4 hours IAT BIB 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 0 2 4 hours LES SER LUC UTF 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 −2 3.2 UHII and synoptic situations Figure 3 shows the diurnal cycle of UHII for all monitored sites in the three atmospheric regimes, along with the incoming SWR. The intra-site air temperature differences under CF conditions are within 1.5 °C of one another, with the curves swinging about 1.0 °C throughout the day. In contrast, under the influence of CA and LHP systems, the UHII was largest in the night hours at urbanised sites and converged towards zero between 9 and 16 h. Under calm, clear-sky anticyclonic conditions, the engineered urban materials absorb much solar radiation and convert it mostly into sensible heat flux and storage heat flux, and thus increase the air temperature in contact with the surface. The more vegetated sites (for example, UEL campus), unlike buildings and asphalt, absorb part of the solar radiation and divert it from warming the soil into evaporating water off of the leaves and soil to naturally cool the surrounding air. However, this cooling mechanism is more efficient when water is available in the soil. For example, the State Meteorological Service (SIM) site showed a cool island during daytime, which may be partly attributed to the irrigation of the crops at the experimental farm surrounding the meteorological station. Sacks et al. (2009) and Lobell and Bonfils (2008) reported that irrigation increases evapotranspiration and alters the surface energy partition to favour latent over sensible heating. This shift is usually accompanied by a decrease in soil and near surface air temperatures, typically affecting the diurnal maximum more than the minimum temperature. Incoming SWR [Wm ] meteorological setting. These features will be discussed in more detail throughout the paper. 0 hours ODI BHZ PQE EMB LDB SIM Fig. 3 Average diurnal cycles of UHII for the three prevailing synoptic situation: a cold front, b cold anticyclones and c lingering high pressure. The incoming short-wave radiation (dashed line) is also shown Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI 79 Fig. 4 Spatial distribution of mean minimum air temperature in Londrina for a cold front, b cold anticyclones and c lingering high-pressure conditions in winter 2011 A common feature in these figures is the almost regular concentric shapes with larger values in the city's urban core, decreasing towards the outskirts. The minima are more homogeneously distributed under CF (between 9.3 and 10.8 °C) and CA (between 7.3 and 9.1 °C) conditions. The cold air masses advected during and after the passage of the cold front smooth out the air temperature spatial distribution, resulting in a more homogeneous thermal field. The largest minima (15.8 °C) occurred under LHP conditions at sites that concentrate buildings, pavements and anthropogenic activities which release heat and contribute to increase the air temperature (e.g. BHZ and BIB sites). A deviation from this concentric shape occurs in the south around LES site where another branch of relatively high minima was observed. This area was formerly occupied by farmlands until the 1990s when high-rise developments started to emerge. The consequence of this recent land cover alteration is seen on the southern branch of the UHI penetrating at about 23.35° S and surrounded by (still) relatively cooler and more rural areas (Figs. 4c and 5c). Another hallmark of Fig. 4c is a sharp temperature gradient between the city centre and the southeastern sites (ca. 1.8 °C km−1 compared to IAT, for example). The IAT site is located on the fringes of Igapó Lake—an artificial lake about 3.5 km long and 200 m wide, with an average depth of 2 m. Suzuki (1999) discussed that the water surfaces exert a cooling influence on local air temperature by evaporating water and absorbing heat, and via the wind path effect, in which ventilation is more active in the open space of river area than in the crowded Fig. 5 Spatial distribution of the mean nocturnal (1800–0700 hours) urban heat island intensity in Londrina for a cold front, b cold anticyclones and c lingering high-pressure conditions in winter 2011 80 A.C. Targino et al. street. However, not all water body has a cooling effect. Sugawara et al. (2009) showed that the temperature of a shallow water channel (a few centimetres deep) in Tokyo actually exceeds the air temperature during daytime, but the air temperature over deeper water channels (about 5 m) is cooler that the surrounding air, which helps alleviate the urban heat island effect. The Igapó Lake has an average depth comparable to the deep water channels investigated by Sugawara et al. (2009) and has also a horizontal free path that allows the wind to distribute the cooler air to areas in the vicinity of the lake. Some sites with large percentage of vegetation, such as Federal Technology University Campus (UTF) and EMB, did not present the expected lowest minima. These sites are surrounded by croplands, which dry out more rapidly during periods of scarce rainfall, like the ones observed under LHP conditions. In this scenario, the soil moisture depletion occurs rapidly, and water-stressed vegetation controls transpiration through a physiological mechanism whereby their stomata shut. When the stomata are closed, even vegetated lands behave like dry soil and lose their cooling capacity (Avissar 1992). Another aspect that should be taken into account is the composition on the vegetation. Teuling et al. (2010) showed that forests are more effective in keeping a constant evaporative rate, which sustains its cooling effect for a longer period. The city's public library (BIB) is located in front of a 4.0-ha park but, in spite the 38 % of vegetation cover around the monitored point, the site received little influence of the surrounding vegetation and ends up inserted in the heat island core (Fig. 5c). Spronken-Smith (1994) and Upmanis et al. (1998) discussed that the park size is important in determining their influence on the surroundings (the effect of larger parks extends at larger distances outside the park). The built-up area around the BIB site consists almost entirely of streets with buildings that run parallel to the park's borders, which may prevent the cooler air in the park from intruding into the built-up area. Upmanis et al. (1998) recorded similar behaviour when they observed that a 2.4-ha park in Sweden exerted no influence on the air temperature of its surroundings. A summary of the maximum UHII and dates of occurrence is exhibited in Table 2. 3.4 Thermal diurnal amplitude and cooling rates To analyse in more detail the relationship between synoptic situation and the UHII, we selected three periods representative of each synoptic category. Prefrontal cloudiness followed by a cold-front passage was observed between 30 Jun and 3 Jul; a postfrontal cold anticyclone entered the region on 4 Jul; and finally, a period with anticyclonic weather condition persisted between 12 and 17 Jul. We explored the behaviour of four out of the 13 sites monitored in this study, representing very different surface cover: The BHZ site is located in a street canyon in a dense builtup area in the city's urban core, with paved sidewalks, little vegetation and with intense light-duty vehicle traffic during weekdays. The UTF is located on the eastern edge of the city, in a cropland area with the closest neighbourhood consisting of sparsely built, detached houses about 400 m away, across wheat and soybean fields. The Servino Freitas St (SER) site is located in a residential suburb with detached houses further out the city. It is close to the city's urban limit, with croplands to the north of the site. The weather station of the SIM is located at the experimental farm of the Agronomic Institute of Paraná in the south part of the city. The farm includes 740 acres of cropland (coffee, soybean, maize and wheat among others) for research and demonstration projects. Figure 6a clearly shows modest intra-site temperature differences with a weak diurnal cycle signal during CF conditions for all stations. The daily thermal amplitude (ΔT) for 1 Jul, for example, lies between 2.0 and 2.7 °C (Table 3). The reduced amount of incoming SWR observed during the coldfront passage (reaching a maximum value of 165 W m−2 on 1 Jul) lessened the absorption of heat by the surfaces. In this situation, the air temperature is governed primarily by the cold air mass. On 4 Jul, a postfrontal anticyclone transported a pool of cold air over the region, bringing relatively clear skies. This intensified anticyclone activity in conjunction with the enhanced incoming SWR conferred a new behaviour on the diurnal air temperature cycle. First, the thermal amplitude Table 2 Maximum hourly urban heat island intensity observed during ICALON in winter 2011 Sites Max UHII [°C] Date and time SIM EMB UTF BIB IAT PQE SER BHZ LDB LUC ODI LES 4.00 5.20 3.30 5.70 2.60 3.60 4.30 6.60 3.70 3.70 4.40 6.10 15 Jul 2200 15 Jul 2200 13 Jun 2000 9 Aug 0300 28 Jun 0200 9 Aug 0300 8 Aug 2100 9 Aug 0300 12 Jun 1800 6 Aug 2100 8 Jul 0300 9 Aug 0300 Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI 81 600 UEL (ref) BHZ SER UTF SIM SWR a Air Temp. [°C] 26 500 22 400 18 300 14 200 10 100 6 30/06 01/07 Incoming SWR [W m−2] 30 Fig. 6 Diurnal cycles of air temperature and incoming SWR for three synoptic situations: a cold front, b cold anticyclone and c lingering high pressure 0 03/07 02/07 Date [2011] 600 30 26 500 22 400 18 300 14 200 10 100 6 04/07 05/07 Incoming SWR [W m−2] Air Temp. [°C] b 0 07/07 06/07 Date [2011] 30 600 26 500 22 400 18 300 14 200 10 100 6 12/07 13/07 15/07 14/07 Date [2011] 16/07 0 17/07 Incoming SWR [W m−2] Air Temp. [°C] c 82 A.C. Targino et al. increased irrespective of the location, reaching the highest value at the SIM site (10.1 °C). The enhanced amplitude is due to the decrease in the minimum temperature rather than increase in the maxima. Actually, on 6 Jul, the maxima is only slightly larger (between 19.6 and 20.4 °C) compared to the CF of 1 Jul (between 18.2 and 18.5 °C). Second, the UHI becomes evident when intrasite temperatures start to diverge in the evening and night. The UTF, UEL and SIM sites registered the lowest nocturnal temperatures, whilst BHZ and SER register the largest. Even though urban heat islands are usually associated with adverse microclimate conditions, this configuration represents a situation in which the UHI may be beneficial since it will promote offsetting of the cold surge, pushing the nocturnal temperatures up in the urban core. A high-pressure system established itself over the study area between 12 and 17 Jul, producing sustained dry weather and clear or relatively clear skies (maximum value of incoming SWR of 540 W m−2 on 12 Jul). The thermal amplitude increased at all sites and is more prominent at the rural sites due to the drop in the minima. What becomes clear in periods affected by anticyclonic conditions is that the maximum temperatures attain similar values irrespective of the site (Table 3), which suppress the development of diurnal UHI in Londrina. This behaviour has been ubiquitously observed worldwide, with only a few studies reporting on daytime UHI (e.g. Nkemdirim and Truch 1978; Jauregui 1997). A plausible explanation for this is that during prolonged periods with lack of precipitation, rural and urban sites use the net radiation in similar ways: when the vegetation is water stressed during the day, the stomata are closed, and a considerable portion of the net radiation is spent for heating the surface just like in the urban area. In this scenario, the inhibition of evaporationmediated cooling at the rural sites was instrumental in reducing the difference in maximum temperatures between urban and rural areas. The hourly cooling rates were calculated to monitor the growth and decay of UHI over each specific synoptic setting. Figure 7 shows the mean cooling rates, urban heat island intensity and wind speed for the LHP episode described previously. The change from daytime warming to nocturnal cooling started 2–3 h before sunset, and until about 1600 hours, the sites were cooling at the same rate (between 0.13 and −0.27 °C h−1). At 1700 hours, the cooling rate at the reference site started to diverge, attaining its highest rate at 1800 hours (−2.6 °C h−1), whilst the street canyon station presented a lower rate (−1.25 °C h−1). At this time, the cooling rates for the other land-use types ranged between −0.8 and −2.1 °C h−1. During the rest of the night, the cooling slowed down, and at about 4 h after sunset until sunrise, there is little difference in cooling rates between the sites, although the absolute air temperature differs and remains that way throughout the night. These results are commensurable with values reported in Vancouver (Oke and Maxwell 1975) and Gothemburg (Holmer et al. 2007). Nocturnal cooling processes are governed by outgoing long-wave radiation. Urban areas have larger heat capacity, whilst cities are typically more effective at storing the sun's energy as heat within their infrastructure. At night, these materials continue to emit heat to the adjacent air, which may be absorbed and re-emitted by other urban elements and slow down the cooling rate. This hysteresis lag effect results in large amounts of energy stored in the urban canopy during the day and released after sunset at a different cooling rate compared to the rural site (Holmer et al. 2007). The mean cooling rates for the other situations depicted in Fig. 7 are shown in Table 4. We have highlighted the hours when cooling is largest for LHP (between 1700 and 2300 hours) to facilitate comparison amongst the three weather regimes. Note that despite the smaller cooling rates under CA conditions, they remained sitedependent, with the reference site exhibiting the largest values. The cold pool of air introduced by the postfrontal anticyclone served to decrease the overall minimum temperatures; however, the effect of differential heating of the surfaces is still observed. The UHII grew after sunset as a result of these diverging dissipation rates (Fig. 7b) reaching maximum values of 3–5 h later. Similar results were observed in various studies conducted in Canada (Oke and Maxwell 1975), South Korea (Kim and Baik 2002), Sweden (Holmer et al. 2007) and the UK (Kolokotroni and Giridharan 2008). The cooling pattern for CF was uniform with all sites having similar, modest rates (mean of −0.25 °C h−1). Table 3 Summary of maximum, minimum and thermal amplitude at selected sites in Londrina in winter 2011 for days representative of cold front, cold anticyclone and lingering high-pressure situations CF (1 Jul) Max [°C] Min [°C] ΔT [°C] CA (6 Jul) LHP (15 Jul) UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM 18.2 15.6 2.6 18.3 16.3 2.0 18.5 15.9 2.6 18.2 15.9 2.3 18.4 15.7 2.7 19.8 10.5 9.3 19.6 13.1 6.5 19.7 12.1 7.6 19.8 10.8 9.0 20.4 10.3 10.1 27.6 11.5 16.1 27.7 15.7 12.0 27.8 15.0 12.8 27.2 12.7 14.5 27.6 10.4 17.2 ΔT [°C] Fig. 7 a Mean cooling rates, b UHII and c wind speed for selected sites under LHP conditions in the period 12–17 Jul 2011 between 1500 and 0900 hours Cooling rate [ºC hr−1] Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI 1 83 a 0 −1 −2 UEL (ref) −3 4 BHZ SER SIM UTF b 2 Wind speed [m s−1] 0 −2 c 2 1 Sunset 0 15 17 19 Sunrise 3 1 23 21 5 7 9 Hour Table 4 Hourly cooling rates observed during cold front, cold anticyclone and lingering high-pressure situations at selected sites in Londrina Hour Cooling rates (°C h−1) CF CA LHP UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM UEL BHZ SER UTF SIM 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 0.07 0.07 −0.03 −0.27 −0.30 −0.30 −0.20 −0.27 −0.10 −0.10 0.07 0.07 −0.17 −0.03 −0.20 0.07 −0.23 −0.23 0.00 −0.20 0.10 0.10 −0.17 −0.27 −0.30 −0.37 −0.23 −0.23 −0.20 −0.17 0.07 0.07 −0.33 −0.20 −0.23 −0.30 −0.10 0.03 −0.27 0.00 −0.10 −0.10 0.00 −0.27 −0.23 −0.27 −0.18 −0.22 −0.13 0.00 −0.10 −0.90 −1.57 −1.03 −0.90 −0.67 −0.23 −0.50 0.03 −0.47 −0.13 −0.53 −0.70 −0.47 −0.50 −0.93 −0.33 −0.40 −0.43 −0.17 −0.20 −0.80 −1.13 −0.97 −0.70 −0.37 −0.27 −0.23 −0.13 −0.13 −0.20 −0.83 −0.80 −0.37 −0.40 −0.93 −0.33 −0.57 −0.23 −0.30 −0.10 −0.13 −1.53 −1.30 −0.67 −1.00 −1.03 −0.20 −0.77 0.00 0.38 −0.27 −1.50 −2.63 −1.28 −0.93 −0.92 −1.17 −0.72 −0.92 0.08 −0.27 −0.78 −1.25 −0.77 −0.53 −0.67 −0.85 −0.68 −0.70 0.72 0.07 −0.90 −2.12 −1.73 −1.12 −0.73 −0.57 −0.47 −0.60 0.20 −0.23 −1.07 −0.83 −1.13 −0.83 −0.93 −1.30 −1.17 −1.02 0.75 0.13 −0.38 −1.48 −1.53 −0.82 −1.63 −0.97 −1.42 −0.92 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 −0.10 −0.07 −0.10 0.07 0.10 0.03 0.10 0.37 0.43 −0.10 −0.23 0.03 0.33 −0.17 0.03 0.37 −0.17 0.30 −0.07 −0.03 −0.03 0.00 −0.03 0.20 0.10 0.27 0.47 −0.20 0.10 −0.03 −0.03 0.03 0.07 0.03 0.17 0.40 −0.33 0.00 0.03 −0.03 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.07 0.40 −0.40 −0.20 −0.53 −0.37 −0.27 −0.07 0.83 1.27 1.73 −0.20 −0.37 −0.20 −0.17 −0.20 −0.20 0.10 0.53 1.60 −0.43 −0.37 −0.27 −0.23 −0.40 −0.03 0.60 1.17 1.57 −0.50 −0.40 −0.53 −0.47 −0.33 0.03 0.87 1.37 1.70 −0.10 −0.40 −0.40 −0.47 −0.23 −0.33 −0.20 1.07 1.63 −0.45 −0.67 −0.60 −0.27 −0.38 −0.37 −0.48 1.18 2.97 −0.93 −0.45 −0.60 −0.92 −0.20 0.05 −0.32 −0.07 1.60 −0.77 −0.60 −0.42 −0.52 −0.20 −0.28 −0.40 0.75 1.78 −0.53 −0.43 −0.77 −0.47 −0.38 −0.50 −0.07 1.53 2.78 −1.00 −0.37 −0.68 −0.72 −0.47 0.10 −0.55 −0.57 2.08 Hours when cooling is largest for LHP are highlight with italic 84 100 2.5 CA CF Vegetation Asphalt Roof Water Soil 75 1.75 50 1 25 0.25 0 IAT SIM EMB UTF BIB SER PQE BHZ LDB LUC ODI LES UHII [°C] LHP Percentage [%] Fig. 8 Relationship between land cover (vertical bars) and UHII for the three meteorological regimes observed during the experiment: lingering high-pressure (solid line), cold anticyclones (dashed line) and cold front (dasheddotted line) A.C. Targino et al. −0.5 Sites The urban–rural cooling rates observed in Londrina seem to follow the conceptual model suggested by HaegerEugensson and Holmer (1999), in which a differential cooling phase accompanied by a decrease in wind speed starts before sunset. It is followed by a transition phase, characterised by a slight increase in wind speed and decrease in cooling rates. In the final phase (stabilisation), the pressure gradients between urban and rural areas trigger advective transport between these environments. As pulses of air are exchanged, the temperature difference and the cooling rates lessen and remain small until the morning when a new cycle begins. 3.5 Relation between land cover and UHII We discussed that the UHII is controlled by both on-site and off-site variables. Figure 8 summarises this analysis by showing the relationship between land cover and UHII. The vertical bars represent the land cover percentage at each monitoring site (sites are sorted by increasing vegetation cover, except for IAT which is plotted as the first station due to its particular behaviour in relation to water cover), and the lines correspond to the mean UHII for each synoptic situation. We calculated the mean UHII utilising all data for each synoptic category and not only data for the nocturnal period as explored in Fig. 5, which yields slightly smaller intensities. In the overall trend, we observe a clear negative relationship between vegetation cover and UHII. This relationship is more evident under LHP and CA conditions, with urban stations showing maximum values of 2.0 °C. It is interesting to note that under these conditions, the UHII curves follow the same pattern, which illustrates that the surfaces are responding to the solar heating even during the incursion of cold air by the cold anticyclones. The urban sites BHZ, LDB and Lucia Helena Ave (LUC) have different mean UHI intensities, in spite of the similar combined asphalt and roof percentages (78, 71 and 82 %, respectively). The UHII was largest at BHZ (2.0 °C) and decreased at urban sites with lower aspect ratio (height of the buildings divided by the street width) like LUC (1.1 °C) and at sites with relatively open space like LDB (0.8 °C). The large storage heat of impervious surfaces in the daytime and the low evaporation rates have been considered to be one of the main causes of the UHI (Kusaka and Kimura 2004; Taha 1997). However, the descriptive aspects of the relationship between surface cover and UHII within the urban environment must go beyond the two-dimensional representation of urban surfaces. Due to the vertical extensions of the buildings, land cover in urban environments is best described as three-dimensional geometry, which encompasses causative factors of the UHI such as heat stored in the vertical walls, radiation trapping and wind speed reduction (Ryu and Baik 2012). The absorption of solar radiation is larger in urban canyons because of the multiple reflections from the vertical surfaces, and increases with increasing building height (Kusaka and Kimura 2004). At night, the canyon structure traps outgoing long-wave radiation, reducing radiative cooling and contributing positively to the nocturnal UHII (Kusaka et al. 2001; Martilli 2002). The penetration of the wind into the street is also reduced because of the drag caused by the city's structure, which causes warm air over urban areas to stagnate. In a relatively open space with small roughness length, like at LDB, radiative loss is facilitated due to enhanced turbulence. Thus, in spite of the similarity of the urban fabric at BHZ, LDB and LUC, the temperature regimes at an urban canyon site like BHZ may be quite different from that in open spaces or in areas of residential low-rise buildings (such as LUC). 4 Conclusions The air temperature field was monitored at 13 sites in Londrina between Jun and Aug 2011. We investigated the onset, development and intensity of the UHI as a function of land cover and prevailing large-scale atmospheric circulation. Effects of the large-scale atmospheric circulation on UHI Different patterns of cooling rates and UHI spatial distribution emerged when the dataset was segregated and analysed according to the synoptic situations. One important result from this work is that the diurnal intra-site air temperature differences are small during the day, inhibiting the development of the daytime UHI. Our analyses showed that in winter, the UHI develops only during the night and under certain atmospheric conditions. During the passage of cold fronts, the cooling was uniform across the city with all sites having similar, modest rates. The UHII reached maximum 1.0 °C during the passage of cold fronts. Under the influence of anticyclonic circulation, cooling was site-specific and more intense around sunset at the reference and suburban sites than at urban sites, where cooling remained low and almost constant throughout the night. As result of the diverging nocturnal cooling rates under anticyclonic conditions, the UHII reached its largest intensity about 3 to 5 h after sunset in the city's central core (in the order of 6.0 °C for lingering high-pressure conditions and 3.0 °C for cold anticyclones). Our results showed clearly that there exists a strong relationship between land cover and UHI features in Londrina. It is under calm and clear-sky anticyclones conditions when the surface cover played a major role in determining the onset, time and intensity of the UHI, with predominantly urbanised sites having larger UHII, whereas vegetation-rich areas have lower UHII. We also identified that the urban geometry, albeit not explicitly quantified in this study, affects the UHII at sites within the urban core. We suggest that because of the heat stored in the vertical walls, the radiation trapping and wind speed reduction within the urban canyon, the mean UHII is largest at BHZ (2.0 °C) and decreases for sites in which the urban structure has lower aspect ratio, such as LUC (1.1 °C) and LDB (0.8 °C), in spite of the similar combined asphalt and roof percentages at these sites. The composition of urban vegetation and proximity to urban elements also affected the degree to which vegetation cooled the environment. The city's public library exhibited large UHII despite its proximity to a park. We hypothesise that the thermal effect of the densely built-up area around the site overtakes the park's cooling effect. We concluded that any study aiming to characterise the UHI and pinpoint the conditions that favour its development should incorporate segregated observations over a range of atmospheric conditions, since the surface-mediated heating and cooling differ considerably depending on the meteorological setting and surface cover. With anticyclones (either CA or LHP) accounting for about 80 % of the synoptic conditions during the campaign, it becomes evident that the city's urban core is susceptible to increase in minimum temperature during wintertime. With prolonged periods of excessively hot weather predicted to occur in the twenty-first century, intense nocturnal UHII like 85 those observed under anticyclonic conditions will be more common. Urban planning encompasses a complex network of disciplines to make the city aesthetically appealing, environmentally healthy and functional year-round. In this respect, it is of utmost importance to have a cohesive understanding on the UHI during other periods of the year to streamline strategies for mitigation or use of the thermal energy trapped in the city's engineered structure. An investigation on the UHI in Londrina during summer is underway and will be object of a future publication. Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank Fundação Araucária (grant number 470/2010) for funding the air temperature sensors used in this study. G. Coraiola is an undergraduate research bursary financed by CNPq (grant number 555768/2010-4). 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